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RECs

  1. 1. Tyuleubekov Sabyrzhan Renewable energy certificates Renewable energy certificates (RECs) are issued by renewable energy generators when they produce 1000 kilowatt - hours. Renewable energy certificates may be sold with (so- called bundled) or without (unbundled) underlying green energy itself. How it can be done and what are these certificates for I will try to explain in this paper. First of all, what are RECs? As written above, it is the statement of the renewable energy generator that 1000 kilowatt-hours of green energy were produced and placed into the grid. RECs are sold to energy suppliers, firms or households who want and/or need to claim that they use renewable energy sources. The incentive for households to buy such certificates is obvious – it is their desire to use green energy. But the reason why energy suppliers or firms buy such certificates needs to be explained. When firm buys RECs, this firm can claim all environmental, social, and other non-power qualities of renewable electricity generation. In the United States, there is such regulation as Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS). RPS requires energy suppliers to have some fraction of their energy to be produced from renewable energy sources. Since it is not easy for energy suppliers to produce green energy itself, they can buy RECs and use them in order to comply with the regulation. It is convenient for the energy suppliers, because they do not need to produce green energy itself, this would require additional investments for building new facilities. Some may say that it is kind of cheating. It is not, because RECs are backed by 1000 kilowatt-hours and in the location of RECs’ issuer 1000 kilowatt- hours of green energy are in fact used, but since electrons are indistinguishable no one can claim that he uses pure green energy unless all energy in the grid is from renewable energy sources (free-rider problem is discussed in later section). Likewise, RECs are expired once they are claimed, for example, if the firm claims to the regulators that some share of their energy is from renewable energy sources and used REC as a proof, this certificate cannot be used again. At the point of issuance (i.e. 1000 kilowatt-hours of green energy produced) each certificate is assigned with an identification number, renewable fuel source (wind power, solar power etc.), geographic location of the generator and etc. One more point, once REC is expired it cannot be sold. Now I will explain how RECs are traded. There are two types of markets for RECs: compliance market and voluntary market. Compliance market is primarily for energy suppliers that need RECs in order to comply with the regulation, by the way RPS is different in each state. Thereby, the demand in such market will always be dependent from RPS, so the demand is inflated. Compliance markets are created by RPS policies. In compliance markets mostly wholesale REC transactions are involved.
  2. 2. Pricing in compliance markets depends on various factors. For instance, on RPS policy, since there are different RPS policies in each state prices differ as well. For example, in some states RPS policy allows RECs that are only from new renewable generators, i.e. the facility was built after 2010 etc. such policies are implemented in order to incentivize construction of new facilities. Furthermore, RPS may require some share of renewable energy come from solar energy only; such regulations are implemented in order to diversify renewable energy sources. RPS may require REC to be only from its state, so no import of RECs is allowed. Liquidity and prices are dependent from RPS requirements regarding the time validity of RECs. For example, RPS may require RECs to be issued not more than one year ago, so holding RECs in the states with such RPS is lowering their price. Magnitude of penalties for noncompliance affect prices as well, but the effect is not big, since penalties do not vary much. Now penalties across the states vary around 50 $/MWh. The size of compliance market in terms of energy produced is directly depends on RPS policies in each state, but it is very likely to increase, since RPS in going to be more and more strict. As for the size in terms of money it is more complicated to forecast the development of the market, since prices for RECs appeared to be volatile (this issue is addressed in the lower sections) Voluntary market is the market where households or firms buy RECs just because they want to use green energy. In contradistinction to compliance market, here we have “natural” demand, which may be lower than in compliance market. As a consequence of inflated demand in compliance market, prices in voluntary market are lower. In order to prevent room for issuers to cheat there are different tracking systems. Tracking systems are verifying that into the grid 1000 kilowatt-hours of green energy were placed. It can be even placed into the grid, which is not interconnected with the grid of the end-user of the certificate. Since each REC has its own identification number, the certificate is tracked by the system from the point of issuance up until the moment of expiration, so one certificate cannot be used more than one time (by usage – claim of using green energy is meant, certificate can be resold multiple times if it is not used). In addition, audit can be applied in order to verify the certificate. How do RECs contribute into the development of renewable energy generation? First of all, via RPS investors get guarantees that RECs will be sold, since energy suppliers give guarantees that they will buy bundled or unbundled RECs (or they may be forced to give guarantees by RPS) Secondly, RECs connect demand with supply, so even if in the location of the generating facility there are no customers who would like to use and support green energy, the
  3. 3. generating facility can deliver energy into the grid, notwithstanding that customers who will claim that they use the green energy will not actually use it. Thirdly, RECs increase investments into facilities among households and firms. Since, generating facilities get money without actually selling the energy itself in most cases (unbundled RECs), so it sells the energy separately, but without emphasizing of its source. Sale of unbundled RECs is a good stimulus to households. Because they can install a small generating facility, for example solar panels on the roof, and use the energy generated for their needs and also sell RECs, in case with solar panels SREC. A 10 kW facility generates around 12 SRECs annually. Actually, households are installing mostly solar panels, since prices for SRECs are the highest. Therefore, some households can even take loans for the installation and repay them using revenues from sold RECs. Nevertheless, the price fluctuation is the risk, which must be estimated. Nonetheless, RECs are very dependent on RPS. If Renewable Portfolio Standard will be ones dropped, compliance market will disappear. Compliance market is the major market for RECs. However, I do not think it is possible. In addition, volatile prices of RECs, and SRECs specifically, decrease investments among households into solar panels. Prices for SRECs fell drammatically (in August 2009 price was 690$ per SREC, and in July 2011 price plummeted to the level of 151$ per SREC) and investors had problems with repaying loans for the panels, since now it would take them longer to repay the loan. The price fall of SRECs explained by increased installations of solar panels among large energy suppliers, so amount of SRECs increased and this decreased their price. On one hand, we can see that in fact amount of installed solar panels increased, but on other hand, it revealed volatility of prices for RECs. And we know that assets with high price volatility are not wanted by investors. One of the remedies for financing renewable energy projects are long-term contracts with governmental organizations, universities or some corporations. Whereas long-term contracts are preferred by investors, since such contracts give a form of security of future cash flows, they are not preferred by the signees, since if prices fall, signees will be locked with uncompetitive prices. In fact, in some states there are regulations to sign only long term contracts for bundled/unbundled RECs if they are used in order to comply with RPS, for example in Colorado duration of the contract must be at least 20 years, in Nevada – 10 years. One more problem with RECs is that they are not easy to understand, so direct advertisement is inefficient. The whole system must be explained and marketers must invest into it more intensively. Another problem is that there is no established national wide market for RECs and transations are mostly done in the regional markets. National wide market will significantly increase liquidity in RECs market. The problem of national wide market is different RPS policies in different states. Most states are protecting their market, by
  4. 4. imposing restrictions on import of RECs. For instance, RPS of some state can count certificate only if it is from local facility. Likewise, in voluntary markets consumers tend to buy local RECs, because they probably want to support local facilities and to enjoy environmental benefits in fact. However, free-rider problem appears. Because when people in some part of the state are buying RECs from another part, or even another state, they do not directly get the benefits of renewable energy, fossil-fuel plants can still be located nearby and pollute the air, whilst, people without buying RECs, but living near the renewable energy facilities are directly benefiting from clean air etc. Moreover, RECs conception heavily relies on tracking systems, so in the states without tracking systems it is very difficult to implement RECs, issue of verification is crucial. This free-rider problem is resolved by the imposition of restrictions on importing, which in turn creates obstacles for national wide market. The free-rider problem can be resolved more effectively by relaxing the restriction on import. The state may allow import of RECs only with the underlying energy, so this energy will displace the energy created by fossil-fuel plants (not displace in fact, but the fossil-fuel plants will need to produce less energy). To summarize, we explained what are RECs: the main purpose of RECs is compliance with RPS. RECs are traded on two markets: voluntary and compliance. We found what affects prices for RECs: mostly RPS policy, and obviously the amount of certificates in the market. Then we discussed how RECs can be controlled against double-counting: by tracking systems and/or audit. Then we discussed how RECs contribute into the development of renewable energy generation: (1) form of guarantee for investors, (2) matching demand and supply, (3) increased investments among households. Finally, we discussed problems of RECs: (1) almost complete dependence from RPS, (2) difficult concept of RECs, (3) weak national-wide market for RECs, (4) free-rider problem. References: - Emerging Markets for Renewable Energy Certificates: Opportunities and Challenges – Ed Holt and Lori Bird; National Renewable Energy Laboratory NREL/TP-620-37388, January 2005 - Solar panel investors upset as SREC values drop – Rebecca Forand; NJ.com, October 2011 - http://www.srectrade.com/srec_markets/introduction - http://www.epa.gov/greenpower/gpmarket/tracking.htm - http://www.epa.gov/greenpower/documents/gpp_basics-recs.pdf

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