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Sitra Aamuharppaus 12.6.2018
@annunieminen
Arvonluonnin uusi
aikakausi & yritysten
nettovaikutusten
mittaaminen
Miksi rakennamme
uudentyyppistä
kvantifikaatiomallia
yritysten
nettovaikutusten
mittaamiselle?
Tapamme
mitata yritysten
arvonluontia on
vanhentunut.
Olemme hyviä
mittaamaan
performanssia, mutta
emme vaikutuksia.
share
price
revenue
EBITDA
growth
rate
Seuraus? Olemme
hyviä hiomaan sitä,
miten teemme – mutta
emme määrittämään,
mitä pitäisi tehdä.
“We attract the best talent, we grow
faster than our peers.”
“We attract the best talent, we grow
faster than our peers.”
“We offer superior tools and toys for our
people.”
“We attract the best talent, we grow
faster than our peers.”
“We offer superior tools and toys for our
people.”
“We host a vegan barbeque every
Tuesday”.
“We attract the best talent, we grow
faster than our peers.”
“We offer superior tools and toys for our
people.”
“We host a vegan barbeque every
Tuesday”.
“Our product development culture is the
most agile in the industry.”
“We attract the best talent, we grow
faster than our peers.”
“We offer superior tools and toys for our
people.”
“We host a vegan barbeque every
Tuesday”.
“Our product development culture is the
most agile in the industry.”
“We have the highest customer
satisfaction ratings.”
“We attract the best talent, we grow
faster than our peers.”
“We offer superior tools and toys for our
people.”
“We host a vegan barbeque every
Tuesday”.
“Our product development culture is the
most agile in the industry.”
“We have the highest customer
satisfaction ratings.”
“We write the best code”.
Sehän on hienoa!
…mutta
tehdäksemme
mitä?
Miten
mittarimme
toimivat
tänään?
Example:Two Finnish companiesin 2018
Example:Two Finnish companiesin 2018
Revenue: MEUR 10
EBITDA: MEUR 1
People employed: 100
Taxes paid to government:
MEUR 0.3
Revenue: MEUR 10
EBITDA: MEUR 1
People employed: 100
Taxes paid to government:
MEUR 0.3
Example:Two Finnish companiesin 2018
Revenue: MEUR 10
EBITDA: MEUR 1
People employed: 100
Taxes paid to government:
MEUR 0.3
Product: Plastic fork
Revenue: MEUR 10
EBITDA: MEUR 1
People employed: 100
Taxes paid to government:
MEUR 0.3
Product: Re-education
services to unemployed
factory workers
Example:Two Finnish companiesin 2018
Revenue: MEUR 10
EBITDA: MEUR 1
People employed: 100
Taxes paid to government:
MEUR 0.3
Product: Plastic fork
Revenue: MEUR 10
EBITDA: MEUR 1
People employed: 100
Taxes paid to government:
MEUR 0.3
Product: Re-education
services to unemployed
factory workers
In our current measuring system, these two companies impact Finland
exactly the same way. Do they?
Mutta onhan
meillä erilaisia
vaikutus-
mittareita?
Let’s imagine two companies: A and B.
A
Carbon
footprint:
x tons/
year
B
Carbon
footprint:
2x tons /
year
Let’s imagine two companies: A and B.
A
Carbon
footprint:
x tons/
year
B
Carbon
footprint:
2x tons /
year
Without knowing what was gained,
this is hardly useful for decision-making.
Let’s imagine two companies: A and B.
Mutta
meillähän on jo
CSR, eiköstä?
5 reasons why the current impact
discourse is not enough to fix this
The current CR discourse is… (example) …which leads to:
…stuck at minimizing downsides “We no longer use suppliers on this
black list in our production”
We are not utilizing “maximizing the
upsides”, i.e. the biggest promise of
entrepreneurship
The current CR discourse is… (example) …which leads to:
…stuck at minimizing downsides “We no longer use suppliers on this
black list in our production”
We are not utilizing “maximizing the
upsides”, i.e. the biggest promise of
entrepreneurship
…confusing big and small things
in a colourful mess
“We are now using recycled office
paper”
Big things get overshadowed by masses
of information of secondary impacts
5 reasons why the current impact
discourse is not enough to fix this
The current CR discourse is… (example) …which leads to:
…stuck at minimizing downsides “We no longer use suppliers on this
black list in our production”
We are not utilizing “maximizing the
upsides”, i.e. the biggest promise of
entrepreneurship
…confusing big and small things
in a colourful mess
“We are now using recycled office
paper”
Big things get overshadowed by masses
of information of secondary impacts
…focused on internal and
upstream impacts
“We installed water-saving toilets
into our offices”
Not understanding impact of actual
product or service
5 reasons why the current impact
discourse is not enough to fix this
The current CR discourse is… (example) …which leads to:
…stuck at minimizing downsides “We no longer use suppliers on this
black list in our production”
We are not utilizing “maximizing the
upsides”, i.e. the biggest promise of
entrepreneurship
…confusing big and small things
in a colourful mess
“We are now using recycled office
paper”
Big things get overshadowed by masses
of information of secondary impacts
…focused on internal and
upstream impacts
“We installed water-saving toilets
into our offices”
Not understanding impact of actual
product or service
…hidden in big sustainability
reports and other data readable
only to few experts in the field
“We produced this 400-page
sustainability report”
This information is not driving decision-
making
5 reasons why the current impact
discourse is not enough to fix this
The current CR discourse is… (example) …which leads to:
…stuck at minimizing downsides “We no longer use suppliers on this
black list in our production”
We are not utilizing “maximizing the
upsides”, i.e. the biggest promise of
entrepreneurship
…confusing big and small things
in a colourful mess
“We are now using recycled office
paper”
Big things get overshadowed by masses
of information of secondary impacts
…focused on internal and
upstream impacts
“We installed water-saving toilets
into our offices”
Not understanding impact of actual
product or service
…hidden in big sustainability
reports and other data readable
only to few experts in the field
“We produced this 400-page
sustainability report”
This information is not driving decision-
making
…marginalized far from the core
of business
“Mary is our Head of Corporate
Sustainability, she handles these
kinds of impact things”
Majority of “Corporate sustainability” is
often risk management and marketing –
quite far from actually maximizing
positive impact
5 reasons why the current impact
discourse is not enough to fix this
Se ongelmasta!
Mitä teemme
asialle?
A new type of quantification model to
bring out the shape of a company
ABC
EconomyNegative impacts Positive impacts
ABC
EconomyNegative impacts Positive impacts
pluses
AND
minuses
A new type of quantification model to
bring out the shape of a company
ABC
EconomyNegative impacts Positive impacts
pluses
AND
minuses
BIG stuff
only
A new type of quantification model to
bring out the shape of a company
ABC
EconomyNegative impacts Positive impacts
pluses
AND
minuses
BIG stuff
only
focus on
downstream
A new type of quantification model to
bring out the shape of a company
Input 1:
Taxonomy of
all products
and services
Input 2:
Structure of
main
impacts of
companies
Input 3:
Database of
80 million
scientific
articles
M
a
g
i
c
A
I
Input Output
“Automated
summary of
impact of all
products
and
services”
Basic logic of our quantification model
How can a machinebe taught to understand
causalitiesin natural language?
impactTerm: cancer
productTerm: tobacco
abstract: this study
investigates …
Encoder /
feature
extractor
Neural
network
Prediction
pi = 0.95
pd = 0.03
pn = 0.02
po = 0.01
0.14
0.02
0.78
.
.
.
0.82
Input vector
Feedforward neural
network with a single
hidden layer100-500
dimensions
correctLabel: I
Training sample
Variety of word-
vector based
encoders
Classifier (“AI”)
7000+ of manually labeled
samples, with 1000 of them
´cross-checked.
Exampleoutput: net impact of a (Finnish)fund
Possibility to play around
to optimize in real time
(add/remove)
Understanding de facto impacts of investments
(not just “meta-compliance”)
“Which companies
cause the most
GHG emissions in
this fund?”
Bisneksen
säännöt ovat
muuttumassa.
“Old business” “New business”
The whole business is built
around a product with a net
positive impact.
“Old business” “New business”
First you make money, then
you use some of it for “doing
good”.
The whole business is built
around a product with a net
positive impact.
“Old business” “New business”
First you make money, then
you use some of it for “doing
good”.
The whole business is built
around a product with a net
positive impact.
“Old business” “New business”
First you make money, then
you use some of it for “doing
good”.
The whole business is built
around a product with a net
positive impact.
The more a company makes money,
the more it continues to solve the problem it is
dedicated to.
Kiitos!
www.uprightproject.com

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20180608 sitra aamuharppaus annu nieminen v2

  • 1. Sitra Aamuharppaus 12.6.2018 @annunieminen Arvonluonnin uusi aikakausi & yritysten nettovaikutusten mittaaminen
  • 4. Olemme hyviä mittaamaan performanssia, mutta emme vaikutuksia. share price revenue EBITDA growth rate
  • 5. Seuraus? Olemme hyviä hiomaan sitä, miten teemme – mutta emme määrittämään, mitä pitäisi tehdä.
  • 6. “We attract the best talent, we grow faster than our peers.”
  • 7. “We attract the best talent, we grow faster than our peers.” “We offer superior tools and toys for our people.”
  • 8. “We attract the best talent, we grow faster than our peers.” “We offer superior tools and toys for our people.” “We host a vegan barbeque every Tuesday”.
  • 9. “We attract the best talent, we grow faster than our peers.” “We offer superior tools and toys for our people.” “We host a vegan barbeque every Tuesday”. “Our product development culture is the most agile in the industry.”
  • 10. “We attract the best talent, we grow faster than our peers.” “We offer superior tools and toys for our people.” “We host a vegan barbeque every Tuesday”. “Our product development culture is the most agile in the industry.” “We have the highest customer satisfaction ratings.”
  • 11. “We attract the best talent, we grow faster than our peers.” “We offer superior tools and toys for our people.” “We host a vegan barbeque every Tuesday”. “Our product development culture is the most agile in the industry.” “We have the highest customer satisfaction ratings.” “We write the best code”.
  • 15. Example:Two Finnish companiesin 2018 Revenue: MEUR 10 EBITDA: MEUR 1 People employed: 100 Taxes paid to government: MEUR 0.3 Revenue: MEUR 10 EBITDA: MEUR 1 People employed: 100 Taxes paid to government: MEUR 0.3
  • 16. Example:Two Finnish companiesin 2018 Revenue: MEUR 10 EBITDA: MEUR 1 People employed: 100 Taxes paid to government: MEUR 0.3 Product: Plastic fork Revenue: MEUR 10 EBITDA: MEUR 1 People employed: 100 Taxes paid to government: MEUR 0.3 Product: Re-education services to unemployed factory workers
  • 17. Example:Two Finnish companiesin 2018 Revenue: MEUR 10 EBITDA: MEUR 1 People employed: 100 Taxes paid to government: MEUR 0.3 Product: Plastic fork Revenue: MEUR 10 EBITDA: MEUR 1 People employed: 100 Taxes paid to government: MEUR 0.3 Product: Re-education services to unemployed factory workers In our current measuring system, these two companies impact Finland exactly the same way. Do they?
  • 19. Let’s imagine two companies: A and B.
  • 20. A Carbon footprint: x tons/ year B Carbon footprint: 2x tons / year Let’s imagine two companies: A and B.
  • 21. A Carbon footprint: x tons/ year B Carbon footprint: 2x tons / year Without knowing what was gained, this is hardly useful for decision-making. Let’s imagine two companies: A and B.
  • 23. 5 reasons why the current impact discourse is not enough to fix this The current CR discourse is… (example) …which leads to: …stuck at minimizing downsides “We no longer use suppliers on this black list in our production” We are not utilizing “maximizing the upsides”, i.e. the biggest promise of entrepreneurship
  • 24. The current CR discourse is… (example) …which leads to: …stuck at minimizing downsides “We no longer use suppliers on this black list in our production” We are not utilizing “maximizing the upsides”, i.e. the biggest promise of entrepreneurship …confusing big and small things in a colourful mess “We are now using recycled office paper” Big things get overshadowed by masses of information of secondary impacts 5 reasons why the current impact discourse is not enough to fix this
  • 25. The current CR discourse is… (example) …which leads to: …stuck at minimizing downsides “We no longer use suppliers on this black list in our production” We are not utilizing “maximizing the upsides”, i.e. the biggest promise of entrepreneurship …confusing big and small things in a colourful mess “We are now using recycled office paper” Big things get overshadowed by masses of information of secondary impacts …focused on internal and upstream impacts “We installed water-saving toilets into our offices” Not understanding impact of actual product or service 5 reasons why the current impact discourse is not enough to fix this
  • 26. The current CR discourse is… (example) …which leads to: …stuck at minimizing downsides “We no longer use suppliers on this black list in our production” We are not utilizing “maximizing the upsides”, i.e. the biggest promise of entrepreneurship …confusing big and small things in a colourful mess “We are now using recycled office paper” Big things get overshadowed by masses of information of secondary impacts …focused on internal and upstream impacts “We installed water-saving toilets into our offices” Not understanding impact of actual product or service …hidden in big sustainability reports and other data readable only to few experts in the field “We produced this 400-page sustainability report” This information is not driving decision- making 5 reasons why the current impact discourse is not enough to fix this
  • 27. The current CR discourse is… (example) …which leads to: …stuck at minimizing downsides “We no longer use suppliers on this black list in our production” We are not utilizing “maximizing the upsides”, i.e. the biggest promise of entrepreneurship …confusing big and small things in a colourful mess “We are now using recycled office paper” Big things get overshadowed by masses of information of secondary impacts …focused on internal and upstream impacts “We installed water-saving toilets into our offices” Not understanding impact of actual product or service …hidden in big sustainability reports and other data readable only to few experts in the field “We produced this 400-page sustainability report” This information is not driving decision- making …marginalized far from the core of business “Mary is our Head of Corporate Sustainability, she handles these kinds of impact things” Majority of “Corporate sustainability” is often risk management and marketing – quite far from actually maximizing positive impact 5 reasons why the current impact discourse is not enough to fix this
  • 29. A new type of quantification model to bring out the shape of a company ABC EconomyNegative impacts Positive impacts
  • 30. ABC EconomyNegative impacts Positive impacts pluses AND minuses A new type of quantification model to bring out the shape of a company
  • 31. ABC EconomyNegative impacts Positive impacts pluses AND minuses BIG stuff only A new type of quantification model to bring out the shape of a company
  • 32. ABC EconomyNegative impacts Positive impacts pluses AND minuses BIG stuff only focus on downstream A new type of quantification model to bring out the shape of a company
  • 33. Input 1: Taxonomy of all products and services Input 2: Structure of main impacts of companies Input 3: Database of 80 million scientific articles M a g i c A I Input Output “Automated summary of impact of all products and services” Basic logic of our quantification model
  • 34. How can a machinebe taught to understand causalitiesin natural language? impactTerm: cancer productTerm: tobacco abstract: this study investigates … Encoder / feature extractor Neural network Prediction pi = 0.95 pd = 0.03 pn = 0.02 po = 0.01 0.14 0.02 0.78 . . . 0.82 Input vector Feedforward neural network with a single hidden layer100-500 dimensions correctLabel: I Training sample Variety of word- vector based encoders Classifier (“AI”) 7000+ of manually labeled samples, with 1000 of them ´cross-checked.
  • 35. Exampleoutput: net impact of a (Finnish)fund Possibility to play around to optimize in real time (add/remove) Understanding de facto impacts of investments (not just “meta-compliance”) “Which companies cause the most GHG emissions in this fund?”
  • 37. “Old business” “New business” The whole business is built around a product with a net positive impact.
  • 38. “Old business” “New business” First you make money, then you use some of it for “doing good”. The whole business is built around a product with a net positive impact.
  • 39. “Old business” “New business” First you make money, then you use some of it for “doing good”. The whole business is built around a product with a net positive impact.
  • 40. “Old business” “New business” First you make money, then you use some of it for “doing good”. The whole business is built around a product with a net positive impact. The more a company makes money, the more it continues to solve the problem it is dedicated to.