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- Lukas Brader Fellowship
Ethiopia is one of the mega centres of diversity




         - Lukas Brader Fellowship
TIGRAY REGIONAL STATE
               (The study region)

Tigray is located in the northern highlands of Ethiopia,
covering                  80,000 square km

Topography:                500 - 4000 meters above sea level

Population:                4.3
                           4 3 million

Crop calendar:

June to September rainy season;
October & November harvest season; and
May & early June land preparation and sowing.
   y       y          p p                  g




              - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Study Area




- Lukas Brader Fellowship
Research objectives:

1.
1    To detect land use and land cover (LULC) changes based on a time series
     of remote sensing data and identify drivers of the changes at a regional
     scale.

2. To identify and analyze factors affecting agro-biodiversity and soil
   erosion, focusing on relationships between agro-biodiversity, physical
   environment, crop (farm) characteristics and measures of wealth at farm
   and regional scales.

3. To study spatial and temporal variation in agro-biodiversity and soil
   degradation in relation to farm, productivity, wealth, social, development
   d     d i i       l i      f        d i i         lh      i l d l
   and topographic characteristics between 2000 and 2005 at farm and
   regional scales.

4. To investigate the effects of F. albida based land use systems on crop
   productivity at field and landscape scales.



              - Lukas Brader Fellowship
How was the research done?
              Regional              +


                                                  Component 2 (2000)
                                                  -Road & town maps
              R




                                                  -Elevation and slope
                                                   El    ti    d l
                                                  -Farm & wealth           Component 1 (1964-2005)
                           Component 3                                    -LULC change detection
                                                   (151 farms)
                           (2000-2005)                                    -Driving factors of change
                           -Road & town maps
                             oad to         aps
Field scale




                           -Elevation and slope
                Farm




                           -Farm, wealth &
                            social (151 farms)
F




                                +

                                          Component 4 (2005)
                                          -Road & town maps
                                           Road
                                          -Elevation and slope
                                          -Field (77) and farm (81)
                   Field




                                           productivity & soil
                   F




                           Productivity                   Agro-Biodiversity   Land use
                                                         Level of study
Remote sensing based land use/ land cover change
detection and associated driving factors for the period
1964 – 2005 in the highlands of Tigray, Ethiopia.




          - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Problem statement

No d
N understanding of where, when and why l d use/land cover (LULC)
              di   f h         h      d h land       /l d
changes took place in relation to drivers of the changes which may have serious
implications on biodiversity loss, land degradation and declining agricultural
productivity.
productivity

Changing land use policies with changing governments/regimes (three different
land use policies in the whole study period: 1964 – 2005)
                                                    2005).

Challenge on how to ensure food security while conserving biodiversity and
minimizing land degradation.
         g        g

Objectives

To assess the dynamics of LULC for the period 1964 – 2005 in the highlands of
Tigray, northern Ethiopia using remote sensing techniques, and

To identify and quantify the drivers associated with LULC changes.

              - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Specific study area description

The specific study area is located in Tigray, northern Ethiopia (40 82’ - 50 10’ N
     p           y                      g y,                p (
and 150 66’ - 150 28’ E), and covers an area of 30 x 40 km at an elevation of
1300 - 2800 metres above sea level (m.a.s.l.).




               - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Materials used:

    Data                     Year + month       Path/row   Resolution/
                                                           Scale
    Landsat ETM+             2005,10            169/050    30 meter
    Landsat TM               1994,10            169/050    30 meter
    Aerial Photograph        1964 and 1994,11
    Topographic map          1994
    Shuttle Radar            2000                          90 meter
    Topographic
    Mission (SRTM)

Softwares:

ERDAS IMAGINE 9 1   9.1
ArcGIS 9.2
SAS statistical package




                    - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Land use/land cover classes used in the classification
S   Class         Description
N   Name
1   Woodland      It is composed of trees, bushes, shrubs and herbs. Canopy cover of this unit is estimated to be 65%.

2   Grassland     This is open grassland with some shrubs and occasional trees.

3   Shrub land    Land supporting a stand of shrubs, usually not exceeding 3m in height with a canopy cover of more
                                             shrubs                              height,
                  than 30%.
4   Scrubland     It is mainly characterized by strata of shrubs and grasses or herbs growing here and there.

5   Intensively   It is estimated that of this mapping unit over 70% of the land is under annual and perennial crops
    Cultivated
    land
6   Moderately    It is estimated that of this mapping unit 40-70% of the land is under annual and perennial crop.
    cultivated
    land
7   Sparsely      It is classified as sparsely cultivated (only 20-40%) of the entire mapping unit is under cultivation.
    Cultivated
    land

8   Water body    Water in Micro Dams

9   Settlement    Residential/industrial areas with a population of more than 2000 households




                  - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Description of Land Use/Land cover classes of Tigray, Ethiopia

Woodland
  Shrub land
      Scrubland
        Sparsely cultivated
            Moderately cultivated

                Intensively cultivated




               - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Cont…

Grassland
     Waterbody

            Settlement




            - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Methods
                                             Topographic map of the                                  Aerial photographs
         Corrected ETM+ 2005                                                                                                                    SRTM
                                                     area                                                  (1964)
                 image

                                                    Scanning                                                                         Geometric correction
  Further correction
  from Topomap & field data                                                                 Scanning            Geo-referencing
                                                  Geo-referenced                                                                         DTM
                                                    topomap
                                                                                                Geo-referenced aerial
      Geo-referenced recent                                                                         photographs
         image (2005)

                                                                                    Digitize ground control points
Image-to-image registration

                                                                                            Corrected aerial photos
                                                                                                                                     Resample
             1994

                                            Unsupervised
                                            classes                                        Resampled aerial photos
  Topographic         Unsupervised
                            p
  Normalization       classification

                                       -Training sample collection from field for
                                       the signature editor
     Normalized images                 -Supervised classification by MLKH                  Gluing
                                       classifier

     Accuracy assessment (2005             Land cover map of                                                                         Transfer interpreted aerial
     & 1994)                                   each year                             Landover map of                                photographs to Ortho-photo
                                                                                     1964                                                      mosaic
   Overall accuracy
                                                       Vectorize                                                         Change                       Statistical
                                                                                                                        detection                    analysis and
                                                                                                                                                        l i      d
   Kappa statistics                                                                                                                                 interpretation
                                                                                     Land cover map of
                                                                                     each year (2005 &
                                                                                     1994)

                                 - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Cont…
Spatially explicit multiple logistic regression model was used to estimate the
probability of occurrence of LULC class change as affected by a set of
independent variables:
    •elevation (continuous)
    •slope (continuous)
         p (            )
    •distance to major river (buffered)
    •distance to major road (buffered)
    •distance to settlement (buffered) and
    • population density (continuous)

    Dependent LULC classes (a total of 2000 samples: 1000 changed; 1000
    unchanged)
        h     d)
    •Woodland (binary: 0 - 1)
    •Shrub land (binary: 0 - 1)
    •Scrubland (binary: 0 - 1)
    •Agricultural land (binary: 0 - 1)

    The general formula of the multiple logistic regression model was:
    Logit (p) = log [p/1-p] = α + β1 X1 +β2 X2 … + βn Xn

               - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Results
Across 41 years (1964 - 2005), the results reveal a sharp reduction in natural
habitats and an increase in agricultural land.
                             g
1964                      1994                     2005




                                                                road
                                                                   d




               - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Regional scale - results
1964

                            Sparsely cultivated




                            Shrub land


                      Woodland




       - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Regional scale - results
1994
                             Moderately cultivated




                             Scrubland



                            Sparsely cultivated




       - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Regional scale - results
2005                        Intensively cultivated




                              Shrub land



                            Moderately cultivated




       - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Cont…
In 1964, shrub land was dominant (covering 46% of the study area) followed by
woodland (covering 28% of the study area)
                                    area).

In 1994 and 2005, agriculture was dominant covering 34 and 40 % of the study
area respectively.
        p       y

                 50.00
                 45.00
                 40.00
                 35.00
        entage




                 30.00                                                 1964
                 25.00
                 25 00                                                 1994
    Perce




                 20.00                                                 2005
                 15.00
                 10.00
                  5.00
                  0.00
                         Wd   Sh    Sc SCu MCu ICu     Gr     W   Se
                                   Land use/land cover type


                         - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Cont…

Over the study period (1964 – 2005), there was conversion of one land cover
type to another For example, 32.4 and 33.1 % of shrub land was converted into
        another.    example 32 4       33 1
combined agricultural land in 1964 – 1994 and 1994 – 2005, respectively.

Moreover, 59.3 and 50.1 % of grassland was converted into agricultural land in
        ,                    g                             g
1964-1994 and 1994-2005, respectively.

There was even conversion of sparsely cultivated into moderately cultivated by
27.7 % in 1964-1994 and 37.3 % in 1994-2005.




              - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Cont…

Accuracy assessment

Validation
V lid ti was carried out f
                   i d t from random validation points collected from field
                                   d     lid ti   i t    ll t d f     fi ld
for the 2005 Landsat ETM+ and from the same spatial and temporal scale of
1994 aerial photographs for the 1994 Landsat TM.

The overall accuracy and overall Kappa statistic for the Landsat 1994 image
were 78 and 71 %, respectively.

For the Landsat 2005 image, overall accuracy and Kappa statistic were 74 and
70 %, respectively.




             - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Cont…

Drivers of LULC change

In the first period (1964 – 1994),
          distance to road was important driver of LULC change. The further the
                                                        change
          location was from a road so much the greater was the probability of
          change (reductions) in wood and shrub lands and associated increase in
          scrubland.
          scrubland

        Change in location (increase) in agricultural land was primarily
        associated with an increase in human population density.
                                              p p               y

In the second period (1994 – 2005),
         woodland locations changed (decreased) primarily by settlement,
         particularly at high elevation and steep slopes.

        Similar to the first period, agricultural land changed (increased) by
        population density.
            l ti d it

              - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Conclusion

• The study over a period of 41 years (1964 -2005) reveals LULC changes
                                             2005)
particularly expansion and intensification of agricultural lands at the
expense of natural habitat reductions.

•Reductions in extent and location of natural habitats (woodland and shrub
land) was higher as locations were further from a road in the first study
period (1964-1994).

•In the second period (1994-2005), natural habitats were reduced closer to
settlements, particularly at high elevation and steep slopes.

•Expansion and intensification of agricultural lands was associated with an
increase with human population.

•This study provides a spatially explicit approach that can help to improve
the understanding of LULC dynamics in relation to their drivers in
heterogeneous landscapes of tropical highlands.


             - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Agro-biodiversity and soil erosion on farmlands
in Tigray, northern Ethiopia.




         - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Problem statement

Previous research results, in northern Ethiopia, indicated that there is expansion
and intensification of agriculture (even in steep slopes) at the expense of
natural components because of human induced LULC changes.
      l              b         fh       i d d             h

However, there was no information on status and spatial distribution of agro-
biodiversity and soil erosion.
                      erosion



Objective

To identify and analyze factors affecting agro-biodiversity and soil erosion,
and relate them to physical environment, farm characteristics, wealth
characteristics and topographic/development drivers in Tigray, northern
Ethiopia.



                - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Materials and Methods

Study area




             - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Data collection and analysis
            Non-spatial dataset
                              Soil type
                              Crop type
Farm
                              Weed species
chara.per
                              Insect species
farm                                                    Agro-biodiversity
                              Crop selection            per farm
                              Criteria
                                                         Crop
                                                         diversity
                              Inorganic
                              fertilizer
                                                         Tree/shrub
Wealth                        Number of                  species            Statistical analysis
                              livestock holding                             •Multiple regression
chara.per
farm                                                   Soil erosion per     •Chi-square test
                              Number of credit
                              sources
                                                       farm                 •Correlation analysis
                                                                            •Redundancy analyses
                                                         Erosion classes    (RDA)
            Spatial dataset
             p
                              Distance from
                              road
Topographic/
                              Distance from
Development                   town
Drivers                       Elevation of
                              farms
Results

Factors related to agro biodiversity
                   agro-biodiversity

- The higher the number of tree and shrub species, the higher was the crop diversity.

- Th worse th soil erosion, th l
  The      the il      i    the less di
                                     diversified were both the crops and t / h b species.
                                           ifi d      b th th          d tree/shrub  i

-Farmers with few credit sources planted a great variety of crops (χ2 = 18.6, DF = 6,
 P=0.01).

- Crop selection criteria was positively
  associated with crop diversity.




                                           N u m b e r o f fa r m s
                                                                 20
                                                                 16                                                            Highland
 In lowlands, d
 I l l d drought resistance was
                ht  it                                           12                                                            Intermediate
                                                                                                                               Low land
 first choice                                                     8
                                                                  4
                                                                  0
 In highlands, straw quality was most
                                                                       el d
 important
 i     t t




                                                                                                                           e




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                                                                                                                        i ty
                                                                                                                        i ty
                                                                      Yi




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                                                                                                            rk e e




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                                                                                     ce




                                                                                                                    b il
                                                                                                                   t ur


                                                                                                         Tr n ce
                                                                                                                     c




                                                                                                      S t b i li t
                                                                                                                  tv




                                                                                                                 qu
                                                                                           an
                                                                                ta n




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                                                                                                               ma


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                                                                                          ist




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                                                                              s is




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                                                                                                         rly




                                                                                                         su
                                                                                       es
                                                                                            Ma




                                                                                                        es
                                                                         t re




                                                                                                     Ea
                                                                                     dr




                                                                                                     ge
                                                                                                     tr
                                                                        ec

 In intermediate altitude, esp. close to                                        ee




                                                                                                  gh




                                                                                                  ra
                                                                      In s




                                                                                               ve
                                                                               W




                                                                                               ou



                                                                                            Be
                                                                                            Dr
 towns, high market value was first
                                                                                                 Selection criteria
 crop selection criterion.
        l ti      it i


                 - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Cont…                                   a
                                                    a
                                                                b


Development drivers and
altitude

- Tree/shrub species diversity and
  crop diversity decreased as buffer
  distance of farms from roads
  decreased.

- Higher agro-biodiversity was
  observed in farms far from roads.
                             roads

-Road type was also important               a           b           b
    - Both tree/shrub and crop
      diversity were reduced close to
      all weather roads than dry
      weather roads.

-Diversity of tree/shrub and crops                                  d
                                                c           d
 were negatively influenced by
 proximity of farms to urban areas.

-Both diversity components were
 higher at higher altitude.

                  - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Cont…
RDA analysis

RDA analysis clearly separated diversity, soil
erosion and other explanatory variables.

-The lowland region (region 3) was distinct
                g     ( g      )
  from the others because of minimal
 agricultural activities and sparse natural
 vegetation.

-Region 5, with the highest altitude, was




                                                  1.0
also separated from the intermediate region
and had high agro-biodiversity, as it was
                                                                  R1
 located far from towns and roads.
                                                                      Fert/kg                           Var/6yr
                                                                Erosion                                               SPECIES
                                                                                             Weed_yr
                                                                                             No.SoilT
-Region 1, located close to town, was also                                                              pest ind
                                                                                            weed_6yr                  ENV. VARIABLES
somehow separated from the others because of                                                         crops/yr
                                                                                                    crops/6y
relatively high inorganic fertilizer use.
         y g        g                                                              Road Dist           SelCr          SAMPLES
                                                                                                      Var/yr
                                                                                                  T_Ratio
                                                                                                TotTSpp                         Region 1

-RDA analysis showed agro-biodiversity                          R3                             R5
                                                                                                                                Region 2
                                                                                Town Dist
 was significantly (p<0.001) related to each of                                                                                 Region 3

                                                                                                                                Region 4
 the explanatory variables, but mainly
       p        y           ,          y
                                                  -1.0




                                                                                                                                Region
                                                                                                                                R i 5
 with distance to road and town (positively)             -1.0                                                   1.0

and fertilizer and soil erosion (negatively).

                  - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Cont…

Relationship with soil erosion

- Soil erosion (measure of un-sustainability) was positively correlated with inorganic
fertilizer use ( r = 0.44; P < 0.001),
 e      e            0. ;      0.00 ),

- Soil erosion was negatively correlated with

     -Crop diversity ( r = -0.44; P < 0.001),
         p         y            ;          ),

     -Tree/shrub species diversity ( r = -0.74; P < 0.001),

     -Crop selection criteria ( r = -0.42; P < 0.001) and
         p                               ;          )

     -Animals per farm household ( r = -0.21; P < 0.01)




                  - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Conclusion

Higher agro-biodiversity was associated with farms located far
from road and towns, often associated with indigenous farming
                   ,                           g             g
practices.

Agricultural technology packages (inorganic fertilizer) were
important to increase food production
       but were often associated with removal of landraces and
       native plants (trees and shrub species).
          i     l    (        d h b       i )

Soil erosion was worse on less diversified farms.

Improved agricultural production should, therefore, take in to
account locally available land races and native tree/shrub species.
                                                           species

             - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Spatial variation in agro-biodiversity, soil
degradation and productivity in agricultural
landscapes in the highlands of Tigray, northern
Ethiopia.




         - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Objective

To compare the spatial and temporal variations in agro-biodiversity and soil
degradation in relation to agricultural productivity in Tigray, northern Ethiopia
between 2000 and 2005.


Hypothesis

Based on previous research results, we hypothesized agro-biodiversity and crop
productivity have declined in recent years, whereas soil erosion has increased.

Aim

The aim was to understanding the drivers of agro-biodiversity loss and soil
erosion, and relate them to agricultural productivity.




               - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Materials and Methods

Study area




             - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Dataset
Farm                                            Wealth/Social

•Soil type, OM, Avail. P, N                     •Inorganic fertilizer
•Crops planted/year                             •Livestock holding
•Animal manure                                  •Number of credit sources
•Weed, insect species/farm                      •Farmer’s education level
                                                 Farmer’s
•Caloric crop yield & sel.sri.                  •Farmer’s off farm employment
                                                 opportunity
                             Agro-Biodiversity
                             Agro Biodiversity

                                 Soil erosion


•Distance to major road                         •Elevation of farms
•Distance to major                              •Slope of farms
                                                 Slope
 town/market



Development drivers                             Topographic

              - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Data Collection Method

 Topographic                                             Development drivers
           GPS                                             GPS
                            Geog. locations

       Aerial                                             Aerial
                          Feature delineation             photos
       photos

       Double track
       Transect walk       Crossing of fields

       Alti t / SRTM
       Altimeter/             Slope/Altitude

                         Field Measurement & interview
Farm                                                         Wealth/Social
                        Agro-Biodiversity &
                           Soil erosion


         - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Data Analysis
Spatial data                                                               Non-spatial data

                                                                             Interviews
   Topographic
Development drivers
                                                                           Field data
Farm characteristics
                                                                    Socio-economic
   LULC classes
                                                                          data
Agro-biodiversity      GIS


           Overlay Analysis


 GIS output maps
                                     Data integration

                                                          - Discriminant analysis (2005) and
                                   Statistical Analysis     Co pa so be wee 000
                                                            Comparison between 2000 & 2005  005
                                                            for agro-biodiversity & soil erosion.

                                                          - Chi-square (Educat. & Employment

                                        Outcome           - P i d t t t (b t
                                                            Paired test (between 2000 & 2005)



            - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Results

Status of agro-biodiversity in 2005

I. Agro-biodiversity and social characteristics
    g              y

-More off-farm employment, less agro-biodiversity (χ2 = 30.8, DF = 4, P=0.001).

-Farmer’s education was not significantly associated with agro-biodiversity.
                              g         y                  g              y




                 - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Cont…
II. Agro-biodiversity and quantitative explanatory variables

For the discriminant analysis, combined (both tree/shrub species and crop diversity)
average agro-biodiversity was categorized into three classes:
           low (<7), medium (7-12) and high (>12).

- Total N (%),
- Available P (mg/kg),
- Crop types (number/farm),
- Animal manure (kg/ha) and
- Crop selection criteria (number/farm)

significantly separated (P <0.05)
the agro-biodiversity classes
and were positively associated
with the first canonical function.




                  - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Cont…
Caloric crop yield (Mcal/farm)
                   (Mcal/farm),
Animal ownership (number/farm),
Farm distance from the nearest town (km) and
Elevation (m)

also significantly (P<0.05) discriminated agro-biodiversity classes and
were positively associated with the first canonical function.

Compared to low agro-biodiversity classes, farms with high agro-biodiversity class had
                  agro biodiversity classes                agro biodiversity
52 % higher available P,
39 % higher total N,
47 % more crop types,
71 % higher animal manure
                     manure,
53 % more animals,
42 % more crop selection criteria and
19 % caloric crop yield.

Inorganic fertilizer use (kg/farm) and credit sources (number/farm) were
negatively associated with the first canonical function,
but significantly discriminated the three agro-biodiversity classes.




                - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Cont…

III. Agro-biodiversity and land use types

-Low agro-biodiversity class was
strongly associated with intensively
cultivated land use type (Icu).

-High agro-biodiversity class coincide
 with the sparsely cultivated land use type (Scu).




                  - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Cont…

Status of soil degradation in 2005

Soil erosion classes were categorized
into four: low (<10 tons/ha), moderate (10-20 tons/ha), high (20-40
tons/ha) and extremely high (>40 tons/ha).

Farm slope (%) was positively associated
with the first canonical function
and contributed significantly (p<0.001)
to th discrimination f th
t the di i i ti of the soil erosion
                               il   i
classes.

          -The higher the slope of farms,
           the higher
           th hi h was th soil erosion.
                          the il      i




                  - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Cont…

Soil OM (%) and crop selection criteria (number/farm) were negatively
associated with the first canonical function but significantly (p<0.001) separated
the soil erosion classes.

-The higher OM content of farms, the less soil erosion.

-The higher crop selection criteria per farm, the less the soil erosion.




                  - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Cont…

Temporal changes (between 2000 and 2005)
I.      Changes in farm and wealth characteristics

Paired t-test comparison between 2000 and 2005 resulted in significant decrease in

         - crop diversity (Paired t-test, t = 6.46, P < 0.001, n=151)

        - animal ownership (Paired t-test, t = 4.23, P < 0.001, n=151)

        - crop selection criteria (Paired t-test, t = 2.05, P < 0.05, n=151)

Whereas,
Whereas inorganic fertilizer increased significantly (Paired t test t = -3.40, P < 0.01, n=151)
                                                             t-test,     3 40      0 01 n 151)

No significant change for the other variables between 2000 and 2005.




                   - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Cont…
II. Agro-biodiversity and soil degradation (2000-2005)

Agro-biodiversity (2000-2005)

Agro-biodiversity was compared between 2000 and 2005 and categorized into: decrease (<0),
no change (=0) and increase (>0).

-Crop type (number/farm),
-Crop selection criteria (number/farm),
-Animal ownership (number/farm),
-Farm distance from the nearest town (km), and
        i       f                    ( )
-Farm distance from the nearest road (km)

significantly (P<0.05) separated agro-
biodiversity change classes (decrease, no
bi di     i    h      l      (d
change and increase) and were positively
associated with the first canonical function.

Whereas, i
Wh         inorganic f ili
                  i fertilizer (kg/farm)
                               (k /f   )
was negatively associated with the first
canonical function but significantly
(P < 0.05) separated the agro-biodiversity
change classes.
 h       l


                  - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Cont…

Soil degradation (2000-2005)

Classes for changes in soil erosion (decrease, no change and increase)
between 2000 and 2005 were not significantly separated by the explanatory variables.




                - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Cont…
Spatial distribution of agro-biodiversity (2000 and 2005)

Tree and shrub species diversity did
not change significantly between 2000 and 2005.
                                            (a) No. of tree and shrub species   (b) No. of tree and shrub
                                                         overlaid with road     species overlaid with road
                                                        buffers in 2000         buffers in 2005
Number of crop diversity decreased
significantly mainly on farms
located close to the nearest major roads.

Proximity of farms to the nearest town
was strongly associated with low
agro-biodiversity (mainly with crop
diversity), both in 2000 and 2005.           (c) No. of crop varieties           (d) No. of crop varieties
                                             overlaid with road buffers in       overlaid with road buffers in
                                             2000                                2005




                 - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Conclusion
Significant loss of agro-biodiversity, mainly crop diversity, between 2000 and 2005.

Higher loss of agro-biodiversity was contributed from higher use of inorganic fertilizer
and higher number of credit sources.
  d hi h        b    f dit

Proximity to towns and roads reduced agro-biodiversity, both in 2000 and 2005.

Agro-biodiversity loss was also facilitated by higher soil erosion.

Higher agro-biodiversity was associated with increased caloric crop yield.

Higher agro-biodiversity was favored by sparsely cultivated land use (with higher
trees/shrubs).

The information on the relationships among agro-biodiversity, productivity and soil
erosion can improve the understandings on increasing food security while maintaining
locally available agro-biodiversity resources.



                 - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Assessing the effect of Faidherbia albida (F. albida)
based land use systems on barley yield at field and
landscape scales in the highlands of Tigray, northern
Ethiopia.




          - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Objective

To investigate influence of traditional F. albida based land use systems on
barley productivity at field and regional scales in Tigray, northern Ethiopia.
                                                    Tigray           Ethiopia




               - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Materials and Methods

Study area




             - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Landscape scale-
                        RRA & PRA          Tour, interview &
  Topographic                                                                 farm dataset
                                            group discussion
  map
                                                                                     F. lbid density
                                                                                     F albida densit

                          Landscape scale                                            Eucalyptus density

                          Selecting b l d
                          S l ti sub-landscape with 77 fields
                                                ith    fi ld                         Livestock density
                                                                                     Li      kd i

                 Selected site                                                       Inorganic fertilizer

                                 Land use system
                                                       Statistical
                          A. albida alone
                           A. albida +
                                                       analysis                      Low spatial A. albida
Distances from tree
Di t      f    t           Livestock                                                 Moderate
                                                                                     M d t spatial
                                                                                               ti l
                                                    Mixed model                      A. albida
                           A. albida +                            CCA
1 m from A.                Eucalypt                                                  High spatial A. albida
                                                                  analysis
albida trunk
                                                    Multiple
25 f
2 m from A A.                Overlay                regression
                                                           i
albida trunk
                             LULC map                                         Added Ecosystem
50 m from A.                                                                  Services
albida trunk
                             Elevation map                                    (
                                                                              (Added barley yield)
                                                                                          yy     )

Field scale
                                                                    Regional scale
Results
Productivity and land use systems at field scale

Barley yield estimate

Three F. lbid land
Th F albida l d use systems were considered:
                                     id d
F. albida alone (AA),
F. albida + livestock (AL) and
F. albida + Eucalyptus (AE).
                  yp ( )




              - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Cont…
Significantly (P < 0.05) higher barley
yield was found at 1 m from A. albida
trunk than 25 and 50 m for the AA and
AL land use systems.

In contrast barley yield did not change
   contrast,
significantly with distance from the A. albida trunk for the AE land use system.

                                                         1600   a
                                                                    a                       a
                                                         1400                                                    a
                                                                          a



                                 Barley yiel (kg /h a)
                                                         1200                      b   b                              LUS
                                                                                                                     LUS
                                                                                                      b
                                                         1000                                               b
                                                                                                                       AA
                                           ld            800                                                           AL
                                                         600                                                           AE
                                                         400
                                                         200
                                                           0
                                                                    1                  25                   50
                                                                        Distance from A. albida trunk (m)




                - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Cont…

Soil properties (Mixed Model Analysis)
     Interaction effect of F. albida land use systems (AA, AL and AE)
     and distance from F. albida trunk was significant for
                                               g

     - Total N ( P < 0.05),
     - Available P ( P < 0.001),
     - Soil moisture ( P < 0.001).
                            0 001)

     In all cases, mean values decreased with increasing distance from the tree for AA
     and AL land use systems, whereas they were more erratic for AE.

     OM was significantly affected only by distance from the tree irrespective of the F.
     albida land use systems.

Stepwise regression analysis showed soil moisture significantly affected barley yield at
    the AA (P<0.01) and the AL (P<0.001) land use systems.




                - Lukas Brader Fellowship
a    b

Cont…

GIS analysis
AA and AL land use systems were
mainly associated with sparsely
   i l       i d ih             l
cultivated and moderately cultivated
land use classes, respectively.

The AE was not clearly associated
with distinct land use class.

However,
Ho e er most AE were associated
                      ere
with higher inorganic fertilizer use
and irrigation practices.




                - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Cont…

Productivity and farm characteristics at landscape scale
Canonical correspondence analysis (CCA)
showed clear separation between
 h     d l             i b
barley yield classes and farm
characteristics (F. albida density,
Eucalyptus dominance, Livestock
      yp                ,
density and Inorganic fertilizer).

- Barley yield was positively associated
 with F. albida densit
   ith F lbid density.

     - Higher yield (Class 3) at higher
       F. albida density (HA)

- Barley yield was negatively associated
with Eucalyptus dominance (HE), located
close to towns.
         towns


                - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Cont…
Land use classes and spatial distribution of A. albida at regional scale
                      p                                     g

Sparsely cultivated land use class (Scu)
was strongly associated with farms having
High F. albida density but low Eucalyptus
     F
dominance.

Intensively cultivated land use class (Icu)
was related with low F. albida density
and higher Eucalyptus dominance.            60




                                                                    acia and
                                                                               50




                                                     ptus management
                                        Percentage of farms under Aca
                                                                               40                                             HA
                                                                                                                              LA
                                                                               30
                                                                                                                              HE
                                                                                                                              LE
                                              Eucalyp

                                                                               20

                                                                               10

                                                                               0
                                                                                    Scu
                                                                                    S                Mcu
                                                                                                     M                  Icu
                                                                                                                        I
                                                                                          Agricultural land use types



                - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Cont…
Added ecosystem service (
          y             (barley y
                              y yield benefit)
                                             )

Higher overall barley yield benefit (100% at E3) in sparsely cultivated land use type
    (T1).

Removing trees from inside of the field at random until T2 resulted in a reduction in
   yield benefit from 100 % in E3 to 40 % in E2.

Further removal of trees down to trees at corners of the fields (T3) and complete clearing
     resulted in less yield benefits.




                - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Conclusion

The research provides field and regional scale integrated study approach to
    estimate influence of F. albida land use systems on barley productivity.

It indicates F albida trees should be maintained and promoted in and around
             F.
     farmlands as a way of increasing crop productivity and soil fertility.

Whereas, Eucalyptus trees did not show both in yield and soil fertility
   improvement.

Land use types with more trees/shrubs contributed to higher F. albida density
   which in turn was important to enhance added ecosystem service (added
   barley yield).




               - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Overall contributions and implications of the research
The research contributes to the understanding of the relationships among
     agrobiodiversity (agroforestry)-productivity-soil erosion in agricultural landscapes.

     - Relative agro-biodiversity (compared to the maximum of tree/shrub species and
     crop diversity at 151 farms) was positively correlated with crop productivity.
                                                                      productivity

     - In contrast, soil erosion was higher at lower relative agro-biodiversity (at the 151
     farms).




                 - Lukas Brader Fellowship
Cont…

Despite the contribution of agroforestry/agro-biodiversity to productivity, expansion and
    intensification of agricultural lands are continuing at the expense of natural habitats
    over the past 41 years.

     -mainly because of increasing population coupled with an increasing demands for
     food, feed and construction materials.

Removal of natural habitats and on-farm trees/shrubs can lead to deterioration of soil
   fertility and enhance soil erosion.

How to increase food production to satisfy the demand of the increasing human
   population while minimizing loss of agro-biodiversity is a challenge of land use
   planners and decision makers in the country.

As
A one way of promoting sustainable agricultural production and food security,
            f       ti       t i bl      i lt l      d ti       df d          it
   agroforestry needs to be considered as a natural capital from which agriculture gains
   ecosystem services such as increase in productivity, soil fertility, protection against
   soil erosion, water retention, p
               ,                , pollination and pest control.
                                                  p


                 - Lukas Brader Fellowship
THANK YOU!
  A    O !

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Temporal and spartial changes in land use patterns and biodiversity in relation to farm productivity at multiple scales in Tigray,Ethiopia

  • 1. - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 2. Ethiopia is one of the mega centres of diversity - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 3. TIGRAY REGIONAL STATE (The study region) Tigray is located in the northern highlands of Ethiopia, covering 80,000 square km Topography: 500 - 4000 meters above sea level Population: 4.3 4 3 million Crop calendar: June to September rainy season; October & November harvest season; and May & early June land preparation and sowing. y y p p g - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 4. Study Area - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 5. Research objectives: 1. 1 To detect land use and land cover (LULC) changes based on a time series of remote sensing data and identify drivers of the changes at a regional scale. 2. To identify and analyze factors affecting agro-biodiversity and soil erosion, focusing on relationships between agro-biodiversity, physical environment, crop (farm) characteristics and measures of wealth at farm and regional scales. 3. To study spatial and temporal variation in agro-biodiversity and soil degradation in relation to farm, productivity, wealth, social, development d d i i l i f d i i lh i l d l and topographic characteristics between 2000 and 2005 at farm and regional scales. 4. To investigate the effects of F. albida based land use systems on crop productivity at field and landscape scales. - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 6. How was the research done? Regional + Component 2 (2000) -Road & town maps R -Elevation and slope El ti d l -Farm & wealth Component 1 (1964-2005) Component 3 -LULC change detection (151 farms) (2000-2005) -Driving factors of change -Road & town maps oad to aps Field scale -Elevation and slope Farm -Farm, wealth & social (151 farms) F + Component 4 (2005) -Road & town maps Road -Elevation and slope -Field (77) and farm (81) Field productivity & soil F Productivity Agro-Biodiversity Land use Level of study
  • 7. Remote sensing based land use/ land cover change detection and associated driving factors for the period 1964 – 2005 in the highlands of Tigray, Ethiopia. - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 8. Problem statement No d N understanding of where, when and why l d use/land cover (LULC) di f h h d h land /l d changes took place in relation to drivers of the changes which may have serious implications on biodiversity loss, land degradation and declining agricultural productivity. productivity Changing land use policies with changing governments/regimes (three different land use policies in the whole study period: 1964 – 2005) 2005). Challenge on how to ensure food security while conserving biodiversity and minimizing land degradation. g g Objectives To assess the dynamics of LULC for the period 1964 – 2005 in the highlands of Tigray, northern Ethiopia using remote sensing techniques, and To identify and quantify the drivers associated with LULC changes. - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 9. Specific study area description The specific study area is located in Tigray, northern Ethiopia (40 82’ - 50 10’ N p y g y, p ( and 150 66’ - 150 28’ E), and covers an area of 30 x 40 km at an elevation of 1300 - 2800 metres above sea level (m.a.s.l.). - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 10. Materials used: Data Year + month Path/row Resolution/ Scale Landsat ETM+ 2005,10 169/050 30 meter Landsat TM 1994,10 169/050 30 meter Aerial Photograph 1964 and 1994,11 Topographic map 1994 Shuttle Radar 2000 90 meter Topographic Mission (SRTM) Softwares: ERDAS IMAGINE 9 1 9.1 ArcGIS 9.2 SAS statistical package - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 11. Land use/land cover classes used in the classification S Class Description N Name 1 Woodland It is composed of trees, bushes, shrubs and herbs. Canopy cover of this unit is estimated to be 65%. 2 Grassland This is open grassland with some shrubs and occasional trees. 3 Shrub land Land supporting a stand of shrubs, usually not exceeding 3m in height with a canopy cover of more shrubs height, than 30%. 4 Scrubland It is mainly characterized by strata of shrubs and grasses or herbs growing here and there. 5 Intensively It is estimated that of this mapping unit over 70% of the land is under annual and perennial crops Cultivated land 6 Moderately It is estimated that of this mapping unit 40-70% of the land is under annual and perennial crop. cultivated land 7 Sparsely It is classified as sparsely cultivated (only 20-40%) of the entire mapping unit is under cultivation. Cultivated land 8 Water body Water in Micro Dams 9 Settlement Residential/industrial areas with a population of more than 2000 households - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 12. Description of Land Use/Land cover classes of Tigray, Ethiopia Woodland Shrub land Scrubland Sparsely cultivated Moderately cultivated Intensively cultivated - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 13. Cont… Grassland Waterbody Settlement - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 14. Methods Topographic map of the Aerial photographs Corrected ETM+ 2005 SRTM area (1964) image Scanning Geometric correction Further correction from Topomap & field data Scanning Geo-referencing Geo-referenced DTM topomap Geo-referenced aerial Geo-referenced recent photographs image (2005) Digitize ground control points Image-to-image registration Corrected aerial photos Resample 1994 Unsupervised classes Resampled aerial photos Topographic Unsupervised p Normalization classification -Training sample collection from field for the signature editor Normalized images -Supervised classification by MLKH Gluing classifier Accuracy assessment (2005 Land cover map of Transfer interpreted aerial & 1994) each year Landover map of photographs to Ortho-photo 1964 mosaic Overall accuracy Vectorize Change Statistical detection analysis and l i d Kappa statistics interpretation Land cover map of each year (2005 & 1994) - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 15. Cont… Spatially explicit multiple logistic regression model was used to estimate the probability of occurrence of LULC class change as affected by a set of independent variables: •elevation (continuous) •slope (continuous) p ( ) •distance to major river (buffered) •distance to major road (buffered) •distance to settlement (buffered) and • population density (continuous) Dependent LULC classes (a total of 2000 samples: 1000 changed; 1000 unchanged) h d) •Woodland (binary: 0 - 1) •Shrub land (binary: 0 - 1) •Scrubland (binary: 0 - 1) •Agricultural land (binary: 0 - 1) The general formula of the multiple logistic regression model was: Logit (p) = log [p/1-p] = α + β1 X1 +β2 X2 … + βn Xn - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 16. Results Across 41 years (1964 - 2005), the results reveal a sharp reduction in natural habitats and an increase in agricultural land. g 1964 1994 2005 road d - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 17. Regional scale - results 1964 Sparsely cultivated Shrub land Woodland - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 18. Regional scale - results 1994 Moderately cultivated Scrubland Sparsely cultivated - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 19. Regional scale - results 2005 Intensively cultivated Shrub land Moderately cultivated - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 20. Cont… In 1964, shrub land was dominant (covering 46% of the study area) followed by woodland (covering 28% of the study area) area). In 1994 and 2005, agriculture was dominant covering 34 and 40 % of the study area respectively. p y 50.00 45.00 40.00 35.00 entage 30.00 1964 25.00 25 00 1994 Perce 20.00 2005 15.00 10.00 5.00 0.00 Wd Sh Sc SCu MCu ICu Gr W Se Land use/land cover type - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 21. Cont… Over the study period (1964 – 2005), there was conversion of one land cover type to another For example, 32.4 and 33.1 % of shrub land was converted into another. example 32 4 33 1 combined agricultural land in 1964 – 1994 and 1994 – 2005, respectively. Moreover, 59.3 and 50.1 % of grassland was converted into agricultural land in , g g 1964-1994 and 1994-2005, respectively. There was even conversion of sparsely cultivated into moderately cultivated by 27.7 % in 1964-1994 and 37.3 % in 1994-2005. - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 22. Cont… Accuracy assessment Validation V lid ti was carried out f i d t from random validation points collected from field d lid ti i t ll t d f fi ld for the 2005 Landsat ETM+ and from the same spatial and temporal scale of 1994 aerial photographs for the 1994 Landsat TM. The overall accuracy and overall Kappa statistic for the Landsat 1994 image were 78 and 71 %, respectively. For the Landsat 2005 image, overall accuracy and Kappa statistic were 74 and 70 %, respectively. - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 23. Cont… Drivers of LULC change In the first period (1964 – 1994), distance to road was important driver of LULC change. The further the change location was from a road so much the greater was the probability of change (reductions) in wood and shrub lands and associated increase in scrubland. scrubland Change in location (increase) in agricultural land was primarily associated with an increase in human population density. p p y In the second period (1994 – 2005), woodland locations changed (decreased) primarily by settlement, particularly at high elevation and steep slopes. Similar to the first period, agricultural land changed (increased) by population density. l ti d it - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 24. Conclusion • The study over a period of 41 years (1964 -2005) reveals LULC changes 2005) particularly expansion and intensification of agricultural lands at the expense of natural habitat reductions. •Reductions in extent and location of natural habitats (woodland and shrub land) was higher as locations were further from a road in the first study period (1964-1994). •In the second period (1994-2005), natural habitats were reduced closer to settlements, particularly at high elevation and steep slopes. •Expansion and intensification of agricultural lands was associated with an increase with human population. •This study provides a spatially explicit approach that can help to improve the understanding of LULC dynamics in relation to their drivers in heterogeneous landscapes of tropical highlands. - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 25. Agro-biodiversity and soil erosion on farmlands in Tigray, northern Ethiopia. - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 26. Problem statement Previous research results, in northern Ethiopia, indicated that there is expansion and intensification of agriculture (even in steep slopes) at the expense of natural components because of human induced LULC changes. l b fh i d d h However, there was no information on status and spatial distribution of agro- biodiversity and soil erosion. erosion Objective To identify and analyze factors affecting agro-biodiversity and soil erosion, and relate them to physical environment, farm characteristics, wealth characteristics and topographic/development drivers in Tigray, northern Ethiopia. - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 27. Materials and Methods Study area - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 28. Data collection and analysis Non-spatial dataset Soil type Crop type Farm Weed species chara.per Insect species farm Agro-biodiversity Crop selection per farm Criteria Crop diversity Inorganic fertilizer Tree/shrub Wealth Number of species Statistical analysis livestock holding •Multiple regression chara.per farm Soil erosion per •Chi-square test Number of credit sources farm •Correlation analysis •Redundancy analyses Erosion classes (RDA) Spatial dataset p Distance from road Topographic/ Distance from Development town Drivers Elevation of farms
  • 29. Results Factors related to agro biodiversity agro-biodiversity - The higher the number of tree and shrub species, the higher was the crop diversity. - Th worse th soil erosion, th l The the il i the less di diversified were both the crops and t / h b species. ifi d b th th d tree/shrub i -Farmers with few credit sources planted a great variety of crops (χ2 = 18.6, DF = 6, P=0.01). - Crop selection criteria was positively associated with crop diversity. N u m b e r o f fa r m s 20 16 Highland In lowlands, d I l l d drought resistance was ht it 12 Intermediate Low land first choice 8 4 0 In highlands, straw quality was most el d important i t t e ty i ty i ty Yi a lu a li rk e e ra y ce b il t ur Tr n ce c S t b i li t tv qu an ta n ha ma a ist i ta es w s is is t rly su es Ma es t re Ea dr ge tr ec In intermediate altitude, esp. close to ee gh ra In s ve W ou Be Dr towns, high market value was first Selection criteria crop selection criterion. l ti it i - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 30. Cont… a a b Development drivers and altitude - Tree/shrub species diversity and crop diversity decreased as buffer distance of farms from roads decreased. - Higher agro-biodiversity was observed in farms far from roads. roads -Road type was also important a b b - Both tree/shrub and crop diversity were reduced close to all weather roads than dry weather roads. -Diversity of tree/shrub and crops d c d were negatively influenced by proximity of farms to urban areas. -Both diversity components were higher at higher altitude. - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 31. Cont… RDA analysis RDA analysis clearly separated diversity, soil erosion and other explanatory variables. -The lowland region (region 3) was distinct g ( g ) from the others because of minimal agricultural activities and sparse natural vegetation. -Region 5, with the highest altitude, was 1.0 also separated from the intermediate region and had high agro-biodiversity, as it was R1 located far from towns and roads. Fert/kg Var/6yr Erosion SPECIES Weed_yr No.SoilT -Region 1, located close to town, was also pest ind weed_6yr ENV. VARIABLES somehow separated from the others because of crops/yr crops/6y relatively high inorganic fertilizer use. y g g Road Dist SelCr SAMPLES Var/yr T_Ratio TotTSpp Region 1 -RDA analysis showed agro-biodiversity R3 R5 Region 2 Town Dist was significantly (p<0.001) related to each of Region 3 Region 4 the explanatory variables, but mainly p y , y -1.0 Region R i 5 with distance to road and town (positively) -1.0 1.0 and fertilizer and soil erosion (negatively). - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 32. Cont… Relationship with soil erosion - Soil erosion (measure of un-sustainability) was positively correlated with inorganic fertilizer use ( r = 0.44; P < 0.001), e e 0. ; 0.00 ), - Soil erosion was negatively correlated with -Crop diversity ( r = -0.44; P < 0.001), p y ; ), -Tree/shrub species diversity ( r = -0.74; P < 0.001), -Crop selection criteria ( r = -0.42; P < 0.001) and p ; ) -Animals per farm household ( r = -0.21; P < 0.01) - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 33. Conclusion Higher agro-biodiversity was associated with farms located far from road and towns, often associated with indigenous farming , g g practices. Agricultural technology packages (inorganic fertilizer) were important to increase food production but were often associated with removal of landraces and native plants (trees and shrub species). i l ( d h b i ) Soil erosion was worse on less diversified farms. Improved agricultural production should, therefore, take in to account locally available land races and native tree/shrub species. species - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 34. Spatial variation in agro-biodiversity, soil degradation and productivity in agricultural landscapes in the highlands of Tigray, northern Ethiopia. - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 35. Objective To compare the spatial and temporal variations in agro-biodiversity and soil degradation in relation to agricultural productivity in Tigray, northern Ethiopia between 2000 and 2005. Hypothesis Based on previous research results, we hypothesized agro-biodiversity and crop productivity have declined in recent years, whereas soil erosion has increased. Aim The aim was to understanding the drivers of agro-biodiversity loss and soil erosion, and relate them to agricultural productivity. - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 36. Materials and Methods Study area - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 37. Dataset Farm Wealth/Social •Soil type, OM, Avail. P, N •Inorganic fertilizer •Crops planted/year •Livestock holding •Animal manure •Number of credit sources •Weed, insect species/farm •Farmer’s education level Farmer’s •Caloric crop yield & sel.sri. •Farmer’s off farm employment opportunity Agro-Biodiversity Agro Biodiversity Soil erosion •Distance to major road •Elevation of farms •Distance to major •Slope of farms Slope town/market Development drivers Topographic - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 38. Data Collection Method Topographic Development drivers GPS GPS Geog. locations Aerial Aerial Feature delineation photos photos Double track Transect walk Crossing of fields Alti t / SRTM Altimeter/ Slope/Altitude Field Measurement & interview Farm Wealth/Social Agro-Biodiversity & Soil erosion - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 39. Data Analysis Spatial data Non-spatial data Interviews Topographic Development drivers Field data Farm characteristics Socio-economic LULC classes data Agro-biodiversity GIS Overlay Analysis GIS output maps Data integration - Discriminant analysis (2005) and Statistical Analysis Co pa so be wee 000 Comparison between 2000 & 2005 005 for agro-biodiversity & soil erosion. - Chi-square (Educat. & Employment Outcome - P i d t t t (b t Paired test (between 2000 & 2005) - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 40. Results Status of agro-biodiversity in 2005 I. Agro-biodiversity and social characteristics g y -More off-farm employment, less agro-biodiversity (χ2 = 30.8, DF = 4, P=0.001). -Farmer’s education was not significantly associated with agro-biodiversity. g y g y - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 41. Cont… II. Agro-biodiversity and quantitative explanatory variables For the discriminant analysis, combined (both tree/shrub species and crop diversity) average agro-biodiversity was categorized into three classes: low (<7), medium (7-12) and high (>12). - Total N (%), - Available P (mg/kg), - Crop types (number/farm), - Animal manure (kg/ha) and - Crop selection criteria (number/farm) significantly separated (P <0.05) the agro-biodiversity classes and were positively associated with the first canonical function. - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 42. Cont… Caloric crop yield (Mcal/farm) (Mcal/farm), Animal ownership (number/farm), Farm distance from the nearest town (km) and Elevation (m) also significantly (P<0.05) discriminated agro-biodiversity classes and were positively associated with the first canonical function. Compared to low agro-biodiversity classes, farms with high agro-biodiversity class had agro biodiversity classes agro biodiversity 52 % higher available P, 39 % higher total N, 47 % more crop types, 71 % higher animal manure manure, 53 % more animals, 42 % more crop selection criteria and 19 % caloric crop yield. Inorganic fertilizer use (kg/farm) and credit sources (number/farm) were negatively associated with the first canonical function, but significantly discriminated the three agro-biodiversity classes. - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 43. Cont… III. Agro-biodiversity and land use types -Low agro-biodiversity class was strongly associated with intensively cultivated land use type (Icu). -High agro-biodiversity class coincide with the sparsely cultivated land use type (Scu). - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 44. Cont… Status of soil degradation in 2005 Soil erosion classes were categorized into four: low (<10 tons/ha), moderate (10-20 tons/ha), high (20-40 tons/ha) and extremely high (>40 tons/ha). Farm slope (%) was positively associated with the first canonical function and contributed significantly (p<0.001) to th discrimination f th t the di i i ti of the soil erosion il i classes. -The higher the slope of farms, the higher th hi h was th soil erosion. the il i - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 45. Cont… Soil OM (%) and crop selection criteria (number/farm) were negatively associated with the first canonical function but significantly (p<0.001) separated the soil erosion classes. -The higher OM content of farms, the less soil erosion. -The higher crop selection criteria per farm, the less the soil erosion. - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 46. Cont… Temporal changes (between 2000 and 2005) I. Changes in farm and wealth characteristics Paired t-test comparison between 2000 and 2005 resulted in significant decrease in - crop diversity (Paired t-test, t = 6.46, P < 0.001, n=151) - animal ownership (Paired t-test, t = 4.23, P < 0.001, n=151) - crop selection criteria (Paired t-test, t = 2.05, P < 0.05, n=151) Whereas, Whereas inorganic fertilizer increased significantly (Paired t test t = -3.40, P < 0.01, n=151) t-test, 3 40 0 01 n 151) No significant change for the other variables between 2000 and 2005. - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 47. Cont… II. Agro-biodiversity and soil degradation (2000-2005) Agro-biodiversity (2000-2005) Agro-biodiversity was compared between 2000 and 2005 and categorized into: decrease (<0), no change (=0) and increase (>0). -Crop type (number/farm), -Crop selection criteria (number/farm), -Animal ownership (number/farm), -Farm distance from the nearest town (km), and i f ( ) -Farm distance from the nearest road (km) significantly (P<0.05) separated agro- biodiversity change classes (decrease, no bi di i h l (d change and increase) and were positively associated with the first canonical function. Whereas, i Wh inorganic f ili i fertilizer (kg/farm) (k /f ) was negatively associated with the first canonical function but significantly (P < 0.05) separated the agro-biodiversity change classes. h l - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 48. Cont… Soil degradation (2000-2005) Classes for changes in soil erosion (decrease, no change and increase) between 2000 and 2005 were not significantly separated by the explanatory variables. - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 49. Cont… Spatial distribution of agro-biodiversity (2000 and 2005) Tree and shrub species diversity did not change significantly between 2000 and 2005. (a) No. of tree and shrub species (b) No. of tree and shrub overlaid with road species overlaid with road buffers in 2000 buffers in 2005 Number of crop diversity decreased significantly mainly on farms located close to the nearest major roads. Proximity of farms to the nearest town was strongly associated with low agro-biodiversity (mainly with crop diversity), both in 2000 and 2005. (c) No. of crop varieties (d) No. of crop varieties overlaid with road buffers in overlaid with road buffers in 2000 2005 - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 50. Conclusion Significant loss of agro-biodiversity, mainly crop diversity, between 2000 and 2005. Higher loss of agro-biodiversity was contributed from higher use of inorganic fertilizer and higher number of credit sources. d hi h b f dit Proximity to towns and roads reduced agro-biodiversity, both in 2000 and 2005. Agro-biodiversity loss was also facilitated by higher soil erosion. Higher agro-biodiversity was associated with increased caloric crop yield. Higher agro-biodiversity was favored by sparsely cultivated land use (with higher trees/shrubs). The information on the relationships among agro-biodiversity, productivity and soil erosion can improve the understandings on increasing food security while maintaining locally available agro-biodiversity resources. - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 51. Assessing the effect of Faidherbia albida (F. albida) based land use systems on barley yield at field and landscape scales in the highlands of Tigray, northern Ethiopia. - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 52. Objective To investigate influence of traditional F. albida based land use systems on barley productivity at field and regional scales in Tigray, northern Ethiopia. Tigray Ethiopia - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 53. Materials and Methods Study area - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 54. Landscape scale- RRA & PRA Tour, interview & Topographic farm dataset group discussion map F. lbid density F albida densit Landscape scale Eucalyptus density Selecting b l d S l ti sub-landscape with 77 fields ith fi ld Livestock density Li kd i Selected site Inorganic fertilizer Land use system Statistical A. albida alone A. albida + analysis Low spatial A. albida Distances from tree Di t f t Livestock Moderate M d t spatial ti l Mixed model A. albida A. albida + CCA 1 m from A. Eucalypt High spatial A. albida analysis albida trunk Multiple 25 f 2 m from A A. Overlay regression i albida trunk LULC map Added Ecosystem 50 m from A. Services albida trunk Elevation map ( (Added barley yield) yy ) Field scale Regional scale
  • 55. Results Productivity and land use systems at field scale Barley yield estimate Three F. lbid land Th F albida l d use systems were considered: id d F. albida alone (AA), F. albida + livestock (AL) and F. albida + Eucalyptus (AE). yp ( ) - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 56. Cont… Significantly (P < 0.05) higher barley yield was found at 1 m from A. albida trunk than 25 and 50 m for the AA and AL land use systems. In contrast barley yield did not change contrast, significantly with distance from the A. albida trunk for the AE land use system. 1600 a a a 1400 a a Barley yiel (kg /h a) 1200 b b LUS LUS b 1000 b AA ld 800 AL 600 AE 400 200 0 1 25 50 Distance from A. albida trunk (m) - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 57. Cont… Soil properties (Mixed Model Analysis) Interaction effect of F. albida land use systems (AA, AL and AE) and distance from F. albida trunk was significant for g - Total N ( P < 0.05), - Available P ( P < 0.001), - Soil moisture ( P < 0.001). 0 001) In all cases, mean values decreased with increasing distance from the tree for AA and AL land use systems, whereas they were more erratic for AE. OM was significantly affected only by distance from the tree irrespective of the F. albida land use systems. Stepwise regression analysis showed soil moisture significantly affected barley yield at the AA (P<0.01) and the AL (P<0.001) land use systems. - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 58. a b Cont… GIS analysis AA and AL land use systems were mainly associated with sparsely i l i d ih l cultivated and moderately cultivated land use classes, respectively. The AE was not clearly associated with distinct land use class. However, Ho e er most AE were associated ere with higher inorganic fertilizer use and irrigation practices. - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 59. Cont… Productivity and farm characteristics at landscape scale Canonical correspondence analysis (CCA) showed clear separation between h d l i b barley yield classes and farm characteristics (F. albida density, Eucalyptus dominance, Livestock yp , density and Inorganic fertilizer). - Barley yield was positively associated with F. albida densit ith F lbid density. - Higher yield (Class 3) at higher F. albida density (HA) - Barley yield was negatively associated with Eucalyptus dominance (HE), located close to towns. towns - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 60. Cont… Land use classes and spatial distribution of A. albida at regional scale p g Sparsely cultivated land use class (Scu) was strongly associated with farms having High F. albida density but low Eucalyptus F dominance. Intensively cultivated land use class (Icu) was related with low F. albida density and higher Eucalyptus dominance. 60 acia and 50 ptus management Percentage of farms under Aca 40 HA LA 30 HE LE Eucalyp 20 10 0 Scu S Mcu M Icu I Agricultural land use types - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 61. Cont… Added ecosystem service ( y (barley y y yield benefit) ) Higher overall barley yield benefit (100% at E3) in sparsely cultivated land use type (T1). Removing trees from inside of the field at random until T2 resulted in a reduction in yield benefit from 100 % in E3 to 40 % in E2. Further removal of trees down to trees at corners of the fields (T3) and complete clearing resulted in less yield benefits. - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 62. Conclusion The research provides field and regional scale integrated study approach to estimate influence of F. albida land use systems on barley productivity. It indicates F albida trees should be maintained and promoted in and around F. farmlands as a way of increasing crop productivity and soil fertility. Whereas, Eucalyptus trees did not show both in yield and soil fertility improvement. Land use types with more trees/shrubs contributed to higher F. albida density which in turn was important to enhance added ecosystem service (added barley yield). - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 63. Overall contributions and implications of the research The research contributes to the understanding of the relationships among agrobiodiversity (agroforestry)-productivity-soil erosion in agricultural landscapes. - Relative agro-biodiversity (compared to the maximum of tree/shrub species and crop diversity at 151 farms) was positively correlated with crop productivity. productivity - In contrast, soil erosion was higher at lower relative agro-biodiversity (at the 151 farms). - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 64. Cont… Despite the contribution of agroforestry/agro-biodiversity to productivity, expansion and intensification of agricultural lands are continuing at the expense of natural habitats over the past 41 years. -mainly because of increasing population coupled with an increasing demands for food, feed and construction materials. Removal of natural habitats and on-farm trees/shrubs can lead to deterioration of soil fertility and enhance soil erosion. How to increase food production to satisfy the demand of the increasing human population while minimizing loss of agro-biodiversity is a challenge of land use planners and decision makers in the country. As A one way of promoting sustainable agricultural production and food security, f ti t i bl i lt l d ti df d it agroforestry needs to be considered as a natural capital from which agriculture gains ecosystem services such as increase in productivity, soil fertility, protection against soil erosion, water retention, p , , pollination and pest control. p - Lukas Brader Fellowship
  • 65. THANK YOU! A O !