This document discusses the concept of "nexus thinking" across multiple domains and topics. It makes several key points:
1) Nexus thinking spans across different silos and considers connections between domains like food, water, energy, climate, and development.
2) Framing of nexus issues applies at every level and transcends place, space, and scale. Different framings lead to different understandings and potential solutions.
3) Nexus thinking recognizes the entanglement of objective conditions and subjective actors, and highlights the role of power and politics in knowledge production.
6. Phenonema Under Scrutiny
•social and material world
•“systems” and “contexts”
•“scales” and “levels”
•“actors” and “networks”
•“values” and “interests”
•“frames” and “narratives”
•“causes” and “effects”
•processes and relations
•“knowledges”,“incertitudes”
•“positives” and “negatives”
•“structures” and “agents”
•“actions” and “reactions”
•“imaginations” and “visions”
•“metrics” and ”indices”
7. cost-benefit analysis
risk assessment
decision analysis
multiattribute utility theory
technology assessment
life cycle analysis
optimisation modelling
Bayesian networks
extended accounting
data mining
delphi methods
Quantitative Culture Qualitative Culture
No shortage of candidate ‘Nexus methods’
scenario workshops
focus groups
participatory appraisal
stakeholder deliberation
ethnomethodology
collaborative design
capabilities assessment
strategic appraisal
action research
cooperative research
study groups
8. Energy regulation: most mature, sophisticated comparative analysis…
A Key Common Problem: Concealed Ambiguity
9. 0.001 0.1 10 1000
externality’: cUS/kWh (after Sundqvist et al, 2005)low RISK high
coal
oil
gas
nuclear
hydro
wind
solar
biomass
Energy regulation: most mature, sophisticated comparative analysis…
A Key Common Problem: Concealed Ambiguity
10. 0.001 0.1 10 1000
coal
oil
gas
nuclear
hydro
21
wind
solar
biomass
n =
‘externality’: cUS/kWh (after Sundqvist et al, 2005)
minimum maximum25% 75%
low RISK high
Energy regulation: most mature, sophisticated comparative analysis…
A Key Common Problem: Concealed Ambiguity
11. coal
oil
gas
nuclear
hydro
36
20
wind 18
solar 11
biomass 22
31
21
16
n =
…‘sound science’, ‘evidence based’ Nexus analyses justify many policies
Energy regulation: most mature, sophisticated comparative analysis…
A Key Common Problem: Concealed Ambiguity
12. Equally true of qualitative research, but this is better appreciated
All Quantification is Qualitatively Framed
13. Equally true of qualitative research, but this is better appreciated
2: ‘NEXUS THINKING’
Framing Applies in Every Setting and Level
TRANSCENDS
‘PLACE’, ‘SPACE’ & ‘SCALE’
14. under-determined realities
Framing ‘the Nexus’
Insights well known in geography:
-relational ontologies
-constructivist epistemologies
-nonrepresentational theories
…
But conventionally recognised only
in separated academic silos, often
mostlyconcerned with critique …
… and more preoccupied with
‘how to know?’ than ‘what to do?’
24. incum
bents
power in knowledge
‘system’
‘cause’
‘effect’
under-determined realities
academic
government
local people
diverse pictures
‘scope’
‘focus’
contending
knowledges
and
values
“THE
NEXUS”
Framing ‘the Nexus’
4: ‘NEXUS THINKING’
HIGHLIGHTS
POWER AND POLITICS
IN KNOWLEDGE
“THE
NEXUS”
“THE NEXUS
SOLUTION”
25. fundamental
natural laws
biophysical environments
societies &
economies
cultures &
institutions
Science (of all kinds!)
is a key means by
which to remind
“the real world”
of politics
about the
“real real world”
of everything else
The Political Conditioning of Nexus Thinking
26. KNOWLEDGE PRACTICES
fundamental
nature
biophysical environments
societies &
economies
cultures &
instituions
But knowledge is
produced by people,
with cultures,
pursuing practices
in institutions
… in political ways
so knowledge is
jointly shaped to
reflect both social
and natural orders
The Political Conditioning of Nexus Thinking
28. biophysical environments
societies &
economies
INSTITUTIONS
This leads to a paradox
What is inside…
… is also outside
… as in a Klein Bottle,
knowledge is on the
inside and the outside
of human action
KNOWLEDGE PRACTICES
The Political Conditioning of Nexus Thinking
KNOWLEDGE PRACTICES
fundamental
nature
30. Constituting knowledges and actions are founded in equal social relations
Strongly resisted by elite science and incumbent governance institutions
Sustainability As Political Action
Driven by decades of collective struggle by grassroots social movements
Understandings of new hopeful visions of alternative directions for progress
social equality
human wellbeing
ecological integrity
31. Sustainability (& Nexus) as Political not Technical
Meeting the needs of the present, without compromising
the ability of future generations to meet their own needs
Brundtland (1987)
codified challenge for
elite institutions of
global governance
Provide normative guides for accountability in driving directions of social progress
Emphasising consistently
throughout, importance of:
“effective citizen participation”
and “greater democracy”
environmental
integrity
social
equality
human
wellbeing
SUSTAINABLILITY
32. Even the most specific environmental issues, all initially vigorously resisted
pesticides…pesticides… asbestos…pesticides… asbestos… radiation…pesticides… asbestos… radiation… lead…pesticides… asbestos… radiation… lead… carcinogens…pesticides… asbestos… radiation… lead… carcinogens… CFCs…pesticides… asbestos… radiation… lead… carcinogens… CFCs… EDCs…
Sustainability (& Nexus) as Political not Technical
33. And innovations now mainstream were initially excluded and suppressed
organic farming…organic farming… wind turbines…organic farming… wind turbines… super-efficiency…organic farming… wind turbines… super-efficiency… closed cycle production…
Constituting problems & solutions both of Sustainabilty & the Nexus
depend on asserting alternative knowledges and visions
Sustainability (& Nexus) as Political not Technical
34. 2015: Sustainability as Care: “leave no one behind”
SDGs offer political
ratchets and pivots for
collective action &
democratic challenge
35. 2015: Sustainability as Care: “leave no one behind”
In this key normative tradition where it emerged, ‘nexus thinking’
can help illuminate, enable and render accountable, a complexity
and multiplicity of contexts, perspectives and possibilities
36. In this key normative tradition where it emerged, ‘nexus thinking’
can help illuminate, enable and render accountable, a complexity
and multiplicity of contexts, perspectives and possibilities
ocean “eco cities”
carbon capture
reorganised services
offshore windnuclear power marine energy
bioenergy
grassroots renewables
centralised solar
eg: alternative infrastructures for ‘the’ zero carbon transition …
in branching social and technological innovation pathways
… choice is about democratic politics, not managerial control
Sustainability and Nexus Thinking
37. But Nexus Rhetorics also bring Another Challenge
If seen as technical and singular, rather than political and plural…
Nexus thinking can become about control (rather than care);
narrowing understandings, closing down choices, justifying power
Simplified instrumental
assessment…
eg:
-singular ‘bottom line’
-‘simple solutions’
-‘sound science’
-evidence based policy
Subverting appreciations for complexity, uncertainty,
context-sensitivity, multiple framings and diverse options
38. If seen as technical and singular, rather than political and plural…
Nexus thinking can become about control (rather than care);
narrowing understandings, closing down choices, justifying power
eg:
-securitisation
-nuclear power
-big pharma
-IP intense GM
Incumbent institutions
& technologies…
But Nexus Rhetorics also bring Another Challenge
Subverting appreciations for complexity, uncertainty,
context-sensitivity, multiple framings and diverse options
39. If seen as technical and singular, rather than political and plural…
it can become about control (rather than care); narrowing
understandings, closing down choices, justifying incumbent power
Politics reduced to risk: from ends: strategic choices between visions
to means: detailed regulation of modalities
Singular top down visions
for ‘the transition’ - models
- missions
- handbooks
- manuals
- “road maps”
But Nexus Rhetorics also bring Another Challenge
Subverting appreciations for complexity, uncertainty,
context-sensitivity, multiple framings and diverse options
40. If seen as technical and singular, rather than political and plural…
it can become about control (rather than care); narrowing
understandings, closing down choices, justifying incumbent power
Politics reduced to risk: from ends: strategic choices between visions
to means: detailed regulation of modalities
Anthropocene planetary
management “control variables
of the Earth”
“non-negotiable”
“absolutely no
uncertainty” …
“no compromise”
humanity as a
“control force”
But Nexus Rhetorics also bring Another Challenge
Subverting appreciations for complexity, uncertainty,
context-sensitivity, multiple framings and diverse options
41. If seen as technical and singular, rather than political and plural…
it can become about control (rather than care); narrowing
understandings, closing down choices, justifying incumbent power
Politics reduced to risk: from ends: strategic choices between visions
to means: detailed regulation of modalities
Climate geoengineering
maintaining “optimal
Holocene conditions”
But Nexus Rhetorics also bring Another Challenge
Subverting appreciations for complexity, uncertainty,
context-sensitivity, multiple framings and diverse options
42. From Rhetorics to Practice
Affirm key insights and qualities of ‘Nexus thinking’ discussed here…
1 ‘nexus thinking’ spans across different academic and policy silos
2 ‘nexus thinking’ is framed in ways that transcend place, space and scale
3 ‘nexus thinking’ means recognizing subjects are entangled in objects
4 ‘nexus thinking’ highlights politics and power in knowledge
5 ‘nexus thinking’ enacts co-constituting of knowledge and action
… ways of knowing are kinds of doing
43. INPUTS
(aspects taken into
account within
practice of research
or appraisal)
problems,
options,
pros / cons,
issues,
uncertainties,
perspectives
INPUTS
(things that are
taken into account)
Pro
blems, options, pros
/ cons, issues,
uncertainties,
perspectives
narrow
broad
closing down opening up
expert / analytic
participatory /
deliberative
OUTPUTS
(aspects that are conveyed
outwards into wider discourse)
’Plural conditional’ conclusions…
… if X then A … if Y then B …
From Rhetorics to Practice
A multiplicity of practical ‘nexus methods’ can help resist closure
… helping enable collective action in long tradition of sustainability
44. narrow
broad
closing down opening up
expert / analytic
participatory /
deliberative
decision
analysis
INPUTS
OUTPUTS
sustainability
safety
impacts
From Rhetorics to Practice
A multiplicity of practical ‘nexus methods’ can help resist closure
… helping enable collective action in long tradition of sustainability
45. narrow
broad
closing down opening up
expert / analytic
participatory /
deliberative
citizen’s juries
INPUTS
OUTPUTS
From Rhetorics to Practice
A multiplicity of practical ‘nexus methods’ can help resist closure
… helping enable collective action in long tradition of sustainability
46. narrow
broad
closing down opening up
expert / analytic
participatory /
deliberative
citizen’s juries
participatory
appraisal
q-method
scientometric
mapping
open
space
multicriteria
mapping
extended
foresight
citizen’s juries
decision
analysis
stakeholder
negotiation
participatory
sensitivity analysis
cost-benefit
analysis
risk
assessment
interactive
modelling
structured
interviews
participant
observation
multi-site
ethnographic-
methods
citizen’s juries
consensus
conference
open
hearings
concurrent
evidence
critical
narratives
intervention
futures
PIPA
plural
photovoice
system
histories
innovation
histories
INPUTS
OUTPUTS
From Rhetorics to Practice
A multiplicity of practical ‘nexus methods’ can help resist closure
… helping enable collective action in long tradition of sustainability
47. spot-the-
narrative
narrow
broad
closing down opening up
expert / analytic
participatory /
deliberative
citizen’s juries
decision
analysis
participatory
rural appraisal
stakeholder
negotiation
q-method
sensitivity
analysis
deliberative
mapping
scientometric
mapping
open
space
cost-benefit
analysis
risk
assessmen
t
interactive
modelling
structured
interviews
narrative-based
participant
observation
multi-site
ethnographic-
methods
citizen’s juries
consensus
conference
open
hearings
dissenting
opinions
multi-criteria
mapping
extended
foresight
stakeholder
negotiation
cost-benefit
analysis
risk
assessment
INPUTS
OUTPUTS
The Dance with Power
Familiar political pressures act very strongly on Nexus methods to: justify
decisions, command authority, foster trust, secure acceptance, manage blame
48. expert / analytic
participatory /
deliberative
narrow
broad
closing down opening up
participatory
appraisal
q-method open
space
multicriteria
mapping
participatory
sensitivity
analysis
intervention
futures PIPA
plural
photovoice
system
histories
innovation
histories
INPUTS
OUTPUTS
Nexus thinking: from connecting to transforming…
Rigour means actively balancing incumbent pressures for justification… the
most important practical Nexus capability is enabling democratic struggle
Editor's Notes
roland: analytic believe in method, intuitive believe in results
Abstract
The governance of science and technology is conditioned by some pervasive fallacies and fantasies. None are more extensive or deeply embedded, than those concerning the ability of human agency deliberately to control key features of interest in the world. Aspects and implications of the associated dilemmas arise both in the ways knowledge itself is understood, as well as the styles of intervention that society seeks to undertake. Common to both areas, are the neglected dynamics of power - encouraging exaggeration both of the quality of knowledge and the tractability of action.
Focusing on the example of energy systems, this talk will quickly review some of the practical policy implications. It will argue for attention to a range of neglected 'broader based' methods for 'opening up' policy appraisal of energy systems. It will also conclude for greater attention to governance strategies that do not depend on claims and aspirations to control. Again, some practical implications will be discussed relating to resilience rather than stability in energy systems and transformation rather than deterministic transition. In all these respects, a concrete energy policy strategy that repeatedly comes to the fore is that of deliberate diversification.
Here we will refer to other quantitative appraisal methods like risk analysis, decision analysis, environmental assessment, lifecycle assessment, wellbeing appraisal which is quite precise, where comparing the various options, you can get clear, objective distinctions.
Here you see the ordering of choices in a single study through risk analysis which is scientific and evidence based, and which gives a clear picture of the best and worst case scenario
Dynamic Sustainabilities’ and earlier STEPS work outlines case for:
‘broadening out the inputs of appraisal’ (options, issues, scenarios, uncertainties, methods, values, perspectives);
‘opening up the outputs of appraisal’ (moving from ‘unitary prescriptive’ to ‘plural and conditional’ representations of the issues to policy making and wider political debates.
This is a novel and fundamental distinction, transcending conventional divides between expert and participatory, quantitative and qualitative, deliberative and analytic, natural and social scientific methods.
There exists a wide diversity of different aspects and dimensions of appreciation – styles of method and stages and tasks in appraisal – in which this can be undertaken . A STEPS Methodology thus needs to address this complexity in a clear, practical, flexible, interdisciplinary way – sensitive to contrasting contexts and perspectives.
Dynamic Sustainabilities’ and earlier STEPS work outlines case for:
‘broadening out the inputs of appraisal’ (options, issues, scenarios, uncertainties, methods, values, perspectives);
‘opening up the outputs of appraisal’ (moving from ‘unitary prescriptive’ to ‘plural and conditional’ representations of the issues to policy making and wider political debates.
This is a novel and fundamental distinction, transcending conventional divides between expert and participatory, quantitative and qualitative, deliberative and analytic, natural and social scientific methods.
There exists a wide diversity of different aspects and dimensions of appreciation – styles of method and stages and tasks in appraisal – in which this can be undertaken . A STEPS Methodology thus needs to address this complexity in a clear, practical, flexible, interdisciplinary way – sensitive to contrasting contexts and perspectives.
As practised in the complex, diverse and dynamic realities of academic research and policy appraisal, each individual coinventionally-named method typically displays considerable latitude in the ways in which it is implemented in practise – spanning contrasting dimensions & degrees of ‘opening up’ and ‘closing down’. So it is difficult to generalise.
As practised in the complex, diverse and dynamic realities of academic research and policy appraisal, each individual coinventionally-named method typically displays considerable latitude in the ways in which it is implemented in practise – spanning contrasting dimensions & degrees of ‘opening up’ and ‘closing down’. So it is difficult to generalise.