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ft_mckinsey digital oil and gas

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ft_mckinsey digital oil and gas

  1. 1. © THE FINANCIAL TIMES LIMITED 2013 WEDNESDAY NOVEMBER 20 2013 A utomation and digitalisation have long been a factor driving productivity in oil and gas. Now, large corporations need to take automation to the next level to address industry challenges such as increasing operational risk and complexity with decreasing front line experience. To fully reap the benefits, oil and gas companies will have to adopt some of the practices of big, data intensive industries like aerospace to become more agile and able to match the speed of the information and automatic changes that digital technologies will generate. Four challenges The challenges driving the call for increased automation and digitalisation are often relevant to other asset-intensive industries as well but the focus of this article is on oil and gas. The first major challenge is the increasingly complex operations that oil and gas companies are undertaking. Most oil majors have a long and thin tail of mature assets that require an efficient maintenance schedule within tight operating expenses to be profitable. At the same time, increasingly remote locations, tough geologies, high pressure/high temperature resources, and deepwater wells require companies to run reliable remote operations and improve their supply chain management. In addition unconventional oil and gas such as oil sands and shale oil shale necessitate even more efficient, manufacturing- like operations. The second challenge is the zero tolerance for health, safety and environmental incidents. Addressing this challenge requires real time monitoring of assets and real time or near real time assessment of component health to predict and avoid costly failures. Increasingly, safety will mean moving people out of harm’s way, using automation to replace people in the highest risk roles. The third challenge is the increasing talent and experience gap. Experienced personnel, often hired in the late 1970s and early 1980s, are currently retiring and this requires documenting and industrialising processes by using digital technology to avoid the loss of valuable knowledge and experience. In addition, human beings are not consistent decision makers; presented with the same facts, different people will make different decisions. This can be highly costly in critical situations where only one choice is the right choice – data driven decision-support is essential for safety, efficiency, and yield. The fourth major challenge is the growing data overflow already influencing businesses today. Given that any single asset may have in excess of 50,000 electronic tags, and that the data from these might be structured in different formats as well as located in different systems and subsystems, the ability to connect the dots by developing algorithms to interpret the data are crucial. In addition the complexity of asset portfolios, and thus the typical supply chain, have increased. Moreover, growing fragmentation of the supply chain as specialisation increases will require aggregation of data across operators such as oilfield services and equipment and other vendors. Defining and applying automation There are many attempts in the literature to define exactly what is meant by automation in a technology context. We define it broadly as the use of technology (eg, sensors, data, storage, connectivity, the Internet, computing power, and control systems) for performing tasks that, for instance, are dangerous, high-cost, error-prone, or of low value, and making or aiding decisions with reduced human intervention. This definition is wide enough to include everything from self-driving cars to big data visualisation of (eg a 3D image of the geology of an oilfield) but it allows us to address specific elements, such as sensor connectivity, within a framework. We believe the future of automation is being shaped by the emergence of the Internet of Things, which refers to the massive increase in devices equipped with the ability to connect to the internet, usually through wireless networks; thus making what used to be isolated entities, such as artificial lift pumps, part of a large and growing network of networks able to communicate with each other. An automation system connects observations about the physical world to changes in that world electronically. Traditionally these types of systems were closed and proprietary. However, during the past few years there has been a significant change in this system architecture – a change that will continue to shape the use of automation in the next decade. We are beginning to see networked sensors that can be identified and authenticated via directory technology, with identity management that is similar to what’s seen on the Internet for people. Systems today are connected to networked data sources in a much more open architecture that enables companies to assemble the building blocks to meet their specific demands. Imagine what is possible with sensors connected to a network map, with the mapping data and sensor data being aggregated back into a data store able to blend heterogeneous feeds from many sources. Having such a repository makes analysis possible, which in turn is driving algorithmic innovation to extract the required information from a vast tsunami of data. Finally, with these huge amounts of data, visualisation and presentation of data then becomes a critical operating element connecting the ability to assess that data to human cognitive capacities. The second main part is close loop actuation that gives feedback and potential corrective actions to eg the control systems, which can really drive changes in operational performance. It can be as simple as opening and closing a valve or it could be as complicated as steering an autonomous (unmanned) vehicle through a complicated course. Clearly, the structures of automation systems are changing fundamentally and becoming more open, which in turn will allow for much more open innovation in the next generation of automation. FT.COM Building the digital oil and gas enterprise By Hans Henrik Knudsen, Tor Jakob Ramsøy and Roger Roberts
  2. 2. When applying, Internet of Things-driven, innovation to real world business problems in oil and gas, we see six important categories of value. 1. Tracking behaviour. This means monitoring people and things through time and space. 2. Enhancing situational awareness. This is about achieving real time awareness of the physical environment, which could be at the bottom of the sea or on a remotely operated platform. 3. Central-driven (eg in a global operating model) decision analytics. This is about connecting people to global information and best practice insights and allowing them to do deep analysis and use data visualisation to see the answer quickly from very complicated information flows. 4. Automated control of closed- loop subsystems in a more fine grained and dynamic way. One example is a refinery process control system optimising production through improved assets utilisation 5. Optimising resource consumption across a distributed network. Here you may think about a large scale heavy oilfield that is using algorithms to balance steam injections into the network based on historical data and live feed of current steam requirements. 6. Control of complex autonomous systems. This could be anything from automated warehousing to Google’s autonomous cars to the application of these technologies to airborne vehicles that are autonomous in terms of their ability to execute tasks, relatively independently in a complicated and rapidly changing environment. For an oil company this could be robots executing preventive maintenance. All of these applications will be the subject of significant investment going forward, in the energy industry and elsewhere. Winning by automating The automation winners of the future will be data driven and agile corporations that are able to change as they receive new information, with the tools in place so that their assets physically change themselves based on the new data without human intervention. Data-driven decision-making will mean that from the board room to the field engineer, decisions will be based on a solid fact base and an understanding of the data. The starting point will be an automated recommendation created by big data analytics. Companies will also need to adopt a more agile approach, incorporating key elements from the Lean toolbox. In an automated world, the agile method of software development, as well as the Lean continuous improvement mindset, become more critical. Leveraging the many small ideas of employees on how to tweak key algorithms, and their suggestions on how to better use data, will be very important. Becoming more agile, for example, when dispatching work, will be enabled by the deployment of mobile devices such as tablets to highlight, for instance, a safety hazard spotted by an engineer. A mobile device will also allow this engineer to submit a process improvement suggestion. These changes can then, via tablets, be rolled out to the rest of the employees. The commercial potential of automation and digitalisation is tremendous in the oil and gas industry. The winners will be those that use technology to smartly tackle their biggest challenges, and are able to shed their old ways of working to become truly agile and datadriven corporations. Hans Henrik Knudsen is a consultant in McKinsey & Company’s Copenhagen office. Tor Jakob Ramsøy is a director in their Oslo office and Roger Roberts is a principal based in their Palo Alto office © THE FINANCIAL TIMES LIMITED 2013

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