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Better Decision
    Making

         Presented By: Anu Mishra
                    M.B.A 3rd Sem
                               B.U
Financial Decision-Making
• Performing a Cost/Benefit Analysis is essential
  to sound financial decision-making
• A critical part of a Cost Benefit Analysis is
  determining the value of money over time
Time Value of Money
• Money’s value changes over time

• A dollar today is worth more than a dollar
  tomorrow

• When time value is considered, the cost-
  effectiveness of a project can change
Today’s dollar is worth more because:

• Interest rates
  $100 you invest at a 4% interest rate today will be
  worth $104 in 1 year, thus making today’s money
  worth more
• Inflation
  You purchase 20 items today at $1.00 each for
  $20.00
  After one year, due to inflation, those same items
  cost $1.50 each and you can only purchase 13.33
  of that same item with our $20.00. Thus, today’s
  money is worth more.
Value of Money Over Time

                 Future Value
Measures what today’s money would be worth
  at a specified time in the future assuming a
              certain discount rate

                Present Value
Measures what money at a specified period of
 time in the future would be worth if valued in
            terms of today’s money
Why Better Decision Making is
              Necessary ?
• Uncertainty - Many facts may not be known.

• Complexity - You have to consider many interrelated
  factors.

• High-risk consequences - The impact of the decision may
  be significant.

• Alternatives - Each has its own set of uncertainties and
  consequences.

• Interpersonal issues - It can be difficult to predict how
  other people will react.
Discount Rate
• The rate used in calculating the present value
  of expected yearly benefits and costs

• Used to reflect the time value of money

• The higher the discount rate, the lower the
  present value of future cash flows
A Systematic Approach to Decision
                Making
There are six steps to making an effective decision:
• Create a constructive environment.
• Generate good alternatives.
• Explore these alternatives.
• Choose the best alternative.
• Check your decision.
• Communicate your decision, and take action.
Better decision making

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Better decision making

  • 1.
  • 2. Better Decision Making Presented By: Anu Mishra M.B.A 3rd Sem B.U
  • 3. Financial Decision-Making • Performing a Cost/Benefit Analysis is essential to sound financial decision-making • A critical part of a Cost Benefit Analysis is determining the value of money over time
  • 4. Time Value of Money • Money’s value changes over time • A dollar today is worth more than a dollar tomorrow • When time value is considered, the cost- effectiveness of a project can change
  • 5. Today’s dollar is worth more because: • Interest rates $100 you invest at a 4% interest rate today will be worth $104 in 1 year, thus making today’s money worth more • Inflation You purchase 20 items today at $1.00 each for $20.00 After one year, due to inflation, those same items cost $1.50 each and you can only purchase 13.33 of that same item with our $20.00. Thus, today’s money is worth more.
  • 6. Value of Money Over Time Future Value Measures what today’s money would be worth at a specified time in the future assuming a certain discount rate Present Value Measures what money at a specified period of time in the future would be worth if valued in terms of today’s money
  • 7. Why Better Decision Making is Necessary ? • Uncertainty - Many facts may not be known. • Complexity - You have to consider many interrelated factors. • High-risk consequences - The impact of the decision may be significant. • Alternatives - Each has its own set of uncertainties and consequences. • Interpersonal issues - It can be difficult to predict how other people will react.
  • 8. Discount Rate • The rate used in calculating the present value of expected yearly benefits and costs • Used to reflect the time value of money • The higher the discount rate, the lower the present value of future cash flows
  • 9. A Systematic Approach to Decision Making There are six steps to making an effective decision: • Create a constructive environment. • Generate good alternatives. • Explore these alternatives. • Choose the best alternative. • Check your decision. • Communicate your decision, and take action.