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Magnus Carlsson

                  UBS Nordic
                    Financial
                    Services
                  Conference

                     4 September
                            2008
Outline

          An overall business update

          The Merchant Banking division

          Germany

          The Baltic countries

          Concluding remarks
SEB – An activity based bank
     Share of operating profit Jan – Jun 2008

                                                            Wealth
                                                        Management
         Baltic
                                                                             Life
      countries                               Nordics            13%
                   20%                                                 10%
                                        18%
Germany

          14%
                                                        35%



                                                                       42%
                                  48%                 Retail
                                                    Banking
          Sweden                                                         Merchant
                                                                         Banking
 Geography - Adjusted for Other
 Divisions - Adjusted for Other
Highlights Q2 2008

  Income regained strength – second
  best quarter ever
  – High business activity
  – Limited bond portfolio losses
  Higher costs due to continued
  investments and sales activities
  Accelerated slowdown in Estonia
  and Latvia increases credit losses
  Strong capitalisation and liquidity
Key figures
SEB Group
                                    Change
                              Q2      Q1     Q2
SEKm                        2008    2008   2007
Income                  10,403      18%    -3%
Expenses                    6,445    7%    10%
Operating profit            3,507   46%    -23%

Return on Equity, %          15.2    9.6   20.7
Cost / income ratio          0.62   0.69   0.55
Credit loss level, %         0.17   0.13   0.12
Basel II, Tier 1 ratio, %    8.64   8.85   8.45
Business Activity

     High business activity – long-term savings
   Swedish mutual funds: net inflows                      Life – Total sales
   Jan-Jun, SEKbn                                         SEKbn
                                         3.8                                                13.3
                                                           12.0                      12.0           11.9
                                                                    10.7       9.7

                                                  -3.0
      -7.2                  -8.5
              -13.3
                                                          Q1-07     Q2         Q3    Q4     Q1-08   Q2
     Robur     SHB     Nordea            SEB     Others

   Private Banking – Net sales
   SEKbn

                                          5.8
                                                   4.9
      4.1
                                   3.5
             2.9      2.6



      Q1     Q2       Q3           Q4      Q1      Q2
     2007                                 2008
Business Activity

     High business activity – Retail Sweden
    Retail Sweden household mortgages                        Retail Sweden, SME segment
    Lending, SEKbn                                           Cash management customers (thousands)
                                                             90
                                                     207
                                             201
                                     196
                             189
                     183
             176
     173                                                     80
                                                                                             + 5,200

                                                             70


                                                             60
                                                                                          Income
                                                                                          growth +6%

                                                             50
                                                               2005      2006      2007      2008
     Q4 06   Q1 07   Q2 07   Q3 07   Q4 07   Q1 08   Q2 08
    Growth +2.3% +3.9% +3.1% +3.6% +2.3% +3.5%
    rates
Cost Management

  Cost development


   ~4% total cost growth due to acquisitions, pensions and One IT Roadmap
   SEK 202m in efficiency gains achieved in H1


Cost management program 2007 - 2009
                     Achieved                                    Target
                        SEK -748m                    SEK 1.5 – 2.0bn
                         *


2007                 2008                   2009                    2010
  *
Asset Quality

   Level of Net Credit Losses, %
   (incl. change in collective provisions)
                                                                      SEB Group
                                                                    Net credit losses
                                     Estonia     1.68
                                                                      Jan – Jun 2008
                                     Latvia      0.48
                                                                        SEK 820m
                                     Lithuania   0.17
0.80
                                     Baltics     0.73
0.70
                                                                    Non-Baltic
0.60
                                                                      39%
0.50
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
                                                            Lithuania
0.00
                                                               6%     Latvia Estonia
       2003       2004    2005     2006    2007  Q1    Q2
                                                                              45%
                                                                       10%
                                                2008* 2008*
       Germany           Baltics     Nordics            SEB Group

   * Annualised
Asset Quality

Credit exposure – on and off balance
SEK 1,631bn


          By geography                                   By sector
                Baltic                                    Banks
                                          Public                      Corporate
German                             administration         14%
                 11%
                                                    6%
         24%
                                                                     38%
                                                    28%
                         65%
                                                            14%

                                       Households
                                                            Property
               Nordic
                                                           management
Capital

Volume growth supported
by strong capital
Risk-weighted assets (Basel I)   Tier 1 capital ratios
Q4 2006 - Q2 2008, SEKbn         Per cent
1,200
                                 11
                                               Basel II (no floors)
                       +18%                    Basel II (transition rules)
1,000                                          Basel I
                                 10
  800
                                  9
  600
                                  8
  400

                                  7
  200

                                  6
    0
                                       Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
                     Group
                                      2007 2007 2007 2007 2008 2008
Liquidity

      Net liquidity position across maturities
      30 June, SEKbn

250
                                                              SEB is match-
200                                                          funded approx.
                                                                one year
                                                                                                                     SEK 113bn in long-term funding
150
                                                                                                                     raised in H1 2008
                                                                                                                     Examples of transactions:
100
                                                                                                                      April: Euro covered bond at spread
                                                                                                                      of 17 bps
 50
                                                                                                                      May/June: Euro floating rate notes
                                                                                                                      at spread of 48 bps
  0

-50
                                       2 months

                                                  3 months

                                                             4 months

                                                                        5 months

                                                                                   6 months

                                                                                              9 months

                                                                                                         12 months
          1 week

                   2 weeks

                             4 weeks
An overall business update

The Merchant Banking division

Germany

The Baltic countries

Concluding remarks
A leading franchise

● #1 Nordic stock broker
● #1 Nordic and Baltic corporate finance
● #1 Nordic and Baltic cash manager
● #1 Custody Nordic and Baltic markets
● #1 Scandinavian currencies
Organisation

                          Client Relationship Management

               TCM                                  Corporate Banking                                GTS
                      Capital                       Commercial Real Estate                          Cash
     FX
                      Markets                                                                   Management,
                                                      Structured Finance                        Trade Finance
SEB Enskilda                                                                                     & Securities
                        CPM
  Equities                                                                                         Services
                 (Investment portfolio)        SEB Enskilda Corporate Finance


                     Global product organisation – local specialists


                DK       NO          FI        DE       UK        FR        LU        US        SG
          SE

                                          PL                 CN        BR        RU        IN
               EE     LT        LV
Highlights last 12 months

                                        Client       >300 new clients
                                      acquisition

                                                     Top rankings in investment
                                       Customer      banking, research, trade finance
                                      satisfaction   custody and cash management

    From                    To



                                      Operational    SEB Way on track (productivity
1                       1   2    3
               2
     3                           OK




                                      Excellence
4


                                                     gains 20% ahead of target)
           5       OK




                                       MTM           MTM losses on investment
                                      losses         portfolio and Capital markets
Financial development
SEKm
                Income excluding portfolios   Income    Expenses
5,000
4,500
4,000
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
  500
    0
        Q1-07     Q2-07          Q3-07         Q4-07          Q1-08    Q2-08
                  Operating profit             Excluding portfolios
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
 500
   0
        Q1-07     Q2-07          Q3-07          Q4-07          Q1-08   Q2-08
High business activity…
Merchant Banking: Operating Income              Risk-weighted assets (Basel I)
                                                Q1 2007 - Q2 2008, SEKbn
SEKm
            Q2 07   Q1 08       Q2 08
2,000                                            600

                                                                       +26%
                                                 500

                                                 400

1,000                                            300

                                                 200

                                                 100

   0                                               0
                                                               Merchant Banking
        Trading &   Corporate       Global
         Capital     Banking      Transaction
         Markets                   Services
…in Trading and Capital Markets
Trading and Capital Markets income by main product cluster,
excl. investment portfolios
    8%                               5%                           Structured derivatives
                                                            7%
                11%
                                    11%        4%                 & Other TCM
                 15%
   22%                   3%                                 8%
                                               6%                 Capital Markets
                                    46%                     49%
                         64%
                 46%
   44%                                        49%
                                                                  Equities
                                    38%                     36%
                28%                            41%
                         33%
   26%
                                                                  FX
  Q1 - 07        Q2      Q3         Q4       Q1 - 08        Q2

Market Shares Nordic Stock Exchanges *
Jan – June 2008
             SEB                                                       8,9%

  Morgan Stanley                                     5.6%

         Carnegie                                 5.4%

            Glitnir                              5.2%

             SHB                              4.7%
High business activity…
Merchant Banking: Operating Income              Risk-weighted assets (Basel I)
                                                Q1 2007 - Q2 2008, SEKbn
SEKm
            Q2 07   Q1 08       Q2 08
2,000                                            600

                                                                       +26%
                                                 500

                                                 400

1,000                                            300

                                                 200

                                                 100

   0                                               0
                                                               Merchant Banking
        Trading &   Corporate       Global
         Capital     Banking      Transaction
         Markets                   Services
…in Corporate Banking

Swedish syndicated loans league (and bookrunner %)
July 2007 – June 2008
               0                    1                              2           3
EUR
bn
                                                                       17.6%
        SEB


                                                       12.4%
        SHB


      Calyon               5.6%

                            * Source: The Nordic Stock exchanges
                           ** Source: Dealogic Analytics
        RBS         3.5%


                   3.0%
ABN AMRO
High business activity…
Merchant Banking: Operating Income              Risk-weighted assets (Basel I)
                                                Q1 2007 - Q2 2008, SEKbn
SEKm
            Q2 07   Q1 08       Q2 08
2,000                                            600

                                                                       +26%
                                                 500

                                                 400

1,000                                            300

                                                 200

                                                 100

   0                                               0
                                                               Merchant Banking
        Trading &   Corporate       Global
         Capital     Banking      Transaction
         Markets                   Services
…in Global Transaction Services
Custody volume development

                       Assets under custody, SEKbn
                       No of transactions/day
7,000                                                       150,000

6,000                                                       125,000

5,000
                                                            100,000
4,000
                                                            75,000
3,000
                                                            50,000
2,000

                                                            25,000
1,000

                                                            0
   0
    2004        2005           2006         2007     2008
High business activity
Merchant Banking: Operating Income              Risk-weighted assets (Basel I)
                                                Q1 2007 - Q2 2008, SEKbn
SEKm
            Q2 07   Q1 08       Q2 08
2,000                                            600

                                                                       +26%
                                                 500

                                                 400

1,000                                            300

                                                 200

                                                 100

   0                                               0
                                                               Merchant Banking
        Trading &   Corporate       Global
         Capital     Banking      Transaction
         Markets                   Services
Investment portfolio – SEK 126bn
Status and actions                        Investment portfolio valuations, SEKm
                                                                      Accumulated
   97.2% AAA rated after limited                                            since
   rating actions                                          Q2 08           Q3 07
                                           Income             -66          -2,707
   Mark- to-market prices applied;
                                           Equity             -56          -2,384
   no level 3 assets
                                           Total            -122           -5,091
   Reduction of income volatility

Composition                               Accounting classification
                                          Q2 08
Q2 08
                             Covered
  Financial
               42%          bonds etc.
                       9%
institutions                                Available                     Held for
                                             for sale   89%               trading
                                                                    11%   (MTM over
                                          (MTM over
                                                                          income)
                                              equity)
                     49%    Structured
                                credits
Long-term
Near-term
              opportunities
uncertainty
Prioritising customer acquisition
                ● Grow Nordic, German and Baltic client base through focus on MidCorp segment
  MidCorp
                ● Implement cross-sell model throughout Nordics, Germany and Baltic countries
  growth


                ● Expand sales, relationship management and analytical capacity
   Nordic
 Expansion      ● Fully leverage existing product platform


                ● Leverage SEB’s leadership in Nordic products by expanding institutional
Expanded FI       client base in Europe, US & Asia (including central banks, hedge funds and
 coverage         sovereign wealth funds)


                ● Build on existing expertise to expand position in energy, oil/offshore and
 Energy, oil
                  shipping segments
   & gas
                ● Continue developing commodities offering



                ● Improve business origination and subsidiary coverage at strategic locations
International
An overall business update

The Merchant Banking division

Germany

The Baltic countries

Concluding remarks
SEB in Germany



    Retail              Asset
   Banking           Management




      Merchant Banking
   (incl. Commercial Real Estate)
SEB in Germany
                                            Retail Germany: Operating profit
SEB in Germany: Operating profit
                                            SEKm
SEKm
                                                                         136     134
                                                                                        74
                                843                                 60
       807

                                                             -22
                 189

                                                     -226
                                             -244
    H1 07         H2            H1 08        H1 05   H2     H1 06   H2   H1 07   H2    H1 08

                       Distribution of German Operating profit
                                                      Other
                       Jan – Jun 2008
                                                      business
                                           91%


                                 9%

                       Retail
Merchant Banking in Germany


                              Hamburg
                                           Merchant Banking’s second
                  Bremen                   largest market
                                           Country-wide sales force
             Hannover
                                  Berlin
                                           Increased profitability in 2007
          Essen
Düsseldorf                                 RoE in line with Merchant
                                Leipzig    Banking globally.
            Cologne

                                           Focus on export- oriented larger
                  Frankfurt
                                           Mittelstand companies
                                           Main competitors are domestic
                                           German banks
                  Stuttgart                Cross-sale model with leading
                                           competence in FX, cash
                                           management derivatives and
                         Munich
                                           export and trade finance
An overall business update

The Merchant Banking division

Germany

The Baltic countries

Concluding remarks
SEB in the Baltic countries
       Operating profit by country; SEKm
       4,000
                          Lithuania
                          Latvia
                          Estonia
       3,000



       2,000



       1,000
                                                       Accumulated profit since
                                                       acquisition in 1998: SEK 11.5bn
                                                       Acquisition price: SEK 3.8bn
             0
                  2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007* H1
                                                2008
% of Group
operating profit 9% 10% 11% 13% 15% 18% 18%

* Adjusted for sale of Baltic real estate
Baltic countries:
economic slowdown accelerates
Annual GDP growth
Per cent            Estonia          Latvia            Lithuania
15
10
 5
 0
      2002   2003   2004      2005            2006             2007        2008 (f)         2009 (f)
-5
                                     Economic sentiment, index
                                                     Estonia          Latvia          Lithuania
                                     125

                                     115
         The Baltics:
      Economic sentiment             105

         deteriorating                95

                                      85

                                      75
                                           -98 -99 -00 -01 -02 -03 -04 -05 -06 -07 -08
Priorities for managing overheating

Phase I - Actions to manage overheating
   Jan 06              Jul 06            Dec 06            2007
                                                        ● Further tightening
● Concluding        ● Tightening of    ● Overheating
                                                          of credit policy
  internal review     credit policy      risks
  of Baltic           incl. cautious     communicated   ● Volume restrictions
  economies           property mgmt                     ● Collective
● Increased         ● ROE priority >                      provisioning policy
  capitalisation      volume growth

Credit growth per quarter
12%
10%
 8%
 6%
 4%
 2%
 0%
       2006                  2007               2008
Priorities for managing recession

Phase II - Actions to manage correction
Asset quality
   Targeted credit portfolio reviews
   Joint local and head-office work-out
   team
   Early conservative provisioning
Business development
   Individual country approach
   Full integration in SEB Group to
   broaden product palette
   Develop relationships with existing
   and new customers
An overall business update

The Merchant Banking division

Germany

The Baltic countries

Concluding remarks
Looking ahead

                ●   Strong capital and liquidity
                ●   Top line growth
                ●   Continued investments
                ●   Cost efficiency
Ubs Nordic Financials Sept 2008

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Ubs Nordic Financials Sept 2008

  • 1. Magnus Carlsson UBS Nordic Financial Services Conference 4 September 2008
  • 2. Outline An overall business update The Merchant Banking division Germany The Baltic countries Concluding remarks
  • 3. SEB – An activity based bank Share of operating profit Jan – Jun 2008 Wealth Management Baltic Life countries Nordics 13% 20% 10% 18% Germany 14% 35% 42% 48% Retail Banking Sweden Merchant Banking Geography - Adjusted for Other Divisions - Adjusted for Other
  • 4. Highlights Q2 2008 Income regained strength – second best quarter ever – High business activity – Limited bond portfolio losses Higher costs due to continued investments and sales activities Accelerated slowdown in Estonia and Latvia increases credit losses Strong capitalisation and liquidity
  • 5. Key figures SEB Group Change Q2 Q1 Q2 SEKm 2008 2008 2007 Income 10,403 18% -3% Expenses 6,445 7% 10% Operating profit 3,507 46% -23% Return on Equity, % 15.2 9.6 20.7 Cost / income ratio 0.62 0.69 0.55 Credit loss level, % 0.17 0.13 0.12 Basel II, Tier 1 ratio, % 8.64 8.85 8.45
  • 6. Business Activity High business activity – long-term savings Swedish mutual funds: net inflows Life – Total sales Jan-Jun, SEKbn SEKbn 3.8 13.3 12.0 12.0 11.9 10.7 9.7 -3.0 -7.2 -8.5 -13.3 Q1-07 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1-08 Q2 Robur SHB Nordea SEB Others Private Banking – Net sales SEKbn 5.8 4.9 4.1 3.5 2.9 2.6 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2007 2008
  • 7. Business Activity High business activity – Retail Sweden Retail Sweden household mortgages Retail Sweden, SME segment Lending, SEKbn Cash management customers (thousands) 90 207 201 196 189 183 176 173 80 + 5,200 70 60 Income growth +6% 50 2005 2006 2007 2008 Q4 06 Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Growth +2.3% +3.9% +3.1% +3.6% +2.3% +3.5% rates
  • 8. Cost Management Cost development ~4% total cost growth due to acquisitions, pensions and One IT Roadmap SEK 202m in efficiency gains achieved in H1 Cost management program 2007 - 2009 Achieved Target SEK -748m SEK 1.5 – 2.0bn * 2007 2008 2009 2010 *
  • 9. Asset Quality Level of Net Credit Losses, % (incl. change in collective provisions) SEB Group Net credit losses Estonia 1.68 Jan – Jun 2008 Latvia 0.48 SEK 820m Lithuania 0.17 0.80 Baltics 0.73 0.70 Non-Baltic 0.60 39% 0.50 0.40 0.30 0.20 0.10 Lithuania 0.00 6% Latvia Estonia 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Q1 Q2 45% 10% 2008* 2008* Germany Baltics Nordics SEB Group * Annualised
  • 10. Asset Quality Credit exposure – on and off balance SEK 1,631bn By geography By sector Baltic Banks Public Corporate German administration 14% 11% 6% 24% 38% 28% 65% 14% Households Property Nordic management
  • 11. Capital Volume growth supported by strong capital Risk-weighted assets (Basel I) Tier 1 capital ratios Q4 2006 - Q2 2008, SEKbn Per cent 1,200 11 Basel II (no floors) +18% Basel II (transition rules) 1,000 Basel I 10 800 9 600 8 400 7 200 6 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Group 2007 2007 2007 2007 2008 2008
  • 12. Liquidity Net liquidity position across maturities 30 June, SEKbn 250 SEB is match- 200 funded approx. one year SEK 113bn in long-term funding 150 raised in H1 2008 Examples of transactions: 100 April: Euro covered bond at spread of 17 bps 50 May/June: Euro floating rate notes at spread of 48 bps 0 -50 2 months 3 months 4 months 5 months 6 months 9 months 12 months 1 week 2 weeks 4 weeks
  • 13. An overall business update The Merchant Banking division Germany The Baltic countries Concluding remarks
  • 14. A leading franchise ● #1 Nordic stock broker ● #1 Nordic and Baltic corporate finance ● #1 Nordic and Baltic cash manager ● #1 Custody Nordic and Baltic markets ● #1 Scandinavian currencies
  • 15. Organisation Client Relationship Management TCM Corporate Banking GTS Capital Commercial Real Estate Cash FX Markets Management, Structured Finance Trade Finance SEB Enskilda & Securities CPM Equities Services (Investment portfolio) SEB Enskilda Corporate Finance Global product organisation – local specialists DK NO FI DE UK FR LU US SG SE PL CN BR RU IN EE LT LV
  • 16. Highlights last 12 months Client >300 new clients acquisition Top rankings in investment Customer banking, research, trade finance satisfaction custody and cash management From To Operational SEB Way on track (productivity 1 1 2 3 2 3 OK Excellence 4 gains 20% ahead of target) 5 OK MTM MTM losses on investment losses portfolio and Capital markets
  • 17. Financial development SEKm Income excluding portfolios Income Expenses 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08 Q2-08 Operating profit Excluding portfolios 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08 Q2-08
  • 18. High business activity… Merchant Banking: Operating Income Risk-weighted assets (Basel I) Q1 2007 - Q2 2008, SEKbn SEKm Q2 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 2,000 600 +26% 500 400 1,000 300 200 100 0 0 Merchant Banking Trading & Corporate Global Capital Banking Transaction Markets Services
  • 19. …in Trading and Capital Markets Trading and Capital Markets income by main product cluster, excl. investment portfolios 8% 5% Structured derivatives 7% 11% 11% 4% & Other TCM 15% 22% 3% 8% 6% Capital Markets 46% 49% 64% 46% 44% 49% Equities 38% 36% 28% 41% 33% 26% FX Q1 - 07 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 - 08 Q2 Market Shares Nordic Stock Exchanges * Jan – June 2008 SEB 8,9% Morgan Stanley 5.6% Carnegie 5.4% Glitnir 5.2% SHB 4.7%
  • 20. High business activity… Merchant Banking: Operating Income Risk-weighted assets (Basel I) Q1 2007 - Q2 2008, SEKbn SEKm Q2 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 2,000 600 +26% 500 400 1,000 300 200 100 0 0 Merchant Banking Trading & Corporate Global Capital Banking Transaction Markets Services
  • 21. …in Corporate Banking Swedish syndicated loans league (and bookrunner %) July 2007 – June 2008 0 1 2 3 EUR bn 17.6% SEB 12.4% SHB Calyon 5.6% * Source: The Nordic Stock exchanges ** Source: Dealogic Analytics RBS 3.5% 3.0% ABN AMRO
  • 22. High business activity… Merchant Banking: Operating Income Risk-weighted assets (Basel I) Q1 2007 - Q2 2008, SEKbn SEKm Q2 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 2,000 600 +26% 500 400 1,000 300 200 100 0 0 Merchant Banking Trading & Corporate Global Capital Banking Transaction Markets Services
  • 23. …in Global Transaction Services Custody volume development Assets under custody, SEKbn No of transactions/day 7,000 150,000 6,000 125,000 5,000 100,000 4,000 75,000 3,000 50,000 2,000 25,000 1,000 0 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
  • 24. High business activity Merchant Banking: Operating Income Risk-weighted assets (Basel I) Q1 2007 - Q2 2008, SEKbn SEKm Q2 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 2,000 600 +26% 500 400 1,000 300 200 100 0 0 Merchant Banking Trading & Corporate Global Capital Banking Transaction Markets Services
  • 25. Investment portfolio – SEK 126bn Status and actions Investment portfolio valuations, SEKm Accumulated 97.2% AAA rated after limited since rating actions Q2 08 Q3 07 Income -66 -2,707 Mark- to-market prices applied; Equity -56 -2,384 no level 3 assets Total -122 -5,091 Reduction of income volatility Composition Accounting classification Q2 08 Q2 08 Covered Financial 42% bonds etc. 9% institutions Available Held for for sale 89% trading 11% (MTM over (MTM over income) equity) 49% Structured credits
  • 26. Long-term Near-term opportunities uncertainty
  • 27. Prioritising customer acquisition ● Grow Nordic, German and Baltic client base through focus on MidCorp segment MidCorp ● Implement cross-sell model throughout Nordics, Germany and Baltic countries growth ● Expand sales, relationship management and analytical capacity Nordic Expansion ● Fully leverage existing product platform ● Leverage SEB’s leadership in Nordic products by expanding institutional Expanded FI client base in Europe, US & Asia (including central banks, hedge funds and coverage sovereign wealth funds) ● Build on existing expertise to expand position in energy, oil/offshore and Energy, oil shipping segments & gas ● Continue developing commodities offering ● Improve business origination and subsidiary coverage at strategic locations International
  • 28. An overall business update The Merchant Banking division Germany The Baltic countries Concluding remarks
  • 29. SEB in Germany Retail Asset Banking Management Merchant Banking (incl. Commercial Real Estate)
  • 30. SEB in Germany Retail Germany: Operating profit SEB in Germany: Operating profit SEKm SEKm 136 134 74 843 60 807 -22 189 -226 -244 H1 07 H2 H1 08 H1 05 H2 H1 06 H2 H1 07 H2 H1 08 Distribution of German Operating profit Other Jan – Jun 2008 business 91% 9% Retail
  • 31. Merchant Banking in Germany Hamburg Merchant Banking’s second Bremen largest market Country-wide sales force Hannover Berlin Increased profitability in 2007 Essen Düsseldorf RoE in line with Merchant Leipzig Banking globally. Cologne Focus on export- oriented larger Frankfurt Mittelstand companies Main competitors are domestic German banks Stuttgart Cross-sale model with leading competence in FX, cash management derivatives and Munich export and trade finance
  • 32. An overall business update The Merchant Banking division Germany The Baltic countries Concluding remarks
  • 33. SEB in the Baltic countries Operating profit by country; SEKm 4,000 Lithuania Latvia Estonia 3,000 2,000 1,000 Accumulated profit since acquisition in 1998: SEK 11.5bn Acquisition price: SEK 3.8bn 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007* H1 2008 % of Group operating profit 9% 10% 11% 13% 15% 18% 18% * Adjusted for sale of Baltic real estate
  • 34. Baltic countries: economic slowdown accelerates Annual GDP growth Per cent Estonia Latvia Lithuania 15 10 5 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 (f) 2009 (f) -5 Economic sentiment, index Estonia Latvia Lithuania 125 115 The Baltics: Economic sentiment 105 deteriorating 95 85 75 -98 -99 -00 -01 -02 -03 -04 -05 -06 -07 -08
  • 35. Priorities for managing overheating Phase I - Actions to manage overheating Jan 06 Jul 06 Dec 06 2007 ● Further tightening ● Concluding ● Tightening of ● Overheating of credit policy internal review credit policy risks of Baltic incl. cautious communicated ● Volume restrictions economies property mgmt ● Collective ● Increased ● ROE priority > provisioning policy capitalisation volume growth Credit growth per quarter 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2006 2007 2008
  • 36. Priorities for managing recession Phase II - Actions to manage correction Asset quality Targeted credit portfolio reviews Joint local and head-office work-out team Early conservative provisioning Business development Individual country approach Full integration in SEB Group to broaden product palette Develop relationships with existing and new customers
  • 37. An overall business update The Merchant Banking division Germany The Baltic countries Concluding remarks
  • 38. Looking ahead ● Strong capital and liquidity ● Top line growth ● Continued investments ● Cost efficiency