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Indian Port Growth Story:
                            Other Side of the Coin
                                       Satya Pal
                             Business Analyst- Infrastructure
                               spal@salvaresources.com
                                       04.02.2011




“Infrastructure: The Global Growth Driver”
       Hotel Taj Bengal, Kolkata, India
Introducing Salva Resources
 Salva Resources is a global provider of key technical and commercial services to the
 mining industry.

                        Mining Consultancy            Salva Market Analytics

                      Exploration Management              Custom Consulting

                           Resource Modeling              Outlook Series 2011

                               Mine Planning                Data Products

                            Equipment Supply                 Salva Report

                              Coal Marketing                India Unlocked

                                Due Diligence                 Data Base


Infrastructure: The Global Growth Driver                                                1
3-4 February 2011; Hotel Taj Bengal, Kolkata, India
Our Locations
 International Head Office                            Indonesian Office
 Level 11, 82 Eagle Street                            Level 3, Bhumyhamca Sekawan Building
 Brisbane, QLD 4000                                   Raya Cilandak KKO Street
 Australia                                            Garden Centre Cilandak Commercial Estate
 Ph: +61 7 (0) 3211 9911                              Jakarta, Indonesia
 info@salvaresources.com                              Ph: +62 (81) 5164 8205
                                                      info@salvaresource.com
 Indian Head Office
 6th Floor, DN24
 Matrix Tower, Sector V
 Salt Lake City
 Kolkata, 700 091
 India
 Ph: +91 (0) 33 6522 1030
 info@salvaresources.com

Infrastructure: The Global Growth Driver                                                         2
3-4 February 2011; Hotel Taj Bengal, Kolkata, India
Our Projects




Infrastructure: The Global Growth Driver              3
3-4 February 2011; Hotel Taj Bengal, Kolkata, India
Disclaimer



 The views expressed here contain information derived from publicly available sources
 that have not been independently verified. No representation or warranty is made as to
 the accuracy, completeness or the reliability of the information. Any forward looking
 information in this presentation has been prepared on the basis of a number of
 assumptions which may prove to be incorrect. The map of India shown is for illustrative
 purposes only and does not confirm to the geographical boundaries of the country. This
 presentation should not be relied upon as a recommendation or forecast by Salva
 Resources.




Infrastructure: The Global Growth Driver                                                   4
3-4 February 2011; Hotel Taj Bengal, Kolkata, India
Indian Port Growth Story:
                                                         Other Side of the Coin



                                                              Agenda

                                                        Current state of play

                                                            Road ahead

                                                      Concerns and suggestions




Infrastructure: The Global Growth Driver                                             5
3-4 February 2011; Hotel Taj Bengal, Kolkata, India
Current State of Play

Electricity (incl. NCE)                                                                                                                                        Electricity (incl. NCE)
                                 XIth Plan (Original Projections)                                           XIth Plan (Revised Projected)
Roads & Bridges                                                                                                                                                Roads & Bridges

Telecommunications                                                                                                                                             Telecommunications

Railways (incl. MRTS)                                                                                                                                          Railways (incl. MRTS)

Irrigation (incl.                                                                                                                                              Irrigation (incl.
Watershed)                                                                                                                                                     Watershed)
Water Supply &                                                                       4.28%                  1.98%                                              Water Supply &
Sanitation                                                                                                                                                     Sanitation
Ports (incl. Inland                                                                                                                                            Ports (incl. Inland
waterways)                                                                                                                                                     waterways)
Airports                                                                                                                                                       Airports

Storage                                                                                                                                                        Storage

Oil & gas pipelines                         Total: INR 2,056,150 Crore                                               Total: INR 2,054,205 Crore                Oil & gas pipelines
                                              Port: INR 87,995 Crore                                                   Port: INR 40,647 Crore


                                                                        Sector wise Revision in Port Investment
                                                                   100
                                                                                         4
                                                                    80
                                              INR Thousand Crore




                                                                    60                  54

                                                                    40                                                      3

                                                                    20                                                     33
                                                                                        30
                                                                    -                                                       5
                                                                                                                                                  Source: Planning Commission,
                                                                           XI Plan (Original Projections)      XI Plan (Revised Projected)        Government of India
   Infrastructure: The Global Growth Driver
          There has been mismatch in planning and execution especially from central sector
                                         Centre Private
   3-4 February 2011; Hotel Taj Bengal, Kolkata, India
                                                        States                                                                                                                       6
Current State of Play




                                                                              Sagar Island Project




                                      Vizhinjam Port         Chennai Mega Container Terminal




    Project delay and overcapacity are the main reason for these shortfalls in investment
Infrastructure: The Global Growth Driver
3-4 February 2011; Hotel Taj Bengal, Kolkata, India               Source: Salva Research             7
Current State of Play


                                                           Coal Import Demand Forecast (Mt)
                                                500
                                                400                                                                       387
                                                300
                                                                                                                    233
                                                200                                                 231
                                                                                              144
                                                100                       100                                       154
                                                                     64                        87
                                                      0              36
                                                                   2010                       2015                 2020

                                                                   Coking coal              Non coking coal        Total

                                  Mundra      Kandla

                                                          Magdalla                                                 Haldia
                                         Pipavav           Hazira
                                                                                                              Dhamra
                                                                                                              Paradip
                                         Mumbai
                                            Jaigad                                                Vishakhapatnam
                                                                                                Gangavaram
                                                                                              Kakinada
                                           Mormugao
                                             Karwar
                                              Belekeri                               Krishnapatnam
                                       New Mangalore                               Ennore
                                                                                   Chennai

                                                          Cochin                  Karaikal
                                                                                Tuticorin
                                                                                                                    Operational ports

           Demand for both Coking as well as Thermal2010 grow in medium toResearch
Infrastructure: The Global Growth DriverIndian bulk ports: coal
3-4 February 2011; Hotel Taj Bengal, Kolkata, India               Source: Salva long term                                               8
Road Ahead




                                  Mundra    Kandla
                                    Salaya         Dahej
                                                    Magdalla                       Talsara    Haldia
                                                      Hazira                   Kirthania      Sagar Island
                                    Pipavav                                              Dhamra
                                                    Valsad
                                            Dighi                                        Paradip
                                        Mumbai                                        Astaranga
                                                                                  Gopalpur
                                            Jaigad                            Vishakhapatnam
                                                                            Gangavaram
                                                                          Kakinada
                                           Mormugao                     Machilipatnam            Operational ports
                                             Karwar
                                              Belekeri               Krishnapatnam              Upcoming ports
                                       New Mangalore               Ennore
                                                                   Chennai                     Cement Plants

                                                      Cochin      Karaikal                     Steel Plants
                                                                          Caddulur
                                                                Tuticorin
                                                                                               Power Plants
Infrastructure: The Global Growth Driver
                                        Demand for differentbulk ports: 2020
3-4 February 2011; Hotel Taj Bengal, Kolkata, India
                                                       Indian coal will have regionalSource: Salva Research
                                                                                      bias                           9
Road Ahead



 Mega/ Ultra Mega Power Projects and major Steel plants are planning captive ports
               Project name                           Industry      Developer          Capacity   Coal requirement     Captive Port
      Mundra Thermal Power Project                     Power      Adani Power Ltd      4620 MW       14.45 Mtpa         Mundra SEZ
                 Ratnagiri                             Power      JSW Energy Ltd       1200 MW        4.14 Mtpa         Jaigarh port
       Salaya Thermal Power Plant                      Power       Essar Energy        1200 MW       4.20 Mtpa          Salaya port
       Hazira Integrated Steel Plant                   Steel        Essar Steel         9 Mtpa        1.50 Mtpa         Hazira port
  Jagatsinghpur Integrated Steel Plant                 Steel     Posco India Pvt Ltd   12 Mtpa       14.00 Mtpa       Jatadhari Muhan
         Kalinganagar Steeel Plant                     Steel         Tata Steel         6 Mtpa        3.96 Mtpa         Dhamra port



 Or they will have a long term cargo agreement with some port
               Project name                           Industry      Developer          Capacity   Coal requirement    Anchored Port
             Tata Mundra UMPP                          Power        Tata Power         4000 MW       15.94 Mtpa         Mundra SEZ
            Krishnapatnam UMPP                         Power     Reliance Power Ltd    3960 MW       15.46 Mtpa      Krishnapatnam port




                                                                                                                      Source: Salva Research
      Development of ports in India will be driven by end user industry and not vice versa
Infrastructure: The Global Growth Driver
3-4 February 2011; Hotel Taj Bengal, Kolkata, India
                                                                                                                                          10
Road Ahead




     State should encourage investors and the central government should facilitate early
Infrastructure: The Global Growth Driver                                                   11
                         execution of projects, projects deficit states Salva Research
                                       Orissa port
3-4 February 2011; Hotel Taj Bengal, Kolkata, India
                                                   in port         Source:
Road Ahead


                   Mumbai




                       Jaigad                                                  Vishakhapatnam
         North Goa                                                             Gangavaram             Durg

                                                                                          Kakinada

                                                                                 Machilipatnam
                       Mormugao
                                                                            Nijampatnam
         South Goa
                             Karwar
                            Belekeri
                                                                          Krishnapatnam



         Bellary        New Mangalore                                                                Guntur
                                                                      Ennore
                                                                     Chennai


                                                                   Cuddalore
         Chitaurgarh                                               Karaikal
                                                                   Nellore
                                        Cochin


                                                              Tuticorin
          Chikmagalooru                                                                              Ongole

                                                                                                              Iron ore deposits
          More detailed analysis is required while assessing the viability of a port, in a port
Infrastructure: The Global Growth Driver                                                                                          12
                                                    Iron ore deposits and relevant ports in India Source: Salva Research
3-4 February 2011; Hotel Taj Bengal, Kolkata, India
                                                               surplus region
Concerns and Suggestions


 Concerns

 Potential private port projects are suffering from undue delay
 In medium term Indian port will experience regional over capacity
 Central government, States and Industrialists are not on a common platform


 Suggestions


 Centre and state government needs to work more closely for the common goal. State
   should facilitate and let the market prevail
 Rather than adding a new terminal in major ports, central government should
   emphasize on increasing efficiency



    We should not forget that our conservative spending behavior was one of the reasons
Infrastructure: The Global Growth Driver                                                  13
                 why we were not badly affected by Global Financial Crisis
3-4 February 2011; Hotel Taj Bengal, Kolkata, India
Thank You!




Infrastructure: The Global Growth Driver                           14
3-4 February 2011; Hotel Taj Bengal, Kolkata, India

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Indian port growth story satya pal 04.02.2011

  • 1. Indian Port Growth Story: Other Side of the Coin Satya Pal Business Analyst- Infrastructure spal@salvaresources.com 04.02.2011 “Infrastructure: The Global Growth Driver” Hotel Taj Bengal, Kolkata, India
  • 2. Introducing Salva Resources Salva Resources is a global provider of key technical and commercial services to the mining industry. Mining Consultancy Salva Market Analytics Exploration Management Custom Consulting Resource Modeling Outlook Series 2011 Mine Planning Data Products Equipment Supply Salva Report Coal Marketing India Unlocked Due Diligence Data Base Infrastructure: The Global Growth Driver 1 3-4 February 2011; Hotel Taj Bengal, Kolkata, India
  • 3. Our Locations International Head Office Indonesian Office Level 11, 82 Eagle Street Level 3, Bhumyhamca Sekawan Building Brisbane, QLD 4000 Raya Cilandak KKO Street Australia Garden Centre Cilandak Commercial Estate Ph: +61 7 (0) 3211 9911 Jakarta, Indonesia info@salvaresources.com Ph: +62 (81) 5164 8205 info@salvaresource.com Indian Head Office 6th Floor, DN24 Matrix Tower, Sector V Salt Lake City Kolkata, 700 091 India Ph: +91 (0) 33 6522 1030 info@salvaresources.com Infrastructure: The Global Growth Driver 2 3-4 February 2011; Hotel Taj Bengal, Kolkata, India
  • 4. Our Projects Infrastructure: The Global Growth Driver 3 3-4 February 2011; Hotel Taj Bengal, Kolkata, India
  • 5. Disclaimer The views expressed here contain information derived from publicly available sources that have not been independently verified. No representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness or the reliability of the information. Any forward looking information in this presentation has been prepared on the basis of a number of assumptions which may prove to be incorrect. The map of India shown is for illustrative purposes only and does not confirm to the geographical boundaries of the country. This presentation should not be relied upon as a recommendation or forecast by Salva Resources. Infrastructure: The Global Growth Driver 4 3-4 February 2011; Hotel Taj Bengal, Kolkata, India
  • 6. Indian Port Growth Story: Other Side of the Coin Agenda Current state of play Road ahead Concerns and suggestions Infrastructure: The Global Growth Driver 5 3-4 February 2011; Hotel Taj Bengal, Kolkata, India
  • 7. Current State of Play Electricity (incl. NCE) Electricity (incl. NCE) XIth Plan (Original Projections) XIth Plan (Revised Projected) Roads & Bridges Roads & Bridges Telecommunications Telecommunications Railways (incl. MRTS) Railways (incl. MRTS) Irrigation (incl. Irrigation (incl. Watershed) Watershed) Water Supply & 4.28% 1.98% Water Supply & Sanitation Sanitation Ports (incl. Inland Ports (incl. Inland waterways) waterways) Airports Airports Storage Storage Oil & gas pipelines Total: INR 2,056,150 Crore Total: INR 2,054,205 Crore Oil & gas pipelines Port: INR 87,995 Crore Port: INR 40,647 Crore Sector wise Revision in Port Investment 100 4 80 INR Thousand Crore 60 54 40 3 20 33 30 - 5 Source: Planning Commission, XI Plan (Original Projections) XI Plan (Revised Projected) Government of India Infrastructure: The Global Growth Driver There has been mismatch in planning and execution especially from central sector Centre Private 3-4 February 2011; Hotel Taj Bengal, Kolkata, India States 6
  • 8. Current State of Play Sagar Island Project Vizhinjam Port Chennai Mega Container Terminal Project delay and overcapacity are the main reason for these shortfalls in investment Infrastructure: The Global Growth Driver 3-4 February 2011; Hotel Taj Bengal, Kolkata, India Source: Salva Research 7
  • 9. Current State of Play Coal Import Demand Forecast (Mt) 500 400 387 300 233 200 231 144 100 100 154 64 87 0 36 2010 2015 2020 Coking coal Non coking coal Total Mundra Kandla Magdalla Haldia Pipavav Hazira Dhamra Paradip Mumbai Jaigad Vishakhapatnam Gangavaram Kakinada Mormugao Karwar Belekeri Krishnapatnam New Mangalore Ennore Chennai Cochin Karaikal Tuticorin Operational ports Demand for both Coking as well as Thermal2010 grow in medium toResearch Infrastructure: The Global Growth DriverIndian bulk ports: coal 3-4 February 2011; Hotel Taj Bengal, Kolkata, India Source: Salva long term 8
  • 10. Road Ahead Mundra Kandla Salaya Dahej Magdalla Talsara Haldia Hazira Kirthania Sagar Island Pipavav Dhamra Valsad Dighi Paradip Mumbai Astaranga Gopalpur Jaigad Vishakhapatnam Gangavaram Kakinada Mormugao Machilipatnam Operational ports Karwar Belekeri Krishnapatnam Upcoming ports New Mangalore Ennore Chennai Cement Plants Cochin Karaikal Steel Plants Caddulur Tuticorin Power Plants Infrastructure: The Global Growth Driver Demand for differentbulk ports: 2020 3-4 February 2011; Hotel Taj Bengal, Kolkata, India Indian coal will have regionalSource: Salva Research bias 9
  • 11. Road Ahead Mega/ Ultra Mega Power Projects and major Steel plants are planning captive ports Project name Industry Developer Capacity Coal requirement Captive Port Mundra Thermal Power Project Power Adani Power Ltd 4620 MW 14.45 Mtpa Mundra SEZ Ratnagiri Power JSW Energy Ltd 1200 MW 4.14 Mtpa Jaigarh port Salaya Thermal Power Plant Power Essar Energy 1200 MW 4.20 Mtpa Salaya port Hazira Integrated Steel Plant Steel Essar Steel 9 Mtpa 1.50 Mtpa Hazira port Jagatsinghpur Integrated Steel Plant Steel Posco India Pvt Ltd 12 Mtpa 14.00 Mtpa Jatadhari Muhan Kalinganagar Steeel Plant Steel Tata Steel 6 Mtpa 3.96 Mtpa Dhamra port Or they will have a long term cargo agreement with some port Project name Industry Developer Capacity Coal requirement Anchored Port Tata Mundra UMPP Power Tata Power 4000 MW 15.94 Mtpa Mundra SEZ Krishnapatnam UMPP Power Reliance Power Ltd 3960 MW 15.46 Mtpa Krishnapatnam port Source: Salva Research Development of ports in India will be driven by end user industry and not vice versa Infrastructure: The Global Growth Driver 3-4 February 2011; Hotel Taj Bengal, Kolkata, India 10
  • 12. Road Ahead State should encourage investors and the central government should facilitate early Infrastructure: The Global Growth Driver 11 execution of projects, projects deficit states Salva Research Orissa port 3-4 February 2011; Hotel Taj Bengal, Kolkata, India in port Source:
  • 13. Road Ahead Mumbai Jaigad Vishakhapatnam North Goa Gangavaram Durg Kakinada Machilipatnam Mormugao Nijampatnam South Goa Karwar Belekeri Krishnapatnam Bellary New Mangalore Guntur Ennore Chennai Cuddalore Chitaurgarh Karaikal Nellore Cochin Tuticorin Chikmagalooru Ongole Iron ore deposits More detailed analysis is required while assessing the viability of a port, in a port Infrastructure: The Global Growth Driver 12 Iron ore deposits and relevant ports in India Source: Salva Research 3-4 February 2011; Hotel Taj Bengal, Kolkata, India surplus region
  • 14. Concerns and Suggestions Concerns Potential private port projects are suffering from undue delay In medium term Indian port will experience regional over capacity Central government, States and Industrialists are not on a common platform Suggestions Centre and state government needs to work more closely for the common goal. State should facilitate and let the market prevail Rather than adding a new terminal in major ports, central government should emphasize on increasing efficiency We should not forget that our conservative spending behavior was one of the reasons Infrastructure: The Global Growth Driver 13 why we were not badly affected by Global Financial Crisis 3-4 February 2011; Hotel Taj Bengal, Kolkata, India
  • 15. Thank You! Infrastructure: The Global Growth Driver 14 3-4 February 2011; Hotel Taj Bengal, Kolkata, India