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The Future Is Faster Than You Think Book Summary

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The Future Is Faster Than You Think Book Summary

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This book is about formerly independent exponentially accelerating technologies beginning to converge with other independent waves of exponentially accelerating technologies. Its greatest value is in its exploration of the impact of convergence across multiple industries.

This book is about formerly independent exponentially accelerating technologies beginning to converge with other independent waves of exponentially accelerating technologies. Its greatest value is in its exploration of the impact of convergence across multiple industries.

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The Future Is Faster Than You Think Book Summary

  1. 1. The Future Is Faster Than You Think Peter H. Diamandis and Steven Kotler Book Summary
  2. 2. Once a technology becomes digital – that is, once it can be programmed in the ones and zeros of computer code – it hops on the back of Moore’s Law and begins accelerating exponentially. We use our new computers to design even faster new computers, an this creates a positive feedback loop that further accelerates our acceleration. Ray Kurzweil, director of engineering at Google, calls it the ‘Law of Accelerating Returns.’
  3. 3. Formerly independent waves of exponentially accelerating technology are beginning to converge with other independent waves of exponentially accelerating technology. For example, the speed of drug development is accelerating not only because of biotechnology, but also because AI, quantum computing and other exponentials are converging on the field.
  4. 4. Our brain, which really hasn’t had a hardware update in two hindered thousand years wasn’t designed for this scale or speed. And if we struggle to track the growth of singular innovations, we’re downright helpless in the face of the converging ones.
  5. 5. The Six Ds of Exponentials. Digitization – once a technology becomes digital it jumps on the back of Moore’s Law. Deception – exponentials generate a lot of hype when first introduced, but spend a long time failing to live up to it. Disruption – exponentials disrupt existing products, services, market and industries. Demonetization – where a product or service once had a cost, now money vanishes from the equation. (e.g. early photographs and digital photography) Dematerialization – physical products disappear. (iTunes dematerialized Music Stores) Democratization – this happens when exponential scales and goes wide.
  6. 6. The pace of change is accelerating due to three overlapping amplifiers. First – exponential growth of computing power and new technologies. Second – accelerating individual technologies converging with other accelerating technologies, producing overlapping waves of change. Third – a set of seven new forces, by-product of converging exponentials, but acting as an additional accelerant.
  7. 7. Force #1 : Saved Time. Technology has shrunk innovation development times and expanded the time innovators can devote to development. Its an accelerating feedback loop of acceleration.
  8. 8. Force #2 : availability of Capital. Today its easier for innovators to fund funding more than ever before. And this abundance is financing even more innovation.
  9. 9. Force #3 : Demonetization. Nearly every basic business requirement – energy, education, manufacturing, transportation, communication, insurance and labor is growing cheaper.
  10. 10. Force #4 : More Genius. Until recently, most genius was squandered. One of the by-products of our hyper connected world is that these extraordinary individuals will no longer be casualties of class, country or culture. Add to this developments in neurobiology and ‘brain-computer interfaces’.
  11. 11. Force #5 : Communications Abundance. If network size, density, and fluidity have turned our cities into the best transformation engines we’ve yet managed to create, then the fact that we are about to link the entire globe intro a single network means the whole planet may become the largest innovation lab in history.
  12. 12. Force #6 : New Business Models. Traditionally, innovation means the discovery of breakthrough technologies or the creation of new products or services. But today, we are creating new business models. There are seven emerging models. The Crowd Economy, The Free / Data economy, The Smartness Economy, Closed-loop Economies, Decentralized Autonomies Organization, Multiple World Models, Transformation Economy.
  13. 13. 1. Crowd Economy. This includes crowd sourcing, crowd funding, ICOs, leveraged assets and staff-on-demand – essentially, all the developments that leverage the billions of people already online and the billions coming online. 2. The Free / Data Economy. Platform version, essentially baiting customers with free service and making money off the data. 3. The Smartness Economy. Taking any existing tool and adding a layer of ‘smartness’ 4. Closed-loop Economies. Waste-free or cradle-to-cradle economies. 5. Decentralized Autonomous Organizations. AI / block-chain driven systems without any human involvement. 6. Multiple World Models. We have real-life personae and online personae and this delocalized existence is only going to expand with AR & VR. 7. Transformation Economy. If experience economy was about sharing experiences, in the next iteration, you’re not paying for an experience, you’re paying your life transformed by this experience.
  14. 14. Force # 7: Longer Lives. Extending the healthy human lifespan means increasing the number of years we’re operating at peak capacity and capable of making the greatest contribution to society.
  15. 15. But there are disruptions to our disruptions. Technological unemployment, rogue AIs, Water crisis, climate change and species die-off.
  16. 16. Over the next hundred years the Five Great Migrations will transform the world as we know it. Climate Migrations, Urban Relocations, Virtual Worlds, Space Migration and Meta-Intelligence
  17. 17. Virtual Worlds. 321 million Americans already spend eleven hours online. With greater potential of VR and new technologies, this adds up to another great migration, an exodus of consciousness.
  18. 18. Meta-intelligence. Technologies like BCI (Brain-computer interface) allow upgrades to human brain capabilities. It could evolve into a migration with a cloud-based collective consciousness.

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