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GROWING OPPORTUNITIES FOR AFRICAN AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT Hans P. Binswanger-Mkhize, Derek Byerlee, Alex McCalla,  Michael Morris and John Staatz ASTI-FARA-IFPRI Conference December 5, 2011
Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Africa’s constraints ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Recent Positive Trends in Africa ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Macroeconomic Conditions and Agricultural Growth Improving macro-economic score  Higher agric. growth
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Improving policy environment
The recent twin food crises Source: World Bank
Determinants of higher food prices ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
World prices are expected to settle at higher levels than in the past Source: OECD-FAO, 2011
Climate change is expected to contribute to higher world prices Source: Nelson et al, 2011
Higher international prices ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Where are Africa’s market opportunities ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Removing Barriers To Trade And Improving Markets ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
World Bank FAO Roma Tre Michigan State
Brazilian Cerrado ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Northeast Thailand ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Farm-level  productivity  lower in Africa Example of cassava Cassava yield (t/ha)
But shipment values similar Example of cassava Shipment value (US$/t) other family labor hired labor crop chemicals fertilizer seed
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Scale of production ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Alternatives to large farms ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Scale of production ,[object Object],[object Object]
Bright prospects for Africa ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Growing Opportunities for African Agricultural Development

  • 1. GROWING OPPORTUNITIES FOR AFRICAN AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT Hans P. Binswanger-Mkhize, Derek Byerlee, Alex McCalla, Michael Morris and John Staatz ASTI-FARA-IFPRI Conference December 5, 2011
  • 2.
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  • 5. Macroeconomic Conditions and Agricultural Growth Improving macro-economic score  Higher agric. growth
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  • 7. The recent twin food crises Source: World Bank
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  • 9. World prices are expected to settle at higher levels than in the past Source: OECD-FAO, 2011
  • 10. Climate change is expected to contribute to higher world prices Source: Nelson et al, 2011
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  • 14. World Bank FAO Roma Tre Michigan State
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  • 18. Farm-level productivity lower in Africa Example of cassava Cassava yield (t/ha)
  • 19. But shipment values similar Example of cassava Shipment value (US$/t) other family labor hired labor crop chemicals fertilizer seed
  • 20.
  • 21.
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  • 25.