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LINKING SOCIAL PROTECTION AND
NUTRITION IN BANGLADESH
Results from the
Transfer Modality Research Initiative (TMRI)
Akhter Ahmed*, John Hoddinott**, Shalini Roy*, and Esha Sraboni***
*International Food Policy Research Institute, **Cornell University (former IFPRI researcher), ***Brown University (former
IFPRI researcher)
Presented by: Akhter Ahmed
Transform Nutrition: Evidence for Action in South Asia
Kathmandu, Nepal | 8 July 2017
Motivation
 While the decline in chronic undernutrition in Bangladesh is
impressive, the prevalence of stunting (36% in 2014) is still
very high.
 A key question: To improve child nutrition, are large-scale
social protection interventions that increase household
income sufficient?
 Most existing evidence (e.g., Ahmed et al. 2009 IFPRI study
in Bangladesh, IFPRI and other evaluations of CCTs in Latin
America) shows
Reduced household poverty and improved food security
But few improvements, if any, in child nutritional status
 Are there constraints other than income that also need to be
addressed, such as nutrition knowledge?
This is one of the focal set of issues addressed by the
Transfer Modality Research Initiative (TMRI) in
Bangladesh.
Objectives of the Transfer Modality
Research Initiative (TMRI)
 The overall objective of the research is to generate definitive
evidence on which safety net transfer modalities work best
for the ultra poor in rural Bangladesh.
 The research has the following specific objectives:
1. Measure the impact and cost-effectiveness of transfer
methods on these key outcomes:
– household income
– household food security
– child nutrition
2. Evaluate the process of delivering benefits at the
operational level and solicit feedback from program
participants.
TMRI – Basic Design
 Two-year (May 2012 – April 2014) project designed by
IFPRI and implemented by the UN World Food Programme
(WFP). Used randomized control trial with 5 treatment arms
and controls:
• Monthly cash transfer of Taka (Tk) 1,500 (about US$19
per month) (north & south)
• Monthly food transfer of 30 kg of rice, 2 kg of lentil pulse
and 2 liters of micronutrient fortified cooking oil (north &
south)
• ½ Food and ½ cash: Tk 750 and 15 kg of rice, 1 kg of
mosur (lentil) pulse and 1 liter of micronutrient fortified
cooking oil (north & south)
• Monthly cash transfer AND Nutrition Behavior Change
Communication (north)
• Monthly food transfer AND Nutrition Behavior Change
Communication (south)
• Controls (north & south)
Evaluating Impacts
 IFPRI developed a cluster randomized controlled trial (RCT)
design to evaluate impacts of transfer modalities.
 Randomly assigned 50 clusters (villages) to each of the five
groups (four treatment arms, one control) in each of the 2
regions (northwest and south).
 Selected 10 households from each village who met the
following criteria:(1) be poor; (2) have at least one child aged
0-24 months; and (3) not receive benefits from other safety
net interventions.
 Selected 500 clusters and 5,000 households (4,000
participants and 1,000 control households)
 We used RCT with “before-and-after” and “with-and-without”
differences for estimating the impact of transfers.
 We used the analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) regression to
estimate impact.
Household Surveys for Impact
Evaluation
 The required quantitative data for impact evaluation come
from three household surveys
 The first household survey, carried out in April 2012 (just
before the start of transfers), provided the information
needed for the baseline study
 A first follow-up survey was conducted in June 2013, just
after completing 12 months of transfer distributions
 A second follow-up or endline survey was conducted in April
2014, during the 24th month of transfer distribution
Panel data with low attrition (<3%) at endline, random
(not correlated with intervention assignment)
Adding BCC to transfers causes a
greater increase in “diet quantity” in
terms of household caloric intake
Absolute change (kcal/day)
75
143
83
282
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Cash only Food only Cash+Food Cash+BCC
Increaseincalorie(kcal/person/day)
North
Statistically significant Not significant
141
23
8
38
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Cash Food Cash+Food Food+BCC
Increaseincalorie(kcal/person/day)
South
Statistically significant Not significant
Adding BCC to transfers causes a greater
increase in per-calorie expenditure
Absolute change (taka)
1.80
0.94
1.20
4.35
0
1
2
3
4
5
Cash only Food only Cash+Food Cash+BCC
Per-caloriefoodexpenditure(Tk/1,000kcal)
North
Statistically significant Not significant
1.68
1.21
1.75
4.22
0
1
2
3
4
5
Cash Food Cash+Food Food+BCC
Per-caloriefoodexpenditure(Tk/1,000kcal)
South
Statistically significant Not significant
Calculation of the WFP Food
Consumption Score
(# of days consumed of each food group in past 7 days, weighted by
“nutritional importance”)
All modalities significantly increased
household diet quality in both regions:
Adding BCC gives a greater impact
(using WFP’s “Food Consumption Score”: 0-112)
6.9
9.1
6.9
23.7
0
5
10
15
20
25
Cash only Food only Cash+Food Cash+BCC
Foodconsumptionscore
North (baseline: 43.7)
Statistically significant Not significant
2.7
4.9 5.3
12.7
0
5
10
15
20
25
Cash only Food only Cash+Food Food+BCC
Foodconsumptionscore
South (baseline: 50.9)
Statistically significant Not significant
Adding BCC increases the frequency of
several food groups consumed by children
<42 months: North (impacts significant at ≤10% level)
6.1
7.3
11.7
6.4
24.6
10.9
22.8
36.0
15.1
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Eggs Legumes Legumes Eggs Legumes Dairy
products
Flesh
foods
Eggs Vit A fruit
and veg
Cash Food Cash & Food Cash & BCC
Percentofchildrenwhoconsumedinpast24hours
Adding BCC increases the frequency of
several food groups consumed by children
<42 months: South
(impacts significant at ≤10% level)
7.3
10.8
8.0
25.1
12.7
15.1
20.0
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Eggs Legumes Legumes Legumes Flesh foods Eggs Vit A fruit
and veg
Cash Food Cash & Food Food & BCC
Percentofchildrenwhoconsumedinpast24hours
Does child stunting reduce?
46.0
38.7
0
10
20
30
40
50
Baseline Cash + BCC
Childstuntingrate(percent)
North  In the north, “Cash +
BCC” improved child
nutritional status in terms
of reducing the
prevalence of stunting by
7.3 percentage points,
but other modalities did
not.
 No treatment arm had
any impact on any
measure of
anthropometric status of
children in the south.
Conclusions
 The overall story that emerges is that all transfer modalities
in both northwest and southern regions cause meaningful
improvements in nearly all measures of consumption.
 However, the addition of nutrition behavior change
communication to transfers consistently causes much larger
improvements than transfers alone.
 In northwestern Bangladesh, cash transfers combined with
nutrition BCC led to a decrease of 7.3 percentage points in
child stunting over the two years of the project – an
achievement almost three times the national average
decline.
Policy Implications
 If policy objective is to improve the diets of poor households,
both cash and food transfers are effective.
 If policy objective is to improve the nutritional status of
children from the poorest households, transfers alone are
inadequate.
 High quality Behavior Change Communication together with
transfers – especially cash transfers – appear to deliver
large improvements into child nutrition and anthropometric
outcomes.
 Although the impacts of cash and food transfers on most
outcomes are quite similar, the delivery cost of cash transfer
is considerably lower than that of food transfer. Therefore,
cash transfer appears to be more cost-effective than food
transfer.
Policy Uptake
 Evidence from the TMRI is prompting the Bangladesh
government and development partners to consider adding a
nutrition BCC to social protection programs.
 For example, encouraged by TMRI results, the Ministry of
Women and Children Affairs (MoWCA) is piloting the
Investment Component for Vulnerable Group Development
(ICVGD) program for 8,000 women, which adds a cash
grant for investment, fortified rice distribution, and nutrition
BCC to existing VGD activities.

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Linking social protection and nutrition in Bangladesh: results from the Transfer Modality Research Initiative (TMRI)

  • 1. LINKING SOCIAL PROTECTION AND NUTRITION IN BANGLADESH Results from the Transfer Modality Research Initiative (TMRI) Akhter Ahmed*, John Hoddinott**, Shalini Roy*, and Esha Sraboni*** *International Food Policy Research Institute, **Cornell University (former IFPRI researcher), ***Brown University (former IFPRI researcher) Presented by: Akhter Ahmed Transform Nutrition: Evidence for Action in South Asia Kathmandu, Nepal | 8 July 2017
  • 2. Motivation  While the decline in chronic undernutrition in Bangladesh is impressive, the prevalence of stunting (36% in 2014) is still very high.  A key question: To improve child nutrition, are large-scale social protection interventions that increase household income sufficient?  Most existing evidence (e.g., Ahmed et al. 2009 IFPRI study in Bangladesh, IFPRI and other evaluations of CCTs in Latin America) shows Reduced household poverty and improved food security But few improvements, if any, in child nutritional status  Are there constraints other than income that also need to be addressed, such as nutrition knowledge? This is one of the focal set of issues addressed by the Transfer Modality Research Initiative (TMRI) in Bangladesh.
  • 3. Objectives of the Transfer Modality Research Initiative (TMRI)  The overall objective of the research is to generate definitive evidence on which safety net transfer modalities work best for the ultra poor in rural Bangladesh.  The research has the following specific objectives: 1. Measure the impact and cost-effectiveness of transfer methods on these key outcomes: – household income – household food security – child nutrition 2. Evaluate the process of delivering benefits at the operational level and solicit feedback from program participants.
  • 4. TMRI – Basic Design  Two-year (May 2012 – April 2014) project designed by IFPRI and implemented by the UN World Food Programme (WFP). Used randomized control trial with 5 treatment arms and controls: • Monthly cash transfer of Taka (Tk) 1,500 (about US$19 per month) (north & south) • Monthly food transfer of 30 kg of rice, 2 kg of lentil pulse and 2 liters of micronutrient fortified cooking oil (north & south) • ½ Food and ½ cash: Tk 750 and 15 kg of rice, 1 kg of mosur (lentil) pulse and 1 liter of micronutrient fortified cooking oil (north & south) • Monthly cash transfer AND Nutrition Behavior Change Communication (north) • Monthly food transfer AND Nutrition Behavior Change Communication (south) • Controls (north & south)
  • 5. Evaluating Impacts  IFPRI developed a cluster randomized controlled trial (RCT) design to evaluate impacts of transfer modalities.  Randomly assigned 50 clusters (villages) to each of the five groups (four treatment arms, one control) in each of the 2 regions (northwest and south).  Selected 10 households from each village who met the following criteria:(1) be poor; (2) have at least one child aged 0-24 months; and (3) not receive benefits from other safety net interventions.  Selected 500 clusters and 5,000 households (4,000 participants and 1,000 control households)  We used RCT with “before-and-after” and “with-and-without” differences for estimating the impact of transfers.  We used the analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) regression to estimate impact.
  • 6. Household Surveys for Impact Evaluation  The required quantitative data for impact evaluation come from three household surveys  The first household survey, carried out in April 2012 (just before the start of transfers), provided the information needed for the baseline study  A first follow-up survey was conducted in June 2013, just after completing 12 months of transfer distributions  A second follow-up or endline survey was conducted in April 2014, during the 24th month of transfer distribution Panel data with low attrition (<3%) at endline, random (not correlated with intervention assignment)
  • 7. Adding BCC to transfers causes a greater increase in “diet quantity” in terms of household caloric intake Absolute change (kcal/day) 75 143 83 282 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Cash only Food only Cash+Food Cash+BCC Increaseincalorie(kcal/person/day) North Statistically significant Not significant 141 23 8 38 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Cash Food Cash+Food Food+BCC Increaseincalorie(kcal/person/day) South Statistically significant Not significant
  • 8. Adding BCC to transfers causes a greater increase in per-calorie expenditure Absolute change (taka) 1.80 0.94 1.20 4.35 0 1 2 3 4 5 Cash only Food only Cash+Food Cash+BCC Per-caloriefoodexpenditure(Tk/1,000kcal) North Statistically significant Not significant 1.68 1.21 1.75 4.22 0 1 2 3 4 5 Cash Food Cash+Food Food+BCC Per-caloriefoodexpenditure(Tk/1,000kcal) South Statistically significant Not significant
  • 9. Calculation of the WFP Food Consumption Score (# of days consumed of each food group in past 7 days, weighted by “nutritional importance”)
  • 10. All modalities significantly increased household diet quality in both regions: Adding BCC gives a greater impact (using WFP’s “Food Consumption Score”: 0-112) 6.9 9.1 6.9 23.7 0 5 10 15 20 25 Cash only Food only Cash+Food Cash+BCC Foodconsumptionscore North (baseline: 43.7) Statistically significant Not significant 2.7 4.9 5.3 12.7 0 5 10 15 20 25 Cash only Food only Cash+Food Food+BCC Foodconsumptionscore South (baseline: 50.9) Statistically significant Not significant
  • 11. Adding BCC increases the frequency of several food groups consumed by children <42 months: North (impacts significant at ≤10% level) 6.1 7.3 11.7 6.4 24.6 10.9 22.8 36.0 15.1 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Eggs Legumes Legumes Eggs Legumes Dairy products Flesh foods Eggs Vit A fruit and veg Cash Food Cash & Food Cash & BCC Percentofchildrenwhoconsumedinpast24hours
  • 12. Adding BCC increases the frequency of several food groups consumed by children <42 months: South (impacts significant at ≤10% level) 7.3 10.8 8.0 25.1 12.7 15.1 20.0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Eggs Legumes Legumes Legumes Flesh foods Eggs Vit A fruit and veg Cash Food Cash & Food Food & BCC Percentofchildrenwhoconsumedinpast24hours
  • 13. Does child stunting reduce? 46.0 38.7 0 10 20 30 40 50 Baseline Cash + BCC Childstuntingrate(percent) North  In the north, “Cash + BCC” improved child nutritional status in terms of reducing the prevalence of stunting by 7.3 percentage points, but other modalities did not.  No treatment arm had any impact on any measure of anthropometric status of children in the south.
  • 14. Conclusions  The overall story that emerges is that all transfer modalities in both northwest and southern regions cause meaningful improvements in nearly all measures of consumption.  However, the addition of nutrition behavior change communication to transfers consistently causes much larger improvements than transfers alone.  In northwestern Bangladesh, cash transfers combined with nutrition BCC led to a decrease of 7.3 percentage points in child stunting over the two years of the project – an achievement almost three times the national average decline.
  • 15. Policy Implications  If policy objective is to improve the diets of poor households, both cash and food transfers are effective.  If policy objective is to improve the nutritional status of children from the poorest households, transfers alone are inadequate.  High quality Behavior Change Communication together with transfers – especially cash transfers – appear to deliver large improvements into child nutrition and anthropometric outcomes.  Although the impacts of cash and food transfers on most outcomes are quite similar, the delivery cost of cash transfer is considerably lower than that of food transfer. Therefore, cash transfer appears to be more cost-effective than food transfer.
  • 16. Policy Uptake  Evidence from the TMRI is prompting the Bangladesh government and development partners to consider adding a nutrition BCC to social protection programs.  For example, encouraged by TMRI results, the Ministry of Women and Children Affairs (MoWCA) is piloting the Investment Component for Vulnerable Group Development (ICVGD) program for 8,000 women, which adds a cash grant for investment, fortified rice distribution, and nutrition BCC to existing VGD activities.