Residential Movement in the Greater Washington DC Area
1. Shifting Demographics and Housing Choice
Residential Movement in the Greater
Washington DC Area
Lisa A. Sturtevant, PhD
George Mason University
School of Public Policy
Center for Regional Analysis
May 18, 2012
2. Movement Into and Out of the
Washington DC Metro Area
120,000
110,000
100,000
90,000
In
Out
80,000
70,000
60,000
1996
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Source: IRS County-to-County Migration Files
3. Age Distribution of Movers into the
Washington DC Metro Area
Age of Household Head
45
40 38.437.7
1995-2000
35
2008-2010
30 27.4
Percent
25
21.3
20
15.5
15 13.8 14.2
11.6
10 7.2
4.9 3.9 4.2
5
0
18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65 or older
Source: 2000 Census PUMS file; 2008-10 American Community Survey 3-Year PUMS file
4. Age Distribution of Movers into the
Washington DC Metro Area
Age of Household Head
45
40 38.437.7
1995-2000
35
2008-2010
30 27.4
Percent
25
21.3
20
15.5
15 13.8 14.2
11.6
10 7.2
4.9 3.9 4.2
5
0
18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65 or older
Source: 2000 Census PUMS file; 2008-10 American Community Survey 3-Year PUMS file
5. Housing Tenure of Movers into the
Washington DC Metro Area
90
80.6
80
1995-2000
70 63.9
2008-2010
60
Percent
50
40 36.1
30
19.5
20
10
0
Owner Renter
Source: 2000 Census PUMS file; 2008-10 American Community Survey 3-Year PUMS file
6. Housing Tenure of Movers into the
Washington DC Metro Area
25-to-34 year olds
100
88.2
90
1995-2000
80 73.1
2008-2010
70
60
Percent
50
40
30 26.9
20
11.8
10
0
Owner Renter
Source: 2000 Census PUMS file; 2008-10 American Community Survey 3-Year PUMS file
7. Location of Movers into the Washington
DC Metro Area
40
37.0 37.6 37.0
35
31.9
1995-2000
30
2008-2010
25
Percent
20
15.8
14.7
15 13.6 12.5
10
5
0
DC Arlington/Alexandria Fairfax/Montgomery Other
Source: 2000 Census PUMS file; 2008-10 American Community Survey 3-Year PUMS file
8. Location of Movers into the Washington
DC Metro Area
25-to-34 year olds
40 37.9
35.0
35 33.1
1995-2000
30
2008-2010 26.0
25
Percent
20 18.7
16.4 17.4
15.5
15
10
5
0
DC Arlington/Alexandria Fairfax/Montgomery Other
Source: 2000 Census PUMS file; 2008-10 American Community Survey 3-Year PUMS file
9. Housing Type of Movers into the
Washington DC Metro Area
70
59.4
60
1995-2000 51.0
50
2008-2010
Percent
40
30.3
30
23.6
20 17.7 16.5
10
0
SFD SFA Multi-Family
Source: 2000 Census PUMS file; 2008-10 American Community Survey 3-Year PUMS file
10. Housing Type of Movers into the
Washington DC Metro Area
25-to-34 year olds
80
70 67.3
1995-2000 60.7
60
2008-2010
50
Percent
40
30
20.3 18.2
20 15.7 16.5
10
0
SFD SFA Multi-Family
Source: 2000 Census PUMS file; 2008-10 American Community Survey 3-Year PUMS file
11. Housing Demand in the Washington DC
Metro Area
• Increasing demand among newcomers for:
– Homes close to existing and growing job
centers
– Urban living
– Smaller houses
– Multi-family and rental units