The mobile industry has always been prone to hype and hyperbole, but they have more than excelled themselves with the promise of imminent 5G roll out. Apparently 5G will dominate the IoT, Smart Cities, Robotic Plants, Autonomous Vehicles, Global Logistics, Remote Surgery, AR, VR and everything else…. Of course there are elements of the ‘likely outcomes’ here, but there is plenty of reason to consider 5G to be the ultimate Swiss Army Knife - capable of doing almost anything, but only doing a few tasks really well! Reality is that the highest bandwidths forecast are only likely to be achieved at relatively short distances, with high power consumption and relatively short battery life between charges - ie much shorter than 3 or 4G. At the same time the nee for 10 - 100x the number of 4G masts and towers renders the old mobile deployment models impractical. An obvious solution is the deployment of nodes for home and office at FTTP terminal points to provide comprehensive network coverage/geographic infill. Perhaps the prime quality of 5G, over and above 3 and 4G, that is seldom featured is that of very low latency which is an essential for remote robotics, surgery, medicine, AR and VR applications. So in this presentation we consider all of theses aspects (and more) in the context of Industry 4.0 (I4.0) and the move toward sustainable societies in order to present a degree of clarification as to which technologies will most likely applied where. This sees the Not as the nervous system of the planet with more thing connecting at close range off - net, with some consolidation and analysis at node before upload into the IoT. In short; there is not enough energy available for all things to be connected by 5G technology, and nor is it necessary, the available alternatives for very short range - low energy connectivity are not only viable they are more attractive by size, form factor, cost, and operational modes, We therefor predict a dynamic mixed technology future…

1. cochrane.org.uk
ca-global.biz
Hype
Hope
And The
Realitie s
Prof Peter Cochrane OBE
petercochrane.com

2. Glasgow 7 Nov 19

3. Mobile Industry HYPE
Did they actually deliver the 2,3,4G promise
This
A
LL
seem
s
So
V
ER
Y
fa
r
fr
o
m
R
Ea
lity

4. 5 G T H E P ro m is e
Biggest game changer in telecom ever ?
IoT Dominant
Tele-Robotics
Tele-Medicine
Tele-Education
Virtual Reality
Computer Games
Augmented Reality
Trunk/Local BackHaul
Optical Fibre Replacement
++++
++++
Improves your sex life !
Smart Cities
Smart Transport
Sensor Networks
Autonomous Vehicles
++++
There are elements of truth in most
of these statements but they need
qualification case-by-case !
Reduced Costs
Lower Latency
Gbit Data Rates
Higher Reliability
Greater Resilience
Ultimate Flexibility
++++
REality May
Be very
different

5. 5 G T H E H Y P E
A ll things to all peoples everywhere Far MORE
EXciting
Low
Latency

6. VR & AR: In 1990
P r o o f o f p r i n c i p l e t e s t s
• H o t
• H e a v y
• N o v e l
• G e e k y
• E y e S t r a i n
• H e a d a c h e s
• L a t e n c y
• P o o r A u d i o
• Te c h n o p h o b i a
• L o w B a n d w i d t h
• L o w R e s o l u t i o n
• U s e r Te c h n o p h o b i a
• R e s i s t a n c e t o C h a n g e
em

7. And Today
Deployed Already
5G
BW
AND
LOW
Latency
A
W
INNER

8. 500
100
300
400
200
0
600
0 30 60 100 130
DATA Rate w ith Path Length
You can’t beat the Laws of Physics - Verizon Testing
Average
Download
Speed
Mb/s
Distance From Node m
5G
4G

9. DATA Rate w ith Path Length
Real Environment Testing - AT&T Dallas
Average
Download
Speed
Mb/s
Distance From Node m
5G
4G/LTE
1000
600
200
0
30 60 90 120 150 180
1400
0
5G/WiFI

10. 5 G I n f i l l
5G Wireless + PON 5G
Tow ers & Masts
Num bers required are a challenge!
Public objections
Planning constraints
5G >> 10 x 4G sites
Technical boundaries
Economically unviable
Wireless QoS challenges
Energy demand limitations
More FTTNode necessary
China has >80,000
5G nodes in one city!

11. 5G Home & Office
C u s t o m e r s i n s t a l l a t t h e i r e x p e n s e
W i r e l e s s t o n o d e
F i b re To T h e N o d e
S h a r e d B W h i g h e n e r g y d e m a n d
D e d i c a t e d B W l o w e n e r g y d e m a n d
A world of mini &
micro - cells is the
only route to full
coverage 5G with
o p t i c a l f i b r e a t
the core in dense
urban locations
MORE W
ireless
means Far more
Dark
Fibre
Energy demand
Battery life
are primary
concerns

12. Getting 5G To Fly
G o f o r D I Y
P l u g a n d p l a y
n o e x p e r t i s e
re q u i re d !
WiFi ~ 55%
Copper/FTTP ~ 45%
3 + 4G ~5%
Internet Traffic

13. BIO-TECH nano-TECH
AIRoboticsMulti-Disciplinary
hot spot for the 21C
New materials
New industries
New processes
New capabilitiess
Lower energy
Lower waste
Less friction
I 4 . 0 + I o T P e r s p e c t i v e
I n c o n t e x t : S e t t i n g t h e S c e n e & E x p e c t a t i o n
p
o
lis
h
in
g
a
ll
o
u
r
o
ld
in
d
u
s
t
r
ies
is
n
o
t
en
o
u
g
h
w
e
n
eed
m
u
c
h
m
o
r
e

14. IoT
3G
4G
5G
Blue
Tooth
WiFi GSM
EGSM
LTE
Mesh-Nets
ZigBee
UNBLoRa
RPMA
BLE
UNB
UWB
W-P
Manufacture
R&D
BIO- nano
AIRobotics
BIGger Picture
C r e a t i n g s u s t a i n a b l e f u t u r e s
I o T i s t h e f u t u r e
n e r v o u s s y s t e m
o f a n E c o s p h e r e
f o r h u m a n i t y a n d
t h e p l a n e t
IoT set to become
dominant comms
connect data and
intelligence
domain

15. Clustered by applications &
users; convenience; and/or
nearest resource, and
connect point+++
A C l ust e rD/ M es h N ET F UT U R E
~250Bn IoT things connecting & employing aggregation
Most of the IoT
w
ill never
connect direct
to
the
internet

16. Ship to
shore
Container
to Ship
H I D D E N V A L U E
In every container operation globally
BIG DATA = Container, schedule/location ?
Small DATA = Status of container contents ?

17. Direct content of boxes,
or direct box to 3/4/5G
fundamentally impossible
Randomised content-to-content-to-box
and on to pallet-to-pallet-to-container
networks can do the job!
IoT Challenge
A Faraday Cage of shielding
A battery life
>1 year required
Enables
container
sharing on
a vast scale

18. 3,4,5G nets
cannot support
the demands of
future traffic and
logistic networks…
but vehicle to vehicle
systems can…by providing
the most efficient and relevant
linking of users reporting their status
and sharing local/pertinent information
Intelligent Logistics ?
Networks, Clouds, AI without infrastructure

19. D U M B to S M A RT
Wired and wireless vehicle IoT
D o z e n s o f s e n s o r s ,
r e c o r d e r s , c o n t r o l
u n i t s , a g g r e g a t e d b y
o n - b o a rd a n a l y s i s w i t h
I o T / I n t e r n e t c o n n e c t
v i a m u l t i p l e c h a n n e l s
WiFi,3, 4, 5G Direct
to Service Centre
Communication
Direct Car-to-Car
Avoiding 3, 4, 5G Congestion

20. W H E E L - T Y R E R E VO L U T I O N

21. W h e e l F u t u r es
P a ss i v e- A c t i v e
A ss e m b l e d ??
P r i n t e d ??

22. D U M B to S M A RT
- Materials inventory & suppliers
- Production process detail
- Vehicle compatibilities
- Full logistics record
- Storage histories
- Handling details
- History of use
- Temperature
- Humidity
- Stress
- Failures
- Repairs
- Disposal
- Recycle
- Reuse
- +++
- Dynamic element of a vehicle
- Performance optimisation
- Parameter adjustment
- Pressure adaptation
- Suspension trim
- +++
- Reuse
- Repair
- Recycle
- Recover
- Replace
- Repurose

23. I n t e r n e t o f p e o p l e
P e r s o n a l l y , l o c a l l y , g l o b a l l y c o n n e c t e d
Tagged Food Prepared/Consumed Food What we Do Are We Well ?
AnalysysInformed Diagnosis The Out

24. N E W D I R E C T I O N
Intelligent, connected, conversational
Gateway to:
AIs
GPS
Mobiles
Voice I/O
Computers
Health Apps
Health Sensors
Secure Profiling
Wider Awareness
+++
Hearing Aids & Ear Buds
Real Time:
Data
Comms
Support
Analysis
Statistics
Navigation
Electronic ID
Decision Support
++++

25. R o b ots At w o r k
Ta k e o v e r o r b u d d y - b u d d y ?
“Networked surgical/medical
robots learn in parallel not
serial like humans”
Low
Latency
is vital in
All REmote
Robotics

26. R o b ots At w o r k
C o n t r o l l e d I n s i d e t h e b o d y
No
Place or
spacefor 5G
technology

27. new possiBiliTies
5G + Other Wireless Solutions

28. Broadcasting
Malware
Responding
with updated
protection Wider
Network
Updated
Latest
Solution
Update
Dynamic isolation of infected
devices and components
leading to repair
Auto-immunity
A mix of clean and infected
For more goto
UCISA Conference
Birmingham May 2018

29. In this arena of rapidly changing mobile tech
T h e S p ect r u m
Density of connected things
Numberofconnectedthings
Distance/Dispersion
Many see a
picture of
mixed Tech
like this

30. G e t t i n g C l o s e r
Smart homes, offices, environments

31. 5G
Demands
this level of
deployment
investment

32. petercochrane.com
Thank You
“From connected body
to connected planet”