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EMERGING COST-RELATED
DECISION MAKING TOOLS FOR
CLIMATE CHANGE RISK IN VIET
NAM
INTER-MINISTERIAL TECHNICAL WORKSHOP ON VALUATION
OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS IN VIET NAM
HANOI 6-7 JUNE 2017
OVERVIEW
• WHY PRIORITISE CLIMATE CHANGE RESILIENT INVESTMENT?
• HOW IS VIET NAM CURRENTLY INVESTING?
• WHAT INFORMATION IS NEEDED TO EFFECTIVELY MANAGEMENT THESE RISKS?
• WHAT TOOLS DOES VIET NAM HAVE TO FAST-TRACK ACTION AS PART OF ITS
CLIMATE CHANGE POLICY?
• ARE THERE OPPORTUNITIES TO STRENGTHEN THE SYSTEM?
Source http://unfccc.int/adaptation/workstreams/loss_and_damage/items/6056.php
Short Term Medium term Long term Very long term
Direct
Disaster/
Climate
Change
Related
Impact
Damage to roof
Loss of rice crop
Destruction of road
or bridge
Loss of fruit tree
Coastal erosion
Increased salt-
water intrusion to
agricultural land
Long term sea level
rise/ Ocean
acidification
Loss of agricultural
land to salt water
intrusion
Current
Primary
Action
Humanitarian
assistance
Early recovery
support
Allocation of
additional annual
budget for recovery
Consider
adaptation/
changes to reduce
future risk
Increased use of
engineering
measures (sea
walls etc.)
Changes in land-
use
(rice/ shrimp or
living with floods)
Relocation of people
and assets
Changes in local
industry/ economies
Potential
Financial risk
sharing tools
Individual
insurance schemes
Individual/
sovereign risk
sharing
Risk-transfer to
spread cost of
major event
Insurance and risk-
sharing become less
viable
Small scale Insurance/ re- Government Area for future
WHAT INFORMATION IS NEEDED ?
• Information on assets at risk and historical losses (what you stand
to lose)
• Information on how climate change will impact key sectors (how
much it will get worse)
• Information on expenditure (what you are currently spending)
• Information on costs of adaptation options (what’s the cheapest
way to fix it)
DATA ON ASSETS AT RISK AND HISTORICAL
LOSSES:
• 2015 Government Decision 43
records post-disaster damage in
key sectors
• It is a strong base but field data
collection and processing systems
need strengthening
• Systems focus mainly on direct not
indirect costs
• Data not always accessible
3GD THIỆT HẠI VỀ GIÁO DỤC
3.1GD01 Số điểm/trường bị ảnh hưởng điểm
3.2GD02
Phòng học, phòng chức năng công vụ,
nhà ở tập thể, nhà bán trú cho học
sinh/sinh viên bị thiệt hại
cái
3.2.
1GD021 Sập, đổ, hư hỏng rất nặng (>70%)
cái
3.2.
2GD022 Xiêu vẹo, hư hỏng nặng (từ 30-70%)
cái
3.2.
3GD023 Xiêu vẹo, hư hỏng một phần (< 30%)
cái
3.4GD04 Số học sinh/sinh viên phải nghỉ học
học
sinh
3.5GD05
Máy vi tính và các thiết bị giáo dục ở
điểm/trường bị hư hỏng
triệu đ
3.6GD06 Tài sản khác bị hư hại (*) triệu đ
4YT THIỆT HẠI VỀ Y TẾ
4.1YT01
Số cơ sở y tế (bệnh viện, trung tâm y tế, trạm
y tế) bị thiệt hại
cái
4.1.
1YT011 Sập, đổ, hư hỏng rất nặng (>70%)
cái
4.1.
Does not
currently
include
means of
estimating
financial
losses
INFORMATION ON HOW CLIMATE CHANGE
WILL IMPACT KEY SECTORS
• Viet Nam has good climate
projection data but this is not
open-source available to
modellers to create risk
models
• Some hazards/ risks like ocean
acidification or saltwater
intrusion are not yet
adequately mapped
• More work to integrate this
data in to planning is needed
INFORMATION ON CURRENT INVESTMENT:
• Tools like Climate public expenditure
reviews are helpful
• Need to be coupled with improved
climate recovery planning
• Current systems still track just
projects, not investments actions like
M&E
• Systems to better estimate adaptation
investment costs at local level is
IMPROVED TOOLS FOR DECISION MAKING
• Help provinces weigh-up where and how to invest
• Move from looking at cost benefit of a project to looking at
overall investment options and project selection process
• Adjustments to incentive systems to reward low-cost wide
cost action
GEF Funding Climate Resilient Infrastructure Project Inter-active database:
Climate Change Vulnerability of irrigation, embankment and road construction (Hoa Binh City, 1:50,000)
ECONOMICS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
ADAPTATION
AGRICULTURE SECTOR ANALYSIS FOR VIET
NAM (ECCA)
“Farmers who use
irrigation techniques
earn US$62 per acre
more than non-irrigated
farms. The impact of
climate change on rain-
fed and irrigated farms
is also different. These
impacts influence
farmers’ adaptation
choices.”
OPPORTUNITIES TO STRENGTHEN SYSTEMS
• Identify gaps in national capacity to conduct risk assessments and
conduct risk auditing for key sectors where limits to current adaptation
capacity can be seen
• Strengthen implementation of current disaster damage and loss
reporting and improve accounting of financial losses
• Strengthen research on slow onset events, sea level rise and ocean
acidification impacts and costing potential assets at risk
• Facilitate technical level inter-ministerial dialogue and capacity building
on approaches to address extreme weather events and future damage
and loss and on improving information flow (particularly MPI, MARD,
MoNRE, MoC and MoF)
• Undertake an initial review of global, regional and existing in-country
risk transfer mechanisms to identify scope and requirements for
THANK YOU
jenty.kirsch-wood@undp.org

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Emerging cost related decision making tools for climate change risk in Viet Nam

  • 1. EMERGING COST-RELATED DECISION MAKING TOOLS FOR CLIMATE CHANGE RISK IN VIET NAM INTER-MINISTERIAL TECHNICAL WORKSHOP ON VALUATION OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS IN VIET NAM HANOI 6-7 JUNE 2017
  • 2. OVERVIEW • WHY PRIORITISE CLIMATE CHANGE RESILIENT INVESTMENT? • HOW IS VIET NAM CURRENTLY INVESTING? • WHAT INFORMATION IS NEEDED TO EFFECTIVELY MANAGEMENT THESE RISKS? • WHAT TOOLS DOES VIET NAM HAVE TO FAST-TRACK ACTION AS PART OF ITS CLIMATE CHANGE POLICY? • ARE THERE OPPORTUNITIES TO STRENGTHEN THE SYSTEM?
  • 4. Short Term Medium term Long term Very long term Direct Disaster/ Climate Change Related Impact Damage to roof Loss of rice crop Destruction of road or bridge Loss of fruit tree Coastal erosion Increased salt- water intrusion to agricultural land Long term sea level rise/ Ocean acidification Loss of agricultural land to salt water intrusion Current Primary Action Humanitarian assistance Early recovery support Allocation of additional annual budget for recovery Consider adaptation/ changes to reduce future risk Increased use of engineering measures (sea walls etc.) Changes in land- use (rice/ shrimp or living with floods) Relocation of people and assets Changes in local industry/ economies Potential Financial risk sharing tools Individual insurance schemes Individual/ sovereign risk sharing Risk-transfer to spread cost of major event Insurance and risk- sharing become less viable Small scale Insurance/ re- Government Area for future
  • 5. WHAT INFORMATION IS NEEDED ? • Information on assets at risk and historical losses (what you stand to lose) • Information on how climate change will impact key sectors (how much it will get worse) • Information on expenditure (what you are currently spending) • Information on costs of adaptation options (what’s the cheapest way to fix it)
  • 6. DATA ON ASSETS AT RISK AND HISTORICAL LOSSES: • 2015 Government Decision 43 records post-disaster damage in key sectors • It is a strong base but field data collection and processing systems need strengthening • Systems focus mainly on direct not indirect costs • Data not always accessible 3GD THIỆT HẠI VỀ GIÁO DỤC 3.1GD01 Số điểm/trường bị ảnh hưởng điểm 3.2GD02 Phòng học, phòng chức năng công vụ, nhà ở tập thể, nhà bán trú cho học sinh/sinh viên bị thiệt hại cái 3.2. 1GD021 Sập, đổ, hư hỏng rất nặng (>70%) cái 3.2. 2GD022 Xiêu vẹo, hư hỏng nặng (từ 30-70%) cái 3.2. 3GD023 Xiêu vẹo, hư hỏng một phần (< 30%) cái 3.4GD04 Số học sinh/sinh viên phải nghỉ học học sinh 3.5GD05 Máy vi tính và các thiết bị giáo dục ở điểm/trường bị hư hỏng triệu đ 3.6GD06 Tài sản khác bị hư hại (*) triệu đ 4YT THIỆT HẠI VỀ Y TẾ 4.1YT01 Số cơ sở y tế (bệnh viện, trung tâm y tế, trạm y tế) bị thiệt hại cái 4.1. 1YT011 Sập, đổ, hư hỏng rất nặng (>70%) cái 4.1. Does not currently include means of estimating financial losses
  • 7. INFORMATION ON HOW CLIMATE CHANGE WILL IMPACT KEY SECTORS • Viet Nam has good climate projection data but this is not open-source available to modellers to create risk models • Some hazards/ risks like ocean acidification or saltwater intrusion are not yet adequately mapped • More work to integrate this data in to planning is needed
  • 8. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INVESTMENT: • Tools like Climate public expenditure reviews are helpful • Need to be coupled with improved climate recovery planning • Current systems still track just projects, not investments actions like M&E • Systems to better estimate adaptation investment costs at local level is
  • 9. IMPROVED TOOLS FOR DECISION MAKING • Help provinces weigh-up where and how to invest • Move from looking at cost benefit of a project to looking at overall investment options and project selection process • Adjustments to incentive systems to reward low-cost wide cost action
  • 10. GEF Funding Climate Resilient Infrastructure Project Inter-active database: Climate Change Vulnerability of irrigation, embankment and road construction (Hoa Binh City, 1:50,000)
  • 11. ECONOMICS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION AGRICULTURE SECTOR ANALYSIS FOR VIET NAM (ECCA) “Farmers who use irrigation techniques earn US$62 per acre more than non-irrigated farms. The impact of climate change on rain- fed and irrigated farms is also different. These impacts influence farmers’ adaptation choices.”
  • 12. OPPORTUNITIES TO STRENGTHEN SYSTEMS • Identify gaps in national capacity to conduct risk assessments and conduct risk auditing for key sectors where limits to current adaptation capacity can be seen • Strengthen implementation of current disaster damage and loss reporting and improve accounting of financial losses • Strengthen research on slow onset events, sea level rise and ocean acidification impacts and costing potential assets at risk • Facilitate technical level inter-ministerial dialogue and capacity building on approaches to address extreme weather events and future damage and loss and on improving information flow (particularly MPI, MARD, MoNRE, MoC and MoF) • Undertake an initial review of global, regional and existing in-country risk transfer mechanisms to identify scope and requirements for