Hiring forecast

1. Q2 2009 U.S. Job ForecaSt

2. Company undecided
the economic recession continUes to take its This quarter (1st quarter, Jan.-1Jun. 30,31, 2009), is your company,
In the second quarter (Apr. 1 - Mar. 2009), does your company,
toll on employment prospects in the U.s., according at your location, plan to increase, decreasemaking no change
at your location, increasing, decreasing or or make no change
to the latest quarterly job forecast from CareerBuilder and in its number of full-time, permanent employees?
in its number of full-time, permanent employees?
USA TODAY. Following a loss of 2.6 million jobs in the last
four months,* employers are holding off on staff expansions 1% 13%
7% 14%
and focusing efforts on keeping current headcount as they
navigate through a tough economy. Increasing
Increasing
14% Decreasing
“We’ll be looking for the market to stabilize over the next three 60%
Decreasing
26% No change
to six months, when you’ll hopefully see job losses below 64% No change
100,000 and eventually closer to zero,” said Matt Ferguson, Company undecided
Company undecided
CEO of CareerBuilder. “Employers want to hold on to their
talent and are taking measures to contain costs and bring
in new revenue streams, so they can maintain their staff
levels. Sixty-four percent of employers expect there will
be no change in their number of full-time, permanent
employees in the second quarter.” In the second quarter (Apr. 1 - Jun. 30, 2009), does your company,
If your location, at your location, Mar. 31, 2009), is your change
This quarter (1st quarter, Jan. 1 - employs or make no company,
at your company,plan to increase, decreasehourly workers, how
CareerBuilder and USA TODAY surveyed more than at yourits numberchanged indecreasing or makingQ1 2008?
have their hoursincreasing, Q1 2009 compared to no change
in location, of full-time, permanent employees?
2,500 hiring managers and human resource professionals in its number of full-time, permanent employees?
and over 4,400 workers across industries. 12%
7% 14%
5% 1% 13% 25%
Hours were cut
Hiring in Q1 2009 14%
Increasing
Increasing
Hours were increased
Decreasing
Thirteen percent of employers said they increased their Decreasing
number of full-time, permanent employees in the first Hours stayed the same
64%
60%
53% 26% No change
No change
quarter – down from 31 percent this time last year – while Not sure undecided
Company
60 percent reported their staff levels remained the same. 5% Company undecided
Does not employ
Twenty-six percent reported a reduction in headcount, up from hourly workers
13 percent this time last year. One percent were undecided.
When asked if hours had changed, on average, for hourly
workers in Q1 2009 year over year, 53 percent reported no
change in the number of hours offered while 25 percent IfInHiring By Region - In location, employs hourly workers, how
your company, at your the 2ndJun. 30, 2009), does your company,
the second quarter (Apr. 1 - quarter, does your company, at
reported hours were cut. Five percent stated that hours have their hours changed in Q1 2009 compared to Q1 2008?
your location, plan to increase, decrease or make no no change
at your location, plan to increase, decrease or make change in
had increased while another 5 percent were unsure. in its number of full-time, permanent employees?
its number of full-time, permanent employees?
12%
5%
7% 14% 25% 66%
66% 66%
70%
Hiring in Q2 2009 60%
59%
Hours were cut
Fourteen percent of employers expect to add full-time, 50% IncreasingNortheast
Hours were increased
40% 14%
permanent employees in the second quarter, relatively 16% 19% 14% DecreasingMidwest
30% Hours stayed the same
unchanged from the first quarter of 2009 and down from 53%
20% 14% 14% 14% 12% 14% 9% 6% 7% 7%
29 percent in the second quarter of 2008. Fourteen 64%
10% Not surechangeSouth
No
5% West
percent anticipate there will be a decrease in headcount 0% DoesCompany undecided
not employ
in the second quarter while 64 percent expect no change Increase Decrease No Change Company workers
hourly
Undecided
and 7 percent are undecided.
Hiring By Region - In the 2nd quarter, does your company, at
Hiring By Company Size - In the 2nd employsdoes your company,
your location, plan to increase, decrease orhourly no change in
If your company, at your location, quarter, make workers, how
at your location, plan to increase, decrease or maketo Q1 2008?
haveits number of full-time, permanent employees?
their hours changed in Q1 2009 compared no change
in its number of full-time, permanent employees?
12% 66% 66% 66%
1 Q2 2009 U.s. Job forecast
70%
80%
60%
5% 59%
73% 65%
59%
Q3 25% Job forecast
2008
*Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics 2
60%
50% Northeast
Hours were cut
40% 1 to 50 employees

3. your location, plan to increase, decrease or make no change in
its number of full-time, permanent employees?
Hiring by region Hiring By Region - In the 2nd quarter, does your company, at
your location, plan to increase, decrease or make no change in
66% 66% 66%
The South continues to perform better than other 70%
its number of full-time,59%
permanent employees?
regions in terms of hiring, seeing the benefits of growth 60%
in healthcare and energy. Sixteen percent of hiring 50% Northeast
66% 66% 66%
70%40% 59%
managers in the South plan to increase their full-time 16% 19% 14% Midwest
60%30%
staff, compared to 14 percent in all other regions. The 50%20% 14% 14% 14% 12% 14% 9% 6% 7% 7% South
Northeast
Northeast, plagued by losses in banking and financial 40%10%
jobs, is expecting the largest decrease in headcount 30% 0% 16% 19% 14% West
Midwest
among the regions. Nineteen percent of hiring 20% 14% 14% 14%
Increase 12% 14%
Decrease No Change 9% 6% Company
7% 7% South
10% Undecided
managers expect to trim staffs compared to 14 percent
0% West
in the Midwest and West and 12 percent in the South.
Increase Decrease No Change Company
Undecided
Hiring By Company Size - In the 2nd quarter, does your company,
at your location, plan to increase, decrease or make no change
in its number of full-time, permanent employees?
Hiring By Company Size - In the 2nd quarter, does your company,
Hiring by company Size at your location, plan to increase, decrease or make no change
80% 73% 65%
Sixteen percent of employers with more than 250 employees 59%
in its number of full-time, permanent employees?
60%
expect to add full-time, permanent positions in the next 1 to 50 employees
40% 73% 65%
three months compared to 15 percent of those with 51 to 250 80% 15%16% 13% 20% 59% 9% 8%
20% 12% 51 to 250 employees
employees and 12 percent of those with 1 to 50 employees. 60% 6% 6%
40% 0% 1 toMore than
50 employees
15%16% 13% 20% 250 employees
e
se
ci ny
ge
as
20% 12% 9% 8% 51 to 250 employees
ea
de pa
re
an
6%
d
6%
de
se ecr
ci ny Un om
c
Ch
In
More than
C
D
0%
an No
250 employees
e
ge
as
ea
pa
re
d
de
Were there layoffs of full-time, permanent staff, at your
cr
Un m
c
Ch
This quarter (1st quarter, Jan. 1 - Mar. 31, 2009), is your company,
In
Co
De
No
de
LayoFFS
ter yourquarter, Jan. 1 - Mar.decreasingis your company,
at (1st location, increasing, 31, 2009), or making no change Were there layoffs of Do you anticipate layoffs of at your
location, in Q1 2009? full-time, permanent staff, full-time,
permanent staff, at your location, in Q2 2009?
location, in Q1 2009? Do you anticipate layoffs of full-time,
location,Twenty-two of full-time, permanent employees? there were
inincreasing,percent of hiring making no change
its number decreasing or managers reported
permanent staff, at your location, in Q2 2009?
75% 72%
n its number of full-time, permanent employees? of 2009, up from
layoffs at their locations in the first quarter
1% 80%
13%
11 percent this time last year. Twelve percent anticipate 75% 72%
there will be layoffs in the next three months while 16 percent 80% 60%
1% 13%
Increasing
are unsure. Seventy-two percent expect no change. Q1
Decreasing 60% 40% 22%
Increasing 16% Q2
60% 26% No change Q1
Looking at a subset of managers specializing in human 40% 20% 22%
12%
3%
Decreasing
resources, nearly half (48 percent) believe their organizations
Company undecided 16% Q2
26% No change 12%
will benefit from the economic stimulus in terms of getting 20% 0% 3%
more business. Twenty-three percent said their companies
Company undecided Yes No Not sure
are planning to bring back workers who were laid off once 0%
the economy turns around. Yes No Not sure
n the second quarter (Apr. 1 - Jun. 30, 2009), does your company,
compenSation
at your location, plan to increase, decrease or make no change What do you expect the average change in salaries will be for
in its number budgets arepermanent employees?
Tightened of full-time, restricting pay increases full-time, permanent employees, at your location, in the 2nd
ond quarter (Apr. 1 - Jun. 30, 2009), does your company, and, in quarter of 2009 compared to the 2nd quarter of 2008?
ocation, plan to cases, resulting in payor make no Forty-two percent of
some increase, decrease reductions. change
7% 14%
What do you expect the average change in salaries will be for
its number of full-time, permanent employees?full-time, permanent
employers expect to increase salaries for full-time, permanent employees, at your location, in the 2nd
1-3% increase 29%
employees in the second quarter, down from 70 percent this quarter of 2009 compared12%the 2nd quarter of 2008?
4-10% increase to
Increasing
time last year. Twenty-nine percent estimate the average
7% 14% 14% 11% increase or more 1%
raise to range between 1 and 3 percent, 12 percent expect an
Decreasing 1-3% increase 29%
No change 46%
64% average raise of 4 to 10 percent while 1No change expect raises
percent 4-10% increase 12%
Increasing Decrease 7%
to be 11 percent or more. Forty-six percent of employers
14% 11% increase or more
Company undecided
anticipate no change in compensation levels, 7 percent expect
Decreasing Not sure 1% 5%
No change 46%
a decrease and 5 percent are unsure.
No change 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Decrease 7%
Company undecided
Not sure 5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
f your company, at your location, employs hourly workers, how
2
have their hours changed in Q1 2009 compared to Q1 2008?

4. quarter of 2009 compared to the 2nd quarter of 2008?
7%
1-3% increase 29%
4-10% increase 12% 6%
ng
ing Six empLoyment trendS
11% increase or more 1%
ge For empLoyerS and Job SeekerS
No change
Decrease 7%
46%
y undecided
Not sure 5%
20% 30%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
1) trimming perks and benefits – Companies are taking interim measures to free up funds
to weather the economic storm. Forty-two percent of employers reported they
experienced a cut in perks and benefits at their organizations in Q1 2009; 31 percent
expect there will be cuts in Q2 2009. The top three areas that will be impacted are
ers, how bonuses, 401K matching and healthcare coverage, according to the survey.
2008?
cut
Have there been cuts in benefits or perks in Q1 2009 at your organization?
increased
d the same
25% 21%
mploy 20%
ers
15%
9% 8% 8%
10% 6% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4%
5%
pany, at 0%
s
e
ts
ts
ps
g
t
s
ns
ge
hange in
rk
en
tim
se
in
efi
en
tri
io
pe
ra
ch
em
nu
en
im
pt
n
ve
ive
?
at
gy
tio
Bo
ko
rs
nd
sb
co
m
nt
lo
ca
bu
Wou
co
oc
es
ce
no
1K
al
Va
im
St
ln
ic
a,
-in
ch
40
re
el
ed
te
Sub
ee
Te
W
ic
M
e,
oy
em
ffe
pl
ad
Co
Em
Ac
Northeast
Midwest
South Do you anticipate that there will be cuts in benefits or perks at
West your organization in Q2 2009?
16%
16% 6
14%
12%
10%
8% 6%
5% 5% 5%
6% 4% 4%
mpany, 3% 3% 3%
4%
hange
2%
0%
s
e
ts
ts
ps
g
t
es
ns
e
rk
en
tim
in
ag
efi
en
tri
s
tio
pe
ch
em
nu
er
en
im
n
e
op
at
gy
tio
ov
Bo
iv
rs
nd
sb
m
nt
k
lo
ca
bu
lc
co
oc
es
ce
no
1K
ca
Va
im
yees
St
ln
a,
in
ch
40
re
i
el
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te
e-
Te
W
ic
e
M
e,
oy
em
ployees
ffe
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ad
Co
Em
Ac
es
3 Q2 2009 U.s. Job forecast

5. Were there layoffs of full-time, permanent staff, at your pace, toYes
replace lower-performing employees with new talent?
ocation, in Q1 2009? Do you anticipate layoffs of full-time,
Q1 No
permanent staff, at your location, in Q2 2009? 23%
Are you using Yes time, when employers are slowing their hiring
this
16% Q2
ere there layoffs of full-time, permanent staff, at your
% 75% 72% 77% pace, to replace lower-performing employees with new talent?
Q1
%tion, in Q1 2009? Do you anticipate layoffs of full-time, No
2) Upgrading talent rosters – Twenty-three percent of
permanent staff, at your location, in Q2 2009? 23%
16% Q2
%t sure employers said they are taking this time, when hiring Yes
% 77%
has slowed, to72%
75% replace lower-performing employees
Q1 No
% 22%with top talent that may not have been available in
sure a healthier economy. Job seekers who stand to Q2
12%
16% Yes
% How much longer
3% do you estimate you have to work to recoup77% savings?
benefit the most include those operating in sales, lost
Q1 No
22% accounting/finance, retail andworkers over age 60 who are putting off retirement, Q1 2009 survey
Subset of customer service.
%
n salaries will be for 16% Q2
12%
location, Yes 2nd
in the No How muchNot suredo11% estimate you have to work to recoup lost savings?
3% longer you 24% 77% years
1-2
quarter of 2008? 3%
Subset of workers over age 60 who are putting off retirement, Q1 2009 survey
7% 3-4 years
n salaries will be for
29%Yes 11%
ocation, in the 2nd No Not sure 5-6 years
1-2 years
How much longer do you estimate you have to work to recoup lost savings?
3% 24%
quarter of 2008? 6%
7-8 years
7% Subset of workers over age 60 who are putting off retirement, Q1 2009 survey
3-4 years
What do you expect the average change in salaries will be for
29% 9-10 years 11%
5-6 years
full-time, permanent employees, at your location, in the 2nd
46%
3) postponing retirement6%Six-in-ten workers (60 percent) How much longer do you estimate you have to work 24%
– to recoup lost savings?
1-2 years
quarterover thecomparedsaid, in2nd quarter of 2008? are
of 2009 age of 60 to the another survey, they 3%
More than
7-8 years age 60 who are putting off retirement, Q1 2009 survey
Subset of workers over
7% 10 years 3-4 years
at do you expect theoff retirement duein salaries will be for
putting average change to the impact of the U.S. 9-10 years
1-3% increase 46% 20% 29% I will never be
11% 5-6 years
-time, permanent employees,their long-term savings. 2nd majority
financial crisis on at your location, in the The 30%
able to retire 1-2 years
0% 24%
quarter40%2009 compared to12% themquarter ofyears to recoup lost
4-10% increase 50% it will take 2nd up to six 2008?
of anticipate the 6%3% More than
7-8 years
7% 10 years 3-4 years
1% increase or more
savings1%while one-in-ten fear they may never be able
-3% increase 29%
20% I will never be 9-10 years
to retire.
No change 46% 30% 5-6 years
0% 40% 50% able to retire
10% increase 12% 6% More than
Decrease 7% 7-8 years
10 years
crease or more
Not sure 1% 5% Are you looking for work outside of your profession? be
9-10 years
No change 46% 20% 30% I will never
Subset of workers who were laid off in the last 12 months whoretire
able to
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% More than
Decrease 7% have not found a job
10 years
Not sure 5%
20%29% you looking for work outside of your will never be
Are
30% I profession?
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Subset of workers who were laid off in44% last 12 months who
the able to retire
have not found a job
or perks in Q1 2009 at your organization? Yes, I'm looking
4) transferring skills – Seventy-one percent of workers who for a change looking for w
Are you
29% 44%
were laid off and haven’t found work said they are looking Yes, Subset of workers who w
there are
or perks in Q1 2009 at your organization? profession either because
for jobs outside of their chosen no available have
Yes, I'm looking
jobs in my field
they’re ready for a change or there are no available jobs Are you looking for work
for a change
in their field. Hiring managers are amenable with 69 percent No 29%
Subset of workers who were la
Yes, there are
stating they would hire someone who didn’t have experience have not f
Have thereprofession,in benefits or perks in Q1 2009 at your organization? 27% no available
6% in their been cuts but had transferable skills. jobs in my field
5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 29%
No
25%
Have there been cuts in benefits or perks in Q1 2009 at your organization?
21%
27%
6% 20%
ks
e
s
ps
t
ns
5%
en
fit
tim
4% 4% 4% 4%
er
tio
ne
em
yp
n
op
be
io
rs
og
25% 15% 21%
at
ck
bu
ss
Would you consider moving to a new city or state to find employment?
l
ac
no
to
ne
9%
ns im
en V
8% 8%
Ac fits S
ps ch
27%
ks ll
io re
er We
20% 10% 6% Subset of workers who were laid off in the last 12 months who have not found a job
pt ic
5%
e
k o em
4% 4% 4% 4%
t
tim
oc ad
e
em
15% 5%
yp
en
5) relocating – Thirty-nine percent of workers who were
n
io
rs
sb
og
at
9%
bu
laid off and haven’t found work said they would consider Would you consider moving to a new city or state to find employment?
ol
es
ac
8% 8% 27%
10% 0%
im
hn
St
ln
g V
6%
e re
Subset of workers who were laid off in the last 12 months 39% have not found a job
el
5%
relocating to another city or state for a job. Employers are
4% 4% 4% 4% who
W
s
e
s
agic
ts
ps
t
s
ns
rk
en
fit
tim
se
in
er m
en
tri
5%
tio
pe
ne
open to recruiting candidates from other cities with
ch
m
ov e
nu
e will be cuts in benefits or perks at
m
n
ge l ccad
e
op
se
be
at
gy
tio
di
Bo
ps ntiv
en bur
m
Yes
on
28 percent of hiring managers stating they would pay to
re adetion ock
lo
tim ca
ss
ve dica A
nization in Q2 2009?
0% Would you consider moving to a
ce
no
Cotchi 1K
Emime a, c
en llne
Va
em eim
St
ive -in
gy ech
40
relocate a good job candidate. No
nd , te
s b We
Subset of workers who were laid off
r
s
e
ts
oy s
ee
e
ffe ng
t
s
ms
39%
rk
ic
pl nt
T
se
M
efi
e
tri
pe
ra
nu
n
Ac op
tio
Bo
a
rs
61%
co
will be cuts in benefits or perks at
m
nt
k
lo
ca
bu
Would you considerYes
moving to a new
co
oc
es
ce
no
1K
al
Va
im
St
ln
ic
a,
-in
ization in Q2 2009?
ch
40
el
ed
te
Subset of workers who were laid off in the
ee
Te
W
ic
M
e,
oy
No
em
ffe
pl
ad
Co
Em
Ac
5% Do you anticipate that there will be cuts in benefits or perks at
61%
4% 4%
3% 3% organization in Q2 2009?
your 3%
16% Are you going back to school this year to make yourself 4
16% Do you anticipate that there will be cuts in benefits or perks at more marketable? 61%
5% 14% your organization in Q2 2009?
s
e
s
s
nt
ns
rk
fit
m
ip

6. 5%
4% 4%
3% 3% 3%
Are you going back to school this year to make yourself
more marketable?
ks
e
s
s
t
ns
en
fit
tim
ip
er
21%
io
ne
em
yp
pt
n
be
tio
ko
rs
g
lo
ca
bu
ss
oc
6) Going back to the classroom – Twenty-one percent of all
no
e
Va
im
St
ln
ch
re
el
workers surveyed are going back to school for formal degrees,
W
ic
m
certifications and refresher courses to make themselves more
a de
Yes
Ac
marketable to employers.
No
79%
Totals may not equal 100 percent due to rounding.
SUrvey metHodoLogy
this survey was conducted online within the U.S. by Harris Interactive® on behalf of CareerBuilder and
USA TODAY among 2,543 hiring managers and human resource professionals (employed full-time; not
self-employed; with at least significant involvement in hiring decisions; non government); and 4,435 U.S.
employees (employed full-time; not self-employed; non government); and 361 respondents who have been
laid off in the past 12 months from a full time position and not found work. All respondents were ages 18
and over and surveyed between February 20 and March 11, 2009 (percentages for some questions are
based on a subset of U.S. employers or employees, based on their responses to certain questions). With
a pure probability sample of 2,543, 4,435, and 361, one could say with a 95 percent probability that the
overall results have a sampling error of +/- 1.94 percentage points, +/- 1.47 percentage points, and +/- 5.16
percentage points, respectively. Sampling error for data from sub-samples is higher and varies.
aboUt careerbUiLder
careerbuilder is the global leader in human capital solutions, helping companies target and attract their
most important asset – their people. Its online career site, CareerBuilder.com, is the largest in the U.S. with
more than 23 million unique visitors, 1 million jobs and 31 million resumes. CareerBuilder works with the
world’s top employers, providing resources for everything from employment branding and data analysis to
talent acquisition. More than 9,000 Web sites, including 140 newspapers and broadband portals such as MSN,
feature CareerBuilder’s proprietary job search technology on their career sites. Owned by Gannett Co., Inc.
(NYSE:GCI), Tribune Company, The McClatchy Company (NYSE:MNI) and Microsoft Corp. (Nasdaq: MSFT),
CareerBuilder and its subsidiaries operate in the U.S., Europe, Canada and Asia.
For more inFormation, viSit www.careerbUiLder.com.
media contact
Jennifer Grasz - Senior Director, Corporate Communications
773-527-1164
Jennifer.Grasz@careerbuilder.com
5