Transformations in the food economy and implications for policy making

1. Transformations in the food economy and implications for policy making THE SAHEL & WEST AFRICA WEEK Abuja, Nigeria, 15 December 2016 ClubSAHEL AND WEST AFRICA Secretariat

2. Transformations of the food economy and implications for policy making Current situation and implications for the future Philipp Heinrigs Abuja, Nigeria, 15 December 2016 ClubSAHEL AND WEST AFRICA Secretariat

3. ClubSAHEL AND WEST AFRICA Secretariat Urbanisation and cities

6. ClubSAHEL AND WEST AFRICA Secretariat 3 The regional opportunities 4 Outlook 2 Food: The largest private sector 1 Changing demand

7. 17 % 37 % 2 % 16 % 27 % Fruits & Vegetables Meat & Fish Dairy Cereals Others ClubSAHEL AND WEST AFRICA Secretariat Consumers’ diversifying consumption 17 % 26 % 4 % 22 % 31 % Urban Rural

8. Processed foods 39 % Unprocessed foods 30 % Cereals 27 % Beverages 4 % ClubSAHEL AND WEST AFRICA Secretariat Demand for convenience Urban 36% Rural 41%

9. ClubSAHEL AND WEST AFRICA Secretariat 3 The regional opportunities 4 Outlook 1 Changing demand 2 Food: The largest private sector

10. ClubSAHEL AND WEST AFRICA Secretariat Size of the food economy 100 %c 178   USD billion (2010) 36% of regional GDP 100 %32   USD billion (2010) GDP Ghana The region’s largest private sector

11. ClubSAHEL AND WEST AFRICA Secretariat Food imports = 7%… Imports 7 % Domestic production 93 % 178   USD billion (2010)

12. ClubSAHEL AND WEST AFRICA Secretariat Increasingly non agricultural Non agricultural 40 % Agriculture 60 % 178   USD billion (2010)

13. ClubSAHEL AND WEST AFRICA Secretariat 4 Outlook 1 Changing demand 2 Food: The largest private sector 3 The regional opportunities

14. ClubSAHEL AND WEST AFRICA Secretariat Huge regional opportunities The food sector is 9x bigger than the export sector

15. ClubSAHEL AND WEST AFRICA Secretariat Concentrations and interdependences Traded on markets 126   USD billion (2010)

16. ClubSAHEL AND WEST AFRICA Secretariat 1 Changing demand 2 Food: The largest private sector 3 The regional opportunities 4 Outlook

17. ClubSAHEL AND WEST AFRICA Secretariat Demand for post-harvest activities to grow fastest Forecasted demand growth in urban areas (income elasticities) Source: Hollinger and Staatz (2015)

18. High food pricesClubSAHEL AND WEST AFRICA Secretariat 500 0 50 100 150 200 250 ICPFoodpricelevelindex GDP per capita 2,000 8,000 32,000 128,000 World Africa Asia & Paciﬁc West Africa

19. Thank you for your attention ClubSAHEL AND WEST AFRICA Secretariat

21. Thematic sessionClubSAHEL AND WEST AFRICA Secretariat ALH. ALI MADUGU, mni Managing director Dala Foods Ltd, Kano Vice-president Manufacturers’ association of Nigeria

23. Transformations of the food economy and implications for policy making Implications for policy design Ousman Tall Abuja, Nigeria, 15 December 2016 ClubSAHEL AND WEST AFRICA Secretariat

24. 33 % 28 % 39 % Farm-level production Marketing & processing ClubSAHEL AND WEST AFRICA Secretariat Increase level and mix of investment Nigeria 35 % 6 % 59 % Senegal NAIP budget allocation

25. 33 % 28 % 39 % Farm-level production Marketing & processing ClubSAHEL AND WEST AFRICA Secretariat Increase level and mix of investment Nigeria 35 % 6 % 59 % Senegal • Policy and budget allocation should change to reﬂect changes in the food economy • Stronger emphasis on post-harvest segments of the food value chains • Processing, packaging, logistics and marketing will experience the fastest growth

26. ClubSAHEL AND WEST AFRICA Secretariat Increase the level of investment CAADP target of 10% At farm level: • boost long-term productivity: infrastructure, technology development, farmer support services • target high demand growth products: fruit & vegetables, meat & ﬁsh, dairy

27. ClubSAHEL AND WEST AFRICA Secretariat Increase policy co-ordination Move beyond the traditional conﬁnes of agricultural ministries • Multi-sectoral: Agriculture, Trade, Transport, Energy, Industry, Health • Longer value chains, MORE actors: Farmers, traders, processors, consumers • Level of government: ECOWAS/UEMOA, national, local

28. ClubSAHEL AND WEST AFRICA Secretariat Improve policy co-ordination The food sector is 9x bigger than the export sector

29. ClubSAHEL AND WEST AFRICA Secretariat Improve policy co-ordination Match export crop value chains structuring (cocoa, rubber, cotton)

30. ClubSAHEL AND WEST AFRICA Secretariat Connect producers and consumers 67% of demand is concentrated in urban markets

31. ClubSAHEL AND WEST AFRICA Secretariat Connect producers and consumers Meeting demand is about connecting producers and consumers • Movement of goods and services • Transport, storage and marketing infrastructure • Input markets and support services in rural areas • Grades and standards

32. ClubSAHEL AND WEST AFRICA Secretariat Deepen regional integration Greater regional integration is the key to scale-up opportunities • Connect regional producers to regional consumers • Increase scale economies in production and policy • Improve the region’s international competitiveness • Develop regionally co-ordinated systems for grades and standards, for agricultural research and technology development

33. ClubSAHEL AND WEST AFRICA Secretariat The transforming food system requires profoundly diﬀerent set of skills AT ALL LEVELS of the systems Develop new skills and techniques

34. ClubSAHEL AND WEST AFRICA Secretariat Develop new skills and techniques The transforming food system requires profoundly diﬀerent set of skills AT ALL LEVELS of the systems University of Ghana - BSc Food Science curriculum Fundamentals of Food Science and Technology Human Nutrition Structure and Function of Biomolecules Organic Chemistry General Microbiology Analytical Chemistry Unit Operations in Food Processing Nutritional Physiology History of Nutrition and Concepts in Nutrition Cell Biology Enzymology Food Chemistry Food Microbiology and Safety Beverage and Sugar Processing Technology Nutrients and their Metabolism

35. Thank you for your attention ClubSAHEL AND WEST AFRICA Secretariat

Transformations in the food economy and implications for policy making

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