3. Remarks by Bill Moyers
UCI – November 14, 2005
Sponsored by the School of Social
Ecology
4. “The city is first a holy place.”
– Lynch & Mumford
5. “Urban Constellation”
– Lewis Mumford
(pp. 566, ¶ 2)
Using satellite images of
city lights at night, NASA
scientists are mapping the
spread of urban areas
around the globe and
monitoring their impact on
our planet's ecosystem.
6. Fu-chen Lo and Yue-man Yeung
• Globalization (pp. 9)
• Food supply. (pp.11)
• Sustainable Development
can be achieved. (pp. 12)
7. Peak Oil, Post Carbon Cities, Powerdown
• “Peak oil production and the arc of
depletion that follows”
• The loss of Fossil Fuels and what
that means…
(Colin Campbell – the Association for the Study of Peak Oil and
Gas)
9. Millenium Ecosystem Assessment
• “Considers the intrinsic value of species and
ecosystems.”
• Plausible Scenarios:
– Global Orchestration
– Order from Strength
– Adapting Mosaic
– TechnoGarden
10. Scenarios for the 21 Century
Hammond, A. (1998).
• Market World
• Fortress World
• Transformed World
19. Opportunities
• The end of the Cold War.
• The Iraq Wars/the “War on Terror”
• America’s infrastructure.
20. Cycles of Civilizations
The Collapse of Complex
Civilizations, Joseph Tainter
(Eco-Economy, pp. 14)
Collapse: How societies
choose to fail or
succeed, Jared Diamond
Has not Capitalism and competition for material wealth become our religion
Sustainability reclaims the quality of life indicators, including: value, peace, nature, beauty, art, culture, purpose, and inspiration
To what are we devoted?
“In a well ordered world, there would be no limits, physical, cultural, or political, to such a system of co-operation…
Once technics releases itself from the costly wholesale preparations for genocide…
There is no doubt that globalization has sharpened the basic conflicts between the old and the new, secularism and religion, the West and the East, the haves and the have-nots. (pp. 9)
One potentially critical problem already being faced by some mega-cities is food supply. (pp.11)
Overall, the world population must be able to stabilize at a certain level such that sustainable development can be achieved. (pp. 12)
Davos World: China & India reshaping globalization through robust economic growth.
Pax Americana: U.S. predominance survives the radical changes to the global political landscape.
A New Caliphate: radical religious identity politics constituting a challenge to Western norms & values
Cycle of Fear: large-scale intrusive security measures are taken to prevent outbreaks of deadly attacks.
Market World: A new golden age of prosperity. “The spread of capitalism furthers the spread of freedom and democracy.”
Fortress World: Instability and violence?
Transformed World: Changing the human endeavor?
