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Primary funding is provided by
The SPE Foundation through member donations
and a contribution from Offshore Europe
The Society is grateful to those companies that allow their
professionals to serve as lecturers
Additional support provided by AIME
Society of Petroleum Engineers
Distinguished Lecturer Program
www.spe.org/dl
Society of Petroleum Engineers
Distinguished Lecturer Program
www.spe.org/dl 2
Basak Kurtoglu, PhD
Citi Global Energy Group
Creating a Worldwide
Unconventional Revolution
Through Technically Justifiable Strategies
The Unconventional Resource Revolution
in North America
3
 Technology enabled
production from unconventional
reservoirs
‒ Horizontal drilling increased
reservoir contact area
‒ Hydraulic fracturing enhanced
very low permeability
 2000-2010 Highlights:
‒ All started with the Barnett in
Texas
‒ Development of Bakken in
Montana shifted to North
Dakota
‒ The Marcellus started to
develop in Pennsylvania and
West Virginia
‒ Activity in the Haynesville
started in eastern
Texas/western Louisiana
Basin
Shale
Prospective
Shallow
Intermediate
Deep
US Unconventional Play Development
 2010- 2015 Highlights
‒ Eagle Ford became the lead for oil production
‒ Permian has received great attention with multi-horizon
development opportunities
‒ Unconventional development propelled the United States to
produce more oil than it imports for the first time in 20 years
How to Develop Unconventionals Worldwide?
4Source: EIA, Aug 2016
Key Factors for Success
 Operational Execution
 Technical Understanding
 Strategic Development Plan
Technically Recoverable Shale Resources
0
500
1000
1500
GAS(TCF)
Shale Gas
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
OIL(BILLIONBBL)
Shale Oil
5
Reservoir Characterization
Operational Execution
Value Creation
Integrated Workflow
 Petroleum system
 Targeting and landing
 Multi-horizon development
 Completion design
 Well spacing
 Improved/Enhanced recovery
Development Strategy
Unconventional Approach
6
Source Rock Properties- Reservoir Characterization
TOC: 2- 4 weight %
kmarl: 5.0E-07 md
TOC: 25- 28 weight %
kshale: 4.0E-08 md
 Pore structure-
Scanning Electron
Microscopy (SEM)
 Maturity- Total Organic
Carbon (TOC)
 Ductility
 Low permeability (k)
Bakken (Locally Sourced)
Kurtoglu, 2013 & Rosen et al., 2014 (SPE 168965) 6
1 mile
Appraisal Phase
Eagle Ford (Self-Sourced)
Black Shale SEM
Marl SEM
Development Acreage
7
 Pore structure-
Scanning Electron
Microscopy (SEM)
 Micro-fractures
 Brittleness
 High permeability (k)
kfractured- core: 0.0013 md
kfractured- core: 0.0059 md
Kurtoglu et al., 2014 (SPE 171688) & Rosen et al., 2014 (SPE 168965)
Bakken- Thin Section
Eagle Ford- Thin Section
500 μm
500 μm
Sandstone SEM
Limestone SEM1 mile
Appraisal Phase
Development Acreage
Reservoir Rock Properties- Characterization
8
Target Window- Reservoir CharacterizationCurrentConventional
Strategy
Storage Capacity
Energy/Drive
Thickness and extent
Porosity: type and amount
Fluid(s): type and amount
Pore pressure & GOR
Burial history
Seals
Connectivity
Brittleness of the rock
Faults and natural fractures
Type and amount of clay
Ability to induce fractures
Ability to maintain fractures
Unconventional
Strategy
Source Rock %: 70
Reservoir Rock %: 30
Frequency: 1/10ft
Source Rock %: 70
Reservoir Rock %: 30
Frequency: 3/10ft
Increased Interbedding= Increased Connectivity
LOW HIGH
1ft
Reservoir Rock: Brittle
Source Rock: Ductile
9
Fluid Properties- Reservoir Characterization
Black Oil and Volatile Oil System
IncreasedRecoverywith
DecreasedViscosity
1,000
2,000
2,400
3,000
14,000
12,000
6,000
5,000
GOR=4,000
GOR=700
Gas Condensate System
IncreasedRecoverywith
IncreasedCompressibility
 Increased capillary pressure
 Bubble point suppression
 Delayed multi-phase production
 Longer time constant gas-oil ratio (GOR)
 Lesser volume of gas released below
bubble point pressure
Unconventional
Nano pore
Conventional
Temperature, ˚F Temperature, ˚F
Pressure,psia
10
Rock-Fluid Interaction- Reservoir Characterization
Kurtoglu et al., 2014 (SPE 171688) & Fakcharoenphol et al., 2014 (SPE 168998)
Transport Processes
 Counter-current spontaneous imbibition
 High and Low Salinity
 Osmotic pressure
 Wettability
2- Low Salinity Experiment
after 5 days
Bakken Reservoir Rock
1- High Salinity Experiment
11
Formation Deliverability- Reservoir Characterization
Kurtoglu et al., 2013 (SPE 162921)
 Core to field level permeability reconciliation
 Near wellbore transient behavior:
 Mini- Drill Stem Test (DST)
 Target zone identification
 Formation deliverability and pressure
Laminated zone
Permeability: 0.013 md
Pressure: 6354 psi
Gamma Ray (GAPI)
Lodgepole
Lower
Bakken
Upper
Bakken
Middle
Bakken
Scallion
Three
Forks
12
Kurtoglu et al., 2012 (SPE 162473)
 Formation leak-off
mechanism
 Fracture closure pressure
 Pore pressure
 Vertical and horizontal
connectivity
0 10 20
G-function
7000
7500
8000
Pressure[psi]
0
1250
2500
Pressure[psi]
0
250
500
Pressure[psi]
P (ref)
dP/dG (ref)
G.dP/dG (ref)
G-Function plot
G-Function
SuperpositionDerivative
Pressure(psi)
Derivative
Geomechanical Properties- Reservoir Characterization
Diagnostic Fracture Injection Test
Fracture Properties
Microseismic
Reservoir Connectivity
Proppant placement
using down-hole ≈ 150-200 ft
HorizontalConnectivityVerticalConnectivity
Target Zone
Upper Formation
Lower Formation
13
Well Life Cycle- Operational Execution
1 2 3 4
Completion Flowback Production Refrac/ Gas Injection
Gas
Production Time
Oil
Water
1 mile
NormalizedCumulativeMBOE
%25
Produced Days
Development Acreage
14
Completion Efficiency- Operational Execution
Fracture Treatment Pressure along the Lateral
AverageTreatment
Pressure(psi)
250’
Stage
Spacing
Stage Number
Decreased
Fracture
Initiation
 Design parameters
 Stage/cluster spacing
 Proppant type/volume
 Frac fluid type/volume
 Injection rate/pressure
 Creation of stimulated
reservoir volume
 Fracture network
complexity and
propagation
400’
250’
400’
Stage
Spacing
Slurry Rate
Kurtoglu et al., 2015 (SPE 172922)
Stimulated
Reservoir
Volume
400’ Stage Spacing
250’ Stage Spacing
15
Multi-Phase Flowback Bilinear Flow Analysis
Time1/4 (days1/4)
41
1
102.44










efft
t
fff
t
BL
kcwkhn
m


Hydrocarbon
Water
Bilinear Flow: One linear flow within
fracture towards well and one within
the formation towards the fracture
md/cp-
1/psi-
md-
ft-idth
md-
stages
ft-
mobilitytotal
ilitycompressibtotalc
porosity
typermeabilieffectivek
wfracturehydraulicw
typermeabilifracturehydraulick
ofnumbern
thicknessh
t
t
eff
f
f
f










400’ Stage Spacing
250’ Stage Spacing
Hourly Flowback- Operational Execution
Kurtoglu et al., 2015 (SPE 172922)
RateNormalizedPressure
Δp/qt(psi/BBL/D)
Hydraulic
Fracture
Conductivity
Reservoir
Effective
Permeability
Bilinear
Slope
Increased
fracture
conductivity
Increased
reservoir
connectivity
mBL
16
Daily Production- Operational Execution
Multi-Phase Production Linear Flow Analysis
Linear Flow: Linear flow within
stimulated reservoir volume
(SRV) towards well
Hydrocarbon
Water







tteffff
L
ckxhn
m

191.19
Time1/2 (days1/2)
md/cp-
1/psi-
md-
ft-
stages
ft-
mobilitytotal
ilitycompressibtotalc
porosity
typermeabilieffectivek
hhalf-lengtfracturex
ofnumbern
thicknessh
t
t
eff
f
f









400’ Stage Spacing
250’ Stage Spacing
Kurtoglu et al., 2015 (SPE 172922)
RateNormalizedPressure
Δp/qt(psi/BBL/D)
Linear
Slope
Increased
reservoir
connectivity
Reservoir
Effective
Permeability
Fracture
Half-
Length
Increased
SRV
mL
17
Geological Impact- Operational Execution
Key Attributes
 Pore Pressure
 Thickness
 Porosity
 Water Saturation
 Fault/Structure
 Fracture Intensity
CumulativeOilProduction(BBLS)
Time (days)
Good Geology
SRV: 28 acre
Time1/4 (days1/4)
Poor Geology
SRV: 13 acre
RateNormalizedPressure
Δp/qt(psi/BBL/D)
Well in Sweet Spot area
Well in Poor Geological Area
1 mile
Development Acreage
High
Risk
Low
Risk
Geological
Risk
18
Well Spacing- Value Creation
 Defining boundaries of
reservoir both vertically
and horizontally
 Simulation of scenarios
 Determine point of
diminishing return
 Validation with field results
NetPresentValue($M)
Well Count/Spacing Unit
CumulativeOil(BBLS)
Reservoir Modeling for Well Spacing
80 acre: 3 well/unit
40 acre: 6 well/unit
60 acre: 4 well/unit
Time (days)
Increased Well
Interference
80 acre: 3 well/unit
40 acre: 6 well/unit
60 acre: 4 well/unit
Time (days)
CumulativeOil(BBLS)
Time (days)
CumulativeOil(BBLS)
Actual 40 acre well
80 acre: 3 well/unit
40 acre: 6 well/unit
60 acre: 4 well/unit
1 mile
Development Acreage
High
Risk
Low
Risk
Geological
Risk
Time1/2 (days1/2)
Well-to-Well Interaction- Value Creation
Negative Frac Interference
Hydraulic Fracture Interference
 Overlooked risk during infill
development
 Awareness of dynamic alteration
of reservoir
 Positive or negative impact on
existing production
 Incorporate into plan of
development
Kurtoglu et al., 2015 (SPE 172922)
1 mile
Development Acreage
Reduced
SRV
Frac Hit
RateNormalizedPressure
Δp/qt(psi/BBL/D)
Linear Flow
High
Risk
Low
Risk
Geological
Risk
Time1/2 (days1/2)
Reduced
SRV
Increased
SRV
Frac Hit
RateNormalizedPressure
Δp/qt(psi/BBL/D)
Linear Flow
Positive Frac Interference
20
Refrac- Value Creation
 Application of learnings from
frac interference
 Classifying opportunities for
refrac based on:
 Increased productivity
 Altered fluid mobility
 Poor initial completion
Time (days)
Oil rate
increase of
1210 bbl/d
Time1/2 (days1/2)
Δ(86psi/bb/dl)
RateNormalizedPressure
Δp/qt(psi/BBL/D)
OilRate(BBL/D)
WaterRate(BBL/D)
Refrac
86 psi/bbl/d
productivity
increase
Refrac
Kurtoglu et al., 2015 (SPE 172922)
1 mile
High
Risk
Low
Risk
Development Acreage
Geological
Risk
21
Enhanced Recovery- Value Creation
Build
Integrated
Reservoir
Model to
Understand
Physics
Select the Best
Location & Design
Field Application
Characterize
Nano-Pore Rock
and Fluid
Properties
Permeability Distribution
RateNormalizedPressure
(psi/BBL/D)
Time1/2 (days1/2)
Nano-pore
Gas
Injector
Rock Properties
Fluid Properties
Oil Rate (Eagle Ford)
1 mile
Unconventional
Nano pore
Conventional
Primary Development
High
Risk
Low
Risk
Low pressure area
High pressure area
Enhanced Recovery
Less
Potential
More
Potential
Source: EOG, May 2016
22
Enhanced Recovery- Design Consideration
Design
Considerations
Objective
Reservoir Fluid
Target thermally less
matured areas
Fracture Network
Map fracture pathways and
control horizontal
containment
Well Spacing Prevent early breakthrough
Wellbore
Configuration
Compatible casing design to
high pressure limits
Multi-horizon
Development
Less well interference for
vertical containment
EOR Fluid Selection
Injected gas availability
Midstream infrastructure
Compatible Well
Completion
Re-entry to the wellbore for
injection
Target Fluid Window for EOR
Elm Coulee
Parshall – Sanish
- Reunion Bay
Bailey –
Murphy Creek
Antelope
Field
MONTANA
NORTH
DAKOTA
Eagle Ford Gas-Oil Ratio
Bakken Structure
Sub-optimum Areas due to Structural Features for EOR
EOR design should be planned early in the
primary development so that wells are
drilled and completed in a way that is
compatible with the future EOR application
23
Enhanced Recovery- Design Consideration
 There has been an increased interest and field
trials in unconventional plays since 2008
 North Dakota Bakken: CO2 Huff & Puff (2008),
Water Huff & Puff (2012), Water Flood (2014),
Natural Gas Flood (2014)
 Montana Bakken: CO2 Huff & Puff (2009) and
Water Flood (2014)
 Eagle Ford: Natural Gas Huff & Puff (2014-
present)
Bakken Water Huff & Puff
Eagle Ford Huff & Puff Gas InjectionBakken Huff & Puff CO2 Injection
Source: SPE 180270, 2016 Source: EOG Investor Presentation, May 2016
 Finding cost <$6 per bbl
 Capital investment ~$ 1MM per well
 Long reserve life and low decline rate
Value Realization
24
Development
Scenarios
Well Count
EUR/Well
(Mbbl)
Reserve
(Mmbbl)
Base Case 40 456 18
Upside Case 160 637 102EUREvolutionReserveAdd
CAPEX($MM)
Business Impact
25
Project Review
Base Case
Primary Development
Upside Case
Tertiary Development
Completion
Stage spacing (ft) 350 250
Proppant loading (lb/ft) 600 1,500+
Well spacing 80 40
Well Count 40 160
Net CAPEX ($MM) 243 1,496
Net Reserves (MMBOE) 16 90
NPV10 ($MM) 83 357
ROR (%) 28 30
Discounted NPV10/I 0.42 0.42
NPV10/Acre ($/acre) 26,000 111,000
Primary- Base Case
Primary- Upside Case
Tertiary- Upside Case
Without EOR
EOR started
DailyRate(BOPD)
68,000
26
Conclusions
 Petroleum System
 Stratigraphic Variations
 Fluid Properties
 Formation Deliverability
 Geomechanical Properties
Reservoir
Characterization
Operational
Execution
Value
Creation
Creating a Worldwide Unconventional Revolution
 Completion
 Flowback
 Production
 Geology
 Well Spacing
 Well to Well Interaction
 Refrac
 Enhanced Oil Recovery
Developing Unconventionals Worldwide
27
Source: EIA
Society of Petroleum Engineers
Distinguished Lecturer Program
www.spe.org/dl 28
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Creating a Worldwide Unconventional Revolution Through a Technically Driven Strategy

  • 1. Primary funding is provided by The SPE Foundation through member donations and a contribution from Offshore Europe The Society is grateful to those companies that allow their professionals to serve as lecturers Additional support provided by AIME Society of Petroleum Engineers Distinguished Lecturer Program www.spe.org/dl
  • 2. Society of Petroleum Engineers Distinguished Lecturer Program www.spe.org/dl 2 Basak Kurtoglu, PhD Citi Global Energy Group Creating a Worldwide Unconventional Revolution Through Technically Justifiable Strategies
  • 3. The Unconventional Resource Revolution in North America 3  Technology enabled production from unconventional reservoirs ‒ Horizontal drilling increased reservoir contact area ‒ Hydraulic fracturing enhanced very low permeability  2000-2010 Highlights: ‒ All started with the Barnett in Texas ‒ Development of Bakken in Montana shifted to North Dakota ‒ The Marcellus started to develop in Pennsylvania and West Virginia ‒ Activity in the Haynesville started in eastern Texas/western Louisiana Basin Shale Prospective Shallow Intermediate Deep US Unconventional Play Development  2010- 2015 Highlights ‒ Eagle Ford became the lead for oil production ‒ Permian has received great attention with multi-horizon development opportunities ‒ Unconventional development propelled the United States to produce more oil than it imports for the first time in 20 years
  • 4. How to Develop Unconventionals Worldwide? 4Source: EIA, Aug 2016 Key Factors for Success  Operational Execution  Technical Understanding  Strategic Development Plan Technically Recoverable Shale Resources 0 500 1000 1500 GAS(TCF) Shale Gas 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 OIL(BILLIONBBL) Shale Oil
  • 5. 5 Reservoir Characterization Operational Execution Value Creation Integrated Workflow  Petroleum system  Targeting and landing  Multi-horizon development  Completion design  Well spacing  Improved/Enhanced recovery Development Strategy Unconventional Approach
  • 6. 6 Source Rock Properties- Reservoir Characterization TOC: 2- 4 weight % kmarl: 5.0E-07 md TOC: 25- 28 weight % kshale: 4.0E-08 md  Pore structure- Scanning Electron Microscopy (SEM)  Maturity- Total Organic Carbon (TOC)  Ductility  Low permeability (k) Bakken (Locally Sourced) Kurtoglu, 2013 & Rosen et al., 2014 (SPE 168965) 6 1 mile Appraisal Phase Eagle Ford (Self-Sourced) Black Shale SEM Marl SEM Development Acreage
  • 7. 7  Pore structure- Scanning Electron Microscopy (SEM)  Micro-fractures  Brittleness  High permeability (k) kfractured- core: 0.0013 md kfractured- core: 0.0059 md Kurtoglu et al., 2014 (SPE 171688) & Rosen et al., 2014 (SPE 168965) Bakken- Thin Section Eagle Ford- Thin Section 500 μm 500 μm Sandstone SEM Limestone SEM1 mile Appraisal Phase Development Acreage Reservoir Rock Properties- Characterization
  • 8. 8 Target Window- Reservoir CharacterizationCurrentConventional Strategy Storage Capacity Energy/Drive Thickness and extent Porosity: type and amount Fluid(s): type and amount Pore pressure & GOR Burial history Seals Connectivity Brittleness of the rock Faults and natural fractures Type and amount of clay Ability to induce fractures Ability to maintain fractures Unconventional Strategy Source Rock %: 70 Reservoir Rock %: 30 Frequency: 1/10ft Source Rock %: 70 Reservoir Rock %: 30 Frequency: 3/10ft Increased Interbedding= Increased Connectivity LOW HIGH 1ft Reservoir Rock: Brittle Source Rock: Ductile
  • 9. 9 Fluid Properties- Reservoir Characterization Black Oil and Volatile Oil System IncreasedRecoverywith DecreasedViscosity 1,000 2,000 2,400 3,000 14,000 12,000 6,000 5,000 GOR=4,000 GOR=700 Gas Condensate System IncreasedRecoverywith IncreasedCompressibility  Increased capillary pressure  Bubble point suppression  Delayed multi-phase production  Longer time constant gas-oil ratio (GOR)  Lesser volume of gas released below bubble point pressure Unconventional Nano pore Conventional Temperature, ˚F Temperature, ˚F Pressure,psia
  • 10. 10 Rock-Fluid Interaction- Reservoir Characterization Kurtoglu et al., 2014 (SPE 171688) & Fakcharoenphol et al., 2014 (SPE 168998) Transport Processes  Counter-current spontaneous imbibition  High and Low Salinity  Osmotic pressure  Wettability 2- Low Salinity Experiment after 5 days Bakken Reservoir Rock 1- High Salinity Experiment
  • 11. 11 Formation Deliverability- Reservoir Characterization Kurtoglu et al., 2013 (SPE 162921)  Core to field level permeability reconciliation  Near wellbore transient behavior:  Mini- Drill Stem Test (DST)  Target zone identification  Formation deliverability and pressure Laminated zone Permeability: 0.013 md Pressure: 6354 psi Gamma Ray (GAPI) Lodgepole Lower Bakken Upper Bakken Middle Bakken Scallion Three Forks
  • 12. 12 Kurtoglu et al., 2012 (SPE 162473)  Formation leak-off mechanism  Fracture closure pressure  Pore pressure  Vertical and horizontal connectivity 0 10 20 G-function 7000 7500 8000 Pressure[psi] 0 1250 2500 Pressure[psi] 0 250 500 Pressure[psi] P (ref) dP/dG (ref) G.dP/dG (ref) G-Function plot G-Function SuperpositionDerivative Pressure(psi) Derivative Geomechanical Properties- Reservoir Characterization Diagnostic Fracture Injection Test Fracture Properties Microseismic Reservoir Connectivity Proppant placement using down-hole ≈ 150-200 ft HorizontalConnectivityVerticalConnectivity Target Zone Upper Formation Lower Formation
  • 13. 13 Well Life Cycle- Operational Execution 1 2 3 4 Completion Flowback Production Refrac/ Gas Injection Gas Production Time Oil Water 1 mile NormalizedCumulativeMBOE %25 Produced Days Development Acreage
  • 14. 14 Completion Efficiency- Operational Execution Fracture Treatment Pressure along the Lateral AverageTreatment Pressure(psi) 250’ Stage Spacing Stage Number Decreased Fracture Initiation  Design parameters  Stage/cluster spacing  Proppant type/volume  Frac fluid type/volume  Injection rate/pressure  Creation of stimulated reservoir volume  Fracture network complexity and propagation 400’ 250’ 400’ Stage Spacing Slurry Rate Kurtoglu et al., 2015 (SPE 172922) Stimulated Reservoir Volume 400’ Stage Spacing 250’ Stage Spacing
  • 15. 15 Multi-Phase Flowback Bilinear Flow Analysis Time1/4 (days1/4) 41 1 102.44           efft t fff t BL kcwkhn m   Hydrocarbon Water Bilinear Flow: One linear flow within fracture towards well and one within the formation towards the fracture md/cp- 1/psi- md- ft-idth md- stages ft- mobilitytotal ilitycompressibtotalc porosity typermeabilieffectivek wfracturehydraulicw typermeabilifracturehydraulick ofnumbern thicknessh t t eff f f f           400’ Stage Spacing 250’ Stage Spacing Hourly Flowback- Operational Execution Kurtoglu et al., 2015 (SPE 172922) RateNormalizedPressure Δp/qt(psi/BBL/D) Hydraulic Fracture Conductivity Reservoir Effective Permeability Bilinear Slope Increased fracture conductivity Increased reservoir connectivity mBL
  • 16. 16 Daily Production- Operational Execution Multi-Phase Production Linear Flow Analysis Linear Flow: Linear flow within stimulated reservoir volume (SRV) towards well Hydrocarbon Water        tteffff L ckxhn m  191.19 Time1/2 (days1/2) md/cp- 1/psi- md- ft- stages ft- mobilitytotal ilitycompressibtotalc porosity typermeabilieffectivek hhalf-lengtfracturex ofnumbern thicknessh t t eff f f          400’ Stage Spacing 250’ Stage Spacing Kurtoglu et al., 2015 (SPE 172922) RateNormalizedPressure Δp/qt(psi/BBL/D) Linear Slope Increased reservoir connectivity Reservoir Effective Permeability Fracture Half- Length Increased SRV mL
  • 17. 17 Geological Impact- Operational Execution Key Attributes  Pore Pressure  Thickness  Porosity  Water Saturation  Fault/Structure  Fracture Intensity CumulativeOilProduction(BBLS) Time (days) Good Geology SRV: 28 acre Time1/4 (days1/4) Poor Geology SRV: 13 acre RateNormalizedPressure Δp/qt(psi/BBL/D) Well in Sweet Spot area Well in Poor Geological Area 1 mile Development Acreage High Risk Low Risk Geological Risk
  • 18. 18 Well Spacing- Value Creation  Defining boundaries of reservoir both vertically and horizontally  Simulation of scenarios  Determine point of diminishing return  Validation with field results NetPresentValue($M) Well Count/Spacing Unit CumulativeOil(BBLS) Reservoir Modeling for Well Spacing 80 acre: 3 well/unit 40 acre: 6 well/unit 60 acre: 4 well/unit Time (days) Increased Well Interference 80 acre: 3 well/unit 40 acre: 6 well/unit 60 acre: 4 well/unit Time (days) CumulativeOil(BBLS) Time (days) CumulativeOil(BBLS) Actual 40 acre well 80 acre: 3 well/unit 40 acre: 6 well/unit 60 acre: 4 well/unit 1 mile Development Acreage High Risk Low Risk Geological Risk
  • 19. Time1/2 (days1/2) Well-to-Well Interaction- Value Creation Negative Frac Interference Hydraulic Fracture Interference  Overlooked risk during infill development  Awareness of dynamic alteration of reservoir  Positive or negative impact on existing production  Incorporate into plan of development Kurtoglu et al., 2015 (SPE 172922) 1 mile Development Acreage Reduced SRV Frac Hit RateNormalizedPressure Δp/qt(psi/BBL/D) Linear Flow High Risk Low Risk Geological Risk Time1/2 (days1/2) Reduced SRV Increased SRV Frac Hit RateNormalizedPressure Δp/qt(psi/BBL/D) Linear Flow Positive Frac Interference
  • 20. 20 Refrac- Value Creation  Application of learnings from frac interference  Classifying opportunities for refrac based on:  Increased productivity  Altered fluid mobility  Poor initial completion Time (days) Oil rate increase of 1210 bbl/d Time1/2 (days1/2) Δ(86psi/bb/dl) RateNormalizedPressure Δp/qt(psi/BBL/D) OilRate(BBL/D) WaterRate(BBL/D) Refrac 86 psi/bbl/d productivity increase Refrac Kurtoglu et al., 2015 (SPE 172922) 1 mile High Risk Low Risk Development Acreage Geological Risk
  • 21. 21 Enhanced Recovery- Value Creation Build Integrated Reservoir Model to Understand Physics Select the Best Location & Design Field Application Characterize Nano-Pore Rock and Fluid Properties Permeability Distribution RateNormalizedPressure (psi/BBL/D) Time1/2 (days1/2) Nano-pore Gas Injector Rock Properties Fluid Properties Oil Rate (Eagle Ford) 1 mile Unconventional Nano pore Conventional Primary Development High Risk Low Risk Low pressure area High pressure area Enhanced Recovery Less Potential More Potential Source: EOG, May 2016
  • 22. 22 Enhanced Recovery- Design Consideration Design Considerations Objective Reservoir Fluid Target thermally less matured areas Fracture Network Map fracture pathways and control horizontal containment Well Spacing Prevent early breakthrough Wellbore Configuration Compatible casing design to high pressure limits Multi-horizon Development Less well interference for vertical containment EOR Fluid Selection Injected gas availability Midstream infrastructure Compatible Well Completion Re-entry to the wellbore for injection Target Fluid Window for EOR Elm Coulee Parshall – Sanish - Reunion Bay Bailey – Murphy Creek Antelope Field MONTANA NORTH DAKOTA Eagle Ford Gas-Oil Ratio Bakken Structure Sub-optimum Areas due to Structural Features for EOR EOR design should be planned early in the primary development so that wells are drilled and completed in a way that is compatible with the future EOR application
  • 23. 23 Enhanced Recovery- Design Consideration  There has been an increased interest and field trials in unconventional plays since 2008  North Dakota Bakken: CO2 Huff & Puff (2008), Water Huff & Puff (2012), Water Flood (2014), Natural Gas Flood (2014)  Montana Bakken: CO2 Huff & Puff (2009) and Water Flood (2014)  Eagle Ford: Natural Gas Huff & Puff (2014- present) Bakken Water Huff & Puff Eagle Ford Huff & Puff Gas InjectionBakken Huff & Puff CO2 Injection Source: SPE 180270, 2016 Source: EOG Investor Presentation, May 2016  Finding cost <$6 per bbl  Capital investment ~$ 1MM per well  Long reserve life and low decline rate
  • 24. Value Realization 24 Development Scenarios Well Count EUR/Well (Mbbl) Reserve (Mmbbl) Base Case 40 456 18 Upside Case 160 637 102EUREvolutionReserveAdd
  • 25. CAPEX($MM) Business Impact 25 Project Review Base Case Primary Development Upside Case Tertiary Development Completion Stage spacing (ft) 350 250 Proppant loading (lb/ft) 600 1,500+ Well spacing 80 40 Well Count 40 160 Net CAPEX ($MM) 243 1,496 Net Reserves (MMBOE) 16 90 NPV10 ($MM) 83 357 ROR (%) 28 30 Discounted NPV10/I 0.42 0.42 NPV10/Acre ($/acre) 26,000 111,000 Primary- Base Case Primary- Upside Case Tertiary- Upside Case Without EOR EOR started DailyRate(BOPD) 68,000
  • 26. 26 Conclusions  Petroleum System  Stratigraphic Variations  Fluid Properties  Formation Deliverability  Geomechanical Properties Reservoir Characterization Operational Execution Value Creation Creating a Worldwide Unconventional Revolution  Completion  Flowback  Production  Geology  Well Spacing  Well to Well Interaction  Refrac  Enhanced Oil Recovery
  • 28. Society of Petroleum Engineers Distinguished Lecturer Program www.spe.org/dl 28 Your Feedback is Important Enter your section in the DL Evaluation Contest by completing the evaluation form for this presentation Visit SPE.org/dl

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. Base Case 1- spud to spud: 30 day 2-spud to frac: 120 day for 4 well pad 3- type curve includes completion upside Upside Blue Case 1- spud to spud: 17 day 2- spud to frac: 80 day for 4 well pad 3- type curve all in 4- EOR starts in 2020 Green Upside Case 1- soud to spud: 60 day 2- spud tp frac: 120 day for 4 well pad 3- type curve all in 4- EOR starts in 2030 I’ve taken you on a journey from the base line valuation of unconventional reservoirs and we’ve now arrived at the true value proposition by incorporating the technical justification of multi-horizon development, selecting the best target, identifying the best completion strategy, finding the right well spacing and finally enriching the portfolio with enhanced recovery techniques to arrive at the true value proposition. On a single well bases, we’ve gone from 456 MBOE and arrived at the full potential of 637 MBOE. When we roll up the entire acreage position, we’ve not only increase per well recoveries, but we’ve increased the well counts, yielding a full project reserve recovery going from 18 MMBOE to 102 MMBOE… Increased recoveries are all well and good, but can we realize economic value with these improvements? He talked about: Highest DD&A Lowest cost to find oil Value enhancement Optimization yields better results Increasing NPV through technical , execution, and decision The answer is yes. Comparing the base case that consisted of a completion design of 350’ stage spacing, 600 lb/ft and 80 acre well spacing for 40 wells and a total investment of $251MM, we realize an NPV10 of ____ yielding an acreage value of $26,000/acre. By employing the technically justifiable improvements to the most hated, black oil acreage, we’ve improved our completion design to 250’ stage spacing, 1,200 lb/ft and 40 acre well spacing…with a total well count of 160 wells and an investment of $1.5 B, we can now realize and NPV10 of $355 MM, improving our value to a much more favorable $111,000/acre…