SlideShare une entreprise Scribd logo
1  sur  10
Télécharger pour lire hors ligne
PRO GUIDE TO
TRADING
DESCENDING
TRIANGLES
www.netpicks.com
The descending triangle chart pattern is another bearish chart
pattern that has validity in your trading.
Why?
The descending triangle is one of the continuation patterns which
highlights market action that is tipping its hand to more
downside.
Like the ascending triangle I wrote about, understanding this
pattern can get you into breakout trades that have the potential
to run in price.
Let's cover some basics before we look at strategies and that
includes.....
How To Find Descending Triangles and How Do They Work
We are looking at the exact opposite of its cousin, the ascending
triangle.
The descending triangle is a series of lower highs while new lows
are not being made. (Notice the trend line connects a series of
lower highs)
That means that the buyers are putting up a fight as they keep
the market from dropping and sellers can't yet push the price
below the support level.
The fact that sellers keep the selling pressure on even
though lows aren't being made (but neither are new
highs), shows that the descending triangle is a bearish pattern.
Why do traders expect a strong breakout?
Stop loss locations from the buyers that are supporting
price.
I always say textbook trading is not always a smart play because
other traders know your game.
Buyers at support usually keep their stop losses just below
support.
Support breaks, stops get hit, and price goes tumbling to the
downside.
Like all chart patterns, including the other triangle patterns I
covered, if you have to search and squint for the pattern, it isn't
there.
The best patterns are the obvious ones.
Trading The Descending Triangle - Let's Look At Strategies
Since we are looking for a break of the support line, many traders
will trade the breakout of the descending triangle.
Let's look at that strategy.
Not a picture perfect descending triangle (very seldom are they),
but the concepts are the exact same and we can draw a
descending trend line to connect lower highs.
The breakout strategy is to place a sell stop just below the
support level. If/when the support breaks, the stops get hit
and price drives effortlessly in your direction.
In theory.
The truth is, depending on where the breakout candlestick
originates from, a snap back in price is a very real event. Our
stop loss would be above triangle (I use ATR stops) and though it
is not challenged, this snap back in price can spook a trader.
Many traders, if they don't get positive feedback on the trade, will
market out of the position.
My Risk Increased!
Another very real event, one that concerns me, is the reality of
slippage.
You may not see slippage in the Forex market (but will have to
deal with increasing spreads during higher volatility times) but in
futures and other markets, it's a threat.
If I am risking 1% of my account and have a 100 pip stop from
entry (using a FX example), when price breaks with slippage I
may get filled 20 pips lower. This will increase my risk
percentage which, depending on your overall portfolio risk, can
be an issue.
The good thing about playing the actual breakout is you will
participate in 100% of the extended runs that can occur.
Watch The Break, Play The Pullback
You've heard it a thousand times, "breakout pullback."
What does that mean?
1. Price breaks support and heads to the downside
2. Price runs back towards the breakout zone around the
support level
3. Trade the continuation back in the direction of the break
This is a time tested trading strategy for all types of breakout
trading.
If you played the initial break short, you sat through a small
range and then the pullback occurred.
How would you enter a breakout pullback setup?
As price is pulling back as seen with the green circle, you can
draw a trend line to show the bear flag. When the trend line
breaks, you can enter the trade.
Traders will also use price action such as failure tests and
momentum candlesticks for an entry trigger.
Do you see a downside to trading the breakout/pullback?
• You may have a market that breaks out and keeps running
• You need to determine what a pullback looks like; how far it
pulls back, how long it takes
• You must have a trigger into the trade; candlestick patterns,
small range breaks.......
The issue of a stop loss should always be a consideration.
Price pulling back above the support line of a descending triangle
does not mean the breakout failed. Make sure your stop is away
from the noise.
I have always advocated for the use of the average true range to
place your stop loss.
Enter Before The Breakout - It Can Be Done
There is a lot of volatility around breakouts at times as well as
times the breakout will just fail.
What makes sense is to find a logical area to put your trade on
before the breakout. Why?
• Traders won't have slippage but can take advantage of
slippage while in the trade - quick gains
• There can be room to manage a trade
• A trade that would be a loser could give you a small profit
Sound to good to be true?
Let's talk about basing.
What Is Basing And Why You Should Love It
Basing is when price forms a small range just above the support
zone (for support level breaks, descending triangles, range
breakouts downside).
Basing is an accumulation of positions while price is a few
points/pips away from an actual breakout.
What a trader will essentially look for is a range of price action
that takes place closer to the support zone of the descending
triangle. I prefer it to not exceed the half way point of the entire
pattern and the closer to support, the better.
Look for price action inside the range to find an entry. Can you
see where you would enter inside of the blue box?
Trading one chart pattern to enter another pattern.
All we are doing is using a horizontal range chart pattern to enter
the descending triangle chart pattern before the triangle breaks.
If a trader is already short and the breakout fails, there is room
to cut risk drastically in the trade or exit with a small profit.
Remember the clustered stops below support?
Those, along with the "textbook" breakout traders, will help
propel your trade into profit.
Speaking Of Profit Taking....
Unless you are a trend follower (who generally do not use profit
orders), you want a place to exit your trade.
There are several ways:
• Multiple of risk
• Targeting former support levels below your trade
• Trailing stops
• Pattern profits
Let's look at pattern profits.
Traders will take the height of the pattern using the support zone
to the highest high of the pattern (usually the last swing high
before the lows).
Project the height downwards from the bottom of the support
zone.
You can see in this chart that price stalled at the price target took
another leg down, and off to the right, retraced all the way to the
support line.
Can You Disqualify A Trade?
If you traded the breakout by waiting for the close (another
viable strategy that "confirms" a break", you'd be entering right
where the price projection is.
Keep in mind that price, after a strong momentum move or
extended run, generally will "snap back" against you.
This is why I look for basing - because I can profit when others
either skip a trade or take a loss.
We Covered A lot....
You can certainly design a trading strategy for yourself
surrounding the descending triangle when looking to short a
market.
You should know:
•
o How you will determine if you have a pattern or not
o What method will you use to enter the trade?
o How will you handle stop losses?
o What is your profit taking plan?
• More importantly, how much will you risk per trade?
Let me know if you are confident in finding this pattern and how
you will approach trading it.

Contenu connexe

Plus de NetpicksTrading

Stop Trading Support And Resistance The Wrong Way
Stop Trading Support And Resistance The Wrong WayStop Trading Support And Resistance The Wrong Way
Stop Trading Support And Resistance The Wrong WayNetpicksTrading
 
5 Tips for Successful E-Mini Trading
5 Tips for Successful E-Mini Trading5 Tips for Successful E-Mini Trading
5 Tips for Successful E-Mini TradingNetpicksTrading
 
Trading Business Success Tips
Trading Business Success TipsTrading Business Success Tips
Trading Business Success TipsNetpicksTrading
 
Stop Trading At This Time Of Day To Protect Your Account
Stop Trading At This Time Of Day To Protect Your AccountStop Trading At This Time Of Day To Protect Your Account
Stop Trading At This Time Of Day To Protect Your AccountNetpicksTrading
 
Why You Should Learn Trading Concepts
Why You Should Learn Trading ConceptsWhy You Should Learn Trading Concepts
Why You Should Learn Trading ConceptsNetpicksTrading
 
Day Trader Success Guide - 6 Step Process For Beginners
Day Trader Success Guide - 6 Step Process For BeginnersDay Trader Success Guide - 6 Step Process For Beginners
Day Trader Success Guide - 6 Step Process For BeginnersNetpicksTrading
 
Keep Your Trading Simple Like The Big Players
Keep Your Trading Simple Like The Big PlayersKeep Your Trading Simple Like The Big Players
Keep Your Trading Simple Like The Big PlayersNetpicksTrading
 
4 Strong Reasons For Having Trading Rules
4 Strong Reasons For Having Trading Rules4 Strong Reasons For Having Trading Rules
4 Strong Reasons For Having Trading RulesNetpicksTrading
 
You Are Wasting Time Asking These Types Of Trading Questions
You Are Wasting Time Asking These Types Of Trading QuestionsYou Are Wasting Time Asking These Types Of Trading Questions
You Are Wasting Time Asking These Types Of Trading QuestionsNetpicksTrading
 
Avoid Choppy Markets With These 2 Indicators
Avoid Choppy Markets With These 2 IndicatorsAvoid Choppy Markets With These 2 Indicators
Avoid Choppy Markets With These 2 IndicatorsNetpicksTrading
 
NEVER FORGET THIS TRADING HABIT
NEVER FORGET THIS TRADING HABITNEVER FORGET THIS TRADING HABIT
NEVER FORGET THIS TRADING HABITNetpicksTrading
 
How can fibonacci levels help your trading results
How can fibonacci levels help your trading resultsHow can fibonacci levels help your trading results
How can fibonacci levels help your trading resultsNetpicksTrading
 
Simple keltner channel trading strategy
Simple keltner channel trading strategySimple keltner channel trading strategy
Simple keltner channel trading strategyNetpicksTrading
 
Learn A Simple Range Trading Strategy
Learn A Simple Range Trading StrategyLearn A Simple Range Trading Strategy
Learn A Simple Range Trading StrategyNetpicksTrading
 
5 Perils of Learning from Other Traders
5 Perils of Learning from Other Traders5 Perils of Learning from Other Traders
5 Perils of Learning from Other TradersNetpicksTrading
 
Profit from trapped traders with 2 simple setups
Profit from trapped traders with 2 simple setupsProfit from trapped traders with 2 simple setups
Profit from trapped traders with 2 simple setupsNetpicksTrading
 
Secrets For Learning How To Trade
Secrets For Learning How To TradeSecrets For Learning How To Trade
Secrets For Learning How To TradeNetpicksTrading
 
5 Vital Tools To Improve Your Trading
5 Vital Tools To Improve Your Trading5 Vital Tools To Improve Your Trading
5 Vital Tools To Improve Your TradingNetpicksTrading
 
Confluences For Higher Probability Trading
Confluences For Higher Probability TradingConfluences For Higher Probability Trading
Confluences For Higher Probability TradingNetpicksTrading
 
How To Use Multiple Timeframes and Trend lines
How To Use Multiple Timeframes and Trend linesHow To Use Multiple Timeframes and Trend lines
How To Use Multiple Timeframes and Trend linesNetpicksTrading
 

Plus de NetpicksTrading (20)

Stop Trading Support And Resistance The Wrong Way
Stop Trading Support And Resistance The Wrong WayStop Trading Support And Resistance The Wrong Way
Stop Trading Support And Resistance The Wrong Way
 
5 Tips for Successful E-Mini Trading
5 Tips for Successful E-Mini Trading5 Tips for Successful E-Mini Trading
5 Tips for Successful E-Mini Trading
 
Trading Business Success Tips
Trading Business Success TipsTrading Business Success Tips
Trading Business Success Tips
 
Stop Trading At This Time Of Day To Protect Your Account
Stop Trading At This Time Of Day To Protect Your AccountStop Trading At This Time Of Day To Protect Your Account
Stop Trading At This Time Of Day To Protect Your Account
 
Why You Should Learn Trading Concepts
Why You Should Learn Trading ConceptsWhy You Should Learn Trading Concepts
Why You Should Learn Trading Concepts
 
Day Trader Success Guide - 6 Step Process For Beginners
Day Trader Success Guide - 6 Step Process For BeginnersDay Trader Success Guide - 6 Step Process For Beginners
Day Trader Success Guide - 6 Step Process For Beginners
 
Keep Your Trading Simple Like The Big Players
Keep Your Trading Simple Like The Big PlayersKeep Your Trading Simple Like The Big Players
Keep Your Trading Simple Like The Big Players
 
4 Strong Reasons For Having Trading Rules
4 Strong Reasons For Having Trading Rules4 Strong Reasons For Having Trading Rules
4 Strong Reasons For Having Trading Rules
 
You Are Wasting Time Asking These Types Of Trading Questions
You Are Wasting Time Asking These Types Of Trading QuestionsYou Are Wasting Time Asking These Types Of Trading Questions
You Are Wasting Time Asking These Types Of Trading Questions
 
Avoid Choppy Markets With These 2 Indicators
Avoid Choppy Markets With These 2 IndicatorsAvoid Choppy Markets With These 2 Indicators
Avoid Choppy Markets With These 2 Indicators
 
NEVER FORGET THIS TRADING HABIT
NEVER FORGET THIS TRADING HABITNEVER FORGET THIS TRADING HABIT
NEVER FORGET THIS TRADING HABIT
 
How can fibonacci levels help your trading results
How can fibonacci levels help your trading resultsHow can fibonacci levels help your trading results
How can fibonacci levels help your trading results
 
Simple keltner channel trading strategy
Simple keltner channel trading strategySimple keltner channel trading strategy
Simple keltner channel trading strategy
 
Learn A Simple Range Trading Strategy
Learn A Simple Range Trading StrategyLearn A Simple Range Trading Strategy
Learn A Simple Range Trading Strategy
 
5 Perils of Learning from Other Traders
5 Perils of Learning from Other Traders5 Perils of Learning from Other Traders
5 Perils of Learning from Other Traders
 
Profit from trapped traders with 2 simple setups
Profit from trapped traders with 2 simple setupsProfit from trapped traders with 2 simple setups
Profit from trapped traders with 2 simple setups
 
Secrets For Learning How To Trade
Secrets For Learning How To TradeSecrets For Learning How To Trade
Secrets For Learning How To Trade
 
5 Vital Tools To Improve Your Trading
5 Vital Tools To Improve Your Trading5 Vital Tools To Improve Your Trading
5 Vital Tools To Improve Your Trading
 
Confluences For Higher Probability Trading
Confluences For Higher Probability TradingConfluences For Higher Probability Trading
Confluences For Higher Probability Trading
 
How To Use Multiple Timeframes and Trend lines
How To Use Multiple Timeframes and Trend linesHow To Use Multiple Timeframes and Trend lines
How To Use Multiple Timeframes and Trend lines
 

Dernier

Oppenheimer Film Discussion for Philosophy and Film
Oppenheimer Film Discussion for Philosophy and FilmOppenheimer Film Discussion for Philosophy and Film
Oppenheimer Film Discussion for Philosophy and FilmStan Meyer
 
Active Learning Strategies (in short ALS).pdf
Active Learning Strategies (in short ALS).pdfActive Learning Strategies (in short ALS).pdf
Active Learning Strategies (in short ALS).pdfPatidar M
 
4.16.24 Poverty and Precarity--Desmond.pptx
4.16.24 Poverty and Precarity--Desmond.pptx4.16.24 Poverty and Precarity--Desmond.pptx
4.16.24 Poverty and Precarity--Desmond.pptxmary850239
 
CLASSIFICATION OF ANTI - CANCER DRUGS.pptx
CLASSIFICATION OF ANTI - CANCER DRUGS.pptxCLASSIFICATION OF ANTI - CANCER DRUGS.pptx
CLASSIFICATION OF ANTI - CANCER DRUGS.pptxAnupam32727
 
Reading and Writing Skills 11 quarter 4 melc 1
Reading and Writing Skills 11 quarter 4 melc 1Reading and Writing Skills 11 quarter 4 melc 1
Reading and Writing Skills 11 quarter 4 melc 1GloryAnnCastre1
 
Grade Three -ELLNA-REVIEWER-ENGLISH.pptx
Grade Three -ELLNA-REVIEWER-ENGLISH.pptxGrade Three -ELLNA-REVIEWER-ENGLISH.pptx
Grade Three -ELLNA-REVIEWER-ENGLISH.pptxkarenfajardo43
 
Q4-PPT-Music9_Lesson-1-Romantic-Opera.pptx
Q4-PPT-Music9_Lesson-1-Romantic-Opera.pptxQ4-PPT-Music9_Lesson-1-Romantic-Opera.pptx
Q4-PPT-Music9_Lesson-1-Romantic-Opera.pptxlancelewisportillo
 
How to Make a Duplicate of Your Odoo 17 Database
How to Make a Duplicate of Your Odoo 17 DatabaseHow to Make a Duplicate of Your Odoo 17 Database
How to Make a Duplicate of Your Odoo 17 DatabaseCeline George
 
CHEST Proprioceptive neuromuscular facilitation.pptx
CHEST Proprioceptive neuromuscular facilitation.pptxCHEST Proprioceptive neuromuscular facilitation.pptx
CHEST Proprioceptive neuromuscular facilitation.pptxAneriPatwari
 
MS4 level being good citizen -imperative- (1) (1).pdf
MS4 level   being good citizen -imperative- (1) (1).pdfMS4 level   being good citizen -imperative- (1) (1).pdf
MS4 level being good citizen -imperative- (1) (1).pdfMr Bounab Samir
 
Tree View Decoration Attribute in the Odoo 17
Tree View Decoration Attribute in the Odoo 17Tree View Decoration Attribute in the Odoo 17
Tree View Decoration Attribute in the Odoo 17Celine George
 
Congestive Cardiac Failure..presentation
Congestive Cardiac Failure..presentationCongestive Cardiac Failure..presentation
Congestive Cardiac Failure..presentationdeepaannamalai16
 
ICS2208 Lecture6 Notes for SL spaces.pdf
ICS2208 Lecture6 Notes for SL spaces.pdfICS2208 Lecture6 Notes for SL spaces.pdf
ICS2208 Lecture6 Notes for SL spaces.pdfVanessa Camilleri
 
Decoding the Tweet _ Practical Criticism in the Age of Hashtag.pptx
Decoding the Tweet _ Practical Criticism in the Age of Hashtag.pptxDecoding the Tweet _ Practical Criticism in the Age of Hashtag.pptx
Decoding the Tweet _ Practical Criticism in the Age of Hashtag.pptxDhatriParmar
 
Grade 9 Quarter 4 Dll Grade 9 Quarter 4 DLL.pdf
Grade 9 Quarter 4 Dll Grade 9 Quarter 4 DLL.pdfGrade 9 Quarter 4 Dll Grade 9 Quarter 4 DLL.pdf
Grade 9 Quarter 4 Dll Grade 9 Quarter 4 DLL.pdfJemuel Francisco
 
Concurrency Control in Database Management system
Concurrency Control in Database Management systemConcurrency Control in Database Management system
Concurrency Control in Database Management systemChristalin Nelson
 
4.16.24 21st Century Movements for Black Lives.pptx
4.16.24 21st Century Movements for Black Lives.pptx4.16.24 21st Century Movements for Black Lives.pptx
4.16.24 21st Century Movements for Black Lives.pptxmary850239
 
Q-Factor General Quiz-7th April 2024, Quiz Club NITW
Q-Factor General Quiz-7th April 2024, Quiz Club NITWQ-Factor General Quiz-7th April 2024, Quiz Club NITW
Q-Factor General Quiz-7th April 2024, Quiz Club NITWQuiz Club NITW
 
Unraveling Hypertext_ Analyzing Postmodern Elements in Literature.pptx
Unraveling Hypertext_ Analyzing  Postmodern Elements in  Literature.pptxUnraveling Hypertext_ Analyzing  Postmodern Elements in  Literature.pptx
Unraveling Hypertext_ Analyzing Postmodern Elements in Literature.pptxDhatriParmar
 
How to Manage Buy 3 Get 1 Free in Odoo 17
How to Manage Buy 3 Get 1 Free in Odoo 17How to Manage Buy 3 Get 1 Free in Odoo 17
How to Manage Buy 3 Get 1 Free in Odoo 17Celine George
 

Dernier (20)

Oppenheimer Film Discussion for Philosophy and Film
Oppenheimer Film Discussion for Philosophy and FilmOppenheimer Film Discussion for Philosophy and Film
Oppenheimer Film Discussion for Philosophy and Film
 
Active Learning Strategies (in short ALS).pdf
Active Learning Strategies (in short ALS).pdfActive Learning Strategies (in short ALS).pdf
Active Learning Strategies (in short ALS).pdf
 
4.16.24 Poverty and Precarity--Desmond.pptx
4.16.24 Poverty and Precarity--Desmond.pptx4.16.24 Poverty and Precarity--Desmond.pptx
4.16.24 Poverty and Precarity--Desmond.pptx
 
CLASSIFICATION OF ANTI - CANCER DRUGS.pptx
CLASSIFICATION OF ANTI - CANCER DRUGS.pptxCLASSIFICATION OF ANTI - CANCER DRUGS.pptx
CLASSIFICATION OF ANTI - CANCER DRUGS.pptx
 
Reading and Writing Skills 11 quarter 4 melc 1
Reading and Writing Skills 11 quarter 4 melc 1Reading and Writing Skills 11 quarter 4 melc 1
Reading and Writing Skills 11 quarter 4 melc 1
 
Grade Three -ELLNA-REVIEWER-ENGLISH.pptx
Grade Three -ELLNA-REVIEWER-ENGLISH.pptxGrade Three -ELLNA-REVIEWER-ENGLISH.pptx
Grade Three -ELLNA-REVIEWER-ENGLISH.pptx
 
Q4-PPT-Music9_Lesson-1-Romantic-Opera.pptx
Q4-PPT-Music9_Lesson-1-Romantic-Opera.pptxQ4-PPT-Music9_Lesson-1-Romantic-Opera.pptx
Q4-PPT-Music9_Lesson-1-Romantic-Opera.pptx
 
How to Make a Duplicate of Your Odoo 17 Database
How to Make a Duplicate of Your Odoo 17 DatabaseHow to Make a Duplicate of Your Odoo 17 Database
How to Make a Duplicate of Your Odoo 17 Database
 
CHEST Proprioceptive neuromuscular facilitation.pptx
CHEST Proprioceptive neuromuscular facilitation.pptxCHEST Proprioceptive neuromuscular facilitation.pptx
CHEST Proprioceptive neuromuscular facilitation.pptx
 
MS4 level being good citizen -imperative- (1) (1).pdf
MS4 level   being good citizen -imperative- (1) (1).pdfMS4 level   being good citizen -imperative- (1) (1).pdf
MS4 level being good citizen -imperative- (1) (1).pdf
 
Tree View Decoration Attribute in the Odoo 17
Tree View Decoration Attribute in the Odoo 17Tree View Decoration Attribute in the Odoo 17
Tree View Decoration Attribute in the Odoo 17
 
Congestive Cardiac Failure..presentation
Congestive Cardiac Failure..presentationCongestive Cardiac Failure..presentation
Congestive Cardiac Failure..presentation
 
ICS2208 Lecture6 Notes for SL spaces.pdf
ICS2208 Lecture6 Notes for SL spaces.pdfICS2208 Lecture6 Notes for SL spaces.pdf
ICS2208 Lecture6 Notes for SL spaces.pdf
 
Decoding the Tweet _ Practical Criticism in the Age of Hashtag.pptx
Decoding the Tweet _ Practical Criticism in the Age of Hashtag.pptxDecoding the Tweet _ Practical Criticism in the Age of Hashtag.pptx
Decoding the Tweet _ Practical Criticism in the Age of Hashtag.pptx
 
Grade 9 Quarter 4 Dll Grade 9 Quarter 4 DLL.pdf
Grade 9 Quarter 4 Dll Grade 9 Quarter 4 DLL.pdfGrade 9 Quarter 4 Dll Grade 9 Quarter 4 DLL.pdf
Grade 9 Quarter 4 Dll Grade 9 Quarter 4 DLL.pdf
 
Concurrency Control in Database Management system
Concurrency Control in Database Management systemConcurrency Control in Database Management system
Concurrency Control in Database Management system
 
4.16.24 21st Century Movements for Black Lives.pptx
4.16.24 21st Century Movements for Black Lives.pptx4.16.24 21st Century Movements for Black Lives.pptx
4.16.24 21st Century Movements for Black Lives.pptx
 
Q-Factor General Quiz-7th April 2024, Quiz Club NITW
Q-Factor General Quiz-7th April 2024, Quiz Club NITWQ-Factor General Quiz-7th April 2024, Quiz Club NITW
Q-Factor General Quiz-7th April 2024, Quiz Club NITW
 
Unraveling Hypertext_ Analyzing Postmodern Elements in Literature.pptx
Unraveling Hypertext_ Analyzing  Postmodern Elements in  Literature.pptxUnraveling Hypertext_ Analyzing  Postmodern Elements in  Literature.pptx
Unraveling Hypertext_ Analyzing Postmodern Elements in Literature.pptx
 
How to Manage Buy 3 Get 1 Free in Odoo 17
How to Manage Buy 3 Get 1 Free in Odoo 17How to Manage Buy 3 Get 1 Free in Odoo 17
How to Manage Buy 3 Get 1 Free in Odoo 17
 

Pro guide to trading descending triangles

  • 2. The descending triangle chart pattern is another bearish chart pattern that has validity in your trading. Why? The descending triangle is one of the continuation patterns which highlights market action that is tipping its hand to more downside. Like the ascending triangle I wrote about, understanding this pattern can get you into breakout trades that have the potential to run in price. Let's cover some basics before we look at strategies and that includes..... How To Find Descending Triangles and How Do They Work We are looking at the exact opposite of its cousin, the ascending triangle. The descending triangle is a series of lower highs while new lows are not being made. (Notice the trend line connects a series of lower highs)
  • 3. That means that the buyers are putting up a fight as they keep the market from dropping and sellers can't yet push the price below the support level. The fact that sellers keep the selling pressure on even though lows aren't being made (but neither are new highs), shows that the descending triangle is a bearish pattern. Why do traders expect a strong breakout? Stop loss locations from the buyers that are supporting price. I always say textbook trading is not always a smart play because other traders know your game. Buyers at support usually keep their stop losses just below support. Support breaks, stops get hit, and price goes tumbling to the downside.
  • 4. Like all chart patterns, including the other triangle patterns I covered, if you have to search and squint for the pattern, it isn't there. The best patterns are the obvious ones. Trading The Descending Triangle - Let's Look At Strategies Since we are looking for a break of the support line, many traders will trade the breakout of the descending triangle. Let's look at that strategy. Not a picture perfect descending triangle (very seldom are they), but the concepts are the exact same and we can draw a descending trend line to connect lower highs. The breakout strategy is to place a sell stop just below the support level. If/when the support breaks, the stops get hit and price drives effortlessly in your direction. In theory.
  • 5. The truth is, depending on where the breakout candlestick originates from, a snap back in price is a very real event. Our stop loss would be above triangle (I use ATR stops) and though it is not challenged, this snap back in price can spook a trader. Many traders, if they don't get positive feedback on the trade, will market out of the position. My Risk Increased! Another very real event, one that concerns me, is the reality of slippage. You may not see slippage in the Forex market (but will have to deal with increasing spreads during higher volatility times) but in futures and other markets, it's a threat. If I am risking 1% of my account and have a 100 pip stop from entry (using a FX example), when price breaks with slippage I may get filled 20 pips lower. This will increase my risk percentage which, depending on your overall portfolio risk, can be an issue. The good thing about playing the actual breakout is you will participate in 100% of the extended runs that can occur. Watch The Break, Play The Pullback You've heard it a thousand times, "breakout pullback." What does that mean? 1. Price breaks support and heads to the downside 2. Price runs back towards the breakout zone around the support level 3. Trade the continuation back in the direction of the break
  • 6. This is a time tested trading strategy for all types of breakout trading. If you played the initial break short, you sat through a small range and then the pullback occurred. How would you enter a breakout pullback setup? As price is pulling back as seen with the green circle, you can draw a trend line to show the bear flag. When the trend line breaks, you can enter the trade. Traders will also use price action such as failure tests and momentum candlesticks for an entry trigger. Do you see a downside to trading the breakout/pullback? • You may have a market that breaks out and keeps running • You need to determine what a pullback looks like; how far it pulls back, how long it takes • You must have a trigger into the trade; candlestick patterns, small range breaks....... The issue of a stop loss should always be a consideration.
  • 7. Price pulling back above the support line of a descending triangle does not mean the breakout failed. Make sure your stop is away from the noise. I have always advocated for the use of the average true range to place your stop loss. Enter Before The Breakout - It Can Be Done There is a lot of volatility around breakouts at times as well as times the breakout will just fail. What makes sense is to find a logical area to put your trade on before the breakout. Why? • Traders won't have slippage but can take advantage of slippage while in the trade - quick gains • There can be room to manage a trade • A trade that would be a loser could give you a small profit Sound to good to be true? Let's talk about basing. What Is Basing And Why You Should Love It Basing is when price forms a small range just above the support zone (for support level breaks, descending triangles, range breakouts downside). Basing is an accumulation of positions while price is a few points/pips away from an actual breakout.
  • 8. What a trader will essentially look for is a range of price action that takes place closer to the support zone of the descending triangle. I prefer it to not exceed the half way point of the entire pattern and the closer to support, the better. Look for price action inside the range to find an entry. Can you see where you would enter inside of the blue box? Trading one chart pattern to enter another pattern. All we are doing is using a horizontal range chart pattern to enter the descending triangle chart pattern before the triangle breaks. If a trader is already short and the breakout fails, there is room to cut risk drastically in the trade or exit with a small profit. Remember the clustered stops below support? Those, along with the "textbook" breakout traders, will help propel your trade into profit. Speaking Of Profit Taking....
  • 9. Unless you are a trend follower (who generally do not use profit orders), you want a place to exit your trade. There are several ways: • Multiple of risk • Targeting former support levels below your trade • Trailing stops • Pattern profits Let's look at pattern profits. Traders will take the height of the pattern using the support zone to the highest high of the pattern (usually the last swing high before the lows). Project the height downwards from the bottom of the support zone. You can see in this chart that price stalled at the price target took another leg down, and off to the right, retraced all the way to the support line. Can You Disqualify A Trade?
  • 10. If you traded the breakout by waiting for the close (another viable strategy that "confirms" a break", you'd be entering right where the price projection is. Keep in mind that price, after a strong momentum move or extended run, generally will "snap back" against you. This is why I look for basing - because I can profit when others either skip a trade or take a loss. We Covered A lot.... You can certainly design a trading strategy for yourself surrounding the descending triangle when looking to short a market. You should know: • o How you will determine if you have a pattern or not o What method will you use to enter the trade? o How will you handle stop losses? o What is your profit taking plan? • More importantly, how much will you risk per trade? Let me know if you are confident in finding this pattern and how you will approach trading it.