2. WHY DO IT?
• Historical behaviour has been proven to be the best
predictor of future behaviour
• We can see how important different segments are
for our business
• Instead of indiscriminate, one-size-fits all marketing
we can tailor it to groups with specific and known
preferences, expressed by their past behaviour
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3. BEHAVIOURS WE CAN SEGMENT ON
Theoretically, we can segment on any transaction
data – but is this necessary or even usable? To get a
clear picture, we should look at the customer base:
• By frequency and monetary value – once-off
buyers, casual buyers, regular customers, high-value
customers
• By recency – new, current, “at risk” and lost
customers, based on average days between sales
• By products – specific products vs single category vs
multiple category buyers
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4. EXAMPLE OF SEGMENTATION
ComputerBooks.com – fictitious company selling books for IT professionals
Here we defined 5 classes:
• A-C: repeat customers with A being most frequent as specified
by criteria CavDays<=150
• D – once off customers
• R – recent once-off customers, they might still return for more
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5. COMPARING THESE SEGMENTS
• Although group „A‟ is the least numerous, its input into overall
revenue is greater than the largest group - „D‟
• This is because both Average Sale Amount and #Sales/Customer
increase from „D‟ to „A‟, causing Average Customer Value to rise
dramatically
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6. SEGMENT PROFITABILITY
The spend of once-off customers is about $80. Amazon.com statistics:
gross-profit margin 24%, net profit 2.7% (Forbes, tinyurl.com/74pfbwo)
At these margins gross profit for customer „D‟ is $19.2, net profit is $2.16
Conclusion: these customers have marginal profitability at best, we
need to convert them to become repeat customers!
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7. MARKETING BY SEGMENT
Having classified customers into types from „A‟ to „R‟, we can
target our marketing better:
• For type „R‟ (recent customers) – we want them to become
regular customers
• For type „D‟ (other once-off customers) – we want them to
make second purchase, but we don‟t want to spend too much
on them; neither can we contact them too often
• Type „A‟ – our most connected, most switched on customers retain them, make them special offers, ask them for referrals etc
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8. TARGETING BY SEGMENT
Use behavioural segmentation by itself or in conjunction with other
parameters. Here we are selecting customers of types A and B who
made at least 4 purchases and spent $500 or more in 2011 and
bought book “Access 2003 for Starters”.
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9. CORRELATION TO DEMOGRAPHIC
We should correlate behaviour to demographic and geography to find
any anomalies and problem areas. Here we can see a larger-thanaverage proportion of Queensland customers in type „D‟ (once-off
customers).
This points to a conversion problem, perhaps due to negative first
purchase experience.
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10. PRODUCT PREFERENCES
Note type „A‟ customers have somewhat different product
preference to the overall customer base:
They buy less books about low-end and free database
technologies (Access and MySQL) and more about paid,
commercial technologies (Oracle and SQL Server)
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11. PRODUCT PREFERENCE
The difference is even more pronounced if we categorize books
into price ranges – „A‟ customers buy more expensive books!
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12. ACTIONS TO TAKE AWAY
• Problems with customer retention in Queensland –
seems we cannot get them to come back – survey
or follow up each new purchase
• Highest-value customers are interested in
“commercial” technologies – promote the books
about those technologies to this group
• Higher-value customers buy more often, buy bigger
“baskets” – need to start tracking customer sources
to find more of them
• Lower value customers (type „D‟)
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13. ANALYSE YOUR OWN DATA
• CRM or shopping cart extract
• Need sales history and customer details, linked by
customer id
• Don‟t need customer name, address and other
personal info
• Visit www.withIQ.biz and contact us
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