Презентація старшого радника World Nuclear Association Філіпа Косте в рамках Міжнародної конференції з нагоди 10-річчя АУЯФ "Український ядерний форум 2019: ядерна енергетика - стан та тенденції розвитку"

1. Global nuclear performance and
Harmony vision
Philippe Costes
Senior Advisor
Ukrainian Nuclear
Forum 2019

2. Global generation: 2018 biggest increase in 15 years
2

3. Global capacity and performance

4. New construction and new countries
Akkuyu 1 (Turkey)
Hinkley Point C 1 (UK)
Kursk 2-1 (Russia)
Rooppur 2 (Bangladesh)
Shin-Kori 6 (Korea Republic)
56.3 GWe
nuclear construction
worldwide
10.9 GWe construction
in 4 new-comer
countries
6.3 GWe construction
started in 2018

5. Nuclear capacity connected to the grid
Advanced and developing economies

6. Scheduled new build 2019-2021
MWe
2019 Belarus Ostrovets 1 1194
2019 China, Fangchenggang 3 1180
2019 China, Hongyanhe 5 1119
2019 China, Yangjiang 6 1086
2019 China, Fuqing 5 1150
2019 China, Huaneng 210
2019 China, Taishan 2 1750
2019 Finland, Olkiluoto 3 1720
2019 France, Flamanville 3 1650
2019 Korea, Shin Kori 4 1400
2019 Korea, Shin Hanul 1 1400
2019 Russia, Pevek FNPP 70
2019 Russia, Novovoronezh II-2 1200
2019 Slovakia, SE Mochovce 3 471
MWe
2020 Belarus, Ostrovets 2 1194
2020 China, Hongyanhe 6 1119
2020 China, Fangchenggang 4 1180
2020 China, Tianwan 5 1118
2020 China, Fuqing 6 1150
2020 China, Bohai shipyard 60
2020 India, Kalpakkam PFBR 500
2020 Japan, Shimane 3 1373
2020 Korea, Shin Hanul 2 1400
2020 Slovakia, Mochovce 4 471
2020 UAE, Barakah 1 1400
2020 UAE, Barakah 2 1400
2021 Argentina, Carem25 29
2021 China, Tianwan 6 1118
2021 Pakistan, KANUPP 2 1100
2021 USA, Vogtle 3 1250
2021 UAE, Barakah 3 1400
2021 UAE, Barakah 4 1400

7. Chinese new build recommences in 2019
EIA for three large reactors ACP100 SMR construction by end year

8. Capacity factor trends:
Improving performance of operating reactors
8

9. Reactors perform well over entire lifetime:
Mean capacity factor by age (2012-2017)
9

10. Reactors reaching 50 years of operation this year
Beznau 1, Switzerland
10
Ginna, USA
Nine Mile Point 1, USA
Tarapur 1, India
Tarapur 2, India

11. The world has a growing demand for clean energy
7 million people
die each year due
to air pollution
Almost 1 billion
people live without
electricity

12. More serious and urgent action is required on climate
BillionsoftonnesCO2equivalent
Business as usual
Where current climate
commitments take us
Where we need to be
Adapted from Emissions Gap Report 2018, UN Environment

13. More serious and urgent action is required on climate
BillionsoftonnesCO2equivalent
Business as usual
Where current climate
commitments take us
Where we need to be
Adapted from Emissions Gap Report 2018, UN Environment

14. More serious and urgent action is required on climate
BillionsoftonnesCO2equivalent
Business as usual
Where current climate
commitments take us
Where we need to be
Adapted from Emissions Gap Report 2018, UN Environment

15. IPCC identifies pathways to emissions reduction
to limit climate change to 1.5oC
15
In IPPC’s own P3 middle-of-the-road
scenario nuclear increases more than
five times from current level.

16. Harmony: a goal for the nuclear community
At least 1000 gigawatt
new nuclear capacity
by 2050
To meet the growing
demand for a clean and
reliable low-carbon mix.
25% of electricity
supply before 2050

17. Harmony Programme
The Harmony programme
provides a framework for
action, helping industry reach
out to key stakeholders so
that barriers to growth can be
removed.

18. There is no sustainable
energy future in the
absence of nuclear
energy.
Fatih Birol,
Executive Director,
International Energy Agency
“
”

19. Level playing field
OECD/NEA
report that high
shares of
renewables have
significant
system costs
19

20. Harmonized Regulatory Processes
“
”
…causes many
drawbacks for the
entire nuclear industry,
including developers,
vendors, operators and
even regulators
themselves
This results in
increased costs and
reduced predictability
in project execution

21. Effective Safety Paradigm

22. Harmony build rates 2016-2050
Construction rate doubled from
trend of 5GW/y or less to 10GW/y
Then we need to triple from
today’s level

23. Nuclear innovations for further decarbonization
SMRs and floating nuclear power
plants for local or remote communities
High temperature gas reactors
for industrial heat
Clean electricity or H2 to
decarbonize transport
Fast reactors and fusion for
extended fuel utilization

24. Further Information:
The Harmony Programme
www.world-nuclear.org/harmony
World Nuclear Association Information Library
www.world-nuclear.org/information-library.aspx
World Nuclear Association Reactor Database
www.world-nuclear.org/information-library/facts-and-figures/reactor-
database.aspx
World Nuclear News
www.world-nuclear-news.org
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