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Impact of Digital Banks on Incumbents in Singapore
Impact of Digital Banks on Incumbents in Singapore
Impact of Digital Banks on Incumbents in Singapore
Impact of Digital Banks on Incumbents in Singapore
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Impact of Digital Banks on Incumbents in Singapore
Impact of Digital Banks on Incumbents in Singapore
Impact of Digital Banks on Incumbents in Singapore
Impact of Digital Banks on Incumbents in Singapore
Impact of Digital Banks on Incumbents in Singapore
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Impact of Digital Banks on Incumbents in Singapore
Impact of Digital Banks on Incumbents in Singapore
Impact of Digital Banks on Incumbents in Singapore
Impact of Digital Banks on Incumbents in Singapore
Impact of Digital Banks on Incumbents in Singapore
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Impact of Digital Banks on Incumbents in Singapore
Impact of Digital Banks on Incumbents in Singapore
Impact of Digital Banks on Incumbents in Singapore
Impact of Digital Banks on Incumbents in Singapore
Impact of Digital Banks on Incumbents in Singapore
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Impact of Digital Banks on Incumbents in Singapore
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Impact of Digital Banks on Incumbents in Singapore

  1. 1 Impact of digital banks on incumbents Impact of digital banks on incumbents Need for banks to re-evaluate their business model and customer retention strategies January 2020
  2. Impact of digital banks on incumbents 2 Authors: Varun Mittal EY Global Emerging Markets FinTech Leader Ernst & Young Solutions LLP. Neena Antal Director, Digital Ernst & Young Advisory Pte. Ltd. Akshay Tatke Manager, Strategy & Operations EY Corporate Advisors Pte. Ltd. Impact of digital banks on incumbents 2
  3. 3 Impact of digital banks on incumbents About this report Contents page Incumbents have to act now in order to be prepared for the digital bank launch in Singapore by 2021. The New Digital Banks (NDBs) aim to launch customer-centric, differentiated products to meet their lifestyle goals along with simple and superior user experience. The new age customers expect transparency and frictionless experience from their banks. The incumbent banks should leverage the trust and relationship built with their customers over the years. They should re-evaluate their strategy, invest in understanding customers’ needs and enable a digital experience that is at par with leading technology players in the market. Incumbents should take timely action by choosing a viable option to position their business ahead of competition and disruption! 1 Digital banking landscape in Asia-Pacific 2 Digital banking landscape in Singapore 3 Key focus areas of the NDBs 4 Impact on the existing customer base of incumbents 4 6 8 12
  4. Impact of digital banks on incumbents 4 Regulators are driving competition through new digital banking licenses and framework in the region. The digital banking landscape in Asia-Pacific (APAC) has seen major advancements since 2015. The regulators in the region have been opening up financial services markets to non-financial institutions (FIs) as well. The aim is to create new digital banks (NDBs) with innovative models and solutions to meet the customer demands and cater to the underserved segments. Impact of digital banks on incumbents Korea Financial Services Commission accepted applications in 2015, and by 2017, the first batch of NDBs in Korea were launched Taiwan Financial Supervisory Commission granted three digital banking licenses in 2019, which will be launched in 2020 Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) accepted applications in December 2019, to grant second full and three wholesale bank licenses in 2020 Hong Kong Monetary Authority accepted applications in 2018, issued eight licenses and by December 2019, the first NDBs in Hong Kong, “ZA” was launched Bank Negara Malaysia released the Expectation Draft in December 2019, to accept digital banking applications by end of 2020 Digital banking landscape in Asia-Pacific 4
  5. 5 Impact of digital banks on incumbents The NDBs are fundamentally different from the incumbents across their business and operating models. They are more customer-centric and focus on delivering state-of-the-art features to engage and retain them. To compete in this dynamic and demanding environment, incumbent banks need to think differently about their business and operating models to “keep the lights on”, while also transforming and innovating at speed. Furthermore, regulators have been supporting innovation and trying to be a part of the change rather than disrupting it. They have been putting in stringent customer security measures as well to ensure that above all, customers are protected. We predict that the presence of digital banks is set to grow with the support from regulators in the region. 1. In this paper, the digital bank licenses granted by the regulators will be referred as New Digital Banks or NDBs NDB: key features Business model Operating model Technology Talent 1. Target micro-segments 2. World-class customer experience 3. Simple products, pricing and transparency 4. High degree of personalization 5. Embed in daily life of target segments 1. No or limited branch network 2. Design process for “no ops” 3. Aim to achieve low 30s cost-income ratio 4. Mobile-only, virtual or robo-led servicing 5. Leverage non traditional data for credit assessment 1. Configurable core banking 2. Built on today’s leading technology practices 3. High leverage of cloud and open application program interface (API) 4. High leverage of artificial intelligence and machine learning 5. High degree of automation 1. High proportion of engineers and design professionals 2. Multi-disciplinary teams working together 3. Flat, non-hierarchical structures 4. Employee value proposition for entrepreneurs and millennials 5. Values or purpose-focused
  6. Impact of digital banks on incumbents 6 Competition in the market is heating up with the issuance of up to five digital bank licenses by MAS in 2020. On 7 January 2020, MAS announced that a total of 7 and 14 applicants will be competing for the full bank and wholesale bank license respectively. The five NDB licenses, in addition to the internet banking framework introduced in 2000, will create a digitally enabled ecosystem. The NDBs are expected to: 1. Promote innovative business models and develop strong digital capabilities 2. Enhance the resilience, competitiveness and vibrancy of the banking sector 3. Add diversity and strengthen Singapore’s banking system 4. Increase distribution of banking services to the underserved segments of the market Impact of digital banks on incumbents Digital banking landscape in Singapore 6
  7. 7 Impact of digital banks on incumbents Slowdown in economic growth puts pressure on margins With overall Singapore gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate slowing down in 2019 and loan growth rate reducing to 0.5% against 3% in 2018, incumbent banks are expected to struggle with maintaining profit margins and lowering cost-income ratios. Technology players are offering cutting-edge and fast services to the current customer base in Singapore that is digitally mature and tuned in to the digital ecosystem to get more value for their money. The competition between NDBs, technology players and incumbent banks to get a larger share of this overbanked customer’s wallet will heat up the market in coming years. Source : Euromonitor and FITCH Solutions Macro Research 2019 5.6% 3.0% 0.5% 20182017 2019 Singapore banking sector sees a declining year-on-year loan growth rate, indicating a need for innovative products or alternate data to access credit worthiness of current customer base
  8. Impact of digital banks on incumbents 8 NDBs will leverage on the distribution network, data richness and brand awareness of the consortium members to create unique propositions. Most NDB applicants already have a huge customer base and are a part of the customer’s day-to-day life. They have no legacy in terms of technology, operations and products that would limit their product proposition and speed to market. The NDBs will fill in the void that incumbents have left open by not responding fast enough to meet the digital experience needs of the customers. The different digital bank players bring one of the following three differentiators to the table that could give the NDBs an edge over the incumbents. Access to large customer base with multiple touch points on a daily basis passing the toothbrush test Data on multiple touch points during the day and leveraging it to create personalized propositions Strong brand awareness in the market, with a base of loyal customers open to try the new digital banking products Impact of digital banks on incumbents Key focus areas of the NDBs Distribution Data Awareness 8
  9. 9 Impact of digital banks on incumbents The NDBs are aiming to create new value propositions by focusing on selected customer segments, offering differentiated products supported by the latest technology, to offer great user experience to entice the customers. • Initial focus in serving underserved segments • Gradually shift scope to cover the “massive middle” • Offer new and innovative banking products • Developing new technology capabilties and methodologies to offer products in a new way • Differentiated and seamless banking experience • Building an extensive ecosystem to provide non-banking services Customer segments Customer products Customer experience Customer segments: serving the traditionally underserved segments The NDBs will focus on targeting the underserved retail and wholesale sub-segments through the effective use of technologies. Over time, they will broaden their scope towards the “high-value pool” segments, which are reasonably well served by the incumbent banks. Retail Wholesale 3. Micro SMEs refer to corporates that has an annual revenue of less than S$1 million and/or with less than 10 employees • Over 200,000 individuals taking up short-term or event-based work • Traditionally ineligible for credit, and lack personalized insurance coverage • Over 1 million digitally native young millennials, heavily influenced by lifestyle platforms • Expect a banking experience that is truly differentiated • Potentially 100,000 young businesses that lack financial history and track record • Require digital management tools due to lack of resources • 120,000 businesses that may not possess assets for collateral • High frequency, low volume transactions often cause short term credit challenges Gig economy participants Digital natives Young MSMEs3 Asset light SMEs
  10. Impact of digital banks on incumbents 10 Customer products: differentiation aimed at solving key pain points4 Products offered by the NDBs s are expected to be more innovative, following in the footsteps of successful global case studies. These products will be tailored to address current customer pain points. The new banks will aim to become a one-stop shop for lifestyle or business needs of their target segments. Customer experience: legacy-free, new age banking experience4 The NDBs will launch world-class user experience at the get-go to onboard and engage customers. Cutting-edge technology is expected to be embedded across banking processes, whether customer facing or at the back-end. The banking stack will be more reliable, available, secure and seamless, acting as a day-to- day platform for both retail and SME customers. 4. Above products and customer experience features are representation of key area that NDBs will play in and is not complete nor exhaustive. 5. EY analysis on revenue pools for various products in Singapore market • Revenue pool of approximately S$11b5 • Alternative credit underwriting for wider eligibility, faster approvals, cheaper credit • Personalized and secure cards linked to customer lifestyles • Revenue pool of approximately S$3b • Simple one-click micro investments, removal of minimum investment barriers • Digital financial advice with real- time investment alerts • Revenue pool of S$186m • One-stop market place with an extensive network of merchants, incentives and deals • Flexible payment terms leveraging technology • Revenue pool of S$5.9b • Bite-sized affordable insurance premiums and premium-based packages to attract millennials • Event driven coverage and pricing for enhanced relevance Lending and cards Payments Investments Insurance • Personalized offerings • Profile and situation-specific • Right place and at the right time • Frequent interactions with customers • Increased touchpoints, incentivizing customers to login • Goal-oriented savings and offers • Digitally-enabled advisory • Meeting customers’ non-financial needs • Frequent interactions with customers • Increased touchpoints, incentivizing customers to login Personalized and contextual Delightful Lifestyle based Engaging
  11. 11 Impact of digital banks on incumbents 11 We see an emerging trend of ‘FinLife’, the coming together of financial services and lifestyle to enable seamless customer experience and innovative financial products. “ Varun Mittal EY Global Emerging Markets FinTech Leader
  12. Impact of digital banks on incumbents 12 The new age banking customer is deeply influenced by the engaging user experience offered by digital platforms that have woven themselves seamlessly in their lifestyles. Today’s customers expect their financial services providers to offer a similar digital experience like those offered by lifestyle platforms. These customers are dynamic in their quest to select the right platforms that serve them personally, and are open to switching to platforms that offer a better overall user experience. They seek personalized recommendations, offers and financial advice to ensure maximum savings and more value for their dollar. As a result, they expect their financial products to be embedded as part of the daily lifestyles. Impact of digital banks on incumbents Impact on the existing customer base of the 12 Fulfilling these new-age customer demands is exactly how the NDBs expect to win market share in the competitive banking landscape of Singapore. There will be an impact on the existing customer base of the incumbents, and some customers will move with their money and relationships to NDBs.
  13. 13 Impact of digital banks on incumbents NDB foray matrix Banks’ propensity to earn revenue High Low High CustomerSatisfaction 3 1 4 2 incumbents Characteristics 1. Indifferent 2. Flight-risk 3. Happy minimalist 4. Profitable loyalist Usage of banking services Free basic services such as savings account Longer term products such as mortgages Transactional services and rewards Consider bank as one-stop financial shop Engagement with bank Rarely interact Interact at time of need Frequent interaction Deeply engaged as part of day-to-day life Stickiness Low Medium Medium High Potential hook Financial advice with lifestyle linked products Personalized services like wealth Attractive offers on low margin products Simple and user friendly digital products The new crop of digital banks aim to fulfil these customer expectations by building a legacy-free, slick user experience on both online and offline fronts, and gradually increasing their market share at a faster pace than the incumbent banks. The NDB foray matrix below depicts the incumbent bank’s existing customer segments that are likely to move to the NDBs, in addition to the underserved customers of the market. The segmenting approach is based on two key parameters: a) customer satisfaction or happiness, and b) the amount of revenue the banks can earn from the customers.
  14. Impact of digital banks on incumbents 14 To penetrate into incumbents’ customer base, NDBs will rely on a combination of differentiated products and the customers’ likeliness of using these products in comparison to its traditional alternative. Customer-product mobility matrix Customer’s propensity to switch High Low High Potentialtodifferentiate 14 11 8 3 47 5 13 9 10 Illustrative products 1. Savings accounts 8. Payments 2. Deposits 9. Forex 3. Micro loans 10. Insurance 4. Term loans 11. Wealth and investments 5. Mortgages 12. Treasury management 6. Overdrafts 13. Advisory services 7. Credit and advances 14. Value added services 1 2 6 12 The NDBs are expected to focus on products that lie close to the fourth quadrant, offering maximum differentiation through innovation, while also enticing customers to switch from incumbent banks. Whereas, products in the first quadrant will see less innovation, proving to be more challenging to excite customers to switch from their primary banks in the initial years. Existing banks have been acting as the primary bank for their customers for many years and have built a strong brand that their customers can trust with their money and financial needs. The NDBs will have to offer differentiated products and be agile in the coming years to win the trust of the customers. According to a recent survey, its quite evident that up to 70% of the young banking customers are open to try products and services offered by NDBs.6 This puts the incumbents at a juncture where they would need to devise strategies to increase the stickiness of their customer base by offering innovative and personalized solutions, along with managing the profitability and margin pressure. Status-quo might not be an option any more! 6. Source: J.D. Power 2019 Singapore Retail Banking Satisfaction Study
  15. 15 Impact of digital banks on incumbents Incumbents have to take action now, given that doing nothing is not a viable option anymore. There are multiple options that incumbent banks can choose from and formalize their strategy to compete with the NDBs and increase the top-line. Below are the four main approaches that banks can take to protect and increase their customer base in the current market. Incumbent banks have a short time frame to realign their strategy and focus on execution to compete with digital banks. MAS aims to award the digital bank licenses by June 2020 and the NDBs should most likely be operational by Q2 in 2021. This gives the incumbent banks a limited time frame to design and implement their strategic plans in next 12 to 18 months. The banks should take advantage of their existing customer database to deepen the current relationship by meeting their expectations, and respond to their needs in a speedy manner. Defensive and targeted offering to protect their price, product and segments Implementationeffort Easy Complex Create new digital front-end channel, but most of the operations and technology remain similar as current Create a digital-only offering by acquiring or partnering with firms to deliver innovative solutions Create a digital-only bank with current license with separate operations, technology stack and potentially brand Targeted digital offering Create new digital front-end Grow in-organically or partner Launch NDB using existing license 1 2 3 4 Identify areas of impact or growth Create new strategic options to defend and expand Build and roll out 12–18 months
  16. Impact of digital banks on incumbents 16 Impact of digital banks on incumbents Contact us Nam Soon Liew EY Asean Regional Managing Partner Ernst & Young Advisory Pte. Ltd. nam-soon.liew@sg.ey.com Brian Thung EY Asean Financial Services Leader Ernst & Young LLP brian.thung@sg.ey.com Anshuman Singh EY Asia-Pacific Financial Services Digital Leader Ernst & Young Advisory Pte. Ltd. anshuman.singh@sg.ey.com 16
  17. 17 Impact of digital banks on incumbents Chris Lim Partner Advisory – Risk and Regulatory Ernst & Young Advisory Pte. Ltd. chris.lim@sg.ey.com Neena Antal Director, Digital Financial Services Ernst & Young Advisory Pte. Ltd. neena.antal@sg.ey.com Stuart Last EY Asean Financial Services Transaction Advisory Services Leader EY Corporate Advisors Pte. Ltd. stuart.last@sg.ey.com Varun Mittal EY Global Emerging Markets FinTech Leader Ernst & Young Solutions LLP varun.mittal@sg.ey.com Li Yun Seah Partner Financial Services Ernst & Young LLP li-yun.seah@sg.ey.com
  18. Impact of digital banks on incumbents 18 Notes
  19. 19 Impact of digital banks on incumbents
  20. EY | Assurance | Tax | Transactions | Advisory About EY EY is a global leader in assurance, tax, transaction and advisory services. The insights and quality services we deliver help build trust and confidence in the capital markets and in economies the world over. We develop outstanding leaders who team to deliver on our promises to all of our stakeholders. In so doing, we play a critical role in building a better working world for our people, for our clients and for our communities. EY refers to the global organization, and may refer to one or more, of the member firms of Ernst & Young Global Limited, each of which is a separate legal entity. Ernst & Young Global Limited, a UK company limited by guarantee, does not provide services to clients. Information about how EY collects and uses personal data and a description of the rights individuals have under data protection legislation are available via ey.com/privacy. For more information about our organization, please visit ey.com. © 2020 Ernst & Young Advisory Pte. Ltd. All Rights Reserved. APAC no. 12002027 ED none UEN 198905395E This material has been prepared for general informational purposes only and is not intended to be relied upon as accounting, tax or other professional advice. Please refer to your advisors for specific advice. ey.com
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