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Economic and Creative Disruption - Linda Yueh and Brian Solis

Global Innovation Evangelist @Salesforce | 8x Best-Selling Author | Keynote Speaker | Human Being | BrianSolis.com à BrianSolis.com
1 Jan 2022
Economic and Creative Disruption - Linda Yueh and Brian Solis
Economic and Creative Disruption - Linda Yueh and Brian Solis
Economic and Creative Disruption - Linda Yueh and Brian Solis
Economic and Creative Disruption - Linda Yueh and Brian Solis
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Economic and Creative Disruption - Linda Yueh and Brian Solis
Economic and Creative Disruption - Linda Yueh and Brian Solis
Economic and Creative Disruption - Linda Yueh and Brian Solis
Economic and Creative Disruption - Linda Yueh and Brian Solis
Economic and Creative Disruption - Linda Yueh and Brian Solis
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Economic and Creative Disruption - Linda Yueh and Brian Solis
Economic and Creative Disruption - Linda Yueh and Brian Solis
Economic and Creative Disruption - Linda Yueh and Brian Solis
Economic and Creative Disruption - Linda Yueh and Brian Solis
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Economic and Creative Disruption - Linda Yueh and Brian Solis

  1. DECEMBER 10, 2020 SALESFORCE VIRTUAL EXECUTIVE TALK BY ACCENTURE
  2. SALESFORCE VIRTUAL EXECUTIVE TALK BY ACCENTURE SALESFORCE VIRTUAL EXECUTIVE TALK BY ACCENTURE With the Virtual Executive Talks series, Salesforce connects with its ecosystem of business leaders for conversations on subjects, approaches and perspectives that shape the cutting edge of the business world. Ana Vertedor, Alliances and Channel Regional Vice President Iberia at Salesforce and Mirenchu Echeverri, Managing Director at Accenture, led a talk inviting economist Linda Yueh and digital anthropologist Brian Solis to share their respective outlooks regarding the impact of the global pandemic on the economy, businesses, and human behavior. After their presentations, both speakers discussed their complementary points of view and responded to questions asked by participants in the virtual event.
  3. SALESFORCE VIRTUAL EXECUTIVE TALK BY ACCENTURE SALESFORCE VIRTUAL EXECUTIVE TALK BY ACCENTURE LINDA YUEH Linda Yueh is a British American economist, speaker and author born in Taiwan. In addition to her role as adjunct professor of economics at London Business School and the University of Oxford, Linda has worked with the Center for Economic Performance and IDEAS at the London School of Economics. Furthermore, she is a renowned radio and television presenter on BBC programs such as Radio 4 Analysis, Business Daily on BBC World Service and Radio 4 Today. Between 2013 and 2015, she hosted “Talking Business with Linda Yueh”. Linda has been an advisor to the World Bank, European Commission, Asian Development Bank and World Economic Forum. The author of several books, her latest is called “The Great Economists”. BRIAN SOLIS Digital analyst, speaker and author Brian Solis is an expert in the study of disruptive technologies and their impact on business and people, for a better understanding of the relationships and roles of all players involved. The author of several books about digital marketing, evolving business models, customer experience, and brand innovation, Solis shares his research and knowledge as a speaker at events on technology, business, and creativity. His work includes “Lifescale: how to live a more creative, productive and happy life”, “X: the experience where business meets design”, “What´s the future of business? Changing the way businesses create experiences” and “The end of business as usual”.
  4. LINDA YUEH Even so, we must remember that no vaccine is 100% effective. The two solutions based on RNA interference – Pfizer and Moderna – are 90% effective. The Oxford and AstraZeneca vaccine may be slightly less effective but, of course, it is still being tested. SALESFORCE VIRTUAL EXECUTIVE TALK BY ACCENTURE SALESFORCE VIRTUAL EXECUTIVE TALK BY ACCENTURE 6%, which represents the most severe economic downturn in peacetime.” The forecasts for 2021 are uncertain, according to Linda Yueh, but it is hoped that the rate of growth, both in developed and emerging economies, will be fairly significant, “probably close to the same range as the downturn in 2020”. The latest estimates from the World Bank suggest that it will take between two and three years to recover the economic position of 2019. As a result, in terms of living standards and salaries, “this means that we need to make decisions and adjustments during this time. I would like to highlight one indicator of how we could recover pre-COVID-19 income levels, which is understanding the position of the Central Banks. The European Central Bank, for instance, has opted for cash injections which they hope to continue doing next year and into 2022.” AN INTRINSICALLY OPTIMISTIC VIEW During her presentation, Linda Yueh focused on our approach to the current economic climate, offering an outlook of what 2021 may bring, and reflected not just on how to live with the virus, but how to prosper alongside it where possible. Yueh assured participants that uncertainty and evaluating the situation on a day-to-day basis are constant realities of the unprecedented situation the world has been living with for a year. “Just over a week ago, the content of this talk would have been quite different. Now we can speak about the vaccination campaigns that have started in the United States, Canada and the United Kingdom with the Pfizer vaccine.” According to Linda Yueh, the speed of development of the vaccine, compared to traditional timeframes, was astonishing. She noted that “even so, we must remember that no vaccine is 100% effective. The two solutions based on RNA interference – Pfizer and Moderna – are 90% effective. The Oxford and AstraZeneca vaccine may be slightly less effective but, of course, it is still being tested.” The economist acknowledged that, to deliver effective results, the rate of vaccination must be extremely high in order to envision a return to normal from an economic standpoint. The fact that the Pfizer and Moderna vaccines require refrigeration at between -70ºC and -20ºC makes mass distribution and rollout more difficult. As a result, we may be well into 2021 before we see the required degree of vaccination. “This means that, in terms of economic prospects, it is highly probable that we will experience further lockdowns and travel restrictions throughout the coming year. What we can say for certain is that, in 2020, emerging economies around the world experienced a contraction of nearly
  5. SALESFORCE VIRTUAL EXECUTIVE TALK BY ACCENTURE SALESFORCE VIRTUAL EXECUTIVE TALK BY ACCENTURE The reason why governments are focusing their expenditure measures on employment and keeping people in the labor market is that, once workers are no longer able to imagine their future. LINDA YUEH The expert underlined that there is one “extremely important” economic factor that would reveal if the current damage will permanently affect economies in the future. This indicator is none other than unemployment. “The reason why governments are focusing their expenditure measures on employment and keeping people in the labor market is that, once workers are no longer able to imagine their future, or become discouraged, or forget their skills and stop participating in the workforce, high unemployment leads to what economists call hysteresis.” This is an unemployment situation caused by the malfunction of the labor market, which tends to persist even when the causes thereof have been resolved and which “basically impairs the economy’s potential for growth”. Yueh highlighted that, after each recession, unemployment tends to remain slightly higher than before. “Moreover, the current recession is not a normal one, so government policies can make a considerable difference in guaranteeing that people will continue to be productive members of the workforce. I think this is one of the major spending areas that we can focus on to ensure that the damage we’re seeing now can be reversed.” The economist also noted that there are two other areas where we can focus fiscal spending. “To the surprise of some, the International Monetary Fund – largely known for their customary discourse on the need to cut spending in response to high debt and deficit levels – is now encouraging governments to benefit from low interest rates and a highly flexible monetary policy, which could fuel growth in the future. Spending could boost growth and growth is what we need to maintain a healthy economy and create new jobs, especially in the green economy and digital transformation.” Digital transformation has accelerated during the pandemic and will continue doing so, while the green economy is already an indisputable trend. “We had already started moving in this direction so that organizations, companies, governments and workers could be well positioned for the economy of the 21st century. I am resolutely optimistic and, even though this pandemic has been completely devastating, I believe that we can discern some of the methods we could use to make progress toward long-term goals for a cleaner environment, greater productivity and a better work-life balance.”
  6. We are getting involved with digital services due to their convenience and personalization. This sets the scene for what we call digital Darwinism, which is the accelerating evolution of society as a result of the pandemic and restrictions. BRIAN SOLIS SALESFORCE VIRTUAL EXECUTIVE TALK BY ACCENTURE SALESFORCE VIRTUAL EXECUTIVE TALK BY ACCENTURE At the beginning of his presentation, digital anthropologist Brian Solis emphasized that he can already see the light at the end of the tunnel. Even though his work is focused on innovation, digital transformation and the future of markets, Solis has dedicated the last two years to studying how digital transformation affects us as individuals, as human beings, and its impact on the role we play in society. “There came a time when I personally felt anxious about the daily influence of digital on my life and I wanted to explore why I felt so affected by technology and also what to do about it.” Solis pointed out to the audience that “anyone who has seen the film ‘The Social Dilemma’ on Netflix will know that I am talking about decisions and actions taken by technology companies to change our behavior in their favor, without considering the effects of devices and applications on our psyche and behavior in the long-term.” Through his research, the expert found that using devices suppresses our creativity, individuality, and ability to concentrate or immerse ourselves deeply in the flow of knowledge. According to Solis, creativity is a vital cornerstone of personal innovation but also of corporate innovation, especially because it drives an increase in automation and artificial intelligence. “As a result of lockdowns and restricted mobility, we are turning more and more to technological devices. We are getting involved with digital services due to their convenience and personalization. This sets the scene for what we call digital Darwinism, which is the accelerating evolution of society as a result of the pandemic and restrictions.” In response, Solis explains that “we cannot do nothing, we cannot simply invest in technology to get the good aspects of digital. We need to understand the human attributes behind the technology, because in a post-virus world we will see an increase in and the popularization of many disruptive technologies which will take off simultaneously. It’s not just about implementing these technologies in the back office or the front office or the supply chain or the business ecosystem, it’s also about the purpose they serve within our business, within our markets and how those markets are shaped for the benefit of all participants.” According to Brian Solis, we now have the opportunity to reimagine how we can use this devastation to create. “We often describe these times as the new normal and we talk of the future as the next normal, but, in my opinion, the term ‘normal’ doesn’t suggest any great ambitions. This is a real time during which we can reimagine the future we want and there is nothing to say that we have to move toward what is normal or conventional. In fact, we could challenge ourselves to think differently.” The expert highlighted that it’s about asking different questions and exploring the unknown, taking risks and starting to develop skills and the mindset that will allow us to work differently so that we are not trapped in a new or next normal. “The expert on education and human creativity, Sir Ken Robinson, a brilliant man and one of the best speakers I have ever seen in my life, spoke of creativity as something that we basically strip from society through education.” According to Robinson, we were all artists and, little by little, throughout our school and professional lives, unless we have a creative job, we eliminate that creative drive. “We learn to operate in a linear way, to create compartments and CREATIVE DISRUPTION
  7. SALESFORCE VIRTUAL EXECUTIVE TALK BY ACCENTURE SALESFORCE VIRTUAL EXECUTIVE TALK BY ACCENTURE paradigms and, at the same time, we challenge people to think outside the box without changing anything.” Through his research, the digital anthropologist discovered that, every time we use digital devices, we are reconfiguring our brain and its plasticity. “We’re not even aware of it, but the distraction represented by every e-mail, every text message, every Facebook or Instagram notification, is teaching us to be connected to distractions and, in essence, it creates a sort of intoxicating loop of feedback. It’s like a reward telling us that we are important. In the same way, when we don’t get any notifications, we feel like we’re not important.” According to Solis, this last point affects our self-esteem and, furthermore, distracts us from a deep and focused flow of thought. “By answering notifications, for every distraction it takes us an average of 23 minutes to return to a state of deep concentration. We skim the surface of the ocean without diving in. This is reflected in the quality and caliber of our work, in our ability to participate and our ability to remain concentrated on a single point.” The expert thinks that we have convinced ourselves that we can manage this problem by applying the concept of multitasking. “We have even been taught that multitasking is a badge of honor for many, now more than ever, given that we are forced to live a more digital lifestyle. But the truth is that we are not multitaskers. What we are doing is changing our focus and every time we switch from one task to another, we’re using up energy, so that by midday we have no energy left.” In this vein, Brian Solis highlighted that “social networks increase our capacity to be distracted, hindering our ability to make intentional choices in our personal lives and, professionally, impeding our creativity.” According to Solis, creativity is a key pillar of innovation and transformation, but it is also a healthy part of life that we must bring back into our everyday lives. “It is a part of human thinking and behavior that many of us have pushed aside. At school and work we are taught to follow the rules to operate within linear and hierarchical structures. When we talk about innovating and taking risks in a different way, we are being asked to disobey the rules that we have been taught to follow all our lives.” The digital sociologist insisted that “creativity is literally the source of youth. It makes us more empathetic and open- minded, which is exactly what we need in order to move forward. The rise of automation, artificial intelligence, and the power of technology to complete human tasks, making decisions based on data, doesn’t mean that humans aren’t valuable. It depends on us to decide what value we bring to the table and the role we want to play in life. In fact, the research we carried out at Salesforce shows that this is the future of work (see boxes). The most important skills in a post-COVID-19 world will be creativity, empathy, inclusion, collaboration… all skills that we don’t teach in schools today.” Solis concluded his presentation with another reference to Sir Ken Robinson: “the role of leaders is to inspire creativity, develop ideas and value collaboration throughout the organization. This means that we need to feel empowered, we need to feel safe, motivated, and encouraged to learn and unlearn and explore new opportunities in the future. It is time to restore contact with the artist formerly known as you.” “We’re not even aware of it, but the distraction represented by every e-mail, every text message, every Facebook or Instagram notification, is teaching us to be connected to distractions and, in essence, it creates a sort of intoxicating loop of feedback. BRIAN SOLIS
  8. SALESFORCE VIRTUAL EXECUTIVE TALK BY ACCENTURE SALESFORCE VIRTUAL EXECUTIVE TALK BY ACCENTURE Following their individual presentations in their areas of expertise, Linda Yueh and Brian Solis kicked off a discussion to delve deeper into their own and the audience’s points of view. LINDA YUEH: Working from home adds to the feeling of isolation and strengthens the desire for human connection, which makes it more likely for people’s workflow to be interrupted and for them to lose concentration as they constantly check notifications. BRIAN SOLIS: Because of the atmosphere created by the pandemic, we are reflecting on the meaning and purpose of life and reassessing our relationship with digital. We have been forced to spend time on our own and to be digital first and foremost. We are learning to get through the situation by ourselves, but in truth we are spending too much time in the digital world. Several studies have started to show that it is not healthy for us and, by using certain applications and social networks, we are actually making ourselves unhappier. We shouldn’t eliminate the link to our mobile devices altogether, but we do need to make conscious decisions as to how we use them. BRIAN SOLIS: As an economist, but also as a human being, how could our attitude to the vaccine affect the recovery and even bring us to a place where we can develop our potential as individuals and as a society better than we did before the virus? EXPERT DISCUSSION LINDA YUEH:: For the vaccine to be adopted, it must not only be distributed but also accepted by people. There are cultural differences between countries that are highly interested in using the vaccine, and countries that are more reticent. In general, if we look at East versus West, Asian people are more likely to use face masks because they experienced SARS before. Although that virus didn’t become a global pandemic, it affected the whole region. In the West, people haven’t changed their behavior because this is the first real large-scale pandemic that we have experienced. Obviously, there are also other cultural differences as well as a great deal of uncertainty regarding what we actually know about COVID-19. We’re not even sure if you are immune to the virus for any period of time after having had it. I believe that the measures we take now could profoundly change the society we live in. LINDA YUEH: As a sociologist, have you observed any resistance to believing that the pandemic is real? BRIAN SOLIS: When it comes to fake news and misinformation campaigns, what’s of relevance is that someone who allows their mind to slide in that direction can influence other people. In the United States, there are people who don’t believe that the vaccine is real and others who think it was built as a weapon against conservatives. Now, we’re at the point when we need to deprogram people to, at least, return to a certain sense of rationality and ability to make better decisions in their own interest and that of their loved ones.
  9. the term New Normal wasn’t a very inspiring term to effect change. The World Economic Forum in Davos has suggested “The Great Reset”. BRIAN SOLIS SALESFORCE VIRTUAL EXECUTIVE TALK BY ACCENTURE SALESFORCE VIRTUAL EXECUTIVE TALK BY ACCENTURE changed relationships between people and governments. The pandemic has brought about the opportunity that our world needed to be greener and to create a better balance between work and personal life.” In response to the question on whether the center of gravity of the global economy would move from Western individualism to Asia and its social capitalism after COVID, Yueh noted that “all societies have a cultural and historical substrate and in Asia there is a greater sense of collectivism. Some countries do better during certain periods in history due to the circumstances or the way in which they behave socially and culturally.” Yueh concluded by noting that “if we look at economic forecasts of GDP, Asia is the only region with countries that will experience growth this year. We need to trigger economic consensus, but we must be careful about it because some things don’t translate well between cultures and this is one of the lessons that not only anthropologists but also economists will stress. Economic clout has been shifting toward Asia for a few years now due to growth in the new middle class in east and south-east Asia and I think it will accelerate. The event also provided an opportunity for an exchange of ideas with participants at the Virtual Executive Talk, who asked their own questions. In response to the question on how to prepare children in school for the world of the future, Brian Solis underlined that “there is a certain feeling of hope to move forward in a progressive and non-destructive way. As a digital anthropologist, I believe that all the social sciences must work together. We need to improve our world and prepare children for it at school, but also at home.” In this vein, Solis invited participants to imagine the possibility of having a functional conversation about the economy and financial planning at an early age, and the ability to teach someone what empathy means and how it can contribute to their role in society, not just in school but in life. “Creativity can allow for more diverse ways of building new and fresh relationships.” Throughout the session, both Yueh and Solis suggested that the term New Normal wasn’t a very inspiring term to effect change. The World Economic Forum in Davos has suggested “The Great Reset”, which Linda Yueh believes is a more suitable term. “I believe that this is a time when things have changed, and we must make the most of this change as leaders in our respective fields. I think it’s time to build a new economic consensus, something I addressed in my last book, where I observed times when we need a crisis so that society can stop and reassess what could be done differently: what do I want my life to look like, what should society be like, what isn’t working, what has escalated. When capitalism, in association with a state of wellbeing, was created after the Second World War, this was to different extents a great reset in itself because it completely AUDIENCE PARTICIPATION
  10. SALESFORCE VIRTUAL EXECUTIVE TALK BY ACCENTURE SALESFORCE VIRTUAL EXECUTIVE TALK BY ACCENTURE 1. Uncertainty and evaluating the situation on a day-to-day basis are constant realities of the unprecedented situation the world has been dealing with for a year. 2. The speed of development of the vaccine, compared to traditional timeframes, was astonishing. 3. To deliver effective results, the rate of vaccination must be extremely high in order to envision a return to normal from an economic standpoint. 4. The latest estimates from the World Bank suggest that it will take between two and three years to recover the economic position of 2019. In terms of living standards and salaries, we will have to make decisions and adjustments during this time. 5. Unemployment will reveal whether the current damage will permanently affect economies in the future. 6. We have the opportunity to reimagine how we can use the devastation to create. 11 KEY TAKEAWAYS FROM THE EVENT 7. It’s time to ask different questions and explore the unknown, take risks and start to develop skills and the mindset which will allow us to operate in a different way. 8. We were all artists and, little by little, during our school and professional life, we pushed that facet aside. 9. By using digital devices, we are reconfiguring our brain and its plasticity. 10. Creativity is a key pillar of innovation and transformation and also a healthy part of life that we must bring back to our everyday lives. 11. The most important skills in a post-COVID-19 world will be creativity, empathy, inclusion, and collaboration.
  11. Salesforce Global Stakeholder Series Research: Future of Work Creativity 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Empathy Inclusion Adaptability Collaboration 95% 93% 85% 90% 92% Salesforce Global Stakeholder Series Research: Future of Work 64% 62% 65% 66% said that they lack in-demand skills. would like to have access to free technical training. would like to have access to free business training. request access to free training to pursue their passions. SALESFORCE VIRTUAL EXECUTIVE TALK BY ACCENTURE SALESFORCE VIRTUAL EXECUTIVE TALK BY ACCENTURE BOX 2 Workers recognize that they need new skills. BOX 1 Key skills in a post-COVID world
  12. SALESFORCE VIRTUAL EXECUTIVE TALK BY ACCENTURE SALESFORCE VIRTUAL EXECUTIVE TALK BY ACCENTURE LINDA YUEH “In 2020, emerging economies around the world experienced a contraction of nearly 6%, which represents the most severe economic downturn in peacetime.” “Once workers are no longer able to imagine their future, or become discouraged, or forget their skills and stop participating in the workforce, high unemployment leads to what economists call hysteresis.” “The International Monetary Fund – largely known for their customary discourse on the need to cut spending in response to high debt and deficit levels – is now encouraging governments to benefit from low interest rates and a highly flexible monetary policy, which could fuel growth in the future.” “I am resolutely optimistic and, despite the fact that this pandemic has been completely devastating, I believe that we can discern some of the methods we could use to make progress toward long-term goals for a cleaner environment, greater productivity and a better work-life balance.” “I believe that the measures we take now could profoundly change the society we live in.” SUMMARIES BRIAN SOLIS “There came a time when I personally felt anxious about the daily influence of digital on my life and I wanted to explore why I felt so affected by technology and also what to do about it.” “We need to understand the human attributes behind the technology, because in a post-virus world we will see an increase in and the popularization of many disruptive technologies which will take off simultaneously.” “We often describe these times as the new normal and we talk of the future as the next normal, but, in my opinion, the term ‘normal’ doesn’t suggest any great ambitions. There is nothing to say that we have to move toward what is normal or conventional.” “We learn to operate in a linear way, to create compartments and paradigms and, at the same time, we challenge people to think outside the box without changing anything.” “Social networks increase our capacity to be distracted, hindering our ability to make intentional choices in our personal lives and, professionally, impeding our creativity.” “When we talk about innovating and taking riskas in a different way, we are being asked to disobey the rules that we have been taught to follow all our lives.”
  13. THANK YOU
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