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February 2023
Bangalore. Delhi. Mumbai. Dubai. Singapore. New York
Q3’22
© 2023 Redseer Strategy Consultants Confidential and Proprietary Information
Indian ShortForm
Apps – Catching up to
Global Players
Executive Summary
Executive Summary
Source(s): Redseer Analysis
© Redseer 02
India is one of the most linguistically & culturally diverse countries in the World, driving the
need for localized regional content
Indian SFV apps have carved out a niche serving the regional content needs of India. Indian app users are
more representative of the Indian Population as compared to global apps that are over-indexed on Metro &
Tier-1. Regional content is of key preference in Tier 2+ .
The Coming of Age
of Indian SFV Platforms
as challengers to Global
Apps
Indian SFV apps have seen constant growth in adoption and engagement, coming close to Global players
The content offering of Indian SFV players has also shown consistent improvement, coming close to
International counterparts, while content library (genres) of Indian apps are more in line with Indian needs
Instagram Reels leads overall amongst SFV apps, while Josh leads within the Indian SFV planforms
The technology of Indian SFV players has also come quite close to their global counterparts, with Josh
performing the best in most parameters among Indian SFV platforms
Creator Economy –
a $3.5 Bn Opportunity
waiting to be disrupted
Increasing consumption of UGC has empowered individual creators, who are now building their online identity.
SFV apps are the go-to platforms for creators as they enable higher engagement and discoverability
Brands have increased their focus on Influencer ads on account of their higher effectiveness
UGC platforms are developing Creator Marketplaces that can become a centralized network for creators to
connect to the brands, solving for inefficiency created by intermediary agencies
Monetization of
Indian SFVs – at an
Inflection point;
$8-12 Bn opportunity
~$3-6 Bn advertising opportunity to be unlocked driven by the improvements in Ad Offering & Video Commerce
Video Commerce is expected to be ~$8-11 Bn, with Shortform platforms expected to drive ~40% of the market
With the rise of creator economy, Virtual gifting is expected to reach ~$1.7 bn in 2025.
India Cultural
Landscape and Rise
of Shortform Video
Agenda
Agenda
Source(s): Redseer Analysis
© Redseer 03
Indian Cultural Landscape and Rise of Shortform Video
The coming of age of Indian SFV apps – challengers to global apps
Creator Economy – a $3.5 Bn Opportunity waiting to be disrupted
Monetisation of Indian SFVs – at an Inflection point
Linguistic Diversity
Descriptive
Source(s): Secondary Research, Redseer Analysis
Note(s): 1. Top 4 develop countries as per GDP and Top 6 emerging countries (defined by IMF) sorted by GDP have been considered
© Redseer 04
India is one of the most linguistically & culturally diverse countries
in the world
- Driving the need for localized regional content
India has 447 living languages and over 19500 dialects. Every 20 Kms, the language, dialect, and culture undergoes a complete change
India ranks the highest in terms of linguistic
fractionalization and has the second highest
number of living languages
0.0
0 100
UK
Japan
Germany
Brazil
Mexico
United States
Size of bubble is country’s population
Indonesia
Iran
Russia
200 300 400 500
Number of Living Languages
Linguistic
Fractionalization
600 700 800
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
China
India
North India
Lohri Teej
East India
Bihu Durga Puja
West India
Dandia Ganesh Chaturti
East India
Onam Pongal
Indian landscape Cultural Diversity
Metro + Tier 1 (N = 814) Tier 2+ (N = 286)
Tier-wise Split
In %
Consumer Habits/Preferences – Tier-wise Variations
Descriptive
Source(s): Consumer survey (N = 1100), Redseer Analysis
© Redseer 05
Indian SFV apps have carved out a niche serving the regional
content needs of India
Indian app users are representative of the
Indian Population as compared to global app users,
which are over indexed on metro & tier 1 cities
Indian landscape SFV Overview
While the regional languages find an audience across
India, it’s of key preference in tier 2+ cities
Indian
Population
Global
App Users
Indian
App Users
Preferred
Languages
for content
consumption
Hindi
English
Regional
58%
41%
37%
Hindi
English
Regional
50%
28%
40%
Video Content
Preference
Content Quality
Personalization
Influencer Quality
1.
2.
3.
Influencer Quality
Regional Content
Content Quality
1.
2.
3.
Metro
Tier 1
Tier 2
8%
10%
83%
38%
66%
21%
13%
31%
31%
Agenda
Agenda
Source(s): Redseer Analysis
© Redseer 06
Indian Cultural Landscape and Rise of Shortform Video
The coming of age of Indian SFV apps – challengers to global apps
Creator Economy – a $3.5 Bn Opportunity waiting to be disrupted
Monetisation of Indian SFVs – at an Inflection point
MAU¹ - India SFV
In Mn, Sept’21, Sept’22
DAU¹ – India SFV
In Mn, Sept’21, Sept’22
Time spent per DAU¹ – India SFV
In Mins, Sept’21, Sept’22
Source(s): Redseer IP, Redseer Analysis
Note(s): 1. This only includes India standalone apps accounting for overlap. IG Reels, FB Watch and YT Shorts are not considered
© Redseer 07
Indian SFV apps have seen constant growth in adoption
and engagement …
SFV Metrics User Engagement
Sept’21
261 Mn
275 Mn
Sept’22
+5%
Sept’21
98 Mn
107 Mn
Sept’22
+10%
Sept’21
32.9 Mins
Sept’22
+4%
31.5 Mins
MAU - Indian vs Global leading
SFV player
In Mn, Sept’22
DAU – Indian vs Global leading
SFV player
In Mn, Sept’22
Time spent per DAU – Indian vs
Global leading SFV player
In Mins, Sept’22
Source(s): Redseer IP, Redseer Analysis
© Redseer 08
…coming close to global players in terms of scale while having
similar engagement levels
SFV Metrics User Engagement
Leading
Indian Player
165 Mn
213 Mn
Leading
Global Player
Leading
Indian Player
Leading
Global Player
Leading
Indian Player
Leading
Global Player
85 Mn
107 Mn 26 Mins 26 Mins
Source(s): App Testing, RedSeer IP, Redseer Analysis
Note(s):
1. Inflammatory Content - % of content in the industry that is inflammatory (content that involves violence, nudity, racial discrimination, vulgar, etc.)
2. % of Copied Content - % of videos that are not created on the platform (copied from third party sources)
© Redseer 09
The content offering of Indian SFV players has also shown consistent
improvement, coming close to International counterparts
SFV Metrics Content Quality
Sept’21
1.9%
0.5%
Sept’22
Inflammatory Content¹ – India SFV
In %,N = 79200 videos Sept’21, Sept’22
-76%
Lower is better
Leading
Indian Player
0.00%
0.04%
Leading
Global Player
Inflammatory Content¹ – Indian vs Global leading SFV player
In%, N = 100,000 videos
Lower is better
Sept’21
3.3%
0.2%
Sept’22
%Copied Content² – India SFV
In %,N = 79200 videos Sept’21, Sept’22
-94%
Lower is better
Leading
Indian Player
1.2%
1.8%
Leading
Global Player
%Copied Content² – Indian vs Global leading SFV player
In%, N = 100,000 videos
Lower is better
Source(s): App Testing (N = 35000), Consumer Survey,(N=1100) RedSeer IP, Redseer Analysis
Note(s):: 1. Depth Analysis refers to the expanse of each genre preference in each platform. The more the depth the better. It is calculated by randomly scrolling through 35000 videos �equally distributed
across platforms and understanding how much of each genre type was visible in each platforms.
© Redseer 10
The content library for Indian SFVs are more in line with India’s
needs - with Indian apps having a lead on content depth in
3/5 top content genre
SFV Metrics Content Quality
Most preferred genres in SFVs
In %, N = 1100
Genre Depth¹ Analysis for most preferred genres
Descriptive
Music/Dance 51%
Comedy 49%
15% 20%
% share of category
25%
40%
Art/Creativity
39%
Dialogue/Acting
35%
Motivation
Rank 1 Rank 2 Rank 3 Indian SFVs Global SFVs
In terms of Depth, Indian SFVs outperform global SFVs in 3 out of 5 of the top content genre,
with significant difference in offerings around Music/Dance & Dialogue/Acting content
Source(s): App Testing(N = 200,000 videos), Consumer Survey(N = 1100), Redseer Analysis
Note(s):: 1.Cold Feed refers to original content between two devices, accounting for overlap of content, 2. Real time feed refers to original content displayed post refreshing the feed
© Redseer 11
The technology of Indian SFV players have also come quite close
to their global counterparts
SFV Metrics Technology and innovation
Real time feed - Indian vs Global leading SFV player
In %, Sept’22
Leading
Indian Player
Leading
Global Player
98.8% 98.8%
Cold feed – Indian vs Global leading SFV player
In %, Sept’22
Leading
Indian Player
Leading
Global Player
95.4%
97.3%
UI/UX – Indian vs Global leading SFV player
N = 1100, rating on a scale of 1 to 10
Leading
Indian Player
Leading
Global Player
7.9
8.0
Data/ battery consumption – Indian vs
Global leading SFV player
Indexed to the highest value = 1, Sept’22
Leading
Indian Player
Leading
Global Player
0.46 0.53
Lower is better
Source(s): Consumer Survey, RedSeer IP, Redseer Analysis
© Redseer 12
Both Indian & Global apps offer similar levels of satisfaction
to Users & Creators alike
SFV Metrics Satisfaction
65%
62%
70% 71%
Net Promoter Score - User
Q. On a scale of 1-10, how likely are you to
recommend this app to your friends/family?
Net Promoter Score - Creator
Q. On a scale of 1-10, how likely are you to
recommend this app to your friends/family?
29%
67%
70%
21%
-8%
-2%
Leading Indian
Player
N=303
Leading Global
Player
N=420
Leading Indian
Player
N=56
Leading Global
Player
N=98
User NPS Creator NPS
22%
74%
72%
26%
-4% -1%
Promoters Neutrals Detractors
Source(s): RedSeer benchmarks IP, App Testing, Redseer Analysis
© Redseer 13
While Instagram Reels leads at an overall level, Josh leads within
the India SFV platforms
SFV Metrics Satisfaction
Player Performance Comparison
Descriptive
Supply of Content
No of Posts created per day
Originality of Content
Breadth of Content
Content Compliance
Creator Experience Creator overall Satisfaction
Quality of Content
Content Creation
Personalization
Real Time Feed
Cold Feed
Content Relevance (by search)
Language Support+
Regional Content
User Experience
User Satisfaction
Content Quality
UI/UX
Content Consumption
Parameters Components Instagram Reels YouTube Shorts Josh Moj
No. of users generating content
Global Shortform Platforms Indian Shortform Platforms
Laggards Leaders
Agenda
Agenda
Source(s): Redseer Analysis
© Redseer 14
Indian Cultural Landscape and Rise of Shortform Video
The coming of age of Indian SFV apps – challengers to global apps
Creator Economy – a $3.5 Bn Opportunity waiting to be disrupted
Monetisation of Indian SFVs – at an Inflection point
User Generated Content Flywheel
Descriptive
Source(s): Redseer Research, Redseer Analysis
Note(s): 1. MAU of Sept’22 considered 2. MAU for Facebook considered as Social Media
© Redseer 15
Increasing consumption of UGC has empowered individual creators,
who are now building their online identity
Creator Economy Overview
Content Consumption
Platforms on rise:
UGC & PGC
User rising on content
platforms
User Generated Content
Rising exponentially
Creator flourishing via
user Generated content
User
Generated
Content
Flywheel
MAU as of Oct’22 (# in Mn)
OTT Social
Media
Shortform
330 364
275
UGC & PGC Platforms
Rising UGC Consumption
Rising PGC Consumption
Content Type
Blogs & Vlogs
Podcasts
Memes
Live streamers
Product Reviews
Artists
Follower Metrics
Descriptive
Source(s): Secondary Research, Redseer Analysis
Note(s): 1. Reach Rate refers to the total reach of a post divided by the number of followers a person has. Engagement rate is the avg likes/comments/shares per post� out of the total reach or unique views
© Redseer 16
Shortform video apps show higher user engagement and
discoverability – making them the go to platform for creators
Creator Economy Creator Metrics
Reach Rate¹/
Watch Rate (%)
16-17%
TikTok Indian SFVs Facebook Instagram
7%
2.5-6%
14-15%
5-6%
3-7%
8-9%
1-2%
0.5-2.5%
3-4%
1.5-2.5%
Engagement
Rate ²(%)
Average increase
in followers
(per month)
Pure Shortform Video Platforms Social Media Platforms
Follower
Metrics
Creator Factory
Social Media Platform (Facebook, Instagram etc) are witnessing an overall declining trend in reach rates in 2022
Shortform platforms (TikTok) on the other hand, are witnessing higher engagement and watch trends in 2022
Even within Instagram, Instagram Reels has a higher engagement rate of ~2% whereas Instagram has an engagement of <1%
13-14%
Creator Evolution
Descriptive
Source(s): Secondary Research, Redseer Analysis
© Redseer 17
The medium is now giving rise to the ‘new-age’ celebrities
Creator Economy Creator Metrics
Bhuvam Bam Shiv Thakre Shlagha Saligrama
Creators that started off their journey creating short form content…
… have transcended well beyond the medium to star in movies and tv shows
Influencer advertisement conversion
N = 1100
Product categories purchased after influencer advertisement
N = 1100
Q: What product categories have you purchased after
seeing influencer advertisement on SFVs?
Source: Consumer Survey (N = 1100), Redseer Analysis
© Redseer 18
Brand ads conversion via influencers is high, with most popular
categories being sold being Fashion and BPC
Creator Economy Influencer Marketing
67%
Fashion
BPC
F&B
Electronics
Fitness
Furniture
Gaming
42%
37%
35%
25%
21%
19%
Seen influencer
advertisement on SFVs
N=290
66%
42%
58%
34%
N=192
Purchased after
seeing the Ad
I purchased twice from the link provided by the influencers in
the video itself which makes it easier to purchase, sometimes
they also provide discounts and offers .
- 25 years, Male, Self-employed
Yes
No
Descriptive
Source(s): Secondary Research, Redseer Analysis
Note(s): - One Impression is influencers marketing platform with 400 brands and 700 million creators globally
© Redseer 19
Brands which traditionally created lengthy ads have now started
focusing increasingly on Influencers for their ad spends due to
the higher effectiveness
Creator Economy Brand Perception
Amazon India with 150+
influencers introduced live
streaming in September
before festive season
Myntra collaborated with
leading fashion and beauty
influencers to host 350 live
sessions
” Budgets dedicated by brands towards
influencer marketing used to be 10-15%
earlier. These have now increased to 25-30%
this year.”
Personal care companies have built
‘influencer – first’ marketing strategy
through active online communities
Akash Gupta
CEO and Co Founder
”Influencers have been a core asset to boat’s
journey . The brand currently works with
about 100 micro influencers on a regular
basis apart from celebrity endorsements.”
Aman Sadana
Marketing Manager
”We are working with 500 influencers; We saw
engagement with vernacular creators grow by
30% year on year and it has become a key part
of our influencer marketing approach.”
Dushyanth Jayanty
Vice President Marketing
Descriptive
Source(s): Secondary Research, Redseer Analysis
© Redseer 20
Sprite is an example of a highly successful brand campaign
run via influencers – proving the high effectiveness of
Influencer Marketing
Creator Economy Case Study
Sprite, popular soft drink
manufactured by
Coca-Cola launched
#ThandRakh influencer
campaign on social media
along with TVC
April 2022
Sprite picked 5 comic and
entertainment creators for
their tongue-in-cheek
humour
Influencer Identification
It turned out to be one of
the best micro- influencer
campaigns with record
breaking reach and
engagement
Result
Total Reach Total Engagement Cost per engagement
Key Milestones
2.5 Mn 3.5 Mn 0.68 INR
Instagram ads cost per
engagement is ~INR 25-60
which is ~50X expensive
Source(s): Secondary Research, Redseer Analysis
© Redseer 21
As brands increase influencer-led marketing, ecommerce platforms
leverage them in video commerce - we expect influencer marketing
to be $ 2.8- 3.5 Bn in 2028
Creator Economy China Influencer Marketing
Marketing spend on Influencers– China
CY16, CY20, In USD Bn
Marketing spend on Influencers– India
CY16, CY20, In USD Bn
2016 2020 2022
$ 0.35- 0.4 Bn
$ 2.8- 3.5 Bn
2028P
$8Bn
$43Bn
+50%
$ 2.8 Bn
$ 0.7 Bn
~45%
~40%
Base
Case
Aggressive
Case
China’s Influencer Spend grew at a CAGR of ~50% from CY 16 to CY 20 – similar trends are expected to play out in India
Source(s): Secondary Research, Redseer Analysis
© Redseer 22
Currently, brands and influencers mostly engage via intermediary
agencies – a model that is broken and lacks efficiency
Creator Economy Challenges with model
Influencer-Brand Engagement models
Descriptive
Agency
Offers Marketers end-to-end
influencer content solutions
Brands are aware regarding the
influencers & reach out directly
Brand Influencers
Currently the go to model in the Industry
Challenges in Discovery, Commission & Reporting
Limited discoverability and poor scalability
Direct
Need for a tech-enabled, transparent and scalable solution
Source(s): Secondary Research, Redseer Analysis
© Redseer 23
UGC platforms are developing Creator Marketplaces that can become
a centralized network for creators to connect to the brands
Creator Economy Creator Marketplace
Creator Marketplace: Value proposition, suitability of platform-ization and global learnings
Descriptive
With ~3.5 Mn creators on the platforms, UGC platforms are most suitable for tapping the marketplace opportunity in India
Influencer Marketplace can become single
point for brands discovering a creator and
engaging with them
Dashboard for diverse influencers base,
their content profile and engagements
Ability to shortlist creators based on
brand’s TG, campaign objective
Centralized and direct communication
with creators
Real-time insights into influencer
campaign
UGC content platforms are better
positioned for setting up Creator Market-
place
UGC platforms have large captive
content creators
Have true insight on creator metrics
Ability to track metrics for marketing
campaign
High Quality creator statistics
enabling data-driven decisions about
collaborations
Other players are also launching their
own platforms
While TikTok is the only UGC platform with
a global marketplace, other platforms are
catching on
8 Mn+ Creator Base
Available in US to
the brands on an
invite only basis
Available in India on
an invite-only basis
Source(s): Expert Interaction, Redseer Analysis
© Redseer 24
Indian platforms are also creating influencer marketplaces
comparable to their international peers
Creator Economy Creator Marketplace
Verse has created a holistic marketplace
including Creator’s Social media metrics
of Instagram & YT for better decision
making by brands
Case Study on India’s Creator Marketplace- VerSe
Descriptive
Creator Country
Audience country or region
Social Metrics
Average Views
Creator Content Category & Sub
Categories
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
Agenda
Agenda
Source(s): Redseer Analysis
© Redseer 25
Indian Cultural Landscape and Rise of Shortform Video
The coming of age of Indian SFV apps – challengers to global apps
Creator Economy – a $3.5 Bn Opportunity waiting to be disrupted
Monetisation of Indian SFVs – at an Inflection point
Source(s): Expert Interaction, Redseer Analysis
Note(s): Advertising revenue is pure revenue while Video Led Commerce & Gifting is GMV
© Redseer 26
Monetisation of Indian SFV apps are at a cusp of a breakout,
$~8-12 Bn market for the taking by 2030
Monetization Overview
India SFV TAM
CY30F, USD Bn
Total Opportunity
$ 8-12 Bn $ 3-6 Bn
$ 3-4 Bn
$ 1.7 Bn
Advertising Video Commerce Live Gifting
FY22
$ 50 Mn $ 80-90 Mn
$3-6 Bn
SFV ad spend as % of
total digital ad spend
FY23E FY30
Source(s): Expert Interaction, Redseer Analysis
ShortForm Video does not include IG Reels, FB Watch and YT Shorts
Content includes time spent on any form of online video, music, podcast or social media platform
© Redseer 27
Indian SFV apps are yet to realize their potential, though this is
changing rapidly…
Monetization Advertisements
Advertising Spent VS Time Spent - ShortForm Video Platforms
Descriptive
India - SFV Ads market
FY19 – 30 USD Mn
Currently, ShortForm Video
contributes “<1% of the
Digital Ad $”
ShortForm Video contributes
to “7-10% of overall time
spent on content”
Mismatch between Ad-Spend and Time spent
22%
70-85%
0.06% 0.08-0.1% 10-20%
..%
As of 2022, China at ~30%
Source(s): Brand Interactions, RedSeer Analysis
© Redseer 28
…driven by improved ad offerings by Indian SFV platforms and
changing brand perceptions
Monetization Advertisements
Evolution in Ad Offerings – Indian SFV Platforms
Descriptive
Brand profile
Icon
Social Interaction
Buttons
Brand profile
Follow Button
Offer Brand
Price Brand
CTA
”Our content has seen a steady growth in engagement on the
platform, with the new ad offerings we plan to get aggressive
in advertising on the platform and drive merch sales”
- Campaign Manager, IPL Cricket Team
”Previously we were a little skeptical of advertising on the
platform, however with the new options allows us to
experiment”
- Brand Manager, Traditional FMCG Company
Introduction of Dynamics Ads & Engagement Elements
Source(s): Secondary Research, Redseer Analysis
© Redseer 29
In China, video commerce is a highly matured industry contributing
~10% to e-commerce GMV, with the largest player having ~80% share
Monetization video commerce
China video commerce GMV
CY19 – CY22P, In USD Bn
Top categories in video commerce
In %, CY21
2019
$ 68
$ 175
$ 275
$ 385 100%
45%
2020 2021 2022P Apparel &
Fashion
Beauty Food Consumer
Electronics
Others
+78.2%
5% 12% 9% 17%
36%
8%
7%
5%
X%
% of E-commerce GMV
Source(s): Secondary Research, Redseer Analysis
© Redseer 30
In India – ShortForm & eCommerce platforms are betting big
on video commerce
Monetization video commerce
Video commerce business models
Descriptive
Amazon India launched its
video commerce feature with
150 creators in September
before festive season
Meesho debuted video
commerce feature during
festive sale, last week of
September
In October 2021, Flipkart partnered with homegrown short
video platform, Moj, to enable video and video commerce
experiences at scale.
Pure Play Video Commerce Platform
Social Media
Shortform Content Apps
E-commerce Marketplaces
Other Online marketplaces joining
the video commerce
Source(s): Consumer Survey, Secondary Research, Redseer IP, RedSeer Analysis
© Redseer 31
In India, video commerce has just started, SF platforms are expected
to hold ~40% of the $8-11 Bn pie - main categories being sold to be
Fashion and BPC
Monetization video commerce
Video commerce GMV and split by type
of platform
2030, In USD Bn
Video commerce Category Split - Current
N =1100, in %
Q: Which of the following categories would
you be okay purchasing via video commerce?
Others
Via Ecommerce
marketplaces
Via Shortform
Platform
5%
55%
40%
~$ 8-11 Bn
53%
Fashion
BPC
F&B
Electronics
Fitness
Furniture
Gaming
45%
35%
31%
21%
19%
19%
Influencers endorsing these
products, are believable and
viewed as a credible source of
information, when it comes to the
categories, they claim to be
experts in
Shopatainment is what really
makes live stream shopping
different by potentially
shortening customer decision
journeys from awareness to
purchase.
Source(s): Consumer Survey, Secondary Research, Redseer IP, RedSeer Analysis
© Redseer 32
Virtual gifting is a tool via which creators can engage audiences
Monetization Virtual Gifting
Livestreaming Popularity – Viewers Perspective
Descriptive
Livestreaming Popularity – Creator’s Perspective
Descriptive
Why People Enjoy watching live content
Celebrities become reachable
The content becomes less detached and
more personal
The ‘FOMO factor’
Similar to why live sports still drives TV
watching, live videos are live only once which
gives a ‘can’t miss’ or ‘anything can happen’ feel
Instant gratification and recognition
Live videos continue instant gratification via
instant likes, along with ‘virtual gifts’, and paying
to have a pinned comment/some sort of
spotlight
For creators, live streaming helps them gain much better engagement (people comment 10X
more than on regular videos), as well as monetization possibilities such as Virtual Gifting
Virtual gifts starting from INR
2 is available (in Indian SFVs)
A take rate of about ~50% is
taken by the platform, rest
goes to the creator
Source(s): Secondary Research, Redseer Analysis
© Redseer 33
In China, virtual gifting via shortform video platforms such as
Kuaishou, Douyin currently have a market size of ~5-6 USD Bn
expected to reach $7-8 Bn by 2025
Monetization Virtual Gifting
China Livestream Virtual Gifting Market – via SFV platforms
CY18 – CY22F, 25F, 30F, In USD Bn
Recent development in Virtual Gifting Landscape (China)
Biggest players in China
Biggest players in China
Minors were tipping
excessively out of
parents’ savings and
getting addicted to it
2018
3.2
5.4
5.8
5.3
6-6.5
7-8
2019 2020 2022F 2025F
2021
+7.5%
Revenue from Virtual Gifting
reduced in 2021 due to recent
regulatory changes in China
Revenue from Virtual Gifting
reduced in 2021 due to recent
regulatory changes in China
Average Revenue Per Paying User
in China is ~RMB 56, and expected
to grow at a CAGR of ~3%
A Ban on Tipping by Minors
Due to unhealthy
competition arising out
of Tip Rankings, people
irrationally spent money
Tip Rankings Outlawed
Kuaishou
Douyin
Momo Douyu YY
$8
Source(s): Consumer Survey, Secondary Research, Redseer Analysis
© Redseer 34
In India, virtual gifting via shortform video platforms is expected
to be a USD 1.7 Bn market
Monetization Virtual Gifting
Projected Spends
on Virtual Gifting
Decrease significantly
Slightly decrease
Slightly Increase
Increase significantly
Willingness to spend, Virtual Gifting
Sep’22, N=1100
India Livestream Virtual Gifting Market via SFV platforms
CY22E, 30F, In USD Bn
-9%
-14%
33%
9%
42% Users claim that their
spends on virtual gifting
would increase in the future
2022E
$ 0.1 Bn
$ 1.7 Bn
2030F
+55.4%
Report Authors
Report Authors
Anil Kumar
Founding Partner, Redseer
Anil Kumar is the Founder of Redseer Consulting. He has been part of engagements in Internet, Private Equity, Retail CPG and Healthcare among
others. He specializes in growth and investment strategies. Anil is a believer of the data-driven approach in solving business problems. His consulting
approach leverages Data IP, sector expertise and the client’s core hypothesis. He holds a B-tech from IIT Delhi. He can be reached at
anil@redseer.com
Mohit Rana
Partner, Redseer
Mohit is a Partner at Redseer Consulting and brings over 25 years of experience in consulting, financial services, start-ups, and technology. He is
passionate about Indian startups and has been instrumental in helping clients frame growth strategies, launch new businesses, and drive large
operational improvement programs. He holds a PGDM from IIMA and B.Tech from IIT Delhi. He can be reached at mohit.rana@redseer.com
Yash Rathi
Senior Consultant, Redseer
Yash Rathi is a Senior Consultant at Redseer. He has worked on engagements in eCommerce, FoodTech, Media and Education space. He brings
project experience in domains such as index creation, due diligence, long term strategy and benchmarking. He holds a B.Sc in Finance from NMIMS,
Mumbai. He can be reached at yashr@redseerconsulting.com
Khushi Poddar
Associate Consultant, Redseer
Khushi has worked on engagements in the advertising, digital media and entertainment, Edtech, and Insurtech spaces. She brings project experi-
ence in market research, due diligence and benchmarking. She holds an MBA degree from IIM Kozhikode & a B.A in Economics from Hansraj College,
Delhi University. She can be reached at khushi.p@redseerconsulting.com
Wasim Khan
Business Analyst, Redseer
Wasim has worked on consumer engagements and market reports in the digital media and entertainment, Edtech, and Insurtech spaces.He has
graduated from SRCC and holds B.COM (H). He can be reached at Wasim@redseerconsulting.com
© 2023 Redseer Strategy Consultants Confidential and Proprietary Information

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NSX-T and Service Interfaces presentation
 

Indian ShortForm Apps – Catching up to Global Players Q3’22

  • 1. February 2023 Bangalore. Delhi. Mumbai. Dubai. Singapore. New York Q3’22 © 2023 Redseer Strategy Consultants Confidential and Proprietary Information Indian ShortForm Apps – Catching up to Global Players
  • 2. Executive Summary Executive Summary Source(s): Redseer Analysis © Redseer 02 India is one of the most linguistically & culturally diverse countries in the World, driving the need for localized regional content Indian SFV apps have carved out a niche serving the regional content needs of India. Indian app users are more representative of the Indian Population as compared to global apps that are over-indexed on Metro & Tier-1. Regional content is of key preference in Tier 2+ . The Coming of Age of Indian SFV Platforms as challengers to Global Apps Indian SFV apps have seen constant growth in adoption and engagement, coming close to Global players The content offering of Indian SFV players has also shown consistent improvement, coming close to International counterparts, while content library (genres) of Indian apps are more in line with Indian needs Instagram Reels leads overall amongst SFV apps, while Josh leads within the Indian SFV planforms The technology of Indian SFV players has also come quite close to their global counterparts, with Josh performing the best in most parameters among Indian SFV platforms Creator Economy – a $3.5 Bn Opportunity waiting to be disrupted Increasing consumption of UGC has empowered individual creators, who are now building their online identity. SFV apps are the go-to platforms for creators as they enable higher engagement and discoverability Brands have increased their focus on Influencer ads on account of their higher effectiveness UGC platforms are developing Creator Marketplaces that can become a centralized network for creators to connect to the brands, solving for inefficiency created by intermediary agencies Monetization of Indian SFVs – at an Inflection point; $8-12 Bn opportunity ~$3-6 Bn advertising opportunity to be unlocked driven by the improvements in Ad Offering & Video Commerce Video Commerce is expected to be ~$8-11 Bn, with Shortform platforms expected to drive ~40% of the market With the rise of creator economy, Virtual gifting is expected to reach ~$1.7 bn in 2025. India Cultural Landscape and Rise of Shortform Video
  • 3. Agenda Agenda Source(s): Redseer Analysis © Redseer 03 Indian Cultural Landscape and Rise of Shortform Video The coming of age of Indian SFV apps – challengers to global apps Creator Economy – a $3.5 Bn Opportunity waiting to be disrupted Monetisation of Indian SFVs – at an Inflection point
  • 4. Linguistic Diversity Descriptive Source(s): Secondary Research, Redseer Analysis Note(s): 1. Top 4 develop countries as per GDP and Top 6 emerging countries (defined by IMF) sorted by GDP have been considered © Redseer 04 India is one of the most linguistically & culturally diverse countries in the world - Driving the need for localized regional content India has 447 living languages and over 19500 dialects. Every 20 Kms, the language, dialect, and culture undergoes a complete change India ranks the highest in terms of linguistic fractionalization and has the second highest number of living languages 0.0 0 100 UK Japan Germany Brazil Mexico United States Size of bubble is country’s population Indonesia Iran Russia 200 300 400 500 Number of Living Languages Linguistic Fractionalization 600 700 800 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 China India North India Lohri Teej East India Bihu Durga Puja West India Dandia Ganesh Chaturti East India Onam Pongal Indian landscape Cultural Diversity
  • 5. Metro + Tier 1 (N = 814) Tier 2+ (N = 286) Tier-wise Split In % Consumer Habits/Preferences – Tier-wise Variations Descriptive Source(s): Consumer survey (N = 1100), Redseer Analysis © Redseer 05 Indian SFV apps have carved out a niche serving the regional content needs of India Indian app users are representative of the Indian Population as compared to global app users, which are over indexed on metro & tier 1 cities Indian landscape SFV Overview While the regional languages find an audience across India, it’s of key preference in tier 2+ cities Indian Population Global App Users Indian App Users Preferred Languages for content consumption Hindi English Regional 58% 41% 37% Hindi English Regional 50% 28% 40% Video Content Preference Content Quality Personalization Influencer Quality 1. 2. 3. Influencer Quality Regional Content Content Quality 1. 2. 3. Metro Tier 1 Tier 2 8% 10% 83% 38% 66% 21% 13% 31% 31%
  • 6. Agenda Agenda Source(s): Redseer Analysis © Redseer 06 Indian Cultural Landscape and Rise of Shortform Video The coming of age of Indian SFV apps – challengers to global apps Creator Economy – a $3.5 Bn Opportunity waiting to be disrupted Monetisation of Indian SFVs – at an Inflection point
  • 7. MAU¹ - India SFV In Mn, Sept’21, Sept’22 DAU¹ – India SFV In Mn, Sept’21, Sept’22 Time spent per DAU¹ – India SFV In Mins, Sept’21, Sept’22 Source(s): Redseer IP, Redseer Analysis Note(s): 1. This only includes India standalone apps accounting for overlap. IG Reels, FB Watch and YT Shorts are not considered © Redseer 07 Indian SFV apps have seen constant growth in adoption and engagement … SFV Metrics User Engagement Sept’21 261 Mn 275 Mn Sept’22 +5% Sept’21 98 Mn 107 Mn Sept’22 +10% Sept’21 32.9 Mins Sept’22 +4% 31.5 Mins
  • 8. MAU - Indian vs Global leading SFV player In Mn, Sept’22 DAU – Indian vs Global leading SFV player In Mn, Sept’22 Time spent per DAU – Indian vs Global leading SFV player In Mins, Sept’22 Source(s): Redseer IP, Redseer Analysis © Redseer 08 …coming close to global players in terms of scale while having similar engagement levels SFV Metrics User Engagement Leading Indian Player 165 Mn 213 Mn Leading Global Player Leading Indian Player Leading Global Player Leading Indian Player Leading Global Player 85 Mn 107 Mn 26 Mins 26 Mins
  • 9. Source(s): App Testing, RedSeer IP, Redseer Analysis Note(s): 1. Inflammatory Content - % of content in the industry that is inflammatory (content that involves violence, nudity, racial discrimination, vulgar, etc.) 2. % of Copied Content - % of videos that are not created on the platform (copied from third party sources) © Redseer 09 The content offering of Indian SFV players has also shown consistent improvement, coming close to International counterparts SFV Metrics Content Quality Sept’21 1.9% 0.5% Sept’22 Inflammatory Content¹ – India SFV In %,N = 79200 videos Sept’21, Sept’22 -76% Lower is better Leading Indian Player 0.00% 0.04% Leading Global Player Inflammatory Content¹ – Indian vs Global leading SFV player In%, N = 100,000 videos Lower is better Sept’21 3.3% 0.2% Sept’22 %Copied Content² – India SFV In %,N = 79200 videos Sept’21, Sept’22 -94% Lower is better Leading Indian Player 1.2% 1.8% Leading Global Player %Copied Content² – Indian vs Global leading SFV player In%, N = 100,000 videos Lower is better
  • 10. Source(s): App Testing (N = 35000), Consumer Survey,(N=1100) RedSeer IP, Redseer Analysis Note(s):: 1. Depth Analysis refers to the expanse of each genre preference in each platform. The more the depth the better. It is calculated by randomly scrolling through 35000 videos �equally distributed across platforms and understanding how much of each genre type was visible in each platforms. © Redseer 10 The content library for Indian SFVs are more in line with India’s needs - with Indian apps having a lead on content depth in 3/5 top content genre SFV Metrics Content Quality Most preferred genres in SFVs In %, N = 1100 Genre Depth¹ Analysis for most preferred genres Descriptive Music/Dance 51% Comedy 49% 15% 20% % share of category 25% 40% Art/Creativity 39% Dialogue/Acting 35% Motivation Rank 1 Rank 2 Rank 3 Indian SFVs Global SFVs In terms of Depth, Indian SFVs outperform global SFVs in 3 out of 5 of the top content genre, with significant difference in offerings around Music/Dance & Dialogue/Acting content
  • 11. Source(s): App Testing(N = 200,000 videos), Consumer Survey(N = 1100), Redseer Analysis Note(s):: 1.Cold Feed refers to original content between two devices, accounting for overlap of content, 2. Real time feed refers to original content displayed post refreshing the feed © Redseer 11 The technology of Indian SFV players have also come quite close to their global counterparts SFV Metrics Technology and innovation Real time feed - Indian vs Global leading SFV player In %, Sept’22 Leading Indian Player Leading Global Player 98.8% 98.8% Cold feed – Indian vs Global leading SFV player In %, Sept’22 Leading Indian Player Leading Global Player 95.4% 97.3% UI/UX – Indian vs Global leading SFV player N = 1100, rating on a scale of 1 to 10 Leading Indian Player Leading Global Player 7.9 8.0 Data/ battery consumption – Indian vs Global leading SFV player Indexed to the highest value = 1, Sept’22 Leading Indian Player Leading Global Player 0.46 0.53 Lower is better
  • 12. Source(s): Consumer Survey, RedSeer IP, Redseer Analysis © Redseer 12 Both Indian & Global apps offer similar levels of satisfaction to Users & Creators alike SFV Metrics Satisfaction 65% 62% 70% 71% Net Promoter Score - User Q. On a scale of 1-10, how likely are you to recommend this app to your friends/family? Net Promoter Score - Creator Q. On a scale of 1-10, how likely are you to recommend this app to your friends/family? 29% 67% 70% 21% -8% -2% Leading Indian Player N=303 Leading Global Player N=420 Leading Indian Player N=56 Leading Global Player N=98 User NPS Creator NPS 22% 74% 72% 26% -4% -1% Promoters Neutrals Detractors
  • 13. Source(s): RedSeer benchmarks IP, App Testing, Redseer Analysis © Redseer 13 While Instagram Reels leads at an overall level, Josh leads within the India SFV platforms SFV Metrics Satisfaction Player Performance Comparison Descriptive Supply of Content No of Posts created per day Originality of Content Breadth of Content Content Compliance Creator Experience Creator overall Satisfaction Quality of Content Content Creation Personalization Real Time Feed Cold Feed Content Relevance (by search) Language Support+ Regional Content User Experience User Satisfaction Content Quality UI/UX Content Consumption Parameters Components Instagram Reels YouTube Shorts Josh Moj No. of users generating content Global Shortform Platforms Indian Shortform Platforms Laggards Leaders
  • 14. Agenda Agenda Source(s): Redseer Analysis © Redseer 14 Indian Cultural Landscape and Rise of Shortform Video The coming of age of Indian SFV apps – challengers to global apps Creator Economy – a $3.5 Bn Opportunity waiting to be disrupted Monetisation of Indian SFVs – at an Inflection point
  • 15. User Generated Content Flywheel Descriptive Source(s): Redseer Research, Redseer Analysis Note(s): 1. MAU of Sept’22 considered 2. MAU for Facebook considered as Social Media © Redseer 15 Increasing consumption of UGC has empowered individual creators, who are now building their online identity Creator Economy Overview Content Consumption Platforms on rise: UGC & PGC User rising on content platforms User Generated Content Rising exponentially Creator flourishing via user Generated content User Generated Content Flywheel MAU as of Oct’22 (# in Mn) OTT Social Media Shortform 330 364 275 UGC & PGC Platforms Rising UGC Consumption Rising PGC Consumption Content Type Blogs & Vlogs Podcasts Memes Live streamers Product Reviews Artists
  • 16. Follower Metrics Descriptive Source(s): Secondary Research, Redseer Analysis Note(s): 1. Reach Rate refers to the total reach of a post divided by the number of followers a person has. Engagement rate is the avg likes/comments/shares per post� out of the total reach or unique views © Redseer 16 Shortform video apps show higher user engagement and discoverability – making them the go to platform for creators Creator Economy Creator Metrics Reach Rate¹/ Watch Rate (%) 16-17% TikTok Indian SFVs Facebook Instagram 7% 2.5-6% 14-15% 5-6% 3-7% 8-9% 1-2% 0.5-2.5% 3-4% 1.5-2.5% Engagement Rate ²(%) Average increase in followers (per month) Pure Shortform Video Platforms Social Media Platforms Follower Metrics Creator Factory Social Media Platform (Facebook, Instagram etc) are witnessing an overall declining trend in reach rates in 2022 Shortform platforms (TikTok) on the other hand, are witnessing higher engagement and watch trends in 2022 Even within Instagram, Instagram Reels has a higher engagement rate of ~2% whereas Instagram has an engagement of <1% 13-14%
  • 17. Creator Evolution Descriptive Source(s): Secondary Research, Redseer Analysis © Redseer 17 The medium is now giving rise to the ‘new-age’ celebrities Creator Economy Creator Metrics Bhuvam Bam Shiv Thakre Shlagha Saligrama Creators that started off their journey creating short form content… … have transcended well beyond the medium to star in movies and tv shows
  • 18. Influencer advertisement conversion N = 1100 Product categories purchased after influencer advertisement N = 1100 Q: What product categories have you purchased after seeing influencer advertisement on SFVs? Source: Consumer Survey (N = 1100), Redseer Analysis © Redseer 18 Brand ads conversion via influencers is high, with most popular categories being sold being Fashion and BPC Creator Economy Influencer Marketing 67% Fashion BPC F&B Electronics Fitness Furniture Gaming 42% 37% 35% 25% 21% 19% Seen influencer advertisement on SFVs N=290 66% 42% 58% 34% N=192 Purchased after seeing the Ad I purchased twice from the link provided by the influencers in the video itself which makes it easier to purchase, sometimes they also provide discounts and offers . - 25 years, Male, Self-employed Yes No
  • 19. Descriptive Source(s): Secondary Research, Redseer Analysis Note(s): - One Impression is influencers marketing platform with 400 brands and 700 million creators globally © Redseer 19 Brands which traditionally created lengthy ads have now started focusing increasingly on Influencers for their ad spends due to the higher effectiveness Creator Economy Brand Perception Amazon India with 150+ influencers introduced live streaming in September before festive season Myntra collaborated with leading fashion and beauty influencers to host 350 live sessions ” Budgets dedicated by brands towards influencer marketing used to be 10-15% earlier. These have now increased to 25-30% this year.” Personal care companies have built ‘influencer – first’ marketing strategy through active online communities Akash Gupta CEO and Co Founder ”Influencers have been a core asset to boat’s journey . The brand currently works with about 100 micro influencers on a regular basis apart from celebrity endorsements.” Aman Sadana Marketing Manager ”We are working with 500 influencers; We saw engagement with vernacular creators grow by 30% year on year and it has become a key part of our influencer marketing approach.” Dushyanth Jayanty Vice President Marketing
  • 20. Descriptive Source(s): Secondary Research, Redseer Analysis © Redseer 20 Sprite is an example of a highly successful brand campaign run via influencers – proving the high effectiveness of Influencer Marketing Creator Economy Case Study Sprite, popular soft drink manufactured by Coca-Cola launched #ThandRakh influencer campaign on social media along with TVC April 2022 Sprite picked 5 comic and entertainment creators for their tongue-in-cheek humour Influencer Identification It turned out to be one of the best micro- influencer campaigns with record breaking reach and engagement Result Total Reach Total Engagement Cost per engagement Key Milestones 2.5 Mn 3.5 Mn 0.68 INR Instagram ads cost per engagement is ~INR 25-60 which is ~50X expensive
  • 21. Source(s): Secondary Research, Redseer Analysis © Redseer 21 As brands increase influencer-led marketing, ecommerce platforms leverage them in video commerce - we expect influencer marketing to be $ 2.8- 3.5 Bn in 2028 Creator Economy China Influencer Marketing Marketing spend on Influencers– China CY16, CY20, In USD Bn Marketing spend on Influencers– India CY16, CY20, In USD Bn 2016 2020 2022 $ 0.35- 0.4 Bn $ 2.8- 3.5 Bn 2028P $8Bn $43Bn +50% $ 2.8 Bn $ 0.7 Bn ~45% ~40% Base Case Aggressive Case China’s Influencer Spend grew at a CAGR of ~50% from CY 16 to CY 20 – similar trends are expected to play out in India
  • 22. Source(s): Secondary Research, Redseer Analysis © Redseer 22 Currently, brands and influencers mostly engage via intermediary agencies – a model that is broken and lacks efficiency Creator Economy Challenges with model Influencer-Brand Engagement models Descriptive Agency Offers Marketers end-to-end influencer content solutions Brands are aware regarding the influencers & reach out directly Brand Influencers Currently the go to model in the Industry Challenges in Discovery, Commission & Reporting Limited discoverability and poor scalability Direct Need for a tech-enabled, transparent and scalable solution
  • 23. Source(s): Secondary Research, Redseer Analysis © Redseer 23 UGC platforms are developing Creator Marketplaces that can become a centralized network for creators to connect to the brands Creator Economy Creator Marketplace Creator Marketplace: Value proposition, suitability of platform-ization and global learnings Descriptive With ~3.5 Mn creators on the platforms, UGC platforms are most suitable for tapping the marketplace opportunity in India Influencer Marketplace can become single point for brands discovering a creator and engaging with them Dashboard for diverse influencers base, their content profile and engagements Ability to shortlist creators based on brand’s TG, campaign objective Centralized and direct communication with creators Real-time insights into influencer campaign UGC content platforms are better positioned for setting up Creator Market- place UGC platforms have large captive content creators Have true insight on creator metrics Ability to track metrics for marketing campaign High Quality creator statistics enabling data-driven decisions about collaborations Other players are also launching their own platforms While TikTok is the only UGC platform with a global marketplace, other platforms are catching on 8 Mn+ Creator Base Available in US to the brands on an invite only basis Available in India on an invite-only basis
  • 24. Source(s): Expert Interaction, Redseer Analysis © Redseer 24 Indian platforms are also creating influencer marketplaces comparable to their international peers Creator Economy Creator Marketplace Verse has created a holistic marketplace including Creator’s Social media metrics of Instagram & YT for better decision making by brands Case Study on India’s Creator Marketplace- VerSe Descriptive Creator Country Audience country or region Social Metrics Average Views Creator Content Category & Sub Categories 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4
  • 25. Agenda Agenda Source(s): Redseer Analysis © Redseer 25 Indian Cultural Landscape and Rise of Shortform Video The coming of age of Indian SFV apps – challengers to global apps Creator Economy – a $3.5 Bn Opportunity waiting to be disrupted Monetisation of Indian SFVs – at an Inflection point
  • 26. Source(s): Expert Interaction, Redseer Analysis Note(s): Advertising revenue is pure revenue while Video Led Commerce & Gifting is GMV © Redseer 26 Monetisation of Indian SFV apps are at a cusp of a breakout, $~8-12 Bn market for the taking by 2030 Monetization Overview India SFV TAM CY30F, USD Bn Total Opportunity $ 8-12 Bn $ 3-6 Bn $ 3-4 Bn $ 1.7 Bn Advertising Video Commerce Live Gifting
  • 27. FY22 $ 50 Mn $ 80-90 Mn $3-6 Bn SFV ad spend as % of total digital ad spend FY23E FY30 Source(s): Expert Interaction, Redseer Analysis ShortForm Video does not include IG Reels, FB Watch and YT Shorts Content includes time spent on any form of online video, music, podcast or social media platform © Redseer 27 Indian SFV apps are yet to realize their potential, though this is changing rapidly… Monetization Advertisements Advertising Spent VS Time Spent - ShortForm Video Platforms Descriptive India - SFV Ads market FY19 – 30 USD Mn Currently, ShortForm Video contributes “<1% of the Digital Ad $” ShortForm Video contributes to “7-10% of overall time spent on content” Mismatch between Ad-Spend and Time spent 22% 70-85% 0.06% 0.08-0.1% 10-20% ..% As of 2022, China at ~30%
  • 28. Source(s): Brand Interactions, RedSeer Analysis © Redseer 28 …driven by improved ad offerings by Indian SFV platforms and changing brand perceptions Monetization Advertisements Evolution in Ad Offerings – Indian SFV Platforms Descriptive Brand profile Icon Social Interaction Buttons Brand profile Follow Button Offer Brand Price Brand CTA ”Our content has seen a steady growth in engagement on the platform, with the new ad offerings we plan to get aggressive in advertising on the platform and drive merch sales” - Campaign Manager, IPL Cricket Team ”Previously we were a little skeptical of advertising on the platform, however with the new options allows us to experiment” - Brand Manager, Traditional FMCG Company Introduction of Dynamics Ads & Engagement Elements
  • 29. Source(s): Secondary Research, Redseer Analysis © Redseer 29 In China, video commerce is a highly matured industry contributing ~10% to e-commerce GMV, with the largest player having ~80% share Monetization video commerce China video commerce GMV CY19 – CY22P, In USD Bn Top categories in video commerce In %, CY21 2019 $ 68 $ 175 $ 275 $ 385 100% 45% 2020 2021 2022P Apparel & Fashion Beauty Food Consumer Electronics Others +78.2% 5% 12% 9% 17% 36% 8% 7% 5% X% % of E-commerce GMV
  • 30. Source(s): Secondary Research, Redseer Analysis © Redseer 30 In India – ShortForm & eCommerce platforms are betting big on video commerce Monetization video commerce Video commerce business models Descriptive Amazon India launched its video commerce feature with 150 creators in September before festive season Meesho debuted video commerce feature during festive sale, last week of September In October 2021, Flipkart partnered with homegrown short video platform, Moj, to enable video and video commerce experiences at scale. Pure Play Video Commerce Platform Social Media Shortform Content Apps E-commerce Marketplaces Other Online marketplaces joining the video commerce
  • 31. Source(s): Consumer Survey, Secondary Research, Redseer IP, RedSeer Analysis © Redseer 31 In India, video commerce has just started, SF platforms are expected to hold ~40% of the $8-11 Bn pie - main categories being sold to be Fashion and BPC Monetization video commerce Video commerce GMV and split by type of platform 2030, In USD Bn Video commerce Category Split - Current N =1100, in % Q: Which of the following categories would you be okay purchasing via video commerce? Others Via Ecommerce marketplaces Via Shortform Platform 5% 55% 40% ~$ 8-11 Bn 53% Fashion BPC F&B Electronics Fitness Furniture Gaming 45% 35% 31% 21% 19% 19% Influencers endorsing these products, are believable and viewed as a credible source of information, when it comes to the categories, they claim to be experts in Shopatainment is what really makes live stream shopping different by potentially shortening customer decision journeys from awareness to purchase.
  • 32. Source(s): Consumer Survey, Secondary Research, Redseer IP, RedSeer Analysis © Redseer 32 Virtual gifting is a tool via which creators can engage audiences Monetization Virtual Gifting Livestreaming Popularity – Viewers Perspective Descriptive Livestreaming Popularity – Creator’s Perspective Descriptive Why People Enjoy watching live content Celebrities become reachable The content becomes less detached and more personal The ‘FOMO factor’ Similar to why live sports still drives TV watching, live videos are live only once which gives a ‘can’t miss’ or ‘anything can happen’ feel Instant gratification and recognition Live videos continue instant gratification via instant likes, along with ‘virtual gifts’, and paying to have a pinned comment/some sort of spotlight For creators, live streaming helps them gain much better engagement (people comment 10X more than on regular videos), as well as monetization possibilities such as Virtual Gifting Virtual gifts starting from INR 2 is available (in Indian SFVs) A take rate of about ~50% is taken by the platform, rest goes to the creator
  • 33. Source(s): Secondary Research, Redseer Analysis © Redseer 33 In China, virtual gifting via shortform video platforms such as Kuaishou, Douyin currently have a market size of ~5-6 USD Bn expected to reach $7-8 Bn by 2025 Monetization Virtual Gifting China Livestream Virtual Gifting Market – via SFV platforms CY18 – CY22F, 25F, 30F, In USD Bn Recent development in Virtual Gifting Landscape (China) Biggest players in China Biggest players in China Minors were tipping excessively out of parents’ savings and getting addicted to it 2018 3.2 5.4 5.8 5.3 6-6.5 7-8 2019 2020 2022F 2025F 2021 +7.5% Revenue from Virtual Gifting reduced in 2021 due to recent regulatory changes in China Revenue from Virtual Gifting reduced in 2021 due to recent regulatory changes in China Average Revenue Per Paying User in China is ~RMB 56, and expected to grow at a CAGR of ~3% A Ban on Tipping by Minors Due to unhealthy competition arising out of Tip Rankings, people irrationally spent money Tip Rankings Outlawed Kuaishou Douyin Momo Douyu YY $8
  • 34. Source(s): Consumer Survey, Secondary Research, Redseer Analysis © Redseer 34 In India, virtual gifting via shortform video platforms is expected to be a USD 1.7 Bn market Monetization Virtual Gifting Projected Spends on Virtual Gifting Decrease significantly Slightly decrease Slightly Increase Increase significantly Willingness to spend, Virtual Gifting Sep’22, N=1100 India Livestream Virtual Gifting Market via SFV platforms CY22E, 30F, In USD Bn -9% -14% 33% 9% 42% Users claim that their spends on virtual gifting would increase in the future 2022E $ 0.1 Bn $ 1.7 Bn 2030F +55.4%
  • 35. Report Authors Report Authors Anil Kumar Founding Partner, Redseer Anil Kumar is the Founder of Redseer Consulting. He has been part of engagements in Internet, Private Equity, Retail CPG and Healthcare among others. He specializes in growth and investment strategies. Anil is a believer of the data-driven approach in solving business problems. His consulting approach leverages Data IP, sector expertise and the client’s core hypothesis. He holds a B-tech from IIT Delhi. He can be reached at anil@redseer.com Mohit Rana Partner, Redseer Mohit is a Partner at Redseer Consulting and brings over 25 years of experience in consulting, financial services, start-ups, and technology. He is passionate about Indian startups and has been instrumental in helping clients frame growth strategies, launch new businesses, and drive large operational improvement programs. He holds a PGDM from IIMA and B.Tech from IIT Delhi. He can be reached at mohit.rana@redseer.com Yash Rathi Senior Consultant, Redseer Yash Rathi is a Senior Consultant at Redseer. He has worked on engagements in eCommerce, FoodTech, Media and Education space. He brings project experience in domains such as index creation, due diligence, long term strategy and benchmarking. He holds a B.Sc in Finance from NMIMS, Mumbai. He can be reached at yashr@redseerconsulting.com Khushi Poddar Associate Consultant, Redseer Khushi has worked on engagements in the advertising, digital media and entertainment, Edtech, and Insurtech spaces. She brings project experi- ence in market research, due diligence and benchmarking. She holds an MBA degree from IIM Kozhikode & a B.A in Economics from Hansraj College, Delhi University. She can be reached at khushi.p@redseerconsulting.com Wasim Khan Business Analyst, Redseer Wasim has worked on consumer engagements and market reports in the digital media and entertainment, Edtech, and Insurtech spaces.He has graduated from SRCC and holds B.COM (H). He can be reached at Wasim@redseerconsulting.com
  • 36. © 2023 Redseer Strategy Consultants Confidential and Proprietary Information