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BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES
       IN SAUDI POWER SECTOR



           U.S. – Saudi
     Business Opportunities Forum
          5-7 December 2011
              Atlanta-U.S.A




1
Electricity Industry in Saudi Arabia

     Starts in the 50`s 100% private utilities .
     Late 70`S consolidated into four major regional power
      companies (SCECO).
     In 2000 All operating entities merged in one company
         Saudi Electricity Company (SEC).
     SEC owns 85% of generation and 100% of transmission
      and distribution.
     The government involved as shareholder and regulator .

2
SAUDI power sector TODAY

     Largest electricity system in the region.
     Assets exceeds US$70 billions.
     Over 52,000 MW installed capacity.
     48,000 MW peak demand and 250MMWH.
     160,000 Miles of transmission& distribution lines
     Serving 6 million customers .
     Revenues 8.5 US$ bln with 7-8% annual growth .


3
GROWTH (2001 – 2011)

             No of customer   Peak load      Available    Transmission   Energy
     DATA                                                                (GWH)
               ( Million)      (MW)       generation (MW)    (KM)


    2001           3.6          23000        24000           30000       114000


    2011           6.2          47000        52000           48000       240000

    Growth
      (%)         72%           105%          102%            65%        101%




4
CHALLENGES

     High growth in demand ( will continue 7- 8%).
     High growth in fuel consumption.
     Low tariff for domestic (2.2 US cents/kwh) .
     Low average load factor (55%) seasonal.
     Inefficient old of generating units.
     High capital- investment.



5
Opportunities
       Replace all inefficient generating units.
       Build more capacity and more interconnection.
       Promote energy conservation initiatives.
       Load management programs (time of use tariff).
     Introduce smart grid and smart systems .
     Encourage and support renewable energy.



6
RECORDED & FORECASTED LOADS

       MW




7
FUTURE CAPITAL INVESTMENT

             Over the next 10 years:
    Generation expansion       US$ 40 billions
    Transmission expansion     US$ 24 billions
    Distribution expansion     US$ 16 billions
    Total capital investment    US$ 80 billions


9
major Future Generation projects


     Year            Project name          Capacity (MW) Date in Service
             Jeddah South PP (EPC) steam      2,600           2015
     2012
             Rabigh 2 PP( IPP) steam          1,200           2015
             Dheba PP (IPP) ccpp+steam        1,800           2015
     2013
             Gizan pp (EPC) steam             2,600           2016
             Ras Alkhair pp (IPP)             2,600           2016
     2014    Al-Shogaig 2 PP (? )             1,200           2017
             Duba 2 PP ( ? )                    800           2017
     2015    Alogair PP                       2,600           2018
             Ras Abigamis                     2,600           2019

            Total investment US$40 billions




10
Ipp program


       Private power production is a partnership .
       SEC partnership 20-50 % .
       Long term power -off take-purchase agreement.
       SEC provides the land and fuel .
     30- 40% of future generation will be IPP .
     20/80 equity/debt ratio.


6
SUCCESSFUL IPP PROJECTS
      Three IPP Projects under development:
        1. Rabigh Power Plant (Awarded July2009)
           • 1200 MW / HFO
           • INVESTMENT US$ 2.5 billion
           • IRR > 8.45%
        2. Riyadh Power Plant 11 (Awarded July 2010)
           • 1800 MW / CCPP/GAS
           • INVESTMENT US$2.1billion
           • IRR > 6%

        3. Gorayah IPP (Awarded Sep. 2011)
           • 4000 MW / CCPP /GAS
           • INVESTMENT US$ 3.5 billion
           • IRR > 7.5%



15
KINGDOM’S INTERCONNECTION STRATEGIC PLAN




11
Future 380KV transmission lines projects


     Year             Project              Length Miles   Date in Service
            BISHA_DAWASIR +2 substations      320              2015
     2012   5th 380 KV LINE TO CENTRAK        250              2015
            MADINAH-HAIL                      230              2015
            RIYADH-JEDDAH DC line             500              2016
     2013   TABUK-TABARGAL +2Substations      380              2016
            WEST _SOUTH 2ND LINE              320              2016
     2014   MADINAH-TABUK DC Line             380              2017




12
Future 380KV transmission /contd..


     Year                Project          Length Miles   Date in Service
            Tabuk-Tabarjal +Substations      200             2017
     2014
            Umluj-Wadjh +Substations         250             2017
            South-West 2nd line              300             2018
     2014
            Jouf-Tabarjal                    100             2018
     2015   Al-grayat- Tabarjal              160             2019
            capital cost US$25 Bln




13
BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES

     As an EPC contractor.
     Material and Equipment supply.
     Local manufacturing and services.
     Participate in IPP projects .
     Opportunity in engineering services.
     Invest in new and renewable energy.


16
conclusion
      High growth in demand will continue 6-7%.
      75-80 billion US$ for capital investment.
      Good opportunities for U.S. companies.
      Investors have the opportunity .

         Yes, Big challenge, But great opportunities !!!




17
For more information you can visit
      Saudi Electricity Company web
      page at :

        www.se.com.sa
18
19
Generation Capacity
         generation capacity installed should meet the expected
        7% increase in peak demand and a reserve margin.

                                                              Generation capacity (GW)

    100000
                                                                                                                                                           90
    90000
                                                                                                                         74
    80000

    70000
                                                                                  59
    60000

    50000                      41
    40000

    30000

    20000

    10000

        0




             SEC Installed & new capacity   IWPP Installed capacity   IPP Installed capacity   SWCC Installed capacity        Peak Load   total capacity




8

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Barrack

  • 1. BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES IN SAUDI POWER SECTOR U.S. – Saudi Business Opportunities Forum 5-7 December 2011 Atlanta-U.S.A 1
  • 2. Electricity Industry in Saudi Arabia  Starts in the 50`s 100% private utilities .  Late 70`S consolidated into four major regional power companies (SCECO).  In 2000 All operating entities merged in one company Saudi Electricity Company (SEC).  SEC owns 85% of generation and 100% of transmission and distribution.  The government involved as shareholder and regulator . 2
  • 3. SAUDI power sector TODAY  Largest electricity system in the region.  Assets exceeds US$70 billions.  Over 52,000 MW installed capacity.  48,000 MW peak demand and 250MMWH.  160,000 Miles of transmission& distribution lines  Serving 6 million customers .  Revenues 8.5 US$ bln with 7-8% annual growth . 3
  • 4. GROWTH (2001 – 2011) No of customer Peak load Available Transmission Energy DATA (GWH) ( Million) (MW) generation (MW) (KM) 2001 3.6 23000 24000 30000 114000 2011 6.2 47000 52000 48000 240000 Growth (%) 72% 105% 102% 65% 101% 4
  • 5. CHALLENGES  High growth in demand ( will continue 7- 8%).  High growth in fuel consumption.  Low tariff for domestic (2.2 US cents/kwh) .  Low average load factor (55%) seasonal.  Inefficient old of generating units.  High capital- investment. 5
  • 6. Opportunities  Replace all inefficient generating units.  Build more capacity and more interconnection.  Promote energy conservation initiatives.  Load management programs (time of use tariff).  Introduce smart grid and smart systems .  Encourage and support renewable energy. 6
  • 8. FUTURE CAPITAL INVESTMENT Over the next 10 years: Generation expansion US$ 40 billions Transmission expansion US$ 24 billions Distribution expansion US$ 16 billions Total capital investment US$ 80 billions 9
  • 9. major Future Generation projects Year Project name Capacity (MW) Date in Service Jeddah South PP (EPC) steam 2,600 2015 2012 Rabigh 2 PP( IPP) steam 1,200 2015 Dheba PP (IPP) ccpp+steam 1,800 2015 2013 Gizan pp (EPC) steam 2,600 2016 Ras Alkhair pp (IPP) 2,600 2016 2014 Al-Shogaig 2 PP (? ) 1,200 2017 Duba 2 PP ( ? ) 800 2017 2015 Alogair PP 2,600 2018 Ras Abigamis 2,600 2019 Total investment US$40 billions 10
  • 10. Ipp program  Private power production is a partnership .  SEC partnership 20-50 % .  Long term power -off take-purchase agreement.  SEC provides the land and fuel .  30- 40% of future generation will be IPP .  20/80 equity/debt ratio. 6
  • 11. SUCCESSFUL IPP PROJECTS  Three IPP Projects under development: 1. Rabigh Power Plant (Awarded July2009) • 1200 MW / HFO • INVESTMENT US$ 2.5 billion • IRR > 8.45% 2. Riyadh Power Plant 11 (Awarded July 2010) • 1800 MW / CCPP/GAS • INVESTMENT US$2.1billion • IRR > 6% 3. Gorayah IPP (Awarded Sep. 2011) • 4000 MW / CCPP /GAS • INVESTMENT US$ 3.5 billion • IRR > 7.5% 15
  • 13. Future 380KV transmission lines projects Year Project Length Miles Date in Service BISHA_DAWASIR +2 substations 320 2015 2012 5th 380 KV LINE TO CENTRAK 250 2015 MADINAH-HAIL 230 2015 RIYADH-JEDDAH DC line 500 2016 2013 TABUK-TABARGAL +2Substations 380 2016 WEST _SOUTH 2ND LINE 320 2016 2014 MADINAH-TABUK DC Line 380 2017 12
  • 14. Future 380KV transmission /contd.. Year Project Length Miles Date in Service Tabuk-Tabarjal +Substations 200 2017 2014 Umluj-Wadjh +Substations 250 2017 South-West 2nd line 300 2018 2014 Jouf-Tabarjal 100 2018 2015 Al-grayat- Tabarjal 160 2019 capital cost US$25 Bln 13
  • 15. BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES As an EPC contractor. Material and Equipment supply. Local manufacturing and services. Participate in IPP projects . Opportunity in engineering services. Invest in new and renewable energy. 16
  • 16. conclusion  High growth in demand will continue 6-7%.  75-80 billion US$ for capital investment.  Good opportunities for U.S. companies.  Investors have the opportunity . Yes, Big challenge, But great opportunities !!! 17
  • 17. For more information you can visit Saudi Electricity Company web page at : www.se.com.sa 18
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  • 19. Generation Capacity generation capacity installed should meet the expected 7% increase in peak demand and a reserve margin. Generation capacity (GW) 100000 90 90000 74 80000 70000 59 60000 50000 41 40000 30000 20000 10000 0 SEC Installed & new capacity IWPP Installed capacity IPP Installed capacity SWCC Installed capacity Peak Load total capacity 8