Intrasoft 1QFY18

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Anand Rathi Research India Equities
Technology
Company Update
India I Equities
Mohit Jain
Research Analyst
+9122 6626 6531
mohitjain@rathi.com
Shobit Singhal
Research Associate
+9122 6626 6511
shobitsinghal@rathi.com
Key financials (YE Mar) FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18e FY19e
Sales (` m) 3,429 7,169 9,390 11,629 15,414
Net profit (` m) 60 415 138 163 316
EPS (`) 4.1 28.2 9.4 11.1 21.4
Growth (%) 186.6 593.4 -66.8 18.5 93.1
PE (x) 98.4 14.2 42.7 36.1 18.7
PBV (x) 7.4 5.0 4.5 4.1 3.4
RoE (%) 7.6 42.0 11.1 11.9 20.0
RoCE (%) 8.3 38.2 15.2 16.8 28.3
Dividend yield (%) 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6
Net debt / equity (x) -0.1 -0.3 -0.5 -0.5 -0.5
Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research
`
Rating: Buy
Target Price: `530
Share Price: `400
Key data ITECH IN / INSO.BO
52-week high / low `584/ `305
Sensex / Nifty 31449/9794
3-m average volume $0.2m
Market cap `6bn/$94.2m
Shares outstanding 15m
Shareholding pattern (%) Mar'17 Dec'16 Sep'16
Promoters 47.5 47.5 47.5
- of which, Pledged - - -
Free float 52.5 52.5 52.5
- Foreign institutions 9.8 9.8 8.3
- Domestic institutions 0.2 0.6 0.3
- Public 42.5 42.0 43.9
Change in Estimates Target Reco 
14 August 2017
Intrasoft Technologies
Accelerated growth trade-off with margins; Buy
Intrasoft’s growth-rate recovery continued Q1 as well with revenue
growing 21.6% y/y to $40m (Q4 growth was 17% y/y, Q3 6%). Orders
delivered (company no longer discloses) were estimated at ~0.7m, up
12% y/y. Average realisation seems to have improved to over $57 in Q1
(up 9% y/y estimated). The EBITDA margin was 1.5% (down 56bps
y/y). We cut our FY19e PAT ~14%, due to currency movements,
competition and cash-focus (may lead to some margin sacrifice in the
short run). We retain a Buy, at a revised target of `530 (25x FY19e EPS,
higher PE on growth acceleration).
Current priority is to drive long-term sustainable revenue growth.
Strong recovery in revenue growth in the last three quarters (up 6% y/y in Q3
FY17, 17% in Q4 FY17 and 22% in Q1 FY18), demonstrates the ability to
create a robust technology-driven model and expand its catalogue across the
product categories. As competitive intensity is currently high, the company is
focusing on gaining market share by sharing margin-expansion benefits with
customers. This strategy may be revisited in a year’s time.
Laser-sharp focus on FCF generation. The company’s focus on increasing
cash-flow generation (and achieving self-funded growth without external
capital) through a mix of greater inventory efficiency and supplier credit is
paying off, as inventory days during the quarter have improved from 26 (excl.
in-transit) in Q1 FY17 to 23 (including in-transit) in Q1 FY18. With limited
capex required and easing working capital (increased payable days), the
company is able to generate enough free cash to fund growth.
Valuations. Factoring in the lower sales estimates (due to adverse currency
movements and the erosion in gross margins), we cut our FY18e and FY19e
margin ~30bps and ~18bps, but expect that improving working capital (and,
thereby, FCF) would result in higher RoEs. Risk: Business-model transition.
Relative price performance
Source: Bloomberg
ITECH
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Estimates revision (%) FY18e FY19e
Revenues ($ m) (1.2) (1.2)
EBITDA (15.7) (9.4)
Net Profit (23.1) (13.6)

2. 14 August 2017 Intrasoft Technologies – Accelerated growth trade-off with margins; Buy
Anand Rathi Research 2
Quick Glance – Financials and Valuations
Fig 1 – Income statement (` m)
Year-end: Mar FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18e FY19e
Net revenues 3,429 7,169 9,390 11,629 15,414
Revenue growth (%) 131.1 109.1 31.0 23.8 32.5
- Oper. expenses 3,384 7,090 9,215 11,368 14,916
EBIDTA 45 78 176 261 497
EBITDA margins (%) 1.3 1.1 1.9 2.2 3.2
- Interest 8 22 36 40 27
- Depreciation 15 16 19 22 24
+ Other income 45 394 74 38 25
- Tax 9 20 58 73 155
Effective tax rate (%) 12.6 4.5 29.5 31.0 33.0
+ Associates / (minorities) - - - - -
Adjusted PAT 60 415 138 163 316
+ Extraordinary items - - - - -
Reported PAT 60 415 138 163 316
Adj. FDEPS (` / sh) 4.1 28.2 9.4 11.1 21.4
Adj. FDEPS growth (%) 186.6 593.4 -66.8 18.5 93.1
Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research
Fig 3 – Cash-flow statement (` m)
Year-end: Mar FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18e FY19e
Adjusted PAT 60 415 138 163 316
+ Non-cash items 15 16 19 22 24
Cash profit 75 431 157 185 340
- Incr. / (decr.) in WC 13 428 -229 81 121
Operating cash-flow 61 3 386 105 218
- Capex 2 -227 21 27 28
Free cash-flow 59 230 365 78 190
- Dividend 35 35 35 33 44
+ Equity raised -4 5 29 - -
+ Debt raised -172 335 -202 187 -362
- Investments -202 496 136 -326 6
- Misc. items - - - - -
Net cash-flow 50 39 21 559 -222
+ Op. cash & bank bal. 84 134 173 193 752
Cl. Cash & bank bal. 134 173 193 752 530
Source: Company, AnandRathi Research
Fig 5 – Price movement
Source: Bloomberg
Fig 2 – Balance sheet (` m)
Year-end: Mar FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18e FY19e
Share capital 147 147 147 147 147
Reserves & surplus 648 1,034 1,165 1,296 1,567
Net worth 795 1,181 1,312 1,443 1,715
Total debt 40 366 162 362 -
Minority interest - - - - -
Def. tax liab. (net) 1 11 13 - -
Capital employed 837 1,557 1,487 1,805 1,715
Net fixed assets 434 191 194 199 203
Intangible assets 5 6 5 5 5
Investments 90 586 722 395 402
- of which, Liquid - 536 668 334 334
Working capital 174 602 373 454 575
Cash 134 173 193 752 530
Capital deployed 837 1,557 1,487 1,805 1,715
Working capital (days) 19 31 14 14 14
Book value (` / sh) 54.0 80.2 89.1 98.0 116.4
Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research
Fig 4 – Ratio analysis @ `400
Year-end: Mar FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18e FY19e
P/E (x) 98.4 14.2 42.7 36.1 18.7
Cash P/E (x) 79.1 13.7 37.6 31.8 17.3
EV / EBITDA (x) 127.5 70.8 29.6 19.8 10.1
EV / sales (x) 1.7 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3
P/B (x) 7.4 5.0 4.5 4.1 3.4
RoE (%) 7.6 42.0 11.1 11.9 20.0
RoCE (%) 8.3 38.2 15.2 16.8 28.3
Dividend yield (%) 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6
Dividend payout (%) 58.3 8.4 25.3 20.0 14.0
Net debt / equity (x) -0.1 -0.3 -0.5 -0.5 -0.5
Debtor (days) 3 5 4 4 4
Inventory (days) 13 28 16 19 20
Payables (days) 13 17 7 8 9
CFO : PAT % 43.0 -98.0 274.1 60.4 67.9
CFO : sales % 0.8 -5.7 4.0 0.8 1.4
Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research
Fig 6 – Average selling price
Source: Company, Q4 FY17 and Q1 FY18 realisations are estimated
ITECH
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3. 14 August 2017 Intrasoft Technologies – Accelerated growth trade-off with margins; Buy
Anand Rathi Research 3
Result Highlights
Q1 FY18 Results at a Glance
Fig 8 – Quarterly result
Year-end: Mar Q1 FY18 % q/q % y/y FY17 FY16 % y/y
Sales ($ m) 40 24.6 21.6 140 109 28.2
Sales (` m) 2,602 20.4 17.1 9,390 7,169 31.0
EBITDA (` m) 39 NM (14.5) 176 78 123.9
EBITDA margin (%) 1.5 185 bps -56 bps 1.9 1.1 78 bps
EBIT (` m) 34 NM (17.2) 157 62 151.1
EBIT margin (%) 1.3 188 bps -55 bps 1.7 0.9 80 bps
PBT (` m) 50 NM 22.0 196 435 (55.0)
Tax (` m) (14) 159.8 (4.1) (58) (20) 194.8
Tax rate (%) (27.7) NM 755 bps (29.5) (4.5) -2504 bps
Net Income (` m) 36 NM 36.2 138 415 (66.8)
Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research
Fig 7 – Segment-wise results
Q1 FY17 Q2 FY17 Q3 FY17 Q4 FY17 Q1 FY18 Q/q % Y/y %
Revenues ($ m) 33 33 42 32 40 24.6 21.6
Growth, yoy % 79 38 6 17 22
Orders (m) 0.62 0.67 1.02 0.60 0.70 16.7 12.3
Volume growth, yoy % 112.1 77.6 32.9 13.0 12.3
Revenues (` m) 2,222 2,190 2,818 2,161 2,602 20.4 17.1
Eff. exchange rate 67.0 67.0 67.5 66.7 64.5 -3.3 -3.7
Number of vendors 1,746 1,783 1,833 1,900 1,950 2.6 11.7
Orders per vendor (average 357.0 375.6 556.1 315.8 359.0 13.7 0.6
CoR (1,819) (1,784) (2,288) (1,817) (2,177) 19.8 19.7
As % of revenues -82 -81 -81 -84 -84 39 bps -180 bps
Employee costs (56) (60) (55) (63) (56) -11.3 -1.1
COGS (1,763) (1,725) (2,233) (1,754) (2,121) 20.9 20.3
SG&A (356) (356) (442) (351) (385) 9.6 8.1
As % of revenues -16 -16 -16 -16 -15 146 bps 124 bps
S&M (324) (317) (406) (310) (349) 12.5 7.6
As % of revenues -15 -14 -14 -14 -13 94 bps 118 bps
G&A (32) (39) (36) (41) (36) -12.0 12.4
Growth yoy % 77 27 39 13 12
EBITDA 46 49 88 (7) 39 NM -14.5
EBITDA margin % 2 2 3 0 2 185 bps -56 bps
EBIT 42 44 83 -12 34 NM -17.2
EBIT margin % 2 2 3 -1 1 188 bps -55 bps
Other Income 6.6 33.8 16.4 17.7 18.7 5.7 184.7
Interest expense (7) (9) (12) (8) (3) -60.3 -55.7
PBT 41 70 88 -3 50 NM 22.0
PBT margins % 2 3 3 0 2 203 bps 8 bps
Taxes (14) (16) (22) (5) (14) 159.8 -4.1
ETR % -35 -23 -26 213 -28 NM 755 bps
PAT 26 54 65 (8) 36 NM 36.2
PAT margin % 1.2 2.5 2.3 -0.4 1.4 175 bps 19 bps
Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research
Note: Q1 FY18 is Ind AS

4. 14 August 2017 Intrasoft Technologies – Accelerated growth trade-off with margins; Buy
Anand Rathi Research 4
Factsheet
Fig 9 – Revenue
Q1 FY17 Q2 FY17 Q3 FY17 Q4 FY17 Q1 FY18
Revenues ($ m) 33.2 32.7 41.7 32.4 40.3
Ecommerce business ($ m) 32.6 32.1 40.9 31.8 40.3
Greetings business ($ m) 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.5 ND
Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research
Fig 10 – Break-up of growth
Q1 FY17 Q2 FY17 Q3 FY17 Q4 FY17 Q1 FY18*
Number of orders delivered (m) 0.62 0.67 1.02 0.60 0.70
Number of vendors 1,746 1,783 1,833 1,900 1,950
Average number of orders per vendor 357 376 556 316 359
Number of cards sent (‘000) ND ND ND ND ND
Number of products (m) 0.54 0.56 0.58 0.60 0.60
Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research * - Q1 FY18 figures are assumed based on trends shown by the company
Fig 11 – Revenue split by service line (%)
(%) Q1 FY17 Q2 FY17 Q3 FY17 Q4 FY17 Q1 FY18
Furniture, Lawns and Gardens 28.0 34.0 30.0 45.0 41.0
Musical Instruments & Gadgets 14.0 10.0 13.0 13.0 18.0
Kitchen, Dining & Appliances 12.0 12.0 10.0 10.0 11.0
Home Improvement & Art Crafts 21.0 16.0 13.0 11.0 8.0
Sports & Outdoors 11.0 15.0 12.0 12.0 12.0
Toys, Games & Baby 9.0 11.0 20.0 7.0 8.0
Others 5.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0
Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research
Note: Data is estimated for the last two quarters as the company has stopped disclosing exact figures
Fig 12 – Y/y growth (%)
Q1 FY17 Q2 FY17 Q3 FY17 Q4 FY17 Q1 FY18
Dollar revenues 78.8 37.8 6.4 17.1 21.6
E-commerce business 82.8 38.3 6.7 17.9 22.0
Greetings business (24.1) 13.4 (7.3) (10.0) 0.0
Source: Company Anand Rathi Research

5. 14 August 2017 Intrasoft Technologies – Accelerated growth trade-off with margins; Buy
Anand Rathi Research 5
Valuations
 On the company consistently reporting greater profit, we have altered
our valuation method to PE (from EV:sales a few quarters back). We
value the stock at a PE of 25x FY19e EPS and retain our Buy
recommendation, with a revised target price of `530 (earlier `550).
Given the market size in e-commerce and the current company size,
growth doesn’t seem to be a problem for it, and we see growth
accelerating in FY18 and persisting in FY19. Management believes that
the growth rate will return to 30-35% in FY18.
 Over the years, the company has evolved as one of the fastest-growing
3P retailers in the US by building strong relationships with vendors,
and has displayed its superior customer service and logistics
capabilities. We expect it to deliver superior returns to investors as
sales momentum persists and it achieves a meaningful scale.
Fig 13 – Change in estimates
FY18 FY19
` m New Old % Change New Old % Change
Revenues ($ m) 180 182 (1.2) 239 242 (1.2)
Revenues 11,629 12,154 (4.3) 15,414 16,110 (4.3)
EBITDA 261 309 (15.7) 497 549 (9.4)
EBITDA margin % 2.2 2.5 -30 bps 3.2 3.4 -18 bps
EBIT 239 287 (16.8) 473 525 (9.8)
EBIT margin % 2.1 2.4 -31 bps 3.1 3.3 -19 bps
PBT 237 308 (23.1) 471 545 (13.6)
Net profit 163 212 (23.1) 316 365 (13.6)
Source: Anand Rathi Research
Fig 14 – PE band
Source: Bloomberg, Anand Rathi Research
Risks
 Business-environment risk: Intrasoft sells products in the US
through its 3P reselling brand, Stores123, on Amazon as well as
through its own website. Controlling the business environment
currently are e-commerce platform-owners such as Amazon; hence,
pricing power and customer loyalty lies with them. But 3P players also
play an important role in a platform owner’s scaling up; hence, there is
a case for a sustained profitable business.
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6. 14 August 2017 Intrasoft Technologies – Accelerated growth trade-off with margins; Buy
Anand Rathi Research 6
 Client-concentration risk: The largest customer is Amazon, the
dominant operator in the global e-commerce market. Therefore, there
is the possibility of Amazon dealing directly with manufacturers (of
popular products).
 Product-liability risk: Intrasoft only sells brand-named products
registered with the US government. Even though its liability is only
limited to transit, a fault in products could damage its brand perception
in the US.

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Important Disclosures on subject companies
Rating and Target Price History (as of 14 August 2017)
Date Rating
TP
(`)
Share
Price (`)
1 28-Aug-15 Buy 600 432
2 05-Nov-15 Buy 640 541
3 30-May-16 Buy 570 378
4 08-Nov-16 Buy 590 475
5 06-Jan-17 Buy 580 425
6 25-May-17 Buy 550 333
Anand Rathi Ratings Definitions
Analysts’ ratings and the corresponding expected returns take into account our definitions of Large Caps (>US$1bn) and Mid/Small Caps (<US$1bn) as described
in the Ratings Table below:
Ratings Guide (12 months)
Buy Hold Sell
Large Caps (>US$1bn) >15% 5-15% <5%
Mid/Small Caps (<US$1bn) >25% 5-25% <5%
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Intrasoft
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1. ARSSBL or its Affiliates may or may not have been beneficial owners of the securities mentioned in this report.
2. ARSSBL or its affiliates may have or not managed or co-managed a public offering of the securities mentioned in the report in the past 12 months.
3. ARSSBL or its affiliates may have or not received compensation for investment banking services from the issuer of these securities in the past 12 months and do not expect
to receive compensation for investment banking services from the issuer of these securities within the next three months.
4. However, one or more of ARSSBL or its Affiliates may, from time to time, have a long or short position in any of the securities mentioned herein and may buy or sell those
securities or options thereon, either on their own account or on behalf of their clients.
5. As of the publication of this report, ARSSBL does not make a market in the subject securities.
6. ARSSBL or its Affiliates may or may not, to the extent permitted by law, act upon or use the above material or the conclusions stated above, or the research or analysis on
which they are based before the material is published to recipients and from time to time, provide investment banking, investment management or other services for or solicit
to seek to obtain investment banking, or other securities business from, any entity referred to in this report.
Enclave Capital LLC is distributing this document in the United States of America. ARSSBL accepts responsibility for its contents. Any US customer wishing to effect
transactions in any securities referred to herein or options thereon should do so only by contacting a representative of Enclave Capital LLC.
© 2016. This report is strictly confidential and is being furnished to you solely for your information. All material presented in this report, unless specifically indicated otherwise,
is under copyright to ARSSBL. None of the material, its content, or any copy of such material or content, may be altered in any way, transmitted, copied or reproduced (in
whole or in part) or redistributed in any form to any other party, without the prior express written permission of ARSSBL. All trademarks, service marks and logos used in this
report are trademarks or service marks or registered trademarks or service marks of ARSSBL or its affiliates, unless specifically mentioned otherwise.
Additional information on recommended securities/instruments is available on request.
ARSSBL registered address: 4th Floor, Silver Metropolis, Jaicoach Compound, Opposite Bimbisar Nagar, Goregaon (East), Mumbai - 400 063.
Tel No: +91 22 4001 3700 | Fax No: +91 22 4001 3770 | CIN: U67120MH1991PLC064106.