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Mortality Information System

        Fatima Marinho, MD, MPH, PhD
           Health and Analysis (HSD/HA)
    Pan American Health Organization (PAHO/WHO)
Topics

• Sources and data base

• Quality of death information in The Americas
  % under-registration, % ill defined,
  % garbage codes


• Distribution major causes of death

• Examples of data quality problems

• Challenges
Sources

• National Offices of Statistics
•   Mexico, Ecuador, El Salvador, Peru


• Civil Registration offices
•   Costa Rica, Argentina, Chile



• Ministry of Health
• Republica Dominicana, Brazil, Colombia
Main Variables/Annual data request to
the countries *

•Deaths: Individual data on each            *Since 2009 this extensive set
death, with the following specifications:   has been requested
•Sex
•Underlying cause of death                  Major civil division of
•Age (in hours for the first day, in days   residence of the decedent
for the first month, in months for the      •Certification of the cause (s)
first year, and complete years after one    of death: physician or
                                            nonmedical
year of age)
                                            •Educational attainment of
•Other available causes                     decedent (instruction or
                                            education level)
                                            •Ethnicity of the decedent
                                            •Place of occurrence of the
                                            death (hospital, residence,
                                            public thoroughfare, etc)
                                            •Date of death
Seasonality of Respiratory Deaths
Why evaluate data quality?

  • Accuracy of the information for policy
  • Availability of the data doesn’t guarantee
    quality
  • The source per se is not a guarantee of
    quality, for example, hospital statistics
  • Poor quality of the data  poor decision 
    lost of opportunity to identify problems and
    intervention in order to improve the
    population health
Challenges for using mortality
                 data
• Incomplete series of data registries
• Poor certification of cause of death
• Poor availability and opportunity of the data
• Poor use of the data
• Poor value of cause of death codification
• There is a tendency to codify the cause of death
  according what is expected to be more frequent
• Late registration of death
Total defunciones
• En 2007 hubo un total de 5 736 164*
  defunciones en los 32 países de la Región de
  las Américas con datos para ese año (53,1%
  hombres y 46,9% mujeres).
• La tasa de mortalidad ajustada por edad para la
  población total fue 5,8 por 1 000 habitantes (7,1
  por 1 000 en hombres y 4,7 por 1 000 en
  mujeres).
*Dato corregido para subregistro
La mortalidad captada fue de 5 085 260
USA responde por mitad de las defunciones captadas
Timeliness
  1950-2010
                     Bolivia
                       Haiti
                     Aruba
                                                                                                                        Number of countries in The Region with
     Netherlands Antilles
                 Martinique
                                                                                                                           mortality data by cause, 1950-2010
     Virgin Islands (USA)
                                                                                                             50
              Guadeloupe
            French Guiana
                 Honduras
                  Grenada
                   Anguilla                                                                                  45             CIE-7      CIE-8
                Montserrat
                   Jamaica                                                                                                  CIE-9      CIE-10
                    Guyana
          Cayman Islands                                                                                     40
Turks and Caicos Islands
        Saint Vincent and
                 Bahamas
                      Brazil                                                                                 35
     British Virgin Islands
                       Peru
                 Nicaragua
                Saint Lucia                                                                                  30
    Antigua and Barbuda
                 Argentina
                 Suriname
                  Bermuda                                                                                    25
                     Belize
                      Cuba
     Saint Kitts and Nevis
                 Paraguay                                                                                    20
     Dominican Republic
                 Dominica
                   Uruguay
                Guatemala                                                                                    15
               El Salvador
                  Ecuador
                   Panama
                 Colombia
                                                                                                             10
                Venezuela
               Puerto Rico
                 Barbados
                Costa Rica
                                                                                                             5
    Trinidad and Tobago
                    Mexico
                      Chile
United States of America
                   Canada                                                                                    0
                                                                                                              1950   1955    1960   1965   1970   1975   1980   1985   1990   1995   2000   2005   2010
                               0.0   10.0   20.0   30.0   40.0   50.0    60.0   70.0   80.0   90.0   100.0

                                                   Percentage of years

   Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
45/48 Countries and
Under- registration %                                                           Territories in the
completeness                                                              Americas have a Vital
                                                                      Statistics System working




 Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
% ill-defined causes of death
Subregion
     circa 2009




Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
% ill-defined
causes of death
by country

circa 2009




Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
% ill-defined causes of death
   Selected countries, 2000-2009

        25.0




        20.0

                                                                                                               Cuba
                                                                                                               Estados Unidos de América
                                                                                                               México
        15.0
                                                                                                               Colombia
                                                                                                               Chile
                                                                                                               Nicaragua
                                                                                                               Panamá
        10.0
                                                                                                               Brasil
                                                                                                               Paraguay
                                                                                                               El Salvador

          5.0




          0.0
                   2000         2001        2002         2003        2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009


Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
% ill-defined causes
          of death
          Americas 2005-2009
                                                                     2005     2006     2007     2008     2009
                                                                      %        %        %        %        %
          Other ill-defined and unspecified causes of                 40.4     41.6     42.5     45.3     46.5
          mortality (R99)
          Unattended death (R98)                                      26.5     20.7     17.9     21.8     20.3
          Senility (R54)                                              9.3      10.7     10.3     9.6      8.5
          Other symptoms and signs involving the                      8.2      7.1      7.1      6.9      7.6
          circulatory and respiratory systems (R09)

          Other sudden death, cause unknown                           2.7      2.6      3.3      3.8      4.2
          (R96)


          Remainder                                                   11.2     15.3     16.9     12.6     12.3


          Number of deaths                                           196919   175695   179553   143577   137622



Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
% ill-defined causes
     of death
     Brazil 2005-2009
                                                                     2005     2006    2007    2008    2009
                                                                      %        %       %       %       %
       Other ill-defined and unspecified causes of                    35.9    41.6    42.0    44.1    43.8
       mortality (R99)
       Unattended death (R98)                                         46.1    38.2    35.1    34.9    33.1
       Other symptoms and signs involving the                         9.4      8.7     8.8     7.5     8.9
       circulatory and respiratory systems (R09)
       Senility (R54)                                                 2.6      4.1     4.3     4.3     4.7

       Other general symptoms and signs                               1.7      3.3     3.7     3.3     3.3
       (R68)


       Remainder                                                      2.2      3.3     3.5     3.5     3.6


       Number of deaths                                              104455   85543   80244   79784   78994




Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
% ill-defined causes
     of death
     Cuba 2005-2009
                                                                     2005   2006   2007   2008   2009
                                                                      %      %      %      %      %
       Other ill-defined and unspecified causes of                   45.8   54.0   49.8   44.2   40.6
       mortality (R99)
       Senility (R54)                                                18.2   17.6   19.3   24.1   23.1
       Other sudden death, cause unknown                             19.2   15.2   14.2   13.5   16.8
       (R96)
       Unattended death (R98)                                        3.6    0.9    4.5    3.7    4.4

       Other general symptoms and signs                              4.6    4.7    3.9    3.5    3.0
       (R68)


       Remainder                                                     6.4    4.7    4.7    5.9    8.1


       Number of deaths                                              637    635    643    764    794




Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
% ill-defined causes
     of death
     Peru 2003-2007
                                                                     2005   2006   2007   2008   2009
                                                                      %      %      %      %      %
       Other ill-defined and unspecified causes of                   27.6   44.6   77.8   78.1   74.6
       mortality (R99)
       Senility (R54)                                                18.3   8.9    0.0    0.0    0.0
       Other symptoms and signs involving the                        11.4   19.5   0.0    0.0    0.0
       circulatory and respiratory systems (R09)
       Shock, not elsewhere classified (R57)                         10.8   5.1    0.0    0.0    1.6

       Unattended death (R98)                                        4.4    7.9    0.0    8.3    11.6



       Remainder                                                     27.5   14.0   22.2   13.7   12.2


       Number of deaths                                              2149   1814    18    630    189




Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
% under-registration and % ill-defined causes
of death
 Americas, 2007-2009


                                            Nicaragua
                                      Jamaica
                                     Cayman Islands




                                                   Americas




 Source: Health situation in the Americas – Basic Indicators 2011
Causes of death?

In the Second Annual Report of the Registrar General of Great Britain in 1840, William
Farr presented the statistics of causes of death (CoD), defined as:

“diseases, which terminate in the extinction of existence,” but Farr highlighted the
concern that “…the attention of the observer was less attracted to this class of
facts, and overlooking the proximate cause, that is, the internal morbid
process…”

In that report, he also criticized the use of vague categories like
“sudden death,”
“natural death,”
 “visitation of God,” and
 “old age,”
but he admitted that in some cases, no particular cause of death could be identified



All these criticisms remain relevant today
Underlying cause of death (ICD)

a) the disease or injury which initiated the train of morbid events
   leading directly to death or

c) b) the circumstances of the accident or violence which
   produced the fatal injury”



 The most effective public health objective is to prevent the precipitating from
 operating

 From the stand point of prevention of death is necessary to break the chain of
 events or to effect a cure at some point


 Even with a physician-completed death certificate, assignment
 of the underlying cause of death can be problematic
many deaths assigned to causes that
cannot or should not be considered
underlying causes of death

“often called garbage codes (GCs)”




In 1996, Murray and Lopez introduced the
term “garbage coding” for the practice
of assigning deaths to causes that are
not useful for public health analysis of
cause-of-death
data as part of the assessment of the Global
Burden of Disease (GBD)
Typology of Garbage Codes
Four categories were identified:

3.Causes that cannot or should not be considered as underlying causes of death
(Type 1)
              chapter 18 of ICD-10 or R codes
          essential primary hypertension and atherosclerosis.
        causes that are described as the long-term sequelae of disease, such as
         paraplegia and tetraplegia

2. Intermediate causes of death (Type 2):
       heart failure, septicemia, peritonitis, osteomyelitis, or pulmonary embolism.

3. Immediate causes of death (Type 3):
      final steps in a disease pathway leading to death.
      disseminated intravascular coagulation or defibrination syndrome .
       Cardiac arrest and respiratory failure

4. Unspecified causes (Type 4):
         injuries are coded to unspecified factors or intent
Source: Algorithms for enhancing public health utility of national
causes of death data IHME
This typology has been developed
taking into consideration the
following:

    •the likelihood that a condition can be an underlying
    cause of death

    •the need for codes that provide a location for
    unspecified or ambiguous causes of death

    •the need for codes that represent causes that are
    not underlying but intermediate or final events in
    the chain leading to death


Source: Algorithms for enhancing public health utility of national
causes of death data IHME
Garbage Codes
Subregion and country                                                     ARG
                                                                          VGB
         circa 2009                                                       GTM
                                                                          VCT
                                                                          MSR
                                                                           SLV
                                                                          GRD
                                                                          LCA
                                                                          ABW
                                                                          BRB
                                                                          ATG
                                                                          CYM
                                                                          URY
                                                                          DOM
                                                                            PRI
                                                                          ECU
                                                                            AIA
                                                                          GUY
                                                                          PAN
                                                                          PRY
                                                                          BHS
                                                                          TCA
                                                                           NIC
                                                                           BLZ
                                                                          BRA
                                                                          KNA
                                                                          USA
                                                                          VEN
                                                                          BMU
                                                                          MEX
                                                                           JAM
                                                                          TTO
                                                                          SUR
                                                                          CHL
                                                                          COL
                                                                           CRI
                                                                          CUB
                                                                            VIR
                                                                              0.0%   5.0%   10.0%     15.0%        20.0%         25.0%        30.0%        35.0%


     Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011

Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011                             Source: Algorithms for enhancing public health utility of national
                                                                                                                                   causes of death data IHME
• Intermediate causes
                                                                                            Causes                 %
are the most important gc
(60%)
                                                                                Heart failure (I50)                19.0
                                                                                Other sepsis (A41)                 9.6
                                                                     12%
                  23%
                                                                           6%   Essential (primary) hypertension   6.7
                                                                                (I10)
                                                                                Chronic kidney disease (N18)       6.0
                                                                                Malignant neoplasm, without        5.7
                                                                                specification of site (C80)
                                                                                Exposure to unspecified factor     3.7
                                                            59%
                                                                                (X59)

               Type 1 Causes that cannot or should not be considered as ucd     Unspecified kidney failure (N19)   3.5
               Type 3 Immediate                                                 Pneumonitis due to solids and      3.1
               Type 2 Intermediate                                              liquids (J69)
               Type 4 Unspecified causes
                                                                                Other diseases of digestive        2.9
                                                                                system (K92)
                                                                                Cardiac arrest (I46)               2.7


                                                                                Remainder                          39.3


Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
Type 1 Causes that cannot                                             %     Type 2 Intermediate causes     %
or should not be considered
as ucd


                                                                            Heart failure (I50)            31.9
Essential (primary)                                                  57.7
hypertension (I10)                                                          Other sepsis (A41)             16.1
Atherosclerosis (I70)                                                15.9   Chronic kidney disease (N18)   10.1
Cerebral palsy (G80)                                                 5.3    Unspecified kidney failure     5.8
Hyperplasia of prostate (N40)                                        2.8    (N19)



Remainder                                                            18.3   Remainder                      36.1




Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
Type 3 Immediate causes                                           %      Type 4 Unspecified causes          %
   of death



   Respiratory failure, not                                          50.1   Malignant neoplasm, without       24.9
   elsewhere classified (J96)                                               specification of site (C80)

   Cardiac arrest (I46)                                              45.1   Exposure to unspecified factor    16.2
                                                                            (X59)
                                                                            Complications and ill-defined     12.8
   Disseminated intravascular                                        2.8    descriptions of heart disease
   coagulation [defibrination                                                (I51)
   syndrome] (D65)
                                                                            Unspecified event, undetermined   6.9
                                                                            intent (Y34)

   Remainder                                                         1.9
                                                                            Remainder                         39.3



Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
Cause of death and
Epidemiologic transition in the
          Region
Transición Epidemiológica en EU
                                                     Estados Unidos

100.00%

90.00%

80.00%

70.00%

60.00%

50.00%

40.00%

30.00%

20.00%

10.00%

 0.00%
      50

      52

      54



      58

      60



      64

      66

      68

      70

      72

      74

      76

      78

      80

      82

      84

      86

      88

      90

      92

      94

      96

      98

      00

      02

      04
      56




      62
   19




   19




   19



   19

   19

   19



   19



   19

   19



   19



   19



   19



   20



   20
   19



   19

   19

   19



   19

   19



   19




   19



   19




   19



   19



   19



   19



   20
                              Group I Communicable   Group II Non communicable   Group III Injuries   Ill defined



          Fuente: Sistema de inforamción de Mortaldiad HA/HSD/OPS
Transición Epidemiológica en Brasil
100

 90

 80

 70

 60

 50

 40

 30

 20

 10

  0
  1930          1940         1950         1960        1970          1980               1990         2000       2009

                Group I Communicable   Group II No Communicable   Group III Injuries    Group IV Ill Defined


      Fuente: Sistema de inforamción de Mortaldiad HA/HSD/OPS
Transición Epidemiológica en México
                                                     México

100.00%

90.00%

80.00%

70.00%

60.00%

50.00%

40.00%

30.00%

20.00%

10.00%

 0.00%
      59




      67




      83

      85




      91




      99




      07
      55

      57



      61

      63

      65



      69

      71

      73

      75

      77

      79

      81




      87

      89



      93

      95

      97



      01

      03

      05
   19

   19

   19



   19

   19

   19



   19

   19

   19



   19

   19

   19

   19

   19

   19

   19



   19

   19

   19




   20

   20
   19




   19




   19




   19




   20

   20
                         Group I Communicable   Group II Non communicable   Group III Injuries   Ill defined



          Fuente: Sistema de inforamción de Mortaldiad HA/HSD/OPS
Transición Epidemiológica en Guatemala
                                                                       Guatemala

100.00%

90.00%

80.00%

70.00%

60.00%

50.00%

40.00%

30.00%

20.00%

10.00%

 0.00%
      63

              65




                              69

                                      71

                                              75




                                                                      81

                                                                              86

                                                                                      88




                                                                                                      92

                                                                                                              94

                                                                                                                      96

                                                                                                                              98

                                                                                                                                      00

                                                                                                                                               02




                                                                                                                                                               06
                      67




                                                      77

                                                              79




                                                                                              90




                                                                                                                                                       04
                           19

                                   19




                                                                   19

                                                                           19

                                                                                   19




                                                                                                           19

                                                                                                                   19

                                                                                                                           19

                                                                                                                                   20




                                                                                                                                                            20
   19

           19

                   19




                                           19

                                                   19

                                                           19




                                                                                           19

                                                                                                   19




                                                                                                                                            20

                                                                                                                                                    20
                                    Group I Communicable           Group II Non communicable           Group III Injuries     Ill defined



     Fuente: Sistema de inforamción de Mortaldiad HA/HSD/OPS
The three leading causes of death in the Americas
                 Rango             1                         2                           3
   Países        Año
   Argentina     2009                             Enfermedades isquémicas         Enfermedades
                         Influenza y neumonía            del corazón            cerebrovasculares
   Belice        2008                             Enfermedades isquémicas     Eventos de intención no
                           Diabetes mellitus             del corazón               determinada
   Brasil        2009        Enfermedades         Enfermedades isquémicas
                           cerebrovasculares             del corazón           Influenza y neumonía
   Canadá        2007                              Neoplasia maligna de la
                              Enfermedades        tráquea, de los bronquios    Demencia y enfermedad
                         isquémicas del corazón         y del pulmón                de Alzheimer
   Chile         2008         Enfermedades        Enfermedades isquémicas          Cirrosis y otras
                            cerebrovasculares            del corazón          enfermedades del hígado
   Colombia      2008         Enfermedades                                          Enfermedades
                         isquémicas del corazón    Agresiones/homicidios          cerebrovasculares
   Costa Rica    2009         Enfermedades            Enfermedades                  Enfermedades
                         isquémicas del corazón     cerebrovasculares               hipertensivas
   Cuba                                                                        Neoplasia maligna de la
                             Enfermedades               Enfermedades          tráquea, de los bronquios
                 2009    isquémicas del corazón       cerebrovasculares             y del pulmón
   Ecuador       2009                                   Enfermedades
                           Diabetes mellitus          cerebrovasculares        Influenza y neumonía
   El Salvador   2008                             Enfermedades del sistema    Enfermedades isquémicas
                         Agresiones/homicidios             urinario                 del corazón
   Estados       2007                              Neoplasia maligna de la
   Unidos de                 Enfermedades         tráquea, de los bronquios   Demencia y enfermedad
   América               isquémicas del corazón         y del pulmón                de Alzheimer
   Guatemala     2008                                                            Ciertas afecciones
                                                                              originadas en el período
                          Influenza y neumonía     Agresiones/homicidios              perinatal
                              Enfermedades            Enfermedades
   Américas      2007    isquémicas del corazón     cerebrovasculares             Diabetes mellitus

       Source: Mortality Information System - PAHO
The three leading cause of death in the Americas
                 Rango             1                        2                               3
   Países        Año
   Guyana        2006        Enfermedades              Enfermedades
                         isquémicas del corazón      cerebrovasculares              Diabetes mellitus
   Islas del     2008
   Caribe No-                Enfermedades              Enfermedades
   Latino                isquémicas del corazón      cerebrovasculares              Diabetes mellitus
   México        2009                             Enfermedades isquémicas   Cirrosis y otras enfermedades del
                           Diabetes mellitus            del corazón                       hígado
   Nicaragua     2009                             Enfermedades isquémicas   Cirrosis y otras enfermedades del
                            Diabetes mellitus           del corazón                       hígado
   Panamá        2009         Enfermedades             Enfermedades
                         isquémicas del corazón      cerebrovasculares               Diabetes mellitus
   Paraguay      2009         Enfermedades        Enfermedades isquémicas   Ciertas afecciones originadas en el
                            cerebrovasculares           del corazón                  período perinatal
   Perú          2007                             Enfermedades isquémicas
                          Influenza y neumonía          del corazón         Enfermedades cerebrovasculares
   Puerto Rico   2007         Enfermedades                                     Demencia y enfermedad de
                         isquémicas del corazón       Diabetes mellitus                 Alzheimer
   República  2004            Enfermedades             Enfermedades         Ciertas afecciones originadas en el
   Dominicana            isquémicas del corazón      cerebrovasculares               período perinatal
   Suriname   2007            Enfermedades        Enfermedades isquémicas
                            cerebrovasculares           del corazón                 Diabetes mellitus
   Territorios   2005         Enfermedades
   franceses                cerebrovasculares        Diabetes mellitus      Neoplasia maligna de la próstata
   Trinidad y    2007         Enfermedades
   Tobago                isquémicas del corazón       Diabetes mellitus     Enfermedades cerebrovasculares
   Uruguay       2004         Enfermedades        Enfermedades isquémicas   Neoplasia maligna de la tráquea,
                            cerebrovasculares           del corazón          de los bronquios y del pulmón
   Venezuela     2007         Enfermedades             Enfermedades
                         isquémicas del corazón      cerebrovasculares            Agresiones/homicidios
                              Enfermedades             Enfermedades
   Américas      2007    isquémicas del corazón      cerebrovasculares              Diabetes mellitus
Diabetes Mellitus
Americas, 2000-2009
                                 100.00%




                                   80.00%




                                   60.00%
                            %




                                   40.00%




                                   20.00%




                                    0.00%
                                                 2000         2001    2002   2003   2004   2005     2006      2007     2008    2009

                                       Insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus E10       Non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus E11
                                       Malnutrition-related diabetes mellitus E12    Other specified diabetes mellitus E13
                                       Unspecified diabetes mellitus E14


 Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
Diabetes Mellitus
Brazil, 2000-2009
                                     100.00%



                                       80.00%



                                       60.00%
                               %




                                       40.00%



                                       20.00%



                                         0.00%
                                                       2000           2001   2002   2003   2004   2005    2006     2007     2008      2009

                                     Insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus E10                  Non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus E11
                                     Malnutrition-related diabetes mellitus E12               Other specified diabetes mellitus E13
                                     Unspecified diabetes mellitus E14


 Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
Diabetes Mellitus
Mexico, 2000-2009
                               100.00%




                                 80.00%




                                 60.00%
                         %




                                 40.00%




                                 20.00%




                                  0.00%
                                                 2000          2001   2002   2003         2004   2005    2006      2007     2008         2009

                                             Insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus E10             Non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus E11
                                             Malnutrition-related diabetes mellitus E12          Other specified diabetes mellitus E13
                                             Unspecified diabetes mellitus E14



 Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
Diabetes Mellitus
Cuba, 2000-2009
                                     100.00%



                                      80.00%



                                      60.00%
                               %




                                      40.00%



                                      20.00%



                                        0.00%
                                                       2001           2002   2003   2004   2005      2006    2007     2008    2009


                                  Insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus E10                         Non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus E11

                                  Malnutrition-related diabetes mellitus E12                      Unspecified diabetes mellitus E14




 Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
Mortality total and due to
cardiovascular diseases
Belize, 2000-2007




      Adjusted mortality rates due to CVD dropped 43.7% from 2000 to 2007, very higher than the
      average of the Region. The CVD mortality trend for Belize wasn’t showed individually in the
      Americas profile.

Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
Mortality due to cardiovascular diseases
by major group of causes




      Limitations to compare Argentina mortality rates due to Ischaemic heart disease to other countries


Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
Mortality due to cardiovascular
diseases by major group of causes

                Americas                                             43                         22             9       12        14

             Guatemala                                  42                     22              29                  52                  10

                   Ecuador                       27                            44                    37                26          17

                    Canada                                                57                           21          3 7          19

               Argentina                            35                         35         10              53                   31

                                     0%                        20%                  40%              60%               80%             100%

                                Ischaemic (I20-I25)                                        Cerebrovascular (I60-I69)
                                Hypertensive (I10-I15)                                     Cardiac Arrest (I46)+Heart faillure (I50)
                                Other




Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
Cardiovascular diseases mortality
   Selected countries




Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
Diabetes mellitus mortality
   Selected countries




Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
What do we need?
•   Unify criteria for measuring quality (definitions, standards)


•   Encourage the development and consolidation of a critical mass of
    research on causes of death …..
      Evaluation in The Region


•   Policy focused on countries with major needs


•   Promote the use of standards to improve the quality of information


•   Use and dissemination of statistics locally corrected

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Mortality information and situation in the americas

  • 1. Mortality Information System Fatima Marinho, MD, MPH, PhD Health and Analysis (HSD/HA) Pan American Health Organization (PAHO/WHO)
  • 2. Topics • Sources and data base • Quality of death information in The Americas % under-registration, % ill defined, % garbage codes • Distribution major causes of death • Examples of data quality problems • Challenges
  • 3. Sources • National Offices of Statistics • Mexico, Ecuador, El Salvador, Peru • Civil Registration offices • Costa Rica, Argentina, Chile • Ministry of Health • Republica Dominicana, Brazil, Colombia
  • 4. Main Variables/Annual data request to the countries * •Deaths: Individual data on each *Since 2009 this extensive set death, with the following specifications: has been requested •Sex •Underlying cause of death Major civil division of •Age (in hours for the first day, in days residence of the decedent for the first month, in months for the •Certification of the cause (s) first year, and complete years after one of death: physician or nonmedical year of age) •Educational attainment of •Other available causes decedent (instruction or education level) •Ethnicity of the decedent •Place of occurrence of the death (hospital, residence, public thoroughfare, etc) •Date of death
  • 6. Why evaluate data quality? • Accuracy of the information for policy • Availability of the data doesn’t guarantee quality • The source per se is not a guarantee of quality, for example, hospital statistics • Poor quality of the data  poor decision  lost of opportunity to identify problems and intervention in order to improve the population health
  • 7. Challenges for using mortality data • Incomplete series of data registries • Poor certification of cause of death • Poor availability and opportunity of the data • Poor use of the data • Poor value of cause of death codification • There is a tendency to codify the cause of death according what is expected to be more frequent • Late registration of death
  • 8. Total defunciones • En 2007 hubo un total de 5 736 164* defunciones en los 32 países de la Región de las Américas con datos para ese año (53,1% hombres y 46,9% mujeres). • La tasa de mortalidad ajustada por edad para la población total fue 5,8 por 1 000 habitantes (7,1 por 1 000 en hombres y 4,7 por 1 000 en mujeres). *Dato corregido para subregistro La mortalidad captada fue de 5 085 260 USA responde por mitad de las defunciones captadas
  • 9. Timeliness 1950-2010 Bolivia Haiti Aruba Number of countries in The Region with Netherlands Antilles Martinique mortality data by cause, 1950-2010 Virgin Islands (USA) 50 Guadeloupe French Guiana Honduras Grenada Anguilla 45 CIE-7 CIE-8 Montserrat Jamaica CIE-9 CIE-10 Guyana Cayman Islands 40 Turks and Caicos Islands Saint Vincent and Bahamas Brazil 35 British Virgin Islands Peru Nicaragua Saint Lucia 30 Antigua and Barbuda Argentina Suriname Bermuda 25 Belize Cuba Saint Kitts and Nevis Paraguay 20 Dominican Republic Dominica Uruguay Guatemala 15 El Salvador Ecuador Panama Colombia 10 Venezuela Puerto Rico Barbados Costa Rica 5 Trinidad and Tobago Mexico Chile United States of America Canada 0 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0 100.0 Percentage of years Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
  • 10. 45/48 Countries and Under- registration % Territories in the completeness Americas have a Vital Statistics System working Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
  • 11. % ill-defined causes of death Subregion circa 2009 Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
  • 12. % ill-defined causes of death by country circa 2009 Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
  • 13. % ill-defined causes of death Selected countries, 2000-2009 25.0 20.0 Cuba Estados Unidos de América México 15.0 Colombia Chile Nicaragua Panamá 10.0 Brasil Paraguay El Salvador 5.0 0.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
  • 14. % ill-defined causes of death Americas 2005-2009 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 % % % % % Other ill-defined and unspecified causes of 40.4 41.6 42.5 45.3 46.5 mortality (R99) Unattended death (R98) 26.5 20.7 17.9 21.8 20.3 Senility (R54) 9.3 10.7 10.3 9.6 8.5 Other symptoms and signs involving the 8.2 7.1 7.1 6.9 7.6 circulatory and respiratory systems (R09) Other sudden death, cause unknown 2.7 2.6 3.3 3.8 4.2 (R96) Remainder 11.2 15.3 16.9 12.6 12.3 Number of deaths 196919 175695 179553 143577 137622 Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
  • 15. % ill-defined causes of death Brazil 2005-2009 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 % % % % % Other ill-defined and unspecified causes of 35.9 41.6 42.0 44.1 43.8 mortality (R99) Unattended death (R98) 46.1 38.2 35.1 34.9 33.1 Other symptoms and signs involving the 9.4 8.7 8.8 7.5 8.9 circulatory and respiratory systems (R09) Senility (R54) 2.6 4.1 4.3 4.3 4.7 Other general symptoms and signs 1.7 3.3 3.7 3.3 3.3 (R68) Remainder 2.2 3.3 3.5 3.5 3.6 Number of deaths 104455 85543 80244 79784 78994 Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
  • 16. % ill-defined causes of death Cuba 2005-2009 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 % % % % % Other ill-defined and unspecified causes of 45.8 54.0 49.8 44.2 40.6 mortality (R99) Senility (R54) 18.2 17.6 19.3 24.1 23.1 Other sudden death, cause unknown 19.2 15.2 14.2 13.5 16.8 (R96) Unattended death (R98) 3.6 0.9 4.5 3.7 4.4 Other general symptoms and signs 4.6 4.7 3.9 3.5 3.0 (R68) Remainder 6.4 4.7 4.7 5.9 8.1 Number of deaths 637 635 643 764 794 Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
  • 17. % ill-defined causes of death Peru 2003-2007 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 % % % % % Other ill-defined and unspecified causes of 27.6 44.6 77.8 78.1 74.6 mortality (R99) Senility (R54) 18.3 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 Other symptoms and signs involving the 11.4 19.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 circulatory and respiratory systems (R09) Shock, not elsewhere classified (R57) 10.8 5.1 0.0 0.0 1.6 Unattended death (R98) 4.4 7.9 0.0 8.3 11.6 Remainder 27.5 14.0 22.2 13.7 12.2 Number of deaths 2149 1814 18 630 189 Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
  • 18. % under-registration and % ill-defined causes of death Americas, 2007-2009 Nicaragua Jamaica Cayman Islands Americas Source: Health situation in the Americas – Basic Indicators 2011
  • 19. Causes of death? In the Second Annual Report of the Registrar General of Great Britain in 1840, William Farr presented the statistics of causes of death (CoD), defined as: “diseases, which terminate in the extinction of existence,” but Farr highlighted the concern that “…the attention of the observer was less attracted to this class of facts, and overlooking the proximate cause, that is, the internal morbid process…” In that report, he also criticized the use of vague categories like “sudden death,” “natural death,” “visitation of God,” and “old age,” but he admitted that in some cases, no particular cause of death could be identified All these criticisms remain relevant today
  • 20. Underlying cause of death (ICD) a) the disease or injury which initiated the train of morbid events leading directly to death or c) b) the circumstances of the accident or violence which produced the fatal injury” The most effective public health objective is to prevent the precipitating from operating From the stand point of prevention of death is necessary to break the chain of events or to effect a cure at some point Even with a physician-completed death certificate, assignment of the underlying cause of death can be problematic
  • 21. many deaths assigned to causes that cannot or should not be considered underlying causes of death “often called garbage codes (GCs)” In 1996, Murray and Lopez introduced the term “garbage coding” for the practice of assigning deaths to causes that are not useful for public health analysis of cause-of-death data as part of the assessment of the Global Burden of Disease (GBD)
  • 22. Typology of Garbage Codes Four categories were identified: 3.Causes that cannot or should not be considered as underlying causes of death (Type 1) chapter 18 of ICD-10 or R codes essential primary hypertension and atherosclerosis. causes that are described as the long-term sequelae of disease, such as paraplegia and tetraplegia 2. Intermediate causes of death (Type 2): heart failure, septicemia, peritonitis, osteomyelitis, or pulmonary embolism. 3. Immediate causes of death (Type 3): final steps in a disease pathway leading to death. disseminated intravascular coagulation or defibrination syndrome . Cardiac arrest and respiratory failure 4. Unspecified causes (Type 4): injuries are coded to unspecified factors or intent Source: Algorithms for enhancing public health utility of national causes of death data IHME
  • 23. This typology has been developed taking into consideration the following: •the likelihood that a condition can be an underlying cause of death •the need for codes that provide a location for unspecified or ambiguous causes of death •the need for codes that represent causes that are not underlying but intermediate or final events in the chain leading to death Source: Algorithms for enhancing public health utility of national causes of death data IHME
  • 24. Garbage Codes Subregion and country ARG VGB circa 2009 GTM VCT MSR SLV GRD LCA ABW BRB ATG CYM URY DOM PRI ECU AIA GUY PAN PRY BHS TCA NIC BLZ BRA KNA USA VEN BMU MEX JAM TTO SUR CHL COL CRI CUB VIR 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011 Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011 Source: Algorithms for enhancing public health utility of national causes of death data IHME
  • 25. • Intermediate causes Causes % are the most important gc (60%) Heart failure (I50) 19.0 Other sepsis (A41) 9.6 12% 23% 6% Essential (primary) hypertension 6.7 (I10) Chronic kidney disease (N18) 6.0 Malignant neoplasm, without 5.7 specification of site (C80) Exposure to unspecified factor 3.7 59% (X59) Type 1 Causes that cannot or should not be considered as ucd Unspecified kidney failure (N19) 3.5 Type 3 Immediate Pneumonitis due to solids and 3.1 Type 2 Intermediate liquids (J69) Type 4 Unspecified causes Other diseases of digestive 2.9 system (K92) Cardiac arrest (I46) 2.7 Remainder 39.3 Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
  • 26. Type 1 Causes that cannot % Type 2 Intermediate causes % or should not be considered as ucd Heart failure (I50) 31.9 Essential (primary) 57.7 hypertension (I10) Other sepsis (A41) 16.1 Atherosclerosis (I70) 15.9 Chronic kidney disease (N18) 10.1 Cerebral palsy (G80) 5.3 Unspecified kidney failure 5.8 Hyperplasia of prostate (N40) 2.8 (N19) Remainder 18.3 Remainder 36.1 Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
  • 27. Type 3 Immediate causes % Type 4 Unspecified causes % of death Respiratory failure, not 50.1 Malignant neoplasm, without 24.9 elsewhere classified (J96) specification of site (C80) Cardiac arrest (I46) 45.1 Exposure to unspecified factor 16.2 (X59) Complications and ill-defined 12.8 Disseminated intravascular 2.8 descriptions of heart disease coagulation [defibrination (I51) syndrome] (D65) Unspecified event, undetermined 6.9 intent (Y34) Remainder 1.9 Remainder 39.3 Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
  • 28.
  • 29. Cause of death and Epidemiologic transition in the Region
  • 30. Transición Epidemiológica en EU Estados Unidos 100.00% 90.00% 80.00% 70.00% 60.00% 50.00% 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 0.00% 50 52 54 58 60 64 66 68 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 56 62 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 Group I Communicable Group II Non communicable Group III Injuries Ill defined Fuente: Sistema de inforamción de Mortaldiad HA/HSD/OPS
  • 31. Transición Epidemiológica en Brasil 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2009 Group I Communicable Group II No Communicable Group III Injuries Group IV Ill Defined Fuente: Sistema de inforamción de Mortaldiad HA/HSD/OPS
  • 32. Transición Epidemiológica en México México 100.00% 90.00% 80.00% 70.00% 60.00% 50.00% 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 0.00% 59 67 83 85 91 99 07 55 57 61 63 65 69 71 73 75 77 79 81 87 89 93 95 97 01 03 05 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 19 19 19 19 20 20 Group I Communicable Group II Non communicable Group III Injuries Ill defined Fuente: Sistema de inforamción de Mortaldiad HA/HSD/OPS
  • 33. Transición Epidemiológica en Guatemala Guatemala 100.00% 90.00% 80.00% 70.00% 60.00% 50.00% 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 0.00% 63 65 69 71 75 81 86 88 92 94 96 98 00 02 06 67 77 79 90 04 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 Group I Communicable Group II Non communicable Group III Injuries Ill defined Fuente: Sistema de inforamción de Mortaldiad HA/HSD/OPS
  • 34. The three leading causes of death in the Americas Rango 1 2 3 Países Año Argentina 2009 Enfermedades isquémicas Enfermedades Influenza y neumonía del corazón cerebrovasculares Belice 2008 Enfermedades isquémicas Eventos de intención no Diabetes mellitus del corazón determinada Brasil 2009 Enfermedades Enfermedades isquémicas cerebrovasculares del corazón Influenza y neumonía Canadá 2007 Neoplasia maligna de la Enfermedades tráquea, de los bronquios Demencia y enfermedad isquémicas del corazón y del pulmón de Alzheimer Chile 2008 Enfermedades Enfermedades isquémicas Cirrosis y otras cerebrovasculares del corazón enfermedades del hígado Colombia 2008 Enfermedades Enfermedades isquémicas del corazón Agresiones/homicidios cerebrovasculares Costa Rica 2009 Enfermedades Enfermedades Enfermedades isquémicas del corazón cerebrovasculares hipertensivas Cuba Neoplasia maligna de la Enfermedades Enfermedades tráquea, de los bronquios 2009 isquémicas del corazón cerebrovasculares y del pulmón Ecuador 2009 Enfermedades Diabetes mellitus cerebrovasculares Influenza y neumonía El Salvador 2008 Enfermedades del sistema Enfermedades isquémicas Agresiones/homicidios urinario del corazón Estados 2007 Neoplasia maligna de la Unidos de Enfermedades tráquea, de los bronquios Demencia y enfermedad América isquémicas del corazón y del pulmón de Alzheimer Guatemala 2008 Ciertas afecciones originadas en el período Influenza y neumonía Agresiones/homicidios perinatal Enfermedades Enfermedades Américas 2007 isquémicas del corazón cerebrovasculares Diabetes mellitus Source: Mortality Information System - PAHO
  • 35. The three leading cause of death in the Americas Rango 1 2 3 Países Año Guyana 2006 Enfermedades Enfermedades isquémicas del corazón cerebrovasculares Diabetes mellitus Islas del 2008 Caribe No- Enfermedades Enfermedades Latino isquémicas del corazón cerebrovasculares Diabetes mellitus México 2009 Enfermedades isquémicas Cirrosis y otras enfermedades del Diabetes mellitus del corazón hígado Nicaragua 2009 Enfermedades isquémicas Cirrosis y otras enfermedades del Diabetes mellitus del corazón hígado Panamá 2009 Enfermedades Enfermedades isquémicas del corazón cerebrovasculares Diabetes mellitus Paraguay 2009 Enfermedades Enfermedades isquémicas Ciertas afecciones originadas en el cerebrovasculares del corazón período perinatal Perú 2007 Enfermedades isquémicas Influenza y neumonía del corazón Enfermedades cerebrovasculares Puerto Rico 2007 Enfermedades Demencia y enfermedad de isquémicas del corazón Diabetes mellitus Alzheimer República 2004 Enfermedades Enfermedades Ciertas afecciones originadas en el Dominicana isquémicas del corazón cerebrovasculares período perinatal Suriname 2007 Enfermedades Enfermedades isquémicas cerebrovasculares del corazón Diabetes mellitus Territorios 2005 Enfermedades franceses cerebrovasculares Diabetes mellitus Neoplasia maligna de la próstata Trinidad y 2007 Enfermedades Tobago isquémicas del corazón Diabetes mellitus Enfermedades cerebrovasculares Uruguay 2004 Enfermedades Enfermedades isquémicas Neoplasia maligna de la tráquea, cerebrovasculares del corazón de los bronquios y del pulmón Venezuela 2007 Enfermedades Enfermedades isquémicas del corazón cerebrovasculares Agresiones/homicidios Enfermedades Enfermedades Américas 2007 isquémicas del corazón cerebrovasculares Diabetes mellitus
  • 36. Diabetes Mellitus Americas, 2000-2009 100.00% 80.00% 60.00% % 40.00% 20.00% 0.00% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus E10 Non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus E11 Malnutrition-related diabetes mellitus E12 Other specified diabetes mellitus E13 Unspecified diabetes mellitus E14 Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
  • 37. Diabetes Mellitus Brazil, 2000-2009 100.00% 80.00% 60.00% % 40.00% 20.00% 0.00% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus E10 Non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus E11 Malnutrition-related diabetes mellitus E12 Other specified diabetes mellitus E13 Unspecified diabetes mellitus E14 Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
  • 38. Diabetes Mellitus Mexico, 2000-2009 100.00% 80.00% 60.00% % 40.00% 20.00% 0.00% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus E10 Non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus E11 Malnutrition-related diabetes mellitus E12 Other specified diabetes mellitus E13 Unspecified diabetes mellitus E14 Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
  • 39. Diabetes Mellitus Cuba, 2000-2009 100.00% 80.00% 60.00% % 40.00% 20.00% 0.00% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus E10 Non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus E11 Malnutrition-related diabetes mellitus E12 Unspecified diabetes mellitus E14 Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
  • 40. Mortality total and due to cardiovascular diseases Belize, 2000-2007 Adjusted mortality rates due to CVD dropped 43.7% from 2000 to 2007, very higher than the average of the Region. The CVD mortality trend for Belize wasn’t showed individually in the Americas profile. Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
  • 41. Mortality due to cardiovascular diseases by major group of causes Limitations to compare Argentina mortality rates due to Ischaemic heart disease to other countries Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
  • 42. Mortality due to cardiovascular diseases by major group of causes Americas 43 22 9 12 14 Guatemala 42 22 29 52 10 Ecuador 27 44 37 26 17 Canada 57 21 3 7 19 Argentina 35 35 10 53 31 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Ischaemic (I20-I25) Cerebrovascular (I60-I69) Hypertensive (I10-I15) Cardiac Arrest (I46)+Heart faillure (I50) Other Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
  • 43. Cardiovascular diseases mortality Selected countries Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
  • 44. Diabetes mellitus mortality Selected countries Source: PAHO/WHO. Mortality Information System; Washington DC:2011
  • 45. What do we need? • Unify criteria for measuring quality (definitions, standards) • Encourage the development and consolidation of a critical mass of research on causes of death ….. Evaluation in The Region • Policy focused on countries with major needs • Promote the use of standards to improve the quality of information • Use and dissemination of statistics locally corrected

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. NEED LABELS ON THE X AND Y AXES