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Case Study Summary – Primary Success Factors


Each factor is a key driver or barrier if not pursued
purposefully

 1. Willingness to Innovate & Change
 •   Creation of Shopper Value

 •   Collaborative Understanding of Partner’s
     business / Information Sharing

 •   Aligned Goals & Objectives

 •   Aligned Measures & Incentives



                                                         2005
Your Quick ECR Scorecard for Today


1. Do you have demonstrable examples of                                     Yes
                                                                           Many
                                                                                      Yes
                                                                                      Few
                                                                                                  No
   collaborative working? eg, significant information sharing


2. Do you & your Trading Partners use Category Mgt                          Yes     Starting      No
   principles to deliver differentiated shopper offerings?

3. Do you set promotional success criteria and jointly                      Yes      Some-        No
                                                                          Always     times
   evaluate against them with your Trading Partners?


4. Are you able to see & replenish in line with your                        Yes
                                                                          In time
                                                                                     Not in
                                                                                      No
                                                                                     Time
                                                                                                  No
   customers daily demand?

5. Do you have aligned ECR vision, objectives and                           Yes      Some         No
                                                                            All
   measures within your business?




                        Source: Extracted from Entry Level Scorecard on www.globalscorecard.net         2005
Project Components




                      2005
Value Chain Analysis - What          Did We Do?

Deep-dive analysis across major companies combined with
IBM data

Cost structures of companies analysed using standard set
of activities

Manufacturer and retailer benefit for each ECR area quantified

Key output, expressed in terms of:
 • Potential Cost Savings
 • Potential Inventory Reductions
 • Potential Growth


                                                                  2005
VCA Results – Breakdown by ECR Improvement Concept

                                                Cost Reductions
ECR Improvement Concept




                                                                                               Demand

                                                              Integrated Demand Driven Supply



                                                                                                Supply




                                                                                              Enablers


                                                                                             Integrators

                          (2 000)             2 000        4 000        6 000        8 000       10 000

                                    Total value chain product category: All Values in €m

                                         Europe Manufacturers         Europe Retailers
                                                                                                            2005
VCA Results – Breakdown by ECR Improvement Concept

                                          Inventory Reductions
ECR Improvement Concept




                                                           Responsive Replenishment         Demand




                                                                                             Supply




                                                                                           Enablers


                                                                                          Integrators

                                       5 000              10 000              15 000            20 000

                                   Total value chain product category: All Values in €m

                                        Europe Manufacturers         Europe Retailers
                                                                                                          2005
VCA Results – Breakdown by ECR Improvement Concept


                             Combined Potential Growth

               Collaborative                                 Responsive      Global
                 Shopper                  Optimise          Replenishment     Data
              Value Creation             Promotions                      Synchronisation
Europe




                                                                                       +4.9%

                                Optimise            Optimise    Operational
                               Assortments        New Product Excellence
                                                  Introductions




          0              1              2               3               4              5       6

                                                      Growth (%)


                                                                                                    2005
 2005
Project Components




                      2005
Macro-Economic Analysis - What   Did We Do?

Defined relevant indicators

Sourced data from existing databases and
companies

Interpreted economic indices

Explored correlations between ECR and
category performance

                                               2005
Market Development

Retail sales share of wallet is in decline – consumers shift
                                                                                     France
                    Retail Sales / Consumer Spending                                 Germany
                              (Index 1994=1)                                         Italy
    1.15
                                                                                     Spain
    1.10                                                                             UK
    1.05                                                                             Iceland
                                                                                     Finland
    1.00                                                                             Denmark
    0.95                                                                             Belgium
                                                                                     Austria
    0.90                                                                             Greece
                                                                                     Switzerland
    0.85
                                                                                     Sweden
    0.80                                                                             Portugal
                                                                                     Norway
    0.75
                                                                                     Netherlands
    0.70                                                                             Luxembourg
           1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005               Ireland




                                                           Source: Planet Retail, 2005              2005
Market Development

Modern grocery formats have grown share within this environment
                                                                                      France
             Modern Grocery Distr (Grocery Sales) / Retail Sales                      Germany
                              (Index 1994=1)
      1.25                                                                            Italy
                                                                                      UK
      1.20                                                                            Austria
                                                                                      Greece
      1.15                                                                            Switzerland
                                                                                      Sweden
      1.10                                                                            Portugal
                                                                                      Norway
      1.05                                                                            Netherlands
                                                                                      Luxembourg
      1.00                                                                            Ireland
                                                                                      Iceland
      0.95                                                                            Finland
                                                                                      Belgium
      0.90                                                                            Spain
             1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
                                                                                      Denmark




                                                                Source: Planet Retail, 2005          2005
Manufacturer Performance

ECR adopting manufacturers have driven category growth


Sales Index

       1.40
                                                             ECR adopter sales


                                                             Total category sales
       1.20




       1.00
         1999                                           2004




                   Source: based on several manufacturers‘ market research data      2005
Macro-Economic Summary


Share of wallet shift away from retail has slowed
consumer sales

Most ECR adopting retailers can offset the above through
share growth

The consequences of ECR adoption are noticeable for
shoppers

ECR adopting manufacturers are proven to drive
category growth

As grocery sales show limited potential for growth, efficiencies
& collaborative shopper value creation remain key… ECR can
drive both


                                                                    2005
Project Components




                      2005
Belgium’s annual consumer sales

Carrefour’s European annual sales

Cosmetics & toiletries market in
Western Europe




                                     2005
 2005
ECR Implementation Pyramid



                      Align
                   Measures
                  & Incentives


                  Align Goals
                  & Objectives


              Cultural Intervention


                      Plan


                    Evaluate



                                       2005
ECR Implementation Pyramid


1. Evaluate the opportunity for greater ECR adoption
  within your business

 “Quick ECR check-list” is a start!

 Assess your business using full GCI Scorecard

 Question: what does ECR mean to us?
 ... what should it mean to us?




                                                        2005
ECR Implementation Pyramid


1. Evaluate the opportunity for greater ECR adoption
  within your business

2. Plan to incorporate proven ECR improvement concepts
  into your business strategy

 Maintain focus against cost & inventory reductions

 Increase emphasis on creating Shopper Value
   • Shopper based Joint Business Plans
   • Shopper based Value Chain
   • Consumer Driven Innovation




                                                          2005
ECR Implementation Pyramid


1. Evaluate the opportunity for greater ECR adoption
  within your business

2. Plan to incorporate proven ECR improvement concepts
  into your business strategy

3. Cultural Intervention of the 5 Primary Success Factors

 Willingness to innovate and change

 Collaborative understanding of partner’s
 business

 Information sharing


                                                             2005
ECR Implementation Pyramid


1. Evaluate the opportunity for greater ECR adoption
  within your business

2. Plan to incorporate proven ECR improvement concepts
  into your business strategy

3. Cultural Intervention of the 5 Primary Success Factors

4. Align Goals & Objectives

 Firstly within your own organisation –
 vertically & horizontally

 With your business partners


                                                             2005
ECR Implementation Pyramid


1. Evaluate the opportunity for greater ECR adoption
  within your business

2. Plan to incorporate proven ECR improvement concepts
  into your business strategy

3. Cultural Intervention of the 5 Primary Success Factors
  Align Goals & Objectives

4. Align Goals & Objectives

5. Align Measures & Incentives

 Internally & externally


                                                             2005
 2005
European Market Growth – Last 10 Years &
              Projected
                                        European Grocery Sales
               1 200 000
                                                                       Projected CAGR = 3.7%

               1 000 000


                800 000
                                      Historic CAGR = 5.2%
€ billiions




                600 000


                400 000


                200 000


                      0
                           ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10

                                                   Year

                                                                                                  2005
Context of growth - Industry Revenue

                                                                   Additional   4.9% / €42 Billion
                                       European Grocery Sales
              1 200 000


              1 000 000


               800 000
€ billiions




               600 000


               400 000


               200 000


                     0
                          ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10

                                                  Year
                          Incremental growth from ECR Implementation
                                                                                                  2005
Context of growth - Industry Profit

                                                                        Additional   3.3% / €28 Billion
                                          European Grocery Profit
              130


              110
€ billiions




              90


              70


              50


              30


              10
                    ’94 ’95   ’96 ’97   ’98 ’99 ’00   ’01   ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06   ’07 ’08   ’09   ’10
                                             Year
                         Incremental from ECR Cost Reduction
                                                                                                         2005
 2005
In Summary


ECR has delivered clear benefits over the last 10 years

Significant opportunity for ECR remains
 • Drive cost out of the supply chain
 • Stimulate and drive significant growth

Economic environment remains challenging

Proven recommendations to accelerate and reap ECR benefits

Jointly satisfying shopper needs at the core

It’s now down to us…


                                                              2005
 2005
 2005

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Key Success Factors in Primary Case Study

  • 1. Case Study Summary – Primary Success Factors Each factor is a key driver or barrier if not pursued purposefully 1. Willingness to Innovate & Change • Creation of Shopper Value • Collaborative Understanding of Partner’s business / Information Sharing • Aligned Goals & Objectives • Aligned Measures & Incentives  2005
  • 2. Your Quick ECR Scorecard for Today 1. Do you have demonstrable examples of Yes Many Yes Few No collaborative working? eg, significant information sharing 2. Do you & your Trading Partners use Category Mgt Yes Starting No principles to deliver differentiated shopper offerings? 3. Do you set promotional success criteria and jointly Yes Some- No Always times evaluate against them with your Trading Partners? 4. Are you able to see & replenish in line with your Yes In time Not in No Time No customers daily demand? 5. Do you have aligned ECR vision, objectives and Yes Some No All measures within your business? Source: Extracted from Entry Level Scorecard on www.globalscorecard.net  2005
  • 4. Value Chain Analysis - What Did We Do? Deep-dive analysis across major companies combined with IBM data Cost structures of companies analysed using standard set of activities Manufacturer and retailer benefit for each ECR area quantified Key output, expressed in terms of: • Potential Cost Savings • Potential Inventory Reductions • Potential Growth  2005
  • 5. VCA Results – Breakdown by ECR Improvement Concept Cost Reductions ECR Improvement Concept Demand Integrated Demand Driven Supply Supply Enablers Integrators (2 000) 2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000 10 000 Total value chain product category: All Values in €m Europe Manufacturers Europe Retailers  2005
  • 6. VCA Results – Breakdown by ECR Improvement Concept Inventory Reductions ECR Improvement Concept Responsive Replenishment Demand Supply Enablers Integrators 5 000 10 000 15 000 20 000 Total value chain product category: All Values in €m Europe Manufacturers Europe Retailers  2005
  • 7. VCA Results – Breakdown by ECR Improvement Concept Combined Potential Growth Collaborative Responsive Global Shopper Optimise Replenishment Data Value Creation Promotions Synchronisation Europe +4.9% Optimise Optimise Operational Assortments New Product Excellence Introductions 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Growth (%)  2005
  • 10. Macro-Economic Analysis - What Did We Do? Defined relevant indicators Sourced data from existing databases and companies Interpreted economic indices Explored correlations between ECR and category performance  2005
  • 11. Market Development Retail sales share of wallet is in decline – consumers shift France Retail Sales / Consumer Spending Germany (Index 1994=1) Italy 1.15 Spain 1.10 UK 1.05 Iceland Finland 1.00 Denmark 0.95 Belgium Austria 0.90 Greece Switzerland 0.85 Sweden 0.80 Portugal Norway 0.75 Netherlands 0.70 Luxembourg 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Ireland Source: Planet Retail, 2005  2005
  • 12. Market Development Modern grocery formats have grown share within this environment France Modern Grocery Distr (Grocery Sales) / Retail Sales Germany (Index 1994=1) 1.25 Italy UK 1.20 Austria Greece 1.15 Switzerland Sweden 1.10 Portugal Norway 1.05 Netherlands Luxembourg 1.00 Ireland Iceland 0.95 Finland Belgium 0.90 Spain 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Denmark Source: Planet Retail, 2005  2005
  • 13. Manufacturer Performance ECR adopting manufacturers have driven category growth Sales Index 1.40 ECR adopter sales Total category sales 1.20 1.00 1999 2004 Source: based on several manufacturers‘ market research data  2005
  • 14. Macro-Economic Summary Share of wallet shift away from retail has slowed consumer sales Most ECR adopting retailers can offset the above through share growth The consequences of ECR adoption are noticeable for shoppers ECR adopting manufacturers are proven to drive category growth As grocery sales show limited potential for growth, efficiencies & collaborative shopper value creation remain key… ECR can drive both  2005
  • 15. Project Components  2005
  • 16. Belgium’s annual consumer sales Carrefour’s European annual sales Cosmetics & toiletries market in Western Europe  2005
  • 18. ECR Implementation Pyramid Align Measures & Incentives Align Goals & Objectives Cultural Intervention Plan Evaluate  2005
  • 19. ECR Implementation Pyramid 1. Evaluate the opportunity for greater ECR adoption within your business “Quick ECR check-list” is a start! Assess your business using full GCI Scorecard Question: what does ECR mean to us? ... what should it mean to us?  2005
  • 20. ECR Implementation Pyramid 1. Evaluate the opportunity for greater ECR adoption within your business 2. Plan to incorporate proven ECR improvement concepts into your business strategy Maintain focus against cost & inventory reductions Increase emphasis on creating Shopper Value • Shopper based Joint Business Plans • Shopper based Value Chain • Consumer Driven Innovation  2005
  • 21. ECR Implementation Pyramid 1. Evaluate the opportunity for greater ECR adoption within your business 2. Plan to incorporate proven ECR improvement concepts into your business strategy 3. Cultural Intervention of the 5 Primary Success Factors Willingness to innovate and change Collaborative understanding of partner’s business Information sharing  2005
  • 22. ECR Implementation Pyramid 1. Evaluate the opportunity for greater ECR adoption within your business 2. Plan to incorporate proven ECR improvement concepts into your business strategy 3. Cultural Intervention of the 5 Primary Success Factors 4. Align Goals & Objectives Firstly within your own organisation – vertically & horizontally With your business partners  2005
  • 23. ECR Implementation Pyramid 1. Evaluate the opportunity for greater ECR adoption within your business 2. Plan to incorporate proven ECR improvement concepts into your business strategy 3. Cultural Intervention of the 5 Primary Success Factors Align Goals & Objectives 4. Align Goals & Objectives 5. Align Measures & Incentives Internally & externally  2005
  • 25. European Market Growth – Last 10 Years & Projected European Grocery Sales 1 200 000 Projected CAGR = 3.7% 1 000 000 800 000 Historic CAGR = 5.2% € billiions 600 000 400 000 200 000 0 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 Year  2005
  • 26. Context of growth - Industry Revenue Additional 4.9% / €42 Billion European Grocery Sales 1 200 000 1 000 000 800 000 € billiions 600 000 400 000 200 000 0 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 Year Incremental growth from ECR Implementation  2005
  • 27. Context of growth - Industry Profit Additional 3.3% / €28 Billion European Grocery Profit 130 110 € billiions 90 70 50 30 10 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 Year Incremental from ECR Cost Reduction  2005
  • 29. In Summary ECR has delivered clear benefits over the last 10 years Significant opportunity for ECR remains • Drive cost out of the supply chain • Stimulate and drive significant growth Economic environment remains challenging Proven recommendations to accelerate and reap ECR benefits Jointly satisfying shopper needs at the core It’s now down to us…  2005