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Restaurant Industry in India - Trends and Opportunities




Restaurant Industry in India - Trends and Opportunities
HVS International (India), Mr. Navjit Ahluwalia, Associate Director and
Mr. Dushyant Singh, Consulting & Valuation Analyst
        Research, Report Writing

Mr. Shyam Suri, Secretary General, FHRAI
       Editing, Report Fianlisation

Mr. Pooran Chandra Pandey, Assistant Secretary General (Research), FHRAI
       Hotel Questionnaire & Co-ordination

Mr. Raj Rajeshwar Sharma, Computer Data Assistant
        Design, Graphics, Pre-press & DTP


Printed by :
Published in April 2004 by:
Secretary General, Federation of Hotel & Restaurant Associations of India
B-82, 8th Floor, Himalaya House, 23 Kasturba Gandhi Marg, New Delhi - 110 001
Phones : (011) 23318781, 23318782, 23322634, 23322647, 23323770 Fax : (011) 23322645
E-Mail : fhrai@vsnl.com Website : www.fhrai.com

© Federation of Hotel & Restaurant Associations of India (FHRAI), 2004

Price: One copy free to concerned FHRAI members.
       (Additional copies at Rs. 400.00 for FHRAI members and Rs.600.00 for Non-Members.)
       US$50.00 for foreign dispatches




                                                 2
Contents



                                           Table of Contents


1.   Executive Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7

2.   Background Scenario and Numbers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11

3.   Analysis of Questionnaire Responses

     3.1 General . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .17

     3.2. Trends . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .19

     3.3. Financials . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .21

4.   Food Trends-At home and abroad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .25

5.   International Restaurant Chains & Franchise Opportunities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .29

6.   What is my Restaurant Business worth? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .35

7.   Conducting a Feasibility Study . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .41

8.   Restaurant Case Studies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .55




                                                                      3
Restaurant Industry in India - Trends and Opportunities




                           4
Foreword



                                         Foreword
FHRAI has been very active in our research studies, but we have done this first research project on
the restaurant industry in India. This present study on Restaurant Industry in India - Trends &
Opportunities has been conducted on our behalf by HVS International (India), which is a reputed
global consultancy company in the field of hospitality industry.

Some facts and figures on the operations of restaurants in India have been given in this study from a
questionnaire response from FHRAI hotel and restaurant members. The statistical analysis in the
report has used 165 such responses, which represents about 15% of the 1100 questionnaires which
were sent to our restaurant members, both independent and in the hotels. Apart from this analysis,
the researchers have also quoted some interesting demographic & economic data about the
consumers in India and their expenses on the food services. We are all aware about the boom in the
restaurant sector in India, particularly in the metro cities and other large cities. One anecdotal
evidence suggests that about two new restaurants are opening in Delhi and Mumbai every week
which makes it as 100 new restaurants in the year in these cities. These are in the organised sector,
and a huge growth is simultaneously taking place in the unorganized and informal sector also. The
Indian economy is on a high growth curve and experts believe that the economy can generate an
average 8% growth in the GDP on a sustainable basis for the next few years. This is bound to result
in high disposable incomes and higher consumer expenditure in the food service sector.

The report also gives an insight on how to carry out valuation of restaurants and feasibility studies.
It also gives average figures of operations and financial ratios for different types and sizes of
restaurants. There is also information on global trends in the restaurant industry and names of
multinational brands which are active in India and elsewhere. These facts and estimates should be of
great interest to new entrepreneurs as well as operators of existing restaurants. The report also has
four case studies, which narrate actual experience of 2 failed and 2 successful restaurants. Analysis
of these cases should help new entrepreneurs in a better understanding of the factors, which need to
be examined carefully in a new restaurant project.

I express my sincere thanks to Mr. Manav Thadani, Managing Director, Mr. Navjit Ahluwalia,
Associate Director & Team Leader and Mr. Dushyant Singh, Consulting and Valuation Analyst, HVS
International (India) for their work on this study.

I do hope that our hotel and restaurant members will read this research study with interest and it will
benefit them and the new investors in the restaurant sector in their operations and projects.




Vivek Nair,
President, FHRAI




                                                   5
Restaurant Industry in India - Trends and Opportunities




                           6
Executive Summary



                           1. Executive Summary

Purpose of the Study                                     advised to read the entire report for a
The Federation of Hotel and Restaurant                   comprehensive view.
Industries in India (FHRAI) engaged HVS
International to research the restaurant                 Background Scenario and Numbers
industry in India and identify both global and           Based on projections extrapolated from the
domestic food trends. 165 questionnaire                  Third Economic Census conducted in 1990, we
responses from independent and hotel                     estimate that there are approximately 500,000
restaurants in India provided the statistical            restaurants in India in the organized sector. This
basis for analysis of operations and financials of       figure is expected to rapidly increase as a result
the existing restaurant industry in the country.         of the changes in demographic and economic
In addition, a large cross section of                    factors which are having a significant impact on
professionals involved in the industry were              the restaurant industry in India. Increasing
consulted for their views. The report presents           urbanization and rising disposable incomes are
the results of the analysis and includes the             characteristics that are common across several
following:                                               emerging economies, particularly in Asia.
                                                         However, the pace at which this has taken place
    Background Scenario and numbers which
                                                         in India in the last few years is likely to continue
    includes an analysis of the demographic
                                                         over the next decade and will outpace most
    changes occurring in India and their
                                                         other economies in the region. In particular,
    potential impact on the restaurant industry.
                                                         Merrill Lynch estimates a growth in urban
    Analysis of responses collected via the              consumption at potentially 20% per annum in
    questionnaire representing a snapshot of             nominal terms (16% in real terms) for at least
    trends in the Indian restaurant industry.            the next 5-7 year period. In addition, higher
                                                         disposable     incomes      among        consumers
    A summary of key emerging global food
                                                         particularly in the top 25 cities and the trend
    trends as well as international restaurant
                                                         towards eating out are combining with growth
    chains that provide franchise opportunities
                                                         in organized retailing to fuel growth in the
    for operators in India.
                                                         foodservice sector.
    A guide on how restaurants are valued and
                                                         There are 10 million households in India with
    guidelines for conducting a feasibility study
                                                         average household income of Rs 46,000 per
    before opening a restaurant.
                                                         month and 2 million households with a
    Real life restaurant case studies on both            household income of Rs 115,000 per month.
    successful and not so successful                     Eating out has emerged as a trend, which is
    restaurants.                                         prevalent within this elite group. Two of out of
                                                         every five households in this group eat out at
Conclusions for each of these sections are
                                                         least once a month. There are 100 million 17-21
summarised below and discussed in greater
                                                         year olds in India, and six out of ten households
depth throughout the report. The reader is
                                                         have a child that was born in the post-




                                                     7
Restaurant Industry in India - Trends and Opportunities



liberalization era and has grown up with no            acceptance of new fusion concepts and
guilt of consumption.                                  establishing of the chef entrepreneur. In India
                                                       multinational restaurant chains had to make a
Sales by Indian food service companies totalled
                                                       downward price revision and offer more
Rs 350 billion in 2002. The organized sector is
                                                       vegetarian toppings to increase sales volume.
responsible for approximately Rs 20 billion
                                                       This led to a dramatic improvement in their
worth of sales. Indian consumers spend only 2.4
                                                       performance. They are also adding more spicy
percent of their food expenditure in hotels and
                                                       items in their menus to satisfy Indian taste buds.
restaurants (including on premises and take-out
sales). American consumers, by comparison              International     and   domestic      multi-unit
spend 46 percent of their food expenditure on          restaurant groups are expected to drive the
away-from-home meals. These demographic                expansion in the restaurant industry in India.
numbers represent a young nation which has an          Among the leading trends in this regard would
increased propensity to spend in restaurant and        be the expansion of quick service Asian
other food service sectors.                            restaurants, fusion concepts, restaurants with a
                                                       focus on entertainment, and ethnic and regional
Analysis of responses                                  cuisine restaurants.
An analysis of 165 responses out of 1100
questionnaire sent nationwide revealed some            Restaurant Valuations and Feasibility
interesting statistics:                                Studies
                                                       There have been very few restaurant
    A majority of respondents (53%) were
                                                       transactions that have taken place in India till
    restaurants that achieved an average check
                                                       date, largely because the restaurant business
    of between Rs 200 and Rs 400.
                                                       has not yet evolved into a mature business.
    The total number of employees employed             However, we foresee a fair bit of activity in this
    by 66% of the restaurants is under 40 with         area in the future: changes in market trends and
    only 3% respondents employing more than            competition, spurred by a huge expansion in the
    100 employees. The sample therefore                food service industry in all major metro cities,
    represented mid-size restaurants, which            would cause many restaurants to change hands
    are a majority in the country.                     from one operator to the other. Restaurant
                                                       valuation is a specialised art and appraisers of
    With regards to questions on tip and
                                                       restaurant real estate normally consider three
    sharing of tips, 83% of the respondents do
                                                       approaches to value: the cost approach, the
    not levy any service charge on the
                                                       sales comparison approach, and the income
    restaurant bill. In comparison, 77% of the
                                                       approach. Each approach has its own strengths
    respondents do not charge a service charge
                                                       and weaknesses, depending on the age and
    in banquets. A majority of the respondents
                                                       condition of the improvements and whether the
    (60%) have tip pools.
                                                       building is occupied by an operating restaurant
                                                       or is vacant. The cost approach is used to
Emerging Food and Restaurant Trends
                                                       estimate the cost of purchasing a site suitable
Some of the emerging culinary trends
                                                       for restaurant development and building a
internationally include the popularity of health
                                                       restaurant on the site, including the cost of
foods, use of fresh and authentic ingredients,




                                                   8
Executive Summary



landscaping the site. The sales comparison                 estimate for the restaurant. This investment has
approach considers recent sales of restaurant              to be compared with the returns being indicated
properties that are comparable to the subject              by the income and expense statement to
restaurant property in location, size, and brand           evaluate whether or not the restaurant
affiliation (if the restaurant was in operation at         envisaged is financially feasible.
the time of sale). The income approach
considers the actual or projected rental income            Restaurant Case Studies
that could be generated by a restaurant business           Four real life case studies are presented with the
occupying the building.                                    attempt to highlight critical factors that
                                                           determine the success or failure of a restaurant.
A feasibility study is much more than a site-
                                                           For each case study, we interviewed the
location study - this approach involves
                                                           entrepreneur and asked him/her to identify the
gathering and analysing a great deal of
                                                           key lessons learnt in running a restaurant. We
information, from demographics to design,
                                                           describe the experience of each entrepreneur,
which helps the operators make a better
                                                           together with their perceptions of where they
informed decision about the potential success of
                                                           were right, or where they went wrong. Two case
a specific concept at a certain location. In order
                                                           studies represent entrepreneurs who believed
to establish the feasibility of the proposed
                                                           they had the right idea as well as the resources
restaurant, one must first estimate the
                                                           to make a success in the restaurant business,
development costs of the project. By analysing
                                                           and they succeeded The other two cases
both development cost figures and current
                                                           highlight some of the factors that did not allow
market conditions, and by making adjustments
                                                           the restaurant to succeed and both of them had
for the specific characteristics attributed to the
                                                           to close down. The studies give the factors,
proposed restaurant (such as location, size,
                                                           which led to the success of these enterprises.
facilities, class and so forth), one will be able to
derive an appropriate construction cost




                                                       9
Restaurant Industry in India - Trends and Opportunities




                          10
Background Scenario and Numbers



         2. Background Scenario and Numbers

Significant economic & demographic facts                    urban consumption at potentially 20% per
India has arrived on the global roadmap. It is              annum in nominal terms (16% in real terms) for
the only country that has experienced                       at least the next 5-7 year period. What explains
acceleration in growth rates of per capita                  this phenomenon? The answer lies in the
income over the past decade. Almost all other               demographic shift that is taking place in India.
economies have shown growth rates lower than                To put it simply, India is producing a much
India's through the decade. Also, India's per               larger number of young people entering the job
capita income growth over the past five years               market compared to other Asian economies. The
(1997-2002) has outperformed that of other                  number of working-age adults in the country is
developed and major Asian economies, save                   rising at a fast pace. While this is true of China
China.                                                      as well, the pace of increase is faster in India
                                                            than in China. Thus, even with China's vigorous
India's per capita income grew by about 19% in
                                                            population policies, its per capita income
1997-2002, second only to China, whose per
                                                            growth is not rising as fast as India.
capita income grew by 39% during this period.
The only other emerging Asian country that                  The restaurant industry is an important
compares with India's growth rates is Korea,                component of our nation's economy, and
which has grown around the same rate as India.              employment opportunities in this sector should
Taiwan comes fourth with a growth rate of 13%               continue to grow in the future as a direct result
during the period.                                          of the demographic changes taking place.
                                                            Indian consumers spend only 2.4 percent of
During 1992-2002, India's per capita income
                                                            their food expenditure in hotels and restaurants.
grew by 46% - a rise of 980 basis points (9.8%)
                                                            American and British consumers, by
from the 36.5% growth rate observed during
                                                            comparison, spend 46 percent and 29 percent
1982-92. On the other hand, China has shown a
                                                            respectively, of their food expenditure on away-
decline in growth rate over the decade by as
                                                            from-home meals. This indicates that there is
much as 700 basis points (7%). And countries
                                                            significant scope for the growth of food service
such as Thailand and Hong Kong have seen a
                                                            sector in India in the years to come.
fall in growth rates by as high as 6,200 basis
points (62%) and 5,100 basis points (51%)                   A number of factors are driving increased
respectively.                                               foodservice sales in India:

Increasing urbanization and rising disposable               Growth in personal income- The increase in
incomes are characteristics that are common                 buying power of Indian consumers is driving the
across several emerging economies, particularly             growth in the foodservice sector. Apart from the
in Asia. However, the pace at which this has                growth in per capital income, as per figures
taken place in India in the last few years is likely        given above, there are other important factors
to continue over the next decade and will                   also contributing to this kind of consumption.
outpace most other economies in the region. In              Just 2.4 percent of Indian households earn 50%
particular, Merrill Lynch estimates growth in               of India's GDP The top 3.9 million households
                                                                           .




                                                       11
Restaurant Industry in India - Trends and Opportunities



have an average household income of                               households in middle, upper and high-income
approximately $35,000 per annum. According                        segments has grown by 12% annually.
to the National Council for Applied Economic                      Approximately 23.6 million households have
Research (NCAER), as indicated in Table 2-1,                      been added to the high, upper and middle
high income households in urban India grew at                     income segments of Indian consumers from
over 21.5% on a compounded annual growth                          1990 to 1998. These households have higher
basis between 1995-96 and 1998-99.                                disposable income per member and have a
                                                                  greater propensity to spend on food.
 Table 2-1 growth in per capita income
           by income classes                                      Urbanisation- Most high income Indian
Income Class*            Average Annual Growth in per             consumers live in urban India. Approximately
                         capita income (CAGR in %),               50 percent of households in the high, upper and
                         1995-96 to 1998-99
                        Urban            Rural       Total        middle income groups reside in urban areas.
Lower                    -10.8            -4.5        -5.5        Over one-third of urban Indian consumers
Lower-middle               0.9             7.7         5.6
Middle                     5.3             7.8         6.6        reside in less than one percent of the total
Upper-middle               9.9             8.6         9.3
                                                                  number of cities in India. The percentage of
High                      21.5            14.3        18.6
* inflation adjusted, comparable over time                        Indians living in cities has increased from 19.9
Source: NCAER
                                                                  percent in 1980 to 30.5 percent in 2000.
The consuming classes consist of 40 million                       Growing number of women in the workforce-
income-earners with a per capita income of                        The number of dual income households where
$4,000 (Rs. 1.8 lakhs) and 10 million with a per                  both husband and wife work is increasing. Over
capita income of $12,000 (Rs. 5.4 lakhs).                         16 percent of the population of Indian women
Consumers are also migrating up the income                        work full-time and spend most of their time
chain - from the "have nothing" to the "have                      away from home; this has been an important
some" to the "have more" to the "have lots" and,                  factor influencing the trend towards more meals
finally, "have all". These numbers for different                  away from home.
income groups are given in Table 2-2.
                                                                  Emergence of the Liberalisation Children-
 Table 2-2 No of Households by income                             There are a 100 million, 17-21 year olds in
                classes                                           India, and six out of ten households have a
No of             Category        Anuual          Monthly         "liberalisation child" (Post 1991). This is a
Households                   Income USD       Income Rs
2 Million           Have All       30,000         115,000
                                                                  generation that was born in the post-
10 Million       Have Lots         12,000           46,000        liberalisation era and has grown up with no
40 Million      Have More           4,000           16,000
100 Million     Have Some           1,500            6,000        guilt about consumption.
30 Million    Have Nothing            200              700
Source: IMA Research                                              The rise of the self employed- The proportion of
Conversion rate of 1 USD = Rs 46 was used for this table.
                                                                  self employed in urban India has risen to above
Shrinking household size- The size of the Indian                  40%, replacing the employed salary earner as
household has declined over the last few years                    the new "mainstream market". A Hansa
(from 5.9 people per household in 1990 to 5.5                     Research Group study shows the even in the
people in 1998). The total number of households                   'creamy layer', comprising the top two social
in India has increased by less than 3 percent per                 classes in towns having a population of 10 lakh
year from 1990 to 1998; however, the number of                    plus, in urban India, 40% of chief wage earners




                                                             12
Background Scenario and Numbers



in households are shopowners, petty traders,              households. Only 3.4 percent of the households
businessman and self employed professionals.              in those six metros qualified to be included in
Unlike the salary earner, the self employed use           the Platinum category.
products much more to signal success.
                                                          The average monthly household income (MHI)
Menu diversification- High-income Indian                  of a Platinum household is Rs 23,000. And,
consumers are seeking variety in their choice of          interestingly enough, every month, 60 percent
food. Urban Indian consumers are aware of                 of this amount is spent to maintain the life and
various international cuisines (Continental,              style of the household.
Chinese, Mexican, Italian, Thai and Japanese)
and an increasing number are willing to try new           Well-heeled Capital of India
foods.                                                    As per the study, every second Platinum
                                                          household is in Delhi. Mumbai comes next, but
Super Rich Defined                                        the probability drops down to one out of five. It
The Media Research Users Council (MRUC)                   is true that today, Delhi is, by far, the city of the
undertook a study of the incomes and spending             super rich of India. The city's Platinum
patterns of households and called it The IRS              households have an average income of Rs
Platinum. The data collected was then analysed            24,450. Mumbai earns the highest (Rs 31,970)
by the Communication Channel Planning (CCP)               and Bangalore earns the least (Rs 20,180). The
division of Initiative Media.                             chief wage earner of the family is highly
                                                          educated. In terms of occupation, he is
IRS Platinum defines super rich as any
                                                          predominantly a businessman in Mumbai,
household that has a colour television,
                                                          Chennai and Ahmedabad. In the other cities he
refrigerator, washing machine and a car. The
                                                          is either an officer or an executive at a senior
study was restricted to Mumbai, Delhi,
                                                          level. Moreover, eighty-eight per cent of
Ahmedabad, Bangalore, Chennai, and Pune -
                                                          Platinum households' adult members have a
the cities having a high proportion of
                                                          college-level degree.
households that satisfied the above criteria.
These towns account for 39 percent of all the             In these households the housewife is also highly
super rich households that reside in urban India          educated (68 per cent are at least graduates).
today.                                                    However, in spite of their high education, only
                                                          17 percent are working, either full-time or part-
It is interesting to note that metros such as
                                                          time. The average household size is 4.5, which
Calcutta and Hyderabad are missing from the
                                                          reflects the nuclear structure of the families. 85
list. These cities would have definitely qualified
                                                          percent of this elite group has its own house and
by the normal demographic parameters. They
                                                          is gradually going in to buy its second TV set.
missed out since the penetration of one or more
                                                          Almost all the households in this group have a
of the listed durables was low in these otherwise
                                                          cable and satellite connection.
large metros.

A sample of 5,226 households was surveyed by              If you have it then spend it
ORG-MARG on behalf of MRUC to understand                  The interesting part is the information that IRS
the lifestyles of the affluent, with media and            Platinum provides on the monthly family
consumer habits of such individuals and their             expenditures. The patterns are indeed very




                                                     13
Restaurant Industry in India - Trends and Opportunities



revealing. On an average 61 percent of MHI is              surprise package is Internet. It has already
spent to maintain the life and style of these elite        overtaken Radio (30 percent). Platinum
households. It rises to 69 percent in Ahmedabad            households are spending more time on the
and drops to 56 percent in Chennai. The                    Internet than on reading.
expenditure is tracked across 20 heads ranging
from the monthly electricity bill to the amount            Number of Restaurants in India
spent on last eating out. On an average, each              It is difficult to assess the number of restaurants
head accounts for about 5 percent of the total             in India. They receive their licenses from the
expenditure. The highest amount goes for                   local municipal authority, which is mainly a
monthly provisions accounting for almost 17                licence from the point of view of health and
percent of the total spend.                                hygiene. In certain bigger cities, there is also a
                                                           requirement of a license from the local police
Chennai is the surprise package                            for       starting      operations.      Restaurant
At city level certain interesting patterns                 establishments in semi-urban and rural areas,
emerged. Chennai had the highest average                   which may also include road-side restaurants
monthly telephone bill. Its residents spend the            and dhabas on inter-city roads and highways,
maximum on personal care products as well as               may not be possessing any license, from any
on cosmetics. Likewise, they spend the                     authority. It is, therefore, difficult for anyone to
maximum while eating out, on alcohol and                   compile statistics of all the restaurants in India.
beverages, on buying gifts and also on charity
                                                           We believe that the best effort in this regard has
and donations. Bangalore pays the highest
                                                           been made in the government census. We have
monthly rents, and spends the highest among all
                                                           figures available from The Third Economic
cities on maintenance and on travelling and
                                                           Census which was conducted in all cities/union
conveyance.
                                                           territories except Jammu and Kashmir during
In terms of occupation, it is the reflection of the        1990, along with the house listing operations of
Indian economy with 44 percent focussing on                the 1991 population census. We have not been
the manufacturing sector. Within this,                     able to access the economic census which may
engineering goods alone account for 8 percent              have been done in 2000, as part of the
of them. This is the largest skew across all the           population census of 2001.
three sectors put together. Financial services
                                                           The economic census of 1990 divided hotel and
including banks (5.5 per cent) and the current
                                                           restaurant enterprises in two categories, Own
favorite, IT and software (4.2 per cent) stand out
                                                           Account Enterprises (OAE) and Establishments
amongst the rest.
                                                           (Estt). The figures of the two categories have
In terms of their media habits, as expected,               been separately given for rural and urban areas.
almost all the Platinum households can be easily           Table 2-3 reflects the break-up of hotel and
reached through either the print or the                    restaurant establishments for rural and urban
television. Radio has lost out (25 percent), but of        India. Table 2-4 reflects data relating to the
those tuning in, almost 90 percent are tuning              state-wise distribution of hotel and restaurant
into FM.         However, unlike the West,                 enterprises in the country.
predominantly they tune in at home. But the




                                                      14
Background Scenario and Numbers



  Table 2-3 No of Hotel and Restaurant                                   categories. Although the overall PFCE is
           Enterprises in India                                          available for 2001-02, the disaggregate data is
Location     OAE      %            Estt    %        Total      %
Rural     459,134 42.6        133,240 12.4        592,374    55.0        available up to 2000-01. There were only nine
Urban     243,044 22.5        242,888 22.5        485,932    45.0        PFCE segments that have recorded continuous
Total     702,178 65.0        376,128 34.9      1,078,306   100.0
Source: The Economic Census   of India, 1990                             high growth performance and include hotels
                                                                         and restaurants.
If we assume that there may have been a growth
of 6% annually in hotels and restaurant                                  Another survey that captures eating out habits is
establishments after 1990, the number of                                 the Readership Survey. Table 2-5 and Table 2-6
establishments would have doubled in the 12                              illustrate the eating out habits of the sample by
years upto 2002. We therefore estimate that                              city and for the country as a whole. The survey
there are approximately 2.2 million or 22 Lakh                           helps in identifying certain trends as regards the
hotel and restaurant establishments in India in                          use of restaurants and frequency of their use.
the year 2002. We further estimate that of the                           The results indicated that Bangalore scored the
total figure, approximately 500,000 restaurants                          highest in terms of the percentage of
qualify as establishments in the organized sector                        respondents eating out more than once a week
with more than 20 seats, an entrance door, a                             followed by Kolkata and Chennai. On a broader
menu card and waiter service. As the number of                           level the all India average of respondents rarely
lodging or hotel units in these figures would not                        eating out was 70%, once again indicating the
be more than 20,000 or 30,000, we can presume                            potential that exists for the food service sector in
that the entire figure of 22 lakhs can apply to the                      the country in the years to come.
restaurant sector. For restaurants, the growth
patterns would be different for different cities,                         Table 2-4 Geographical Distribution of
with metro cities achieving about 15-20%                                    Hotel and Restaurant Enterprises
                                                                                       Own Account
growth and smaller cites about 5%.                                       State/UT        Enterprises   Establishments         All
                                                                         Andhra Pradesh       69,979            26,504    96,483
                                                                         Arunachal Pradesh       446             1,029     1,475
The eating out culture                                                   Assam                12,005            14,713    26,718
Eating out has evolved into a popular trend                              Bihar                39,822            21,599    61,421
                                                                         Delhi                10,917            10,642    21,559
among Platinum households. Two out of five                               Goa                   1,740             1,189     2,929
such households eat out at least once a month.                           Gujarat              14,759            12,945    27,704
                                                                         Haryana              11,971             5,426    17,397
This is highest in Bangalore (43 percent) and                            Himachal Pradesh      7,931             3,214    11,145
lowest in Pune (33 percent). It is estimated that                        Karnataka            60,093            34,429    94,522
                                                                         Kerala               71,472            27,483    98,955
Indians spend Rs 350 billion annually on eating                          Madhya Pradesh       39,248            24,412    63,660
                                                                         Maharashtra          47,828            52,237   100,065
out. Moroever, of this Rs 350 billion, the                               Manipur               2,174               794     2,968
organised sector accounts for only Rs 20 billion,                        Meghalaya             2,222             3,100     5,322
                                                                         Mizoram               1,010               619     1,629
suggesting a tremendous potential for growth in                          Nagaland                589               949     1,538
this area.                                                               Orissa               34,811            18,007    52,818
                                                                         Punjab               10,006             6,694    16,700
                                                                         Rajasthan            29,426            14,820    44,246
An analysis of National Accounts Statistics data                         Sikkim                  261               398       659
with regards to private final consumption                                Tamil Nadu           85,563            36,637   122,200
                                                                         Tripura               4,096             1,254     5,350
figures (PFCE) reveals interesting insights as                           Uttar Pradesh        73,911            28,760   102,671
well.   The    national    accounts     provide                          West Bengal          68,179            26,508    94,687
                                                                         Others                1,719             1,766     3,485
disaggregated data for 37 consumption                                    Total              702,178            376,128 1,078,306




                                                                    15
Table 2-5 Dining out Habits for seven Indian Cities
                                        Delhi       Greater Mumbai       Chennai        Kolkata      Hyderabad       Bangalore     Ahmadabad         Pune
     Eating Out In Restaurant       (000's)    %      (000's)   %     (000's)  %     (000's)    %   (000's)   %    (000's)    %    (000's)  %    (000's)   %
     More Often Than Once A Week       113    1.4        162   1.4       135 2.7        260 2.8         96   2.2      175    4.7       23  0.8       34   1.5
     Once A Week                       240    3.1        319   2.7       139 2.8        183     2      148   3.4      281    7.6       47  1.6       74   3.3
     Once A Fortnight                  211    2.7        320   2.7       152 3.1        115 1.2        127   2.9      271    7.3       80  2.7       65   2.9
     Once A Month                      579    7.4        976   8.3       675 13.7       362 3.9        268   6.2      492 13.3        228  7.7      243 10.9
     Once In 2-3 Months                470      6       1232 10.5        546   11       448 4.8        229   5.3      318    8.6      277  9.4      277 12.5
     Less Often/Only At Festivals      495    6.4        941     8       610 12.3      2143    23      134   3.1      293    7.9      253  8.6      235 10.6
     Rarely/Never/Can't Remember      5477 70.3         6792 57.9       2283 46.2      5442 58.4      3150 73.1      1817 49.1       1611 54.7     1143 51.5

     Source: Readership Survey




                                              Table 2-6 All India Urban Dining out Habit




16
                                                                                All India Urban
                                           Eating Out In Restaurants          (000's)          %
                                           More Often Than Once A Week          3068          1.7
                                           Once A Week                          4568          2.5
                                           Once A Fortnight                     3800          2.1
                                           Once A Month                        10046          5.5
                                           Once In 2-3 Months                   9858          5.4
                                           Less Often/Only At Festivals        14599            8
                                           Rarely/Never/Can't Remember        127822         69.6

                                           Source:Readership Survey
                                                                                                                                                                Restaurant Industry in India - Trends and Opportunities
Analysis of Questionnaire Responses



      3. Analysis of Questionnaire Responses

              3.1 GENERAL                                independent restaurants operating a single unit
                                                         and 19% were multi-unit restaurants operating
This study of Restaurant Industry in India-              two or more units. Moreover, 40% of the
Trends & Opportunities is based on data and              restaurants that participated in the survey were
comments provided by members of the                      owned by sole proprietorships, 15% were
Federation of Hotel and Restaurants Association          through partnerships and 40% were private
of India. In order to reflect a comprehensive            limited companies. Large hotel and restaurant
view of the restaurant industry, we have                 companies were conspicuous by their absence
included comments and data from both chain               and contributed only 1% of the total responses.
affiliated and independent restaurants.                  This can also be explained by the fact that large
About 1,100 questionnaires were sent out                 hotels do not maintain detailed/accurate
nationwide to independent restaurants and                financial break-up of costs by restaurant, as they
hotels. A total of 165 restaurants responded, of         use a number of central services like a common
which 90 responses were from the metro cities            laundry, housekeeping and security and, in most
of New Delhi (18), Mumbai (43), Kolkata (2),             cases, a central kitchen.
Chennai (6) and Bangalore (10). The remaining
75 responses reflected a homogenous mix from             Highlights & Characteristics
44 cities in India with the maximum responses            Table 3.1-1 on page 18 summarizes the
from Pune (11), followed by Agra (8) and Jaipur          responses to Section I of the questionnaire and
(5). However, it is important to note that               provides a view to some important
responses for the financial data were not as             characteristics representative of restaurants in
complete when compared to the general                    India.
questions. This factor combined with our                     The majority of respondents (53%) were
stringent criteria to accept only validated                  restaurants that achieved an average check
financial data resulted in fewer responses,                  between Rs 200 and Rs 400. The second-
providing us a total of 72 usable responses. As              largest group, comprising 36% of the
the data in the following paragraphs shows, the              respondents, had an average check of
respondents belong to the upper end segment of               between Rs 400 and Rs 650. A much
restaurants in India. They are the ones who are              smaller percentage of restaurants, 5% and
more organized to respond to questionnaires.                 6%, had an average check of either over Rs
This may not be a negative factor for this study,            650 or below Rs 200, respectively.
as they are usually trend setters which others
follow.                                                      60% of the respondents indicated full liquor
                                                             service and 5% indicated a license for only
Composition of Participating Restaurants                     wine and beer. 35% of the respondents
The survey indicated that 40% of the                         served no alcoholic beverages.
respondents were restaurants located within a                Multicuisine restaurants, serving a variety
hotel. A slightly larger proportion (41%) were               of cuisine including Indian, Continental




                                                    17
Restaurant Industry in India - Trends and Opportunities



and Chinese, constituted a fairly large                     restaurant on renovations was Rs 9 lakh.
segment (17%) of the respondents to the
                                                            A majority of restaurants (73%) responded
survey.
                                                            that they did not have a loyalty program. In
Recorded music (62%) is the most widely                     fact, we believe a much larger percentage
used entertainment in the restaurants. A                    of restaurants do not have any loyalty
number of respondents (17%) use live                        programs, but some hotel respondents may
bands.                                                      have confused restaurant loyalty program
                                                            with the hotel loyalty program.
The response with regards to the site and
building on which restaurants are located
                                                      Table 3.1-1 Composition of Participating
drew an almost equal response between                               Restaurants
owned and leased. This is also indicative of          Type of Ownership
the fact that a majority of restaurants               Sole Proprietorship                                19 %
                                                      Partnership                                        40
responding to the survey (63%) have been              Government Owned                                    -
in the business for over ten years and only           Private Company                                    40
                                                      Public Limited Company.                             1
6% of the respondents have been in
                                                      Type of Organisation
business for under two years. As leasing
                                                      Independent (operates one unit)                    41 %
restaurant buildings is a fairly recent trend,        Multi-Unit (operates two or more units)            19
                                                      Hotel restaurants                                  39
we assume that, had the respondents been              Others                                              1
skewed towards more recent entrants, the
                                                      Primary Type of Business
percentage of sites leased as opposed to              Fine dining (average check over Rs. 650)            5 %
owned would have been higher.                         Fine dining (average check over Rs. 400)           36
                                                      Fine dining (average check over Rs. 200)           53
                                                      Any Other (Average check below Rs. 200)             6
Almost all respondents are open for lunch             Limited service (only quick service / fast food)    0
and dinner. 44% of the respondents are
                                                      Liquor Service
open for breakfast and 13% responded as               Full liqour Service                                60 %
being open for nearly 24 hours. Most of the           Only Wine and Beer                                  5
                                                      No alcholic beverages                              35
last two categories must be hotel
restaurant.                                           Primary Menu Theme
                                                      Indian Mughlai                                     22 %
                                                      Indian Fast Food                                   10
The survey indicated that the majority of             French / Continental                                9
restaurants (38%) are between 50 and 100              Western Fast Food                                   4
                                                      Regional (eg. South Indian etc)                    12
seats.                                                Coffee Bar                                          4
                                                      Asian (chinese, Indonesian, Japanese, Korean)      15
The total number of employees employed                Mexican                                             2
                                                      Italian                                             4
by 66% of the restaurants is under 40 with            Multicuisine                                       17
only 3% respondents responsible for                   Any other

employing more than 100 employees.                    Entertainment in Restaurant
                                                      Live band / Show                                   17 %
Over one-third of the restaurants                     Television Monitor                                 18
                                                      Recorded Music                                     62
responded to having renovated their                   All the above mentioned entertainment               2
restaurant in the last one year but an equal          Any other                                           1

number also had not renovated for over                Site on which restaurant is located
three years. The average amount spent per             Land owned                                         30 %
                                                      land leased                                        11




                                                 18
Analysis of Questionnaire Responses


Building owned
Building leased
                                                31
                                                27
                                                                              3.2 TRENDS
Number of Years in Business                                    Section II of the questionnaire was designed to
under 2 years                                    6 %           highlight emerging trends within the restaurant
2 to 5 years                                    14
5 to 10 years                                   17             industry in India. The questions covered a wide
over 10 years                                   63
                                                               area ranging from employee hiring and
Restaurant's best estimate of sales if offered in %            motivation to locations and menu themes for
Take out                                            5 %
Outside Catering                                               new restaurants.
Banquet Services

Restaurant Opened for                                          Highlights & Characteristics
Breakfast                                       44 %           Below, we highlight some of the important
Lunch                                           96
Dinner                                         100             trends that emerged from the analysis of the
24 hours (nearly)                               13             responses received.
Number of Seats
Under 50                                         4 %               Referrals were ranked as the first choice as
5o to 100                                       38                 an avenue to recruit staff, followed by
100 to 150                                      31
150 to 200                                      14                 advertising, placement agencies and
200 to 250                                       7                 internet sites. Some respondents indicated
250 to 300                                       3
Above 300                                        3                 campus recruitments, walk ins and direct
Total Square Footage
                                                                   applications as other avenues used by them
Under 1,000                                      6 %               in this regard.
1,000 to 2,000                                  21
2,000 to 3,000                                  14                 Higher Salary, followed closely by Growth
3,000 to 4,000                                  18
4,000 to 5,000                                  17                 Prospects, were the leading motivation
Above 5,000                                     24
                                                                   factors indicated by respondents.
Total no of employees
Under 20                                        25 %               Respondents chose business people as their
20 to 40                                        41                 most important customer group. This is
40 to 60                                        13
60 to 80                                        12                 perhaps in line with the characteristics of
80 to 100                                        6
Above 100                                        3
                                                                   the majority of restaurants participating in
                                                                   the survey
Last renovation carried out
Under 1years                                    34 %               More than 80% of the respondents felt that
1 to 3 years                                    30
Over 3 years                                    36                 the culture of eating out has increased over
Total cost of renovating (Lakhs)                 9
                                                                   the last three years.
What services do you outsource/contract ?
Cleaning                                        20 %               With regards to what would be their
Payroll and Accounting                           9                 success formula for a new restaurant in
Laundry                                         52
Marketing                                        9                 terms of menu theme, 28% of the
Repair and Maintenance                          38
Food production                                  7
                                                                   respondents chose Multicuisine, 17% chose
Any other                                        7                 Indian Mughlai, 16% chose Asian and 10%
Do you have Loyalty program ?                                      pointed to regional Indian.
Yes                                             27 %
No                                              73                 Almost half the respondents preferred their
                                                                   restaurants to be located in a commercial




                                                          19
Restaurant Industry in India - Trends and Opportunities



    market, while 26% preferred to be located                Table 3.2-1 Trends as indicated by
    in a hotel.                                                         respondents

    The survey indicated that the majority of            What avenues do you use to recruit staff            Rank   *
                                                         Advertisements                                         2
    restaurants (38%) would price a new                  Internet Sites                                         4
    restaurant they opened between an average            Placement Agencies                                     3
                                                         Refferals                                              1
    per cover of Rs 200 and Rs 400.                      Any Other                                              5

    Over one-third of the restaurants use                What do you consider the most
                                                         important ways to motivate staff                    Rank
    imported raw food materials and 44% stock            Higher salary                                          1
    imported alcoholic beverages.                        Flexible working hours                                 4
                                                         Increased training                                     3
                                                         Modern restaurant/ kitchen equipment                   5
    A majority of restaurants (59%) responded            Growth prospects                                       2
    that they did not import or use imported             Any other

    kitchen or restaurant equipment. However             Who is your most important customer group?          Rank
    a significant 41% did.                               Business People                                        1
                                                         Tourists (out of town)                                 3
                                                         Families/housewives                                    2
    With regards to questions on tip and                 Parties for children                                   4
    sharing of tips, 83% of the respondents do           Young people (15 to 30 age group)                      5
                                                         Any other
    not levy any service charge on the
    restaurant bill. Among the 17% who do levy           Which success factors are most important
                                                         to you?                                             Rank
    a service charge, the median with regards            Quality of food                                        1
                                                         Entertainment                                          5
    to the percentage charged is 8%.
                                                         Quality of service                                     2
                                                         Promotion/ Marketing                                   4
    In comparison, 77% of the respondents do             Restaurant seting/décor                                3
    not levy a service charge in banquets.
                                                         Do you feel in the last three years the
    Banquets is mostly a hotel activity and it is        culture of eating out has
                                                         Increased a lot                                       58 %
    possible that those who said yes, were hotel
                                                         Remained the same                                      6
    restaurants. However, the 23% that do,               Increased marginally                                  29
                                                         Decreased                                              6
    have a median charge of 10%. A majority
    of the respondents (60%) have tip pools.             If you were to build another restaurant
                                                         today(what in your view will be a success
                                                         formula) ?
    Interestingly, where restaurants levy
                                                         What would be your Menu theme
    service charge as part of the bill, the              Indian Mughlai                                      17.4 %
                                                         Indian fast food                                      15
    median       percentage      retained     by         French/ Continental                                    1
    management is 25% as compared to 10% in              Western Fast Food                                      5
                                                         Regional (eg. South Indian etc)                       10
    case of tip pools. Also, the median                  Coffee Bar                                          5.16
    percentage retained by service staff is much         Asian (Chinese/Indonesian/Japanese/Korean)          16.1
                                                         Mexican                                                0
    higher in the case of tip pools (97%), as            Italian                                                1
    compared to a situation where service is             Multi Cuisine                                         28

    charged and the money distributed more               Would you prefer to be located in/attached to
                                                         A hotel                                               26 %
    equitably among all staff with the service           In a commercial Market                                48
    staff retaining a lower figure (53%).                Residential Area                                      14
                                                         A transportation center(airport, railway station)     13
Table 3.2-1, summarizes the responses to
                                                         What kind of Restaurant would it be?
Section II of the questionnaire on the trends.           Fine dining (average check over Rs. 650)              11 %




                                                    20
Analysis of Questionnaire Responses


Fine dining(average check over Rs. 400)
Fine dining(average check over Rs. 200)
                                                     33
                                                     38
                                                                              3.3 FINANCIALS
Limited Service (all quick service/ fast food)       19
                                                                  Section III of the questionnaire was designed to
Do you use imported materials?                                    capture the financial structure of the
Food and non alcoholic beverages
Yes                                                  37 %         restaurants in India. The questions covered the
No                                                   63
                                                                  profit and loss account. The section below
Alcoholic spirits                                                 highlights some of the important trends that
Yes                                                  44 %
No                                                   56           emerged from the analysis of the responses.

Kitchen or restaurant equipment
Yes                                                  41 %         Understanding Medians & Means
No                                                   59           This section utilizes medians for reporting
What is your policy on tips?                                      results. A median is defined as the middle value
Do you levy service charge in Rest. Bills                         of all amounts reported for a specific line item.
Yes                                                  17 %
No                                                   83           For example if we received nine responses for
% of bill amount                                      8
                                                                  number of employees-8,4,2,6,9,7,5,1,3- these
Do you levy service charge on banquets?                           numbers would be arranged sequentially (in
Yes                                                  23 %
No                                                   77           order of size) -1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9- and the middle
% of bill amount                                     10           value, 5, would be the median. 50% of the
Do you have a tip pool?                              60 %         responses received are below the value and 50%
Yes                                                  40           are above.
No

How do you dispose off the service charge? Median **              In conjunction with medians, lower quartiles
Retained by Management                         25 %               and upper quartiles are used to give a further
Managers                                       15
Service Staff                                  53                 description of the sample results. Medians are
Kitchen Staff                                  25                 used most often as we believe that the median
Others (e.g. office cashier, security, etc)    10
                                                                  gives less biased results compared to averages
How do you dispose off tips pools?                Median
                                                                  which are sum of all figures divided by the
Retained by Management                                10 %
Managers                                              10          number of figures. Medians keep the results
Service staff                                         97
Kitchen staff                                         29
                                                                  from being skewed by a few abnormal
Others (e.g. office, cashier, security)               10          respondents with higher or lower figures. For
                                                                  example if a few responding restaurants
* 1 is the hightest and 5 lowest                                  incurred very large operating losses, those
** Please see definition of median on page
                                                                  losses would be divided equally among all
                                                                  restaurants (when using mean calculations) and
                                                                  would reduce the average net profit of the entire
                                                                  group which, for the most part, may have
                                                                  reported respectable profits.

                                                                  Quartiles divide the responses into four equal
                                                                  parts, with medians still being the middle value.
                                                                  The "lower quartile" is the value that separates
                                                                  the lowest 25% of the respondents from the
                                                                  sample when arranged sequentially, while the




                                                             21
Restaurant Industry in India - Trends and Opportunities



upper quartile defines the boundary of the                important findings. A total of 69 respondents
upper 25% from the lower 75%. Stated another              completed the financial section of the
way, 50% of all responses fall between the lower          questionnaire.
quartile and the upper quartile. For example if
we receive 99 responses for a specific items and              Table 3.3-1 Trends as indicating by
the responses were numbered 1 through 99, the                            respondents
                                                                                                             In Rs.
median (or middle value) would be 50. The
                                                          Median Average Check                                  241
lower quartile would be 25 (25% of the                    Median Total Sales per full time equivalent
                                                          employee                                          311,974
responses would be below 25) and upper                    Median Total Sales per Square foot                  3,494
quartile would be 75 (25% of the responses                Median Income before income taxes
                                                          as % of total Sales                                4.51%
would be above 75). Fifty percent of the                  Median Total Cost of Sales                           40%
responses would fall between the lower and
upper quartiles.                                                The median average                 check   for   the
                                                                respondents is Rs 241.
It will become evident in reading this report that
columns do not always total when medians are                    The respondents reported income before
involved. The reason behind this is that each                   taxes of approximately 5% of sales.
line item is analysed separately. In Table 3.3-1,               Median total sales per full time equivalent
when all amounts are arranged sequentially, the                 employee is Rs 311.974.
median total sale per seat is Rs 81,638. This
figure is based on the 69 restaurants that gave                 The survey indicated that the median for
us information for this specific line item. The                 the percentage of food sale to total sale was
median per seat for total food and beverage                     76%. Beverage sale accounted for the
sales are Rs57,659 and Rs 18,564, respectively.                 remainder 24%.
These two amounts were analysed on a sample                     The median cost of sales as percentage of
of 61 and 40 restaurants respectively, which                    total sale was 40%.
gave us separate food and beverage sales.
Different sample sizes are one reason why                 Table 3.3-2 presents the income and expense
figures do not add up to the total shown.                 statement of the 69 respondents who provided
                                                          financial data. The data is presented both as a
There is another reason that columns in the               percentage of total sales and as amount per seat.
table do not total. When using medians, it is
important to remember that the median food                      The survey indicated that the median for
sales, the median beverage sales and the median                 the percentage of food sale to total sale is
total sales figures reported probably represent                 76%. Beverage sale accounts for the
the results of three different restaurants, even                remainder 24%.
thought the sample size of each may be equal.                   The median cost of sales as percentage of
This also holds true for lower and upper                        total sale is 40%
quartiles.
                                                                The upper quartile of income before
Highlights & Characteristics                                    income taxes is 11% and the median is 5%.
Table 3.3-1 summarizes the responses to Section
III of the questionnaire and highlights some




                                                     22
Analysis of Questionnaire Responses




                   Table 3.3-2 Percentage of Total Sale and Amount per Seat

                                               Percentage of Total Sales              Amount Per Seat (Rs)
                                        Lower       Median         Upper       Lower       Median       Upper
                                       Quartile                  Quartile     Quartile                 Quartile
Where it Came From
Sales
  Food Sales                              78%          76%          75%        42,988       57,659      61,225
  Beverage Sales                          22%          24%          25%        12,476       18,564      20,268
  Total Sales                            100%         100%         100%        55,294       81,638      78,040

Cost of Sales
  Food1                                   44%          43%          40%        18,824       24,646      24,322
  Beverage2                               37%          32%          38%         4,667         5,903      7,624
  Total Cost of Sales 3                   47%          40%          40%        25,882       32,515      30,917

Operating Expenses
  Salaries & Wages                        12%          12%          15%         6,739         9,619     11,606
  Employee Benefits                        2%           2%           3%           925         1,354      1,958
  Direct operating expense                 4%           7%           9%         2,392         5,434      7,099
  Music and Entertainment                  0%           1%           1%           129           467      1,042
  Marketing                                1%           1%           1%           425           640        970
  Utility Services                         2%           2%           3%         1,257         1,607      2,168
  Restaurant Occupancy Costs               2%           2%           4%           865         1,731      2,964
  Repair and Maintenance                   1%           2%           3%           582         1,359      2,217
  Depreciation                             3%           4%           5%         1,912         3,284      3,625
  Other Operating Expenses/ (Income)       1%           2%           4%           291         1,869      3,028

Total Restaurant Operating Expenses       37%          30%          35%        20,415       24,506      27,570
  General and Administrative Expenses      3%           4%           8%         1,809        3,599       6,408
  Corporate overheads                      1%           3%           8%           706        2,116       6,235

Total Operating expenses                  45%          49%          48%        24,994       39,824      37,775
Interest Expenses                          1%           2%           3%           709        1,453       2,101
Other Miscellaneous Expenses               1%           1%           2%           481          780       1,527

Income before income tax                   2%           5%          11%         1,172         3,679      8,667

1 Food Cost as percentage of Food Sale
2 Beverage Cost as percentage of Beverage Sale
3 Total F&B Cost as Percentage of Total Sale



Note: While reviewing Table 3.3-2, it should be borne in mind that for each line item the number of
responses received varied thereby making it necessary to view data in terms of medians and not as
averages. Also Income before income tax as a percentage can not be derived from simply subtracting
total expenses from the revenues shown above for exactly the same reason. Each revenue or expense
line item must be viewed in isolation, however the total expenses and income before income tax lines
indicate the macro picture as indicated by respondents in the survey.




                                                             23
Restaurant Industry in India - Trends and Opportunities




                          24
Food Trends-At home & abroad



              4. Food Trends-At home & abroad

Introduction                                               Indian, Southwest and Asian. Here are some
When restaurateurs want to spot emerging                   trends:
culinary trends they go to what they consider
                                                           CHINO - LATINO
the ultimate source - customers. Anecdotal
                                                           "Cuisine du Soleil" with Chinese cooking styles
evidence from restaurant customers is only one
                                                           and some exotic flavours.
way to spot trends. The print media and
television play a big role in establishing culinary        Example: Mezza 9 in Singapore
concepts and preferences, with food columnists
                                                           INDO-LATINO
and TV chefs endorsing one trend over the other.
                                                           "Cuisine du Soleil" with strong Indian Tandoor
However, the single-biggest factor influencing
                                                           preparations and typical herbs and marination.
culinary trends is population demographics.
Some important demographic changes have                    Example: Frangipani at The Oberoi in Mumbai
emerged in recent times: increased number of               NIPPON - SOUTH AMERICAN
working women with little time to cook at home;            Lukewarm Sushi, Sashimi with noodles and
a population that travels more and is exposed to           vegetables marinated in Wasabi-Soy dressing.
international cuisine; a population which is               Japanese type salads and Ceviche.
more concerned about its health; an increase in
expatriate population; and an increase in                  Example: à la Nobu in London or Felix in Hong
disposable incomes. And, beyond all these                  Kong
factors, is an indefinable spark that makes one            PACIFIC RIM
culinary item succeed and another fail. Chefs              "From down under" Australian flavours and food
are always looking for the next big thing,                 product mixing; Hawaiian and Japanese food;
something that will set them apart and put them            cooking fusion with lots of seafood and a
on the map. Sometimes it succeeds; sometimes               Californian spirit.
it doesn't.
                                                           FRENCH THAI
The following section presents an overview of              European ingredients cooked in Thai style
what culinary professionals and industry
analysts say are some of today's exciting                  Example: à la Vong (Jean Georg Vongerichten)
international culinary trends.                             also coming to India soon.


East meets West                                            Healthful and Flavorful
Whether it is called fusion or eclecticism,                Obesity has become a "four-letter-word" for all
blending cuisines is one of today's hottest                aspects of the food industry, whether grocery or
culinary concepts. Fusion is carefully selecting           restaurant-related. Consumers are looking for
foods from parts of the world that are not                 healthier choices and flocking to flavourful
geographically close and combining ones that               ethnic    cuisines    such     as  Asian    and
go well together. The combinations are                     Mediterranean foods. With an emphasis on
numerous-Thai and French, American and                     ingredients such as vegetables, grains and fish,




                                                      25
Restaurant Industry in India - Trends and Opportunities



these cuisines appeal to the health- minded                Back to Basics
consumer. Accordingly, food businesses are                 Although fusion food remains hot in many
responding and reacting in a variety of ways.              kitchens, other chefs and industry experts
Below are some of the current restaurant                   herald the resurgence of simple foods and
concepts in USA that are addressing health                 flavours. The trend in foods is going back to
issues.                                                    basics. People are tired of fusion food because it
                                                           became confusion food. It became anything
The most promising concept, mostly because it
                                                           goes with blending of everything. People are
has the muscle of Darden Restaurants (Red
                                                           starting to say, "We've had enough, just give me
Lobster, Olive Garden, Bahama Breeze, all in
                                                           a good steak."
the United States) behind it, is Seasons52
(www.seasons52.com). The test restaurant for               An increase in dining out has also spawned the
this casual dining concept is in Orlando,                  need for restaurants with casual, simple fare
Florida. Its name refers to the fact that every            such as brasseries, bistros and trattorias. That is
week of the year different foods reach their peak          not to say fine dining is out.
of freshness and taste and the restaurant's menu
                                                            "Comfort food" may have become a cliché - as in
changes and adapts accordingly. Calories
                                                           "comfort food TV" - but the desire to simplify
typically range from 300 to 375 for entrees,
                                                           and slow down is very real. In difficult times,
entrée salads and sandwiches and from 100 to
                                                           which were witnessed for restaurants in USA
200 for appetizers, soups, and desserts. The
                                                           post 9/11, we strive for something we can rely
trick to a 200-calorie dessert? Each is referred
                                                           on and hold on to, even if it's just a really good
to as a "mini indulgence" and each of the eight
                                                           sandwich from the local deli, a dish of fresh-
small selections fits in a tall shot glass.
                                                           from-the-oven roast chicken, or a wonderful
Founded by an executive from yogurt maker                  dark chocolate truffle. Food and dining are
Stonyfield          Farms,          O'Naturals             being called upon to be less and do more. The
(www.onaturals.com) is true to its name. The               eating experience must still be fast, convenient,
four Maine and New Hampshire units pride                   and if at all possible, healthy. Yet it is just as
themselves on offering all-natural and organic             important for it to not only be good value but
items ranging from steak and chicken to vegan              also provide us with relief and reassurance.
options plus childrens' choices.                           Fussy frou-frous and opulence for its own sake
                                                           are unnecessary. Many of the old French classics
With three units in the Chicago area, Wheaton,
                                                           - like coq au vin - are really very simple food.
Illinois-based         The      Fitness        Café
(www.fitnesscafe.net) positions itself as a
                                                           Chefs go casual;
healthy alternative to fast food. The owners
                                                           Chains go chic
believe in lifestyle change, not dieting. All menu
                                                           Upscale chefs are opening more casual
items list grams of calories, protein,
                                                           restaurants in New York, like Danny Meyer's
carbohydrates, fats, and fiber and sport names
                                                           Blue Smoke, Michael Lomaneco at Noche, Tom
like The Firm, The Flex, The Crunch, and The
                                                           Colicchio with Craftbar and Wichcraft, Bradley
Ironman. In India too, we have a similar trend
                                                           Ogden's Parcel 104 in California. "Roadside
with the opening of the health juice café chain
                                                           cooking being reworked for the Wine Country
marketed under the brand Amoretto's.
                                                           crowd" is the way San Francisco Magazine (July




                                                      26
Food Trends-At home & abroad



2003) characterizes Market, a St. Helena,                Larkspur, California it is the first raw restaurant
California-based restaurant recently opened by           to cast raw as haute cuisine dining. Another
a former chef from Jardinère and the ex-wine             popular raw dining spot is Quintessence in
director from The French Laundry. They are               Manhattan which has 3 locations.
cooking up mac 'n' cheese and pairing merlot
                                                         Clearly, this is a style of eating that will not
with meatloaf and were recently named one of
                                                         spread to the masses. It will have its day in the
the "Best New Restaurants in America" by
                                                         press and create interest and conversation. Will
Esquire's (November 2003).
                                                         it have a lasting impact on cooking and dining?
More chains are bringing classically trained             Perhaps. Yes it is extreme, but such movements
chefs on board and are adding culinary-                  can have residual-to-lasting impact. Don't
buzzword ingredients to their menu items like            dismiss it in total.
sun-dried tomatoes, pesto sauce, bruschetta,
focaccia, and baguette.       McDonald's, the            The Ubiquitous Sandwich
granddaddy of them all, has almost single-               Sandwiches are CHIC! From simple to
handedly brought chipotle, barbacoa and                  decadent, hand-held to knife-and-fork, from
carnitas into mainstream lingo with their                calorie-laden to light and healthy, whether a
Chipotle Mexican Grill chain. Even in India, Mc          snack or a full meal, as a comfort food or as an
Donald's Wraps, which are Mexican in origin,             adventurous       new      cuisine   experience,
are selling in huge numbers.                             sandwiches fit into every aspect of today's
                                                         lifestyles and are constantly being reinvented.
Even the quick takeout-lunch-at-your-desk has
                                                         Upscale restaurants are adding lots of new
become gourmet and somewhat highly-priced.
                                                         twists to this classic sandwich.
Takeout lunch five years ago was a Big Mac and
fries; now it's roast chicken with mozzarella and        .. BLT, GOAT CHEESE, AVOCADO & BASIL,
basil on warm focaccia, and the cost has risen           TOASTED ONION ROLL - Gustavino's, New
accordingly, with a price tag for sandwich, soup,        York
and a soda between USD10 and USD15.                      .. LOBSTER BLT - SWEET PEA REMOULADE
                                                         ON COUNTRY WHITE BREAD - Chadwick
Living Raw                                               Restaurant, Beverly Hills, CA
Today's food news is filled with the new
                                                         .. TEMPURA BATTERED FISH BLT WITH
restaurants and folks devoted to raw food. A
                                                         BACON, LETTUCE, TOMATO & MAYO ON A
growing number of people believe that eating
                                                         SOFT BUN SERVED WITH JERK FRITIES &
"living foods" extends youth and staves off
                                                         BACON AVOCADO RANCH OR ADD BACON
disease. Heat, they maintain, depletes food's
                                                         OR AVOCADO - Cuba Libre, Philadelphia
protein and vitamin content and concentrates
any pesticides. More important, it destroys              …RAWAS WITH RICADO ROJO, A YUCATAN
food's natural enzymes which, enthusiasts                RED SPICE MIX WITH TOMATO, BELL
claim, facilitate digestion. The premise is that         PEPPER, CUMIN AND GARLIC IN PITA-
only humans cook their foods and only humans             Basilico, Mumbai
suffer widespread sicknesses and ailments. One           …GRILLED ZUCHINI, AUBERGINE, BELL
of the restaurants getting the most press                PEPPERS AND SMOKED SCAMORZA -Olive,
coverage over "raw" is Roxanne's. Located in             New Delhi




                                                    27
Restaurant Industry in India - Trends and Opportunities



India is also seeing the spread of sandwiches           Fast food is finally here to stay. There have
with the opening of Subway and the Irish chain          been some failures but the success of Mc
O'Brien.                                                Donalds, Pizza Hut and Domino's Pizza
                                                        have caused some people to eat their
Chef-driven Cuisine                                     words. It is, however, important to note
With such diversity in culinary trends, there is        that the Indian consumer wants
something for every chef to add to his or her           "international desi" and that the Indian
menu. But the real trend may be for chefs to            palate is indeed addicted to a certain level
expand beyond what analysts have defined as             of spice. Any new international entrants
"what's hot and what's not" and to explore their        would ignore this fact at their peril.
own culinary creativity. A few who have become
                                                        There is a tremendous future for regional
international legends are Daniel Boulud, Alan
                                                        Indian cuisine restaurants. There are very
Ducasse, Jean Georges Vongerichten, Rick
                                                        few authentic restaurants offering regional
Bayless, Thomas Keller, Nobu Matsuhisa,
                                                        Indian cuisine and that is an area that
Charlie Trotter, Alan Wong, Douglas Rodriguez,
                                                        could witness significant growth over the
Jerry Traunfeld, Floyd Cardoz and Arun
                                                        next few years.
Sampanthavivat.
                                                        An increasing trend of freestanding
Better Ingredients                                      international cuisine restaurants serving
Savvy chefs have come to the conclusion that            Italian, Mediterranean, Thai, Spanish,
they're not going to come up with some brilliant        Korean, and other exotic cuisines.
cooking      methods.    Instead    they     are
                                                        The spread of Indian fast food as
concentrating on using better ingredients.
                                                        popularised by Haldiram's, Nathu Sweets
                                                        and others continues and remains a very
Food Trends specific to India
                                                        large market.
Although all the above trends being witnessed in
USA are applicable to India, some specifics             Pizzas, Burgers, Indian Tandoori, Chinese,
attributable to restaurants here are:                   South Indian & Thai continue to dominate
                                                        the take away business and is growing at
    An increasing trend toward vegetarian food
                                                        double digit annual rates.
    and an increasing trend of reduction in red
    meats




                                                   28
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities
Hvs   restaurant industry in india - trends  opportunities

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Hvs restaurant industry in india - trends opportunities

  • 1.
  • 2. Restaurant Industry in India - Trends and Opportunities Restaurant Industry in India - Trends and Opportunities HVS International (India), Mr. Navjit Ahluwalia, Associate Director and Mr. Dushyant Singh, Consulting & Valuation Analyst Research, Report Writing Mr. Shyam Suri, Secretary General, FHRAI Editing, Report Fianlisation Mr. Pooran Chandra Pandey, Assistant Secretary General (Research), FHRAI Hotel Questionnaire & Co-ordination Mr. Raj Rajeshwar Sharma, Computer Data Assistant Design, Graphics, Pre-press & DTP Printed by : Published in April 2004 by: Secretary General, Federation of Hotel & Restaurant Associations of India B-82, 8th Floor, Himalaya House, 23 Kasturba Gandhi Marg, New Delhi - 110 001 Phones : (011) 23318781, 23318782, 23322634, 23322647, 23323770 Fax : (011) 23322645 E-Mail : fhrai@vsnl.com Website : www.fhrai.com © Federation of Hotel & Restaurant Associations of India (FHRAI), 2004 Price: One copy free to concerned FHRAI members. (Additional copies at Rs. 400.00 for FHRAI members and Rs.600.00 for Non-Members.) US$50.00 for foreign dispatches 2
  • 3. Contents Table of Contents 1. Executive Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7 2. Background Scenario and Numbers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11 3. Analysis of Questionnaire Responses 3.1 General . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .17 3.2. Trends . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .19 3.3. Financials . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .21 4. Food Trends-At home and abroad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .25 5. International Restaurant Chains & Franchise Opportunities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .29 6. What is my Restaurant Business worth? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .35 7. Conducting a Feasibility Study . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .41 8. Restaurant Case Studies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .55 3
  • 4. Restaurant Industry in India - Trends and Opportunities 4
  • 5. Foreword Foreword FHRAI has been very active in our research studies, but we have done this first research project on the restaurant industry in India. This present study on Restaurant Industry in India - Trends & Opportunities has been conducted on our behalf by HVS International (India), which is a reputed global consultancy company in the field of hospitality industry. Some facts and figures on the operations of restaurants in India have been given in this study from a questionnaire response from FHRAI hotel and restaurant members. The statistical analysis in the report has used 165 such responses, which represents about 15% of the 1100 questionnaires which were sent to our restaurant members, both independent and in the hotels. Apart from this analysis, the researchers have also quoted some interesting demographic & economic data about the consumers in India and their expenses on the food services. We are all aware about the boom in the restaurant sector in India, particularly in the metro cities and other large cities. One anecdotal evidence suggests that about two new restaurants are opening in Delhi and Mumbai every week which makes it as 100 new restaurants in the year in these cities. These are in the organised sector, and a huge growth is simultaneously taking place in the unorganized and informal sector also. The Indian economy is on a high growth curve and experts believe that the economy can generate an average 8% growth in the GDP on a sustainable basis for the next few years. This is bound to result in high disposable incomes and higher consumer expenditure in the food service sector. The report also gives an insight on how to carry out valuation of restaurants and feasibility studies. It also gives average figures of operations and financial ratios for different types and sizes of restaurants. There is also information on global trends in the restaurant industry and names of multinational brands which are active in India and elsewhere. These facts and estimates should be of great interest to new entrepreneurs as well as operators of existing restaurants. The report also has four case studies, which narrate actual experience of 2 failed and 2 successful restaurants. Analysis of these cases should help new entrepreneurs in a better understanding of the factors, which need to be examined carefully in a new restaurant project. I express my sincere thanks to Mr. Manav Thadani, Managing Director, Mr. Navjit Ahluwalia, Associate Director & Team Leader and Mr. Dushyant Singh, Consulting and Valuation Analyst, HVS International (India) for their work on this study. I do hope that our hotel and restaurant members will read this research study with interest and it will benefit them and the new investors in the restaurant sector in their operations and projects. Vivek Nair, President, FHRAI 5
  • 6. Restaurant Industry in India - Trends and Opportunities 6
  • 7. Executive Summary 1. Executive Summary Purpose of the Study advised to read the entire report for a The Federation of Hotel and Restaurant comprehensive view. Industries in India (FHRAI) engaged HVS International to research the restaurant Background Scenario and Numbers industry in India and identify both global and Based on projections extrapolated from the domestic food trends. 165 questionnaire Third Economic Census conducted in 1990, we responses from independent and hotel estimate that there are approximately 500,000 restaurants in India provided the statistical restaurants in India in the organized sector. This basis for analysis of operations and financials of figure is expected to rapidly increase as a result the existing restaurant industry in the country. of the changes in demographic and economic In addition, a large cross section of factors which are having a significant impact on professionals involved in the industry were the restaurant industry in India. Increasing consulted for their views. The report presents urbanization and rising disposable incomes are the results of the analysis and includes the characteristics that are common across several following: emerging economies, particularly in Asia. However, the pace at which this has taken place Background Scenario and numbers which in India in the last few years is likely to continue includes an analysis of the demographic over the next decade and will outpace most changes occurring in India and their other economies in the region. In particular, potential impact on the restaurant industry. Merrill Lynch estimates a growth in urban Analysis of responses collected via the consumption at potentially 20% per annum in questionnaire representing a snapshot of nominal terms (16% in real terms) for at least trends in the Indian restaurant industry. the next 5-7 year period. In addition, higher disposable incomes among consumers A summary of key emerging global food particularly in the top 25 cities and the trend trends as well as international restaurant towards eating out are combining with growth chains that provide franchise opportunities in organized retailing to fuel growth in the for operators in India. foodservice sector. A guide on how restaurants are valued and There are 10 million households in India with guidelines for conducting a feasibility study average household income of Rs 46,000 per before opening a restaurant. month and 2 million households with a Real life restaurant case studies on both household income of Rs 115,000 per month. successful and not so successful Eating out has emerged as a trend, which is restaurants. prevalent within this elite group. Two of out of every five households in this group eat out at Conclusions for each of these sections are least once a month. There are 100 million 17-21 summarised below and discussed in greater year olds in India, and six out of ten households depth throughout the report. The reader is have a child that was born in the post- 7
  • 8. Restaurant Industry in India - Trends and Opportunities liberalization era and has grown up with no acceptance of new fusion concepts and guilt of consumption. establishing of the chef entrepreneur. In India multinational restaurant chains had to make a Sales by Indian food service companies totalled downward price revision and offer more Rs 350 billion in 2002. The organized sector is vegetarian toppings to increase sales volume. responsible for approximately Rs 20 billion This led to a dramatic improvement in their worth of sales. Indian consumers spend only 2.4 performance. They are also adding more spicy percent of their food expenditure in hotels and items in their menus to satisfy Indian taste buds. restaurants (including on premises and take-out sales). American consumers, by comparison International and domestic multi-unit spend 46 percent of their food expenditure on restaurant groups are expected to drive the away-from-home meals. These demographic expansion in the restaurant industry in India. numbers represent a young nation which has an Among the leading trends in this regard would increased propensity to spend in restaurant and be the expansion of quick service Asian other food service sectors. restaurants, fusion concepts, restaurants with a focus on entertainment, and ethnic and regional Analysis of responses cuisine restaurants. An analysis of 165 responses out of 1100 questionnaire sent nationwide revealed some Restaurant Valuations and Feasibility interesting statistics: Studies There have been very few restaurant A majority of respondents (53%) were transactions that have taken place in India till restaurants that achieved an average check date, largely because the restaurant business of between Rs 200 and Rs 400. has not yet evolved into a mature business. The total number of employees employed However, we foresee a fair bit of activity in this by 66% of the restaurants is under 40 with area in the future: changes in market trends and only 3% respondents employing more than competition, spurred by a huge expansion in the 100 employees. The sample therefore food service industry in all major metro cities, represented mid-size restaurants, which would cause many restaurants to change hands are a majority in the country. from one operator to the other. Restaurant valuation is a specialised art and appraisers of With regards to questions on tip and restaurant real estate normally consider three sharing of tips, 83% of the respondents do approaches to value: the cost approach, the not levy any service charge on the sales comparison approach, and the income restaurant bill. In comparison, 77% of the approach. Each approach has its own strengths respondents do not charge a service charge and weaknesses, depending on the age and in banquets. A majority of the respondents condition of the improvements and whether the (60%) have tip pools. building is occupied by an operating restaurant or is vacant. The cost approach is used to Emerging Food and Restaurant Trends estimate the cost of purchasing a site suitable Some of the emerging culinary trends for restaurant development and building a internationally include the popularity of health restaurant on the site, including the cost of foods, use of fresh and authentic ingredients, 8
  • 9. Executive Summary landscaping the site. The sales comparison estimate for the restaurant. This investment has approach considers recent sales of restaurant to be compared with the returns being indicated properties that are comparable to the subject by the income and expense statement to restaurant property in location, size, and brand evaluate whether or not the restaurant affiliation (if the restaurant was in operation at envisaged is financially feasible. the time of sale). The income approach considers the actual or projected rental income Restaurant Case Studies that could be generated by a restaurant business Four real life case studies are presented with the occupying the building. attempt to highlight critical factors that determine the success or failure of a restaurant. A feasibility study is much more than a site- For each case study, we interviewed the location study - this approach involves entrepreneur and asked him/her to identify the gathering and analysing a great deal of key lessons learnt in running a restaurant. We information, from demographics to design, describe the experience of each entrepreneur, which helps the operators make a better together with their perceptions of where they informed decision about the potential success of were right, or where they went wrong. Two case a specific concept at a certain location. In order studies represent entrepreneurs who believed to establish the feasibility of the proposed they had the right idea as well as the resources restaurant, one must first estimate the to make a success in the restaurant business, development costs of the project. By analysing and they succeeded The other two cases both development cost figures and current highlight some of the factors that did not allow market conditions, and by making adjustments the restaurant to succeed and both of them had for the specific characteristics attributed to the to close down. The studies give the factors, proposed restaurant (such as location, size, which led to the success of these enterprises. facilities, class and so forth), one will be able to derive an appropriate construction cost 9
  • 10. Restaurant Industry in India - Trends and Opportunities 10
  • 11. Background Scenario and Numbers 2. Background Scenario and Numbers Significant economic & demographic facts urban consumption at potentially 20% per India has arrived on the global roadmap. It is annum in nominal terms (16% in real terms) for the only country that has experienced at least the next 5-7 year period. What explains acceleration in growth rates of per capita this phenomenon? The answer lies in the income over the past decade. Almost all other demographic shift that is taking place in India. economies have shown growth rates lower than To put it simply, India is producing a much India's through the decade. Also, India's per larger number of young people entering the job capita income growth over the past five years market compared to other Asian economies. The (1997-2002) has outperformed that of other number of working-age adults in the country is developed and major Asian economies, save rising at a fast pace. While this is true of China China. as well, the pace of increase is faster in India than in China. Thus, even with China's vigorous India's per capita income grew by about 19% in population policies, its per capita income 1997-2002, second only to China, whose per growth is not rising as fast as India. capita income grew by 39% during this period. The only other emerging Asian country that The restaurant industry is an important compares with India's growth rates is Korea, component of our nation's economy, and which has grown around the same rate as India. employment opportunities in this sector should Taiwan comes fourth with a growth rate of 13% continue to grow in the future as a direct result during the period. of the demographic changes taking place. Indian consumers spend only 2.4 percent of During 1992-2002, India's per capita income their food expenditure in hotels and restaurants. grew by 46% - a rise of 980 basis points (9.8%) American and British consumers, by from the 36.5% growth rate observed during comparison, spend 46 percent and 29 percent 1982-92. On the other hand, China has shown a respectively, of their food expenditure on away- decline in growth rate over the decade by as from-home meals. This indicates that there is much as 700 basis points (7%). And countries significant scope for the growth of food service such as Thailand and Hong Kong have seen a sector in India in the years to come. fall in growth rates by as high as 6,200 basis points (62%) and 5,100 basis points (51%) A number of factors are driving increased respectively. foodservice sales in India: Increasing urbanization and rising disposable Growth in personal income- The increase in incomes are characteristics that are common buying power of Indian consumers is driving the across several emerging economies, particularly growth in the foodservice sector. Apart from the in Asia. However, the pace at which this has growth in per capital income, as per figures taken place in India in the last few years is likely given above, there are other important factors to continue over the next decade and will also contributing to this kind of consumption. outpace most other economies in the region. In Just 2.4 percent of Indian households earn 50% particular, Merrill Lynch estimates growth in of India's GDP The top 3.9 million households . 11
  • 12. Restaurant Industry in India - Trends and Opportunities have an average household income of households in middle, upper and high-income approximately $35,000 per annum. According segments has grown by 12% annually. to the National Council for Applied Economic Approximately 23.6 million households have Research (NCAER), as indicated in Table 2-1, been added to the high, upper and middle high income households in urban India grew at income segments of Indian consumers from over 21.5% on a compounded annual growth 1990 to 1998. These households have higher basis between 1995-96 and 1998-99. disposable income per member and have a greater propensity to spend on food. Table 2-1 growth in per capita income by income classes Urbanisation- Most high income Indian Income Class* Average Annual Growth in per consumers live in urban India. Approximately capita income (CAGR in %), 50 percent of households in the high, upper and 1995-96 to 1998-99 Urban Rural Total middle income groups reside in urban areas. Lower -10.8 -4.5 -5.5 Over one-third of urban Indian consumers Lower-middle 0.9 7.7 5.6 Middle 5.3 7.8 6.6 reside in less than one percent of the total Upper-middle 9.9 8.6 9.3 number of cities in India. The percentage of High 21.5 14.3 18.6 * inflation adjusted, comparable over time Indians living in cities has increased from 19.9 Source: NCAER percent in 1980 to 30.5 percent in 2000. The consuming classes consist of 40 million Growing number of women in the workforce- income-earners with a per capita income of The number of dual income households where $4,000 (Rs. 1.8 lakhs) and 10 million with a per both husband and wife work is increasing. Over capita income of $12,000 (Rs. 5.4 lakhs). 16 percent of the population of Indian women Consumers are also migrating up the income work full-time and spend most of their time chain - from the "have nothing" to the "have away from home; this has been an important some" to the "have more" to the "have lots" and, factor influencing the trend towards more meals finally, "have all". These numbers for different away from home. income groups are given in Table 2-2. Emergence of the Liberalisation Children- Table 2-2 No of Households by income There are a 100 million, 17-21 year olds in classes India, and six out of ten households have a No of Category Anuual Monthly "liberalisation child" (Post 1991). This is a Households Income USD Income Rs 2 Million Have All 30,000 115,000 generation that was born in the post- 10 Million Have Lots 12,000 46,000 liberalisation era and has grown up with no 40 Million Have More 4,000 16,000 100 Million Have Some 1,500 6,000 guilt about consumption. 30 Million Have Nothing 200 700 Source: IMA Research The rise of the self employed- The proportion of Conversion rate of 1 USD = Rs 46 was used for this table. self employed in urban India has risen to above Shrinking household size- The size of the Indian 40%, replacing the employed salary earner as household has declined over the last few years the new "mainstream market". A Hansa (from 5.9 people per household in 1990 to 5.5 Research Group study shows the even in the people in 1998). The total number of households 'creamy layer', comprising the top two social in India has increased by less than 3 percent per classes in towns having a population of 10 lakh year from 1990 to 1998; however, the number of plus, in urban India, 40% of chief wage earners 12
  • 13. Background Scenario and Numbers in households are shopowners, petty traders, households. Only 3.4 percent of the households businessman and self employed professionals. in those six metros qualified to be included in Unlike the salary earner, the self employed use the Platinum category. products much more to signal success. The average monthly household income (MHI) Menu diversification- High-income Indian of a Platinum household is Rs 23,000. And, consumers are seeking variety in their choice of interestingly enough, every month, 60 percent food. Urban Indian consumers are aware of of this amount is spent to maintain the life and various international cuisines (Continental, style of the household. Chinese, Mexican, Italian, Thai and Japanese) and an increasing number are willing to try new Well-heeled Capital of India foods. As per the study, every second Platinum household is in Delhi. Mumbai comes next, but Super Rich Defined the probability drops down to one out of five. It The Media Research Users Council (MRUC) is true that today, Delhi is, by far, the city of the undertook a study of the incomes and spending super rich of India. The city's Platinum patterns of households and called it The IRS households have an average income of Rs Platinum. The data collected was then analysed 24,450. Mumbai earns the highest (Rs 31,970) by the Communication Channel Planning (CCP) and Bangalore earns the least (Rs 20,180). The division of Initiative Media. chief wage earner of the family is highly educated. In terms of occupation, he is IRS Platinum defines super rich as any predominantly a businessman in Mumbai, household that has a colour television, Chennai and Ahmedabad. In the other cities he refrigerator, washing machine and a car. The is either an officer or an executive at a senior study was restricted to Mumbai, Delhi, level. Moreover, eighty-eight per cent of Ahmedabad, Bangalore, Chennai, and Pune - Platinum households' adult members have a the cities having a high proportion of college-level degree. households that satisfied the above criteria. These towns account for 39 percent of all the In these households the housewife is also highly super rich households that reside in urban India educated (68 per cent are at least graduates). today. However, in spite of their high education, only 17 percent are working, either full-time or part- It is interesting to note that metros such as time. The average household size is 4.5, which Calcutta and Hyderabad are missing from the reflects the nuclear structure of the families. 85 list. These cities would have definitely qualified percent of this elite group has its own house and by the normal demographic parameters. They is gradually going in to buy its second TV set. missed out since the penetration of one or more Almost all the households in this group have a of the listed durables was low in these otherwise cable and satellite connection. large metros. A sample of 5,226 households was surveyed by If you have it then spend it ORG-MARG on behalf of MRUC to understand The interesting part is the information that IRS the lifestyles of the affluent, with media and Platinum provides on the monthly family consumer habits of such individuals and their expenditures. The patterns are indeed very 13
  • 14. Restaurant Industry in India - Trends and Opportunities revealing. On an average 61 percent of MHI is surprise package is Internet. It has already spent to maintain the life and style of these elite overtaken Radio (30 percent). Platinum households. It rises to 69 percent in Ahmedabad households are spending more time on the and drops to 56 percent in Chennai. The Internet than on reading. expenditure is tracked across 20 heads ranging from the monthly electricity bill to the amount Number of Restaurants in India spent on last eating out. On an average, each It is difficult to assess the number of restaurants head accounts for about 5 percent of the total in India. They receive their licenses from the expenditure. The highest amount goes for local municipal authority, which is mainly a monthly provisions accounting for almost 17 licence from the point of view of health and percent of the total spend. hygiene. In certain bigger cities, there is also a requirement of a license from the local police Chennai is the surprise package for starting operations. Restaurant At city level certain interesting patterns establishments in semi-urban and rural areas, emerged. Chennai had the highest average which may also include road-side restaurants monthly telephone bill. Its residents spend the and dhabas on inter-city roads and highways, maximum on personal care products as well as may not be possessing any license, from any on cosmetics. Likewise, they spend the authority. It is, therefore, difficult for anyone to maximum while eating out, on alcohol and compile statistics of all the restaurants in India. beverages, on buying gifts and also on charity We believe that the best effort in this regard has and donations. Bangalore pays the highest been made in the government census. We have monthly rents, and spends the highest among all figures available from The Third Economic cities on maintenance and on travelling and Census which was conducted in all cities/union conveyance. territories except Jammu and Kashmir during In terms of occupation, it is the reflection of the 1990, along with the house listing operations of Indian economy with 44 percent focussing on the 1991 population census. We have not been the manufacturing sector. Within this, able to access the economic census which may engineering goods alone account for 8 percent have been done in 2000, as part of the of them. This is the largest skew across all the population census of 2001. three sectors put together. Financial services The economic census of 1990 divided hotel and including banks (5.5 per cent) and the current restaurant enterprises in two categories, Own favorite, IT and software (4.2 per cent) stand out Account Enterprises (OAE) and Establishments amongst the rest. (Estt). The figures of the two categories have In terms of their media habits, as expected, been separately given for rural and urban areas. almost all the Platinum households can be easily Table 2-3 reflects the break-up of hotel and reached through either the print or the restaurant establishments for rural and urban television. Radio has lost out (25 percent), but of India. Table 2-4 reflects data relating to the those tuning in, almost 90 percent are tuning state-wise distribution of hotel and restaurant into FM. However, unlike the West, enterprises in the country. predominantly they tune in at home. But the 14
  • 15. Background Scenario and Numbers Table 2-3 No of Hotel and Restaurant categories. Although the overall PFCE is Enterprises in India available for 2001-02, the disaggregate data is Location OAE % Estt % Total % Rural 459,134 42.6 133,240 12.4 592,374 55.0 available up to 2000-01. There were only nine Urban 243,044 22.5 242,888 22.5 485,932 45.0 PFCE segments that have recorded continuous Total 702,178 65.0 376,128 34.9 1,078,306 100.0 Source: The Economic Census of India, 1990 high growth performance and include hotels and restaurants. If we assume that there may have been a growth of 6% annually in hotels and restaurant Another survey that captures eating out habits is establishments after 1990, the number of the Readership Survey. Table 2-5 and Table 2-6 establishments would have doubled in the 12 illustrate the eating out habits of the sample by years upto 2002. We therefore estimate that city and for the country as a whole. The survey there are approximately 2.2 million or 22 Lakh helps in identifying certain trends as regards the hotel and restaurant establishments in India in use of restaurants and frequency of their use. the year 2002. We further estimate that of the The results indicated that Bangalore scored the total figure, approximately 500,000 restaurants highest in terms of the percentage of qualify as establishments in the organized sector respondents eating out more than once a week with more than 20 seats, an entrance door, a followed by Kolkata and Chennai. On a broader menu card and waiter service. As the number of level the all India average of respondents rarely lodging or hotel units in these figures would not eating out was 70%, once again indicating the be more than 20,000 or 30,000, we can presume potential that exists for the food service sector in that the entire figure of 22 lakhs can apply to the the country in the years to come. restaurant sector. For restaurants, the growth patterns would be different for different cities, Table 2-4 Geographical Distribution of with metro cities achieving about 15-20% Hotel and Restaurant Enterprises Own Account growth and smaller cites about 5%. State/UT Enterprises Establishments All Andhra Pradesh 69,979 26,504 96,483 Arunachal Pradesh 446 1,029 1,475 The eating out culture Assam 12,005 14,713 26,718 Eating out has evolved into a popular trend Bihar 39,822 21,599 61,421 Delhi 10,917 10,642 21,559 among Platinum households. Two out of five Goa 1,740 1,189 2,929 such households eat out at least once a month. Gujarat 14,759 12,945 27,704 Haryana 11,971 5,426 17,397 This is highest in Bangalore (43 percent) and Himachal Pradesh 7,931 3,214 11,145 lowest in Pune (33 percent). It is estimated that Karnataka 60,093 34,429 94,522 Kerala 71,472 27,483 98,955 Indians spend Rs 350 billion annually on eating Madhya Pradesh 39,248 24,412 63,660 Maharashtra 47,828 52,237 100,065 out. Moroever, of this Rs 350 billion, the Manipur 2,174 794 2,968 organised sector accounts for only Rs 20 billion, Meghalaya 2,222 3,100 5,322 Mizoram 1,010 619 1,629 suggesting a tremendous potential for growth in Nagaland 589 949 1,538 this area. Orissa 34,811 18,007 52,818 Punjab 10,006 6,694 16,700 Rajasthan 29,426 14,820 44,246 An analysis of National Accounts Statistics data Sikkim 261 398 659 with regards to private final consumption Tamil Nadu 85,563 36,637 122,200 Tripura 4,096 1,254 5,350 figures (PFCE) reveals interesting insights as Uttar Pradesh 73,911 28,760 102,671 well. The national accounts provide West Bengal 68,179 26,508 94,687 Others 1,719 1,766 3,485 disaggregated data for 37 consumption Total 702,178 376,128 1,078,306 15
  • 16. Table 2-5 Dining out Habits for seven Indian Cities Delhi Greater Mumbai Chennai Kolkata Hyderabad Bangalore Ahmadabad Pune Eating Out In Restaurant (000's) % (000's) % (000's) % (000's) % (000's) % (000's) % (000's) % (000's) % More Often Than Once A Week 113 1.4 162 1.4 135 2.7 260 2.8 96 2.2 175 4.7 23 0.8 34 1.5 Once A Week 240 3.1 319 2.7 139 2.8 183 2 148 3.4 281 7.6 47 1.6 74 3.3 Once A Fortnight 211 2.7 320 2.7 152 3.1 115 1.2 127 2.9 271 7.3 80 2.7 65 2.9 Once A Month 579 7.4 976 8.3 675 13.7 362 3.9 268 6.2 492 13.3 228 7.7 243 10.9 Once In 2-3 Months 470 6 1232 10.5 546 11 448 4.8 229 5.3 318 8.6 277 9.4 277 12.5 Less Often/Only At Festivals 495 6.4 941 8 610 12.3 2143 23 134 3.1 293 7.9 253 8.6 235 10.6 Rarely/Never/Can't Remember 5477 70.3 6792 57.9 2283 46.2 5442 58.4 3150 73.1 1817 49.1 1611 54.7 1143 51.5 Source: Readership Survey Table 2-6 All India Urban Dining out Habit 16 All India Urban Eating Out In Restaurants (000's) % More Often Than Once A Week 3068 1.7 Once A Week 4568 2.5 Once A Fortnight 3800 2.1 Once A Month 10046 5.5 Once In 2-3 Months 9858 5.4 Less Often/Only At Festivals 14599 8 Rarely/Never/Can't Remember 127822 69.6 Source:Readership Survey Restaurant Industry in India - Trends and Opportunities
  • 17. Analysis of Questionnaire Responses 3. Analysis of Questionnaire Responses 3.1 GENERAL independent restaurants operating a single unit and 19% were multi-unit restaurants operating This study of Restaurant Industry in India- two or more units. Moreover, 40% of the Trends & Opportunities is based on data and restaurants that participated in the survey were comments provided by members of the owned by sole proprietorships, 15% were Federation of Hotel and Restaurants Association through partnerships and 40% were private of India. In order to reflect a comprehensive limited companies. Large hotel and restaurant view of the restaurant industry, we have companies were conspicuous by their absence included comments and data from both chain and contributed only 1% of the total responses. affiliated and independent restaurants. This can also be explained by the fact that large About 1,100 questionnaires were sent out hotels do not maintain detailed/accurate nationwide to independent restaurants and financial break-up of costs by restaurant, as they hotels. A total of 165 restaurants responded, of use a number of central services like a common which 90 responses were from the metro cities laundry, housekeeping and security and, in most of New Delhi (18), Mumbai (43), Kolkata (2), cases, a central kitchen. Chennai (6) and Bangalore (10). The remaining 75 responses reflected a homogenous mix from Highlights & Characteristics 44 cities in India with the maximum responses Table 3.1-1 on page 18 summarizes the from Pune (11), followed by Agra (8) and Jaipur responses to Section I of the questionnaire and (5). However, it is important to note that provides a view to some important responses for the financial data were not as characteristics representative of restaurants in complete when compared to the general India. questions. This factor combined with our The majority of respondents (53%) were stringent criteria to accept only validated restaurants that achieved an average check financial data resulted in fewer responses, between Rs 200 and Rs 400. The second- providing us a total of 72 usable responses. As largest group, comprising 36% of the the data in the following paragraphs shows, the respondents, had an average check of respondents belong to the upper end segment of between Rs 400 and Rs 650. A much restaurants in India. They are the ones who are smaller percentage of restaurants, 5% and more organized to respond to questionnaires. 6%, had an average check of either over Rs This may not be a negative factor for this study, 650 or below Rs 200, respectively. as they are usually trend setters which others follow. 60% of the respondents indicated full liquor service and 5% indicated a license for only Composition of Participating Restaurants wine and beer. 35% of the respondents The survey indicated that 40% of the served no alcoholic beverages. respondents were restaurants located within a Multicuisine restaurants, serving a variety hotel. A slightly larger proportion (41%) were of cuisine including Indian, Continental 17
  • 18. Restaurant Industry in India - Trends and Opportunities and Chinese, constituted a fairly large restaurant on renovations was Rs 9 lakh. segment (17%) of the respondents to the A majority of restaurants (73%) responded survey. that they did not have a loyalty program. In Recorded music (62%) is the most widely fact, we believe a much larger percentage used entertainment in the restaurants. A of restaurants do not have any loyalty number of respondents (17%) use live programs, but some hotel respondents may bands. have confused restaurant loyalty program with the hotel loyalty program. The response with regards to the site and building on which restaurants are located Table 3.1-1 Composition of Participating drew an almost equal response between Restaurants owned and leased. This is also indicative of Type of Ownership the fact that a majority of restaurants Sole Proprietorship 19 % Partnership 40 responding to the survey (63%) have been Government Owned - in the business for over ten years and only Private Company 40 Public Limited Company. 1 6% of the respondents have been in Type of Organisation business for under two years. As leasing Independent (operates one unit) 41 % restaurant buildings is a fairly recent trend, Multi-Unit (operates two or more units) 19 Hotel restaurants 39 we assume that, had the respondents been Others 1 skewed towards more recent entrants, the Primary Type of Business percentage of sites leased as opposed to Fine dining (average check over Rs. 650) 5 % owned would have been higher. Fine dining (average check over Rs. 400) 36 Fine dining (average check over Rs. 200) 53 Any Other (Average check below Rs. 200) 6 Almost all respondents are open for lunch Limited service (only quick service / fast food) 0 and dinner. 44% of the respondents are Liquor Service open for breakfast and 13% responded as Full liqour Service 60 % being open for nearly 24 hours. Most of the Only Wine and Beer 5 No alcholic beverages 35 last two categories must be hotel restaurant. Primary Menu Theme Indian Mughlai 22 % Indian Fast Food 10 The survey indicated that the majority of French / Continental 9 restaurants (38%) are between 50 and 100 Western Fast Food 4 Regional (eg. South Indian etc) 12 seats. Coffee Bar 4 Asian (chinese, Indonesian, Japanese, Korean) 15 The total number of employees employed Mexican 2 Italian 4 by 66% of the restaurants is under 40 with Multicuisine 17 only 3% respondents responsible for Any other employing more than 100 employees. Entertainment in Restaurant Live band / Show 17 % Over one-third of the restaurants Television Monitor 18 Recorded Music 62 responded to having renovated their All the above mentioned entertainment 2 restaurant in the last one year but an equal Any other 1 number also had not renovated for over Site on which restaurant is located three years. The average amount spent per Land owned 30 % land leased 11 18
  • 19. Analysis of Questionnaire Responses Building owned Building leased 31 27 3.2 TRENDS Number of Years in Business Section II of the questionnaire was designed to under 2 years 6 % highlight emerging trends within the restaurant 2 to 5 years 14 5 to 10 years 17 industry in India. The questions covered a wide over 10 years 63 area ranging from employee hiring and Restaurant's best estimate of sales if offered in % motivation to locations and menu themes for Take out 5 % Outside Catering new restaurants. Banquet Services Restaurant Opened for Highlights & Characteristics Breakfast 44 % Below, we highlight some of the important Lunch 96 Dinner 100 trends that emerged from the analysis of the 24 hours (nearly) 13 responses received. Number of Seats Under 50 4 % Referrals were ranked as the first choice as 5o to 100 38 an avenue to recruit staff, followed by 100 to 150 31 150 to 200 14 advertising, placement agencies and 200 to 250 7 internet sites. Some respondents indicated 250 to 300 3 Above 300 3 campus recruitments, walk ins and direct Total Square Footage applications as other avenues used by them Under 1,000 6 % in this regard. 1,000 to 2,000 21 2,000 to 3,000 14 Higher Salary, followed closely by Growth 3,000 to 4,000 18 4,000 to 5,000 17 Prospects, were the leading motivation Above 5,000 24 factors indicated by respondents. Total no of employees Under 20 25 % Respondents chose business people as their 20 to 40 41 most important customer group. This is 40 to 60 13 60 to 80 12 perhaps in line with the characteristics of 80 to 100 6 Above 100 3 the majority of restaurants participating in the survey Last renovation carried out Under 1years 34 % More than 80% of the respondents felt that 1 to 3 years 30 Over 3 years 36 the culture of eating out has increased over Total cost of renovating (Lakhs) 9 the last three years. What services do you outsource/contract ? Cleaning 20 % With regards to what would be their Payroll and Accounting 9 success formula for a new restaurant in Laundry 52 Marketing 9 terms of menu theme, 28% of the Repair and Maintenance 38 Food production 7 respondents chose Multicuisine, 17% chose Any other 7 Indian Mughlai, 16% chose Asian and 10% Do you have Loyalty program ? pointed to regional Indian. Yes 27 % No 73 Almost half the respondents preferred their restaurants to be located in a commercial 19
  • 20. Restaurant Industry in India - Trends and Opportunities market, while 26% preferred to be located Table 3.2-1 Trends as indicated by in a hotel. respondents The survey indicated that the majority of What avenues do you use to recruit staff Rank * Advertisements 2 restaurants (38%) would price a new Internet Sites 4 restaurant they opened between an average Placement Agencies 3 Refferals 1 per cover of Rs 200 and Rs 400. Any Other 5 Over one-third of the restaurants use What do you consider the most important ways to motivate staff Rank imported raw food materials and 44% stock Higher salary 1 imported alcoholic beverages. Flexible working hours 4 Increased training 3 Modern restaurant/ kitchen equipment 5 A majority of restaurants (59%) responded Growth prospects 2 that they did not import or use imported Any other kitchen or restaurant equipment. However Who is your most important customer group? Rank a significant 41% did. Business People 1 Tourists (out of town) 3 Families/housewives 2 With regards to questions on tip and Parties for children 4 sharing of tips, 83% of the respondents do Young people (15 to 30 age group) 5 Any other not levy any service charge on the restaurant bill. Among the 17% who do levy Which success factors are most important to you? Rank a service charge, the median with regards Quality of food 1 Entertainment 5 to the percentage charged is 8%. Quality of service 2 Promotion/ Marketing 4 In comparison, 77% of the respondents do Restaurant seting/décor 3 not levy a service charge in banquets. Do you feel in the last three years the Banquets is mostly a hotel activity and it is culture of eating out has Increased a lot 58 % possible that those who said yes, were hotel Remained the same 6 restaurants. However, the 23% that do, Increased marginally 29 Decreased 6 have a median charge of 10%. A majority of the respondents (60%) have tip pools. If you were to build another restaurant today(what in your view will be a success formula) ? Interestingly, where restaurants levy What would be your Menu theme service charge as part of the bill, the Indian Mughlai 17.4 % Indian fast food 15 median percentage retained by French/ Continental 1 management is 25% as compared to 10% in Western Fast Food 5 Regional (eg. South Indian etc) 10 case of tip pools. Also, the median Coffee Bar 5.16 percentage retained by service staff is much Asian (Chinese/Indonesian/Japanese/Korean) 16.1 Mexican 0 higher in the case of tip pools (97%), as Italian 1 compared to a situation where service is Multi Cuisine 28 charged and the money distributed more Would you prefer to be located in/attached to A hotel 26 % equitably among all staff with the service In a commercial Market 48 staff retaining a lower figure (53%). Residential Area 14 A transportation center(airport, railway station) 13 Table 3.2-1, summarizes the responses to What kind of Restaurant would it be? Section II of the questionnaire on the trends. Fine dining (average check over Rs. 650) 11 % 20
  • 21. Analysis of Questionnaire Responses Fine dining(average check over Rs. 400) Fine dining(average check over Rs. 200) 33 38 3.3 FINANCIALS Limited Service (all quick service/ fast food) 19 Section III of the questionnaire was designed to Do you use imported materials? capture the financial structure of the Food and non alcoholic beverages Yes 37 % restaurants in India. The questions covered the No 63 profit and loss account. The section below Alcoholic spirits highlights some of the important trends that Yes 44 % No 56 emerged from the analysis of the responses. Kitchen or restaurant equipment Yes 41 % Understanding Medians & Means No 59 This section utilizes medians for reporting What is your policy on tips? results. A median is defined as the middle value Do you levy service charge in Rest. Bills of all amounts reported for a specific line item. Yes 17 % No 83 For example if we received nine responses for % of bill amount 8 number of employees-8,4,2,6,9,7,5,1,3- these Do you levy service charge on banquets? numbers would be arranged sequentially (in Yes 23 % No 77 order of size) -1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9- and the middle % of bill amount 10 value, 5, would be the median. 50% of the Do you have a tip pool? 60 % responses received are below the value and 50% Yes 40 are above. No How do you dispose off the service charge? Median ** In conjunction with medians, lower quartiles Retained by Management 25 % and upper quartiles are used to give a further Managers 15 Service Staff 53 description of the sample results. Medians are Kitchen Staff 25 used most often as we believe that the median Others (e.g. office cashier, security, etc) 10 gives less biased results compared to averages How do you dispose off tips pools? Median which are sum of all figures divided by the Retained by Management 10 % Managers 10 number of figures. Medians keep the results Service staff 97 Kitchen staff 29 from being skewed by a few abnormal Others (e.g. office, cashier, security) 10 respondents with higher or lower figures. For example if a few responding restaurants * 1 is the hightest and 5 lowest incurred very large operating losses, those ** Please see definition of median on page losses would be divided equally among all restaurants (when using mean calculations) and would reduce the average net profit of the entire group which, for the most part, may have reported respectable profits. Quartiles divide the responses into four equal parts, with medians still being the middle value. The "lower quartile" is the value that separates the lowest 25% of the respondents from the sample when arranged sequentially, while the 21
  • 22. Restaurant Industry in India - Trends and Opportunities upper quartile defines the boundary of the important findings. A total of 69 respondents upper 25% from the lower 75%. Stated another completed the financial section of the way, 50% of all responses fall between the lower questionnaire. quartile and the upper quartile. For example if we receive 99 responses for a specific items and Table 3.3-1 Trends as indicating by the responses were numbered 1 through 99, the respondents In Rs. median (or middle value) would be 50. The Median Average Check 241 lower quartile would be 25 (25% of the Median Total Sales per full time equivalent employee 311,974 responses would be below 25) and upper Median Total Sales per Square foot 3,494 quartile would be 75 (25% of the responses Median Income before income taxes as % of total Sales 4.51% would be above 75). Fifty percent of the Median Total Cost of Sales 40% responses would fall between the lower and upper quartiles. The median average check for the respondents is Rs 241. It will become evident in reading this report that columns do not always total when medians are The respondents reported income before involved. The reason behind this is that each taxes of approximately 5% of sales. line item is analysed separately. In Table 3.3-1, Median total sales per full time equivalent when all amounts are arranged sequentially, the employee is Rs 311.974. median total sale per seat is Rs 81,638. This figure is based on the 69 restaurants that gave The survey indicated that the median for us information for this specific line item. The the percentage of food sale to total sale was median per seat for total food and beverage 76%. Beverage sale accounted for the sales are Rs57,659 and Rs 18,564, respectively. remainder 24%. These two amounts were analysed on a sample The median cost of sales as percentage of of 61 and 40 restaurants respectively, which total sale was 40%. gave us separate food and beverage sales. Different sample sizes are one reason why Table 3.3-2 presents the income and expense figures do not add up to the total shown. statement of the 69 respondents who provided financial data. The data is presented both as a There is another reason that columns in the percentage of total sales and as amount per seat. table do not total. When using medians, it is important to remember that the median food The survey indicated that the median for sales, the median beverage sales and the median the percentage of food sale to total sale is total sales figures reported probably represent 76%. Beverage sale accounts for the the results of three different restaurants, even remainder 24%. thought the sample size of each may be equal. The median cost of sales as percentage of This also holds true for lower and upper total sale is 40% quartiles. The upper quartile of income before Highlights & Characteristics income taxes is 11% and the median is 5%. Table 3.3-1 summarizes the responses to Section III of the questionnaire and highlights some 22
  • 23. Analysis of Questionnaire Responses Table 3.3-2 Percentage of Total Sale and Amount per Seat Percentage of Total Sales Amount Per Seat (Rs) Lower Median Upper Lower Median Upper Quartile Quartile Quartile Quartile Where it Came From Sales Food Sales 78% 76% 75% 42,988 57,659 61,225 Beverage Sales 22% 24% 25% 12,476 18,564 20,268 Total Sales 100% 100% 100% 55,294 81,638 78,040 Cost of Sales Food1 44% 43% 40% 18,824 24,646 24,322 Beverage2 37% 32% 38% 4,667 5,903 7,624 Total Cost of Sales 3 47% 40% 40% 25,882 32,515 30,917 Operating Expenses Salaries & Wages 12% 12% 15% 6,739 9,619 11,606 Employee Benefits 2% 2% 3% 925 1,354 1,958 Direct operating expense 4% 7% 9% 2,392 5,434 7,099 Music and Entertainment 0% 1% 1% 129 467 1,042 Marketing 1% 1% 1% 425 640 970 Utility Services 2% 2% 3% 1,257 1,607 2,168 Restaurant Occupancy Costs 2% 2% 4% 865 1,731 2,964 Repair and Maintenance 1% 2% 3% 582 1,359 2,217 Depreciation 3% 4% 5% 1,912 3,284 3,625 Other Operating Expenses/ (Income) 1% 2% 4% 291 1,869 3,028 Total Restaurant Operating Expenses 37% 30% 35% 20,415 24,506 27,570 General and Administrative Expenses 3% 4% 8% 1,809 3,599 6,408 Corporate overheads 1% 3% 8% 706 2,116 6,235 Total Operating expenses 45% 49% 48% 24,994 39,824 37,775 Interest Expenses 1% 2% 3% 709 1,453 2,101 Other Miscellaneous Expenses 1% 1% 2% 481 780 1,527 Income before income tax 2% 5% 11% 1,172 3,679 8,667 1 Food Cost as percentage of Food Sale 2 Beverage Cost as percentage of Beverage Sale 3 Total F&B Cost as Percentage of Total Sale Note: While reviewing Table 3.3-2, it should be borne in mind that for each line item the number of responses received varied thereby making it necessary to view data in terms of medians and not as averages. Also Income before income tax as a percentage can not be derived from simply subtracting total expenses from the revenues shown above for exactly the same reason. Each revenue or expense line item must be viewed in isolation, however the total expenses and income before income tax lines indicate the macro picture as indicated by respondents in the survey. 23
  • 24. Restaurant Industry in India - Trends and Opportunities 24
  • 25. Food Trends-At home & abroad 4. Food Trends-At home & abroad Introduction Indian, Southwest and Asian. Here are some When restaurateurs want to spot emerging trends: culinary trends they go to what they consider CHINO - LATINO the ultimate source - customers. Anecdotal "Cuisine du Soleil" with Chinese cooking styles evidence from restaurant customers is only one and some exotic flavours. way to spot trends. The print media and television play a big role in establishing culinary Example: Mezza 9 in Singapore concepts and preferences, with food columnists INDO-LATINO and TV chefs endorsing one trend over the other. "Cuisine du Soleil" with strong Indian Tandoor However, the single-biggest factor influencing preparations and typical herbs and marination. culinary trends is population demographics. Some important demographic changes have Example: Frangipani at The Oberoi in Mumbai emerged in recent times: increased number of NIPPON - SOUTH AMERICAN working women with little time to cook at home; Lukewarm Sushi, Sashimi with noodles and a population that travels more and is exposed to vegetables marinated in Wasabi-Soy dressing. international cuisine; a population which is Japanese type salads and Ceviche. more concerned about its health; an increase in expatriate population; and an increase in Example: à la Nobu in London or Felix in Hong disposable incomes. And, beyond all these Kong factors, is an indefinable spark that makes one PACIFIC RIM culinary item succeed and another fail. Chefs "From down under" Australian flavours and food are always looking for the next big thing, product mixing; Hawaiian and Japanese food; something that will set them apart and put them cooking fusion with lots of seafood and a on the map. Sometimes it succeeds; sometimes Californian spirit. it doesn't. FRENCH THAI The following section presents an overview of European ingredients cooked in Thai style what culinary professionals and industry analysts say are some of today's exciting Example: à la Vong (Jean Georg Vongerichten) international culinary trends. also coming to India soon. East meets West Healthful and Flavorful Whether it is called fusion or eclecticism, Obesity has become a "four-letter-word" for all blending cuisines is one of today's hottest aspects of the food industry, whether grocery or culinary concepts. Fusion is carefully selecting restaurant-related. Consumers are looking for foods from parts of the world that are not healthier choices and flocking to flavourful geographically close and combining ones that ethnic cuisines such as Asian and go well together. The combinations are Mediterranean foods. With an emphasis on numerous-Thai and French, American and ingredients such as vegetables, grains and fish, 25
  • 26. Restaurant Industry in India - Trends and Opportunities these cuisines appeal to the health- minded Back to Basics consumer. Accordingly, food businesses are Although fusion food remains hot in many responding and reacting in a variety of ways. kitchens, other chefs and industry experts Below are some of the current restaurant herald the resurgence of simple foods and concepts in USA that are addressing health flavours. The trend in foods is going back to issues. basics. People are tired of fusion food because it became confusion food. It became anything The most promising concept, mostly because it goes with blending of everything. People are has the muscle of Darden Restaurants (Red starting to say, "We've had enough, just give me Lobster, Olive Garden, Bahama Breeze, all in a good steak." the United States) behind it, is Seasons52 (www.seasons52.com). The test restaurant for An increase in dining out has also spawned the this casual dining concept is in Orlando, need for restaurants with casual, simple fare Florida. Its name refers to the fact that every such as brasseries, bistros and trattorias. That is week of the year different foods reach their peak not to say fine dining is out. of freshness and taste and the restaurant's menu "Comfort food" may have become a cliché - as in changes and adapts accordingly. Calories "comfort food TV" - but the desire to simplify typically range from 300 to 375 for entrees, and slow down is very real. In difficult times, entrée salads and sandwiches and from 100 to which were witnessed for restaurants in USA 200 for appetizers, soups, and desserts. The post 9/11, we strive for something we can rely trick to a 200-calorie dessert? Each is referred on and hold on to, even if it's just a really good to as a "mini indulgence" and each of the eight sandwich from the local deli, a dish of fresh- small selections fits in a tall shot glass. from-the-oven roast chicken, or a wonderful Founded by an executive from yogurt maker dark chocolate truffle. Food and dining are Stonyfield Farms, O'Naturals being called upon to be less and do more. The (www.onaturals.com) is true to its name. The eating experience must still be fast, convenient, four Maine and New Hampshire units pride and if at all possible, healthy. Yet it is just as themselves on offering all-natural and organic important for it to not only be good value but items ranging from steak and chicken to vegan also provide us with relief and reassurance. options plus childrens' choices. Fussy frou-frous and opulence for its own sake are unnecessary. Many of the old French classics With three units in the Chicago area, Wheaton, - like coq au vin - are really very simple food. Illinois-based The Fitness Café (www.fitnesscafe.net) positions itself as a Chefs go casual; healthy alternative to fast food. The owners Chains go chic believe in lifestyle change, not dieting. All menu Upscale chefs are opening more casual items list grams of calories, protein, restaurants in New York, like Danny Meyer's carbohydrates, fats, and fiber and sport names Blue Smoke, Michael Lomaneco at Noche, Tom like The Firm, The Flex, The Crunch, and The Colicchio with Craftbar and Wichcraft, Bradley Ironman. In India too, we have a similar trend Ogden's Parcel 104 in California. "Roadside with the opening of the health juice café chain cooking being reworked for the Wine Country marketed under the brand Amoretto's. crowd" is the way San Francisco Magazine (July 26
  • 27. Food Trends-At home & abroad 2003) characterizes Market, a St. Helena, Larkspur, California it is the first raw restaurant California-based restaurant recently opened by to cast raw as haute cuisine dining. Another a former chef from Jardinère and the ex-wine popular raw dining spot is Quintessence in director from The French Laundry. They are Manhattan which has 3 locations. cooking up mac 'n' cheese and pairing merlot Clearly, this is a style of eating that will not with meatloaf and were recently named one of spread to the masses. It will have its day in the the "Best New Restaurants in America" by press and create interest and conversation. Will Esquire's (November 2003). it have a lasting impact on cooking and dining? More chains are bringing classically trained Perhaps. Yes it is extreme, but such movements chefs on board and are adding culinary- can have residual-to-lasting impact. Don't buzzword ingredients to their menu items like dismiss it in total. sun-dried tomatoes, pesto sauce, bruschetta, focaccia, and baguette. McDonald's, the The Ubiquitous Sandwich granddaddy of them all, has almost single- Sandwiches are CHIC! From simple to handedly brought chipotle, barbacoa and decadent, hand-held to knife-and-fork, from carnitas into mainstream lingo with their calorie-laden to light and healthy, whether a Chipotle Mexican Grill chain. Even in India, Mc snack or a full meal, as a comfort food or as an Donald's Wraps, which are Mexican in origin, adventurous new cuisine experience, are selling in huge numbers. sandwiches fit into every aspect of today's lifestyles and are constantly being reinvented. Even the quick takeout-lunch-at-your-desk has Upscale restaurants are adding lots of new become gourmet and somewhat highly-priced. twists to this classic sandwich. Takeout lunch five years ago was a Big Mac and fries; now it's roast chicken with mozzarella and .. BLT, GOAT CHEESE, AVOCADO & BASIL, basil on warm focaccia, and the cost has risen TOASTED ONION ROLL - Gustavino's, New accordingly, with a price tag for sandwich, soup, York and a soda between USD10 and USD15. .. LOBSTER BLT - SWEET PEA REMOULADE ON COUNTRY WHITE BREAD - Chadwick Living Raw Restaurant, Beverly Hills, CA Today's food news is filled with the new .. TEMPURA BATTERED FISH BLT WITH restaurants and folks devoted to raw food. A BACON, LETTUCE, TOMATO & MAYO ON A growing number of people believe that eating SOFT BUN SERVED WITH JERK FRITIES & "living foods" extends youth and staves off BACON AVOCADO RANCH OR ADD BACON disease. Heat, they maintain, depletes food's OR AVOCADO - Cuba Libre, Philadelphia protein and vitamin content and concentrates any pesticides. More important, it destroys …RAWAS WITH RICADO ROJO, A YUCATAN food's natural enzymes which, enthusiasts RED SPICE MIX WITH TOMATO, BELL claim, facilitate digestion. The premise is that PEPPER, CUMIN AND GARLIC IN PITA- only humans cook their foods and only humans Basilico, Mumbai suffer widespread sicknesses and ailments. One …GRILLED ZUCHINI, AUBERGINE, BELL of the restaurants getting the most press PEPPERS AND SMOKED SCAMORZA -Olive, coverage over "raw" is Roxanne's. Located in New Delhi 27
  • 28. Restaurant Industry in India - Trends and Opportunities India is also seeing the spread of sandwiches Fast food is finally here to stay. There have with the opening of Subway and the Irish chain been some failures but the success of Mc O'Brien. Donalds, Pizza Hut and Domino's Pizza have caused some people to eat their Chef-driven Cuisine words. It is, however, important to note With such diversity in culinary trends, there is that the Indian consumer wants something for every chef to add to his or her "international desi" and that the Indian menu. But the real trend may be for chefs to palate is indeed addicted to a certain level expand beyond what analysts have defined as of spice. Any new international entrants "what's hot and what's not" and to explore their would ignore this fact at their peril. own culinary creativity. A few who have become There is a tremendous future for regional international legends are Daniel Boulud, Alan Indian cuisine restaurants. There are very Ducasse, Jean Georges Vongerichten, Rick few authentic restaurants offering regional Bayless, Thomas Keller, Nobu Matsuhisa, Indian cuisine and that is an area that Charlie Trotter, Alan Wong, Douglas Rodriguez, could witness significant growth over the Jerry Traunfeld, Floyd Cardoz and Arun next few years. Sampanthavivat. An increasing trend of freestanding Better Ingredients international cuisine restaurants serving Savvy chefs have come to the conclusion that Italian, Mediterranean, Thai, Spanish, they're not going to come up with some brilliant Korean, and other exotic cuisines. cooking methods. Instead they are The spread of Indian fast food as concentrating on using better ingredients. popularised by Haldiram's, Nathu Sweets and others continues and remains a very Food Trends specific to India large market. Although all the above trends being witnessed in USA are applicable to India, some specifics Pizzas, Burgers, Indian Tandoori, Chinese, attributable to restaurants here are: South Indian & Thai continue to dominate the take away business and is growing at An increasing trend toward vegetarian food double digit annual rates. and an increasing trend of reduction in red meats 28