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Telecom Italia – Domestic Market
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and
2013-2015 Plan Outline
MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
February 8th , 2013
1MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
Safe Harbour
These presentations contain statements that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of
the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements appear in a number of places in
this presentation and include statements regarding the intent, belief or current expectations of the
customer base, estimates regarding future growth in the different business lines and the global business,
market share, financial results and other aspects of the activities and situation relating to the Company
and the Group.
Such forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and
uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from those projected or implied in the forward
looking statements as a result of various factors. Consequently, Telecom Italia S.p.A. makes no
representation, whether expressed or implied, as to the conformity of the actual results with those
projected in the forward looking statement.
Forward-looking information is based on certain key assumptions which we believe to be reasonable as of
the date hereof, but forward looking information by its nature involves risks and uncertainties, which are
outside our control, and could significantly affect expected results.
Analysts are cautioned not to place undue reliance on those forward looking statements, which speak only
as of the date of this presentation. Telecom Italia S.p.A. undertakes no obligation to release publicly the
results of any revisions to these forward looking statements which may be made to reflect events and
circumstances after the date of this presentation, including, without limitation, changes in Telecom Italia
S.p.A. business or acquisition strategy or planned capital expenditures or to reflect the occurrence of
unanticipated events. Analysts and investors are encouraged to consult the Company's Annual Report on
Form 20-F as well as periodic filings made on Form 6-K, which are on file with the United States Securities
and Exchange Commission.
Some data for the 2011 financial year used in comparisons included into this presentation are restated as
a result of the early adoption of the revised IAS 19 (Employee Benefits) version and the reclassification of
Matrix from the Business Unit Domestic–Core Domestic to the Business Unit Other Activities
2MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
Agenda
Domestic 2012 Preliminary Results
Telecom Italia Domestic Plan
Consumer Segment
Business Segment
Cost Efficiencies
NGN & LTE Deployment
Take-Aways
Appendix
3MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
Domestic Results: 2012 Figures
Euro mln, Organic data, %
Total Revenues
Service Revenues Service Revenues Bridge FY12
EBITDA
Revenues FY
Target
Reached
EBITDA
FY Target
Reached
-5.8%
-5.1%
-7.0%
19,003 17,906
MobileFixed
Fixed Mobile
-3.8% -9.0%
Total
Total
17,099
18,103
-1,004 M€
-5.5%
Operating
Performance
Regulatory
--2.0pp--3.3pp
9,287 8,829-4,9%
48.9% 49.3%+0.4pp
% on
Revenues
Ebitda
BridgeFY12
Δ Δ
*net of Interconnection cost
4MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
Euro mln, Reported Data
Domestic Operating Free Cash Flow Evolution
+943 mln
% on
Revenues 24.3% 31.1%+6.8 pp
Δ EBITDA Δ Capex ΔWC
1 2 3
1 2 3
LTE
+110
o/w UBB
+163
Days
Receivables
Turnover
VAT
+0.2
+0.3
-0.2
ΔWC impacts
€ mln € mln
€ bln
Cost Control
(639)
Right Spending ΔW Capital
5MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
Source: ISTAT and Prometeia
Consumer Segment Trend – YoY% change
Service Revenues Trend by Segment: Consumer & Business
Business Segment Trend – YoY% change
Consumer Confidence
* 1H12: Data Normalized for bad weather and calendar discontinuities – 2H12: Excluding Regulatory impact (Δ MTR and EU Roaming price cap)
Focus on Business Segment Trend
Index: 2005=100
Δ% YoY
Italian GDP
FY12: 88
-10.2% YoY
FY12: -2.1%
-1.5pp YoY
~60%
6MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
Domestic Mobile Overview
Total Mobile Revenues
Business
Generated
Business
Received
Handsets
Retail
Services
Total Service
Revenues
Wholesale &
others
Total Mobile
Revenues
% YoY
Revenues Performance Comparison - Δ% YoY
-5.6%
-31.9%
6,421
5,853
6,755
6,147
7,114
6,616
-8.8%
-11.8%
-9.0%
+30.8%
-7.0%
-4.9%
Excluding EU Roaming impacts
Total Mobile Consumer Mobile
Business
Generated
Business
Received
Service
Revenues
Total
Revenues
Reported Net of MTR& EU price Cap
7MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
Total SIM cards MNP Trend
Domestic Mobile: Customer Base Trend
Total2012
MNP
2012vs2011
Market Churn Rate Highlights
- 68
‘000
~+185*
* Excluding MTV (powered by TIM) MVNO lines discontinuation occurred in 2Q12
+36
Out/In2012
Balance
2012vs2011
Launch of new
TIM Portfolio
Avg
Avg
Stable YoY performance in Net Adds, confirming
leadership in the Italian Mobile Market
MNP Balance reduced in 4Q, after New Offers
Portfolio launched in October
Best-in-class position in Churn Rate confirmed
8MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
Domestic Fixed Business
Fixed Access
Fixed Revenues Domestic Service Revenues Trend
Access Market Evolution
Sparkle
Sparkle
Core
Services
Elim.
Equipment
13,501 -5.1%
12,810
-1.4%
-4.3%
-37.7%
CoreServices
TI -195
OLO +45
TI -180
OLO +1
TI -144
OLO -43
TI -155
OLO +112
-150 -180 -187 -4321,712 21,153
RetailWholesale
Total TI
-135
OLO
2011
OLO
2012
TI
2012
TI
2011
OLO Net Adds
FY12vs11
-174k
TI Line Losses
FY12vs11
+24k
‘000, € mln
-674
Consumer
Business
9MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
Domestic Fixed BroadBand Business
BroadBandAccess
Consumer Broadband CB Highlights
BB Revenues
Total Italian
BB Access
7,715 7,125 7,020
86% 87% 89%
13,031 13,394 13,609
Free
Flat
Market
Share 55.1% 53.2% 51.6%
+363 +215
‘000
FY11 FY12
BB
Flat
BB
Gold*
BB
Free
79%
6%
15%
ARPU
Δ% YoY
+3%
* SuperInternet & 20 Mega
ARPU
18.2 +3.8% 18.9
Δ% YoY,€
BB Service +1.2%
Weaker BB Market Performance
Constant increase of flat offers, reaching almost
90% of TI Customer Base, combining solid
growth in BB ARPU and in Service Revenues
Successful Premium campaign (Superinternet
and other Gold Offers) on Consumer Segment,
paving the way for growing demand for UltraBB
Services
4Q11 4Q12
10MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
FY2012: Focus on Domestic Consumer SegmentMobile
Rational Upselling Drive Innovative Services Growth
Growing with Bundle Snapshot on Calling CB
ARPU
Gross Adds
User
with Options
SAC/ARPU
+5%
+6pp
-4%
+13% +14.4% YoY, excluding
EU price cap on data
+29% YoY Large & Small
Screen Users
+43% YoY Smartphones
sold in 2012
Paving the way for LTE:
7x vs 2011 MB Usage
Fixed
Value Up
+1.7%
Fixed ARPU
Performing well in Fixed ARPU:
Voice:
Push on All-Inclusive Price
Scheme
Price Simplification
BroadBand:
Flat Offers Penetration (e.g.
Superinternet) increased
Italian BB Market Revenues
OLO
TI
BB TI Market Share
M/S
Volume
M/S
Value
+2.5pp
Source: SIRMI
TI Better Pace
TIM Young
Tutto
Compreso
FY11 FY12
+650k
+1 mln
11MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
FY2012: Focus on Domestic Business Segment
% Flat offers on CB
2012
+2.3pp
2011
+2.6pp
+3.1pp
+3.2pp
Large SME
Top Browsing YoY
+6% YoY
Reported
+17% YoY
Normalized*
% VAS on Service Revenues
43% 48%*
*excl. EU price Cap on Data
Growing CB
+8%
Solid Browsing
Performance in TOP
Segment, fostered by
higher penetration of
enabling devices
Business Line Losses
Large SME
Competitive Macroeconomic
2012vs11
-30k
2012vs11
+14k
Fixed Revenues Trend
2x
~80
€mln
Cloud Services Total Arpu
+0.5%
MobileFixed
Dec
-26.1%
12MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
Agenda
Domestic 2012 Preliminary Results
Telecom Italia Domestic Plan
Consumer Segment
Business Segment
Cost Efficiencies
NGN & LTE Deployment
Take-Aways
Appendix
13MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
Italian Economic Outlook: Growth Forecasts Postponed
GDP Trend
Unemployment Rate Highlights
Consumer Spending
New Outlook
Plan ’13-’15
Old Outlook
Plan ‘12-’14
Δ vs Old Outlook – Plan ’12 –’14
+1.5pp +2.4pp +2.5pp
New Outlook
Plan ’13-’15
Old Outlook
Plan ‘12-’14
Source: ISTAT, Prometeia
Lower than expected Italian GDP growth,
negative also in 2013
Consumer spending contraction confirmed in
2013, after bad performance in 2012
Protracted period of high unemployment
14MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
Italian TLC Market Evolution
TLC Services Domestic Market 2012-20151
Access
& Voice
BB Fixed
Other3
Outgoing
Voice
SMS
BB
Other2
ICT4
Fixed
Business
Mobile
Business
TOTAL FIXED
TOTAL MOBILE
TLC SERVICES
15.6
12.2
27.8
Cagr ‘12-’15
-2.0%
(-3/-4% in 2013)
Access
& Voice
Fixed BB
Mobile BB
Outgoing Voice
& SMS
Revenues Trend 2013-2015
Cum ‘13-’15
-1.1 bln €
Cum ‘13-’15
-0.6 bln €
1 Excluding Incoming Mobile Traffic; 2 Interactive Mobile VAS; 3 Business Data; 4 Addressable Market
Source: SIRMI, Milan University, Internal Estimates
TLC SERVICES
& ICT 36.5
Cagr ‘12-’15
-2.0%
€ bln
Down
Up
Stable
Down
Up
Stable
Down
Fixed+Mobile
Products
Cagr ‘12-’15
+3.0%
Revenues Change YoY
Revenues Change YoY
15MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
TI Domestic: Business Layers & Actions
Large
SME
Customer
Care Operations
Real Estate,
Energy
& Industrial
Business
Segment
Restructuring
Investments
1 2 3
Fixed
Mobile
Traditional
Innovative
Traditional
Innovative
ConsumerBusinessWholesaleCashCost
Traditional
Voice & Access
Innovative
ICT & Data
Domestic
International
Access Protection
Market Share Defence & Usage Increase
Fixed & Mobile UBB, Cloud Services &
Beyond Connectivity:
Fiber & LTE
Traditional :
Defend/Grow Customer Base, Protect
Access Value & Increase Line Density
Innovative:
Push on VAS, Implement Convergent
Approach & Develop New Services
Enhance Regulatory Environment
Further progress in Smart Services
(e.g. Cloud )
Network
Innovation
&
Cash
Generation
IT Services
NewCo
4
16MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
Agenda
Domestic 2012 Preliminary Results
Telecom Italia Domestic Plan
Consumer Segment
Business Segment
Cost Efficiencies
NGN & LTE Deployment
Take-Aways
Appendix
17MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
Maintain best-in-class Churn Rate
leveraging on our Premium Quality
Keep on balancing Quality Acquisition
Mix, progressively reducing MNP exposure
Cross-selling and M&F Convergence
Attack & Attract New Segments
Defend CB through right repositioning
& lock-up
Materially increase penetration of
bundles and pack offers, in order to:
defend prices and step-up
along the value ladder;
prevent cannibalization on
traditional services (as done
with «Tim Young»)
New ARPU-tailored Caring Model
Increase MBB penetration via new
enabling devices
Enhance Innovative Services (i.e.
Personal Cloud, Music and Soccer
games Streaming)
Deliver LTE/HSDPA new applications
through our Superior Network
TI Domestic: Consumer Segment (1/2)Mobile
Lock-in existing CB & ARPU Increase Value Focus on Mobile Broadband
% Flat on Calling CB
Cagr ‘12-’15
~+5 pp
Innovative Services offset TraditionalThe Right Quality Acquisition Path
Negative Balance
Positive Balance
MNP
Donor
~-1 mln
Churnrate*
~-1 pp
per annum
*on calling CB
18MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
Protect CB increasing penetration of
flat offers
Use Loyalty Levers for High Value
Customers
Cross-selling & Convergence between
F&M Customers
Increase Service Penetration &
Broadband Options
Upsell High-Speed BB (Fiber) & New
Data Product (i.e. Intelligent Home
and Content Platform) to Value
Customers
Sustain Top Positioning through TI
processes Excellence
Increase QoS & Customer
Experience
Service Differentiation via
Technological Leadership
TI Domestic: Consumer Segment (2/2)
Defend Customer Base Value Leverage on Premium Position Enhance Value
Fixed
BB Revenues
Cagr ‘12-’15
~+5%
Customer Satsfaction Index
Free (%)
Flat (%)
2015vs12
+10 pp
2x % Gold
vs 2012
BB Customer Base Mix
Constant increase in overall CSI in the
last 2 year
Top of Mind:
Strong Value Perception on Reliability
Techical Support
Customer Care
19MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
Agenda
Domestic 2012 Preliminary Results
Telecom Italia Domestic Plan
Consumer Segment
Business Segment
Cost Efficiencies
NGN & LTE Deployment
Take-Aways
Appendix
20MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
TI Domestic: Business Segment (1/2)
Traditional Services Innovative Services
MobileFixed MobileFixed
SME
Aim to further
increase current
leading presence in
the Public
Administration
Maintain Value
Acquisition per Line
Increase Line
Density per
Customer
Defend ARPU also
through upselling
Foster the «BYOD»
concept to accelerate
penetration
Customer profiling aimed at maintaining
current low churn rate and high market
share
Increase
penetration of
current Cloud & ICT
Services, and
leverage on new
ones
* Both Public Administration and Private
Develop new streams of business, like M2M,
Digital Health, Device Management, etc.
Large *
Strategic
Large *
Top
Large
Public Private
MobileFixed
MobileFixed
ICT Services Revenues
Cagr ‘12-’15
+2%
WorldWide M2M Market
2012
67 bln €
2016
150 bln €
Cagr ‘12-’16
+20%
M2M 2012
Revenues in Italy:
0.3 bln €
TIM Market Share on
2012 Revenues:
~30%
Source: Machina Research
Churn Rate (Human)
Cagr ‘12-’15
-2%
Stabilizing Traditional Services – Δ YoY
Close to Zero
@ 2015
Total CB Large+SME:
More than 1.7 mln Customers
21MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
TI Domestic: Business Segment (2/2)
Traditional Services Innovative Services
MobileFixed MobileFixed
SME
Large *
Strategic
Large *
Top
Capitalize on existing
high penetration of
innovative devices
introducing a simpler
and more effective
commercial approach
Increased customer
segmentation and
offer portfolio
enrichment to be
accompanied by new
commercial thrust
Customer profiling aimed at reducing
churn rate
Protect Access
Value leveraging on
new offers derived
(and simplified)
from «Large»
segment
Leverage on «Value
for Money»: drive
FTTcab adoption,
enrich packages
with more Value
Added Services
SME
* Both Public Administration and Private
Total CB Large+SME:
More than 1.7 mln Customers
Large *
Strategic
Large *
Top
Public Private
MobileFixed
MobileFixed
Balance CB in/out
Cagr ‘12-’15
-3%
2015vs13
4x
Convergent CB: Fixed customers with Mobile offers
Churn Rate (Human)
Cagr ‘12-’15
-5%
Push on VAS & focus on Convergent Offers
Traditional vs Innovative Services – Δ YoY
Negative Balance
Positive Balance
22MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
Agenda
Domestic 2012 Preliminary Results
Telecom Italia Domestic Plan
Consumer Segment
Business Segment
Cost Efficiencies
NGN & LTE Deployment
Take-Aways
Appendix
23MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
TI Domestic Efficiency Programs: Our Track Record
Cumulative Opex Reduction 2008-2012
~-5.0 bln€
Opex Efficiency Programs Delivery 2008-2012
Strong track record in
Opex reduction in the
last 5 years, aimed at
maintaining a leading
position in Domestic
Profitability among
European TLC Operators,
without impacts on
Operating Performance
Important
Commitment &
Outstanding Delivery
Programs on Efficiency
Targets fully reached:
>100% each year
€ bln
Cash Cost Efficiency
2008-2012
~4.5 bln €
24MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
TI Domestic: New Efficiency Programs
TI Caring Services Division
Real Estate, Energy,
Industrial & Other
1 2
Business Division
3
Domestic Opex
FY12 FY15
-0.2
FY12 FY15
-0.5
FY12 FY15
-0.2
-0.6 bln
Efficiency Program
Δ vs ‘12-’14 Plan
+0.2 +0.2
A
€ bln
25MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
Agenda
Domestic 2012 Preliminary Results
Telecom Italia Domestic Plan
Consumer Segment
Business Segment
Cost Efficiencies
NGN & LTE Deployment
Take-Aways
Appendix
26MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
Investments: from “Value for Money”
to “Money for Value”
Internet Demand is Surging
Fixed
Mobile
+70%
+24%
Cagr ‘12-’16
Petabyte per Month
Source: Cisco VNI, 2012 & 2013
World &
Europe
Cagr
~+30%
To deliver requested Fixed & Mobile
BroadBand Capacity will be of
paramount importance :
~3x High Video Quality Traffic, of
which 90% on Fixed Lines
New BB Services like Cloud Computing
need High Speed in Up&Down link , both
in Fixed & Mobile
Ensure the Best Customer Experience
in order to grow in all Service Clusters
LTE & FttCab: Two Complementary Technologies
Limited
Data Pack
Unlimited
Data Pack
Capacity
RealAvgSpeed
LTE
HSDPA
3G
ADSL2+
ADSL
FTTCab
VDSL
FTTH&Cable
Combine LTE &
ADSL
for mobile and fixed
widespread
coverage
Ultra High-Speed &
Capacity to remain
the key feature of
Fixed Access
Double Digit Growth Deliver Content & Convergence
IP Global Traffic : Fixed/Mobile Ratio
Source: Cisco VNI, 2012 & 2013
Develop the
Fiber & LTE
Networks for a
Convergent
approach on
Full-IP
Technologies
27MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
Total Domestic Capex
TI Domestic Investments: Sustaining Technological
Evolution2015UBBTargets
NGAN
LTE~35% of Housing units made
connectable* at >30 Mb/s
Speed
Cover largest 125 Cities and
main Industrial Districts
NGAN Cities + other Areas
(including Prime Tourist
locations and Auction
requirements)
More than NGAN footprint, always
maintaining Leading Mobile UBB
Coverage and Capacity
*passed+light cabinet deployed
Efficiency Program
B
Cash Cost Efficiency
Total Efficiency Program ‘13-’15: 1.8 bln€
+A B
FY12 FY15
-0.1
New IT Services Division
4
€ bln
Pursue further
efficiencies in IT in order
to reduce incremental
costs driven by
Architectural & Market-
Driven Developments
28MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
Agenda
Domestic 2012 Preliminary Results
Telecom Italia Domestic Plan
Consumer Segment
Business Segment
Cost Efficiencies
NGN & LTE Deployment
Take-Aways
Appendix
29MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
Take-aways on main TI Domestic trends
Organic data
Continued strengthening of the Network infrastructure with a strong focus on Fiber
and LTE deployment, to support wave of data growth, ensuring quality and
performance excellence in fixed and mobile access.
Cumulative Domestic 2013-15 Capex will be kept ~ €9bln, as Increase in Innovative
will be balanced by Efficiencies & Rightspending in other areas
Consistence in pursuing our Value—Driven Strategy and relentless Cost Control and
Efficiencies will gradually improve margin erosion. However, 2013 YoY
performance is expected to be similar to 2012, alsotaking into consideration
continued negative impact from Economy and Regulation (Roaming Cap).
We expect a negative Low-Single Digit Ebitda 2012-2015 Cagr
Macro-economic drag on Business Segment, impact from Regulation (MTR + Roaming
Cap) and continued competitive pressure suggest a 2013 YoY performance similar to
2012. Trend is expected to gradually improve during 2014 and 2015, on the back of a
better Italian economy and a growing contribution from Innovative Services.
We expect a negative Low-Single Digit Top Line 2012-2015 Cagr
Revenues
EBITDA
Capex
30MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
Agenda
Domestic 2012 Preliminary Results
Telecom Italia Domestic Plan
Consumer Segment
Business Segment
Cost Efficiencies
NGN & LTE Deployment
Take-Aways
Appendix
31MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
Domestic Mobile Revenues
(*
) Including Visitors
(**
) Total Retail Services Revenues net of Incoming
Total
o/w Services
Wholesale (*)
Retail
o/w VAS
o/w Incoming
o/w Business Generated (**)
o/w Outgoing Voice
FY11
7,114
6,421
335
6,779
2,034
786
359
5,635
3,600
FY12
6,616
5,853
295
6,321
2,038
536
469
5,317
3,279
Δ % YoY
(7.0)
(8.8)
(11.8)
(6.8)
+0.2
(31.9)
30.8
(5.6)
(8.9)
o/w Handsets
Euro mln, Organic Data, %
32MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
Domestic Fixed Revenues
Euro mln, Organic Data, %
541
11,823
5,615
1,573
1,201
3,177
256
FY11
13,501
1,413
(276)
Products
Domestic Core Services
Voice & Access
Internet
Business Data
National Wholesale
Other & Subs
Total
Sparkle Group
Elimination
337
11,319
5,253
1,592
1,132
3,093
248
FY12
12,810
1,393
(239)
YoY %
(37.7)
(4.3)
(6.5)
+1.2
(5.7)
(2.6)
(3.1)
(5.1)
(1.4)
n.m.
33MARCO PATUANO
TELECOM ITALIA GROUP
Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline
-578
-234
-
-68
-11
-173
-92
-344
Δ
Efficiency
D Abs
’12 vs ‘11
Total Cash
Cost
FY ‘12
-332
3.072Total
Capex
+110
2.772
1.060
-217
2.841
+100
-172
-18
9.077Total Opex*
-639
1.948
-332
-
-332
-
-
-
-
-332
Δ
ITX
+381
+344
-
-149
+111
+1
+74
+37
Δ
Vol.
Driven
Delta Cash Cost
FY 12 vs FY 11
Industrial
Personnel
Mktg &
Sales
ITX
G&A &
Other **
- 529
456
Cash Cost
EfficiencyVolume
Driven
-33212.678
-529
-578
Intercon-
nection
Target FY : - 486
Ytd 11 Ytd 12
12.149
Handsets:
-94
+ 381
Cash Cost on Revenues %
FY’11 FY’12
12.149
105% of FY12
Target
149% of
FY12Target
119% of FY12
Target
66.7%
67.8%
+ 1.1 p.p.
**Includes Other Operating cost/Income and Capitalized Costs* Costs related to credit management are reclassified from G&A & Other to Mktg & Sales
Domestic Efficiency Plan
Euro mln, Organic Data, %

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Telecom Italia – Domestic Market Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline - Marco Patuano

  • 1. Telecom Italia – Domestic Market Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline February 8th , 2013
  • 2. 1MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline Safe Harbour These presentations contain statements that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements appear in a number of places in this presentation and include statements regarding the intent, belief or current expectations of the customer base, estimates regarding future growth in the different business lines and the global business, market share, financial results and other aspects of the activities and situation relating to the Company and the Group. Such forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from those projected or implied in the forward looking statements as a result of various factors. Consequently, Telecom Italia S.p.A. makes no representation, whether expressed or implied, as to the conformity of the actual results with those projected in the forward looking statement. Forward-looking information is based on certain key assumptions which we believe to be reasonable as of the date hereof, but forward looking information by its nature involves risks and uncertainties, which are outside our control, and could significantly affect expected results. Analysts are cautioned not to place undue reliance on those forward looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation. Telecom Italia S.p.A. undertakes no obligation to release publicly the results of any revisions to these forward looking statements which may be made to reflect events and circumstances after the date of this presentation, including, without limitation, changes in Telecom Italia S.p.A. business or acquisition strategy or planned capital expenditures or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. Analysts and investors are encouraged to consult the Company's Annual Report on Form 20-F as well as periodic filings made on Form 6-K, which are on file with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission. Some data for the 2011 financial year used in comparisons included into this presentation are restated as a result of the early adoption of the revised IAS 19 (Employee Benefits) version and the reclassification of Matrix from the Business Unit Domestic–Core Domestic to the Business Unit Other Activities
  • 3. 2MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline Agenda Domestic 2012 Preliminary Results Telecom Italia Domestic Plan Consumer Segment Business Segment Cost Efficiencies NGN & LTE Deployment Take-Aways Appendix
  • 4. 3MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline Domestic Results: 2012 Figures Euro mln, Organic data, % Total Revenues Service Revenues Service Revenues Bridge FY12 EBITDA Revenues FY Target Reached EBITDA FY Target Reached -5.8% -5.1% -7.0% 19,003 17,906 MobileFixed Fixed Mobile -3.8% -9.0% Total Total 17,099 18,103 -1,004 M€ -5.5% Operating Performance Regulatory --2.0pp--3.3pp 9,287 8,829-4,9% 48.9% 49.3%+0.4pp % on Revenues Ebitda BridgeFY12 Δ Δ *net of Interconnection cost
  • 5. 4MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline Euro mln, Reported Data Domestic Operating Free Cash Flow Evolution +943 mln % on Revenues 24.3% 31.1%+6.8 pp Δ EBITDA Δ Capex ΔWC 1 2 3 1 2 3 LTE +110 o/w UBB +163 Days Receivables Turnover VAT +0.2 +0.3 -0.2 ΔWC impacts € mln € mln € bln Cost Control (639) Right Spending ΔW Capital
  • 6. 5MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline Source: ISTAT and Prometeia Consumer Segment Trend – YoY% change Service Revenues Trend by Segment: Consumer & Business Business Segment Trend – YoY% change Consumer Confidence * 1H12: Data Normalized for bad weather and calendar discontinuities – 2H12: Excluding Regulatory impact (Δ MTR and EU Roaming price cap) Focus on Business Segment Trend Index: 2005=100 Δ% YoY Italian GDP FY12: 88 -10.2% YoY FY12: -2.1% -1.5pp YoY ~60%
  • 7. 6MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline Domestic Mobile Overview Total Mobile Revenues Business Generated Business Received Handsets Retail Services Total Service Revenues Wholesale & others Total Mobile Revenues % YoY Revenues Performance Comparison - Δ% YoY -5.6% -31.9% 6,421 5,853 6,755 6,147 7,114 6,616 -8.8% -11.8% -9.0% +30.8% -7.0% -4.9% Excluding EU Roaming impacts Total Mobile Consumer Mobile Business Generated Business Received Service Revenues Total Revenues Reported Net of MTR& EU price Cap
  • 8. 7MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline Total SIM cards MNP Trend Domestic Mobile: Customer Base Trend Total2012 MNP 2012vs2011 Market Churn Rate Highlights - 68 ‘000 ~+185* * Excluding MTV (powered by TIM) MVNO lines discontinuation occurred in 2Q12 +36 Out/In2012 Balance 2012vs2011 Launch of new TIM Portfolio Avg Avg Stable YoY performance in Net Adds, confirming leadership in the Italian Mobile Market MNP Balance reduced in 4Q, after New Offers Portfolio launched in October Best-in-class position in Churn Rate confirmed
  • 9. 8MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline Domestic Fixed Business Fixed Access Fixed Revenues Domestic Service Revenues Trend Access Market Evolution Sparkle Sparkle Core Services Elim. Equipment 13,501 -5.1% 12,810 -1.4% -4.3% -37.7% CoreServices TI -195 OLO +45 TI -180 OLO +1 TI -144 OLO -43 TI -155 OLO +112 -150 -180 -187 -4321,712 21,153 RetailWholesale Total TI -135 OLO 2011 OLO 2012 TI 2012 TI 2011 OLO Net Adds FY12vs11 -174k TI Line Losses FY12vs11 +24k ‘000, € mln -674 Consumer Business
  • 10. 9MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline Domestic Fixed BroadBand Business BroadBandAccess Consumer Broadband CB Highlights BB Revenues Total Italian BB Access 7,715 7,125 7,020 86% 87% 89% 13,031 13,394 13,609 Free Flat Market Share 55.1% 53.2% 51.6% +363 +215 ‘000 FY11 FY12 BB Flat BB Gold* BB Free 79% 6% 15% ARPU Δ% YoY +3% * SuperInternet & 20 Mega ARPU 18.2 +3.8% 18.9 Δ% YoY,€ BB Service +1.2% Weaker BB Market Performance Constant increase of flat offers, reaching almost 90% of TI Customer Base, combining solid growth in BB ARPU and in Service Revenues Successful Premium campaign (Superinternet and other Gold Offers) on Consumer Segment, paving the way for growing demand for UltraBB Services 4Q11 4Q12
  • 11. 10MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline FY2012: Focus on Domestic Consumer SegmentMobile Rational Upselling Drive Innovative Services Growth Growing with Bundle Snapshot on Calling CB ARPU Gross Adds User with Options SAC/ARPU +5% +6pp -4% +13% +14.4% YoY, excluding EU price cap on data +29% YoY Large & Small Screen Users +43% YoY Smartphones sold in 2012 Paving the way for LTE: 7x vs 2011 MB Usage Fixed Value Up +1.7% Fixed ARPU Performing well in Fixed ARPU: Voice: Push on All-Inclusive Price Scheme Price Simplification BroadBand: Flat Offers Penetration (e.g. Superinternet) increased Italian BB Market Revenues OLO TI BB TI Market Share M/S Volume M/S Value +2.5pp Source: SIRMI TI Better Pace TIM Young Tutto Compreso FY11 FY12 +650k +1 mln
  • 12. 11MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline FY2012: Focus on Domestic Business Segment % Flat offers on CB 2012 +2.3pp 2011 +2.6pp +3.1pp +3.2pp Large SME Top Browsing YoY +6% YoY Reported +17% YoY Normalized* % VAS on Service Revenues 43% 48%* *excl. EU price Cap on Data Growing CB +8% Solid Browsing Performance in TOP Segment, fostered by higher penetration of enabling devices Business Line Losses Large SME Competitive Macroeconomic 2012vs11 -30k 2012vs11 +14k Fixed Revenues Trend 2x ~80 €mln Cloud Services Total Arpu +0.5% MobileFixed Dec -26.1%
  • 13. 12MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline Agenda Domestic 2012 Preliminary Results Telecom Italia Domestic Plan Consumer Segment Business Segment Cost Efficiencies NGN & LTE Deployment Take-Aways Appendix
  • 14. 13MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline Italian Economic Outlook: Growth Forecasts Postponed GDP Trend Unemployment Rate Highlights Consumer Spending New Outlook Plan ’13-’15 Old Outlook Plan ‘12-’14 Δ vs Old Outlook – Plan ’12 –’14 +1.5pp +2.4pp +2.5pp New Outlook Plan ’13-’15 Old Outlook Plan ‘12-’14 Source: ISTAT, Prometeia Lower than expected Italian GDP growth, negative also in 2013 Consumer spending contraction confirmed in 2013, after bad performance in 2012 Protracted period of high unemployment
  • 15. 14MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline Italian TLC Market Evolution TLC Services Domestic Market 2012-20151 Access & Voice BB Fixed Other3 Outgoing Voice SMS BB Other2 ICT4 Fixed Business Mobile Business TOTAL FIXED TOTAL MOBILE TLC SERVICES 15.6 12.2 27.8 Cagr ‘12-’15 -2.0% (-3/-4% in 2013) Access & Voice Fixed BB Mobile BB Outgoing Voice & SMS Revenues Trend 2013-2015 Cum ‘13-’15 -1.1 bln € Cum ‘13-’15 -0.6 bln € 1 Excluding Incoming Mobile Traffic; 2 Interactive Mobile VAS; 3 Business Data; 4 Addressable Market Source: SIRMI, Milan University, Internal Estimates TLC SERVICES & ICT 36.5 Cagr ‘12-’15 -2.0% € bln Down Up Stable Down Up Stable Down Fixed+Mobile Products Cagr ‘12-’15 +3.0% Revenues Change YoY Revenues Change YoY
  • 16. 15MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline TI Domestic: Business Layers & Actions Large SME Customer Care Operations Real Estate, Energy & Industrial Business Segment Restructuring Investments 1 2 3 Fixed Mobile Traditional Innovative Traditional Innovative ConsumerBusinessWholesaleCashCost Traditional Voice & Access Innovative ICT & Data Domestic International Access Protection Market Share Defence & Usage Increase Fixed & Mobile UBB, Cloud Services & Beyond Connectivity: Fiber & LTE Traditional : Defend/Grow Customer Base, Protect Access Value & Increase Line Density Innovative: Push on VAS, Implement Convergent Approach & Develop New Services Enhance Regulatory Environment Further progress in Smart Services (e.g. Cloud ) Network Innovation & Cash Generation IT Services NewCo 4
  • 17. 16MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline Agenda Domestic 2012 Preliminary Results Telecom Italia Domestic Plan Consumer Segment Business Segment Cost Efficiencies NGN & LTE Deployment Take-Aways Appendix
  • 18. 17MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline Maintain best-in-class Churn Rate leveraging on our Premium Quality Keep on balancing Quality Acquisition Mix, progressively reducing MNP exposure Cross-selling and M&F Convergence Attack & Attract New Segments Defend CB through right repositioning & lock-up Materially increase penetration of bundles and pack offers, in order to: defend prices and step-up along the value ladder; prevent cannibalization on traditional services (as done with «Tim Young») New ARPU-tailored Caring Model Increase MBB penetration via new enabling devices Enhance Innovative Services (i.e. Personal Cloud, Music and Soccer games Streaming) Deliver LTE/HSDPA new applications through our Superior Network TI Domestic: Consumer Segment (1/2)Mobile Lock-in existing CB & ARPU Increase Value Focus on Mobile Broadband % Flat on Calling CB Cagr ‘12-’15 ~+5 pp Innovative Services offset TraditionalThe Right Quality Acquisition Path Negative Balance Positive Balance MNP Donor ~-1 mln Churnrate* ~-1 pp per annum *on calling CB
  • 19. 18MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline Protect CB increasing penetration of flat offers Use Loyalty Levers for High Value Customers Cross-selling & Convergence between F&M Customers Increase Service Penetration & Broadband Options Upsell High-Speed BB (Fiber) & New Data Product (i.e. Intelligent Home and Content Platform) to Value Customers Sustain Top Positioning through TI processes Excellence Increase QoS & Customer Experience Service Differentiation via Technological Leadership TI Domestic: Consumer Segment (2/2) Defend Customer Base Value Leverage on Premium Position Enhance Value Fixed BB Revenues Cagr ‘12-’15 ~+5% Customer Satsfaction Index Free (%) Flat (%) 2015vs12 +10 pp 2x % Gold vs 2012 BB Customer Base Mix Constant increase in overall CSI in the last 2 year Top of Mind: Strong Value Perception on Reliability Techical Support Customer Care
  • 20. 19MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline Agenda Domestic 2012 Preliminary Results Telecom Italia Domestic Plan Consumer Segment Business Segment Cost Efficiencies NGN & LTE Deployment Take-Aways Appendix
  • 21. 20MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline TI Domestic: Business Segment (1/2) Traditional Services Innovative Services MobileFixed MobileFixed SME Aim to further increase current leading presence in the Public Administration Maintain Value Acquisition per Line Increase Line Density per Customer Defend ARPU also through upselling Foster the «BYOD» concept to accelerate penetration Customer profiling aimed at maintaining current low churn rate and high market share Increase penetration of current Cloud & ICT Services, and leverage on new ones * Both Public Administration and Private Develop new streams of business, like M2M, Digital Health, Device Management, etc. Large * Strategic Large * Top Large Public Private MobileFixed MobileFixed ICT Services Revenues Cagr ‘12-’15 +2% WorldWide M2M Market 2012 67 bln € 2016 150 bln € Cagr ‘12-’16 +20% M2M 2012 Revenues in Italy: 0.3 bln € TIM Market Share on 2012 Revenues: ~30% Source: Machina Research Churn Rate (Human) Cagr ‘12-’15 -2% Stabilizing Traditional Services – Δ YoY Close to Zero @ 2015 Total CB Large+SME: More than 1.7 mln Customers
  • 22. 21MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline TI Domestic: Business Segment (2/2) Traditional Services Innovative Services MobileFixed MobileFixed SME Large * Strategic Large * Top Capitalize on existing high penetration of innovative devices introducing a simpler and more effective commercial approach Increased customer segmentation and offer portfolio enrichment to be accompanied by new commercial thrust Customer profiling aimed at reducing churn rate Protect Access Value leveraging on new offers derived (and simplified) from «Large» segment Leverage on «Value for Money»: drive FTTcab adoption, enrich packages with more Value Added Services SME * Both Public Administration and Private Total CB Large+SME: More than 1.7 mln Customers Large * Strategic Large * Top Public Private MobileFixed MobileFixed Balance CB in/out Cagr ‘12-’15 -3% 2015vs13 4x Convergent CB: Fixed customers with Mobile offers Churn Rate (Human) Cagr ‘12-’15 -5% Push on VAS & focus on Convergent Offers Traditional vs Innovative Services – Δ YoY Negative Balance Positive Balance
  • 23. 22MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline Agenda Domestic 2012 Preliminary Results Telecom Italia Domestic Plan Consumer Segment Business Segment Cost Efficiencies NGN & LTE Deployment Take-Aways Appendix
  • 24. 23MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline TI Domestic Efficiency Programs: Our Track Record Cumulative Opex Reduction 2008-2012 ~-5.0 bln€ Opex Efficiency Programs Delivery 2008-2012 Strong track record in Opex reduction in the last 5 years, aimed at maintaining a leading position in Domestic Profitability among European TLC Operators, without impacts on Operating Performance Important Commitment & Outstanding Delivery Programs on Efficiency Targets fully reached: >100% each year € bln Cash Cost Efficiency 2008-2012 ~4.5 bln €
  • 25. 24MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline TI Domestic: New Efficiency Programs TI Caring Services Division Real Estate, Energy, Industrial & Other 1 2 Business Division 3 Domestic Opex FY12 FY15 -0.2 FY12 FY15 -0.5 FY12 FY15 -0.2 -0.6 bln Efficiency Program Δ vs ‘12-’14 Plan +0.2 +0.2 A € bln
  • 26. 25MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline Agenda Domestic 2012 Preliminary Results Telecom Italia Domestic Plan Consumer Segment Business Segment Cost Efficiencies NGN & LTE Deployment Take-Aways Appendix
  • 27. 26MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline Investments: from “Value for Money” to “Money for Value” Internet Demand is Surging Fixed Mobile +70% +24% Cagr ‘12-’16 Petabyte per Month Source: Cisco VNI, 2012 & 2013 World & Europe Cagr ~+30% To deliver requested Fixed & Mobile BroadBand Capacity will be of paramount importance : ~3x High Video Quality Traffic, of which 90% on Fixed Lines New BB Services like Cloud Computing need High Speed in Up&Down link , both in Fixed & Mobile Ensure the Best Customer Experience in order to grow in all Service Clusters LTE & FttCab: Two Complementary Technologies Limited Data Pack Unlimited Data Pack Capacity RealAvgSpeed LTE HSDPA 3G ADSL2+ ADSL FTTCab VDSL FTTH&Cable Combine LTE & ADSL for mobile and fixed widespread coverage Ultra High-Speed & Capacity to remain the key feature of Fixed Access Double Digit Growth Deliver Content & Convergence IP Global Traffic : Fixed/Mobile Ratio Source: Cisco VNI, 2012 & 2013 Develop the Fiber & LTE Networks for a Convergent approach on Full-IP Technologies
  • 28. 27MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline Total Domestic Capex TI Domestic Investments: Sustaining Technological Evolution2015UBBTargets NGAN LTE~35% of Housing units made connectable* at >30 Mb/s Speed Cover largest 125 Cities and main Industrial Districts NGAN Cities + other Areas (including Prime Tourist locations and Auction requirements) More than NGAN footprint, always maintaining Leading Mobile UBB Coverage and Capacity *passed+light cabinet deployed Efficiency Program B Cash Cost Efficiency Total Efficiency Program ‘13-’15: 1.8 bln€ +A B FY12 FY15 -0.1 New IT Services Division 4 € bln Pursue further efficiencies in IT in order to reduce incremental costs driven by Architectural & Market- Driven Developments
  • 29. 28MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline Agenda Domestic 2012 Preliminary Results Telecom Italia Domestic Plan Consumer Segment Business Segment Cost Efficiencies NGN & LTE Deployment Take-Aways Appendix
  • 30. 29MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline Take-aways on main TI Domestic trends Organic data Continued strengthening of the Network infrastructure with a strong focus on Fiber and LTE deployment, to support wave of data growth, ensuring quality and performance excellence in fixed and mobile access. Cumulative Domestic 2013-15 Capex will be kept ~ €9bln, as Increase in Innovative will be balanced by Efficiencies & Rightspending in other areas Consistence in pursuing our Value—Driven Strategy and relentless Cost Control and Efficiencies will gradually improve margin erosion. However, 2013 YoY performance is expected to be similar to 2012, alsotaking into consideration continued negative impact from Economy and Regulation (Roaming Cap). We expect a negative Low-Single Digit Ebitda 2012-2015 Cagr Macro-economic drag on Business Segment, impact from Regulation (MTR + Roaming Cap) and continued competitive pressure suggest a 2013 YoY performance similar to 2012. Trend is expected to gradually improve during 2014 and 2015, on the back of a better Italian economy and a growing contribution from Innovative Services. We expect a negative Low-Single Digit Top Line 2012-2015 Cagr Revenues EBITDA Capex
  • 31. 30MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline Agenda Domestic 2012 Preliminary Results Telecom Italia Domestic Plan Consumer Segment Business Segment Cost Efficiencies NGN & LTE Deployment Take-Aways Appendix
  • 32. 31MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline Domestic Mobile Revenues (* ) Including Visitors (** ) Total Retail Services Revenues net of Incoming Total o/w Services Wholesale (*) Retail o/w VAS o/w Incoming o/w Business Generated (**) o/w Outgoing Voice FY11 7,114 6,421 335 6,779 2,034 786 359 5,635 3,600 FY12 6,616 5,853 295 6,321 2,038 536 469 5,317 3,279 Δ % YoY (7.0) (8.8) (11.8) (6.8) +0.2 (31.9) 30.8 (5.6) (8.9) o/w Handsets Euro mln, Organic Data, %
  • 33. 32MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline Domestic Fixed Revenues Euro mln, Organic Data, % 541 11,823 5,615 1,573 1,201 3,177 256 FY11 13,501 1,413 (276) Products Domestic Core Services Voice & Access Internet Business Data National Wholesale Other & Subs Total Sparkle Group Elimination 337 11,319 5,253 1,592 1,132 3,093 248 FY12 12,810 1,393 (239) YoY % (37.7) (4.3) (6.5) +1.2 (5.7) (2.6) (3.1) (5.1) (1.4) n.m.
  • 34. 33MARCO PATUANO TELECOM ITALIA GROUP Full-Year 2012 Preliminary Results and 2013-2015 Plan Outline -578 -234 - -68 -11 -173 -92 -344 Δ Efficiency D Abs ’12 vs ‘11 Total Cash Cost FY ‘12 -332 3.072Total Capex +110 2.772 1.060 -217 2.841 +100 -172 -18 9.077Total Opex* -639 1.948 -332 - -332 - - - - -332 Δ ITX +381 +344 - -149 +111 +1 +74 +37 Δ Vol. Driven Delta Cash Cost FY 12 vs FY 11 Industrial Personnel Mktg & Sales ITX G&A & Other ** - 529 456 Cash Cost EfficiencyVolume Driven -33212.678 -529 -578 Intercon- nection Target FY : - 486 Ytd 11 Ytd 12 12.149 Handsets: -94 + 381 Cash Cost on Revenues % FY’11 FY’12 12.149 105% of FY12 Target 149% of FY12Target 119% of FY12 Target 66.7% 67.8% + 1.1 p.p. **Includes Other Operating cost/Income and Capitalized Costs* Costs related to credit management are reclassified from G&A & Other to Mktg & Sales Domestic Efficiency Plan Euro mln, Organic Data, %