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@ezrafishman
Spheres of Diminishing Lies
Modeling CAC and LTV
@ezrafishman
Quick Chemistry Detour
Rutherford Model
@ezrafishman
Quick Chemistry Detour
Rutherford Model Bohr Model
@ezrafishman
Quick Chemistry Detour
Rutherford Model Bohr Model Quantum Model
@ezrafishman
Modeling CAC and LTV
@ezrafishman
Modeling CAC and LTV
Simple + Full of Lies
Model 1
@ezrafishman
Modeling CAC and LTV
Simple + Full of Lies
Model 1
CAC
• How much did we spend in sales + marketing
this month?
• How many new customers did we gain this
month?
LTV
• What’s ARPC across all our customers?
• What’s our churn rate (customer #) this month?
• What’s our rough gross margin?
@ezrafishman
Modeling CAC and LTV
Simple + Full of Lies
Model 1
Complex + Fewer Lies
Model 8
@ezrafishman
Modeling CAC and LTV
Complex + Fewer Lies
Model 8
@ezrafishman
Modeling CAC and LTV
Complex + Fewer Lies
Model 8
Dimensions to add
• Acquisition channels
• Customer segments
• Time
@ezrafishman

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