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ResolveTO - Randy Smerik: Startup Stage

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ResolveTO - Randy Smerik: Startup Stage

Randy Smerik, successful serial entrepreneur and active angel investor, gives a practical “how to” talk on how to drive a success acquisition … from both perspectives: the view of the Start-up interested in acquisition and the view of an Enterprise considering an acquisition to advance strategic or tactical goals. Randy highlights in concrete detail 3 critical elements that he has learned firsthand over the last 25 years. Be ready to take notes!

Randy Smerik, successful serial entrepreneur and active angel investor, gives a practical “how to” talk on how to drive a success acquisition … from both perspectives: the view of the Start-up interested in acquisition and the view of an Enterprise considering an acquisition to advance strategic or tactical goals. Randy highlights in concrete detail 3 critical elements that he has learned firsthand over the last 25 years. Be ready to take notes!

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ResolveTO - Randy Smerik: Startup Stage

  1. 1. Successful Acquisitions: To Buy … and to be Bought Tips, Tricks, and Techniques Randy Smerik Founder/CEO, Osunatech, Inc. randy@smerik.com @randysmerik January 26, 2017 1 Randy Smerik
  2. 2. 22 Randy SmerikRandy Smerik ①
  3. 3. 3 90+% of Successful Companies need to be acquired.
  4. 4. 4 Randy Smerik
  5. 5. Context: 4 Business Outcomes 5 Randy Smerik Failure Company shuts down or asset sale where there is a loss for all involved Lifestyle Business reaches critical mass and profitability and provides an income for its exec team and employees M&A Business is bought and incorporated into a larger entity at some profit to investors IPO Initial Public Offering Our focus is here
  6. 6. Context: IPO versus M&A Venture Exits VC backed liquidity events 6 Randy Smerik Since 2000, median is 90% of exits are M&A
  7. 7. IPO versus M&A Exits – Current VC backed liquidity events 7 Randy Smerik November 2016 - CBinsights 3% 1H2016 IPOs: 27 M&A: 1564 98.3% = M&A
  8. 8. Context: M&A Transactions - Deal Size Private Targets - Internet, Communications & IT Infrastructure Software & Services M&A – Q1’2011 8 Randy Smerik source: SagePoint Advisors Median M&A transaction is $10M
  9. 9. M&A Transaction - Deal Size Private Targets - 2013 to 1Q2016 9 Randy Smerik $16.8M $33.2M $24.8M Median M&A transaction is $23.7M March 2016
  10. 10. Let’s see what Google Says • I care about Google because recently Google has been the most active M&A buyer – Next on the list would be Microsoft, Amazon, and Apple for 2015 • Charles Rim (former top Google M&A guy) stated: – “90% plus of our transactions are small transactions. Less than 20 people, less than $20M and that is truly the sweet spot” – “We do prefer companies that are pre-revenue” 10 Randy Smerik
  11. 11. 1111 Randy SmerikRandy Smerik ②
  12. 12. 12 There are things that can destroy an M&A path.
  13. 13. 13 Randy Smerik
  14. 14. 14 Randy Smerik Destruction Trap #1: Raising “Serious” Money Let’s Look at VC Fund Raising …
  15. 15. Impacts of Raising Money $$$ Desire for Control/Information Friends/Family & Bootstrap Angels Seed & Incubator Convertible Debt Super Angels Traditional VC’s 15 Randy Smerik Social Graph and Viral Note: there is lots of overlap between these categories in the real world You are Here
  16. 16. Issue: VC’s need 10x Returns • Why? – Limited Partners in a VC fund expect ~20% return per year – Typically, returns come from 20% of the investments, i.e. out of 10 companies funded 2 will provide returns – Due to the length of time the money is typically tied up in companies and how long the funds are for, the capital only gets to be invested once – When you do the math, the average return of those two winning companies needs to be around 20x 16 Randy Smerik
  17. 17. Yikes. This is a Problem. • Simple scenario: – A VC invests $2M on an $8M pre-money valuation company – This gives the VC 20% of the $10M post-money company – To get 10x (forget about 30x) the VC will need a $20M return – At 20% ownership, that means that the company must sell for $100M – But … the average M&A deal is more like $20M! 17 Randy Smerik
  18. 18. VC’s Entrepreneur10 Entrepreneur1 Entrepreneur2 Entrepreneur3 Entrepreneur4 Entrepreneur9 Entrepreneur8 Entrepreneur7 Entrepreneur6 Entrepreneur5 $$ $$ $$$$ VC Perspective Different Perspectives, but: VC’s will Protect their Model • VC’s may fight to keep a company going longer even if the entire management team and angels feel it’s better to sell • Techniques: create separate voting classes (preferred) where each class must approve exits; “protective provisions” with veto rights; control of the Board; and more 18 Randy Smerik 20X 10X Entrepreneur Vision Hopes/Dreams Angels VC’s $$ Entrepreneur/Company Perspective
  19. 19. Pre $2,000,000 Investment $500,000 CEO 40% Staff 40% Angels 20% VC 0% Post $2,500,000 Angel Round Angel Round of $500K at $2.5M post Let’s See What Could Happen in a Real-world Scenario 19 Randy Smerik VC Round $10,000,000 $3,000,000 31% 31% 15% 23% $13,000,000 VC adds $3M at $10M pre M&A Offer $40,000,000 $12,307,692 $12,307,692 $6,153,846 $9,230,769 M&A offer at $40M x Return 12.3 3.1 Multiples • Great exit for CEO/Founders/Staff - $24 million for them • Angels see a 12x return • VC sees a (mere) 3x return and will likely veto the transaction This example assumes all shares are Common; if 1X PP, then the VC return is 3.8x
  20. 20. Destruction Trap #2: “Nothing to Lose” • Pay special attention to a co-Founder who is someone who has “made it big” at a previous company/deal 20 Randy Smerik • A high-likelihood danger is that they don’t share the same view of a successful outcome
  21. 21. Destruction Trap #3: Exclusive & “Strategic” Partners • To move quickly on an idea within a company, it is it is all too common to agree to exclusive terms with major players • It is also common to form strategic partnerships with other companies for sales, manufacturing, and more • This can have a big negative impact on a company if they are not managed carefully • Ensure there is a full management review and transparency of all Exclusive Agreements 21 Randy Smerik
  22. 22. Destruction Trap #4: IP Licensing • Owning core IP can be essential for both funding and M&A • It is easy for 3rd party IP to “creep” into critical portions of the code to speed time-to-market • Know that once it’s there, it’s very challenging to remove • Ensure there is a full management review and transparency of all 3rd party IP 22 Randy Smerik
  23. 23. Destruction Trap #5: Sales • It’s common to apply pressure to race to sales and drive revenue as quickly as possible – Brings (much needed) cash in, can prove/show real customer engagement, and more • But if done too early, it can create a focus on short term and specific customer requirements and not the core product/business • Engage in sales when you have the right support in place and the revenue is “significant” • Sales are the easiest thing to track … and that can be a blessing ………… or a curse 23 Randy Smerik
  24. 24. 2424 Randy SmerikRandy Smerik ③
  25. 25. 25 It’s not Sexy, but “Be the Gauge - Know the Gauge”.
  26. 26. Perspective • It is very easy for entrepreneurs to lose perspective on where their business is going • There is so much data and analytics … it is easy to get lost on the “forest” • And, people forget that there are typically no clear black & white win/lose scenarios • You can play a hugely valuable role as “guide post” and “time capsule” 262626 Randy SmerikRandy Smerik
  27. 27. “Macro Reflective Mentoring” • Frequency: every 1 to 3 months • The Right Data: identify the top areas for the business at any point in time • Micro Data: avoid the temptation to take an active role in analyzing and tracking low level metrics • Reflective: let the team set the goals and time lines … not you 27272727 Randy SmerikRandy Smerik
  28. 28. Buy and Read this Book! 28 Buy on: Amazon.com http://leananalyticsbook.com @leananalytics
  29. 29. Do These 3 Things • Know … and manage the importance of a high quality M&A exit and exit planning • Know … and manage the forces that can destroy the M&A potential • Know … and help your company understand and be realistic about objectives • All 3 of these points … are actually very easy to do. They are. 292929 Randy SmerikRandy Smerik
  30. 30. 30 Randy Smerik Good Luck! Bon Chance! Thank You! Merci Beaucoup!
  31. 31. Successful Acquisitions: To Buy … and to be Bought Tips, Tricks, and Techniques Randy Smerik Founder/CEO, Osunatech, Inc. randy@smerik.com @randysmerik January 26, 2017 31 Randy Smerik

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