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INDO-KOREA RELATIONS

(with special focus on bilateral trade
and economic relationship)

A Presentation by Col Ajay K Raina, SM
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Official name.
Taegukgi.
Geo size.
Population.
Size of economy.
Ideology.
Govt.
Domain.
Currency.
Religion.
Capital.
Official Language.

소개

Sogae
Sits at a Strategic Location

Korea Strait

Senkaku islands
Objective
To study the relations between India and Korea with
special focus on bilateral trade and economic
relationship.
Paper to Ppt: Scope
• Part 1 – Historical perspective
(pre-modern times till 1974).
• Part 2 – Building up of trade ties
(1974 – 2009).
• Part 3 – New surge
(2009 till date).
• Part 4 – What lies
ahead!
PART 1 – HISTORICAL
PERSPECTIVE

(PRE-MODERN TIMES TILL 1974)
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The First Contact
48 AD; Silla.
4th Century AD; T&T.
14th Century – Sultanate & Confucians; Buddhism.
Cold era of 500.
Colonial cousins.
WW II…..Sayonara!
1945 – 38th Parallel.
1948; trying to be pre-1945.
1950 Korean War.
Role of India : 1947-1954
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Newly born babies; course corrections.
UNTCOK – 1948.
KPS Menon.
UN Resolutions:– Who was the aggressor?
– Sending troops to Korea.

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Vijay Laxmi Pandit and Armistice Agreement’53.
CFI.
NAM & US; Socialist & Capitalist; To one’s own!
1962 on to 1973.
Part 2 – Building up of trade ties

(1974 – 2009)
1974 - 2000
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Nix trade till 1974.
First trade agreement; generic.
1978 bilateral x 36.
MFN.
1985 – thaw; double taxation.
Collapse of a giant.
1990/91 – SAP+LPG+LE vs Restructuring post CW.
1993 – Narsimha Rao; 1996 – Kim Young-sam.
1996 – Protection of Investment.
1999 – Kim Jong-pil; PSLV & KITSAT-3.
Turn of the Century
• 2004 - Roh Moo-hyun; Long-term Cooperative
Partnership for Peace and Prosperity.
• 2005 - India-RoK Foreign Policy and Security
Dialogue; expansion into defence.
• Re-assertion of LE policy with economic
dimensions.
• 2006 – Study Group.
• 2009- CEPA.
• New era.
The Net Effect
Part 3 – New surge

(2009 till date)
Moving on: 2010 & Beyond
• Strategic partnership post CEPA.
• Multiple fronts from diplomatic to defence to
economic to cultural fields.
• 2010 - Lee Myung-bak.
• 2011 – Pratibha Patil.
• 2012 – MM Singh.
• 70% jump post CEPA.
• Posco – one off.
• Aiming to hit 40 Billion by 2015.
Facts and Figures
• 20 per cent of the Indian small car
market share.
• Over 50 per cent of market share for
consumer durables.
• US$158 billion vs US$129 billion in
the last ten years.
• Tata & Daewoo trucks; M&M &
Ssangyong.
Part 4 – What lies ahead?
Analysis of the Potential
• Current trade and investment vs potential.
• Korea’s share in India’s global trade volume is less than 3 per
cent.
• India accounts for only 1.3 per cent of Korea’s total outbound
FDI flow.
• Challenge of a trade deficit; better access for IT,
pharmaceutical and agricultural products.
• Healthy recent past and need for a healthier future.
• Negotiations between friends to review the implementation
of CEPA and examine the need for upgrading.
• eg the largest number of pharmaceutical products registered
with the US FDA by any foreign country; mangoes are world
class and so are many agricultural products.
RoK’ Exports to India
%age
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5

Petrochem

9

Auto parts

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Semi conductors
Machinery

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Shipping
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Wireless eqpt

LCD Devices

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Steel
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Others
Indian Exports to RoK
%age
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Gems/stones
Chemicals
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Pharma

Textiles
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Agro
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Others
Issues : India’s Outlook
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CEPA & trade barriers.
Non trade barriers.
Govt policies.
Licensing requirements.
BIS requirements.
Foreign participation in services.
Bureaucratic hurdles.
Clogged judicial system.
Bias in award.
Corruption.
Licensing and Inspection costs
Issues : RoK
• Stiff regulatory framework.
• Very high standards and
adherence.
• KFDA requirements.
• KPTA – trade secrets.
• Frequently changing
labelling patterns.
• Appointment of inspectors.
The Road Ahead
• IT sector – HW & SW.
• Science and Technology –
Financials & HR.
• Pharmaceutical Industry –
R&D, clinical trials, mutual.
• Broadcasting- Products &
Consumers.
• Tourism - History; Buddhism.
• Healthcare- Mutual.
• Construction and Related
Services – Tech & Demand.
• HR – Shortage & Plenty
Part 5 – Conclusion
• A long association with huge
gaps in-between.
• Suspicion; search for global
entity.
• Realities of post cold war.
• Strong complementarities.
• Shifting bases of economies.
• Comparative advantage
based.
• Dynamic equations.
• Miles to go!
감사합니다

(Gamsahabnida)

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Indo-Korea relations with focus on trade

  • 1. INDO-KOREA RELATIONS (with special focus on bilateral trade and economic relationship) A Presentation by Col Ajay K Raina, SM
  • 2. • • • • • • • • • • • • Official name. Taegukgi. Geo size. Population. Size of economy. Ideology. Govt. Domain. Currency. Religion. Capital. Official Language. 소개 Sogae
  • 3. Sits at a Strategic Location Korea Strait Senkaku islands
  • 4. Objective To study the relations between India and Korea with special focus on bilateral trade and economic relationship.
  • 5. Paper to Ppt: Scope • Part 1 – Historical perspective (pre-modern times till 1974). • Part 2 – Building up of trade ties (1974 – 2009). • Part 3 – New surge (2009 till date). • Part 4 – What lies ahead!
  • 6. PART 1 – HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE (PRE-MODERN TIMES TILL 1974)
  • 7. • • • • • • • • • The First Contact 48 AD; Silla. 4th Century AD; T&T. 14th Century – Sultanate & Confucians; Buddhism. Cold era of 500. Colonial cousins. WW II…..Sayonara! 1945 – 38th Parallel. 1948; trying to be pre-1945. 1950 Korean War.
  • 8. Role of India : 1947-1954 • • • • Newly born babies; course corrections. UNTCOK – 1948. KPS Menon. UN Resolutions:– Who was the aggressor? – Sending troops to Korea. • • • • Vijay Laxmi Pandit and Armistice Agreement’53. CFI. NAM & US; Socialist & Capitalist; To one’s own! 1962 on to 1973.
  • 9. Part 2 – Building up of trade ties (1974 – 2009)
  • 10. 1974 - 2000 • • • • • • • • • • Nix trade till 1974. First trade agreement; generic. 1978 bilateral x 36. MFN. 1985 – thaw; double taxation. Collapse of a giant. 1990/91 – SAP+LPG+LE vs Restructuring post CW. 1993 – Narsimha Rao; 1996 – Kim Young-sam. 1996 – Protection of Investment. 1999 – Kim Jong-pil; PSLV & KITSAT-3.
  • 11. Turn of the Century • 2004 - Roh Moo-hyun; Long-term Cooperative Partnership for Peace and Prosperity. • 2005 - India-RoK Foreign Policy and Security Dialogue; expansion into defence. • Re-assertion of LE policy with economic dimensions. • 2006 – Study Group. • 2009- CEPA. • New era.
  • 13. Part 3 – New surge (2009 till date)
  • 14. Moving on: 2010 & Beyond • Strategic partnership post CEPA. • Multiple fronts from diplomatic to defence to economic to cultural fields. • 2010 - Lee Myung-bak. • 2011 – Pratibha Patil. • 2012 – MM Singh. • 70% jump post CEPA. • Posco – one off. • Aiming to hit 40 Billion by 2015.
  • 15.
  • 16. Facts and Figures • 20 per cent of the Indian small car market share. • Over 50 per cent of market share for consumer durables. • US$158 billion vs US$129 billion in the last ten years. • Tata & Daewoo trucks; M&M & Ssangyong.
  • 17.
  • 18. Part 4 – What lies ahead?
  • 19. Analysis of the Potential • Current trade and investment vs potential. • Korea’s share in India’s global trade volume is less than 3 per cent. • India accounts for only 1.3 per cent of Korea’s total outbound FDI flow. • Challenge of a trade deficit; better access for IT, pharmaceutical and agricultural products. • Healthy recent past and need for a healthier future. • Negotiations between friends to review the implementation of CEPA and examine the need for upgrading. • eg the largest number of pharmaceutical products registered with the US FDA by any foreign country; mangoes are world class and so are many agricultural products.
  • 20. RoK’ Exports to India %age 8 5 Petrochem 9 Auto parts 18 Semi conductors Machinery 14 Shipping 10 Wireless eqpt LCD Devices 8 Steel 6 22 Others
  • 21. Indian Exports to RoK %age 11 18 Gems/stones Chemicals 22 Pharma Textiles 24 Agro 9 16 Others
  • 22. Issues : India’s Outlook • • • • • • • • • • • CEPA & trade barriers. Non trade barriers. Govt policies. Licensing requirements. BIS requirements. Foreign participation in services. Bureaucratic hurdles. Clogged judicial system. Bias in award. Corruption. Licensing and Inspection costs
  • 23. Issues : RoK • Stiff regulatory framework. • Very high standards and adherence. • KFDA requirements. • KPTA – trade secrets. • Frequently changing labelling patterns. • Appointment of inspectors.
  • 24. The Road Ahead • IT sector – HW & SW. • Science and Technology – Financials & HR. • Pharmaceutical Industry – R&D, clinical trials, mutual. • Broadcasting- Products & Consumers. • Tourism - History; Buddhism. • Healthcare- Mutual. • Construction and Related Services – Tech & Demand. • HR – Shortage & Plenty
  • 25. Part 5 – Conclusion • A long association with huge gaps in-between. • Suspicion; search for global entity. • Realities of post cold war. • Strong complementarities. • Shifting bases of economies. • Comparative advantage based. • Dynamic equations. • Miles to go!