SlideShare une entreprise Scribd logo
1  sur  39
Ayazahemad Malek
In simple words, HRP is understood as the
process of forecasting an organization's
future demand for, and supply of, the right
type of people in the right number.
After this only the HRM department can
initiate the recruitment and selection
process
Its called by manpower planning, personal
planning or employment planning
• It includes the estimation of how many qualified
people are necessary to carry out the assigned
activities, how many people will be available, and
what, if anything, must be done to ensure that
personal supply equals personnel demand at the
appropriate point in the future.
Basically it’s the process by which an organization
ensures that it has the right number & kind of
people, at the right place, at the right time,
capable of effectively & efficiently completeing
those tasks that will help the organisation achieve
its overall objectives.
•
1. FUTURE PERSONNEL NEEDS
•
•
•
•
•
•
Surplus or deficiency in staff strength
Results in the anomaly of surplus labour with the lack of top
executives
1. COPING WITH CHANGE
Enables an enterprise to cope with changes in competitive
forces, markets, technology, products & government
regulations
1. CREATING HIGHLY TALENTED PERSONNEL
HR manager must use his/her ingenuity to attract & retain
qualified & skilled personnel
Succession planning
1. PROTECTION OF WEAKER SECTIONS
SC/ST candidates, physically handicapped, children of the
socially disabled & physically oppressed and backward class
citizens.
5. INTERNATIONAL STRATEGIES
•
•
•
•
Fill key jobs with foreign nationals and re-
assignment of employees from within or across
national borders
6. FOUNDATION FOR PERSONNEL FUNCTIONS
Provides information for designing & implementing
recruiting, selection, personnel
movement(transfers, promotions, layoffs) &
training & development
7. INCREASING INVESTMENTS IN HUMAN
RESOURCES
Human assets increase in value
8. RESISTANCE TO CHANGE AND MOVE
Proper planning is required to do this
9. OTHER BENEFITS
• Upper management has a better view of the
HR dimensions of business decision
More time is provided to locate talent
Better opportunities exist to include women &
minority groups in future growth plans
Better planning of assignments to develop
managers can be done
•
•
•
I. TYPE & STRATEGY OF ORGANISATION
Internal growth
Informal
Inflexible
Growth through M & A
Reactive
Flexible
Proactive
Formal
II. ORGANIZATIONAL GROWTH CYCLES & PLANNING
•
•
•
Embryonic stage – No personnel planning
Growth stage – HR forecasting is essential
Maturity stage – Planning more formalized & less
flexible
Declining stage – Planning for layoff, retrenchment &
retirement
•
III. ENVIRONMENTAL UNCERTAINITIES
•
•
Political, social & economic changes
Balancing programmes are built into the HRM
programme through succession planning, promotion
channels, layoffs, flexi time, job sharing, retirement,
VRS, etc….
IV. TIME HORIZONS
• Short-term & Long-term plans
V. TYPE & QUALITY OF FORECASTING INFORMATION
• Type of information which should be used in making
forecasts
VI. NATURE OF JOBS BEING FILLED
• Difference in employing a shop-floor worker & a
managerial personnel
VII. OFF-LOADING THE WORK
ENVIRONMENT
ORGANISATIONAL
OBJECTIVES AND POLICIES
HR NEEDS FORECAST HR SUPPLY FORECAST
HR PROGRAMMING
HRP IMPLEMENTATATION
CONTROL AND
EVALUATION OF PROGRAMME
SURPLUS SHORTAGE
RESTRICTED HIRING RECRUITMENT
REDUCED HOURS AND SELECTION
VRS, LAY OFF, etc
THE HRP PROCESS
HR plans need to be based on Organizational Objectives.
The role of HRP is to subserve the overall objectives by
ensuring availability and utilization of Human Resources.
In developing these objectives, specific policies need to be
formulated to address the following questions:
■ Are vacancies to be filled from promotions from within or
hiring from outside?
■ How do training and development objectives interfere with the
HRP objectives?
■ What union constraints are encountered in HRP and what
policies are needed to handle these constraints?
■ How to enrich employees job? Should the routine and boring
jobs continue or be eliminated?
■ How to downsize the organization to make it more
competitive?
Demand forecasting is the process of
estimating the future quantity and quality of
people required.
The basis of the forecast must be the annual
budget and long-term corporate plan,
translated into activity levels for each
function and department
Demand forecasting must consider several
factors both internal and external.
Among external factors are competition(foreign
and domestic), economic climate, laws and
regulatory bodies, changes in technology and
social factors.
Internal factors include budget constraints,
production levels, new products and services,
organizational structure and employee
separation.
Demand forecasting helps to :
■Quantify the jobs necessary for producing a given
number of goods
■Prevent shortage of people where and when they are
needed most
■Determine what staff-mix is desirable in the future
■Monitor compliance with legal requirements with
regard to reservation of jobs
■Asses appropriate staffing levels in different parts of
the organization so as to avoid unnecessary costs
Managerial judgement
Ratio-trend analysis
Work study techniques
Delphi technique
Flow models
Other techniques
In this all managers sit together, discuss and
arrive at a figure which would be the future
demand for labour.
This technique may involve a ‘bottom-up’ or
‘top-down’ approach. A combination of both
could yield positive results.
This is the quickest forecasting technique.
This technique involves studying past ratios,
say, between the number of workers and
sales in an organization and forecasting
future ratios, making some allowance for
changes in the organization or its method.
Work study techniques can be used when it is
possible to apply work measurement to
calculate the length of operations and the
amount of labour required.
• This technique is the method of forecasting
personnel needs.
It solicits estimates of personnel needs from
a group of experts, usually managers.
•
• The HRP experts act as intermediaries,
summarize the various responses and report
the findings back to the experts.
Summaries and surveys are repeated until
the experts opinion begin to agree.
•
Supply forecasting measures the no of
people likely to be available from within and
outside an organisation,after making
allowance for absenteeism, internal
movements and promotions, wastage and
changes in hours and other conditions of
work.
Quantify no of people and positions expected
in near future.
Clarify the staff mixes.
Prevent shortage of people
Asses present staffing levels in different
parts of organization.
Existing human resources
Internal sources of supply
External sources of supply
• Skill inventories – info about non-managers.
1. Personal data
2. Skills
3. Special qualifications
4. Salary and job history
5. Company data
6. Capacity of individual
7. Special preference of individual
• Management inventories
1. Work history
2. Strengths
3. Weakness
4. Promotion potential
5. Career goals
6. Personal data
7. Number and types of employees supervised
8. Total budget managed
9. Previous management duties.
HR planning and analysis
Equal employment
Staffing
HR development
Compensation and benefits
Health,saftey and security
Employee and labor relations
Inflows and outflows
IS= current supply – outflow + inflow
Turnover rate
No of seperations during one year
Avg no of employees during the year
× 100
Conditions of work and absenteeism.
Absenteeism is given by
no of persons – days lost ×100
Avg no of persons × no of working days
Productivity level
Movement among jobs
New blood and new experience
To replenish old personnel
Organizational growth and diversification
After personal demand and supply are
forecast the vacancies should be filled at
right time with right employees.
Converting HR plan into action.
Action programmes are..
𝗈 Recruitment
𝗈 Selection & placement
𝗈 Training and development
𝗈 Retraining & redeployment
𝗈 The retention plan
𝗈 The redundance plan
𝗈 The succession plan
Recruitment
Selection & placement
●If Shortage of employees
- Do-
Hire new full-time employees
Offer incentives for postponing retirement
Re-hire retired employees on part-time basis
Attempt to reduce turnover
Bring in over-time for present employees
Subcontract work to another company
Hire temporary employees
Re-engineer to reduce needs
If surplus of employees is expected
-Do-
Do not replace employees who leave
Offer incentives for early retirement
Transfer or reassign excess employees
Use slack time for employees training or
equipment maintenance
Reduce work hours
Pay off employee
It covers no. of trainees required
It necessary for existing staff
Identification of resource personal for
conducting development programmes
Frequency of training and development
programmes
Budget allocation
❑Retraining and redeployment:
■New skill should be imported to existing
employee
❑Retention plan:
❑ Compensation plan
❑ Performance appraisal
❑ Employees leaving in search of green pastures
❑ The induction criss
❑ Shortages
❑ Unstable recruits
Who is to be redundant and where and when
Plans for re-development or re-training
Steps to be taken to help redundant
employees finding new jobs
Policy for declaring redundancies
Programme for consulting with unions or
staff associations
Analysis of demand
Audit of existing executives
Planning of individual career path
Career counseling
Accelerated promotions
Performance related training and
development
Planned strategic recruitment
Filling the openings
Establish the reporting procedures
Identifying who are in post and those who
are in pipe line
It should report employment costs against
budget and trends in wastage and
employment ratios
● Institute of Applied Manpower Research
● Requisites for successful HRP
●Recognize of corporate planning
●Backing of top management for HRP
●HRP responsibilities should be centralized
●Personnel record must be complete, up-date and
readily available
●The time horizon of plan should be long for remedial
action
●The techniques of planning should be best suit
●Plans should be prepared by skill level
●Data collection, analysis, techniques of planning
should be constantly revised
● People question the importance of making HR
practices future oriented and role assigned to HR
practitioners in formulation of organizational
strategies
● HR practitioners are perceived as expert in handling
personnel matters, but are not experts in managing
business.
● HR information often is incompatible with the
information used in strategy formulation.
● Conflicts may exist between short term and long term
HR needs.
● Conflicts between quantitative and qualitative
approaches to HRP.
● Non-involvement of operating managers renders HRP
ineffective.

Contenu connexe

Tendances

Tendances (20)

Hr planning
Hr planningHr planning
Hr planning
 
Hr planning
Hr planningHr planning
Hr planning
 
Human resources planning
Human resources planningHuman resources planning
Human resources planning
 
Human resource planning.l 4
Human resource planning.l 4Human resource planning.l 4
Human resource planning.l 4
 
Presentation on HR Planning
Presentation on HR PlanningPresentation on HR Planning
Presentation on HR Planning
 
Hr planning
Hr planningHr planning
Hr planning
 
Human Resources Planning (BBA-III, Sambalpur University)
Human Resources Planning (BBA-III, Sambalpur University)Human Resources Planning (BBA-III, Sambalpur University)
Human Resources Planning (BBA-III, Sambalpur University)
 
Human resource planning- (Deepak K Ajayan-MHRM 13- DiST)
Human resource planning- (Deepak K Ajayan-MHRM 13- DiST)Human resource planning- (Deepak K Ajayan-MHRM 13- DiST)
Human resource planning- (Deepak K Ajayan-MHRM 13- DiST)
 
Human resource planning by brishty
Human resource planning by brishtyHuman resource planning by brishty
Human resource planning by brishty
 
Human Resource Planning
Human Resource PlanningHuman Resource Planning
Human Resource Planning
 
Human Resource planning
Human Resource planningHuman Resource planning
Human Resource planning
 
Hrm planning
Hrm planningHrm planning
Hrm planning
 
Humanresource planning
Humanresource planningHumanresource planning
Humanresource planning
 
HUMAN RESOURCE PLANNING
HUMAN RESOURCE PLANNINGHUMAN RESOURCE PLANNING
HUMAN RESOURCE PLANNING
 
Requisite of a sucessfull hrp
Requisite of a sucessfull hrpRequisite of a sucessfull hrp
Requisite of a sucessfull hrp
 
Manpower planning
Manpower planningManpower planning
Manpower planning
 
Chapter 2.hr planning
Chapter 2.hr planningChapter 2.hr planning
Chapter 2.hr planning
 
Human Resource Planning (HRP)
Human Resource Planning (HRP)Human Resource Planning (HRP)
Human Resource Planning (HRP)
 
Hrm
HrmHrm
Hrm
 
Human resource planning
Human resource planningHuman resource planning
Human resource planning
 

Similaire à How to Forecast Future HR Needs

Human Resource planning
Human Resource planningHuman Resource planning
Human Resource planningAnything Group
 
moduleii-hrmiiibba-170113082336 (1).pdf
moduleii-hrmiiibba-170113082336 (1).pdfmoduleii-hrmiiibba-170113082336 (1).pdf
moduleii-hrmiiibba-170113082336 (1).pdfManishaBharti52
 
moduleii-hrmiiibba-
moduleii-hrmiiibba-moduleii-hrmiiibba-
moduleii-hrmiiibba-ssuserb87e72
 
Human resource plg
Human resource plgHuman resource plg
Human resource plgSanjiv Kumar
 
Human resource planning & development
Human resource planning & developmentHuman resource planning & development
Human resource planning & developmentkavita sharma
 
Human resource planning, Job analysis, Absenteeism and Employee turnover
Human resource planning, Job analysis, Absenteeism and Employee turnoverHuman resource planning, Job analysis, Absenteeism and Employee turnover
Human resource planning, Job analysis, Absenteeism and Employee turnoverSanthanalaxmi Karthikvel
 
Hr planning lecture
Hr planning lecture Hr planning lecture
Hr planning lecture abir hossain
 
2 hr-planning-recruitmentselection-1221576527574860-9
2 hr-planning-recruitmentselection-1221576527574860-92 hr-planning-recruitmentselection-1221576527574860-9
2 hr-planning-recruitmentselection-1221576527574860-9lowela brier
 
2 hr-planning-recruitmentselection-1221576527574860-9 (1)
2 hr-planning-recruitmentselection-1221576527574860-9 (1)2 hr-planning-recruitmentselection-1221576527574860-9 (1)
2 hr-planning-recruitmentselection-1221576527574860-9 (1)lowela brier
 
Unit 2 HRP.pptx
Unit 2 HRP.pptxUnit 2 HRP.pptx
Unit 2 HRP.pptxsanthosh77
 
Human Resource Planning.pptx
Human Resource Planning.pptxHuman Resource Planning.pptx
Human Resource Planning.pptxAvradeep Ganguly
 
Human resource management introduction power point
Human resource management introduction power pointHuman resource management introduction power point
Human resource management introduction power pointsreekanthkonnipati
 

Similaire à How to Forecast Future HR Needs (20)

HR Planning
HR PlanningHR Planning
HR Planning
 
Human Resource planning
Human Resource planningHuman Resource planning
Human Resource planning
 
moduleii-hrmiiibba-170113082336 (1).pdf
moduleii-hrmiiibba-170113082336 (1).pdfmoduleii-hrmiiibba-170113082336 (1).pdf
moduleii-hrmiiibba-170113082336 (1).pdf
 
HR PLANNING
HR PLANNINGHR PLANNING
HR PLANNING
 
moduleii-hrmiiibba-
moduleii-hrmiiibba-moduleii-hrmiiibba-
moduleii-hrmiiibba-
 
BBA-SEM-3-HR planning
BBA-SEM-3-HR planningBBA-SEM-3-HR planning
BBA-SEM-3-HR planning
 
Human resource plg
Human resource plgHuman resource plg
Human resource plg
 
Human resource planning & development
Human resource planning & developmentHuman resource planning & development
Human resource planning & development
 
Human resource planning.pptx
Human resource planning.pptxHuman resource planning.pptx
Human resource planning.pptx
 
HRP -3.ppt
HRP -3.pptHRP -3.ppt
HRP -3.ppt
 
Human resource planning, Job analysis, Absenteeism and Employee turnover
Human resource planning, Job analysis, Absenteeism and Employee turnoverHuman resource planning, Job analysis, Absenteeism and Employee turnover
Human resource planning, Job analysis, Absenteeism and Employee turnover
 
Hr planning lecture
Hr planning lecture Hr planning lecture
Hr planning lecture
 
2 hr-planning-recruitmentselection-1221576527574860-9
2 hr-planning-recruitmentselection-1221576527574860-92 hr-planning-recruitmentselection-1221576527574860-9
2 hr-planning-recruitmentselection-1221576527574860-9
 
2 hr-planning-recruitmentselection-1221576527574860-9 (1)
2 hr-planning-recruitmentselection-1221576527574860-9 (1)2 hr-planning-recruitmentselection-1221576527574860-9 (1)
2 hr-planning-recruitmentselection-1221576527574860-9 (1)
 
Unit 2 HRP.pptx
Unit 2 HRP.pptxUnit 2 HRP.pptx
Unit 2 HRP.pptx
 
Hr requirement
Hr requirementHr requirement
Hr requirement
 
Human Resources Planning, Recruitment
Human Resources Planning, RecruitmentHuman Resources Planning, Recruitment
Human Resources Planning, Recruitment
 
Human Resource Planning.pptx
Human Resource Planning.pptxHuman Resource Planning.pptx
Human Resource Planning.pptx
 
Human resource management introduction power point
Human resource management introduction power pointHuman resource management introduction power point
Human resource management introduction power point
 
HRP.pptx
HRP.pptxHRP.pptx
HRP.pptx
 

Dernier

Uttoxeter & Cheadle Voice, Issue 122.pdf
Uttoxeter & Cheadle Voice, Issue 122.pdfUttoxeter & Cheadle Voice, Issue 122.pdf
Uttoxeter & Cheadle Voice, Issue 122.pdfNoel Sergeant
 
Virat Kohli Centuries In Career Age Awards and Facts.pdf
Virat Kohli Centuries In Career Age Awards and Facts.pdfVirat Kohli Centuries In Career Age Awards and Facts.pdf
Virat Kohli Centuries In Career Age Awards and Facts.pdfkigaya33
 
《QUT毕业文凭网-认证昆士兰科技大学毕业证成绩单》
《QUT毕业文凭网-认证昆士兰科技大学毕业证成绩单》《QUT毕业文凭网-认证昆士兰科技大学毕业证成绩单》
《QUT毕业文凭网-认证昆士兰科技大学毕业证成绩单》rnrncn29
 
'the Spring 2024- popular Fashion trends
'the Spring 2024- popular Fashion trends'the Spring 2024- popular Fashion trends
'the Spring 2024- popular Fashion trendsTangledThoughtsCO
 
Call In girls Delhi Safdarjung Enclave/WhatsApp 🔝 97111⇛⇛47426
Call In girls Delhi Safdarjung Enclave/WhatsApp 🔝  97111⇛⇛47426Call In girls Delhi Safdarjung Enclave/WhatsApp 🔝  97111⇛⇛47426
Call In girls Delhi Safdarjung Enclave/WhatsApp 🔝 97111⇛⇛47426jennyeacort
 
labradorite energetic gems for well beings.pdf
labradorite energetic gems for well beings.pdflabradorite energetic gems for well beings.pdf
labradorite energetic gems for well beings.pdfAkrati jewels inc
 
83778-876O7, Cash On Delivery Call Girls In South- EX-(Delhi) Escorts Service...
83778-876O7, Cash On Delivery Call Girls In South- EX-(Delhi) Escorts Service...83778-876O7, Cash On Delivery Call Girls In South- EX-(Delhi) Escorts Service...
83778-876O7, Cash On Delivery Call Girls In South- EX-(Delhi) Escorts Service...dollysharma2066
 
8377877756 Full Enjoy @24/7 Call Girls In Mayur Vihar Delhi Ncr
8377877756 Full Enjoy @24/7 Call Girls In Mayur Vihar Delhi Ncr8377877756 Full Enjoy @24/7 Call Girls In Mayur Vihar Delhi Ncr
8377877756 Full Enjoy @24/7 Call Girls In Mayur Vihar Delhi Ncrdollysharma2066
 
BOOK NIGHT-Call Girls In Noida City Centre Delhi ☎️ 8377877756
BOOK NIGHT-Call Girls In Noida City Centre Delhi ☎️ 8377877756BOOK NIGHT-Call Girls In Noida City Centre Delhi ☎️ 8377877756
BOOK NIGHT-Call Girls In Noida City Centre Delhi ☎️ 8377877756dollysharma2066
 
8 Easy Ways to Keep Your Heart Healthy this Summer | Amit Kakkar Healthyway
8 Easy Ways to Keep Your Heart Healthy this Summer | Amit Kakkar Healthyway8 Easy Ways to Keep Your Heart Healthy this Summer | Amit Kakkar Healthyway
8 Easy Ways to Keep Your Heart Healthy this Summer | Amit Kakkar HealthywayAmit Kakkar Healthyway
 

Dernier (11)

Uttoxeter & Cheadle Voice, Issue 122.pdf
Uttoxeter & Cheadle Voice, Issue 122.pdfUttoxeter & Cheadle Voice, Issue 122.pdf
Uttoxeter & Cheadle Voice, Issue 122.pdf
 
Virat Kohli Centuries In Career Age Awards and Facts.pdf
Virat Kohli Centuries In Career Age Awards and Facts.pdfVirat Kohli Centuries In Career Age Awards and Facts.pdf
Virat Kohli Centuries In Career Age Awards and Facts.pdf
 
《QUT毕业文凭网-认证昆士兰科技大学毕业证成绩单》
《QUT毕业文凭网-认证昆士兰科技大学毕业证成绩单》《QUT毕业文凭网-认证昆士兰科技大学毕业证成绩单》
《QUT毕业文凭网-认证昆士兰科技大学毕业证成绩单》
 
'the Spring 2024- popular Fashion trends
'the Spring 2024- popular Fashion trends'the Spring 2024- popular Fashion trends
'the Spring 2024- popular Fashion trends
 
Call In girls Delhi Safdarjung Enclave/WhatsApp 🔝 97111⇛⇛47426
Call In girls Delhi Safdarjung Enclave/WhatsApp 🔝  97111⇛⇛47426Call In girls Delhi Safdarjung Enclave/WhatsApp 🔝  97111⇛⇛47426
Call In girls Delhi Safdarjung Enclave/WhatsApp 🔝 97111⇛⇛47426
 
labradorite energetic gems for well beings.pdf
labradorite energetic gems for well beings.pdflabradorite energetic gems for well beings.pdf
labradorite energetic gems for well beings.pdf
 
83778-876O7, Cash On Delivery Call Girls In South- EX-(Delhi) Escorts Service...
83778-876O7, Cash On Delivery Call Girls In South- EX-(Delhi) Escorts Service...83778-876O7, Cash On Delivery Call Girls In South- EX-(Delhi) Escorts Service...
83778-876O7, Cash On Delivery Call Girls In South- EX-(Delhi) Escorts Service...
 
8377877756 Full Enjoy @24/7 Call Girls In Mayur Vihar Delhi Ncr
8377877756 Full Enjoy @24/7 Call Girls In Mayur Vihar Delhi Ncr8377877756 Full Enjoy @24/7 Call Girls In Mayur Vihar Delhi Ncr
8377877756 Full Enjoy @24/7 Call Girls In Mayur Vihar Delhi Ncr
 
Call Girls 9953525677 Call Girls In Delhi Call Girls 9953525677 Call Girls In...
Call Girls 9953525677 Call Girls In Delhi Call Girls 9953525677 Call Girls In...Call Girls 9953525677 Call Girls In Delhi Call Girls 9953525677 Call Girls In...
Call Girls 9953525677 Call Girls In Delhi Call Girls 9953525677 Call Girls In...
 
BOOK NIGHT-Call Girls In Noida City Centre Delhi ☎️ 8377877756
BOOK NIGHT-Call Girls In Noida City Centre Delhi ☎️ 8377877756BOOK NIGHT-Call Girls In Noida City Centre Delhi ☎️ 8377877756
BOOK NIGHT-Call Girls In Noida City Centre Delhi ☎️ 8377877756
 
8 Easy Ways to Keep Your Heart Healthy this Summer | Amit Kakkar Healthyway
8 Easy Ways to Keep Your Heart Healthy this Summer | Amit Kakkar Healthyway8 Easy Ways to Keep Your Heart Healthy this Summer | Amit Kakkar Healthyway
8 Easy Ways to Keep Your Heart Healthy this Summer | Amit Kakkar Healthyway
 

How to Forecast Future HR Needs

  • 2. In simple words, HRP is understood as the process of forecasting an organization's future demand for, and supply of, the right type of people in the right number. After this only the HRM department can initiate the recruitment and selection process Its called by manpower planning, personal planning or employment planning
  • 3. • It includes the estimation of how many qualified people are necessary to carry out the assigned activities, how many people will be available, and what, if anything, must be done to ensure that personal supply equals personnel demand at the appropriate point in the future. Basically it’s the process by which an organization ensures that it has the right number & kind of people, at the right place, at the right time, capable of effectively & efficiently completeing those tasks that will help the organisation achieve its overall objectives. •
  • 4. 1. FUTURE PERSONNEL NEEDS • • • • • • Surplus or deficiency in staff strength Results in the anomaly of surplus labour with the lack of top executives 1. COPING WITH CHANGE Enables an enterprise to cope with changes in competitive forces, markets, technology, products & government regulations 1. CREATING HIGHLY TALENTED PERSONNEL HR manager must use his/her ingenuity to attract & retain qualified & skilled personnel Succession planning 1. PROTECTION OF WEAKER SECTIONS SC/ST candidates, physically handicapped, children of the socially disabled & physically oppressed and backward class citizens.
  • 5. 5. INTERNATIONAL STRATEGIES • • • • Fill key jobs with foreign nationals and re- assignment of employees from within or across national borders 6. FOUNDATION FOR PERSONNEL FUNCTIONS Provides information for designing & implementing recruiting, selection, personnel movement(transfers, promotions, layoffs) & training & development 7. INCREASING INVESTMENTS IN HUMAN RESOURCES Human assets increase in value 8. RESISTANCE TO CHANGE AND MOVE Proper planning is required to do this
  • 6. 9. OTHER BENEFITS • Upper management has a better view of the HR dimensions of business decision More time is provided to locate talent Better opportunities exist to include women & minority groups in future growth plans Better planning of assignments to develop managers can be done • • •
  • 7. I. TYPE & STRATEGY OF ORGANISATION Internal growth Informal Inflexible Growth through M & A Reactive Flexible Proactive Formal
  • 8. II. ORGANIZATIONAL GROWTH CYCLES & PLANNING • • • Embryonic stage – No personnel planning Growth stage – HR forecasting is essential Maturity stage – Planning more formalized & less flexible Declining stage – Planning for layoff, retrenchment & retirement • III. ENVIRONMENTAL UNCERTAINITIES • • Political, social & economic changes Balancing programmes are built into the HRM programme through succession planning, promotion channels, layoffs, flexi time, job sharing, retirement, VRS, etc….
  • 9. IV. TIME HORIZONS • Short-term & Long-term plans V. TYPE & QUALITY OF FORECASTING INFORMATION • Type of information which should be used in making forecasts VI. NATURE OF JOBS BEING FILLED • Difference in employing a shop-floor worker & a managerial personnel VII. OFF-LOADING THE WORK
  • 10. ENVIRONMENT ORGANISATIONAL OBJECTIVES AND POLICIES HR NEEDS FORECAST HR SUPPLY FORECAST HR PROGRAMMING HRP IMPLEMENTATATION CONTROL AND EVALUATION OF PROGRAMME SURPLUS SHORTAGE RESTRICTED HIRING RECRUITMENT REDUCED HOURS AND SELECTION VRS, LAY OFF, etc THE HRP PROCESS
  • 11. HR plans need to be based on Organizational Objectives. The role of HRP is to subserve the overall objectives by ensuring availability and utilization of Human Resources. In developing these objectives, specific policies need to be formulated to address the following questions: ■ Are vacancies to be filled from promotions from within or hiring from outside? ■ How do training and development objectives interfere with the HRP objectives? ■ What union constraints are encountered in HRP and what policies are needed to handle these constraints? ■ How to enrich employees job? Should the routine and boring jobs continue or be eliminated? ■ How to downsize the organization to make it more competitive?
  • 12. Demand forecasting is the process of estimating the future quantity and quality of people required. The basis of the forecast must be the annual budget and long-term corporate plan, translated into activity levels for each function and department
  • 13. Demand forecasting must consider several factors both internal and external. Among external factors are competition(foreign and domestic), economic climate, laws and regulatory bodies, changes in technology and social factors. Internal factors include budget constraints, production levels, new products and services, organizational structure and employee separation.
  • 14. Demand forecasting helps to : ■Quantify the jobs necessary for producing a given number of goods ■Prevent shortage of people where and when they are needed most ■Determine what staff-mix is desirable in the future ■Monitor compliance with legal requirements with regard to reservation of jobs ■Asses appropriate staffing levels in different parts of the organization so as to avoid unnecessary costs
  • 15. Managerial judgement Ratio-trend analysis Work study techniques Delphi technique Flow models Other techniques
  • 16. In this all managers sit together, discuss and arrive at a figure which would be the future demand for labour. This technique may involve a ‘bottom-up’ or ‘top-down’ approach. A combination of both could yield positive results.
  • 17. This is the quickest forecasting technique. This technique involves studying past ratios, say, between the number of workers and sales in an organization and forecasting future ratios, making some allowance for changes in the organization or its method.
  • 18. Work study techniques can be used when it is possible to apply work measurement to calculate the length of operations and the amount of labour required.
  • 19. • This technique is the method of forecasting personnel needs. It solicits estimates of personnel needs from a group of experts, usually managers. • • The HRP experts act as intermediaries, summarize the various responses and report the findings back to the experts. Summaries and surveys are repeated until the experts opinion begin to agree. •
  • 20. Supply forecasting measures the no of people likely to be available from within and outside an organisation,after making allowance for absenteeism, internal movements and promotions, wastage and changes in hours and other conditions of work.
  • 21. Quantify no of people and positions expected in near future. Clarify the staff mixes. Prevent shortage of people Asses present staffing levels in different parts of organization.
  • 22. Existing human resources Internal sources of supply External sources of supply
  • 23. • Skill inventories – info about non-managers. 1. Personal data 2. Skills 3. Special qualifications 4. Salary and job history 5. Company data 6. Capacity of individual 7. Special preference of individual
  • 24. • Management inventories 1. Work history 2. Strengths 3. Weakness 4. Promotion potential 5. Career goals 6. Personal data 7. Number and types of employees supervised 8. Total budget managed 9. Previous management duties.
  • 25. HR planning and analysis Equal employment Staffing HR development Compensation and benefits Health,saftey and security Employee and labor relations
  • 26. Inflows and outflows IS= current supply – outflow + inflow Turnover rate No of seperations during one year Avg no of employees during the year × 100
  • 27. Conditions of work and absenteeism. Absenteeism is given by no of persons – days lost ×100 Avg no of persons × no of working days Productivity level Movement among jobs
  • 28. New blood and new experience To replenish old personnel Organizational growth and diversification
  • 29. After personal demand and supply are forecast the vacancies should be filled at right time with right employees.
  • 30. Converting HR plan into action. Action programmes are.. 𝗈 Recruitment 𝗈 Selection & placement 𝗈 Training and development 𝗈 Retraining & redeployment 𝗈 The retention plan 𝗈 The redundance plan 𝗈 The succession plan
  • 31. Recruitment Selection & placement ●If Shortage of employees - Do- Hire new full-time employees Offer incentives for postponing retirement Re-hire retired employees on part-time basis Attempt to reduce turnover Bring in over-time for present employees Subcontract work to another company Hire temporary employees Re-engineer to reduce needs
  • 32. If surplus of employees is expected -Do- Do not replace employees who leave Offer incentives for early retirement Transfer or reassign excess employees Use slack time for employees training or equipment maintenance Reduce work hours Pay off employee
  • 33. It covers no. of trainees required It necessary for existing staff Identification of resource personal for conducting development programmes Frequency of training and development programmes Budget allocation
  • 34. ❑Retraining and redeployment: ■New skill should be imported to existing employee ❑Retention plan: ❑ Compensation plan ❑ Performance appraisal ❑ Employees leaving in search of green pastures ❑ The induction criss ❑ Shortages ❑ Unstable recruits
  • 35. Who is to be redundant and where and when Plans for re-development or re-training Steps to be taken to help redundant employees finding new jobs Policy for declaring redundancies Programme for consulting with unions or staff associations
  • 36. Analysis of demand Audit of existing executives Planning of individual career path Career counseling Accelerated promotions Performance related training and development Planned strategic recruitment Filling the openings
  • 37. Establish the reporting procedures Identifying who are in post and those who are in pipe line It should report employment costs against budget and trends in wastage and employment ratios
  • 38. ● Institute of Applied Manpower Research ● Requisites for successful HRP ●Recognize of corporate planning ●Backing of top management for HRP ●HRP responsibilities should be centralized ●Personnel record must be complete, up-date and readily available ●The time horizon of plan should be long for remedial action ●The techniques of planning should be best suit ●Plans should be prepared by skill level ●Data collection, analysis, techniques of planning should be constantly revised
  • 39. ● People question the importance of making HR practices future oriented and role assigned to HR practitioners in formulation of organizational strategies ● HR practitioners are perceived as expert in handling personnel matters, but are not experts in managing business. ● HR information often is incompatible with the information used in strategy formulation. ● Conflicts may exist between short term and long term HR needs. ● Conflicts between quantitative and qualitative approaches to HRP. ● Non-involvement of operating managers renders HRP ineffective.