How will future technologies disrupt the maintenance industry?

1. 1
Future of Engineering and
Disruption of Maintenance

2. 2
Past and Present

3. 3
2.6 million
years old
Author: Jose-Manuel Benito Alvarez
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Oldowan_tradition_chopper.jpg
Oldowan Tool from
Tanzania

4. The Ages
4
Stone
2.6 Million
Bronze
3,000 BC
Iron
1,000 BC
http://www.essential-humanities.net/history-overview/stone-
bronze-iron-ages/

5. Transportation
5
The Cugnot Steam Trolley
1771
First Marcus Cart
1870
First Mass-Produced Car
Model T Ford
1908-1927
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_the_automobile
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ford_Model_T
15,000,000 were sold

6. Model T Ford cost
$850 in 1908
equaling
$23,715 in 2018
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/7/72/Ford_factory_LaBoca.jpg

7. 2018 Ford Mustang
7
48 years later…
https://www.autoblog.com/buy/2017-
Ford-Mustang/safety-features/
And 2018 includes…Air-conditioning, anti-
lock brakes, stability control, front, side,
overhead, and knee airbags, security system,
and 5-star crash rating
1970 2018 % of Change
$2,721 $25,680 *8.2%
7-20MPG 21-31MPG 55-300%
120HP 310HP 258%
* For an 8.2% increase we get…

8. “If GM had kept up with technology
like the computer industry has, we
would all be driving $25 cars that
got 1,000 MPG.”
- Bill Gates
http://www.wussu.com/humour/gm.htm

9. The Future is Now
9
Model S P100D
MSRP: $135,000
Miles: 315 mi, battery only
MPGe: 92 city/105 highway
Horsepower: 691
http://www.motortrend.com/cars/tesla/model-s/2017/2017-tesla-
model-s-p100d-first-test-review/
Model 3
MSRP: $49,000+
Miles: 220 mi, battery only
Horsepower: 271

10. U.S vehicle miles driven vs. fatality rate
10
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
260
280
300
320
1926 1936 1946 1956 1966 1976 1986 1996 2006 2016
Vehicle miles (tens of billions) Annual deaths per billion miles
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transportation_safety_in_the_United_States
#/media/File:USA_annual_VMT_vs_deaths_per_VMT.png

11. Waymo
11
Google Self—Driving Car
•Announced July 2018, Waymo
has self-driven 8 million miles,
now at a rate of 25K miles/day
•Over 7 million miles driven
and only 14 accidents
•Only 1 accident was Waymo’s
fault but no fatalities
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidsilver/2018/07/26/waymo-has-
the-most-autonomous-miles-by-a-lot/#2684e9577ee5
Fun Fact
Google’s self-driving car pulled over in 2015
in California for driving too slowly - 24 mph in
35 mph zone; cop was unable to ticket the
car.

12. 12
Evolution of the Computer

13. First Computers
13
First Mechanical
Computer
First Electronic Digital
Computer
First Programmable
Computer
Charles Babbage
1822
John Atanasoff
1903
Konrad Zuse
1936
https://www.computerhope.com/issues/ch000984.htm

14. Super Computers
14
Cray-1
1976-1982
Speed: 160 megaflops
Cost: $8.8M
Cost per Teraflop: $58B
The Cray Y-MP
1988-1989
Speed: 2.6 gigaflops
Cost: $20M
Cost per Teraflop: $7.6B
Earth Simulator
2002-2004
Speed: 35.86 teraflops
Cost: $540M
Cost per Teraflop: $15M
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cray-1
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cray_Y-MP
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earth_Simulator
Fun Fact: Xbox One X
costs $499 in 2018 and
has a speed of 6 teraflops
Fun Fact: 20 years later, the
Cray Y-MP would have cost
you $20 million and barely
able to run Windows Vista

15. Average Historic Price of Ram
15
1985-2018
$859,375.00
$103,880.00
$30,875.00
$1,107.00 $189.00 $12.37 $5.50 $4.94 $4.37 $4.80 $5.20 $5.62
$-
$100,000.00
$200,000.00
$300,000.00
$400,000.00
$500,000.00
$600,000.00
$700,000.00
$800,000.00
$900,000.00
$1,000,000.00
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
http://www.statisticbrain.com/average-historic-price-of-ram/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Xbox_One#/media/File:Microsoft
-Xbox-One-S-Console-FL.jpg
https://www.computerhope.com/issues/ch000984.htm
Cray-1, 1976
$8,860,000
244 Mhz
iPhone XS, 2018
$999
850 Mhz

16. The World is Changing
16

17. 17
http://investeddevelopment.com/2013/06/the-impact-
of-technology-in-agriculture/
0
5
10
15
20
25
$-
$2,000.00
$4,000.00
$6,000.00
$8,000.00
$10,000.00
$12,000.00
$14,000.00
$16,000.00
$18,000.00
1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2015 2018
Employment in Agriculture vs. GDP Growth in U.S.
GDP in Billions of Current USD Agricutlure Employment (% of total employement)

18. 18
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
$-
$200.00
$400.00
$600.00
$800.00
$1,000.00
$1,200.00
$1,400.00
$1,600.00
$1,800.00
$2,000.00
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Thousands
BillionsDollars
Manufacturing Output vs. Employment
1947-2011
Manufacturing Output (left) Manufacturing Employment (right)
BEA, BLS
https://medium.freecodecamp.org/we-cant-bring-back-the-
old-manufacturing-jobs-12214a0ab057

19. 19Scott Santens – scottsantens.com
https://medium.com/basic-income/the-real-story-of-automation-
beginning-with-one-simple-chart-8b95f9bad71b

20. 20
1
2
An ”Earth rover” robot that takes closeup
photos of the plants and soil building a forensic
map of the field.
3
Future Goals: Planting seeds, caring for the crop,
forensically weeding, then harvesting.
Prototypes for the other tasks will arrive over the
next couple of years.
https://medium.com/basic-income/self-driving-trucks-are-going-to-hit-us-
like-a-human-driven-truck-b8507d9c5961
Meet ‘Rachel’

21. 21
38%U.S. jobs taken over by
robots within 15 years
http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-pwc-robotics-
jobs-20170324-story.html

22. 22
What’s Causing This…

23. Machine Learning (ML) and
Artificial Intelligence (AI)

24. Artificial Intelligence
24
How Does AI Benefit You?
• Google - Search
• Alexa and Siri - Personal assistants
• Tesla - Self-driving cars
• Netflix – Movie recommendations
• Nest - Smart thermostat
Artificial Intelligence - The theory and development of
computer systems able to perform tasks that normally
require human intelligence.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/robertadams/2017/01/10/10-powerful-
examples-of-artificial-intelligence-in-use-today/2/#27e49aac3c8b

25. 25
The Race to Acquire
Top AI Startups over
last 8 years
Source/Graphics design: CBInsights
https://www.cbinsights.com/research/top-acquirers-ai-startups-ma-timeline/

26. 26
DeepMind pays 400 A.I.
engineers $345,000 each to
design ways to eliminate
thousands of jobs with robots
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/10/22/technology/artificial-intelligence-
experts-salaries.html?_r=0
Google acquired A.I. Lab DeepMind
for $650 million in 2014

27. AI can predict heart attacks
more accurately than
doctors
27
American Heart Association’s 8-point
checklist accurately detects patients heart risk
by 72.8%
Algorithms outperformed the 8-point checklist
by 7.6% and raising 1.6% fewer false alarms
AI system could’ve saved 355 extra lives in a
12-month period out of the 83,000 patient
records.
1
2
3
https://www.engadget.com/2017/04/16/ai-can-predict-heart-attacks-
more-accurately-than-doctors/
20 million people die each year
due to cardiovascular disease

28. 28
Google’s Deep
Learning AI project
diagnoses cancer
with 89% accuracy
vs. 73% by human
doctor
http://www.ibtimes.sg/googles-deep-learning-ai-project-diagnoses-
cancer-faster-pathologists-8092

29. 29
Apple Watch Series 4
checks for high and low
heart rates and reports
irregularities
https://www.apple.com/apple-watch-series-4/health/

30. JPMorgan
Automation Software
30
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-02-28/jpmorgan-
marshals-an-army-of-developers-to-automate-high-finance
COIN interprets loan agreements in
seconds what took lawyers 360,000
hours
Bank created its own cloud-computing
software making 20,000 developers
more productive
Bots are expected to handle 1.7 million
access requests in 2017, doing the work
of 140 people
1
2
3
COIN, Learning Machine Software for
JPMorgan Chase and Co.

31. 31
Robotics

32. Automated Factory in
China
32
Changying Precision Technology Company
60 robot arms working 10 production lines
3 humans monitor robots
Before robots arrived, the factory needed
650 human workers now it needs 30
Defect rate dropped by 400%
1
2
3
4
https://medium.freecodecamp.org/we-cant-bring-back-
the-old-manufacturing-jobs-12214a0ab057

33. 33
RightPick collects
items at a rate of
500-600/HR-same
speed as a human
https://qz.com/952240/righthand-robotics-has-automated-a-new-type-
of-warehouse-work-that-could-help-amazon-amzn/
RightHand robotics, automates the process of
recognizing and picking up items from boxes

34. 2,4001 Robot vs. 200 People
8 hours
34
https://twitter.com/HumanVsMachine/status/881
174606027030529

35. 35
Uniqlo replaced
90% of staff at its
newly automated
warehouse with
robots
https://qz.com/1419418/uniqlo-cut-90-of-staff-at-one-warehouse-
by-replacing-them-with-robots/

36. 36
Truck Industry

37. Most Common Jobs in 2014
37
Software Developer
Truck Driver
Farmer
Other
NPR, https://medium.com/basic-income/self-driving-trucks-are-
going-to-hit-us-like-a-human-driven-truck-b8507d9c5961

38. 21%
Demand for
Trucks in 2020
38
https://medium.com/basic-income/self-driving-trucks-are-going-to-
hit-us-like-a-human-driven-truck-b8507d9c5961

39. 39
May 6, 2015, the first self-driving truck hit the
American road in Nevada
1
2
Daimler Freightliner Truck- First self-driving truck
3
4
Trucks will be decade-long testing phase, over
A million miles before being deemed fit for function
Robot trucks don’t need salaries
Complete autonomous capability will be here by
2022 and mass market penetration by 2026
https://medium.com/basic-income/self-driving-trucks-are-going-to-hit-us-
like-a-human-driven-truck-b8507d9c5961

40. Tesla Semi
set to hit the
road 2019
40
https://www.tesla.com/semi

41. Augmented Reality
41

42. 42
Title with all capitals over
image background
Computer Vision
Industrial AR applications-
Visual inertial odometry and
AR mapping technology
DAQRI- Worksense
Collaborate with your team
using a natural combination
of video, voice and 3D
annotations.
Daqri AR Platform Technology
https://daqri.com/technology/ar-platform/

43. UpSkill - Connecting your Workforce through AR
43
Receive tasks guidance through
real-time content
Track task progress, complete
orders, checklists and send media
Capture and share knowledge
for training purposes
https://upskill.io/skylight/skylight-overview/

44. Google Glass - VR in
the Workplace
44
Stay Hands-On
A quick ‘OK Glass” can activate the right
application during your workflow
Work Smarter
Access training videos, images annotated
with instructions, or quality assurance
checklists
Instant Expertise
Glass can connect you with coworkers;
allow them to see what you see with live
video stream in real-time
1
2
3
https://x.company/glass/

45. Infrared thermography for
mechanical applications
45
Electrical Systems - Faulty electrical connections
and overloaded circuits
Mechanical Equipment - Abnormal warm motors
or bearing failures
Building Applications - Missing insulation,
infiltration, or moisture damage
Fluid Systems -Line blockages, tank levels, or
pipe temperatures
1
2
3
4
Thermovision image heating plant chimney
http://www.reliableplant.com/Read/20181/infrared-
thermography-mechanical

46. 46

47. 50 billion
machines
will be connected
http://www.oecd.org/sti/ieconomy/industrial-
internet-at-General-Electric.pdf
on the internet by 2020

48. Vibration Analysis
48
Vibration analysis used to improve internal
processes and monitor the total help of
facilities.
Acme Industrial
Acme engineers will attach
accelerometers to each of the machines
sending vibration data to the Cloud.
48
https://www.losant.com/blog/using-iot-and-machine-learning-for-
industrial-predictive-maintenance

49. Guestroom Automation
49
Starwood hotels implementing smart
home make the customer feel
comfortable and also increasing
energy savings for their hotels.
’Daylight Harvesting’ – Save energy by
automatically adjusting the lighting
based on natural light detected in the
room.
https://www.hotel-online.com/press_releases/release/7-trends-for-
the-internet-of-things-in-hospitality

50. If you are tracking 16 meters
manually with a labor cost of
$16/hour:
50
1 check per day $3,840
1 per hour $92,160
1 per minute* $2,242,560
1 per second IMPOSSIBLE
*Dedicated employee sitting in front of meter
https://techcrunch.com/2017/03/08/cognitiv-is-using-ai-for-
contract-analysis-and-tracking/?ncid=rss

51. Source: Terrence O’Hanlon reliabilityweb.com
https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:63
29363657956302848/

52. 52
How to Future Proof Your Job

53. 1 Negative
review could
cost you 30
customers
53
https://www.entrepreneur.com/article/238501

54. How AI Could Transform
Maintenance Industry
54
• Asset managers using predictive analytics
to determine warning system of assets
• Automate inspection data and checklists for
assets
• Automatically generate work orders before
broken assets
• Aids in knowledge transfer for new hires
https://techcrunch.com/2017/03/08/cognitiv-is-using-ai-for-
contract-analysis-and-tracking/?ncid=rss

55. 55
Appendix
Recommended reading:
ØScott Suntans: The Real Story of Automation
ØKevin Drum: You Will Lose Your Job to a Robot
ØDarrell Etherington: GM’s Cruise sets special self-driving event
ØTristan Greene: Google’s DeepMind breakthroughs at a terrifying pace
ØFabricio Teixeira: How AI will impact your routine as a designer
ØMatthew Hughes: Las Vegas’ self driving bus
Øhttps://twitter.com/iamdevloper/status/926458505355235328