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Machine Learning for dummies!

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Machine Learning for dummies!

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Currently hundreds of tools are promising to make artificial intelligence accessible to the masses. Tools like DataRobot, H20 Driverless AI, Amazon SageMaker or Microsoft Azure Machine Learning Studio.
These tools promise to accelerate the time-to-value of data science projects by simplifying model building.
In the workshop we will approach the AI Topic head on!
What is AI? What can AI do today? What do I need to start my own project?

We do all this using Microsoft's Machine Learning Studio.
Trainer: Philipp von Loringhoven - Chef, Designer, Developer, Markeeter - Data Nerd!

He has acquired a lot of expertise in marketing, business intelligence and product development during his time at the Rocket Internet startups (Wimdu, Lamudi) and Projekt-A (Tirendo).
Today he supports customers of the Austrian digitisation agency TOWA as Director Data Consulting to generate an added value from their data.

Currently hundreds of tools are promising to make artificial intelligence accessible to the masses. Tools like DataRobot, H20 Driverless AI, Amazon SageMaker or Microsoft Azure Machine Learning Studio.
These tools promise to accelerate the time-to-value of data science projects by simplifying model building.
In the workshop we will approach the AI Topic head on!
What is AI? What can AI do today? What do I need to start my own project?

We do all this using Microsoft's Machine Learning Studio.
Trainer: Philipp von Loringhoven - Chef, Designer, Developer, Markeeter - Data Nerd!

He has acquired a lot of expertise in marketing, business intelligence and product development during his time at the Rocket Internet startups (Wimdu, Lamudi) and Projekt-A (Tirendo).
Today he supports customers of the Austrian digitisation agency TOWA as Director Data Consulting to generate an added value from their data.

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Machine Learning for dummies!

  1. 1. A N I N T R O D U C T I O N TO T H E M A G I C A L L A N D O F A RT I F I C I A L I N T E L L I G E N C E Machine Learning For Dummies
  2. 2. T H E D I G I TA L G R O W T H C O M PA N Y
  3. 3. Projekt Unsere Services Digital Products CRM Data Entrepreneur Network Creative Consulting Customer Digital Marketing
  4. 4. OUR MINDSE T The world is changing rapidly. We are fascinated by these upheavals. We are tackling digital transformation - together with our partners. We enjoy experimentation and demand to find the best digital solution for any given Problem!
  5. 5. 2011 Wurde die TOWA Digitalagentur gegründet. 28 Jahre ist unser Durchschnittsalter. 84 Mitarbeiter sind bei TOWA beschäftigt.
  6. 6. Philipp Freytag v. Loringhoven D IRECTO R DATA CO NSULTING Marketeer | Dev | Designer | Gamer | Chef
  7. 7. Artificial Intelligence Machine Learning
  8. 8. What is Intelligence? What defines Learning?
  9. 9. Intelligence A mental capability, that involves the abilities: ▪ to reason, ▪ plan ▪ solve problems ▪ think abstractly ▪ comprehend complex ideas ▪ learn quickly ▪ learn from experience!
  10. 10. Learning Learning is the transformative process of taking in data and turning it into information and knowledge – when internalized and mixed with what we have experienced so far – it changes what we „know“ and builds on what we do. It‘s based on input, proces and reflection.
  11. 11. Artificial Intelligence Machine Learning
  12. 12. DEF INITIO N It is the Science and engineering of designing intelligent machines, especially intelligent computer programs.
  13. 13. Miss by a faktor of 1000 2018: 33 Zettabytes 1 Until 2025: 175 Zettabytes 1 We just don’t know 1 https://de.statista.com/statistik/daten/studie/267974/umfrage/prognose-zum-weltweit-generierten-datenvolumen/
  14. 14. In Machine Learning, What is Better: More Data or better Algorithms?
  15. 15. PE TER NORVIG , GOOGLE DIRECTO R RESE ARCH We don’t have better algorithms. We just have more data.
  16. 16. What he means is: Better Data != More Data The issue is that better data does not mean more data. As a matter of fact, sometimes it might mean less!
  17. 17. E XPERTS MAKE ERRORS ASWELL The NASA lost 328 million $, because the systems within a satellite did not use the same units of measurement thoughout Quelle: Wikipedia
  18. 18. E XPERTS MAKE ERRORS ASWELL TARGET lost $5.4 billion in Canada, partly because its inventory system was loaded with incorrect data. Quelle: CanadianBusiness
  19. 19. Data comes in all forms and sizes
  20. 20. A feature is an individual measurable property or characteristic of a phenomenon being observed
  21. 21. Feature Examples ID Product Catrgory Name Color Size Sales 13 Clothing Pants Red 12 13 16 Shoes Wedges Blue 40 8 22 Shoes Ankle Boots Green 38 13 29 Accessories Necklace Yellow 3 3
  22. 22. „Big Data“ VOLME VERACIT YVARIE T Y VELOCIT Y
  23. 23. NATE SILVER , STATISTIKE R UND PUBLIZIST Data is useless without context.
  24. 24. Machine Learning is a group of algorithms used to recognize structures in data. The concept assumes that it is possible to train a model (algorithm) with data in such a way that it can make decisions. So what does ML do?
  25. 25. Machine Learning
  26. 26. Teach (train) a model (algorithm) with experience (data)
  27. 27. How does it work? INPUT DATA
  28. 28. How does it work? INPUT DATA Model ALGORITHM
  29. 29. How does it work? INPUT DATA Model ALGORITHM OUTPUT DATA
  30. 30. Classification supervised ▪ Labelled input unsupervised ▪ Unlabelled input x1 x2 x1 x2
  31. 31. Classification supervised unsupervised x1 x2 x1 x2 ▪ Labelled input ▪ Classification and Regression ▪ Unlabelled input ▪ Clustering and dimension reduction
  32. 32. Popular supervised Algorithms ▪ Nearest Neighbor ▪ Naive Bayes ▪ Decision Trees ▪ Linear Regression ▪ Support Vector Machines (SVM) ▪ Neural Networks
  33. 33. Popular unsupervised Algorithms ▪ k-means clustering ▪ Association Rules
  34. 34. What is deep learning?
  35. 35. ▪ AI > Machine Learning > Deep Learning Machine Learning
  36. 36. Artificial Neural Networks, we‘re copying our brain!
  37. 37. Artificial Neuron Inputs Output „Activation“
  38. 38. Artificial Neural Networks
  39. 39. Deep? = Amount of Layers (hidden) between Input and Output
  40. 40. ROGER KIMBAL Welcome to The Information Age. Data, Data Everywhere, But Nobody Knows a Thing!
  41. 41. Business ImpactTechnology Data Successful AI Project What makes a great AI Project?
  42. 42. Applications
  43. 43. Traffic Predictions
  44. 44. Generate Haikus from news
  45. 45. Colorization of Black and White Videos
  46. 46. Adding Sounds To Silent Movies
  47. 47. Object Classification and Detection
  48. 48. Smart answers in Google Inbox
  49. 49. Game Playing
  50. 50. Translations
  51. 51. Is Machine Learning the answer to everything?
  52. 52. Lets get to work!
  53. 53. Tools for your Choice ▪ Microsoft: https://azure.microsoft.com/de-de/services/machine-learning-studio/ ▪ IBM: https://www.ibm.com/de-de/cloud/watson-studio ▪ MlJar: https://mljar.com/ ▪ BigML: https://bigml.com/ ▪ Datoin: https://datoin.com/
  54. 54. Microsoft Machine Learning Studio
  55. 55. Predict survival on the Titanic
  56. 56. QUESTIO N Let's discuss, what do you think is the most important reasons passengers survived the Titanic sinking?
  57. 57. What we‘ll do 1. Signup to Microsoft Machine Learning Studio 2. Download the Data: https://tinyurl.com/y6qg2qh8 3. Load the data into ML Studio 4. Let‘s Explore the Data
  58. 58. Data Features ▪ pclass: A proxy for socio-economic status (SES) 1st = Upper 2nd = Middle 3rd = Lower ▪ age: Age is fractional if less than 1. If the age is estimated, is it in the form of xx.5 ▪ sibsp: The dataset defines family relations in this way... Sibling = brother, sister, stepbrother, stepsister Spouse = husband, wife (mistresses and fiancés were ignored) ▪ parch: The dataset defines family relations in this way... Parent = mother, father Child = daughter, son, stepdaughter, stepson Some children travelled only with a nanny, therefore parch=0 for them.
  59. 59. What we‘ll do 1. Clean Data ▪ Drop Name, ▪ Ticket ▪ Cabin 2. Convert Text Data to Numerical Data ▪ Sex ▪ Pclass ▪ Embarked
  60. 60. Evaluation Meaning ▪ Mean Absolute Error (MAE): The mean value of the absolute errors. (An error is the difference between the predicted value and the actual value). ▪ Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE): The square root of the average square of the forecast errors for the test dataset. ▪ Relative Absolute Error: The mean value of the absolute errors relative to the absolute difference between actual values and the average of all actual values. ▪ Relative Squared Error: The average of squared errors relative to the squared difference between actual values and the average of all actual values. ▪ Coefficient of Determination: This value, also known as the R square, is a statistical measure of how well a model fits the data.
  61. 61. In other words Small Errors = Good! High Coefficient of Determination = Good! The closer Coefficient of Determination is to 1 the better!
  62. 62. Contact me in case of digital! TO WA. THE D IGITAL GRO W TH CO MPANY TOWA ▪ Instagram: www.instagram.com/towa.digital/ ▪ LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/2099786/ ▪ Facebook: www.facebook.com/towa.digital ▪ Web: www.towa-digital.com PHILIPP ▪ Instagram: instagram.com/ploringhoven/ ▪ LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/philipploringhoven/ ▪ Mail: philipp.loringhoven@towa.at

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