The document provides a daily analysis report from TP Global FX. It includes: - Commentary on the RBA keeping rates unchanged but providing a hawkish statement, supporting the Australian economy. - Key economic data releases from Australia, Japan, and Europe. - Technical analysis and trade ideas for major currency pairs such as AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD. - Upcoming economic data and events.

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07 December 2021
Daily Analysis Report

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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Asian Bulle n: Aussie strengthens sharply a er RBA’s Hawkish Monetary Policy Statement, Asian stock markets in green, gold slightly lower
Key Headlines:
• RBA keeps cash rate unchanged at 0.10 pct.
• Australia AIG Services Index stands at 49.6 vs 47.6 previous release.
• RBA - The omicron strain is a new source of uncertainty, but it is not expected to derail the recovery.
• RBA - To keep buying bonds at AUD 4b/week un l at least mid-February, won't li rates un l infla on sustainably within target.
• RBA - We will not raise the cash rate un l real infla on is consistently within the target range of 2% to 3%.
• RBA - The central forecast is for underlying infla on to reach 2½ per cent over 2023.
• RBA - By mid February, the RBA will hold a total of $350 billion of bonds issued by the Australian Government and the states and territories, with these
holdings providing significant support to the economy.
• Australia HPI stands at 5.0 pct vs 6.7 pct previous release.
• Japan Average Cash Earnings remains unchanged at 0.2 pct.
• Japan Household spending stands at -0.6 pct vs -1.9 pct previous release.
• Decentralized finance catering for crypto assets could undermine financial stability if it gained trac on and more safeguards are needed, the Bank for
Interna onal Se lements said in its quarterly review on Monday – Reuters.
• Cryptocurrency products and funds received $184 million in net inflows as of last week, data from digital asset manager CoinShares showed on Monday –
Reuters.
• The European Central Bank said on Monday it plans to redesign the euro's banknotes over the next three years to make them "more relatable to Europeans of
all ages and backgrounds" – Reuters.
• Healthcare disrup ons linked to the coronavirus pandemic helped malaria kill 69,000 more people in 2020 than the previous year, but a worst-case scenario
was averted, the World Health Organiza on said on Monday – Reuters.
• The following is a summary of some recent studies on COVID-19. They include research that warrants further study to corroborate the findings and that has
yet to be cer fied by peer review – Reuters.
• The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Preven on (CDC) on Monday advised Americans against travel to France, Jordan, Portugal, and Tanzania, ci ng
COVID-19 concerns – Reuters.
• Britain's health minister said on Monday there is now community transmission of the Omicron variant of the coronavirus across regions of England but it is
too early to say if this will "knock us off our road to recovery – Reuters.
Economic Data Ahead:
• (0700 GMT/1230 IST) German Industrial produc on, previous -1.1, expected 1.1.
• (0700 GMT/1230 IST) U.K. HPI, previous 0.9, expected 0.8.
• (1000 GMT/1530 IST) Euro ZEW Economic Sen ment, previous 25.9, expected 22.4.
• (1000 GMT/1530 IST) German ZEW Economic Sen ment, previous 31.7, expected 25.3.
• (1000 GMT/1530 IST) Euro Employment Change, previous 0.9, expected 0.9.
• (1330 GMT/1900 IST) Canada Trade Balance, previous 1.9B, expected 2.2B.
• (1330 GMT/1900 IST) U.S. Revised Nonfarm Produc vity, previous -5.0, expected -4.9.
• (1330 GMT/1900 IST) U.S. Trade Balance, previous -80.9B, expected -66.9B.
• (1500 GMT/2030 IST) Canada Ivey PMI, previous 59.3, expected 60.2.
Economic Events Ahead:
• All Day – ECOFIN Mee ngs.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched down 0.11% to 96.22 points.

3. AUD / USD
BUY SELL
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DECEMBER,
2021
Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
0.7072
R2 S2
0.7099
R3 S3
0.7122
R4
Commentary
S4
0.7147
Buy Above 0.7080
0.7110
0.7050
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 0.7038
0.7012
0.7060
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
AUD/USD: The Aussie appreciates sharply after RBA’s policy rate decision and hawkish Monetary
Policy Statement. Today pair made intraday high at $0.7070 and low at $0.7039 mark.Aday chart and
H1 chart with triple EMAsuggest bearish trend for the time being.Asustained close above $0.7072 on
H1 chart requires for the upside rally.Alternatively, a consistent close below $0.7040 will check further
supports.
0.7015
0.7001
0.6980
0.6955

4. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.1299
R2 S2
1.1312
R3 S3
1.1347
R4
Commentary
S4
1.1376
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-
Time Frame: H1
EUR/USD: The Euro trades flat on Tuesday and hoversa round key support at $1.1290 mark. The pair
made intraday high at $1.1292 and low at $1.1275 mark. Today triple EMAon a day chart and H1 chart
suggest bearish trend for the time being. A consistent close above $1.1299 on H1 chart requires for
the upside rally. Alternatively, a sustained close below $1.1272 on H1 chart will check further
supports. Today German Industrial Production and ZEW Economic Sentiment data will provide
further directions to the parity.
EUR / USD
1.1272
1.1248
1.1221
1.1198
Buy Above 1.1299
1.1326
1.1274
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.1265
1.1237
1.1290
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
DECEMBER,
2021

5. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.3299
R2 S2
1.3326
R3 S3
1.3351
R4
Commentary
S4
1.3377
Buy Above 1.3290
1.3315
1.3265
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.3247
1.3221
1.3278
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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Time Frame: H1
GBP/USD: The sterling appreciates on Tuesday and jumps back above $1.3280 mark. Today pair
made intraday high at $1.3283 and low at $1.3247 mark. A day chart and H1 chart with triple EMA
suggest bearish trend for the time being.Asustained close above $1.3299 on H1 chart will check key
resistances.Alternatively, a consistent close below $1.3240 will check further supports.
USD
1.3240
1.3209
1.3184
1.3140
GBP/
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
DECEMBER,
2021

6. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2770
R2 S2
1.2799
R3 S3
1.2815
R4
Commentary
S4
1.2840
Buy Above 1.2770
1.2799
1.2747
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.2732
1.2712
1.2749
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
USD/CAD: The CAD strengthens noticeably against U.S. dollar and slips below 1.2750 mark. The
pair made intraday high at 1.2767 and low at 1.2739 mark. Today a day chart is up and H1 chart with
triple EMA suggests bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close above 1.2770 on H1 chart
requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.2730 on H1 chart will check key
supports too. Canada’s trade balance and Ivey PMI data will remain in focus.
USD /CAD
1.2730
1.2711
1.2690
1.2672
DECEMBER,
2021

7. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
113.78
R2 S2
113.99
R3 S3
114.26
R4
Commentary
S4
114.58
Buy Above 113.65
113.99
113.38
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 113.30
113.04
113.57
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
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Time Frame: H1
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen remains almost unchanged after average cash earnings and house
hold spending data. The pair made intraday high at 113.58 and low at 113.40 mark. The triple EMAon
a day chart and H1 chart suggest up trend for the time being. A sustained close above 113.65 on H1
chart requires for the upside rally.Alternatively, a consistent close below 113.30 on H1 chart will check
further key supports.
USD /JPY
113.30
112.90
112.62
112.37
DECEMBER,
2021

8. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1782
R2 S2
1789
R3 S3
1794
R4
Commentary
S4
1799
Buy Above 1782
1787
1778
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1774
1767
1778
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
XAU/USD (GOLD): The Gold weakens gradually against U.S. dollar and remains well supported
below $1,780 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1,782 and low at $1,777 mark.Aday chart and
H1 chart with triple EMAsuggest down trend for the time being.Asustained close above $1,782 on H1
chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1,776 will check further
supports. U.S. Revised Nonfarm Productivity data is in focus
XAU [GOLD]
USD
/
1776
1772
1767
1761
DECEMBER,
2021

9. Thank
you!
Info@tpglobalfx.com
www.tpglobalfx.com
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