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Provincial Planning: What’s New




                         Ontario East
                         Municipal Conference

                         September 12, 2012
                         Kingston
Global   Provincial   Municipal




                          2
3
4
5
Deep River




                              Ottawa
     Bancroft                          Cornwall




Peterborough       Kingston




                                        6
Demographics


 By 2025, 1 in 5
Ontarians will be 65
                                                                                           Toward 2025: Assessing
  years or older                                                                          Ontario’s Long-Term Outlook




  Ontario’s population is projected grow over the
   next 25 years, rising 32.7 % , from an
     estimated 13.4 million on July 1, 2011 to
           17.7 million by July 1, 2036.
                                                                                          Growth Plan for the Greater
                                                                                             Golden Horseshoe




Source: Ministry of Finance. Towards 2025: Assessing Ontario’s Long-Term Outlook. 2005.          7
        Ontario Population Projections Update, 2011 – 2036, Spring 2012
Housing

                           60000
                                   Housing Starts in Ontario                                             Single
                                                                                                         Multiple
                           50000                                                                         Semi
                                                                                                         row
                                                                                                         Apartment
                                                                                                                         Long-Term Affordable
Number of Housing Starts




                           40000
                                                                                                                           Housing Strategy

                           30000



                           20000



                           10000



                               0
                                   2000   2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009     2010      Municipal Tools for Affordable
                                                                                                                         Housing Handbook
                                   Year




    Source: Statistical Bulletin of Selected Housing Market Indicators for Ontario and Census Metropolitan Areas              8
            – Ministry of Municipal Affairs and Housing
Health
Health sector spending
will increase its share
on Ontario’s budget from                                    42%
42% to 70% in less than                                                              70%
15 years if health costs                                                                             Planning by Design: a healthy
continue to rise at the same                                                                            communities handbook

pace.                                               2012                         2025

                                                                  From 2010 to 2020,
                                                                  another 700,000
                                                                  people are expected
                                                                  to be diagnosed with               OPPI “Healthy Communities”
                                                                                                            Call to Action
                                                                  diabetes.


Sources: Ontario Ministry of Finance, 2011                                                                   9
         An Economic Tsunami: The Cost of Diabetes in Ontario, Canadian Diabetes Association, 2009
Water
         Less than 3% of water on earth is fresh –
                   and most of that is ice

          In the 20th century, the world’s population
                                                                                             Lake Simcoe Protection Plan
             grew 3x whereas water usage grew
                                        6 fold




                                                                                                 Ontario Great Lakes
                                                                                                     Protection




Sources: United Nations . State of World population 2001                                            10
         USGS Where is the Earth’s Water http://ga.water.usgs.gov/edu/earthwherewater.html
Climate Change
         Average annual temperature increase of
                    c
              1.4° per year since 1948
      The annual costs of extreme weather brought on by   Ontario Adaptation Strategy
       climate change in Ontario could equate to about          and Action Plan

                       $5.66 billion per year



                                                          Ontario Climate Action Plan




Source: Ministry of Environment, Climate Ready, 2011             11
Natural Heritage
   Between 1982 and 2002, Southern Ontario lost 25 acres
   of wetlands every day.


                                                                                      Ontario Biodiversity Strategy
That’s 25 soccer fields per day


                                                 There are currently
                                        94        endangered species and
                                        53       threatened species
                                                                                         MNR Natural Heritage
                                                  listed on the Species at Risk in        Reference Manual

                                                  Ontario list as of June 2011.



Sources: Southern Ontario Wetland Conversion Analysis, Ducks Unlimited Canada, 2010          12
         Ministry of Natural Resources, 2011
Agriculture
   Over 1.5 million hectares of agricultural lands
       have been lost to non-agricultural uses in
                 Ontario since 1966
                                                                                       OPPI “Planning for Food
                                                                                       Systems” Call to Action
       Agriculture and agri-food is Ontario’s second
   largest industry, producing over $10 billion in
               gross farm receipts annually



                                                                                           Foodland Ontario




Sources: Preservation Agricultural Lands Society, 2002                                      13
         Ontario Farmland Trust’s report Planning Regional Food Systems, August 2011
Energy
       Canada has the world’s third highest
        per-capita consumption of energy, higher than
                      the United States

        Single-use, dispersed neighbourhoods produce                                                                Ontario’s Long-Term
                                                                                                                       Energy Plan
    nearly three times more annual emissions
         per household than mixed use, compact
            neighbourhoods near the downtown




                                                                                                          Feed-in Tariff Guidelines [2.0]




Sources: The World Bank International Energy Agency Statistics © OECD/IEA                                             14
         Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Urban Travel: Tool for Evaluating Neighbourhood Sustainability, CMHC, 2000
Active Transportation



                                                                            MTO Transit-Supportive
                                                                                 Guidelines




79% of Ontarians commuted to work by car in 2006
                                                                          OPPI “Healthy Communities”
    Only 9% of boys and 4% of girls aged 6 to 19 meet the                        Call to Action
    Canadian guidelines of 60 minutes of daily physical exercise



Sources: Statistics Canada                                                       15
         Shaping Active, Healthy Commujities, Heart & Stroke Foundation
Infrastructure

          Ontario’s Infrastructure deficit is estimated to
                           exceed         $100 Billion
                                                             Long-Term Infrastructure Plan
           Municipalities own about 40% of Ontario’s
                       public infrastructure.




                                                               Guide for Municipal Asset
                                                                 Management Plans




Sources: Renew Ontario Progress Report 2006                          16
         MOE ROMA-OGRA 2012
Resources for Municipalities




                               17
Resources for Municipalities




                               18
Policy Integration




                         watershed
                                     cultural
            housing                  heritage           mineral



                                                population




                                                             growth
           hazards                                                     agriculture
   water

                                           ecosystem

      natural heritage




                                                  waste



                                                                  19
Contact Us




Ministry of Municipal Affairs and Housing
Provincial Planning Policy Branch
14th Floor, 777 Bay Street
Toronto, ON M5G 2E5
Ontario.ca/mah
416.585.6014


                                              20

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Provincial planning what's new

  • 1. Provincial Planning: What’s New Ontario East Municipal Conference September 12, 2012 Kingston
  • 2. Global Provincial Municipal 2
  • 3. 3
  • 4. 4
  • 5. 5
  • 6. Deep River Ottawa Bancroft Cornwall Peterborough Kingston 6
  • 7. Demographics By 2025, 1 in 5 Ontarians will be 65 Toward 2025: Assessing years or older Ontario’s Long-Term Outlook Ontario’s population is projected grow over the next 25 years, rising 32.7 % , from an estimated 13.4 million on July 1, 2011 to 17.7 million by July 1, 2036. Growth Plan for the Greater Golden Horseshoe Source: Ministry of Finance. Towards 2025: Assessing Ontario’s Long-Term Outlook. 2005. 7 Ontario Population Projections Update, 2011 – 2036, Spring 2012
  • 8. Housing 60000 Housing Starts in Ontario Single Multiple 50000 Semi row Apartment Long-Term Affordable Number of Housing Starts 40000 Housing Strategy 30000 20000 10000 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Municipal Tools for Affordable Housing Handbook Year Source: Statistical Bulletin of Selected Housing Market Indicators for Ontario and Census Metropolitan Areas 8 – Ministry of Municipal Affairs and Housing
  • 9. Health Health sector spending will increase its share on Ontario’s budget from 42% 42% to 70% in less than 70% 15 years if health costs Planning by Design: a healthy continue to rise at the same communities handbook pace. 2012 2025 From 2010 to 2020, another 700,000 people are expected to be diagnosed with OPPI “Healthy Communities” Call to Action diabetes. Sources: Ontario Ministry of Finance, 2011 9 An Economic Tsunami: The Cost of Diabetes in Ontario, Canadian Diabetes Association, 2009
  • 10. Water Less than 3% of water on earth is fresh – and most of that is ice In the 20th century, the world’s population Lake Simcoe Protection Plan grew 3x whereas water usage grew 6 fold Ontario Great Lakes Protection Sources: United Nations . State of World population 2001 10 USGS Where is the Earth’s Water http://ga.water.usgs.gov/edu/earthwherewater.html
  • 11. Climate Change Average annual temperature increase of c 1.4° per year since 1948 The annual costs of extreme weather brought on by Ontario Adaptation Strategy climate change in Ontario could equate to about and Action Plan $5.66 billion per year Ontario Climate Action Plan Source: Ministry of Environment, Climate Ready, 2011 11
  • 12. Natural Heritage Between 1982 and 2002, Southern Ontario lost 25 acres of wetlands every day. Ontario Biodiversity Strategy That’s 25 soccer fields per day There are currently 94 endangered species and 53 threatened species MNR Natural Heritage listed on the Species at Risk in Reference Manual Ontario list as of June 2011. Sources: Southern Ontario Wetland Conversion Analysis, Ducks Unlimited Canada, 2010 12 Ministry of Natural Resources, 2011
  • 13. Agriculture Over 1.5 million hectares of agricultural lands have been lost to non-agricultural uses in Ontario since 1966 OPPI “Planning for Food Systems” Call to Action Agriculture and agri-food is Ontario’s second largest industry, producing over $10 billion in gross farm receipts annually Foodland Ontario Sources: Preservation Agricultural Lands Society, 2002 13 Ontario Farmland Trust’s report Planning Regional Food Systems, August 2011
  • 14. Energy Canada has the world’s third highest per-capita consumption of energy, higher than the United States Single-use, dispersed neighbourhoods produce Ontario’s Long-Term Energy Plan nearly three times more annual emissions per household than mixed use, compact neighbourhoods near the downtown Feed-in Tariff Guidelines [2.0] Sources: The World Bank International Energy Agency Statistics © OECD/IEA 14 Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Urban Travel: Tool for Evaluating Neighbourhood Sustainability, CMHC, 2000
  • 15. Active Transportation MTO Transit-Supportive Guidelines 79% of Ontarians commuted to work by car in 2006 OPPI “Healthy Communities” Only 9% of boys and 4% of girls aged 6 to 19 meet the Call to Action Canadian guidelines of 60 minutes of daily physical exercise Sources: Statistics Canada 15 Shaping Active, Healthy Commujities, Heart & Stroke Foundation
  • 16. Infrastructure Ontario’s Infrastructure deficit is estimated to exceed $100 Billion Long-Term Infrastructure Plan Municipalities own about 40% of Ontario’s public infrastructure. Guide for Municipal Asset Management Plans Sources: Renew Ontario Progress Report 2006 16 MOE ROMA-OGRA 2012
  • 19. Policy Integration watershed cultural housing heritage mineral population growth hazards agriculture water ecosystem natural heritage waste 19
  • 20. Contact Us Ministry of Municipal Affairs and Housing Provincial Planning Policy Branch 14th Floor, 777 Bay Street Toronto, ON M5G 2E5 Ontario.ca/mah 416.585.6014 20