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20150205_T&I India Event Final
1. Private and Confidential – Not for Circulation 11Private and Confidential
Private and Confidential
Not for Circulation
Private Equity and Public Markets
My Key Learnings Over The Last Two Decades
February 05, 2015
T&I India
2. Private and Confidential – Not for Circulation 2
Great Business + Great Management + Reasonable Valuations = Solid Value Creation
Some experience from Private deals:
Acquired controlling stake in Landmark Partners and Northgate Capital
Both of these companies have unique assets, exceptional management teams,
hard-to-replicate relationships and very powerful network effects
Since both businesses had locked revenues at the time of investment there was
low downside risk
Profits generated from both these businesses have more than doubled in last 3
years
Value of acquired stake in both firms has significantly increased
3. Private and Confidential – Not for Circulation 3
Great Business + Great Management + Reasonable Valuations = Solid Value Creation
“The investor rides along in a sidecar pulled by a powerful motorcycle. The more the investor is
distinctively positioned to have confidence in the driver’s integrity and his motorcycle’s capabilities,
the more attractive the investment.” - Richard Zeckhauser
“It doesn’t matter if an investment is public or private, fractional or full ownership, or in debt,
preferred shares, or common equity” – Warren Buffett; …… the same investment principles apply
Most investors tend to be passive and separate from the management..hence most investments
are akin to sidecar investments
4. Private and Confidential – Not for Circulation 4
The Market Often Misunderstands A Great Manager
Relaxo Footwear Limited
Promoter family company owned the Relaxo brand - key source of its moat
“There is not just one cockroach in the kitchen” – Warren Buffett… if the fellow was a
crook we would have found other clues
Subsequently, promoters even transferred the brand to the company for ~ USD 15,000
Symphony Limited
Similarly in Symphony pre 2005 promoters were focused on multiple products and only
one market
Important lessons learnt from past – “One Product - Many Markets”
Recently, covered by The Economist; much after we invested
Thomas Cook India Limited
Thomas Cook India has an excellent brand but didn’t have a great expereince with
acquisitions prior to Fairfax
Faifax acquired Thomas Cook in May 2012 and that to us was a game changer
5. Private and Confidential – Not for Circulation 5
The Stock Market is a Semi-Psychotic Creature
In Private Equity you are dealing with relatively smarter promoters who don’t offer
you bargains every now and then when someone sneezes
“Volatility is the friend of the buyer of value” – Warren Buffett
Risk is not the same as volatility; risk results from overpaying or overestimating a
company’s prospects. Prices fluctuate more than value; price volatility can drive
opportunity
6. Private and Confidential – Not for Circulation 6
Management Equation
Management Evaluation hinges around identifying learning machines.
Look for smart management teams who try and reduce errors and cost of errors by
managing risks
Look for managers who are willing to learn and evolve through their own mistakes
and through vicarious experience.
“You don’t have to pee on an electric fence to learn not to do it”
It is important to learn and widen circle of competence and innovate.
“If you only do things where you know the answer in advance, your company goes
away” - Jeff Bezos
7. Private and Confidential – Not for Circulation 77Private and Confidential
Private and Confidential
Not for Circulation
THANKS