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H2O.ai
Machine Intelligence
Competitive Data
Science
Kaggle from a competitor’s view
Mark Landry, H2O
Competitive Data Scientist & Product Manager
H2O.ai
Machine Intelligence
Overview
• Personal background
• Iterative workflow
• Framing the problem
• Learning from other competitors
• Q&A
2
H2O.ai
Machine Intelligence
Background
3
Competitive data scientist & product manager,
H2O
BS, computer science
Additional roles: data warehousing, BI, analytics
Preferred algorithm: GBM
H2O.ai
Machine Intelligence
Iterative Workflow
• Agile workflows generally outperform waterfall
methodologies
• One of the most commonly cited insights from Kaggle
employees regarding success
4
H2O.ai
Machine Intelligence
Iterative Workflow: Basics
• Work quickly to develop a reasonable model early
o Model should be complete enough to gauge score, per competition
setup
o Simple models: understand how the mean and mode score
o Confirms understanding of the problem
o Confirms validity of your internal loss calculation
• Enhance model iteratively
o Explore and add features: additional data sets and/or transformations
o Experiment with additional model classes
o Experiment with hyperparameters within algorithm class
o Ensemble
o Validate enhancements via improvement from prior leading model
5
H2O.ai
Machine Intelligence
Iterative Workflow: Benefits
• Allows the data guide what modeling approach fits best
o Availability and quality of data may not support complex modeling ideas
• Catch mistakes or incorrect assumptions early and clearly
o If you observe no improvement after adding what you considered to be a
vital feature, you know to immediately check the accuracy of the
calculations and/or question how the model already captured that
information
6
H2O.ai
Machine Intelligence
Framing the Problem
• Have to make the data machine learning ready
o 1 training file
o 1 row per target
o Features do not require additional methodology (e.g. text, images)
• Many Kaggle competitions arrive “ML-ready”
7
H2O.ai
Machine Intelligence
Framing the Problem, 2
• My favorite competitions are those that are non ML-ready
o Focuses more heavily on solving the data problem
o More like solving a puzzle instead of tuning hyperparameters
8
H2O.ai
Machine Intelligence
Framing the Problem, 2
9
• Time permitting: brief intro to Avito
o https://www.kaggle.com/c/avito-context-ad-clicks/
H2O.ai
Machine Intelligence
Learning from Kaggle
• Sharing during competition
o Kaggle Scripts
o Discussions on the forums
• Shared after the competition
o Most often several of the top ranking competitors will share their
methodology
o Often a summary post, occasionally Github code
o I find this the most valuable component of learning data science
10
H2O.ai
Machine Intelligence
Q & A
11

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Winning Kaggle 101: Mark Landry's Experience

  • 1. H2O.ai Machine Intelligence Competitive Data Science Kaggle from a competitor’s view Mark Landry, H2O Competitive Data Scientist & Product Manager
  • 2. H2O.ai Machine Intelligence Overview • Personal background • Iterative workflow • Framing the problem • Learning from other competitors • Q&A 2
  • 3. H2O.ai Machine Intelligence Background 3 Competitive data scientist & product manager, H2O BS, computer science Additional roles: data warehousing, BI, analytics Preferred algorithm: GBM
  • 4. H2O.ai Machine Intelligence Iterative Workflow • Agile workflows generally outperform waterfall methodologies • One of the most commonly cited insights from Kaggle employees regarding success 4
  • 5. H2O.ai Machine Intelligence Iterative Workflow: Basics • Work quickly to develop a reasonable model early o Model should be complete enough to gauge score, per competition setup o Simple models: understand how the mean and mode score o Confirms understanding of the problem o Confirms validity of your internal loss calculation • Enhance model iteratively o Explore and add features: additional data sets and/or transformations o Experiment with additional model classes o Experiment with hyperparameters within algorithm class o Ensemble o Validate enhancements via improvement from prior leading model 5
  • 6. H2O.ai Machine Intelligence Iterative Workflow: Benefits • Allows the data guide what modeling approach fits best o Availability and quality of data may not support complex modeling ideas • Catch mistakes or incorrect assumptions early and clearly o If you observe no improvement after adding what you considered to be a vital feature, you know to immediately check the accuracy of the calculations and/or question how the model already captured that information 6
  • 7. H2O.ai Machine Intelligence Framing the Problem • Have to make the data machine learning ready o 1 training file o 1 row per target o Features do not require additional methodology (e.g. text, images) • Many Kaggle competitions arrive “ML-ready” 7
  • 8. H2O.ai Machine Intelligence Framing the Problem, 2 • My favorite competitions are those that are non ML-ready o Focuses more heavily on solving the data problem o More like solving a puzzle instead of tuning hyperparameters 8
  • 9. H2O.ai Machine Intelligence Framing the Problem, 2 9 • Time permitting: brief intro to Avito o https://www.kaggle.com/c/avito-context-ad-clicks/
  • 10. H2O.ai Machine Intelligence Learning from Kaggle • Sharing during competition o Kaggle Scripts o Discussions on the forums • Shared after the competition o Most often several of the top ranking competitors will share their methodology o Often a summary post, occasionally Github code o I find this the most valuable component of learning data science 10