1. A. Mark Macias
Director of Institutional Research
Spokane Community College
WARP Fall Conference November 2008
2. Introduction to the environmental scanning
process
◦ Definition of scanning
◦ Types of scans
What to include in your scans
Tips on conducting scans
Tips on producing scan report
Resources
References
WARP Fall Conference November 2008
4. The process of collecting, analyzing, and
distributing information for tactical and
strategic purposes
WARP Fall Conference November 2008
5. To provide strategic intelligence by evaluating
potentially significant environmental changes
◦ Conveys both current environmental status and how it is
changing trends
◦ Alerts planners to trends that are converging, diverging,
interacting, accelerating, or decelerating
◦ Ideal end-goal: allows for adaptive planning before these
trends occur or fully develop
WARP Fall Conference November 2008
6. Often refers only to the environment that is
external to the organization
(also called the macroenvironment)
Good strategic planning requires information on
internal organizational factors, so whenever
possible include these also
(unless obtained in separate processes)
WARP Fall Conference November 2008
7. One cycle in the strategic planning process
WARP Fall Conference November 2008
9. Ad Hoc Periodic Continuous
Also called Continuous Learning
Usually performed in response Tied to planning cycle
General Structured, in-depth data collection
to crisis (e.g., every 3 years)
Character and analyses by dedicated staff
Not as in-depth In-depth
-istics Data gathered is more
Forecasts are more short-term Forecasts 5 to 10 years
comprehensive
Dedication of time by researchers
Predictable frequency
allows incorporation of data from
allows for appropriate
Allows for quicker turn-around more sources
budget planning
of scan results Provides planners with more
Pros Lower commitment of resources
Frequency provides timely
comprehensive information
information gathering for
over time Informs planners of critical changes
planning
sooner
Planning is proactive…
Plans can be adjusted or adopted
Data can be more superficial more proactively
Reaction to unforeseen
Results may address immediate
changes in environment
issues, but are less
(e.g., onset of recession) Requires ongoing institutional
generalizable
Cons If only conducted in response to
may require Ad Hoc scan commitment of resources (funding,
to supplement information. personnel, and time)
crises, indicates lack of
Planning response is then
organized institutional planning
more reactive
efforts
Planning response is reactive
WARP Fall Conference November 2008
10. Depends …
No, this is not a cop-out …
WARP Fall Conference November 2008
11. Depends…
◦ Type of scan (Ad hoc, Periodic, Continuous)
◦ Your institution’s relationship to its service area
◦ How the scan information will be used
Things to consider including:
◦ Customer analyses
Current and potential students
Current and potential students’ parents
Current and potential employers
Other institutions of higher education (for transfer students)
WARP Fall Conference November 2008
12. Community relations ◦ Socio-Cultural (continued)
◦ Community satisfaction Attitudes about higher education
◦ Community needs assessment Cultural shifts
◦ Technological
Competitors New products and services training
◦ Other public and private CCs, opportunities
universities, and technical colleges New manufacturing processes
Infrastructure changes
Campus (& District) Climate ◦ Economic
◦ Students Industry/career demand and decline
◦ Staff Unemployment
◦ Faculty Inflation
◦ Administration ◦ Environmental/Ecological
New industry opportunities
Macroenvironment: STEEP ◦ Political
◦ Socio-cultural Political climate/stability
Demographics State budget deficit or surplus
population size and distribution Changes in legislation
age distribution
education levels
income levels
race and ethnicity
WARP Fall Conference November 2008
13. Rate factors on two dimensions:
◦ Potential impact on your institution
◦ Probability of occurrence
Look for changes in current trends
Look for potential interaction effects between
factors.
WARP Fall Conference November 2008
15. Don’t try to do this alone!
◦ Assemble a research team
◦ Divide the workload
Allow your team ample time to do the work*
* Then give yourself even more time!
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16. Use an editor to create a common voice in the
text.
Consider your audience.
Present your data so that it tells a story, then
actually tell that story. Because…
The reader must be able to envision the future
and engage in “future-thinking.”
WARP Fall Conference November 2008
17. Again, consider your audience.
Use charts and graphs to clearly present past and future trends.
Refer to The Visual Display of Quantitative Information by Edward Tufte
for guidance of best practices.
Use color in charts and graphs to draw readers attention to important
factors, and avoid “chart clutter.”
◦ But, make sure they are still readable if photocopied or printed in grayscale.
Don’t do what we did! (And we even knew better)
WARP Fall Conference November 2008
18. Plan on producing both printed and electronic
(PDF) versions.
Plan for limited color printing (for key stake-
holders), with additional copies in black and white
for general distribution.
Documents that stakeholders are
proud of will be more widely
distributed and more widely used.
WARP Fall Conference November 2008
20. These data sources were found to be very helpful in preparing the CCS
environmental scan, and would be useful for any college in WA.
Free Sources
US Census Bureau www.census.gov and
factfinder.census.gov
US Dept of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics www.bls.gov
Capital Professional Services inflationdata.com
State Board for Community & Technical College www.sbctc.ctc.edu
Washington Office of Financial Management www.ofm.wa.gov
Washington Office of the Superintendent of Public Instruction www.k12.wa.us
Washington Workforce Explorer www.workforceexplorer.com
Subscription Sources
National Student Clearinghouse www.studentclearinghouse.org
Economic Modeling Specialists, Inc. www.economicmodeling.com
WARP Fall Conference November 2008
21. Morrison, J. L. (1992). Environmental scanning. In M. A.
Whitely, J. D. Porter, and R. H. Fenske (Eds.), A primer for
new institutional researchers (pp. 86-99). Tallahassee,
Florida: The Association for Institutional Research. Out of
publication, but still available on the web:
http://horizon.unc.edu/courses/papers/enviroscan/
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Environmental_scanning
Tufte, E. R. 2001. The Visual Display of Quantitative
Information. Cheshire, Connecticut: Graphics Press LLC.
WARP Fall Conference November 2008
22. Share Tips or Advice ?
Share Data Sources ?
Share Resources ?
PowerPoint slides and PDF of CCS Environmental Scan available
upon request:
A. Mark Macias
Spokane Community College
mmacias@scc.spokane.edu
509-533-8871
WARP Fall Conference November 2008
Notes de l'éditeur
How many of you have participated in an environmental scan? Of those who have NOT participated, who can give me a definition an environmental scan?
Example: Baby-boomer peak starting to reach retire age workforce openings. Baby-boom echo (kids of boomers) is currently passing through high school. HS graduations are peaking declining traditional student enrollments. Also means fewer young people entering the workforce. Mitigating factors: Majority of boomer cannot afford to retire. Will they keep their jobs longer thereby preventing new job openings? If so, will this cause shift in regional career demand relative to prior trends. How will this effect career mobility within existing workforce? Will they be coming back to college for retraining in other fields? What is our institution’s part in all of this?
CCS used a team of 4 researchers. Together we developed the major areas of focus (chapters), then split up the work. We spent 3 months collecting and exploring data, and writing our assigned chapters. Does anyone else who has conducted a scan want to share what there process was like?
Editor CCS used was outside the research team, but had research experience and was able to help synthesize the results. You must tell the story with enough detail that a vision of the future is obtainable to planners.