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DEVELOPING LONG-TERM
MITIGATION STRATEGIES
IN INDONESIA
Emma Rachmawaty
Ministry of Environment and Forestry
01 April 2020
1. NATIONAL CIRCUMSTANCES
AND COMMITMENTS ON CLIMATE CHANGE
123rf.com
CO2, CH4, N2O 2016 : 1,457,774 Gg CO2e
(Second BUR Indonesia, 2018)
2030:
โ€ข transition to low carbon
and climate resilience
โ€ข GHG emission reduction 29% -
834 Mton CO2e (unconditional)
up to 41% -1,081 Mton Co2e
(conditional) against BAU
โ€ข Resilience: Social and livelihood,
Economic, ecosystem and
landscape
258 million (2016)
296 million (2030)
324 million (2045)
Vulnerable to the impact
of climate change
The First NDC Indonesia
โ€ข Low carbon and climate resilience
development
โ€ข Indonesiaโ€™ vulnerability to climate
change
โ€ข Land-based and ocean adaptation
and mitigation
โ€ข Transparency Framework
โ€ข Means of Implementation
โ€ข International cooperation
Economic
Resilience
Social and
Livelihood
Resilience
Ecosystem and
Landscape
Resilience
DESCRIPTION
Type emission reduction relative to BAU
Coverage Nationwide with a landscape and ecosystem
management approaches in adaptation and mitigation
Scope CO2, CH4, N2O
Baseline BAU scenario
2. THE PROCESS
The First NDC
2016
Updated NDC
(Under finalisation)
2020
LTS 2050
โ€ข (under preparation)
2020Road Map NDC,
Oct 2019
Low Carbon
Development 2045
(Published in 2019)
Medium-term
Development Plan
2020-2024
3. TOWARDS LTS 2050
Low carbon pathway that is consistent with the objectives of the PA
- Scenario of Carbon neutral
- More than conditional target of NDC and
plus scenario of LCDI
- Possible development of DDP approach
- back-casting approach
LCDI
- Scenario moderate, high and plus (43%
unconditional GHG emission reduction in
2030 and 75% in 2045)
- Forward looking approach
- Need enabling conditions
- International supports
NDC (First, Second โ€ฆ)
- Unconditional and conditional targets of the
First NDC as the basis for implementation
- To be enhanced regularly refer to LTS
document
- Identify potential additional GHG emission
reduction
- Sectoral transformation
- Investment by public and private sector
- Involvement of NPS
- International supports
4. POSSIBLE MAIN BARRIERS AND THEIR
SOLUTIONS
Planning process
โ€ข existing short and
medium-term policies
โ€ข economic benefit of
LTS
Data Availability
โ€ข To elaborate all
scenarios (NDC, LCDI,
DDP)
โ€ข Assumptions and
scenarios
The process
โ€ข Involvement of all
stakeholders
โ€ข Carbon pricing
โ€ข Use the current practice of development of NDC, Road Map NDC,
preparation of National Communication and BUR
โ€ข Ministerial Decree of MOEF no. 679/2017 regarding NDC Monitpring
Team
โ€ข Intensive discussion on elaboration of NDC,LCDI and DDP approaches
5. POSSIBLE INSTITUTIONAL, TECHNICAL
AND POLICIES LESSON LEARNTInstitutional
โ€ข Coordination
among
ministries/
agencies and
sub-national by
MOEF
โ€ข Institutional
strengthening
Technical
โ€ข Technical
capacity at
national and sub-
national levels
โ€ข National reports
and supporting
system (MRV,
registry system)
Policies
โ€ข Integration of CC
into sectoral
policies
โ€ข Medium-term
development
plan
THANK YOU
Directorate of Climate Change Mitigation
Directorate General of Climate Change
Manggala Wanabakti Build. Blok IV 6th Fl.
Jl. Gatot Subroto, Jakarta
www.ditjenppi.menlhk.go.id

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  • 1. DEVELOPING LONG-TERM MITIGATION STRATEGIES IN INDONESIA Emma Rachmawaty Ministry of Environment and Forestry 01 April 2020
  • 2. 1. NATIONAL CIRCUMSTANCES AND COMMITMENTS ON CLIMATE CHANGE 123rf.com CO2, CH4, N2O 2016 : 1,457,774 Gg CO2e (Second BUR Indonesia, 2018) 2030: โ€ข transition to low carbon and climate resilience โ€ข GHG emission reduction 29% - 834 Mton CO2e (unconditional) up to 41% -1,081 Mton Co2e (conditional) against BAU โ€ข Resilience: Social and livelihood, Economic, ecosystem and landscape 258 million (2016) 296 million (2030) 324 million (2045) Vulnerable to the impact of climate change
  • 3. The First NDC Indonesia โ€ข Low carbon and climate resilience development โ€ข Indonesiaโ€™ vulnerability to climate change โ€ข Land-based and ocean adaptation and mitigation โ€ข Transparency Framework โ€ข Means of Implementation โ€ข International cooperation Economic Resilience Social and Livelihood Resilience Ecosystem and Landscape Resilience DESCRIPTION Type emission reduction relative to BAU Coverage Nationwide with a landscape and ecosystem management approaches in adaptation and mitigation Scope CO2, CH4, N2O Baseline BAU scenario
  • 4. 2. THE PROCESS The First NDC 2016 Updated NDC (Under finalisation) 2020 LTS 2050 โ€ข (under preparation) 2020Road Map NDC, Oct 2019 Low Carbon Development 2045 (Published in 2019) Medium-term Development Plan 2020-2024
  • 5. 3. TOWARDS LTS 2050 Low carbon pathway that is consistent with the objectives of the PA - Scenario of Carbon neutral - More than conditional target of NDC and plus scenario of LCDI - Possible development of DDP approach - back-casting approach LCDI - Scenario moderate, high and plus (43% unconditional GHG emission reduction in 2030 and 75% in 2045) - Forward looking approach - Need enabling conditions - International supports NDC (First, Second โ€ฆ) - Unconditional and conditional targets of the First NDC as the basis for implementation - To be enhanced regularly refer to LTS document - Identify potential additional GHG emission reduction - Sectoral transformation - Investment by public and private sector - Involvement of NPS - International supports
  • 6. 4. POSSIBLE MAIN BARRIERS AND THEIR SOLUTIONS Planning process โ€ข existing short and medium-term policies โ€ข economic benefit of LTS Data Availability โ€ข To elaborate all scenarios (NDC, LCDI, DDP) โ€ข Assumptions and scenarios The process โ€ข Involvement of all stakeholders โ€ข Carbon pricing โ€ข Use the current practice of development of NDC, Road Map NDC, preparation of National Communication and BUR โ€ข Ministerial Decree of MOEF no. 679/2017 regarding NDC Monitpring Team โ€ข Intensive discussion on elaboration of NDC,LCDI and DDP approaches
  • 7. 5. POSSIBLE INSTITUTIONAL, TECHNICAL AND POLICIES LESSON LEARNTInstitutional โ€ข Coordination among ministries/ agencies and sub-national by MOEF โ€ข Institutional strengthening Technical โ€ข Technical capacity at national and sub- national levels โ€ข National reports and supporting system (MRV, registry system) Policies โ€ข Integration of CC into sectoral policies โ€ข Medium-term development plan
  • 8. THANK YOU Directorate of Climate Change Mitigation Directorate General of Climate Change Manggala Wanabakti Build. Blok IV 6th Fl. Jl. Gatot Subroto, Jakarta www.ditjenppi.menlhk.go.id