Quantifying the impact of micro vehicles on trips, vehicle miles traveled (VMT) and the present value of transportation. Presentation at the second Micromobility Summit, Techfestival, Copenhagen, September 5, 2018.
2. US National Household Travel Survey 2017
VEHICLE TRIPS 220,430,000,000
VEHICLE MILES OF TRAVEL (VMT) 2,105,882,000,000 mi
PERSON TRIPS 371,152,000,000
PERSON MILES OF TRAVEL (PMT) 3,970,287,000,000 mi
2.1
Trillion miles
3.9
Trillion miles
3. Car Trip Distance Distribution (US) (n=748,918)
OneWayTrips(%)
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
11%
12%
13%
Trip Distance (miles)
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 73 76 79
One-way Trips (%)
Lognormal approximation
𝝻 Location parameter 1.65
𝞂 scale parameter 0.95
Arithmetic Mean 8.2
Median 5.2
Mode 2.1
Arithmetic Std. Dev. 7.8
Geometric Mean 5.21
Geometric Std. Dev 2.59
2/3 Min 2.01
2/3 Max 13.46
95% Min 0.78
95% Max 34.81
US Car
23. SMALL DISTANCES IN SMALL
VEHICLES
ELECTRIC EARLY,
AUTONOMOUS LATE
AUTONOMOUS EARLY,
ELECTRIC LATE
2026: 40 million units/yr
Micromobility market will grow fastest
LARGE DISTANCES IN
LARGE VEHICLES
The Unbundling is Coming