More Related Content Similar to Final thesis: Technological maturity of future energy systems (20) Final thesis: Technological maturity of future energy systems1. DNV GL ©
System Readiness Assessment
How to assess the technological
matureness of future energy systems?
Power Grid
Gas Grid
Wind
turbine
Fuel cells
Combustion
turbines
Methanation
Chemical
plants
Electrolysis
Hydrogen
storage
Nina Kallio
MSc student
University of Groningen
Energy and Environmental Sciences
2. DNV GL ©
Introduction:
Background: Roadmaps, future scenarios, targets
Aim: To build a methodology in order to assess the technological
maturity of future energy systems
How to assess the technological maturity of
future energy systems in a quantitative way
Relevance:
Development phase assessments
Supporting tool for technology development management
Technology Readiness Level verifications
Comparison of different systems with similar functions
3. DNV GL ©
Verification
and validation
of the
methodology
Building of
methodology to
assess systems
in energy sector
Conclusions
Results
Case studies
Assessment tools
Description and analysis
of the methods
Literature review
Research process
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System Readiness Level
Technology Readiness Level Integration Readiness Level
5. DNV GL ©
Technology Readiness Level (TRL): Background
Defines the maturity of a technology
with a scale from 1 (least mature)
to 9 (fully implemented and operational)
Used by NASA since the 80s
Implemented also by
U.S DoD and DoE;; and in EU
Research and Innovation
Program Horizon 2020
Definitions by DoE
should be used also
in Europe
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Assessing TRL
Original tool with 274 yes/no questions by AFRL
In this thesis an Excel-based tool was built
137 yes/no -questions
Divided between levels
Questions answered by
experts
Se
NO YES
1.1 Basic technology processes and principles have been observed and reported
1.2
The problem or opportunity that the technology addresses has been
identified
1.3
Physical laws and assumptions used in the new technology have been
identified and defined
1.4 Research hypothesis formulated
1.5 Knowledge who would perform research and where it would be done
1.6 Paper studies confirm basic principles: basic characterization data exists
1.7
Initial scientific observations reported in journals/conference
proceedings/technical report
TRL 1 met by
TRL 1
TECHNOLOGY READINESS LEVEL (TRL) CALCULA
57%
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System Readiness Level
Technology Readiness Level Integration Readiness Level
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Integration Readiness Level (IRL): Background
Original 7 levels introduced by
Gove in 2007
Sauser et al. modified to
current scale of 9 levels
Used in space and
defense applications
Definitions should be used in
Energy sector
9. DNV GL ©
Assessing IRL
Sauser et al. assessed the criticality of 79 questions with 33 system
development experts (governmental and industrial) in 2011
In this thesis an Excel-based tool
was built
79 yes/no -questions
Divided between levels
Questions answered by
experts
Se
NO YES
1.1 Principal integration technologies have been identified
1.2
Top-‐level functional architecture and interface points have been
defined
1.3
Availability of principal integration technologies is known and
documented
1.4 Integration concept/plan has been defined/drafted
1.5 Integration test concept/plan has been defined/drafted
1.6
High-‐level Concept of Operations and principal use cases have been
defined/drafted
1.7 Integration sequence approach/schedule has been defined/drafted
1.8 Interface control plan has been defined/drafted
1.9
Principal integration and test resource requirements (facilities,
hardware, software, surrogates, etc) have been defined/identified
1.10 Integration & Test Team roles and responsibilities have been defined
70%IRL 1 met by
INTEGRATION READINESS LEVEL (IRL) CAL
IRL 1
10. DNV GL ©
Check-list Check-list
I
Objective Tool Result
System Readiness Level
Technology Readiness Level Integration Readiness Level
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Check-list Check-list
I
Objective Tool Result
System Readiness Level
Technology Readiness Level Integration Readiness Level
Model
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System Readiness Level (SRL): Background
Method by Sauser et al. (2011)
Simplified version: TRL * IRL = SRL
Verified by assessing failed NASA missions
13. DNV GL ©
Technology
1
Technology
2
Technology
3
TRL 5 TRL 6 TRL 9
IRL 2 IRL 7
Technology
4
IRL 5
TRL 8
SRL
ITRL 1 ITRL 2
ITRL 3
ITRL 4
14. DNV GL ©
Verification and validation of
the methodology
Fossil (F) Hydrogen (H)
Electricity
(FE)
Ammonia
(FA)
Electricity
(HE)
Ammonia
(HA)
Current (verification) Emerging (validation)
15. DNV GL ©
Power Grid
Gas Grid
Wind
turbine
Fuel cells
Combustion
turbines
Methanation
Chemical
plants
Electrolysis
Hydrogen
storage
Ammonia
SYSTEM
BOUNDARIES
16. DNV GL ©
Power Grid
Gas Grid
Combustion
turbines
Chemical
plants
Ammonia
System FE
System FA
SYSTEM F
(for verification)
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Power Grid
Gas Grid
Wind
turbine
Fuel cells
Combustion
turbines
Methanation
Chemical
plants
Electrolysis
Hydrogen
storage
Ammonia
SYSTEM H
(for validation)
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Power Grid
Gas Grid
Fuel cells
Combustion
turbines
Methanation
Electrolysis
System HE
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Power Grid
Wind
turbine
Chemical
plants
Electrolysis
Hydrogen
storage
Ammonia
System HA
20. DNV GL ©
Verification results
Fossil (F)
100%
Electricity (FE)
100%
Ammonia (FA)
100%
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TRL and IRL results in validation
Assessed Check-‐list Result Weighted Result >90% result
TRL
1. GCT 9 -‐ -‐
2. Fuel cell 6 -‐ -‐
3. Wind turbine 9 -‐ -‐
4. Power grid 9 -‐ -‐
5. Electrolyser 6 -‐ -‐
6. Methanation 2 3 5
7. Gas grid 9 -‐ -‐
8. Hydrogen storage 2 7 -‐
9. Chemical plant -‐ 9* -‐
IRL
1. GCT Power grid 9 -‐ -‐
2. Fuel cell Power grid 1 6 -‐
3. Wind turbine Power grid 9; 9 -‐ -‐
4. Power grid Electrolyser 9 -‐ -‐
5. Electrolyser Fuel cells 2 -‐ -‐
6. Electrolyser Hydrogen storage 7 -‐ -‐
7. Electrolyser Methanation -‐ 3 1
8. Methanation Gas grid 3 9 -‐
9. Gas grid GCT 9; 9 -‐ -‐
10. Hydrogen storage Chemical plant -‐ 9* -‐
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SRL Validation Results
Hydrogen (H)
75%
Electricity (HE)
56%...68%
Ammonia (HA)
74%...86%
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ITRL System HA
Wind
turbine
Power
grid
Chemical
plant
Hydroge
n storage
Electroly
sis
100% 89% 89% 77% 76%
ITRL System HE
GCT Gas grid
Power
grid
Methana
tion
Fuel cell
Electroly
sis
100% 78% 78% 52% 49% 48%
ITRL System H
GCT
Wind
turbine
Chemical
plant
Power
grid
Gas grid
Hydroge
n storage
Methana
tion
Electroly
sis
Fuel cell
100% 100% 89% 82% 78% 77% 52% 51% 49%
ITRL results comparison
26. DNV GL ©
TRA
Definitions by
DoE
Performed with
Check-list
Result:
IRA
Definitions by
Sauser et al.
Performed with
Check-list
Result:
SRA
Scale from 0
to 100%
Calculated with
model using
TRLs and IRLs
Result:
Conclusions:
Methodology to assess future energy systems
27. DNV GL ©
Thank You!
Any questions?
Power Grid
Gas Grid
Wind
turbine
Fuel cells
Combustion
turbines
Methanation
Chemical
plants
Electrolysis
Hydrogen
storage