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Conference on Pollution Prevention & Energy Efficiency (P2E2)
               U.S., Hong Kong, China Cooperation
                          9-10 May 2005




  Technology and market potential
      of energy performance
     contracting for buildings

                       Dr. Sam C M Hui
               ASHRAE Hong Kong Chapter &
             Department of Mechanical Engineering
Hong Kong
                 The University of Hong Kong
                    E-mail: cmhui@hku.hk
Agenda

•   Introduction to EPC
•   Market Potential
•   Major Barriers and Risks
•   Key Issues
•   Conclusion
Introduction to EPC

• Energy performance contracting (EPC)
  • = energy savings performance contracting
  • A financing technique to raise money for energy
    efficiency investments based on future savings
• Energy service companies (ESCO)
  • Offer EPC services, without upfront capital on
    building owners (e.g. by guaranteed saving)
  • Become an important trend in many countries like
    USA and Japan
Client’s benefits
                             ESCO’s benefits      Client’s
                                                  benefits
                             Recovered costs
  Energy
  + O&M                         Energy             Energy
  costs $     Cost savings      + O&M             + O&M
                                costs $           costs $


Before EPC
 Before EPC                  During EPC
                              During EPC         After EPC
                                                  After EPC

                                                 契約終止後

   Basic concept of energy performance contracting (EPC)
Introduction to EPC

• Performance contract
  • Contract with payments based in performance
  • Can be used for energy conservation projects, to
    mitigate indoor air quality concerns, to reduce
    water & sewage usage, or to implement renewable
    energy systems
• ESCO guarantees and takes the risk of not
  achieving savings; it is paid back out of the
  savings (around 4-10 years)
Introduction to EPC

• Benefits of EPC for a business
  •   Reduced risk (contractor guarantees)
  •   Turnkey services (contractor provides all services)
  •   The business needs less internal expertise
  •   Project financing could be ‘off balance sheet’
  •   Advanced products & services can be used
  •   Savings can be much higher than done by itself
  •   Additional improvements to built environment
Introduction to EPC

• Typical saving measures include:
  • Energy reduction via equipment retrofitting
     • Such as replace lighting equipment, chillers & boilers
  • Fuel saving measures
     • Such as add window films, insulation or pool cover
  • Load shifting
     • Such as by energy management control systems
  • Modification of operating procedures
  • Water & resource efficiency measures
Introduction to EPC

• Different ways of structuring such a contract
  • ‘Guaranteed savings’
     • Most common; length 4-8 years
     • Allow extra measures to be added
  • ‘Shared savings’
     • The Client & ESCO share the savings; up to 10 years
     • Actual cost not included in contract
  • ‘Pay from savings’
     • Variation from shared savings; operates like a loan
  • ‘Chauffage’ or full services (ESCO takes over)
Market Potential

• External factors
  • Large stock of existing buildings (esp.
    commercial)
  • Energy cost is a concern for developers/owners
  • Savings not difficult to obtain from equipment
    optimization, retrofitting or retrocommissioning
• Potential ESCO market
  • In HK, potential market around US$100 million
  • Air-conditioning & lighting are major areas
Total floor area ('000 sq.m)                                                   Building Newly Completed in 1968-2000
 5,000
                                                                                                1977-1992 (10 to 25 years old, from 2002)                                                                     Combined residential &
                                                                                                                                                                                                              non-residential
 4,500
                                                                                                                                                                                                              Non-residential

 4,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                              Residential

 3,500


 3,000


 2,500


 2,000


 1,500


 1,000


   500


     0
         1968

                1969

                       1970




                                                                 1976

                                                                        1977

                                                                                1978

                                                                                       1979

                                                                                              1980

                                                                                                     1981

                                                                                                            1982

                                                                                                                   1983




                                                                                                                                                             1989

                                                                                                                                                                    1990

                                                                                                                                                                           1991

                                                                                                                                                                                  1992

                                                                                                                                                                                         1993

                                                                                                                                                                                                1994

                                                                                                                                                                                                       1995

                                                                                                                                                                                                              1996
                              1971

                                     1972

                                            1973

                                                   1974

                                                          1975




                                                                                                                          1984

                                                                                                                                 1985

                                                                                                                                        1986

                                                                                                                                               1987

                                                                                                                                                      1988




                                                                                                                                                                                                                     1997

                                                                                                                                                                                                                            1998

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   1999

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2000
                                                                                                                          Year




                                     Building completed in 1968-2000 in Hong Kong
Market Potential

• Current EPC active players
  •   Automatic control companies
  •   Building services consultants/contractors
  •   Semi-government bodies (e.g. HKPC)
  •   Power companies (for demand side management)
  •   Private energy/environmental consultants
• Government energy projects
  • Electrical & Mechanical Services Dept. (EMSD)
    is active in promoting EPC
Market Potential

• Prospects
  • Growing concern on energy & environment
     • Achieving sustainable performance!
     • Saving energy & operating costs
  • Policy tools & programmes by government
     • Building energy codes (performance-based), energy
       labels, pilot renewable energy projects
     • Water-cooled air-conditioning systems (converting of
       air-cooled systems)
  • Need to maintain & upgrade existing buildings
Major Barriers & Risks

• Major barriers
  •   Weak awareness & experience
  •   Skepticism of stakeholders
  •   Problems with conventional procurement process
  •   Problems with measurement & verification
• Key factors for successful EPC
  • ESCO has the technical, financial & mgt. skills
  • Customer & ESCO have a partnership
  • Good understanding of project goals
Major Barriers & Risks

• Typical EPC project stages
   •   Stage 1: The opportunity assessment
   •   Stage 2: Preliminary energy services
   •   Stage 3: Develop detailed proposal
   •   Stage 4: Project implementation
   •   Stage 5: Performance assurance + M&V services
• Risks associated with EPC
   • Technical knowledge & management culture
   • Financing risks & guarantees
   • Argument on savings & responsibilities
Key Issues

• Choosing a contractor
  • Equipment suppliers
     • Best if their technologies are the main measures
  • Fee-based ESCO
     • Best for a wide range of measures or long-term
       facilities management
  • Utility-based ESCO
     • Best if focus on electricity or gas technologies
  • International energy companies
     • Best for international connection & overseas
       technology transfer
Key Issues

• Project financing
  • By the ESCO itself
  • As a loan from financial institution
  • By working together with the client
• Under adverse economy
  • The client may not have the project capital
  • ESCO need to negotiate with bankers to explore
    creative financial tools
• Some clients may want to finance themselves
ESCO                   Capital          Financier
  (Project Developer)                         (Secured Party)


                        Fees
                                 Payments
Energy services                                 Finance contract
 and savings                                     (lease or loan)
   gurantee
                           Customer
                          (Project Owner)




                  Financial structure used by ESCO
Key Issues

• Measurement & verification (M&V) methods
  • Deemed or stipulated savings
     • Payments based on savings estimates, using
       measurements or audit + equipment characteristics
  • Savings based on utility bills
     • Past energy bills determine baseline consumption
  • Measured savings
     • Compare ‘before’ & ‘after’ measurements
• M&V options & techniques have matured
  • Guidelines e.g. IPMVP and ASHRAE 14-P
M&V options and analysis techniques

            M&V option                         Analysis techniques


Partially     measured   retrofit   Engineering calculations using short term
isolation                           or continuous measurements

Retrofit isolation                  Engineering calculations using short term
                                    or continuous measurements

Whole facility                      Analysis of whole facility utility meter or
                                    sub-meter data using techniques from
                                    simple comparison to regression analysis.

Calibrated simulation               Energy use simulation, calibrated with
                                    hourly or monthly utility billing data
                                    and/or endues metering.
Conclusion

• EPC is a useful tool for promoting &
  delivering energy efficiency projects
• HK & Mainland China have market potential
  in existing & new buildings
• Some barriers need to be overcome & suitable
  skills should be developed locally

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P2 e2 samhui

  • 1. Conference on Pollution Prevention & Energy Efficiency (P2E2) U.S., Hong Kong, China Cooperation 9-10 May 2005 Technology and market potential of energy performance contracting for buildings Dr. Sam C M Hui ASHRAE Hong Kong Chapter & Department of Mechanical Engineering Hong Kong The University of Hong Kong E-mail: cmhui@hku.hk
  • 2. Agenda • Introduction to EPC • Market Potential • Major Barriers and Risks • Key Issues • Conclusion
  • 3. Introduction to EPC • Energy performance contracting (EPC) • = energy savings performance contracting • A financing technique to raise money for energy efficiency investments based on future savings • Energy service companies (ESCO) • Offer EPC services, without upfront capital on building owners (e.g. by guaranteed saving) • Become an important trend in many countries like USA and Japan
  • 4. Client’s benefits ESCO’s benefits Client’s benefits Recovered costs Energy + O&M Energy Energy costs $ Cost savings + O&M + O&M costs $ costs $ Before EPC Before EPC During EPC During EPC After EPC After EPC 契約終止後 Basic concept of energy performance contracting (EPC)
  • 5. Introduction to EPC • Performance contract • Contract with payments based in performance • Can be used for energy conservation projects, to mitigate indoor air quality concerns, to reduce water & sewage usage, or to implement renewable energy systems • ESCO guarantees and takes the risk of not achieving savings; it is paid back out of the savings (around 4-10 years)
  • 6. Introduction to EPC • Benefits of EPC for a business • Reduced risk (contractor guarantees) • Turnkey services (contractor provides all services) • The business needs less internal expertise • Project financing could be ‘off balance sheet’ • Advanced products & services can be used • Savings can be much higher than done by itself • Additional improvements to built environment
  • 7. Introduction to EPC • Typical saving measures include: • Energy reduction via equipment retrofitting • Such as replace lighting equipment, chillers & boilers • Fuel saving measures • Such as add window films, insulation or pool cover • Load shifting • Such as by energy management control systems • Modification of operating procedures • Water & resource efficiency measures
  • 8. Introduction to EPC • Different ways of structuring such a contract • ‘Guaranteed savings’ • Most common; length 4-8 years • Allow extra measures to be added • ‘Shared savings’ • The Client & ESCO share the savings; up to 10 years • Actual cost not included in contract • ‘Pay from savings’ • Variation from shared savings; operates like a loan • ‘Chauffage’ or full services (ESCO takes over)
  • 9. Market Potential • External factors • Large stock of existing buildings (esp. commercial) • Energy cost is a concern for developers/owners • Savings not difficult to obtain from equipment optimization, retrofitting or retrocommissioning • Potential ESCO market • In HK, potential market around US$100 million • Air-conditioning & lighting are major areas
  • 10. Total floor area ('000 sq.m) Building Newly Completed in 1968-2000 5,000 1977-1992 (10 to 25 years old, from 2002) Combined residential & non-residential 4,500 Non-residential 4,000 Residential 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 1968 1969 1970 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1997 1998 1999 2000 Year Building completed in 1968-2000 in Hong Kong
  • 11. Market Potential • Current EPC active players • Automatic control companies • Building services consultants/contractors • Semi-government bodies (e.g. HKPC) • Power companies (for demand side management) • Private energy/environmental consultants • Government energy projects • Electrical & Mechanical Services Dept. (EMSD) is active in promoting EPC
  • 12. Market Potential • Prospects • Growing concern on energy & environment • Achieving sustainable performance! • Saving energy & operating costs • Policy tools & programmes by government • Building energy codes (performance-based), energy labels, pilot renewable energy projects • Water-cooled air-conditioning systems (converting of air-cooled systems) • Need to maintain & upgrade existing buildings
  • 13. Major Barriers & Risks • Major barriers • Weak awareness & experience • Skepticism of stakeholders • Problems with conventional procurement process • Problems with measurement & verification • Key factors for successful EPC • ESCO has the technical, financial & mgt. skills • Customer & ESCO have a partnership • Good understanding of project goals
  • 14. Major Barriers & Risks • Typical EPC project stages • Stage 1: The opportunity assessment • Stage 2: Preliminary energy services • Stage 3: Develop detailed proposal • Stage 4: Project implementation • Stage 5: Performance assurance + M&V services • Risks associated with EPC • Technical knowledge & management culture • Financing risks & guarantees • Argument on savings & responsibilities
  • 15. Key Issues • Choosing a contractor • Equipment suppliers • Best if their technologies are the main measures • Fee-based ESCO • Best for a wide range of measures or long-term facilities management • Utility-based ESCO • Best if focus on electricity or gas technologies • International energy companies • Best for international connection & overseas technology transfer
  • 16. Key Issues • Project financing • By the ESCO itself • As a loan from financial institution • By working together with the client • Under adverse economy • The client may not have the project capital • ESCO need to negotiate with bankers to explore creative financial tools • Some clients may want to finance themselves
  • 17. ESCO Capital Financier (Project Developer) (Secured Party) Fees Payments Energy services Finance contract and savings (lease or loan) gurantee Customer (Project Owner) Financial structure used by ESCO
  • 18. Key Issues • Measurement & verification (M&V) methods • Deemed or stipulated savings • Payments based on savings estimates, using measurements or audit + equipment characteristics • Savings based on utility bills • Past energy bills determine baseline consumption • Measured savings • Compare ‘before’ & ‘after’ measurements • M&V options & techniques have matured • Guidelines e.g. IPMVP and ASHRAE 14-P
  • 19. M&V options and analysis techniques M&V option Analysis techniques Partially measured retrofit Engineering calculations using short term isolation or continuous measurements Retrofit isolation Engineering calculations using short term or continuous measurements Whole facility Analysis of whole facility utility meter or sub-meter data using techniques from simple comparison to regression analysis. Calibrated simulation Energy use simulation, calibrated with hourly or monthly utility billing data and/or endues metering.
  • 20. Conclusion • EPC is a useful tool for promoting & delivering energy efficiency projects • HK & Mainland China have market potential in existing & new buildings • Some barriers need to be overcome & suitable skills should be developed locally