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The Epistemology of Belief
     By Fred Dretske
     presented with commentary by
          Sebastian Benthall
Epistemology and skepticism
epistemology, n.
Etymology: < Greek EPISTEMO- knowledge +
-LOGIA discoursing >

The theory or science of the method or grounds of
knowledge.
skepticism, n.
Etymology: < Neo-Latin scepticismus, equivalent to
Latin sceptic ( us ) skeptic + -ismus -ism

The doctrine that true knowledge or knowledge in a
particular area is uncertain.
How do we know anything at all?
                   “Those who claim for
                     themselves to judge the truth
                     are bound to possess a
                     criterion of truth. This
                     criterion, then, either is
                     without a judge's approval or
                     has been approved. But if it is
                     without approval, whence
                     comes it that it is truthworthy?
                     For no matter of dispute is to
                     be trusted without judging.
                     And, if it has been approved,
Sextus Empiricus     that which approves it, in turn,
(160 – 210 AD)       either has been approved or
                     has not been approved, and
                     so on ad infinitum.”
Everyone's a skeptic

    Skepticism is very old and broad

    There are skeptical traditions in
 Ancient Greece, Buddhism, Hinduism,
             Daoism, Islam
        (just check Wikipedia!)

          We will focus on
modern Western philosophical skepticism
How do we know anything at all?




 René Descartes
 (1596 - 1650)     An evil demon
How do we know anything at all?
                  “It is at least possible
                     that there is an all-
                     powerful evil demon
                     who is deceiving me,
                     such that he causes
                     me to have false
                     beliefs.”
                  - Meditations of First
 René Descartes     Philosophy, 1641
 (1596 - 1650)
How do we know anything at all?




 Hilary Putnam     Evil Scientist
   (1926 - )
How do we know anything at all?




 Hilary Putnam     Brain in a Vat
   (1926 - )
How do we know anything at all?




      Wachowski brothers, 1999
How do we know anything at all?




  Beliefs   Information   World
How do we know anything at all?




  Beliefs   Information   World
How do we know anything at all?

    This is called global skepticism

    If the global skeptic wins, epistemology loses

    If epistemology loses, we all lose
    
        How can we justify our beliefs?
    
        Without standards of justification, we are at the
        mercy of charlatans, propagandists, and
        demagogues
    
        Science, law, history, religion...
How do we know anything at all?

    If we can beat the global skeptic, we sharpen
    our idea of how we know and can learn more

    There are many contenders:
    
        empiricism, rationalism, constructivism,
        foundationalism, coherentism, pragmatism ...
    
        Basically every major philosopher since Descartes
        and several before him have tackled this issue
Fred Dretske
  (1932 - )
“The Epistemology of Belief”
    Fred Dretske, 1983
[Any questions so far?]
Dretske on
Representation and Misrepresentation
You can't fool an instrument
You can't fool an instrument

    Consider the speedometer. What does it
    represent?

    If you lift the car off the road, does it
    misrepresent the speed of the car?

    Does it believe something wrong? Is it saying
    something incorrect?

    Dretske: It is time to stop describing
    instruments in such inappropriate ways.
You can't fool a frog




Beliefs         Information       World
You can't fool a frog
You can't fool a frog


?
You can't fool a frog
You can't fool a frog
You can't fool a frog
You can't fool a frog
You can't fool a frog
You can't fool a frog
You can't fool a frog

             “The frog gets hungry
             in this situation, not
             because it mistakenly
             sees dark spots as
             edible bugs, but
             because what it
             correctly sees as
             moving spots are not,
             in fact, edible bugs.”
You can't fool a frog

             “The frog gets hungry
             in this situation, not
             because it mistakenly
             sees dark spots as
             edible bugs, but
             because what it
             correctly sees as
             moving spots are not,
             in fact, edible bugs.”
[Any questions?]
Dretske on Learning
You can't fool a dolphin




Beliefs     Information    World
You can't fool a dolphin




Beliefs     Information    World
You can't fool a dolphin




Beliefs     Information    World
You can't fool a dolphin
You can't fool a dolphin


         ?
You can't fool a dolphin
You can't fool a dolphin
You can't fool a dolphin
You can't fool a dolphin
You can't fool a dolphin
“... the decision about what sorts of beliefs we
  may attribute to [a creature] is guided by our
assessment of the sort of information the animal
             utilizes during learning...”
[Any questions?]
Dretske Defines Information
What is information?




“I have begun to talk more and more about
   information so let me pause a moment to
 explain what I mean by this way of talking.”
What is information?




“I mean nothing very technical or abstract.”
What is information?



“In fact, I mean pretty much what (I think) we all
      mean in talking of some event, signal, or
   structure carrying (or embodying) information
            about another state of affairs.”
What is information?
“[A] message carries the information that X is a
    dingbat, say, if and only if one could learn
  (come to know) that X was a dingbat from the
                     message.”

“When I say that one could learn that X was a
dingbat from the message, I mean, simply, that
 the message has whatever reliable connection
  with dingbats is required to enable a suitably
  equipped, but otherwise ignorant receiver, to
        learn from it that X is a dingbat.”
What is information?

def information := a message M carries the
  information that X is Y if and only if one could
  learn that X is Y from M.

def one could learn := one could learn that X was
  Y from M if and only if M has whatever reliable
  connection with Y is required to enable a
  suitably equipped, but otherwise ignorant
  receiver, to learn from it that X is a Y.
Question:

Is that how you use the term
     “information [about]”?
Question:

Is there an example of M “information about” Y
                   such that
         one could not learn Y from M?
Question:

     Is there an example of
M from which one could learn Y
            such that
M is not “information about” Y?
Dretske versus the Skeptic
Take that, skeptic!

    If a person can believe that X is Y, then they
    must be capable of processing information
    about Y
Take that, skeptic!

    If a person can believe that X is Y, then they
    must be capable of processing information
    about Y

    If one is capable of processing information
    about Y, then one must be capable of knowing
    Y (from the information)
Take that, skeptic!

    If a person can believe that X is Y, then they
    must be capable of processing information
    about Y

    If one is capable of processing information
    about Y, then one must be capable of knowing
    Y (from the information)

    Therefore, if a person can believe that X is Y,
    they must be capable of knowing that things
    can be Y (from information)
Take that, skeptic!

            I believe that's a tree.

            Therefore, I can
            know that's a tree.

            Take that, skeptic!
Ta da!
Question:

Has Dretske defeated
    the skeptic?
Take that, Twin Earth!




Earth           Twin Earth
Dretske Qualifies his Argument
His argument applies only to
        'simple concepts'

(We build complex concepts from
          simple ones)

 E.g. unicorns and randomness
The last line:

“If the information we receive about X's is always
 too impoverished to specify an X as an X, then,
                    admittedly,

we have an epistemological problem about how
     we can ever know that there are X's.

 But we also have a problem about how we can
        ever believe that there are X's.”
How do we believe anything at all?




   Beliefs   Information    World
How do we believe anything at all?




   Beliefs   Information    World
How do we believe anything at all?




   Beliefs   Information    World
How do we believe anything at all?




   Beliefs   Information    World
How do we believe anything at all?




   Beliefs   Information    World
How do we believe anything at all?




   Beliefs   Information    World
How do we believe anything at all?
Questions or comments?
What does this tell
       us about information?

[we're leaving the territory of the paper now]
What is information?

def information := a message M carries the
  information that X is Y if and only if one could
  learn that X is Y from M.

def one could learn := one could learn that X was
  Y from M if and only if M has whatever reliable
  connection with Y is required to enable a
  suitably equipped, but otherwise ignorant
  receiver, to learn from it that X is a Y.
What is information?

def information := a message M carries the
  information that X is Y if and only if one could
  learn that X is Y from M.

def one could learn := one could learn that X was
  Y from M if and only if M has whatever reliable
  connection with Y is required to enable a
  suitably equipped, but otherwise ignorant
  receiver, to learn from it that X is a Y.
What is information?



def information := a message M carries the
  information that X is Y if and only if M has
  whatever reliable connection with Y is required
  to enable a suitably equipped, but otherwise
  ignorant receiver, to learn from it that X is a Y.
What is information?



def information := a message M carries the
  information that X is Y if and only if M has
  whatever reliable connection with Y is required
  to enable a suitably equipped, but otherwise
  ignorant receiver, to learn from it that X is a Y.
What is information?



def information := a message M carries the
  information that X is Y if and only if M has
  whatever reliable connection with Y is required
  to enable a suitably equipped, but otherwise
  ignorant receiver, to learn from it that X is a Y.

                    What is this?
What is information?


M has whatever reliable connection with Y is
 required to enable

a suitably equipped, but otherwise ignorant
  receiver,

to learn from M that X is a Y.
What is information?
M carries information that X is Y iff M has

whatever reliable connection is

required to enable to learn

a suitably equipped receiver

that is otherwise ignorant

that X is a Y
What is information?
M carries information that X is Y iff M has

whatever reliable connection is

required to enable to learn       Can you learn
                                  something if you
                                  aren't ignorant of it at
a suitably equipped receiver      first?

that is otherwise ignorant        ← Redundant!
                                    Simplify!
that X is a Y
What is information?
M carries information that X is Y iff M has

whatever reliable connection is     This is just telling us
                                    that we shouldn't
                                    expect rocks to learn
required to enable to learn         from information.

                                    If something is not
                                    'suitably equipped' it
a suitably equipped receiver        cannot be 'enabled to
                                    learn'.

that X is a Y
What is information?
M carries information that X is Y iff M has

whatever reliable connection is     This is just telling us
                                    that we shouldn't
                                    expect rocks to learn
required to enable to learn         from information.

                                    If something is not
                                    'suitably equipped' it
a suitably equipped receiver        cannot be 'enabled to
                                    learn'.

that X is a Y                       But “required to”
                                    implies a necessary,
                                    not sufficient,
                                    condition.

                                    So we can simplify.
What is information?

M carries information that X is Y iff M has

whatever reliable connection is

required to enable [one] to learn

that X is a Y
You can't fool a dolphin
Whatever reliable connection




 Beliefs         Information               World



          This sonar image of X is
               information that
       X is a cylinder, not X is plastic
Whatever reliable connection




  Beliefs       Information           World



        This sonar image of X is
         “reliably connected” to
X's being a cylinder, not X's being plastic
Whatever reliable connection




      Beliefs       Information           World

                      Proposal:
                          The
reliable connection required to enable one to learn
                 from M that X is Y is
       M(X)'s statistical correlation with Y(X)
Whatever reliable connection
Shannon defined

      mutual information

as a measure of information about
 variable A in another variable B
Shannon defined

        mutual information

      I(A : B) = H(B) – H(B|A)

Recall H is entropy of a distribution.
  H(B|A) is conditional entropy.
Shannon defined

        mutual information

      I(A : B) = H(B) – H(B|A)

I(A:B) is a measure of the correlation
           between A and B.
Shannon defined

mutual information
Whatever reliable connection
Whatever reliable connection
Whatever reliable connection


           Sonar             Shape,
                             Material

      I(Sonar : Shape) = 1

      I(Sonar : Material) = 0
What is information?

M carries information that X is Y iff M has

whatever reliable connection is

required to enable [one] to learn

that X is a Y
What is information?

M carries information that X is Y iff

M and Y have

mutual information (in Shannon's sense)

when considered over all X's
Questions/Comments/Discussion

    And, thanks for listening.

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On Dretske's The Epistemology of Belief

  • 1. The Epistemology of Belief By Fred Dretske presented with commentary by Sebastian Benthall
  • 3. epistemology, n. Etymology: < Greek EPISTEMO- knowledge + -LOGIA discoursing > The theory or science of the method or grounds of knowledge.
  • 4. skepticism, n. Etymology: < Neo-Latin scepticismus, equivalent to Latin sceptic ( us ) skeptic + -ismus -ism The doctrine that true knowledge or knowledge in a particular area is uncertain.
  • 5. How do we know anything at all? “Those who claim for themselves to judge the truth are bound to possess a criterion of truth. This criterion, then, either is without a judge's approval or has been approved. But if it is without approval, whence comes it that it is truthworthy? For no matter of dispute is to be trusted without judging. And, if it has been approved, Sextus Empiricus that which approves it, in turn, (160 – 210 AD) either has been approved or has not been approved, and so on ad infinitum.”
  • 6. Everyone's a skeptic Skepticism is very old and broad There are skeptical traditions in Ancient Greece, Buddhism, Hinduism, Daoism, Islam (just check Wikipedia!) We will focus on modern Western philosophical skepticism
  • 7. How do we know anything at all? René Descartes (1596 - 1650) An evil demon
  • 8. How do we know anything at all? “It is at least possible that there is an all- powerful evil demon who is deceiving me, such that he causes me to have false beliefs.” - Meditations of First René Descartes Philosophy, 1641 (1596 - 1650)
  • 9. How do we know anything at all? Hilary Putnam Evil Scientist (1926 - )
  • 10. How do we know anything at all? Hilary Putnam Brain in a Vat (1926 - )
  • 11. How do we know anything at all? Wachowski brothers, 1999
  • 12. How do we know anything at all? Beliefs Information World
  • 13. How do we know anything at all? Beliefs Information World
  • 14. How do we know anything at all?  This is called global skepticism  If the global skeptic wins, epistemology loses  If epistemology loses, we all lose  How can we justify our beliefs?  Without standards of justification, we are at the mercy of charlatans, propagandists, and demagogues  Science, law, history, religion...
  • 15. How do we know anything at all?  If we can beat the global skeptic, we sharpen our idea of how we know and can learn more  There are many contenders:  empiricism, rationalism, constructivism, foundationalism, coherentism, pragmatism ...  Basically every major philosopher since Descartes and several before him have tackled this issue
  • 16. Fred Dretske (1932 - )
  • 17. “The Epistemology of Belief” Fred Dretske, 1983
  • 19. Dretske on Representation and Misrepresentation
  • 20. You can't fool an instrument
  • 21. You can't fool an instrument  Consider the speedometer. What does it represent?  If you lift the car off the road, does it misrepresent the speed of the car?  Does it believe something wrong? Is it saying something incorrect?  Dretske: It is time to stop describing instruments in such inappropriate ways.
  • 22. You can't fool a frog Beliefs Information World
  • 23. You can't fool a frog
  • 24. You can't fool a frog ?
  • 25. You can't fool a frog
  • 26. You can't fool a frog
  • 27. You can't fool a frog
  • 28. You can't fool a frog
  • 29. You can't fool a frog
  • 30. You can't fool a frog
  • 31. You can't fool a frog “The frog gets hungry in this situation, not because it mistakenly sees dark spots as edible bugs, but because what it correctly sees as moving spots are not, in fact, edible bugs.”
  • 32. You can't fool a frog “The frog gets hungry in this situation, not because it mistakenly sees dark spots as edible bugs, but because what it correctly sees as moving spots are not, in fact, edible bugs.”
  • 35. You can't fool a dolphin Beliefs Information World
  • 36. You can't fool a dolphin Beliefs Information World
  • 37. You can't fool a dolphin Beliefs Information World
  • 38. You can't fool a dolphin
  • 39. You can't fool a dolphin ?
  • 40. You can't fool a dolphin
  • 41. You can't fool a dolphin
  • 42. You can't fool a dolphin
  • 43. You can't fool a dolphin
  • 44. You can't fool a dolphin
  • 45. “... the decision about what sorts of beliefs we may attribute to [a creature] is guided by our assessment of the sort of information the animal utilizes during learning...”
  • 48. What is information? “I have begun to talk more and more about information so let me pause a moment to explain what I mean by this way of talking.”
  • 49. What is information? “I mean nothing very technical or abstract.”
  • 50. What is information? “In fact, I mean pretty much what (I think) we all mean in talking of some event, signal, or structure carrying (or embodying) information about another state of affairs.”
  • 51. What is information? “[A] message carries the information that X is a dingbat, say, if and only if one could learn (come to know) that X was a dingbat from the message.” “When I say that one could learn that X was a dingbat from the message, I mean, simply, that the message has whatever reliable connection with dingbats is required to enable a suitably equipped, but otherwise ignorant receiver, to learn from it that X is a dingbat.”
  • 52. What is information? def information := a message M carries the information that X is Y if and only if one could learn that X is Y from M. def one could learn := one could learn that X was Y from M if and only if M has whatever reliable connection with Y is required to enable a suitably equipped, but otherwise ignorant receiver, to learn from it that X is a Y.
  • 53. Question: Is that how you use the term “information [about]”?
  • 54. Question: Is there an example of M “information about” Y such that one could not learn Y from M?
  • 55. Question: Is there an example of M from which one could learn Y such that M is not “information about” Y?
  • 57. Take that, skeptic!  If a person can believe that X is Y, then they must be capable of processing information about Y
  • 58. Take that, skeptic!  If a person can believe that X is Y, then they must be capable of processing information about Y  If one is capable of processing information about Y, then one must be capable of knowing Y (from the information)
  • 59. Take that, skeptic!  If a person can believe that X is Y, then they must be capable of processing information about Y  If one is capable of processing information about Y, then one must be capable of knowing Y (from the information)  Therefore, if a person can believe that X is Y, they must be capable of knowing that things can be Y (from information)
  • 60. Take that, skeptic! I believe that's a tree. Therefore, I can know that's a tree. Take that, skeptic!
  • 63. Take that, Twin Earth! Earth Twin Earth
  • 65. His argument applies only to 'simple concepts' (We build complex concepts from simple ones) E.g. unicorns and randomness
  • 66. The last line: “If the information we receive about X's is always too impoverished to specify an X as an X, then, admittedly, we have an epistemological problem about how we can ever know that there are X's. But we also have a problem about how we can ever believe that there are X's.”
  • 67. How do we believe anything at all? Beliefs Information World
  • 68. How do we believe anything at all? Beliefs Information World
  • 69. How do we believe anything at all? Beliefs Information World
  • 70. How do we believe anything at all? Beliefs Information World
  • 71. How do we believe anything at all? Beliefs Information World
  • 72. How do we believe anything at all? Beliefs Information World
  • 73. How do we believe anything at all?
  • 75. What does this tell us about information? [we're leaving the territory of the paper now]
  • 76. What is information? def information := a message M carries the information that X is Y if and only if one could learn that X is Y from M. def one could learn := one could learn that X was Y from M if and only if M has whatever reliable connection with Y is required to enable a suitably equipped, but otherwise ignorant receiver, to learn from it that X is a Y.
  • 77. What is information? def information := a message M carries the information that X is Y if and only if one could learn that X is Y from M. def one could learn := one could learn that X was Y from M if and only if M has whatever reliable connection with Y is required to enable a suitably equipped, but otherwise ignorant receiver, to learn from it that X is a Y.
  • 78. What is information? def information := a message M carries the information that X is Y if and only if M has whatever reliable connection with Y is required to enable a suitably equipped, but otherwise ignorant receiver, to learn from it that X is a Y.
  • 79. What is information? def information := a message M carries the information that X is Y if and only if M has whatever reliable connection with Y is required to enable a suitably equipped, but otherwise ignorant receiver, to learn from it that X is a Y.
  • 80. What is information? def information := a message M carries the information that X is Y if and only if M has whatever reliable connection with Y is required to enable a suitably equipped, but otherwise ignorant receiver, to learn from it that X is a Y. What is this?
  • 81. What is information? M has whatever reliable connection with Y is required to enable a suitably equipped, but otherwise ignorant receiver, to learn from M that X is a Y.
  • 82. What is information? M carries information that X is Y iff M has whatever reliable connection is required to enable to learn a suitably equipped receiver that is otherwise ignorant that X is a Y
  • 83. What is information? M carries information that X is Y iff M has whatever reliable connection is required to enable to learn Can you learn something if you aren't ignorant of it at a suitably equipped receiver first? that is otherwise ignorant ← Redundant! Simplify! that X is a Y
  • 84. What is information? M carries information that X is Y iff M has whatever reliable connection is This is just telling us that we shouldn't expect rocks to learn required to enable to learn from information. If something is not 'suitably equipped' it a suitably equipped receiver cannot be 'enabled to learn'. that X is a Y
  • 85. What is information? M carries information that X is Y iff M has whatever reliable connection is This is just telling us that we shouldn't expect rocks to learn required to enable to learn from information. If something is not 'suitably equipped' it a suitably equipped receiver cannot be 'enabled to learn'. that X is a Y But “required to” implies a necessary, not sufficient, condition. So we can simplify.
  • 86. What is information? M carries information that X is Y iff M has whatever reliable connection is required to enable [one] to learn that X is a Y
  • 87. You can't fool a dolphin
  • 88. Whatever reliable connection Beliefs Information World This sonar image of X is information that X is a cylinder, not X is plastic
  • 89. Whatever reliable connection Beliefs Information World This sonar image of X is “reliably connected” to X's being a cylinder, not X's being plastic
  • 90. Whatever reliable connection Beliefs Information World Proposal: The reliable connection required to enable one to learn from M that X is Y is M(X)'s statistical correlation with Y(X)
  • 92. Shannon defined mutual information as a measure of information about variable A in another variable B
  • 93. Shannon defined mutual information I(A : B) = H(B) – H(B|A) Recall H is entropy of a distribution. H(B|A) is conditional entropy.
  • 94. Shannon defined mutual information I(A : B) = H(B) – H(B|A) I(A:B) is a measure of the correlation between A and B.
  • 98. Whatever reliable connection Sonar Shape, Material I(Sonar : Shape) = 1 I(Sonar : Material) = 0
  • 99. What is information? M carries information that X is Y iff M has whatever reliable connection is required to enable [one] to learn that X is a Y
  • 100. What is information? M carries information that X is Y iff M and Y have mutual information (in Shannon's sense) when considered over all X's
  • 101. Questions/Comments/Discussion And, thanks for listening.