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Trading technically and market view by @nooreshtech

Trading Technically and Market View - The presentation was used in the Webinar. You can download the webinar from here - https://www.instamojo.com/noooreshtech/trading-technically-and-market-view-by-noore/

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Trading technically and market view by @nooreshtech

  1. 1. www.nooreshtech.co.in Trading Technically and Market View Nooresh Merani www.nooreshtech.co.in
  2. 2. www.nooreshtech.co.in Introudction • IT Engineer ( many here) • Quit an IT Job ( who doesn’t want to) • Blog, Tweet, Chat • Full time for 8 years. • I am not a CMT • I am not a MBA , CFA , CA I am a “Trader”, “Advisor”, “Educator” • 100-200 training sessions on Technical Analysis • Pakoed 2000 people in Technical Seminars ( U are not the only unlucky audience) • 2300 posts nooreshtech.co.in •
  3. 3. www.nooreshtech.co.in Technical Analysis
  4. 4. www.nooreshtech.co.in More Advisors than Traders • Number of Demat Accounts in India = 3 cr • Number of them traders( 5 % ) = 15 lakhs • Number of Advisors in India = ??? I am one of them 
  5. 5. www.nooreshtech.co.in Retail Trader Buy – Tulsian gave a Tip on CNBC / RJ buying the stock Stock is Down ? What is the News ?Kyuun ghira bhai Check Fundamentals/ Ask a Fundamental Analyst . ( Long Term is Good ) Stock falls down further ask the Technical Analyst Technical Analyst - The trend is down exit if not hope the support of $$%% holds. Stock falls further. Ab aur kitna ghirega lets keep it for long term. This time I will study the stock before I buy
  6. 6. www.nooreshtech.co.in Risk Reward Trading Strategy Softwares
  7. 7. www.nooreshtech.co.in How to become a Good Stock Trader Reason to Trade • Technical Analysis/Screen Reading/Gut Feel • Value Investing,Special Situation, Merger , Compounding Conviction/Pr obability • Technical Chart Patterns, Breakouts , Divergences etc • High Growth Business, Earnings Re-Rating etc. Opportunity /Reward • Technical Targets, Volatility etc • Multibagger, Cigar Butt, Undervaluation etc.
  8. 8. www.nooreshtech.co.in Risk • Stoploss, Gap Down Risk,Volatility • Earnings Risk, Business Risk, Downgrading Time • Time Frame Stoploss, Review • Long Term Bet or Short Term Relative Opportunity • What if you find a low risk opportunity/ Allocation change/Shifting. • Opportunity Cost
  9. 9. www.nooreshtech.co.in The previous steps are to be done before you take the Trade
  10. 10. www.nooreshtech.co.in Technical Charts PRICE DATE /Timeline Plotting through Line/Candles/Bars Daily/Weekly/Mthly
  11. 11. www.nooreshtech.co.in Technical Analysis Chart Patterns.
  12. 12. www.nooreshtech.co.in
  13. 13. www.nooreshtech.co.in Chart Patterns !! • Candlestick Patterns. • Cup and Handle , Triangle, Head and Shoulders etc. • There are many setups to trade. • In todays session we will cover 1) Multi year highs/cup and handle. 2) Price and Volumes in Smallcaps.
  14. 14. www.nooreshtech.co.in Multi-Year Highs Big Trending Moves.
  15. 15. www.nooreshtech.co.in Why All Time/Multi Year Highs • A lot of money can be made by buying high and selling higher. It takes a long time to understand this. • Generally such multi-year highs also have fundamental reasons backing the company/sector and that’s why the move. • You don’t need to be a Technical Analyst to spot it. • Risk-Rewards are amazing. • Gives multiple opportunities to trade in the trend. • One can spot long term trend change in sectors/stocks. Multi-baggers also at times.
  16. 16. www.nooreshtech.co.in
  17. 17. www.nooreshtech.co.in Example 1 Buy Signal at 300- 330 in 2011 end 12 year and all time high
  18. 18. www.nooreshtech.co.in Hindustan Unilever !! Defensive ?? Buy Signal at 300- 330 in 2011 end Stock Name – HUL Became 3 times in 3 years
  19. 19. www.nooreshtech.co.in Example 2 Buy Signal at 120- 130 in 2014 start 8-10 years trendline crossed And all time highs
  20. 20. www.nooreshtech.co.in Aarti Drugs – 5-8 times in a year Buy Signal at 120- 130 in 2014 start Stock Name – Aarti Drugs 5-8 times in a year
  21. 21. www.nooreshtech.co.in Example 3 – Rounding & Cup/Handle Buy Signal at 400- 440 in all time highs Aegis Logistics 400 to 750 in months and Still in a trend.
  22. 22. www.nooreshtech.co.in Example 4 – Cup / Handle Buy Signal at 200 with a cup and handle of 3 years
  23. 23. www.nooreshtech.co.in Aurobindo Pharma – Amazing move Buy Signal at 200 with a cup and handle of 3 years 6 times after breakout and so many buying opportunities in between
  24. 24. www.nooreshtech.co.in Example 5 – Range Breakout of 3 yrs Breakout at 300- 320
  25. 25. www.nooreshtech.co.in Axis Bank – A doubling Large Cap Breakout at 300- 320
  26. 26. www.nooreshtech.co.in Example 6 – Range Breakout Buy Signal at 200- 220
  27. 27. www.nooreshtech.co.in Canfin Homes – 3 times Buy Signal at 200- 220 From 200 to 750 in good higher top and higher bottom
  28. 28. www.nooreshtech.co.in Example 7 – Multi Year and all time highs Buy Signal at 140 and 7 year highs
  29. 29. www.nooreshtech.co.in Finolex Inds – A good opportunity now Buy Signal at 140 and 7 year highs Double in a year. This dip a buying opportunity
  30. 30. www.nooreshtech.co.in Market View
  31. 31. www.nooreshtech.co.in Nifty Chart 200 dema. Trendline support. A small breach is normal to trap.
  32. 32. www.nooreshtech.co.in Nifty –Dojis
  33. 33. www.nooreshtech.co.in Nifty – Head and Shoulders fails often
  34. 34. www.nooreshtech.co.in 5100 Nifty Whipsaw
  35. 35. www.nooreshtech.co.in 2005 Whipsaw
  36. 36. www.nooreshtech.co.in Dow Jones and Sensex Long Term Technical Targets at 40k/77k
  37. 37. www.nooreshtech.co.in DOW JONES !!  Pole-: 1932 1966 ( 34 yrs)  Channel : 1942-1966 ( 24 yrs 10.8 times)  Flag: 1966-1983 ( 17 yrs of no growth)  First Phase: 1984- 1987 ( 2 times in 3 yrs)  New High: in 22 mths  Top : in 17 years SENSEX • Pole-: 1979-1992 ( 13 yrs) • Channel : 1988-1992 ( 4 yrs 10 times) • Flag: 1992-2005( 13 yrs of no growth) • First Phase: 2005-2008( 3 times in 3 yrs) • NEW HIGH : Same high in 24 months . • 3 years of sideways move. • TOP : ( Ideally by 2018 Minimum 27k-32k or 77k.)
  38. 38. www.nooreshtech.co.in A terminal breakdown below the trendline before the big rally A terminal breakdown below the trendline before the big rally A long parallel channel A long parallel channel Almost Double Bottom close to trendline
  39. 39. www.nooreshtech.co.in A terminal breakdown below the trendline before the big rallyA long parallel channel A terminal breakdown below the trendline before the big rally A long parallel channel Almost Double Bottom close to trendline
  40. 40. www.nooreshtech.co.in Stock Specific & Index View
  41. 41. www.nooreshtech.co.in DCB BANK – Strong Trend Good Consolidation for last few months. Strong uptrend
  42. 42. www.nooreshtech.co.in NESCO – Good Co Good Price A further confirmation comes above 1700-1750. In All time Highs
  43. 43. www.nooreshtech.co.in Ashapura Minechem – On radar Multi-Year Highs at 80-88. A cross beyond that will confirm a new trend.
  44. 44. www.nooreshtech.co.in RPG LIFE – Multi Year Range Breakout Starting a new trend after 20 years !!
  45. 45. www.nooreshtech.co.in Nooresh Merani Cell: +91-9819225396 nooreshtech@analyseindia.com twitter.com/nooreshtech www.facebook.com/nooreshtech
  46. 46. www.nooreshtech.co.in • DISCLOSURE • Nooresh Merani • Securities covered above: All the stocks covered in the presentation • SEBI Registration disclosure – Registration for RIA under Process • Financial Interest: • Nooresh Merani and his family/associates/ analysts do have exposure in the securities mentioned in the above report/article. • Nooresh Merani and his family/associates/ analysts do not have any financial interest/beneficial ownership of more than 1% in the company covered by Analyst. • Nooresh Merani and his family/associates/ analysts have not received any compensation from the company/third party covered in the above report/article ever. • Nooresh Merani and his family/associates/ analysts has not served as an officer, director or employee of company covered in the report/article and has not been engaged in market-making activity of the company covered in the report/article.
  47. 47. www.nooreshtech.co.in Disclaimer • DISCLAIMER • As investment & trading consultants, Promoters, owners, families, relatives, friends and clients of www.nooreshtech.co.in maybe having positions in stocks / securities mentioned on the web site • All recommendations in this website are based on subject of Technical Analysis and do not reflect the fundamental validity of the stocks / securities. Authors / owners of Technical View by Nooresh will not be held responsible for any losses, financial or otherwise, incurred. To clarify, a ‘user’ is defined as anybody that visitshttp://www.nooreshtech.co.in, regardless of whether or not the have registered as a member of the website. ‘Site’ and the ‘community’ and‘www.nooreshtech.co.in’ are used interchangeably and refer to the URL http://www.nooreshtech.co.in and all sub-domains. The administrators and owners ofhttp://www.nooreshtech.co.in do not guarantee the reliability or completeness of any information provided on our site or in any hyperlink appearing on our site. Any advice or information presented on the site has not been verified by http://www.nooreshtech.co.in and does not represent the opinions of the same. Users of the site should not rely on the accuracy of any content on the site or assume any information they read on the site to be factual.http://www.nooreshtech.co.in, its administrators or owners will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by a user’s reliance on any information obtained from our site, or from a hyperlink found on our site. Members remain responsible for their own investments and should always conduct their own independent research before making independent investment decisions. If you choose to trade on the information, including but not limited to opinions or stock picks found on http://www.nooreshtech.co.in or any hyperlinks found on the site, then you have made a conscious, willing, free and personal decision to do so, and http://www.nooreshtech.co.in does not take any responsibility for this action.
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