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State of the Capital Markets:
Presentation to:
First Quarter 2018 Review and
Second Quarter 2018 Outlook
2
Rising interest rates now center stage, squeezing borrowers, slowing
repricings, supporting investor returns, and initiating economic drag
Public equity swung dramatically, though little effect on private markets
New entrants into direct lending and ample dry powder heightens
competition and erodes structures
Deal supply from M&A off to slow start
Overall leveraged loan volume down from 4Q 2017; same with middle
market
Volatility introduces new uncertainty into markets
Capital Markets Review – First Quarter 2018
Institutional investor market share Source: Wells Fargo, S&P LCD Capital IQ
Capital Markets – Behind the Scenes
Banks’ share of loans down again; only 10% of overall market
Primary Investor Market: Banks vs Non-Banks
3
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
1Q
18
Banks & Sec. Firms Non-Banks (institutional investors and finance companies)
4
Institutional investor market share Source: S&P LCD, Capital IQ
Capital Markets – Behind the Scenes
CLOs remain a significant share of the institutional market
CLO
64.9%
Finance Co.
0.8%
Hedge, Distressed &
High-Yield Funds
5.5%
Insurance Co.
6.0%
Loan Mutual Funds
22.8%
Institutional investor market share
Capital Markets – Behind the Scenes
New CLO vehicle formation off to a healthy start
CLO Volume
5
$0B
$5B
$10B
$15B
$20B
$25B
$30B
$35B
$40B
Sep-16
O
ct-16
N
ov-16
D
ec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
M
ar-17
Apr-17
M
ay-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Aug-17
Sep-17
O
ct-17
N
ov-17
D
ec-17
Jan-18
Feb-18
M
ar-18
US BSL Refi/Reset
Source: LevFin Insights and Fitch
1Q was slowest fundraising quarter since 3Q 2015…
Capital Markets – Behind the Scenes
Source: PitchBook; data for United States
$17
$14
$22
$18
$35
$21
$18
$18
$32
$31
$23
$30
$39
$66
$28
$65
$53
$63
$31
$56
$60
$41
$36
$62
$62
$61
$45
$61
$62
$64
$63
$54
$37
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Capital Raised ($B)
# of Funds Closed
6
…and slowest investing quarter since 3Q 2011
Capital Markets – Behind the Scenes
Source: PitchBook; data for United States
$86
$85
$100
$185
$167
$172
$211
$272
$116
$62
$98
$43
$42
$23
$25
$52
$58
$65
$72
$95
$86
$84
$74
$93
$78
$78
$78
$132
$79
$103
$103
$151
$123
$118
$145
$127
$124
$121
$171
$134
$139
$138
$187
$135
$132
$137
$175
$131
$77
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Deal Value ($B) # of Deals Closed
7
8
Source: S&P/LCD, Lipper
Funds have net cash in-flows for each of first three months of 2018
Capital Markets – Behind the Scenes
-1.19
0.51 0.39
-1.17
0.25
-2.89
-2.11
-0.75
-2.12
-4.66
-2.49-2.54
0.17
-0.50
0.38
-0.52
0.17
0.64
1.49 1.65
2.23
6.04
6.71
4.71 4.62
2.41
1.19
0.22
0.55
-0.76
-0.51
0.34
-3.70
-1.62
0.21
0.90
2.87
-$5B
-$3B
-$1B
$1B
$3B
$5B
$7B
Mar15
Apr15
May15
Jun15
Jul15
Aug15
Sep15
Oct15
Nov15
Dec15
Jan16
Feb16
Mar16
Apr16
May16
Jun16
Jul16
Aug16
Sep16
Oct16
Nov16
Dec16
Jan17
Feb17
Mar17
Apr17
May17
Jun17
Jul17
Aug17
Sep17
Oct17
Nov17
Dec17
Jan18
Feb18
Mar18
9
New CLO formation continues strong trend from last year
Capital Markets – Behind the Scenes
Source: S&P/LCD
9.38
16.24
10.18
5.66
12.74
7.35
6.02
5.57
7.33
4.81
7.46
0.83
2.55
4.86
5.91
5.44
6.64
5.765.86
8.248.41
10.64
7.16
0.98
8.53
7.87
10.24
9.84
15.02
8.35
12.42
9.22
12.8312.89
8.69
6.34
15.03
10.71
$0B
$2B
$4B
$6B
$8B
$10B
$12B
$14B
$16B
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Apr-16
May-16
Jun-16
Jul-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Aug-17
Sep-17
Oct-17
Nov-17
Dec-17
Jan-18
Feb-18
Mar-18
CLO Volume
Capital Markets – Loan Volume
Middle market sponsored activity off to similar start as 2017
Annual Middle Market Sponsored Volume
10
Source: Thomson Reuters LPC
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Issuance(US$bn)
1Q 2Q
3Q 4Q
11
Source: Thomson Reuters LPC
High purchase price multiples push leverage, equity contributions
Capital Markets Metrics – Leverage
3.0x
3.5x
4.0x
4.5x
5.0x
5.5x
6.0x
6.5x
7.0x
7.5x
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
YTD-18
LBODebttoEBITDA(x)
Institutional MM Large Corp.
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
YTD-18
EquityContributions
Institutional MM Large Corp.
12
Source: Thomson Reuters LPC
Large cap yields steady; cash coming back into mutual funds
Capital Markets Metrics – Pricing
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
10.0%
-10.0
-8.0
-6.0
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
Jan-12
Mar-12
May-12
Jul-12
Sep-12
Nov-12
Jan-13
Mar-13
May-13
Jul-13
Sep-13
Nov-13
Jan-14
Mar-14
May-14
Jul-14
Sep-14
Nov-14
Jan-15
Mar-15
May-15
Jul-15
Sep-15
Nov-15
Jan-16
Mar-16
May-16
Jul-16
Sep-16
Nov-16
Jan-17
Mar-17
May-17
Jul-17
Sep-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
Mar-18
SingleB-yields(3years)
Loanfundflows($B)
Loan fund flows Single- B loan yields
13
Capital Markets Metrics – Pricing
Source: Thomson Reuters LPC
Middle market illiquidity premium at 112 bps
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
1Q10
2Q10
3Q10
4Q10
1Q11
2Q11
3Q11
4Q11
1Q12
2Q12
3Q12
4Q12
1Q13
2Q13
3Q13
4Q13
1Q14
2Q14
3Q14
4Q14
1Q15
2Q15
3Q15
4Q15
1Q16
2Q16
3Q16
4Q16
1Q17
2Q17
3Q17
4Q17
1Q18
All-in-yield(3-year)
Middle market and large corporate quarterly average yields
Large Corp
MM
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
11%
12%
1Q02
2Q02
3Q02
4Q02
1Q03
2Q03
3Q03
4Q03
1Q04
2Q04
3Q04
4Q04
1Q05
2Q05
3Q05
4Q05
1Q06
2Q06
3Q06
4Q06
1Q07
2Q07
3Q07
4Q07
2008
1Q-3Q09
4Q09
1Q10
2Q10
3Q10
4Q10
1Q11
2Q11
3Q11
4Q11
1Q12
2Q12
3Q12
4Q12
1Q13
2Q13
3Q13
4Q13
1Q14
2Q14
3Q14
4Q14
1Q15
2Q15
3Q15
4Q15
1Q16
2Q16
3Q16
4Q16
1Q17
2Q17
3Q17
4Q17
1Q18
All-in-yield(3-year)
LIB/LIB Floor LIB Spread Spread due to OID
14
Source: Thomson Reuters LPC; all-in middle market institutional yields (3 year)
Middle market leveraged loan yields up for 3rd straight quarter
Capital Markets Metrics – Pricing
15
Source: Thomson Reuters LPC
Quarterly cov-lite volume down sharply from 4Q
Capital Markets Metrics – Covenants
15
Middle market covenant-lite volume
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
1Q06
3Q06
1Q07
3Q07
1Q08
3Q08
1Q09
3Q09
1Q10
3Q10
1Q11
3Q11
1Q12
3Q12
1Q13
3Q13
1Q14
3Q14
1Q15
3Q15
1Q16
3Q16
1Q17
3Q17
1Q18
Cov.Lite%ofissuance
Cov-liteissuance($Bils.)
MM Cov Lite Volume
% of MM Volume
% of MM Institutional Vol.
16
Source: S&P LCD
Capital Markets Review – Credit Quality
Default rates stable with sector-specific problems well-defined
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
Mar05
Jul05
Nov05
Mar06
Jul06
Nov06
Mar07
Jul07
Nov07
Mar08
Jul08
Nov08
Mar09
Jul09
Nov09
Mar10
Jul10
Nov10
Mar11
Jul11
Nov11
Mar12
Jul12
Nov12
Mar13
Jul13
Nov13
Mar14
Jul14
Nov14
Mar15
Jul15
Nov15
Mar16
Jul16
Nov16
Mar17
Jul17
Nov17
Mar18
Lagging 12-month leveraged loan default
rate by number
38.89%
16.67%
5.56%
5.56%
5.56%
5.56%
5.56%
5.56%
5.56%
5.56%
Oil & Gas
Retail
Forest Product
Real Estate
Healthcare
Services & Leasing
Television
Utilities
Aerospace & Defense
Radio
Composition of defaults
Capital Markets – Second Quarter 2018 Outlook
Higher Libor expected to create pressure for lower spreads
Investment banks report growing pipeline for M&A transactions, creating
improved leveraged lending supply
Middle market spreads sustained amid move to higher leverage
Continued capital in-flows further erode covenants, structures
Senior leverage of 3.5-4x; total of 5.5-6x for traditional middle market; 4.0-
4.5x senior/6-6.5x total for larger mid caps; >4.5x senior/6.5x total for BSL
Will rising interest rates be the downturn trigger?
17
Our Partners
18
About The Lead Left
www.theleadleft.com What is The Lead Left?
The Lead Left is Churchill Asset Management’s weekly
newsletter reviewing deals and trends in the capital
markets. Our publication has a unique focus on the mid-
market space and is read by thousands of influential
industry participants.
When you subscribe to The Lead Left, you become a
member of an exclusive club of readers. As an experienced
professional and decision maker in the capital markets,
investment banking, and corporate finance sectors, you will
have access to the leading one-stop provider of middle
market deals and data. You will also receive insightful
market trend commentary and analysis, and exclusive
interviews with thought leaders. The Lead Left also gives
you world-class content from top market research partners
including Thomson Reuters LPC, S&P/LCD, IHS Markit,
PitchBook, Preqin, SPP Capital Partners, Debtwire,
Covenant Review, LevFin Insights, and Private Debt
Investor
Since 2008, The Lead Left has become the premier source
for information on trends in the middle market space.
Distributed weekly to over 40,000 readers, this newsletter
is the only publication of its kind in the industry. Produced
by Churchill Asset Managemen’s Head of Capital Markets,
we give you an insider's perspective, supported by over
thirty years of investing and market experience.
The Lead Left is your no-spin, media noise suppression
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markets.
Original commentary backed by
thirty years of capital markets
experience
Weekly interviews with top
decision makers in banking,
private equity, and credit
investing
Contact
Randy Schwimmer
Senior Managing Director
Head of Origination & Capital Markets
Churchill Asset Management
T (212) 478-9203 M (646) 584-1362
randy.schwimmer@churchillam.com
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State of the Capital Markets – First Quarter 2018 Review and Second Quarter 2018 Outlook

  • 1. State of the Capital Markets: Presentation to: First Quarter 2018 Review and Second Quarter 2018 Outlook
  • 2. 2 Rising interest rates now center stage, squeezing borrowers, slowing repricings, supporting investor returns, and initiating economic drag Public equity swung dramatically, though little effect on private markets New entrants into direct lending and ample dry powder heightens competition and erodes structures Deal supply from M&A off to slow start Overall leveraged loan volume down from 4Q 2017; same with middle market Volatility introduces new uncertainty into markets Capital Markets Review – First Quarter 2018
  • 3. Institutional investor market share Source: Wells Fargo, S&P LCD Capital IQ Capital Markets – Behind the Scenes Banks’ share of loans down again; only 10% of overall market Primary Investor Market: Banks vs Non-Banks 3 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1Q 18 Banks & Sec. Firms Non-Banks (institutional investors and finance companies)
  • 4. 4 Institutional investor market share Source: S&P LCD, Capital IQ Capital Markets – Behind the Scenes CLOs remain a significant share of the institutional market CLO 64.9% Finance Co. 0.8% Hedge, Distressed & High-Yield Funds 5.5% Insurance Co. 6.0% Loan Mutual Funds 22.8% Institutional investor market share
  • 5. Capital Markets – Behind the Scenes New CLO vehicle formation off to a healthy start CLO Volume 5 $0B $5B $10B $15B $20B $25B $30B $35B $40B Sep-16 O ct-16 N ov-16 D ec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 M ar-17 Apr-17 M ay-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 O ct-17 N ov-17 D ec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 M ar-18 US BSL Refi/Reset Source: LevFin Insights and Fitch
  • 6. 1Q was slowest fundraising quarter since 3Q 2015… Capital Markets – Behind the Scenes Source: PitchBook; data for United States $17 $14 $22 $18 $35 $21 $18 $18 $32 $31 $23 $30 $39 $66 $28 $65 $53 $63 $31 $56 $60 $41 $36 $62 $62 $61 $45 $61 $62 $64 $63 $54 $37 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Capital Raised ($B) # of Funds Closed 6
  • 7. …and slowest investing quarter since 3Q 2011 Capital Markets – Behind the Scenes Source: PitchBook; data for United States $86 $85 $100 $185 $167 $172 $211 $272 $116 $62 $98 $43 $42 $23 $25 $52 $58 $65 $72 $95 $86 $84 $74 $93 $78 $78 $78 $132 $79 $103 $103 $151 $123 $118 $145 $127 $124 $121 $171 $134 $139 $138 $187 $135 $132 $137 $175 $131 $77 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Deal Value ($B) # of Deals Closed 7
  • 8. 8 Source: S&P/LCD, Lipper Funds have net cash in-flows for each of first three months of 2018 Capital Markets – Behind the Scenes -1.19 0.51 0.39 -1.17 0.25 -2.89 -2.11 -0.75 -2.12 -4.66 -2.49-2.54 0.17 -0.50 0.38 -0.52 0.17 0.64 1.49 1.65 2.23 6.04 6.71 4.71 4.62 2.41 1.19 0.22 0.55 -0.76 -0.51 0.34 -3.70 -1.62 0.21 0.90 2.87 -$5B -$3B -$1B $1B $3B $5B $7B Mar15 Apr15 May15 Jun15 Jul15 Aug15 Sep15 Oct15 Nov15 Dec15 Jan16 Feb16 Mar16 Apr16 May16 Jun16 Jul16 Aug16 Sep16 Oct16 Nov16 Dec16 Jan17 Feb17 Mar17 Apr17 May17 Jun17 Jul17 Aug17 Sep17 Oct17 Nov17 Dec17 Jan18 Feb18 Mar18
  • 9. 9 New CLO formation continues strong trend from last year Capital Markets – Behind the Scenes Source: S&P/LCD 9.38 16.24 10.18 5.66 12.74 7.35 6.02 5.57 7.33 4.81 7.46 0.83 2.55 4.86 5.91 5.44 6.64 5.765.86 8.248.41 10.64 7.16 0.98 8.53 7.87 10.24 9.84 15.02 8.35 12.42 9.22 12.8312.89 8.69 6.34 15.03 10.71 $0B $2B $4B $6B $8B $10B $12B $14B $16B Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 CLO Volume
  • 10. Capital Markets – Loan Volume Middle market sponsored activity off to similar start as 2017 Annual Middle Market Sponsored Volume 10 Source: Thomson Reuters LPC 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Issuance(US$bn) 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
  • 11. 11 Source: Thomson Reuters LPC High purchase price multiples push leverage, equity contributions Capital Markets Metrics – Leverage 3.0x 3.5x 4.0x 4.5x 5.0x 5.5x 6.0x 6.5x 7.0x 7.5x 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 YTD-18 LBODebttoEBITDA(x) Institutional MM Large Corp. 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 YTD-18 EquityContributions Institutional MM Large Corp.
  • 12. 12 Source: Thomson Reuters LPC Large cap yields steady; cash coming back into mutual funds Capital Markets Metrics – Pricing 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.0% 10.0% -10.0 -8.0 -6.0 -4.0 -2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 Jan-12 Mar-12 May-12 Jul-12 Sep-12 Nov-12 Jan-13 Mar-13 May-13 Jul-13 Sep-13 Nov-13 Jan-14 Mar-14 May-14 Jul-14 Sep-14 Nov-14 Jan-15 Mar-15 May-15 Jul-15 Sep-15 Nov-15 Jan-16 Mar-16 May-16 Jul-16 Sep-16 Nov-16 Jan-17 Mar-17 May-17 Jul-17 Sep-17 Nov-17 Jan-18 Mar-18 SingleB-yields(3years) Loanfundflows($B) Loan fund flows Single- B loan yields
  • 13. 13 Capital Markets Metrics – Pricing Source: Thomson Reuters LPC Middle market illiquidity premium at 112 bps 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 All-in-yield(3-year) Middle market and large corporate quarterly average yields Large Corp MM
  • 15. 15 Source: Thomson Reuters LPC Quarterly cov-lite volume down sharply from 4Q Capital Markets Metrics – Covenants 15 Middle market covenant-lite volume 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 1Q06 3Q06 1Q07 3Q07 1Q08 3Q08 1Q09 3Q09 1Q10 3Q10 1Q11 3Q11 1Q12 3Q12 1Q13 3Q13 1Q14 3Q14 1Q15 3Q15 1Q16 3Q16 1Q17 3Q17 1Q18 Cov.Lite%ofissuance Cov-liteissuance($Bils.) MM Cov Lite Volume % of MM Volume % of MM Institutional Vol.
  • 16. 16 Source: S&P LCD Capital Markets Review – Credit Quality Default rates stable with sector-specific problems well-defined 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% Mar05 Jul05 Nov05 Mar06 Jul06 Nov06 Mar07 Jul07 Nov07 Mar08 Jul08 Nov08 Mar09 Jul09 Nov09 Mar10 Jul10 Nov10 Mar11 Jul11 Nov11 Mar12 Jul12 Nov12 Mar13 Jul13 Nov13 Mar14 Jul14 Nov14 Mar15 Jul15 Nov15 Mar16 Jul16 Nov16 Mar17 Jul17 Nov17 Mar18 Lagging 12-month leveraged loan default rate by number 38.89% 16.67% 5.56% 5.56% 5.56% 5.56% 5.56% 5.56% 5.56% 5.56% Oil & Gas Retail Forest Product Real Estate Healthcare Services & Leasing Television Utilities Aerospace & Defense Radio Composition of defaults
  • 17. Capital Markets – Second Quarter 2018 Outlook Higher Libor expected to create pressure for lower spreads Investment banks report growing pipeline for M&A transactions, creating improved leveraged lending supply Middle market spreads sustained amid move to higher leverage Continued capital in-flows further erode covenants, structures Senior leverage of 3.5-4x; total of 5.5-6x for traditional middle market; 4.0- 4.5x senior/6-6.5x total for larger mid caps; >4.5x senior/6.5x total for BSL Will rising interest rates be the downturn trigger? 17
  • 19. About The Lead Left www.theleadleft.com What is The Lead Left? The Lead Left is Churchill Asset Management’s weekly newsletter reviewing deals and trends in the capital markets. Our publication has a unique focus on the mid- market space and is read by thousands of influential industry participants. When you subscribe to The Lead Left, you become a member of an exclusive club of readers. As an experienced professional and decision maker in the capital markets, investment banking, and corporate finance sectors, you will have access to the leading one-stop provider of middle market deals and data. You will also receive insightful market trend commentary and analysis, and exclusive interviews with thought leaders. The Lead Left also gives you world-class content from top market research partners including Thomson Reuters LPC, S&P/LCD, IHS Markit, PitchBook, Preqin, SPP Capital Partners, Debtwire, Covenant Review, LevFin Insights, and Private Debt Investor Since 2008, The Lead Left has become the premier source for information on trends in the middle market space. Distributed weekly to over 40,000 readers, this newsletter is the only publication of its kind in the industry. Produced by Churchill Asset Managemen’s Head of Capital Markets, we give you an insider's perspective, supported by over thirty years of investing and market experience. The Lead Left is your no-spin, media noise suppression device and tour guide for today's complex and challenging markets. Original commentary backed by thirty years of capital markets experience Weekly interviews with top decision makers in banking, private equity, and credit investing Contact Randy Schwimmer Senior Managing Director Head of Origination & Capital Markets Churchill Asset Management T (212) 478-9203 M (646) 584-1362 randy.schwimmer@churchillam.com Data and commentary from four of the leading global capital market research firms Detailed information on deals in the market Plus our popular Charts and Quotes of the Week