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Rising
temperatures
Desertification
Water consumption
2010 versus 2050 in km3
Source: Utrecht
University, PBL
2050
2010
Electricity
Industry
Households
IrrigationDeveloped
countries
Latin America
and Caribbean
North Africa,
the Middle East
and Russia
Sub-Saharan
Africa
South Asia and
East Asia Pacific
0 300 600 900 1200 1500
Agriculture uses the most
water, by far, with a water
use of more than 80%. In
particular, in South and East
Asia, agricultural production
heavily depends on irrigation.
Groundwater
abstraction
Groundwater
depletion
Agri-
culture Industry and
power plants
Urbanisation HouseholdsShrinking
lakes
300 million
Rural population 2050
Arid
Semi-arid
Dry sub-humid
Humid
Dryland areas are
the most vulnerable
Drylands’ rural
population and food
production will
especially be affected
by changes in water
availability, as a result
of climate change.
Source: PBL
Abstraction
for irrigation
Challenges
Climate change, which brings
higher average temperatures and
changing precipitation patterns,
combined with increasing compe-
tition for water resources, may
result in substantial increases in
the number of people living
under severe water stress.
Between now and 2050, global
water consumption is expected
to increase by 25%, due to the
growing number of households,
the growth in industrial produc-
tion and agricultural expansion
and intensification.
Growing water demand and
—in some regions— declining
precipitation will increase the
pressure on the available water
resources, resulting in high levels
of water stress in many regions.
Areas with increasing
water stress 2010–2050
Source: Utrecht University
No to low water stress
Increasing compe-
tition for water
Water stress may
have a negative
impact on agricultural
production and eco-
nomic development.
Moderate water stress
High water stress
Severe water stress
Water consumption is increasing, especially that of households
and industries. Agriculture will remain the largest user, though.
High levels of regional water stress may limit agricultural production.
WATER STRESS BY 2050
THE GEOGRAPHY OF FUTURE WATER CHALLENGES 2 MAPPING HOTSPOTS 3130
THE GEOGRAPHY OF
FUTURE WATER CHALLENGES

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