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1UTILITY OF THE FUTURE
Praveer Sinha
CEO & MD, Tata Power – DDL
This document is confidential and property of Tata Power Delhi Distribution Limited .No part of the document shall be reproduced without the permission of
Tata Power-DDL.
.TATA Power – DDL :Confidential
2
GLOBAL
PERSPECTIVE
.TATA Power – DDL :Confidential
3MARKET LANDSCAPE
World Energy
Outlook (IEA)
2017
Global
Forecast
2030
Africa
Forecast
2030
Lack of
Electricity
675 million 90% of the
global population
Investment
needed
US$979bn investment
to achieve Universal
Energy access by
2030
US$890bn investment
needed in Africa alone
Energy Access across the World (%)
Source: World Energy Outlook 2017
World population 7.6 billion
Population with no access to
electricity- Global *
1.2 billion
Population with no access to
electricity - developing economies
including India, South Asia & others.
0.50 billion
Population with no access to
electricity - Sub Sahara Africa
0.70 billion
* Does not include people who have partial/ low access to electricity.
.TATA Power – DDL :Confidential
4MARKET LANDSCAPE
Low Energy
access and
average
consumption
 In Sub-Saharan Africa over 60% of population don’t have access to electricity compared to 30% in South
Asia.
 Average consumption of electricity has a potential to grow fast from a low base.
Current average consumption in Saharan Africa is 497 kWh/capita/year and in South Asia is 707 kWh/capita/year.
This is very low compared to 12,973 kWh in the US, 5,130 kWh in the UK and 3.927 kWh in China. The global
average electricity consumption is 3,500 kWh.
 GDP and populations are expected to grow fast
(i) Between 2017 -2019, GDP growth forecast to be over 7% in South Asia and over 3% in Sub-
Saharan Africa.
(ii) By 2020, populations are expected to grow by 500m people (40%) in Africa and 200m (15%) in India.
Cost
Competitiveness
for new entrants
 Rapid fall in the cost of Renewables, making them cheaper than centralized fossil generation.
(if they can be financed at a reasonable cost of capital).
 Inefficiencies of state-owned grid operators may lead to increase in tariff despite subsidies.
Markets open to
private sector
partnership
 Auctions for renewables PPAs are becoming an established entry route for IPPs.
 Many countries are (slowly) embarking on processes of vertical unbundling and part-privatization of
the power sector (eg Kenya, Nigeria, Ghana).
Source: World Energy Outlook 2017, Mc Kinsey Study, Shell report
.TATA Power – DDL :Confidential
5
UTILITY OF THE FUTURE
New Rules of The Game
.TATA Power – DDL :Confidential
6KEY CHALLENGES ENVISAGED
URBAN AREAS
 Issues of voltage imbalance, transients, and
harmonics.
 No clear and structured regulations on Power
Quality.
 Absence of accurate load forecasting
mechanisms.
 Impact of Solar Injection and Electric vehicle
penetration on the Network.
A study shows:
 Direct costs of downtime in India are in the tune
of 293 Million USD per annum.
 ~ 57% are due to voltage sags and short
interruptions.
 ~ 35% are due to transients and surges.
 Cost of prevention may be less than 10% of
the cost of problems.
RURAL AREAS
 With 78% of villages electrified in India, the rural
households in the states of Bihar, Jharkhand,
Odisha and Uttar Pradesh which receive power
supply for less than two hours on an average in a
day is very high (67.5%).
 The rural households which receive power supply
for less than two hours on an average in the
evening , for above states, is also high (72%).
 Viability of Off- Grid connectivity needs attention
.TATA Power – DDL :Confidential
7
2030 – A
better
rural
economy
Solar Home Systems is a
suitable options for smaller
homes up to 200 watt and
running DC appliances
Hybrid Micro Grid Systems
can be used for centralized
village power supply by serving
a mini-grid to satisfy modern
domestic needs as well as
public services and the
development of a local economy
Solar and Biomass plant with
Energy Storage for a reliable power
supply. Such power systems can be
individually designed and contain
batteries and smart inverters.
Virtual gird extension -
Supply from battery/energy
storage to small villages
where RE is poor and Grid
extension is difficult.
The Future – From a rural perspective
FUTURE FROM RURAL PERSPECTIVE
Stand alone
home Systems
Micro Grid
.TATA Power – DDL :Confidential
8
2030
Optimization: sophisticated
modelling and simulation tools to
increase performance
Distribution
Network
Automation &
Mechanization:
Fast, powerful
microprocessor
based systems
designed
enabling safe and
reliable
operations
Digitization with power
and speed of
computers shall
accompany reduction in
cost
Distributed Energy
storage shall boost
the transport sector,
RE and advanced
grid projects and
can store energy
locally
Data analytics will lead to
improved infrastructure
management and
operational efficiency
Electric Vehicles a
cutting edge
technology to address
to climate change and
oil imports
Intelligent Substation: shares
all information on control,
protection measurement and
monitoring equipment through
one bus by
applying both “digital technology”
and “IT-related technology.”
Advanced DMS: Integrated
electrical system designed
to manage and real-time
power distribution
management system and
grid optimization
Smart Meter Communication
Technologies Allow devices
across the grid to communicate
and provide data useful
Distributed
Generation
Rooftop solar
photovoltaic
technologies Shall
prove to be
extremely effective
for consumers
Energy Efficiency Combination of
Product innovation and energy efficiency
programs shall make energy consumption
dramatically more efficient
ADMS
Power Management & Weather
Forecasting : High Tech & accurate
weather forecasting system with
refined logarithm for calculation of
discom power need
The Future – From an urban perspective
160 GW of solar and wind may
generate 370 TWh of energy
annually. This shall meet 22% of
India’s electricity demand in 2022
and reduce 21% of power sector
carbon dioxide emissions as
compared to the case where no
new RE capacity is built until 2022.
Power system balancing
with 100 GW of solar power
and 10 GW of wind power
is to be achieved.
National and regional
coordination of scheduling
and dispatch will ease RE
grid integration.
The peak system-wide
1-hour up-ramp increases by
27% compared to a system
with no new RE, to almost 32
GW.
FUTURE FROM AN URBAN PERSPECTIVE
International Power
Purchase (IPP)
Distribution Utility
.TATA Power – DDL :Confidential
9
0
100
200
300
400
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Generation(GW)
Alternate Scenario with Storage and DR
(May 2030)
Solar PV Wind Hydro Gas Storage and DR Coal Nuclear and Others
Source: Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory report 2017
Average Hourly Power Plant Dispatch
Source: TATA Power-DDL assessment
Storage & DR Storage & DR
Lower Dependence on Coal
Considering 175 GW Renewable Energy by 2022 and extrapolated thereafter
Non fossil Capacity = 50% , RE provides ~ 24% energy
COP 21 Commitment – 40% Renewable Capacity by 2030
0
100
200
300
400
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Generation(GW)
Nationally Determined Contribution
Compliant Scenario (May 2030)
Solar PV Wind Hydro Gas Coal Nuclear and Others
9
FUTURE FROM AN URBAN PERSPECTIVE
.TATA Power – DDL :Confidential
10
UTILITY OF THE FUTURE
Tata Power-DDL’s Perspective
.TATA Power – DDL :Confidential
11INITIATIVES ON DISTRIBUTED ENERGY RESOURCES
~ 15 MW of solar rooftop added under Net Metering Regulations.
Successful Project Management in Assam for Rooftop Solar
Project and Arunachal Pradesh for Off-Grid Solar Projects
 Aim to scale Solar Rooftop to 400-450 MW by 2025.
 TATA Power – DDL has been associated with “Rashtrapati
Bhavan initiatives for Solar Projects & Energy Efficiency”
Installed 668 KWp Solar Project at 5 locations in Rashtrapati
Bhavan
Conducted Energy Audit with Saving Potential of 1.2 Million
Units
.
.TATA Power – DDL :Confidential
12INITIATIVES ON DISTRIBUTED ENERGY RESOURCES
 Establishment of a battery test Grid at RG 22 to identify the most
promising storage solutions for the future.
 Lead Acid Batteries (Lead Acid Battery with Ultracapacitor) Ecoult
 Sodium Ion Batteries (Sodium Sulphate Batteries ) Aquion
 Lithium Ion Battery (Normal) Panasonic
 Lead Acid Battery ( Gel Based Electrolyte ) Exide
 Lead Acid Battery (normal) Amara Raja
 Undertaking Pilot of 10 MW BESS in Licensed Area with AES and
Mitsubishi Corporation.
.TATA Power – DDL :Confidential
13INITIATIVES ON DISTRIBUTED ENERGY RESOURCES
 Establishment of charging EV Infrastructure in association
with EV manufacturers.
 Development of Power Portfolio Management Solution to
enable real time demand supply management.
 Development of Home Automation Products for
empowering consumers to be energy efficient.
 Development of Micro Grids for off- grid connectivity.
.TATA Power – DDL :Confidential
14INITIATIVES ON DEMAND SIDE MANAGEMENT
Replacement of Non Star AC with
BEE 5 star/ Inverter AC’s
Promotion of Energy
Efficient Light and Fans
Energy Audit of Consumer
Premises
Scheme
for 20000
ACs
18 Lakh LED Lights,
55000 Energy Efficient
Fans distributed
Energy Audit 21.64
MW
Implemented - 6.88 MW
.TATA Power – DDL :Confidential
15INITIATIVES ON AUTOMATED DEMAND RESPONSE
 Successfully implemented ADR and
Incentive scheme for consumers
agreed by the Regulator.
 162 Consumers connected on ADR.
 Total Shed Potential: 11 MW of
63MW sanctioned load.
 Actual Shed Potential : 7.2MVA
 Shed performance of 12.5% to
22.5% of aggregated peak load of
enrolled consumers.
.TATA Power – DDL :Confidential
16MICROGRID IMPLEMENTATION
Partners: Tata Power-DDL, Tata Trust, MIT, GE, Prayas
.TATA Power – DDL :Confidential
17OPTIMIZED COST ELECTRIFICATION MODEL
REM: Reference Electrification Model
Utility
REM
Engine
Input Interface Output Interface
InputAPI
OutputAPI
Inserts the data in a user
friendly web based form.
The inserted data is
converted to REM
supported format
The data is fed to REM
engine
The output data is
converted to a specified
format and saved in
database
The data is retrieved
from database and
represented in any
format required.
Data collection and
reconciliation
Tata Power-DDL
Tata Power-DDL
Tata Power-DDL
Tata Power-DDL
Tata Power-DDL
Service
The Utility can then
iterate through the
various possibilities on
inputs and check how it
reflects on the output
.TATA Power – DDL :Confidential
18
Geo spatial Network Layout
Generation design
REM OUTPUT
Detailed cost and design figures
Total Cost Annuity
Total Capital Cost
Annual O&M
LV Correction costs
LV Prevention costs
Annual Losses (MWH)
Annuity/ Load Served
.TATA Power – DDL :Confidential
19TATA SMART ENERGY INCUBATION CENTRE
 Developing Tata Smart Energy Incubation Centre
to provide facilitative support to start-up
enterprises working to provide solution
pertaining to the Energy Sector.
 It will be a set up as a division of Foundation for
Innovation and Social Entrepreneurship (FISE), a
collaboration between Tata Trusts and the
Department of Science and Technology (DST),
Government of India.
20
This document is confidential and property of Tata Power Delhi Distribution Limited .No part of the document shall be reproduced
without the permission of Tata Power-DDL.
Thank You

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Utility of the Future - Presentation by Mr. Praveer Sinha, CEO&MD, TATA Power-DDL

  • 1. 1UTILITY OF THE FUTURE Praveer Sinha CEO & MD, Tata Power – DDL This document is confidential and property of Tata Power Delhi Distribution Limited .No part of the document shall be reproduced without the permission of Tata Power-DDL.
  • 2. .TATA Power – DDL :Confidential 2 GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE
  • 3. .TATA Power – DDL :Confidential 3MARKET LANDSCAPE World Energy Outlook (IEA) 2017 Global Forecast 2030 Africa Forecast 2030 Lack of Electricity 675 million 90% of the global population Investment needed US$979bn investment to achieve Universal Energy access by 2030 US$890bn investment needed in Africa alone Energy Access across the World (%) Source: World Energy Outlook 2017 World population 7.6 billion Population with no access to electricity- Global * 1.2 billion Population with no access to electricity - developing economies including India, South Asia & others. 0.50 billion Population with no access to electricity - Sub Sahara Africa 0.70 billion * Does not include people who have partial/ low access to electricity.
  • 4. .TATA Power – DDL :Confidential 4MARKET LANDSCAPE Low Energy access and average consumption  In Sub-Saharan Africa over 60% of population don’t have access to electricity compared to 30% in South Asia.  Average consumption of electricity has a potential to grow fast from a low base. Current average consumption in Saharan Africa is 497 kWh/capita/year and in South Asia is 707 kWh/capita/year. This is very low compared to 12,973 kWh in the US, 5,130 kWh in the UK and 3.927 kWh in China. The global average electricity consumption is 3,500 kWh.  GDP and populations are expected to grow fast (i) Between 2017 -2019, GDP growth forecast to be over 7% in South Asia and over 3% in Sub- Saharan Africa. (ii) By 2020, populations are expected to grow by 500m people (40%) in Africa and 200m (15%) in India. Cost Competitiveness for new entrants  Rapid fall in the cost of Renewables, making them cheaper than centralized fossil generation. (if they can be financed at a reasonable cost of capital).  Inefficiencies of state-owned grid operators may lead to increase in tariff despite subsidies. Markets open to private sector partnership  Auctions for renewables PPAs are becoming an established entry route for IPPs.  Many countries are (slowly) embarking on processes of vertical unbundling and part-privatization of the power sector (eg Kenya, Nigeria, Ghana). Source: World Energy Outlook 2017, Mc Kinsey Study, Shell report
  • 5. .TATA Power – DDL :Confidential 5 UTILITY OF THE FUTURE New Rules of The Game
  • 6. .TATA Power – DDL :Confidential 6KEY CHALLENGES ENVISAGED URBAN AREAS  Issues of voltage imbalance, transients, and harmonics.  No clear and structured regulations on Power Quality.  Absence of accurate load forecasting mechanisms.  Impact of Solar Injection and Electric vehicle penetration on the Network. A study shows:  Direct costs of downtime in India are in the tune of 293 Million USD per annum.  ~ 57% are due to voltage sags and short interruptions.  ~ 35% are due to transients and surges.  Cost of prevention may be less than 10% of the cost of problems. RURAL AREAS  With 78% of villages electrified in India, the rural households in the states of Bihar, Jharkhand, Odisha and Uttar Pradesh which receive power supply for less than two hours on an average in a day is very high (67.5%).  The rural households which receive power supply for less than two hours on an average in the evening , for above states, is also high (72%).  Viability of Off- Grid connectivity needs attention
  • 7. .TATA Power – DDL :Confidential 7 2030 – A better rural economy Solar Home Systems is a suitable options for smaller homes up to 200 watt and running DC appliances Hybrid Micro Grid Systems can be used for centralized village power supply by serving a mini-grid to satisfy modern domestic needs as well as public services and the development of a local economy Solar and Biomass plant with Energy Storage for a reliable power supply. Such power systems can be individually designed and contain batteries and smart inverters. Virtual gird extension - Supply from battery/energy storage to small villages where RE is poor and Grid extension is difficult. The Future – From a rural perspective FUTURE FROM RURAL PERSPECTIVE Stand alone home Systems Micro Grid
  • 8. .TATA Power – DDL :Confidential 8 2030 Optimization: sophisticated modelling and simulation tools to increase performance Distribution Network Automation & Mechanization: Fast, powerful microprocessor based systems designed enabling safe and reliable operations Digitization with power and speed of computers shall accompany reduction in cost Distributed Energy storage shall boost the transport sector, RE and advanced grid projects and can store energy locally Data analytics will lead to improved infrastructure management and operational efficiency Electric Vehicles a cutting edge technology to address to climate change and oil imports Intelligent Substation: shares all information on control, protection measurement and monitoring equipment through one bus by applying both “digital technology” and “IT-related technology.” Advanced DMS: Integrated electrical system designed to manage and real-time power distribution management system and grid optimization Smart Meter Communication Technologies Allow devices across the grid to communicate and provide data useful Distributed Generation Rooftop solar photovoltaic technologies Shall prove to be extremely effective for consumers Energy Efficiency Combination of Product innovation and energy efficiency programs shall make energy consumption dramatically more efficient ADMS Power Management & Weather Forecasting : High Tech & accurate weather forecasting system with refined logarithm for calculation of discom power need The Future – From an urban perspective 160 GW of solar and wind may generate 370 TWh of energy annually. This shall meet 22% of India’s electricity demand in 2022 and reduce 21% of power sector carbon dioxide emissions as compared to the case where no new RE capacity is built until 2022. Power system balancing with 100 GW of solar power and 10 GW of wind power is to be achieved. National and regional coordination of scheduling and dispatch will ease RE grid integration. The peak system-wide 1-hour up-ramp increases by 27% compared to a system with no new RE, to almost 32 GW. FUTURE FROM AN URBAN PERSPECTIVE International Power Purchase (IPP) Distribution Utility
  • 9. .TATA Power – DDL :Confidential 9 0 100 200 300 400 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Generation(GW) Alternate Scenario with Storage and DR (May 2030) Solar PV Wind Hydro Gas Storage and DR Coal Nuclear and Others Source: Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory report 2017 Average Hourly Power Plant Dispatch Source: TATA Power-DDL assessment Storage & DR Storage & DR Lower Dependence on Coal Considering 175 GW Renewable Energy by 2022 and extrapolated thereafter Non fossil Capacity = 50% , RE provides ~ 24% energy COP 21 Commitment – 40% Renewable Capacity by 2030 0 100 200 300 400 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Generation(GW) Nationally Determined Contribution Compliant Scenario (May 2030) Solar PV Wind Hydro Gas Coal Nuclear and Others 9 FUTURE FROM AN URBAN PERSPECTIVE
  • 10. .TATA Power – DDL :Confidential 10 UTILITY OF THE FUTURE Tata Power-DDL’s Perspective
  • 11. .TATA Power – DDL :Confidential 11INITIATIVES ON DISTRIBUTED ENERGY RESOURCES ~ 15 MW of solar rooftop added under Net Metering Regulations. Successful Project Management in Assam for Rooftop Solar Project and Arunachal Pradesh for Off-Grid Solar Projects  Aim to scale Solar Rooftop to 400-450 MW by 2025.  TATA Power – DDL has been associated with “Rashtrapati Bhavan initiatives for Solar Projects & Energy Efficiency” Installed 668 KWp Solar Project at 5 locations in Rashtrapati Bhavan Conducted Energy Audit with Saving Potential of 1.2 Million Units .
  • 12. .TATA Power – DDL :Confidential 12INITIATIVES ON DISTRIBUTED ENERGY RESOURCES  Establishment of a battery test Grid at RG 22 to identify the most promising storage solutions for the future.  Lead Acid Batteries (Lead Acid Battery with Ultracapacitor) Ecoult  Sodium Ion Batteries (Sodium Sulphate Batteries ) Aquion  Lithium Ion Battery (Normal) Panasonic  Lead Acid Battery ( Gel Based Electrolyte ) Exide  Lead Acid Battery (normal) Amara Raja  Undertaking Pilot of 10 MW BESS in Licensed Area with AES and Mitsubishi Corporation.
  • 13. .TATA Power – DDL :Confidential 13INITIATIVES ON DISTRIBUTED ENERGY RESOURCES  Establishment of charging EV Infrastructure in association with EV manufacturers.  Development of Power Portfolio Management Solution to enable real time demand supply management.  Development of Home Automation Products for empowering consumers to be energy efficient.  Development of Micro Grids for off- grid connectivity.
  • 14. .TATA Power – DDL :Confidential 14INITIATIVES ON DEMAND SIDE MANAGEMENT Replacement of Non Star AC with BEE 5 star/ Inverter AC’s Promotion of Energy Efficient Light and Fans Energy Audit of Consumer Premises Scheme for 20000 ACs 18 Lakh LED Lights, 55000 Energy Efficient Fans distributed Energy Audit 21.64 MW Implemented - 6.88 MW
  • 15. .TATA Power – DDL :Confidential 15INITIATIVES ON AUTOMATED DEMAND RESPONSE  Successfully implemented ADR and Incentive scheme for consumers agreed by the Regulator.  162 Consumers connected on ADR.  Total Shed Potential: 11 MW of 63MW sanctioned load.  Actual Shed Potential : 7.2MVA  Shed performance of 12.5% to 22.5% of aggregated peak load of enrolled consumers.
  • 16. .TATA Power – DDL :Confidential 16MICROGRID IMPLEMENTATION Partners: Tata Power-DDL, Tata Trust, MIT, GE, Prayas
  • 17. .TATA Power – DDL :Confidential 17OPTIMIZED COST ELECTRIFICATION MODEL REM: Reference Electrification Model Utility REM Engine Input Interface Output Interface InputAPI OutputAPI Inserts the data in a user friendly web based form. The inserted data is converted to REM supported format The data is fed to REM engine The output data is converted to a specified format and saved in database The data is retrieved from database and represented in any format required. Data collection and reconciliation Tata Power-DDL Tata Power-DDL Tata Power-DDL Tata Power-DDL Tata Power-DDL Service The Utility can then iterate through the various possibilities on inputs and check how it reflects on the output
  • 18. .TATA Power – DDL :Confidential 18 Geo spatial Network Layout Generation design REM OUTPUT Detailed cost and design figures Total Cost Annuity Total Capital Cost Annual O&M LV Correction costs LV Prevention costs Annual Losses (MWH) Annuity/ Load Served
  • 19. .TATA Power – DDL :Confidential 19TATA SMART ENERGY INCUBATION CENTRE  Developing Tata Smart Energy Incubation Centre to provide facilitative support to start-up enterprises working to provide solution pertaining to the Energy Sector.  It will be a set up as a division of Foundation for Innovation and Social Entrepreneurship (FISE), a collaboration between Tata Trusts and the Department of Science and Technology (DST), Government of India.
  • 20. 20 This document is confidential and property of Tata Power Delhi Distribution Limited .No part of the document shall be reproduced without the permission of Tata Power-DDL. Thank You

Editor's Notes

  1. https://www.dnvgl.com/news/technology-outlook-2025-the-10-technology-trends-creating-a-new-power-reality-63977